Energa Basket LigaFinished

Predictions graded

Torun110Bydgoszcz96

Fri 16 Oct 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions16–770%

Points by period: Torun and Bydgoszcz.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Torun	22	38	30	20
Bydgoszcz	18	29	22	27

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Torun are 0-2 and need a response in a home derby against newly promoted Bydgoszcz, whose two opening games were both at home.

Luka Sakota's 50 points in two games have carried Torun; Jayden Taylor has led Bydgoszcz. The expected score after 40 minutes is Torun 88.7, Bydgoszcz 85.3, so the home side is the lean, alongside Torun with a 3.5-point start, Torun over 84.5 points and under 178.5 combined points. No prices are available, so none of it can be backed.

Context

Torun's 0-2 start and Bydgoszcz's first away trip of the season frame a close derby. Torun's Maksymilian Wilczek has no confirmed return date, while neither side has a confirmed absence.

Wilczek was injured before the season and Toruń filled the gap with Ray Cowels. No return timeline has been set, so his availability for the derby remains unresolved. If he cannot play, the home side's domestic backcourt options stay as they have been through the opening rounds.
- Maksymilian Wilczek has been unavailable through injury, and Toruń added Ray Cowels to the squad as cover.
- The club has not announced a return date for Maksymilian Wilczek.
Sakota has been Toruń's clearest scoring option in the opening rounds, and his 50 points across two games set a club benchmark. He scored 27 in the opener and 23 at Dąbrowa Górnicza. His scoring load shapes how the home side's offense runs, and the club has reported no fitness concern around him ahead of the derby.
- Luka Sakota scored 27 points in Toruń's opening game against King Szczecin.
- Luka Sakota added 23 points against MKS Dąbrowa Górnicza, taking his two-game total to 50.
- It is the first time a Toruń player has reached 50 points across the first two games of a season.
Toruń have lost both opening games, falling 83-87 at MKS Dąbrowa Górnicza after an opening defeat. The club framed the next game as a derby and urged supporters to fill the arena, underlining how much it wants a response. A second home defeat would extend a difficult start, though form alone does not settle the result.
- Toruń lost 83-87 away to MKS Dąbrowa Górnicza on 10 October.
- Toruń have won none of their first two league games.
Astoria have played both opening games at home, beating Zielona Góra before a one-point loss to GTK Gliwice. The trip to Toruń is their first away fixture of the league season. Their form is mixed: capable of beating a strong side at home, but also beaten by a single point in their own arena.
- Astoria won their opening home game against Zielona Góra on 3 October.
- Astoria lost 74-75 at home to GTK Gliwice on 9 October.
- Both of Astoria's first two games were played at home.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result7 of 8 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Torun 88.7, Bydgoszcz 85.3. Torun cover +3.5 (overtime included) in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Torun and 15 for Bydgoszcz, across seasons and competitions.
- Torun are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga and have allowed 95.5 points a game, losing 85-104 at home to Szczecin (3 Oct) and 83-87 at Dabrowa Gornicza (10 Oct).
- Torun averaged 93.9 points in the seven home games in the sample (six 2025-26 Energa games plus this season's home opener), well above their 86.4 away average.
- Bydgoszcz scored 105 and 74 in their two 2026-27 Energa games, both at home (win over Zielona Gora 3 Oct, 74-75 loss to GTK Gliwice 9 Oct); this is their first Energa season after 2025-26 in 1 Liga.
- Bydgoszcz's 15-game box data (mostly 1 Liga) shows 56.3% on two-pointers, 34.5% on threes, 32.5 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers a game.
- Torun's Luka Sakota has 50 points in two league games this season (25.0 per game) with no reported fitness concern (club statement 12 Oct).
- The h2h meetings date from 2019-2023 with Torun scoring heavily, and Bydgoszcz won the pre-season Marshal's Cup game in Torun on 20 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · HandicapwonTorun +3.5Estimated chance69%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Torun 88.7, Bydgoszcz 85.3. Bydgoszcz cover +4.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 68 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Torun and 15 for Bydgoszcz, across seasons and competitions.
- Torun are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga and have allowed 95.5 points a game, losing 85-104 at home to Szczecin (3 Oct) and 83-87 at Dabrowa Gornicza (10 Oct).
- Torun averaged 93.9 points in the seven home games in the sample (six 2025-26 Energa games plus this season's home opener), well above their 86.4 away average.
- Bydgoszcz scored 105 and 74 in their two 2026-27 Energa games, both at home (win over Zielona Gora 3 Oct, 74-75 loss to GTK Gliwice 9 Oct); this is their first Energa season after 2025-26 in 1 Liga.
- Bydgoszcz's 15-game box data (mostly 1 Liga) shows 56.3% on two-pointers, 34.5% on threes, 32.5 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers a game.
- Torun's Luka Sakota has 50 points in two league games this season (25.0 per game) with no reported fitness concern (club statement 12 Oct).
- The h2h meetings date from 2019-2023 with Torun scoring heavily, and Bydgoszcz won the pre-season Marshal's Cup game in Torun on 20 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostBydgoszcz +4.5Estimated chance68.1%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Torun 88.7, Bydgoszcz 85.3. Torun cover +2.5 in the 1st quarter in about 68 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Torun and 15 for Bydgoszcz, across seasons and competitions.
- Torun are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga and have allowed 95.5 points a game, losing 85-104 at home to Szczecin (3 Oct) and 83-87 at Dabrowa Gornicza (10 Oct).
- Torun averaged 93.9 points in the seven home games in the sample (six 2025-26 Energa games plus this season's home opener), well above their 86.4 away average.
- Bydgoszcz scored 105 and 74 in their two 2026-27 Energa games, both at home (win over Zielona Gora 3 Oct, 74-75 loss to GTK Gliwice 9 Oct); this is their first Energa season after 2025-26 in 1 Liga.
- Bydgoszcz's 15-game box data (mostly 1 Liga) shows 56.3% on two-pointers, 34.5% on threes, 32.5 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers a game.
- Torun's Luka Sakota has 50 points in two league games this season (25.0 per game) with no reported fitness concern (club statement 12 Oct).
- The h2h meetings date from 2019-2023 with Torun scoring heavily, and Bydgoszcz won the pre-season Marshal's Cup game in Torun on 20 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapwonTorun +2.5Estimated chance67.9%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Torun 88.7, Bydgoszcz 85.3. Torun cover +2.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Torun and 15 for Bydgoszcz, across seasons and competitions.
- Torun are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga and have allowed 95.5 points a game, losing 85-104 at home to Szczecin (3 Oct) and 83-87 at Dabrowa Gornicza (10 Oct).
- Torun averaged 93.9 points in the seven home games in the sample (six 2025-26 Energa games plus this season's home opener), well above their 86.4 away average.
- Bydgoszcz scored 105 and 74 in their two 2026-27 Energa games, both at home (win over Zielona Gora 3 Oct, 74-75 loss to GTK Gliwice 9 Oct); this is their first Energa season after 2025-26 in 1 Liga.
- Bydgoszcz's 15-game box data (mostly 1 Liga) shows 56.3% on two-pointers, 34.5% on threes, 32.5 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers a game.
- Torun's Luka Sakota has 50 points in two league games this season (25.0 per game) with no reported fitness concern (club statement 12 Oct).
- The h2h meetings date from 2019-2023 with Torun scoring heavily, and Bydgoszcz won the pre-season Marshal's Cup game in Torun on 20 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonTorun +2.5Estimated chance67.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Torun 88.7, Bydgoszcz 85.3. Torun win in about 61 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Torun are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga and have allowed 95.5 points a game, losing 85-104 at home to Szczecin (3 Oct) and 83-87 at Dabrowa Gornicza (10 Oct).
- Torun averaged 93.9 points in the seven home games in the sample (six 2025-26 Energa games plus this season's home opener), well above their 86.4 away average.
- Bydgoszcz scored 105 and 74 in their two 2026-27 Energa games, both at home (win over Zielona Gora 3 Oct, 74-75 loss to GTK Gliwice 9 Oct); this is their first Energa season after 2025-26 in 1 Liga.
- Bydgoszcz's 15-game box data (mostly 1 Liga) shows 56.3% on two-pointers, 34.5% on threes, 32.5 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers a game.
- Torun's Luka Sakota has 50 points in two league games this season (25.0 per game) with no reported fitness concern (club statement 12 Oct).
- The h2h meetings date from 2019-2023 with Torun scoring heavily, and Bydgoszcz won the pre-season Marshal's Cup game in Torun on 20 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonTorunEstimated chance60.6%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Torun 88.7, Bydgoszcz 85.3. Torun cover +0.5 in the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Torun and 15 for Bydgoszcz, across seasons and competitions.
- Torun are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga and have allowed 95.5 points a game, losing 85-104 at home to Szczecin (3 Oct) and 83-87 at Dabrowa Gornicza (10 Oct).
- Torun averaged 93.9 points in the seven home games in the sample (six 2025-26 Energa games plus this season's home opener), well above their 86.4 away average.
- Bydgoszcz scored 105 and 74 in their two 2026-27 Energa games, both at home (win over Zielona Gora 3 Oct, 74-75 loss to GTK Gliwice 9 Oct); this is their first Energa season after 2025-26 in 1 Liga.
- Bydgoszcz's 15-game box data (mostly 1 Liga) shows 56.3% on two-pointers, 34.5% on threes, 32.5 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers a game.
- Torun's Luka Sakota has 50 points in two league games this season (25.0 per game) with no reported fitness concern (club statement 12 Oct).
- The h2h meetings date from 2019-2023 with Torun scoring heavily, and Bydgoszcz won the pre-season Marshal's Cup game in Torun on 20 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonTorun +0.5Estimated chance59.8%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Torun 88.7, Bydgoszcz 85.3. Torun are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Torun are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga and have allowed 95.5 points a game, losing 85-104 at home to Szczecin (3 Oct) and 83-87 at Dabrowa Gornicza (10 Oct).
- Torun averaged 93.9 points in the seven home games in the sample (six 2025-26 Energa games plus this season's home opener), well above their 86.4 away average.
- Bydgoszcz scored 105 and 74 in their two 2026-27 Energa games, both at home (win over Zielona Gora 3 Oct, 74-75 loss to GTK Gliwice 9 Oct); this is their first Energa season after 2025-26 in 1 Liga.
- Bydgoszcz's 15-game box data (mostly 1 Liga) shows 56.3% on two-pointers, 34.5% on threes, 32.5 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers a game.
- Torun's Luka Sakota has 50 points in two league games this season (25.0 per game) with no reported fitness concern (club statement 12 Oct).
- The h2h meetings date from 2019-2023 with Torun scoring heavily, and Bydgoszcz won the pre-season Marshal's Cup game in Torun on 20 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonTorunEstimated chance58.3%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Torun 88.7, Bydgoszcz 85.3. Torun are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Torun are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga and have allowed 95.5 points a game, losing 85-104 at home to Szczecin (3 Oct) and 83-87 at Dabrowa Gornicza (10 Oct).
- Torun averaged 93.9 points in the seven home games in the sample (six 2025-26 Energa games plus this season's home opener), well above their 86.4 away average.
- Bydgoszcz scored 105 and 74 in their two 2026-27 Energa games, both at home (win over Zielona Gora 3 Oct, 74-75 loss to GTK Gliwice 9 Oct); this is their first Energa season after 2025-26 in 1 Liga.
- Bydgoszcz's 15-game box data (mostly 1 Liga) shows 56.3% on two-pointers, 34.5% on threes, 32.5 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers a game.
- Torun's Luka Sakota has 50 points in two league games this season (25.0 per game) with no reported fitness concern (club statement 12 Oct).
- The h2h meetings date from 2019-2023 with Torun scoring heavily, and Bydgoszcz won the pre-season Marshal's Cup game in Torun on 20 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonTorunEstimated chance55.7%

Points9 of 15 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Torun 88.7, Bydgoszcz 85.3. The 2nd quarter has more than 39.5 points in about 72 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Torun and 15 for Bydgoszcz, across seasons and competitions.
- Torun are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga and have allowed 95.5 points a game, losing 85-104 at home to Szczecin (3 Oct) and 83-87 at Dabrowa Gornicza (10 Oct).
- Torun averaged 93.9 points in the seven home games in the sample (six 2025-26 Energa games plus this season's home opener), well above their 86.4 away average.
- Bydgoszcz scored 105 and 74 in their two 2026-27 Energa games, both at home (win over Zielona Gora 3 Oct, 74-75 loss to GTK Gliwice 9 Oct); this is their first Energa season after 2025-26 in 1 Liga.
- Bydgoszcz's 15-game box data (mostly 1 Liga) shows 56.3% on two-pointers, 34.5% on threes, 32.5 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers a game.
- Torun's Luka Sakota has 50 points in two league games this season (25.0 per game) with no reported fitness concern (club statement 12 Oct).
- The h2h meetings date from 2019-2023 with Torun scoring heavily, and Bydgoszcz won the pre-season Marshal's Cup game in Torun on 20 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonOver 39.5Estimated chance72.1%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Torun 88.7, Bydgoszcz 85.3. Bydgoszcz score more than 18.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Torun and 15 for Bydgoszcz, across seasons and competitions.
- Torun are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga and have allowed 95.5 points a game, losing 85-104 at home to Szczecin (3 Oct) and 83-87 at Dabrowa Gornicza (10 Oct).
- Torun averaged 93.9 points in the seven home games in the sample (six 2025-26 Energa games plus this season's home opener), well above their 86.4 away average.
- Bydgoszcz scored 105 and 74 in their two 2026-27 Energa games, both at home (win over Zielona Gora 3 Oct, 74-75 loss to GTK Gliwice 9 Oct); this is their first Energa season after 2025-26 in 1 Liga.
- Bydgoszcz's 15-game box data (mostly 1 Liga) shows 56.3% on two-pointers, 34.5% on threes, 32.5 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers a game.
- Torun's Luka Sakota has 50 points in two league games this season (25.0 per game) with no reported fitness concern (club statement 12 Oct).
- The h2h meetings date from 2019-2023 with Torun scoring heavily, and Bydgoszcz won the pre-season Marshal's Cup game in Torun on 20 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostBydgoszcz over 18.5Estimated chance71.4%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Torun 88.7, Bydgoszcz 85.3. Torun score more than 19.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Torun and 15 for Bydgoszcz, across seasons and competitions.
- Torun are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga and have allowed 95.5 points a game, losing 85-104 at home to Szczecin (3 Oct) and 83-87 at Dabrowa Gornicza (10 Oct).
- Torun averaged 93.9 points in the seven home games in the sample (six 2025-26 Energa games plus this season's home opener), well above their 86.4 away average.
- Bydgoszcz scored 105 and 74 in their two 2026-27 Energa games, both at home (win over Zielona Gora 3 Oct, 74-75 loss to GTK Gliwice 9 Oct); this is their first Energa season after 2025-26 in 1 Liga.
- Bydgoszcz's 15-game box data (mostly 1 Liga) shows 56.3% on two-pointers, 34.5% on threes, 32.5 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers a game.
- Torun's Luka Sakota has 50 points in two league games this season (25.0 per game) with no reported fitness concern (club statement 12 Oct).
- The h2h meetings date from 2019-2023 with Torun scoring heavily, and Bydgoszcz won the pre-season Marshal's Cup game in Torun on 20 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonTorun over 19.5Estimated chance71.3%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Torun 88.7, Bydgoszcz 85.3. Torun score more than 84.5 points (overtime included) in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Torun and 15 for Bydgoszcz, across seasons and competitions.
- Torun are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga and have allowed 95.5 points a game, losing 85-104 at home to Szczecin (3 Oct) and 83-87 at Dabrowa Gornicza (10 Oct).
- Torun averaged 93.9 points in the seven home games in the sample (six 2025-26 Energa games plus this season's home opener), well above their 86.4 away average.
- Bydgoszcz scored 105 and 74 in their two 2026-27 Energa games, both at home (win over Zielona Gora 3 Oct, 74-75 loss to GTK Gliwice 9 Oct); this is their first Energa season after 2025-26 in 1 Liga.
- Bydgoszcz's 15-game box data (mostly 1 Liga) shows 56.3% on two-pointers, 34.5% on threes, 32.5 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers a game.
- Torun's Luka Sakota has 50 points in two league games this season (25.0 per game) with no reported fitness concern (club statement 12 Oct).
- The h2h meetings date from 2019-2023 with Torun scoring heavily, and Bydgoszcz won the pre-season Marshal's Cup game in Torun on 20 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · Team PointswonTorun over 84.5Estimated chance67.4%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Torun 88.7, Bydgoszcz 85.3. Torun score more than 41.5 points in the 1st half in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Torun and 15 for Bydgoszcz, across seasons and competitions.
- Torun are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga and have allowed 95.5 points a game, losing 85-104 at home to Szczecin (3 Oct) and 83-87 at Dabrowa Gornicza (10 Oct).
- Torun averaged 93.9 points in the seven home games in the sample (six 2025-26 Energa games plus this season's home opener), well above their 86.4 away average.
- Bydgoszcz scored 105 and 74 in their two 2026-27 Energa games, both at home (win over Zielona Gora 3 Oct, 74-75 loss to GTK Gliwice 9 Oct); this is their first Energa season after 2025-26 in 1 Liga.
- Bydgoszcz's 15-game box data (mostly 1 Liga) shows 56.3% on two-pointers, 34.5% on threes, 32.5 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers a game.
- Torun's Luka Sakota has 50 points in two league games this season (25.0 per game) with no reported fitness concern (club statement 12 Oct).
- The h2h meetings date from 2019-2023 with Torun scoring heavily, and Bydgoszcz won the pre-season Marshal's Cup game in Torun on 20 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonTorun over 41.5Estimated chance66.4%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Torun 88.7, Bydgoszcz 85.3. The 1st quarter has more than 40.5 points in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Torun and 15 for Bydgoszcz, across seasons and competitions.
- Torun are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga and have allowed 95.5 points a game, losing 85-104 at home to Szczecin (3 Oct) and 83-87 at Dabrowa Gornicza (10 Oct).
- Torun averaged 93.9 points in the seven home games in the sample (six 2025-26 Energa games plus this season's home opener), well above their 86.4 away average.
- Bydgoszcz scored 105 and 74 in their two 2026-27 Energa games, both at home (win over Zielona Gora 3 Oct, 74-75 loss to GTK Gliwice 9 Oct); this is their first Energa season after 2025-26 in 1 Liga.
- Bydgoszcz's 15-game box data (mostly 1 Liga) shows 56.3% on two-pointers, 34.5% on threes, 32.5 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers a game.
- Torun's Luka Sakota has 50 points in two league games this season (25.0 per game) with no reported fitness concern (club statement 12 Oct).
- The h2h meetings date from 2019-2023 with Torun scoring heavily, and Bydgoszcz won the pre-season Marshal's Cup game in Torun on 20 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointslostOver 40.5Estimated chance66.3%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Torun 88.7, Bydgoszcz 85.3. Torun score more than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Torun and 15 for Bydgoszcz, across seasons and competitions.
- Torun are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga and have allowed 95.5 points a game, losing 85-104 at home to Szczecin (3 Oct) and 83-87 at Dabrowa Gornicza (10 Oct).
- Torun averaged 93.9 points in the seven home games in the sample (six 2025-26 Energa games plus this season's home opener), well above their 86.4 away average.
- Bydgoszcz scored 105 and 74 in their two 2026-27 Energa games, both at home (win over Zielona Gora 3 Oct, 74-75 loss to GTK Gliwice 9 Oct); this is their first Energa season after 2025-26 in 1 Liga.
- Bydgoszcz's 15-game box data (mostly 1 Liga) shows 56.3% on two-pointers, 34.5% on threes, 32.5 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers a game.
- Torun's Luka Sakota has 50 points in two league games this season (25.0 per game) with no reported fitness concern (club statement 12 Oct).
- The h2h meetings date from 2019-2023 with Torun scoring heavily, and Bydgoszcz won the pre-season Marshal's Cup game in Torun on 20 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonTorun over 20.5Estimated chance62.9%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Torun 88.7, Bydgoszcz 85.3. Torun score more than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Torun and 15 for Bydgoszcz, across seasons and competitions.
- Torun are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga and have allowed 95.5 points a game, losing 85-104 at home to Szczecin (3 Oct) and 83-87 at Dabrowa Gornicza (10 Oct).
- Torun averaged 93.9 points in the seven home games in the sample (six 2025-26 Energa games plus this season's home opener), well above their 86.4 away average.
- Bydgoszcz scored 105 and 74 in their two 2026-27 Energa games, both at home (win over Zielona Gora 3 Oct, 74-75 loss to GTK Gliwice 9 Oct); this is their first Energa season after 2025-26 in 1 Liga.
- Bydgoszcz's 15-game box data (mostly 1 Liga) shows 56.3% on two-pointers, 34.5% on threes, 32.5 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers a game.
- Torun's Luka Sakota has 50 points in two league games this season (25.0 per game) with no reported fitness concern (club statement 12 Oct).
- The h2h meetings date from 2019-2023 with Torun scoring heavily, and Bydgoszcz won the pre-season Marshal's Cup game in Torun on 20 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonTorun over 20.5Estimated chance60.6%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Torun 88.7, Bydgoszcz 85.3. Bydgoszcz score fewer than 44.5 points in the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Torun and 15 for Bydgoszcz, across seasons and competitions.
- Torun are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga and have allowed 95.5 points a game, losing 85-104 at home to Szczecin (3 Oct) and 83-87 at Dabrowa Gornicza (10 Oct).
- Torun averaged 93.9 points in the seven home games in the sample (six 2025-26 Energa games plus this season's home opener), well above their 86.4 away average.
- Bydgoszcz scored 105 and 74 in their two 2026-27 Energa games, both at home (win over Zielona Gora 3 Oct, 74-75 loss to GTK Gliwice 9 Oct); this is their first Energa season after 2025-26 in 1 Liga.
- Bydgoszcz's 15-game box data (mostly 1 Liga) shows 56.3% on two-pointers, 34.5% on threes, 32.5 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers a game.
- Torun's Luka Sakota has 50 points in two league games this season (25.0 per game) with no reported fitness concern (club statement 12 Oct).
- The h2h meetings date from 2019-2023 with Torun scoring heavily, and Bydgoszcz won the pre-season Marshal's Cup game in Torun on 20 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostBydgoszcz under 44.5Estimated chance60.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Torun 88.7, Bydgoszcz 85.3. Bydgoszcz score fewer than 22.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Torun and 15 for Bydgoszcz, across seasons and competitions.
- Torun are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga and have allowed 95.5 points a game, losing 85-104 at home to Szczecin (3 Oct) and 83-87 at Dabrowa Gornicza (10 Oct).
- Torun averaged 93.9 points in the seven home games in the sample (six 2025-26 Energa games plus this season's home opener), well above their 86.4 away average.
- Bydgoszcz scored 105 and 74 in their two 2026-27 Energa games, both at home (win over Zielona Gora 3 Oct, 74-75 loss to GTK Gliwice 9 Oct); this is their first Energa season after 2025-26 in 1 Liga.
- Bydgoszcz's 15-game box data (mostly 1 Liga) shows 56.3% on two-pointers, 34.5% on threes, 32.5 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers a game.
- Torun's Luka Sakota has 50 points in two league games this season (25.0 per game) with no reported fitness concern (club statement 12 Oct).
- The h2h meetings date from 2019-2023 with Torun scoring heavily, and Bydgoszcz won the pre-season Marshal's Cup game in Torun on 20 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonBydgoszcz under 22.5Estimated chance60.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Torun 88.7, Bydgoszcz 85.3. Bydgoszcz score fewer than 88.5 points (overtime included) in about 60 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Torun and 15 for Bydgoszcz, across seasons and competitions.
- Torun are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga and have allowed 95.5 points a game, losing 85-104 at home to Szczecin (3 Oct) and 83-87 at Dabrowa Gornicza (10 Oct).
- Torun averaged 93.9 points in the seven home games in the sample (six 2025-26 Energa games plus this season's home opener), well above their 86.4 away average.
- Bydgoszcz scored 105 and 74 in their two 2026-27 Energa games, both at home (win over Zielona Gora 3 Oct, 74-75 loss to GTK Gliwice 9 Oct); this is their first Energa season after 2025-26 in 1 Liga.
- Bydgoszcz's 15-game box data (mostly 1 Liga) shows 56.3% on two-pointers, 34.5% on threes, 32.5 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers a game.
- Torun's Luka Sakota has 50 points in two league games this season (25.0 per game) with no reported fitness concern (club statement 12 Oct).
- The h2h meetings date from 2019-2023 with Torun scoring heavily, and Bydgoszcz won the pre-season Marshal's Cup game in Torun on 20 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · Team PointslostBydgoszcz under 88.5Estimated chance60.1%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Torun 88.7, Bydgoszcz 85.3. Bydgoszcz score fewer than 22.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Torun and 15 for Bydgoszcz, across seasons and competitions.
- Torun are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga and have allowed 95.5 points a game, losing 85-104 at home to Szczecin (3 Oct) and 83-87 at Dabrowa Gornicza (10 Oct).
- Torun averaged 93.9 points in the seven home games in the sample (six 2025-26 Energa games plus this season's home opener), well above their 86.4 away average.
- Bydgoszcz scored 105 and 74 in their two 2026-27 Energa games, both at home (win over Zielona Gora 3 Oct, 74-75 loss to GTK Gliwice 9 Oct); this is their first Energa season after 2025-26 in 1 Liga.
- Bydgoszcz's 15-game box data (mostly 1 Liga) shows 56.3% on two-pointers, 34.5% on threes, 32.5 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers a game.
- Torun's Luka Sakota has 50 points in two league games this season (25.0 per game) with no reported fitness concern (club statement 12 Oct).
- The h2h meetings date from 2019-2023 with Torun scoring heavily, and Bydgoszcz won the pre-season Marshal's Cup game in Torun on 20 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostBydgoszcz under 22.5Estimated chance59.3%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Torun 88.7, Bydgoszcz 85.3. The game has fewer than 178.5 points (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Torun and 15 for Bydgoszcz, across seasons and competitions.
- Torun are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga and have allowed 95.5 points a game, losing 85-104 at home to Szczecin (3 Oct) and 83-87 at Dabrowa Gornicza (10 Oct).
- Torun averaged 93.9 points in the seven home games in the sample (six 2025-26 Energa games plus this season's home opener), well above their 86.4 away average.
- Bydgoszcz scored 105 and 74 in their two 2026-27 Energa games, both at home (win over Zielona Gora 3 Oct, 74-75 loss to GTK Gliwice 9 Oct); this is their first Energa season after 2025-26 in 1 Liga.
- Bydgoszcz's 15-game box data (mostly 1 Liga) shows 56.3% on two-pointers, 34.5% on threes, 32.5 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers a game.
- Torun's Luka Sakota has 50 points in two league games this season (25.0 per game) with no reported fitness concern (club statement 12 Oct).
- The h2h meetings date from 2019-2023 with Torun scoring heavily, and Bydgoszcz won the pre-season Marshal's Cup game in Torun on 20 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · Total PointslostUnder 178.5Estimated chance58.6%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Torun 88.7, Bydgoszcz 85.3. The 3rd quarter has more than 41.5 points in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Torun and 15 for Bydgoszcz, across seasons and competitions.
- Torun are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga and have allowed 95.5 points a game, losing 85-104 at home to Szczecin (3 Oct) and 83-87 at Dabrowa Gornicza (10 Oct).
- Torun averaged 93.9 points in the seven home games in the sample (six 2025-26 Energa games plus this season's home opener), well above their 86.4 away average.
- Bydgoszcz scored 105 and 74 in their two 2026-27 Energa games, both at home (win over Zielona Gora 3 Oct, 74-75 loss to GTK Gliwice 9 Oct); this is their first Energa season after 2025-26 in 1 Liga.
- Bydgoszcz's 15-game box data (mostly 1 Liga) shows 56.3% on two-pointers, 34.5% on threes, 32.5 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers a game.
- Torun's Luka Sakota has 50 points in two league games this season (25.0 per game) with no reported fitness concern (club statement 12 Oct).
- The h2h meetings date from 2019-2023 with Torun scoring heavily, and Bydgoszcz won the pre-season Marshal's Cup game in Torun on 20 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonOver 41.5Estimated chance58.4%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Torun 88.7, Bydgoszcz 85.3. The 1st half has more than 85.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Torun and 15 for Bydgoszcz, across seasons and competitions.
- Torun are 0-2 in the 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga and have allowed 95.5 points a game, losing 85-104 at home to Szczecin (3 Oct) and 83-87 at Dabrowa Gornicza (10 Oct).
- Torun averaged 93.9 points in the seven home games in the sample (six 2025-26 Energa games plus this season's home opener), well above their 86.4 away average.
- Bydgoszcz scored 105 and 74 in their two 2026-27 Energa games, both at home (win over Zielona Gora 3 Oct, 74-75 loss to GTK Gliwice 9 Oct); this is their first Energa season after 2025-26 in 1 Liga.
- Bydgoszcz's 15-game box data (mostly 1 Liga) shows 56.3% on two-pointers, 34.5% on threes, 32.5 rebounds and 13.2 turnovers a game.
- Torun's Luka Sakota has 50 points in two league games this season (25.0 per game) with no reported fitness concern (club statement 12 Oct).
- The h2h meetings date from 2019-2023 with Torun scoring heavily, and Bydgoszcz won the pre-season Marshal's Cup game in Torun on 20 Sep 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonOver 85.5Estimated chance56.3%

W90–100

Bydgoszczv Torun

Torun

Apr 30, 2023·ENE

L88–92

Torunv

Bydgoszcz

Dec 30, 2022·ENE

W70–81

Bydgoszczv Torun

Torun

Mar 13, 2022·ENE

W102–86

Torunv

Bydgoszcz

Nov 5, 2021·ENE

L98–92

Bydgoszczv Torun

Torun

Jan 8, 2021·ENE

W112–102

Torunv

Bydgoszcz

Oct 1, 2020·ENE

W80–97

Bydgoszczv Torun

Torun

Oct 5, 2019·ENE

184.3Avg total points

10.6Avg margin

7meetings

League table

Energa Basket Liga · Basket Liga - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Torun

0–20%

Bydgoszcz

1–150%

Recent Form

Torun

6W 9L · last 15

at Dabrowa Gornicza83–87 Oct 10ENE

vs Szczecin85–104 Oct 3ENE

vs Gdynia95–86 May 6ENE

at GTK Gliwice99–107 May 2ENE

vs Slask Wroclaw113–106 Apr 28ENE

vs Gornik Walbrzych73–96 Apr 24ENE

at Trefl Sopot72–92 Apr 18ENE

vs Dziki Warszawa82–83 Apr 10ENE

at Zielona Gora90–88 Mar 29ENE

at Anwil Wloclawek98–87 Mar 22ENE

at Ostrow Wielkopolski75–77 Mar 15ENE

at Czarni Slupsk93–103 OTMar 5ENE

vs Krosno112–105 OTFeb 17ENE

vs Lublin97–88 Feb 6ENE

at Legia81–82 Jan 31ENE

Bydgoszcz

10W 5L · last 15

vs GTK Gliwice74–75 Oct 9ENE

vs Zielona Gora105–95 Oct 3ENE

vs LKS Lodz96–87 May 271 L

at LKS Lodz69–88 May 241 L

at LKS Lodz81–74 May 231 L

vs LKS Lodz84–64 May 171 L

vs LKS Lodz71–85 May 161 L

at Starogard Gdanski72–70 May 101 L

at Starogard Gdanski82–103 May 91 L

vs Starogard Gdanski68–62 May 31 L

vs Starogard Gdanski101–78 May 21 L

at Kotwica Kolobrzeg99–68 Apr 261 L

at Kotwica Kolobrzeg94–84 Apr 251 L

vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg106–79 Apr 201 L

vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg88–91 OTApr 191 L

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Torun

Stats

3–1

Bydgoszcz

Torun leads in 3 of 4 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–0

2-point %—

56.3%

—

56.3%

3-point %+0.9pp

35.4%

+0.9pp

34.5%

Free-throw %+2.1pp

77.8%

+2.1pp

75.7%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s1.7pp apart

32.8%

1.7pp apart

34.5%

Free throws per shot1.0pp apart

35.6%

1.0pp apart

36.6%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+1.4

31.1

+1.4

32.5

Turnovers per game0.5 fewer

12.7

0.5 fewer

13.2

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.