1. LigaFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Opava 284MS Academy93

Fri 16 Oct 2026, 17:30 Predictions graded

Predictions7–1041%

Edges0–10%

Points by period: Opava 2 and MS Academy.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Opava 2	23	16	22	23
MS Academy	21	34	13	25

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Winless MS Academy visit Opava 2, who average 71.0 points but meet a defense conceding 85.0 a game.

Opava 2 are favoured to win, including overtime, with the expected score around 80-73. MS Academy under 75.5 points at 1.79 is the one quoted price with a case behind it.

Context

Both sides sit in the 1. Liga East group and both are below .500: Opava 2 are 1-3 and MS Academy 0-4 through 2026-10-11. No venue, injury or rotation factor is established, so the main sporting conditions are the visitors' 85.0 points conceded per game and the home side's 71.0-point average.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Team PointslostUncertainty band: Lean

MS Academy under 75.5

1.79fair 1.69

Market 55.9% · BetBugs 59.3%

+3.4ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Opava 2 80.3, MS Academy 72.7. MS Academy score fewer than 75.5 points (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this. Opava 2 have been the slightly better side this season and host a winless MS Academy team whose defense has surrendered 85 points a game, so a home total in the low 80s and a road total in the low 70s fits both teams' current form. The dated head-to-head wins add mild support for the home side without being treated as current.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Opava 2 80.3, MS Academy 72.7. Opava 2 cover +2.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Opava 2 and 15 for MS Academy, across seasons and competitions.
- Opava 2 have averaged 71.0 points across their four 1. Liga games in 2026-27 (74, 88, 67, 55; through 2026-10-11), while MS Academy have conceded 85.0 per game in the same span.
- MS Academy are 0-4 in 2026-27, scoring 72.0 and allowing 85.0 per game (288 for, 340 against); both of their home games this season ended 80-72 and 80-67.
- Opava 2's 14 tracked box scores show weak shooting (49.6% on twos but 26.8% on threes, 61.4% free throws) and 18.9 turnovers per game, while MS Academy sit at 53.1% on twos, 30.7% on threes and 16.9 turnovers.
- The only two meetings, both 2025-26 1. Liga, went to Opava 2 (110-84 at home on 2025-10-17, 78-69 away on 2025-12-21), but those rosters differ from the current ones.
- Rest is not a factor: Opava 2 last played 2026-10-11 (5.1 days) and MS Academy 2026-10-09 (7.0 days).
- MS Academy's J. Jursa (29.7 minutes, 12.7 points) did not appear in the latest box score on 2026-10-09, but there is no confirmation of an absence.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostOpava 2 +2.5Estimated chance74.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Opava 2 80.3, MS Academy 72.7. Opava 2 win in about 73 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Opava 2 have averaged 71.0 points across their four 1. Liga games in 2026-27 (74, 88, 67, 55; through 2026-10-11), while MS Academy have conceded 85.0 per game in the same span.
- MS Academy are 0-4 in 2026-27, scoring 72.0 and allowing 85.0 per game (288 for, 340 against); both of their home games this season ended 80-72 and 80-67.
- Opava 2's 14 tracked box scores show weak shooting (49.6% on twos but 26.8% on threes, 61.4% free throws) and 18.9 turnovers per game, while MS Academy sit at 53.1% on twos, 30.7% on threes and 16.9 turnovers.
- The only two meetings, both 2025-26 1. Liga, went to Opava 2 (110-84 at home on 2025-10-17, 78-69 away on 2025-12-21), but those rosters differ from the current ones.
- Rest is not a factor: Opava 2 last played 2026-10-11 (5.1 days) and MS Academy 2026-10-09 (7.0 days).
- MS Academy's J. Jursa (29.7 minutes, 12.7 points) did not appear in the latest box score on 2026-10-09, but there is no confirmation of an absence.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostOpava 2Estimated chance72.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Opava 2 80.3, MS Academy 72.7. Opava 2 are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 71 of 100 games like this.
- Opava 2 have averaged 71.0 points across their four 1. Liga games in 2026-27 (74, 88, 67, 55; through 2026-10-11), while MS Academy have conceded 85.0 per game in the same span.
- MS Academy are 0-4 in 2026-27, scoring 72.0 and allowing 85.0 per game (288 for, 340 against); both of their home games this season ended 80-72 and 80-67.
- Opava 2's 14 tracked box scores show weak shooting (49.6% on twos but 26.8% on threes, 61.4% free throws) and 18.9 turnovers per game, while MS Academy sit at 53.1% on twos, 30.7% on threes and 16.9 turnovers.
- The only two meetings, both 2025-26 1. Liga, went to Opava 2 (110-84 at home on 2025-10-17, 78-69 away on 2025-12-21), but those rosters differ from the current ones.
- Rest is not a factor: Opava 2 last played 2026-10-11 (5.1 days) and MS Academy 2026-10-09 (7.0 days).
- MS Academy's J. Jursa (29.7 minutes, 12.7 points) did not appear in the latest box score on 2026-10-09, but there is no confirmation of an absence.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minlostOpava 2Estimated chance70.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Opava 2 80.3, MS Academy 72.7. Opava 2 are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Opava 2 have averaged 71.0 points across their four 1. Liga games in 2026-27 (74, 88, 67, 55; through 2026-10-11), while MS Academy have conceded 85.0 per game in the same span.
- MS Academy are 0-4 in 2026-27, scoring 72.0 and allowing 85.0 per game (288 for, 340 against); both of their home games this season ended 80-72 and 80-67.
- Opava 2's 14 tracked box scores show weak shooting (49.6% on twos but 26.8% on threes, 61.4% free throws) and 18.9 turnovers per game, while MS Academy sit at 53.1% on twos, 30.7% on threes and 16.9 turnovers.
- The only two meetings, both 2025-26 1. Liga, went to Opava 2 (110-84 at home on 2025-10-17, 78-69 away on 2025-12-21), but those rosters differ from the current ones.
- Rest is not a factor: Opava 2 last played 2026-10-11 (5.1 days) and MS Academy 2026-10-09 (7.0 days).
- MS Academy's J. Jursa (29.7 minutes, 12.7 points) did not appear in the latest box score on 2026-10-09, but there is no confirmation of an absence.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultlostOpava 2Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Opava 2 80.3, MS Academy 72.7. Opava 2 are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Opava 2 have averaged 71.0 points across their four 1. Liga games in 2026-27 (74, 88, 67, 55; through 2026-10-11), while MS Academy have conceded 85.0 per game in the same span.
- MS Academy are 0-4 in 2026-27, scoring 72.0 and allowing 85.0 per game (288 for, 340 against); both of their home games this season ended 80-72 and 80-67.
- Opava 2's 14 tracked box scores show weak shooting (49.6% on twos but 26.8% on threes, 61.4% free throws) and 18.9 turnovers per game, while MS Academy sit at 53.1% on twos, 30.7% on threes and 16.9 turnovers.
- The only two meetings, both 2025-26 1. Liga, went to Opava 2 (110-84 at home on 2025-10-17, 78-69 away on 2025-12-21), but those rosters differ from the current ones.
- Rest is not a factor: Opava 2 last played 2026-10-11 (5.1 days) and MS Academy 2026-10-09 (7.0 days).
- MS Academy's J. Jursa (29.7 minutes, 12.7 points) did not appear in the latest box score on 2026-10-09, but there is no confirmation of an absence.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultlostOpava 2Estimated chance60.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Opava 2 80.3, MS Academy 72.7. Opava 2 are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Opava 2 have averaged 71.0 points across their four 1. Liga games in 2026-27 (74, 88, 67, 55; through 2026-10-11), while MS Academy have conceded 85.0 per game in the same span.
- MS Academy are 0-4 in 2026-27, scoring 72.0 and allowing 85.0 per game (288 for, 340 against); both of their home games this season ended 80-72 and 80-67.
- Opava 2's 14 tracked box scores show weak shooting (49.6% on twos but 26.8% on threes, 61.4% free throws) and 18.9 turnovers per game, while MS Academy sit at 53.1% on twos, 30.7% on threes and 16.9 turnovers.
- The only two meetings, both 2025-26 1. Liga, went to Opava 2 (110-84 at home on 2025-10-17, 78-69 away on 2025-12-21), but those rosters differ from the current ones.
- Rest is not a factor: Opava 2 last played 2026-10-11 (5.1 days) and MS Academy 2026-10-09 (7.0 days).
- MS Academy's J. Jursa (29.7 minutes, 12.7 points) did not appear in the latest box score on 2026-10-09, but there is no confirmation of an absence.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonOpava 2Estimated chance57.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Opava 2 80.3, MS Academy 72.7. Opava 2 are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Opava 2 have averaged 71.0 points across their four 1. Liga games in 2026-27 (74, 88, 67, 55; through 2026-10-11), while MS Academy have conceded 85.0 per game in the same span.
- MS Academy are 0-4 in 2026-27, scoring 72.0 and allowing 85.0 per game (288 for, 340 against); both of their home games this season ended 80-72 and 80-67.
- Opava 2's 14 tracked box scores show weak shooting (49.6% on twos but 26.8% on threes, 61.4% free throws) and 18.9 turnovers per game, while MS Academy sit at 53.1% on twos, 30.7% on threes and 16.9 turnovers.
- The only two meetings, both 2025-26 1. Liga, went to Opava 2 (110-84 at home on 2025-10-17, 78-69 away on 2025-12-21), but those rosters differ from the current ones.
- Rest is not a factor: Opava 2 last played 2026-10-11 (5.1 days) and MS Academy 2026-10-09 (7.0 days).
- MS Academy's J. Jursa (29.7 minutes, 12.7 points) did not appear in the latest box score on 2026-10-09, but there is no confirmation of an absence.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonOpava 2Estimated chance56.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Opava 2 80.3, MS Academy 72.7. Opava 2 cover -0.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Opava 2 and 15 for MS Academy, across seasons and competitions.
- Opava 2 have averaged 71.0 points across their four 1. Liga games in 2026-27 (74, 88, 67, 55; through 2026-10-11), while MS Academy have conceded 85.0 per game in the same span.
- MS Academy are 0-4 in 2026-27, scoring 72.0 and allowing 85.0 per game (288 for, 340 against); both of their home games this season ended 80-72 and 80-67.
- Opava 2's 14 tracked box scores show weak shooting (49.6% on twos but 26.8% on threes, 61.4% free throws) and 18.9 turnovers per game, while MS Academy sit at 53.1% on twos, 30.7% on threes and 16.9 turnovers.
- The only two meetings, both 2025-26 1. Liga, went to Opava 2 (110-84 at home on 2025-10-17, 78-69 away on 2025-12-21), but those rosters differ from the current ones.
- Rest is not a factor: Opava 2 last played 2026-10-11 (5.1 days) and MS Academy 2026-10-09 (7.0 days).
- MS Academy's J. Jursa (29.7 minutes, 12.7 points) did not appear in the latest box score on 2026-10-09, but there is no confirmation of an absence.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonOpava 2 -0.5Estimated chance56.2%

Points4 of 9 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Opava 2 80.3, MS Academy 72.7. MS Academy score fewer than 21.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Opava 2 and 15 for MS Academy, across seasons and competitions.
- Opava 2 have averaged 71.0 points across their four 1. Liga games in 2026-27 (74, 88, 67, 55; through 2026-10-11), while MS Academy have conceded 85.0 per game in the same span.
- MS Academy are 0-4 in 2026-27, scoring 72.0 and allowing 85.0 per game (288 for, 340 against); both of their home games this season ended 80-72 and 80-67.
- Opava 2's 14 tracked box scores show weak shooting (49.6% on twos but 26.8% on threes, 61.4% free throws) and 18.9 turnovers per game, while MS Academy sit at 53.1% on twos, 30.7% on threes and 16.9 turnovers.
- The only two meetings, both 2025-26 1. Liga, went to Opava 2 (110-84 at home on 2025-10-17, 78-69 away on 2025-12-21), but those rosters differ from the current ones.
- Rest is not a factor: Opava 2 last played 2026-10-11 (5.1 days) and MS Academy 2026-10-09 (7.0 days).
- MS Academy's J. Jursa (29.7 minutes, 12.7 points) did not appear in the latest box score on 2026-10-09, but there is no confirmation of an absence.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostMS Academy under 21.5Estimated chance75.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Opava 2 80.3, MS Academy 72.7. Opava 2 score more than 18.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Opava 2 and 15 for MS Academy, across seasons and competitions.
- Opava 2 have averaged 71.0 points across their four 1. Liga games in 2026-27 (74, 88, 67, 55; through 2026-10-11), while MS Academy have conceded 85.0 per game in the same span.
- MS Academy are 0-4 in 2026-27, scoring 72.0 and allowing 85.0 per game (288 for, 340 against); both of their home games this season ended 80-72 and 80-67.
- Opava 2's 14 tracked box scores show weak shooting (49.6% on twos but 26.8% on threes, 61.4% free throws) and 18.9 turnovers per game, while MS Academy sit at 53.1% on twos, 30.7% on threes and 16.9 turnovers.
- The only two meetings, both 2025-26 1. Liga, went to Opava 2 (110-84 at home on 2025-10-17, 78-69 away on 2025-12-21), but those rosters differ from the current ones.
- Rest is not a factor: Opava 2 last played 2026-10-11 (5.1 days) and MS Academy 2026-10-09 (7.0 days).
- MS Academy's J. Jursa (29.7 minutes, 12.7 points) did not appear in the latest box score on 2026-10-09, but there is no confirmation of an absence.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostOpava 2 over 18.5Estimated chance64.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Opava 2 80.3, MS Academy 72.7. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 40.5 points in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Opava 2 and 15 for MS Academy, across seasons and competitions.
- Opava 2 have averaged 71.0 points across their four 1. Liga games in 2026-27 (74, 88, 67, 55; through 2026-10-11), while MS Academy have conceded 85.0 per game in the same span.
- MS Academy are 0-4 in 2026-27, scoring 72.0 and allowing 85.0 per game (288 for, 340 against); both of their home games this season ended 80-72 and 80-67.
- Opava 2's 14 tracked box scores show weak shooting (49.6% on twos but 26.8% on threes, 61.4% free throws) and 18.9 turnovers per game, while MS Academy sit at 53.1% on twos, 30.7% on threes and 16.9 turnovers.
- The only two meetings, both 2025-26 1. Liga, went to Opava 2 (110-84 at home on 2025-10-17, 78-69 away on 2025-12-21), but those rosters differ from the current ones.
- Rest is not a factor: Opava 2 last played 2026-10-11 (5.1 days) and MS Academy 2026-10-09 (7.0 days).
- MS Academy's J. Jursa (29.7 minutes, 12.7 points) did not appear in the latest box score on 2026-10-09, but there is no confirmation of an absence.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 40.5Estimated chance64.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Opava 2 80.3, MS Academy 72.7. The 2nd quarter has fewer than 40.5 points in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Opava 2 and 15 for MS Academy, across seasons and competitions.
- Opava 2 have averaged 71.0 points across their four 1. Liga games in 2026-27 (74, 88, 67, 55; through 2026-10-11), while MS Academy have conceded 85.0 per game in the same span.
- MS Academy are 0-4 in 2026-27, scoring 72.0 and allowing 85.0 per game (288 for, 340 against); both of their home games this season ended 80-72 and 80-67.
- Opava 2's 14 tracked box scores show weak shooting (49.6% on twos but 26.8% on threes, 61.4% free throws) and 18.9 turnovers per game, while MS Academy sit at 53.1% on twos, 30.7% on threes and 16.9 turnovers.
- The only two meetings, both 2025-26 1. Liga, went to Opava 2 (110-84 at home on 2025-10-17, 78-69 away on 2025-12-21), but those rosters differ from the current ones.
- Rest is not a factor: Opava 2 last played 2026-10-11 (5.1 days) and MS Academy 2026-10-09 (7.0 days).
- MS Academy's J. Jursa (29.7 minutes, 12.7 points) did not appear in the latest box score on 2026-10-09, but there is no confirmation of an absence.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointslostUnder 40.5Estimated chance61.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Opava 2 80.3, MS Academy 72.7. MS Academy score fewer than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Opava 2 and 15 for MS Academy, across seasons and competitions.
- Opava 2 have averaged 71.0 points across their four 1. Liga games in 2026-27 (74, 88, 67, 55; through 2026-10-11), while MS Academy have conceded 85.0 per game in the same span.
- MS Academy are 0-4 in 2026-27, scoring 72.0 and allowing 85.0 per game (288 for, 340 against); both of their home games this season ended 80-72 and 80-67.
- Opava 2's 14 tracked box scores show weak shooting (49.6% on twos but 26.8% on threes, 61.4% free throws) and 18.9 turnovers per game, while MS Academy sit at 53.1% on twos, 30.7% on threes and 16.9 turnovers.
- The only two meetings, both 2025-26 1. Liga, went to Opava 2 (110-84 at home on 2025-10-17, 78-69 away on 2025-12-21), but those rosters differ from the current ones.
- Rest is not a factor: Opava 2 last played 2026-10-11 (5.1 days) and MS Academy 2026-10-09 (7.0 days).
- MS Academy's J. Jursa (29.7 minutes, 12.7 points) did not appear in the latest box score on 2026-10-09, but there is no confirmation of an absence.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonMS Academy under 19.5Estimated chance60.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.79
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Opava 2 80.3, MS Academy 72.7. MS Academy score fewer than 75.5 points (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Opava 2 have averaged 71.0 points across their four 1. Liga games in 2026-27 (74, 88, 67, 55; through 2026-10-11), while MS Academy have conceded 85.0 per game in the same span.
- MS Academy are 0-4 in 2026-27, scoring 72.0 and allowing 85.0 per game (288 for, 340 against); both of their home games this season ended 80-72 and 80-67.
- Opava 2's 14 tracked box scores show weak shooting (49.6% on twos but 26.8% on threes, 61.4% free throws) and 18.9 turnovers per game, while MS Academy sit at 53.1% on twos, 30.7% on threes and 16.9 turnovers.
- The only two meetings, both 2025-26 1. Liga, went to Opava 2 (110-84 at home on 2025-10-17, 78-69 away on 2025-12-21), but those rosters differ from the current ones.
- Rest is not a factor: Opava 2 last played 2026-10-11 (5.1 days) and MS Academy 2026-10-09 (7.0 days).
- MS Academy's J. Jursa (29.7 minutes, 12.7 points) did not appear in the latest box score on 2026-10-09, but there is no confirmation of an absence.
BetBugs · Team PointslostMS Academy under 75.5Estimated chance59.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Opava 2 80.3, MS Academy 72.7. Opava 2 score more than 78.5 points (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Opava 2 have averaged 71.0 points across their four 1. Liga games in 2026-27 (74, 88, 67, 55; through 2026-10-11), while MS Academy have conceded 85.0 per game in the same span.
- MS Academy are 0-4 in 2026-27, scoring 72.0 and allowing 85.0 per game (288 for, 340 against); both of their home games this season ended 80-72 and 80-67.
- Opava 2's 14 tracked box scores show weak shooting (49.6% on twos but 26.8% on threes, 61.4% free throws) and 18.9 turnovers per game, while MS Academy sit at 53.1% on twos, 30.7% on threes and 16.9 turnovers.
- The only two meetings, both 2025-26 1. Liga, went to Opava 2 (110-84 at home on 2025-10-17, 78-69 away on 2025-12-21), but those rosters differ from the current ones.
- Rest is not a factor: Opava 2 last played 2026-10-11 (5.1 days) and MS Academy 2026-10-09 (7.0 days).
- MS Academy's J. Jursa (29.7 minutes, 12.7 points) did not appear in the latest box score on 2026-10-09, but there is no confirmation of an absence.
BetBugs · Team PointswonOpava 2 over 78.5Estimated chance58.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Opava 2 80.3, MS Academy 72.7. Opava 2 score fewer than 41.5 points in the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Opava 2 have averaged 71.0 points across their four 1. Liga games in 2026-27 (74, 88, 67, 55; through 2026-10-11), while MS Academy have conceded 85.0 per game in the same span.
- MS Academy are 0-4 in 2026-27, scoring 72.0 and allowing 85.0 per game (288 for, 340 against); both of their home games this season ended 80-72 and 80-67.
- Opava 2's 14 tracked box scores show weak shooting (49.6% on twos but 26.8% on threes, 61.4% free throws) and 18.9 turnovers per game, while MS Academy sit at 53.1% on twos, 30.7% on threes and 16.9 turnovers.
- The only two meetings, both 2025-26 1. Liga, went to Opava 2 (110-84 at home on 2025-10-17, 78-69 away on 2025-12-21), but those rosters differ from the current ones.
- Rest is not a factor: Opava 2 last played 2026-10-11 (5.1 days) and MS Academy 2026-10-09 (7.0 days).
- MS Academy's J. Jursa (29.7 minutes, 12.7 points) did not appear in the latest box score on 2026-10-09, but there is no confirmation of an absence.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonOpava 2 under 41.5Estimated chance55.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Opava 2 80.3, MS Academy 72.7. Opava 2 score fewer than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Opava 2 and 15 for MS Academy, across seasons and competitions.
- Opava 2 have averaged 71.0 points across their four 1. Liga games in 2026-27 (74, 88, 67, 55; through 2026-10-11), while MS Academy have conceded 85.0 per game in the same span.
- MS Academy are 0-4 in 2026-27, scoring 72.0 and allowing 85.0 per game (288 for, 340 against); both of their home games this season ended 80-72 and 80-67.
- Opava 2's 14 tracked box scores show weak shooting (49.6% on twos but 26.8% on threes, 61.4% free throws) and 18.9 turnovers per game, while MS Academy sit at 53.1% on twos, 30.7% on threes and 16.9 turnovers.
- The only two meetings, both 2025-26 1. Liga, went to Opava 2 (110-84 at home on 2025-10-17, 78-69 away on 2025-12-21), but those rosters differ from the current ones.
- Rest is not a factor: Opava 2 last played 2026-10-11 (5.1 days) and MS Academy 2026-10-09 (7.0 days).
- MS Academy's J. Jursa (29.7 minutes, 12.7 points) did not appear in the latest box score on 2026-10-09, but there is no confirmation of an absence.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostOpava 2 under 20.5Estimated chance55.9%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 15, 03:57

Selected line

153.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

51%

Chance of 154+ points

4 pp below break-even

Over 1.82 needs 55% to break even. BetBugs sees 51%.

Move the line main 153.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 51%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 50%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W69–78

MS Academyv Opava 2

Opava 2

Dec 21, 2025·1.

W110–84

Opava 2v

MS Academy

Oct 17, 2025·1.

170.5Avg total points

17.5Avg margin

2meetings

League table

1. Liga · 1. Liga - Regular Season · East

#TeamW–LWin %

Opava 2

1–325%

MS Academy

0–40%

Recent Form

Opava 2

4W 11L · last 15

at Svitavy74–85 Oct 111.

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vs Zlin55–67 Sep 181.

vs Polabi111–73 Mar 201.

vs Liberecko55–74 Mar 131.

at Radotin73–110 Mar 81.

at Polabi52–79 Feb 271.

at Liberecko71–83 Feb 201.

vs Radotin53–72 Feb 131.

vs Svitavy79–87 Jan 301.

at Brno U2383–91 Jan 251.

at Zlin66–111 Jan 201.

at Vysoka85–80 Jan 181.

vs Jindrichuv Hradec92–72 Jan 111.

MS Academy

6W 9L · last 15

vs SK Zabovresky72–80 Oct 91.

vs Brno U2367–80 Oct 21.

at Svitavy79–101 Sep 271.

vs Basketbal Olomouc70–79 Sep 181.

at Chomutov91–87 Apr 101.

at USK Prague B79–56 Apr 11.

at Sokol Prazsky98–87 Mar 271.

vs CZ.ACADEMY88–96 Mar 221.

vs USK Prague B77–73 Mar 151.

vs Chomutov112–69 Mar 81.

vs Sokol Prazsky113–87 Mar 11.

at CZ.ACADEMY85–94 Feb 221.

vs Pardubice 266–68 Jan 301.

at Zlin73–103 Jan 231.

vs Svitavy91–102 Jan 181.

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Opava 2

14 games

Stats

0–5

MS Academy

14 games

MS Academy leads in 5 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 0–3

2-point %+3.5pp

49.6%

+3.5pp

53.1%

3-point %+3.9pp

26.8%

+3.9pp

30.7%

Free-throw %+1.7pp

61.4%

+1.7pp

63.1%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s10.5pp apart

26.5%

10.5pp apart

37.0%

Free throws per shot0.8pp apart

32.2%

0.8pp apart

33.0%

Possession· 0–2

Rebounds per game+1.1

36.6

+1.1

37.7

Turnovers per game2.0 fewer

18.9

2.0 fewer

16.9

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.