Latvia-Estonian LeagueFinished

Predictions graded

Ventspils82Tal Tech85

Fri 16 Oct 2026, 15:30 Predictions graded

Predictions14–1254%

Points by period: Ventspils and Tal Tech.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Ventspils	17	22	17	26
Tal Tech	17	16	28	24

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Ventspils' 4-1 league start meets a Tal Tech side that won both 2025 meetings; the expected 40-minute score is 87.2 to 78.8, making the home side the favourite.

Tal Tech's 90-70 home loss to VEF Riga on 10 October and 56.9% free-throw shooting across 15 games are the weak spots. No prices are quoted for this fixture, so the forecasts remain unpriced.

Context

Ventspils have won their last three league games and have had five days since their 85-68 win at Keila on 11 October, while Tal Tech played on 14 October and conceded 90 at home to VEF Riga on 10 October; the visitors have won the last two meetings.

Ventspils have won three straight Latvia-Estonian League games, on 2, 10 and 11 October. The home win over Tartu Ulikool Maks & Moorits was followed by road wins at Bigbank/Kalev and Keila Basket on consecutive days. The scoring was shared: Kristen Kasemets scored 23 points at Kalev, Ronnie Degray III 20 and Arturs Ausejs 19 at Keila, and Kristofers Karlsons 17 against Tartu. Ventspils now host Tal Tech, who won their own most recent league game on 14 October, so the home side's recent run meets a visiting team that has also just won. Whether Ventspils' balanced scoring continues is the main uncertainty.
- Ventspils beat Keila Basket 85-68 on 11 October, with Ronnie Degray III scoring 20 points and Arturs Ausejs 19.
- Ventspils won 86-73 at Bigbank/Kalev on 10 October, led by Kristen Kasemets' 23 points.
- Ventspils beat Tartu Ulikool Maks & Moorits 92-85 at home on 2 October, with Kristofers Karlsons scoring 17 points.
Tal Tech's last two league results are a 70-90 home defeat by VEF Riga on 10 October and a win on 14 October. In the VEF loss the Tallinn side conceded 90 points, with Luis Rodríguez scoring 19 and grabbing eight rebounds. Tal Tech now travel to Ventspils, who have scored at least 85 points in each of their three recent league wins; whether Tal Tech can slow that output after the VEF setback is the key uncertainty.
- TalTech/ALEXELA won their Latvia-Estonian League game on 14 October.
- VEF Riga won 90-70 in Tallinn on 10 October, with Luis Rodríguez scoring 19 points and grabbing eight rebounds.
Tal Tech's most recent league game was on 14 October, two days before this fixture, while Ventspils last played on 11 October. That leaves the home side with the longer build-up and Tal Tech with the shorter one. How much the tighter schedule affects Tal Tech's rotation is the main uncertainty.
- Tal Tech's most recent league game was on 14 October.
- Ventspils' most recent league game was on 11 October.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 11 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 87.2, Tal Tech 78.8. Ventspils cover +2.5 in the 1st half in about 77 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Ventspils and 15 for Tal Tech, across seasons and competitions.
- Ventspils are 4-1 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 89.4 points scored and 83.2 conceded over five games (table observed 15 October 2026).
- Ventspils have scored 85, 86, 92 and 108 in their four league wins, the 76-point game being a 98-76 loss at Valmiera on 25 September 2026.
- Tal Tech are 2-2 in the league at 76.5 points scored and 76.0 conceded per game, but conceded 90 at home to VEF Riga on 10 October 2026.
- Tal Tech shoot 56.9% from the free-throw line across 15 box-scored games (172/302), versus Ventspils 74.9% (257/343), a scoring gap at the line.
- Tal Tech played on 14 October 2026, about two days before tip-off, while Ventspils last played on 11 October 2026.
- The last two head-to-head meetings (17 October and 21 November 2025) were both Tal Tech wins, 84-80 and 86-80.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonVentspils +2.5Estimated chance77.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 87.2, Tal Tech 78.8. Ventspils win in about 75 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Ventspils are 4-1 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 89.4 points scored and 83.2 conceded over five games (table observed 15 October 2026).
- Ventspils have scored 85, 86, 92 and 108 in their four league wins, the 76-point game being a 98-76 loss at Valmiera on 25 September 2026.
- Tal Tech are 2-2 in the league at 76.5 points scored and 76.0 conceded per game, but conceded 90 at home to VEF Riga on 10 October 2026.
- Tal Tech shoot 56.9% from the free-throw line across 15 box-scored games (172/302), versus Ventspils 74.9% (257/343), a scoring gap at the line.
- Tal Tech played on 14 October 2026, about two days before tip-off, while Ventspils last played on 11 October 2026.
- The last two head-to-head meetings (17 October and 21 November 2025) were both Tal Tech wins, 84-80 and 86-80.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostVentspilsEstimated chance74.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 87.2, Tal Tech 78.8. Ventspils cover +0.5 (overtime included) in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Ventspils and 15 for Tal Tech, across seasons and competitions.
- Ventspils are 4-1 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 89.4 points scored and 83.2 conceded over five games (table observed 15 October 2026).
- Ventspils have scored 85, 86, 92 and 108 in their four league wins, the 76-point game being a 98-76 loss at Valmiera on 25 September 2026.
- Tal Tech are 2-2 in the league at 76.5 points scored and 76.0 conceded per game, but conceded 90 at home to VEF Riga on 10 October 2026.
- Tal Tech shoot 56.9% from the free-throw line across 15 box-scored games (172/302), versus Ventspils 74.9% (257/343), a scoring gap at the line.
- Tal Tech played on 14 October 2026, about two days before tip-off, while Ventspils last played on 11 October 2026.
- The last two head-to-head meetings (17 October and 21 November 2025) were both Tal Tech wins, 84-80 and 86-80.
BetBugs · HandicaplostVentspils +0.5Estimated chance74.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 87.2, Tal Tech 78.8. Ventspils are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 73 of 100 games like this.
- Ventspils are 4-1 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 89.4 points scored and 83.2 conceded over five games (table observed 15 October 2026).
- Ventspils have scored 85, 86, 92 and 108 in their four league wins, the 76-point game being a 98-76 loss at Valmiera on 25 September 2026.
- Tal Tech are 2-2 in the league at 76.5 points scored and 76.0 conceded per game, but conceded 90 at home to VEF Riga on 10 October 2026.
- Tal Tech shoot 56.9% from the free-throw line across 15 box-scored games (172/302), versus Ventspils 74.9% (257/343), a scoring gap at the line.
- Tal Tech played on 14 October 2026, about two days before tip-off, while Ventspils last played on 11 October 2026.
- The last two head-to-head meetings (17 October and 21 November 2025) were both Tal Tech wins, 84-80 and 86-80.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minlostVentspilsEstimated chance72.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 87.2, Tal Tech 78.8. Ventspils cover +1.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Ventspils and 15 for Tal Tech, across seasons and competitions.
- Ventspils are 4-1 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 89.4 points scored and 83.2 conceded over five games (table observed 15 October 2026).
- Ventspils have scored 85, 86, 92 and 108 in their four league wins, the 76-point game being a 98-76 loss at Valmiera on 25 September 2026.
- Tal Tech are 2-2 in the league at 76.5 points scored and 76.0 conceded per game, but conceded 90 at home to VEF Riga on 10 October 2026.
- Tal Tech shoot 56.9% from the free-throw line across 15 box-scored games (172/302), versus Ventspils 74.9% (257/343), a scoring gap at the line.
- Tal Tech played on 14 October 2026, about two days before tip-off, while Ventspils last played on 11 October 2026.
- The last two head-to-head meetings (17 October and 21 November 2025) were both Tal Tech wins, 84-80 and 86-80.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonVentspils +1.5Estimated chance71.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 87.2, Tal Tech 78.8. Ventspils are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Ventspils are 4-1 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 89.4 points scored and 83.2 conceded over five games (table observed 15 October 2026).
- Ventspils have scored 85, 86, 92 and 108 in their four league wins, the 76-point game being a 98-76 loss at Valmiera on 25 September 2026.
- Tal Tech are 2-2 in the league at 76.5 points scored and 76.0 conceded per game, but conceded 90 at home to VEF Riga on 10 October 2026.
- Tal Tech shoot 56.9% from the free-throw line across 15 box-scored games (172/302), versus Ventspils 74.9% (257/343), a scoring gap at the line.
- Tal Tech played on 14 October 2026, about two days before tip-off, while Ventspils last played on 11 October 2026.
- The last two head-to-head meetings (17 October and 21 November 2025) were both Tal Tech wins, 84-80 and 86-80.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonVentspilsEstimated chance66.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 87.2, Tal Tech 78.8. Ventspils cover +0.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Ventspils and 15 for Tal Tech, across seasons and competitions.
- Ventspils are 4-1 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 89.4 points scored and 83.2 conceded over five games (table observed 15 October 2026).
- Ventspils have scored 85, 86, 92 and 108 in their four league wins, the 76-point game being a 98-76 loss at Valmiera on 25 September 2026.
- Tal Tech are 2-2 in the league at 76.5 points scored and 76.0 conceded per game, but conceded 90 at home to VEF Riga on 10 October 2026.
- Tal Tech shoot 56.9% from the free-throw line across 15 box-scored games (172/302), versus Ventspils 74.9% (257/343), a scoring gap at the line.
- Tal Tech played on 14 October 2026, about two days before tip-off, while Ventspils last played on 11 October 2026.
- The last two head-to-head meetings (17 October and 21 November 2025) were both Tal Tech wins, 84-80 and 86-80.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostVentspils +0.5Estimated chance62.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 87.2, Tal Tech 78.8. Ventspils are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Ventspils are 4-1 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 89.4 points scored and 83.2 conceded over five games (table observed 15 October 2026).
- Ventspils have scored 85, 86, 92 and 108 in their four league wins, the 76-point game being a 98-76 loss at Valmiera on 25 September 2026.
- Tal Tech are 2-2 in the league at 76.5 points scored and 76.0 conceded per game, but conceded 90 at home to VEF Riga on 10 October 2026.
- Tal Tech shoot 56.9% from the free-throw line across 15 box-scored games (172/302), versus Ventspils 74.9% (257/343), a scoring gap at the line.
- Tal Tech played on 14 October 2026, about two days before tip-off, while Ventspils last played on 11 October 2026.
- The last two head-to-head meetings (17 October and 21 November 2025) were both Tal Tech wins, 84-80 and 86-80.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonVentspilsEstimated chance61.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 87.2, Tal Tech 78.8. Ventspils are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Ventspils are 4-1 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 89.4 points scored and 83.2 conceded over five games (table observed 15 October 2026).
- Ventspils have scored 85, 86, 92 and 108 in their four league wins, the 76-point game being a 98-76 loss at Valmiera on 25 September 2026.
- Tal Tech are 2-2 in the league at 76.5 points scored and 76.0 conceded per game, but conceded 90 at home to VEF Riga on 10 October 2026.
- Tal Tech shoot 56.9% from the free-throw line across 15 box-scored games (172/302), versus Ventspils 74.9% (257/343), a scoring gap at the line.
- Tal Tech played on 14 October 2026, about two days before tip-off, while Ventspils last played on 11 October 2026.
- The last two head-to-head meetings (17 October and 21 November 2025) were both Tal Tech wins, 84-80 and 86-80.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultlostVentspilsEstimated chance58.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 87.2, Tal Tech 78.8. Ventspils cover -0.5 in the 1st quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Ventspils and 15 for Tal Tech, across seasons and competitions.
- Ventspils are 4-1 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 89.4 points scored and 83.2 conceded over five games (table observed 15 October 2026).
- Ventspils have scored 85, 86, 92 and 108 in their four league wins, the 76-point game being a 98-76 loss at Valmiera on 25 September 2026.
- Tal Tech are 2-2 in the league at 76.5 points scored and 76.0 conceded per game, but conceded 90 at home to VEF Riga on 10 October 2026.
- Tal Tech shoot 56.9% from the free-throw line across 15 box-scored games (172/302), versus Ventspils 74.9% (257/343), a scoring gap at the line.
- Tal Tech played on 14 October 2026, about two days before tip-off, while Ventspils last played on 11 October 2026.
- The last two head-to-head meetings (17 October and 21 November 2025) were both Tal Tech wins, 84-80 and 86-80.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicaplostVentspils -0.5Estimated chance58.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 87.2, Tal Tech 78.8. Ventspils are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Ventspils are 4-1 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 89.4 points scored and 83.2 conceded over five games (table observed 15 October 2026).
- Ventspils have scored 85, 86, 92 and 108 in their four league wins, the 76-point game being a 98-76 loss at Valmiera on 25 September 2026.
- Tal Tech are 2-2 in the league at 76.5 points scored and 76.0 conceded per game, but conceded 90 at home to VEF Riga on 10 October 2026.
- Tal Tech shoot 56.9% from the free-throw line across 15 box-scored games (172/302), versus Ventspils 74.9% (257/343), a scoring gap at the line.
- Tal Tech played on 14 October 2026, about two days before tip-off, while Ventspils last played on 11 October 2026.
- The last two head-to-head meetings (17 October and 21 November 2025) were both Tal Tech wins, 84-80 and 86-80.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultlostVentspilsEstimated chance57.1%

Points10 of 15 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 87.2, Tal Tech 78.8. Tal Tech score fewer than 23.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 77 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Ventspils and 15 for Tal Tech, across seasons and competitions.
- Ventspils are 4-1 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 89.4 points scored and 83.2 conceded over five games (table observed 15 October 2026).
- Ventspils have scored 85, 86, 92 and 108 in their four league wins, the 76-point game being a 98-76 loss at Valmiera on 25 September 2026.
- Tal Tech are 2-2 in the league at 76.5 points scored and 76.0 conceded per game, but conceded 90 at home to VEF Riga on 10 October 2026.
- Tal Tech shoot 56.9% from the free-throw line across 15 box-scored games (172/302), versus Ventspils 74.9% (257/343), a scoring gap at the line.
- Tal Tech played on 14 October 2026, about two days before tip-off, while Ventspils last played on 11 October 2026.
- The last two head-to-head meetings (17 October and 21 November 2025) were both Tal Tech wins, 84-80 and 86-80.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonTal Tech under 23.5Estimated chance77.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 87.2, Tal Tech 78.8. Ventspils score more than 18.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 74 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Ventspils and 15 for Tal Tech, across seasons and competitions.
- Ventspils are 4-1 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 89.4 points scored and 83.2 conceded over five games (table observed 15 October 2026).
- Ventspils have scored 85, 86, 92 and 108 in their four league wins, the 76-point game being a 98-76 loss at Valmiera on 25 September 2026.
- Tal Tech are 2-2 in the league at 76.5 points scored and 76.0 conceded per game, but conceded 90 at home to VEF Riga on 10 October 2026.
- Tal Tech shoot 56.9% from the free-throw line across 15 box-scored games (172/302), versus Ventspils 74.9% (257/343), a scoring gap at the line.
- Tal Tech played on 14 October 2026, about two days before tip-off, while Ventspils last played on 11 October 2026.
- The last two head-to-head meetings (17 October and 21 November 2025) were both Tal Tech wins, 84-80 and 86-80.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostVentspils over 18.5Estimated chance74.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 87.2, Tal Tech 78.8. Ventspils score more than 39.5 points in the 1st half in about 73 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Ventspils and 15 for Tal Tech, across seasons and competitions.
- Ventspils are 4-1 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 89.4 points scored and 83.2 conceded over five games (table observed 15 October 2026).
- Ventspils have scored 85, 86, 92 and 108 in their four league wins, the 76-point game being a 98-76 loss at Valmiera on 25 September 2026.
- Tal Tech are 2-2 in the league at 76.5 points scored and 76.0 conceded per game, but conceded 90 at home to VEF Riga on 10 October 2026.
- Tal Tech shoot 56.9% from the free-throw line across 15 box-scored games (172/302), versus Ventspils 74.9% (257/343), a scoring gap at the line.
- Tal Tech played on 14 October 2026, about two days before tip-off, while Ventspils last played on 11 October 2026.
- The last two head-to-head meetings (17 October and 21 November 2025) were both Tal Tech wins, 84-80 and 86-80.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostVentspils over 39.5Estimated chance73.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 87.2, Tal Tech 78.8. Ventspils score more than 81.5 points (overtime included) in about 72 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Ventspils and 15 for Tal Tech, across seasons and competitions.
- Ventspils are 4-1 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 89.4 points scored and 83.2 conceded over five games (table observed 15 October 2026).
- Ventspils have scored 85, 86, 92 and 108 in their four league wins, the 76-point game being a 98-76 loss at Valmiera on 25 September 2026.
- Tal Tech are 2-2 in the league at 76.5 points scored and 76.0 conceded per game, but conceded 90 at home to VEF Riga on 10 October 2026.
- Tal Tech shoot 56.9% from the free-throw line across 15 box-scored games (172/302), versus Ventspils 74.9% (257/343), a scoring gap at the line.
- Tal Tech played on 14 October 2026, about two days before tip-off, while Ventspils last played on 11 October 2026.
- The last two head-to-head meetings (17 October and 21 November 2025) were both Tal Tech wins, 84-80 and 86-80.
BetBugs · Team PointswonVentspils over 81.5Estimated chance72.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 87.2, Tal Tech 78.8. Tal Tech score fewer than 42.5 points in the 1st half in about 68 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Ventspils and 15 for Tal Tech, across seasons and competitions.
- Ventspils are 4-1 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 89.4 points scored and 83.2 conceded over five games (table observed 15 October 2026).
- Ventspils have scored 85, 86, 92 and 108 in their four league wins, the 76-point game being a 98-76 loss at Valmiera on 25 September 2026.
- Tal Tech are 2-2 in the league at 76.5 points scored and 76.0 conceded per game, but conceded 90 at home to VEF Riga on 10 October 2026.
- Tal Tech shoot 56.9% from the free-throw line across 15 box-scored games (172/302), versus Ventspils 74.9% (257/343), a scoring gap at the line.
- Tal Tech played on 14 October 2026, about two days before tip-off, while Ventspils last played on 11 October 2026.
- The last two head-to-head meetings (17 October and 21 November 2025) were both Tal Tech wins, 84-80 and 86-80.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonTal Tech under 42.5Estimated chance67.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 87.2, Tal Tech 78.8. Tal Tech score fewer than 83.5 points (overtime included) in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Ventspils and 15 for Tal Tech, across seasons and competitions.
- Ventspils are 4-1 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 89.4 points scored and 83.2 conceded over five games (table observed 15 October 2026).
- Ventspils have scored 85, 86, 92 and 108 in their four league wins, the 76-point game being a 98-76 loss at Valmiera on 25 September 2026.
- Tal Tech are 2-2 in the league at 76.5 points scored and 76.0 conceded per game, but conceded 90 at home to VEF Riga on 10 October 2026.
- Tal Tech shoot 56.9% from the free-throw line across 15 box-scored games (172/302), versus Ventspils 74.9% (257/343), a scoring gap at the line.
- Tal Tech played on 14 October 2026, about two days before tip-off, while Ventspils last played on 11 October 2026.
- The last two head-to-head meetings (17 October and 21 November 2025) were both Tal Tech wins, 84-80 and 86-80.
BetBugs · Team PointslostTal Tech under 83.5Estimated chance66%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 87.2, Tal Tech 78.8. The 2nd quarter has fewer than 44.5 points in about 65 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Ventspils and 15 for Tal Tech, across seasons and competitions.
- Ventspils are 4-1 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 89.4 points scored and 83.2 conceded over five games (table observed 15 October 2026).
- Ventspils have scored 85, 86, 92 and 108 in their four league wins, the 76-point game being a 98-76 loss at Valmiera on 25 September 2026.
- Tal Tech are 2-2 in the league at 76.5 points scored and 76.0 conceded per game, but conceded 90 at home to VEF Riga on 10 October 2026.
- Tal Tech shoot 56.9% from the free-throw line across 15 box-scored games (172/302), versus Ventspils 74.9% (257/343), a scoring gap at the line.
- Tal Tech played on 14 October 2026, about two days before tip-off, while Ventspils last played on 11 October 2026.
- The last two head-to-head meetings (17 October and 21 November 2025) were both Tal Tech wins, 84-80 and 86-80.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 44.5Estimated chance65.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 87.2, Tal Tech 78.8. Ventspils score more than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Ventspils and 15 for Tal Tech, across seasons and competitions.
- Ventspils are 4-1 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 89.4 points scored and 83.2 conceded over five games (table observed 15 October 2026).
- Ventspils have scored 85, 86, 92 and 108 in their four league wins, the 76-point game being a 98-76 loss at Valmiera on 25 September 2026.
- Tal Tech are 2-2 in the league at 76.5 points scored and 76.0 conceded per game, but conceded 90 at home to VEF Riga on 10 October 2026.
- Tal Tech shoot 56.9% from the free-throw line across 15 box-scored games (172/302), versus Ventspils 74.9% (257/343), a scoring gap at the line.
- Tal Tech played on 14 October 2026, about two days before tip-off, while Ventspils last played on 11 October 2026.
- The last two head-to-head meetings (17 October and 21 November 2025) were both Tal Tech wins, 84-80 and 86-80.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostVentspils over 19.5Estimated chance64.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 87.2, Tal Tech 78.8. The 3rd quarter has more than 38.5 points in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Ventspils and 15 for Tal Tech, across seasons and competitions.
- Ventspils are 4-1 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 89.4 points scored and 83.2 conceded over five games (table observed 15 October 2026).
- Ventspils have scored 85, 86, 92 and 108 in their four league wins, the 76-point game being a 98-76 loss at Valmiera on 25 September 2026.
- Tal Tech are 2-2 in the league at 76.5 points scored and 76.0 conceded per game, but conceded 90 at home to VEF Riga on 10 October 2026.
- Tal Tech shoot 56.9% from the free-throw line across 15 box-scored games (172/302), versus Ventspils 74.9% (257/343), a scoring gap at the line.
- Tal Tech played on 14 October 2026, about two days before tip-off, while Ventspils last played on 11 October 2026.
- The last two head-to-head meetings (17 October and 21 November 2025) were both Tal Tech wins, 84-80 and 86-80.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonOver 38.5Estimated chance63.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 87.2, Tal Tech 78.8. The 1st half has fewer than 86.5 points in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Ventspils and 15 for Tal Tech, across seasons and competitions.
- Ventspils are 4-1 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 89.4 points scored and 83.2 conceded over five games (table observed 15 October 2026).
- Ventspils have scored 85, 86, 92 and 108 in their four league wins, the 76-point game being a 98-76 loss at Valmiera on 25 September 2026.
- Tal Tech are 2-2 in the league at 76.5 points scored and 76.0 conceded per game, but conceded 90 at home to VEF Riga on 10 October 2026.
- Tal Tech shoot 56.9% from the free-throw line across 15 box-scored games (172/302), versus Ventspils 74.9% (257/343), a scoring gap at the line.
- Tal Tech played on 14 October 2026, about two days before tip-off, while Ventspils last played on 11 October 2026.
- The last two head-to-head meetings (17 October and 21 November 2025) were both Tal Tech wins, 84-80 and 86-80.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonUnder 86.5Estimated chance62.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 87.2, Tal Tech 78.8. The 1st quarter has fewer than 43.5 points in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Ventspils and 15 for Tal Tech, across seasons and competitions.
- Ventspils are 4-1 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 89.4 points scored and 83.2 conceded over five games (table observed 15 October 2026).
- Ventspils have scored 85, 86, 92 and 108 in their four league wins, the 76-point game being a 98-76 loss at Valmiera on 25 September 2026.
- Tal Tech are 2-2 in the league at 76.5 points scored and 76.0 conceded per game, but conceded 90 at home to VEF Riga on 10 October 2026.
- Tal Tech shoot 56.9% from the free-throw line across 15 box-scored games (172/302), versus Ventspils 74.9% (257/343), a scoring gap at the line.
- Tal Tech played on 14 October 2026, about two days before tip-off, while Ventspils last played on 11 October 2026.
- The last two head-to-head meetings (17 October and 21 November 2025) were both Tal Tech wins, 84-80 and 86-80.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonUnder 43.5Estimated chance61%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 87.2, Tal Tech 78.8. Tal Tech score fewer than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Ventspils and 15 for Tal Tech, across seasons and competitions.
- Ventspils are 4-1 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 89.4 points scored and 83.2 conceded over five games (table observed 15 October 2026).
- Ventspils have scored 85, 86, 92 and 108 in their four league wins, the 76-point game being a 98-76 loss at Valmiera on 25 September 2026.
- Tal Tech are 2-2 in the league at 76.5 points scored and 76.0 conceded per game, but conceded 90 at home to VEF Riga on 10 October 2026.
- Tal Tech shoot 56.9% from the free-throw line across 15 box-scored games (172/302), versus Ventspils 74.9% (257/343), a scoring gap at the line.
- Tal Tech played on 14 October 2026, about two days before tip-off, while Ventspils last played on 11 October 2026.
- The last two head-to-head meetings (17 October and 21 November 2025) were both Tal Tech wins, 84-80 and 86-80.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonTal Tech under 20.5Estimated chance57.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 87.2, Tal Tech 78.8. The game has more than 163.5 points (overtime included) in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Ventspils and 15 for Tal Tech, across seasons and competitions.
- Ventspils are 4-1 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 89.4 points scored and 83.2 conceded over five games (table observed 15 October 2026).
- Ventspils have scored 85, 86, 92 and 108 in their four league wins, the 76-point game being a 98-76 loss at Valmiera on 25 September 2026.
- Tal Tech are 2-2 in the league at 76.5 points scored and 76.0 conceded per game, but conceded 90 at home to VEF Riga on 10 October 2026.
- Tal Tech shoot 56.9% from the free-throw line across 15 box-scored games (172/302), versus Ventspils 74.9% (257/343), a scoring gap at the line.
- Tal Tech played on 14 October 2026, about two days before tip-off, while Ventspils last played on 11 October 2026.
- The last two head-to-head meetings (17 October and 21 November 2025) were both Tal Tech wins, 84-80 and 86-80.
BetBugs · Total PointswonOver 163.5Estimated chance57.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 87.2, Tal Tech 78.8. Tal Tech score fewer than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Ventspils and 15 for Tal Tech, across seasons and competitions.
- Ventspils are 4-1 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 89.4 points scored and 83.2 conceded over five games (table observed 15 October 2026).
- Ventspils have scored 85, 86, 92 and 108 in their four league wins, the 76-point game being a 98-76 loss at Valmiera on 25 September 2026.
- Tal Tech are 2-2 in the league at 76.5 points scored and 76.0 conceded per game, but conceded 90 at home to VEF Riga on 10 October 2026.
- Tal Tech shoot 56.9% from the free-throw line across 15 box-scored games (172/302), versus Ventspils 74.9% (257/343), a scoring gap at the line.
- Tal Tech played on 14 October 2026, about two days before tip-off, while Ventspils last played on 11 October 2026.
- The last two head-to-head meetings (17 October and 21 November 2025) were both Tal Tech wins, 84-80 and 86-80.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostTal Tech under 20.5Estimated chance56.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 87.2, Tal Tech 78.8. Ventspils score more than 21.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Ventspils and 15 for Tal Tech, across seasons and competitions.
- Ventspils are 4-1 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 89.4 points scored and 83.2 conceded over five games (table observed 15 October 2026).
- Ventspils have scored 85, 86, 92 and 108 in their four league wins, the 76-point game being a 98-76 loss at Valmiera on 25 September 2026.
- Tal Tech are 2-2 in the league at 76.5 points scored and 76.0 conceded per game, but conceded 90 at home to VEF Riga on 10 October 2026.
- Tal Tech shoot 56.9% from the free-throw line across 15 box-scored games (172/302), versus Ventspils 74.9% (257/343), a scoring gap at the line.
- Tal Tech played on 14 October 2026, about two days before tip-off, while Ventspils last played on 11 October 2026.
- The last two head-to-head meetings (17 October and 21 November 2025) were both Tal Tech wins, 84-80 and 86-80.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonVentspils over 21.5Estimated chance55.1%

L86–80

Tal Techv

Ventspils

Nov 21, 2025·LAT

L80–84

Ventspilsv

Tal Tech

Oct 17, 2025·LAT

W96–86

Ventspilsv

Tal Tech

Jan 24, 2025·LAT

L93–87

Tal Techv

Ventspils

Oct 26, 2024·LAT

W101–90

Ventspilsv

TAL TECH

Mar 1, 2024·LAT

L100–98

TAL TECHv

Ventspils

Oct 14, 2023·LATOT

L91–84

TAL TECHv

Ventspils

Feb 12, 2023·LAT

W84–71

Ventspilsv

TAL TECH

Oct 14, 2022·LAT

L102–90

TAL TECHv

Ventspils

Mar 25, 2022·LAT

W86–71

Ventspilsv

TAL TECH

Oct 22, 2021·LAT

176Avg total points

8.6Avg margin

10meetings

League table

Latvia-Estonian League · Latvian-Estonian League - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Ventspils

4–180%

Tal Tech

2–250%

Recent Form

Ventspils

9W 6L · last 15

at Keila Coolbet85–68 Oct 11LAT

at BC Kalev/Cramo86–73 Oct 10LAT

vs Tartu Ulikool92–85 Oct 2LAT

at Latvijas Universitate108–92 Sep 28LAT

at Valmiera Glass Via76–98 Sep 25LAT

vs Valmiera Glass Via89–92 May 15LBL

at Valmiera Glass Via92–107 May 13LBL

vs Valmiera Glass Via79–101 May 10LBL

at Valmiera Glass Via115–112 OTMay 7LBL

at VEF Riga75–67 May 4LBL

vs VEF Riga94–104 May 2LBL

at VEF Riga82–59 Apr 30LBL

vs VEF Riga86–84 Apr 27LBL

at VEF Riga76–87 Apr 24LBL

vs BK Ogre104–82 Apr 17LBL

Tal Tech

9W 6L · last 15

at BK Liepaja78–71 Oct 14LAT

vs VEF Riga70–90 Oct 10LAT

at Voluntari74–80 Oct 7ENB

at Viimsi85–64 Oct 4LAT

vs Donar Groningen83–70 Sep 30ENB

vs Rigas Zelli73–79 Sep 26LAT

vs Fyllingen95–94 Sep 23ENB

vs Parnu97–77 May 17KOR

at Parnu79–72 May 15KOR

vs Parnu88–85 OTMay 13KOR

vs BC Kalev/Cramo82–95 May 8KOR

at BC Kalev/Cramo78–77 May 5KOR

vs BC Kalev/Cramo72–80 May 1KOR

at BC Kalev/Cramo72–79 Apr 28KOR

vs Keila KK110–81 Apr 17KOR

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Ventspils

Stats

3–2

Tal Tech

Ventspils leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+2.7pp

51.4%

+2.7pp

54.1%

3-point %+2.9pp

33.0%

+2.9pp

35.9%

Free-throw %+17.9pp

74.9%

+17.9pp

57.0%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s2.2pp apart

38.4%

2.2pp apart

36.2%

Free throws per shot1.0pp apart

32.1%

1.0pp apart

31.1%

Possession· 2–0

Rebounds per game+2.5

36.0

+2.5

33.5

Turnovers per game3.0 fewer

12.0

3.0 fewer

15.0

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.