Primera FEBAOT

Predictions graded

Tizona Burgos100Oviedo101

Regulation 88-88Fri 16 Oct 2026, 18:45 Predictions graded

Predictions12–380%

Points by period: Tizona Burgos and Oviedo.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT
Tizona Burgos	19	27	25	17	12
Oviedo	25	24	23	16	13

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Tizona Burgos are winless in three league games and host an Oviedo side that has just won its first.

This shapes up as a near level game, around 87-87, with Tizona a fraction ahead after 40 minutes and just over half the wins once overtime is included. No price stands out at our numbers, and with low confidence in the totals and quarter leans the evidence is too thin to back one; Oviedo to score fewer than 84.5 points at 1.77 is one to leave alone.

Context

Both teams' early league form is the main condition: Tizona have lost three straight, conceding 91, 104 and 91 points, while Oviedo's 99-86 win over Fibwi Palma broke a two-game losing start. Oviedo's Brycen Goodine scored 19 points off the bench on debut, but his role is not confirmed and no availability changes are established.

Tizona have opened the league season with three straight defeats and sit in the lower part of the table. They led Granada by six after the first quarter and by three at half-time before losing 91-88, and they also conceded 104 points at home to Albacete. Tizona play at the fastest pace in the league, averaging 83.7 possessions, and stand out for blocks while struggling defensively. Oviedo arrive having just scored 99 points, so how Tizona defend at speed will shape the game. It is not yet clear whether the club will change its rotation.
- Tizona led 25-19 after the first quarter and 47-44 at half-time in Granada before losing 91-88.
- The defeat was Tizona's third in a row to open the season.
- Tizona had four late three-point attempts to force overtime but converted none.
- Tizona had earlier lost 92-104 at home to Bueno Arenas Albacete Basket.
Goodine is a new addition to the Oviedo backcourt who had to wait before he could play. He debuted against Fibwi Palma and scored 19 points, earning matchday three MVP honours, but he did not start that game, so his role is still settling. Against a fast-paced Tizona side his scoring and on-ball defence will be tested. The club has not confirmed whether he will start at El Plantío.
- Brycen Goodine recorded 19 points, three rebounds, two assists and a valuation of 17 in the 99-86 win over Fibwi Palma on 10 October.
- He did not play against Granada on 3 October and made his club debut against Fibwi Palma.
- Goodine came off the bench in that game.
- Oviedo named him the matchday three MVP.
The 99-86 home win over Fibwi Palma ended a two-game losing start and gave Oviedo a first victory before their trip to El Plantío. Oviedo's guards carried the scoring, with Brycen Goodine and PJay Smith central to the win. Tizona have lost all three league games but play at a high tempo, so Oviedo's transition defence will matter. Whether the Palma performance carries over on the road is the open question.
- Oviedo led 47-38 at half-time and won 99-86 at home on 10 October.
- It was Oviedo's first win after starting the season with two defeats.
- The result left Oviedo with a 1-2 record after three rounds.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tizona Burgos 87.3, Oviedo 86.8. Tizona Burgos cover +2.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Tizona Burgos and 15 for Oviedo, across seasons and competitions.
- Tizona are 0-3 in Primera FEB 2026-27, conceding 91 (Granada, 10 Oct), 104 (Albacete, 2 Oct) and 91 (Ourense, 26 Sep).
- Oviedo are 1-2 this season, scoring 99 at home to Fibwi Palma on 10 Oct but only 67 and 69 in their other two games.
- Tizona's 15 tracked games show fast, high-scoring basketball: pooled two-point shooting of 56.6% on 549 attempts and 31.7 rebounds per game, with home scores this season and last averaging about 86.
- Oviedo's 14 accepted boxes from their last 15 matches give 32.9 rebounds and 32.8% three-point shooting, while their seven tracked road games average about 80 points scored and 79 conceded.
- Oviedo won both 2025-26 head-to-heads, 89-82 in Burgos on 20 Feb 2026 and 93-80 in Oviedo on 18 Oct 2025.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonTizona Burgos +2.5Estimated chance64.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tizona Burgos 87.3, Oviedo 86.8. Tizona Burgos cover +1.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Tizona Burgos and 15 for Oviedo, across seasons and competitions.
- Tizona are 0-3 in Primera FEB 2026-27, conceding 91 (Granada, 10 Oct), 104 (Albacete, 2 Oct) and 91 (Ourense, 26 Sep).
- Oviedo are 1-2 this season, scoring 99 at home to Fibwi Palma on 10 Oct but only 67 and 69 in their other two games.
- Tizona's 15 tracked games show fast, high-scoring basketball: pooled two-point shooting of 56.6% on 549 attempts and 31.7 rebounds per game, with home scores this season and last averaging about 86.
- Oviedo's 14 accepted boxes from their last 15 matches give 32.9 rebounds and 32.8% three-point shooting, while their seven tracked road games average about 80 points scored and 79 conceded.
- Oviedo won both 2025-26 head-to-heads, 89-82 in Burgos on 20 Feb 2026 and 93-80 in Oviedo on 18 Oct 2025.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonTizona Burgos +1.5Estimated chance58.8%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tizona Burgos 87.3, Oviedo 86.8. Oviedo cover +1.5 in the 1st quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Tizona are 0-3 in Primera FEB 2026-27, conceding 91 (Granada, 10 Oct), 104 (Albacete, 2 Oct) and 91 (Ourense, 26 Sep).
- Oviedo are 1-2 this season, scoring 99 at home to Fibwi Palma on 10 Oct but only 67 and 69 in their other two games.
- Tizona's 15 tracked games show fast, high-scoring basketball: pooled two-point shooting of 56.6% on 549 attempts and 31.7 rebounds per game, with home scores this season and last averaging about 86.
- Oviedo's 14 accepted boxes from their last 15 matches give 32.9 rebounds and 32.8% three-point shooting, while their seven tracked road games average about 80 points scored and 79 conceded.
- Oviedo won both 2025-26 head-to-heads, 89-82 in Burgos on 20 Feb 2026 and 93-80 in Oviedo on 18 Oct 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapwonOviedo +1.5Estimated chance57.7%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tizona Burgos 87.3, Oviedo 86.8. Tizona Burgos win in about 52 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Tizona are 0-3 in Primera FEB 2026-27, conceding 91 (Granada, 10 Oct), 104 (Albacete, 2 Oct) and 91 (Ourense, 26 Sep).
- Oviedo are 1-2 this season, scoring 99 at home to Fibwi Palma on 10 Oct but only 67 and 69 in their other two games.
- Tizona's 15 tracked games show fast, high-scoring basketball: pooled two-point shooting of 56.6% on 549 attempts and 31.7 rebounds per game, with home scores this season and last averaging about 86.
- Oviedo's 14 accepted boxes from their last 15 matches give 32.9 rebounds and 32.8% three-point shooting, while their seven tracked road games average about 80 points scored and 79 conceded.
- Oviedo won both 2025-26 head-to-heads, 89-82 in Burgos on 20 Feb 2026 and 93-80 in Oviedo on 18 Oct 2025.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostTizona BurgosEstimated chance51.6%

Points9 of 10 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tizona Burgos 87.3, Oviedo 86.8. The 3rd quarter has more than 39.5 points in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Tizona Burgos and 15 for Oviedo, across seasons and competitions.
- Tizona are 0-3 in Primera FEB 2026-27, conceding 91 (Granada, 10 Oct), 104 (Albacete, 2 Oct) and 91 (Ourense, 26 Sep).
- Oviedo are 1-2 this season, scoring 99 at home to Fibwi Palma on 10 Oct but only 67 and 69 in their other two games.
- Tizona's 15 tracked games show fast, high-scoring basketball: pooled two-point shooting of 56.6% on 549 attempts and 31.7 rebounds per game, with home scores this season and last averaging about 86.
- Oviedo's 14 accepted boxes from their last 15 matches give 32.9 rebounds and 32.8% three-point shooting, while their seven tracked road games average about 80 points scored and 79 conceded.
- Oviedo won both 2025-26 head-to-heads, 89-82 in Burgos on 20 Feb 2026 and 93-80 in Oviedo on 18 Oct 2025.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonOver 39.5Estimated chance68.7%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tizona Burgos 87.3, Oviedo 86.8. Tizona Burgos score more than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Tizona Burgos and 15 for Oviedo, across seasons and competitions.
- Tizona are 0-3 in Primera FEB 2026-27, conceding 91 (Granada, 10 Oct), 104 (Albacete, 2 Oct) and 91 (Ourense, 26 Sep).
- Oviedo are 1-2 this season, scoring 99 at home to Fibwi Palma on 10 Oct but only 67 and 69 in their other two games.
- Tizona's 15 tracked games show fast, high-scoring basketball: pooled two-point shooting of 56.6% on 549 attempts and 31.7 rebounds per game, with home scores this season and last averaging about 86.
- Oviedo's 14 accepted boxes from their last 15 matches give 32.9 rebounds and 32.8% three-point shooting, while their seven tracked road games average about 80 points scored and 79 conceded.
- Oviedo won both 2025-26 head-to-heads, 89-82 in Burgos on 20 Feb 2026 and 93-80 in Oviedo on 18 Oct 2025.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonTizona Burgos over 19.5Estimated chance65.7%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tizona Burgos 87.3, Oviedo 86.8. Oviedo score more than 84.5 points (overtime included) in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Tizona are 0-3 in Primera FEB 2026-27, conceding 91 (Granada, 10 Oct), 104 (Albacete, 2 Oct) and 91 (Ourense, 26 Sep).
- Oviedo are 1-2 this season, scoring 99 at home to Fibwi Palma on 10 Oct but only 67 and 69 in their other two games.
- Tizona's 15 tracked games show fast, high-scoring basketball: pooled two-point shooting of 56.6% on 549 attempts and 31.7 rebounds per game, with home scores this season and last averaging about 86.
- Oviedo's 14 accepted boxes from their last 15 matches give 32.9 rebounds and 32.8% three-point shooting, while their seven tracked road games average about 80 points scored and 79 conceded.
- Oviedo won both 2025-26 head-to-heads, 89-82 in Burgos on 20 Feb 2026 and 93-80 in Oviedo on 18 Oct 2025.
BetBugs · Team PointswonOviedo over 84.5Estimated chance60.4%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tizona Burgos 87.3, Oviedo 86.8. The game has more than 171.5 points (overtime included) in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Tizona are 0-3 in Primera FEB 2026-27, conceding 91 (Granada, 10 Oct), 104 (Albacete, 2 Oct) and 91 (Ourense, 26 Sep).
- Oviedo are 1-2 this season, scoring 99 at home to Fibwi Palma on 10 Oct but only 67 and 69 in their other two games.
- Tizona's 15 tracked games show fast, high-scoring basketball: pooled two-point shooting of 56.6% on 549 attempts and 31.7 rebounds per game, with home scores this season and last averaging about 86.
- Oviedo's 14 accepted boxes from their last 15 matches give 32.9 rebounds and 32.8% three-point shooting, while their seven tracked road games average about 80 points scored and 79 conceded.
- Oviedo won both 2025-26 head-to-heads, 89-82 in Burgos on 20 Feb 2026 and 93-80 in Oviedo on 18 Oct 2025.
BetBugs · Total PointswonOver 171.5Estimated chance58.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tizona Burgos 87.3, Oviedo 86.8. Oviedo score fewer than 22.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Tizona Burgos and 15 for Oviedo, across seasons and competitions.
- Tizona are 0-3 in Primera FEB 2026-27, conceding 91 (Granada, 10 Oct), 104 (Albacete, 2 Oct) and 91 (Ourense, 26 Sep).
- Oviedo are 1-2 this season, scoring 99 at home to Fibwi Palma on 10 Oct but only 67 and 69 in their other two games.
- Tizona's 15 tracked games show fast, high-scoring basketball: pooled two-point shooting of 56.6% on 549 attempts and 31.7 rebounds per game, with home scores this season and last averaging about 86.
- Oviedo's 14 accepted boxes from their last 15 matches give 32.9 rebounds and 32.8% three-point shooting, while their seven tracked road games average about 80 points scored and 79 conceded.
- Oviedo won both 2025-26 head-to-heads, 89-82 in Burgos on 20 Feb 2026 and 93-80 in Oviedo on 18 Oct 2025.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostOviedo under 22.5Estimated chance57.8%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tizona Burgos 87.3, Oviedo 86.8. Tizona Burgos score more than 42.5 points in the 1st half in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Tizona are 0-3 in Primera FEB 2026-27, conceding 91 (Granada, 10 Oct), 104 (Albacete, 2 Oct) and 91 (Ourense, 26 Sep).
- Oviedo are 1-2 this season, scoring 99 at home to Fibwi Palma on 10 Oct but only 67 and 69 in their other two games.
- Tizona's 15 tracked games show fast, high-scoring basketball: pooled two-point shooting of 56.6% on 549 attempts and 31.7 rebounds per game, with home scores this season and last averaging about 86.
- Oviedo's 14 accepted boxes from their last 15 matches give 32.9 rebounds and 32.8% three-point shooting, while their seven tracked road games average about 80 points scored and 79 conceded.
- Oviedo won both 2025-26 head-to-heads, 89-82 in Burgos on 20 Feb 2026 and 93-80 in Oviedo on 18 Oct 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonTizona Burgos over 42.5Estimated chance56.9%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tizona Burgos 87.3, Oviedo 86.8. The 2nd quarter has more than 42.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Tizona are 0-3 in Primera FEB 2026-27, conceding 91 (Granada, 10 Oct), 104 (Albacete, 2 Oct) and 91 (Ourense, 26 Sep).
- Oviedo are 1-2 this season, scoring 99 at home to Fibwi Palma on 10 Oct but only 67 and 69 in their other two games.
- Tizona's 15 tracked games show fast, high-scoring basketball: pooled two-point shooting of 56.6% on 549 attempts and 31.7 rebounds per game, with home scores this season and last averaging about 86.
- Oviedo's 14 accepted boxes from their last 15 matches give 32.9 rebounds and 32.8% three-point shooting, while their seven tracked road games average about 80 points scored and 79 conceded.
- Oviedo won both 2025-26 head-to-heads, 89-82 in Burgos on 20 Feb 2026 and 93-80 in Oviedo on 18 Oct 2025.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonOver 42.5Estimated chance56.7%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tizona Burgos 87.3, Oviedo 86.8. The 1st half has more than 85.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Tizona are 0-3 in Primera FEB 2026-27, conceding 91 (Granada, 10 Oct), 104 (Albacete, 2 Oct) and 91 (Ourense, 26 Sep).
- Oviedo are 1-2 this season, scoring 99 at home to Fibwi Palma on 10 Oct but only 67 and 69 in their other two games.
- Tizona's 15 tracked games show fast, high-scoring basketball: pooled two-point shooting of 56.6% on 549 attempts and 31.7 rebounds per game, with home scores this season and last averaging about 86.
- Oviedo's 14 accepted boxes from their last 15 matches give 32.9 rebounds and 32.8% three-point shooting, while their seven tracked road games average about 80 points scored and 79 conceded.
- Oviedo won both 2025-26 head-to-heads, 89-82 in Burgos on 20 Feb 2026 and 93-80 in Oviedo on 18 Oct 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonOver 85.5Estimated chance56.5%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tizona Burgos 87.3, Oviedo 86.8. The 1st quarter has more than 42.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Tizona are 0-3 in Primera FEB 2026-27, conceding 91 (Granada, 10 Oct), 104 (Albacete, 2 Oct) and 91 (Ourense, 26 Sep).
- Oviedo are 1-2 this season, scoring 99 at home to Fibwi Palma on 10 Oct but only 67 and 69 in their other two games.
- Tizona's 15 tracked games show fast, high-scoring basketball: pooled two-point shooting of 56.6% on 549 attempts and 31.7 rebounds per game, with home scores this season and last averaging about 86.
- Oviedo's 14 accepted boxes from their last 15 matches give 32.9 rebounds and 32.8% three-point shooting, while their seven tracked road games average about 80 points scored and 79 conceded.
- Oviedo won both 2025-26 head-to-heads, 89-82 in Burgos on 20 Feb 2026 and 93-80 in Oviedo on 18 Oct 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonOver 42.5Estimated chance55.7%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tizona Burgos 87.3, Oviedo 86.8. Oviedo score more than 42.5 points in the 1st half in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Tizona are 0-3 in Primera FEB 2026-27, conceding 91 (Granada, 10 Oct), 104 (Albacete, 2 Oct) and 91 (Ourense, 26 Sep).
- Oviedo are 1-2 this season, scoring 99 at home to Fibwi Palma on 10 Oct but only 67 and 69 in their other two games.
- Tizona's 15 tracked games show fast, high-scoring basketball: pooled two-point shooting of 56.6% on 549 attempts and 31.7 rebounds per game, with home scores this season and last averaging about 86.
- Oviedo's 14 accepted boxes from their last 15 matches give 32.9 rebounds and 32.8% three-point shooting, while their seven tracked road games average about 80 points scored and 79 conceded.
- Oviedo won both 2025-26 head-to-heads, 89-82 in Burgos on 20 Feb 2026 and 93-80 in Oviedo on 18 Oct 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonOviedo over 42.5Estimated chance55.4%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 15, 03:57

Selected line

171.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

58%

Chance of 172+ points

+1 pp above break-even

Over 1.76 needs 57% to break even. BetBugs sees 58%.

Move the line main 171.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 58%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 42%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L82–89

Tizona Burgosv Oviedo

Oviedo

Feb 20, 2026·PRI

L93–80

Oviedov

Tizona Burgos

Oct 18, 2025·PRI

L98–84

Oviedov

Tizona Burgos

Feb 8, 2025·LEB

W106–81

Tizona Burgosv Oviedo

Oviedo

Nov 16, 2024·LEB

W60–75

Oviedov

Tizona Burgos

Feb 4, 2024·LEB

W109–93

Tizona Burgosv Oviedo

Oviedo

Oct 27, 2023·LEB

L71–78

Tizona Burgosv Oviedo

Oviedo

Feb 26, 2021·LEB

L90–73

Oviedov

Tizona Burgos

Dec 12, 2020·LEB

170.3Avg total points

14.3Avg margin

8meetings

League table

Primera FEB · Primera FEB - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Tizona Burgos

0–30%

Oviedo

1–233%

Recent Form

Tizona Burgos

5W 10L · last 15

at Granada88–91 Oct 10PRI

vs Albacete92–104 Oct 2PRI

at Ourense71–91 Sep 26PRI

vs Cartagena93–80 May 8PRI

at Alicante97–92 May 2PRI

at Melilla96–81 Apr 26PRI

vs Obradoiro CAB99–96 OTApr 21PRI

vs Estudiantes76–96 Apr 10PRI

at Hestia Menorca70–88 Apr 4PRI

vs Estela86–77 Mar 27PRI

at Leyma Coruna84–105 Mar 20PRI

at Ourense77–79 Mar 14PRI

vs Palencia74–91 Mar 11PRI

at Palmer Basket72–88 Mar 8PRI

vs Oviedo82–89 Feb 20PRI

Oviedo

10W 5L · last 15

vs Fibwi Palma99–86 Oct 10PRI

vs Granada67–77 Oct 3PRI

at Gran Canaria69–108 Sep 26PRI

at Estudiantes71–79 Jun 6PRI

vs Gipuzkoa82–75 May 22PRI

at Gipuzkoa83–75 May 17PRI

at Gipuzkoa93–79 May 15PRI

at Ourense74–70 May 8PRI

vs Zamora90–80 May 2PRI

vs Palmer Basket89–74 Apr 22PRI

at Estudiantes69–75 Apr 19PRI

vs Fuenlabrada65–73 Apr 11PRI

vs Alicante76–74 Apr 5PRI

at Hestia Menorca72–65 Mar 28PRI

at Fibwi Palma95–69 Mar 22PRI

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Tizona Burgos

Stats

2–2

Oviedo

14 games

The teams split the 4 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–1

2-point %+2.8pp

56.6%

+2.8pp

53.8%

3-point %+1.6pp

31.2%

+1.6pp

32.8%

Free-throw %+1.1pp

72.3%

+1.1pp

71.2%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s9.1pp apart

32.0%

9.1pp apart

41.1%

Free throws per shot4.7pp apart

31.8%

4.7pp apart

27.1%

Possession· 0–1

Rebounds per game+1.2

31.7

+1.2

32.9

Turnovers per game—

0.0

—

0.0

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.