Pro BFinished

Predictions graded

Nantes83Rouen78

Fri 16 Oct 2026, 18:00 Predictions graded

Predictions19–290%

Points by period: Nantes and Rouen.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Nantes	21	21	18	23
Rouen	21	18	17	22

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Nantes host Rouen with both sides 1-2 and little separating their recent scoring, though Nantes' rebounding edge and last season's two wins point to the home side.

The expected score after 40 minutes is Nantes 82.5, Rouen 77.2. Rouen with a 3.5-point start at 1.76 is no bargain, and no price stands out at our numbers.

Context

Rouen's starting interior Vincent Vent had a stroke on 12 October and no return date has been given, leaving the visitors' frontcourt uncertain, while Nantes return home after a 90-73 loss at Poitiers.

Vincent Vent arrived at Rouen this summer and has been the club's starting interior. He was named Rouen's player of the match for his first-half display in the 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October, and two days later he had a stroke shortly before the squad trained on Monday 12 October. He has since left hospital with no after-effects, but no return date has been given, so his participation at Nantes is unresolved. If he is unavailable, Rouen's frontcourt rotation and rebounding would change, and there is no timetable for a comeback.
- Vincent Vent had a stroke shortly before Rouen trained on Monday 12 October.
- Rouen announced on 14 October that Vent had left hospital without after-effects.
- Vent was named Rouen's player of the match in their 85-78 win over Blois on 9 October.
Nantes went down 90-73 at Poitiers on 9 October after a difficult second half in which the team struggled to impose its game. Dylan Van Eyck's 8 points, 8 rebounds and 13 evaluation was the club's best individual return on the night, while 2007-born Leny Kangudia scored his first points in the league. Nantes now host Rouen and asked their home crowd to help the side find the way back to winning. Their consistency is the main question entering the fixture.
- Nantes lost 90-73 at Poitiers on 9 October.
- Dylan Van Eyck posted 8 points, 8 rebounds and 13 evaluation, the best individual return for Nantes in the game.
- Leny Kangudia scored his first Élite 2 points in the same match.
Rouen opened the league season without a win before beating Blois 85-78 at home on 9 October. The margin was protected late when Rosaire Malonga's three restored a nine-point cushion with about two minutes remaining. The result lifts Rouen before their away trip to Nantes, and the club is scheduled to host La Rochelle on 20 October in a quick turnaround. A single home result says little about their road form, which is the uncertainty attached to this game.
- Rouen beat Blois 85-78 on 9 October, their first win of the season.
- Rosaire Malonga hit a three with two minutes left to restore a nine-point Rouen lead.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result8 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nantes 82.5, Rouen 77.2. Nantes cover +1.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Nantes and 15 for Rouen, across seasons and competitions.
- Nantes are 1-2 in Pro B 2026-27 through 9 October, scoring 74.0 and conceding 77.7 per game (222 for, 233 against in three games).
- Rouen are also 1-2, conceding 90.0 per game (256 for, 270 against), including an 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October and a 97-101 overtime loss to Vichy on 25 September.
- Across each team's last 15 completed games (Pro B and French Cup), the profiles are nearly identical: Nantes 84.5 scored / 79.7 allowed, Rouen 85.3 scored / 80.2 allowed.
- In last season's two Pro B meetings, Nantes won 107-85 at home on 13 February 2026 and 87-79 at Rouen on 14 November 2025.
- In 14 tracked box scores, Nantes out-rebound Rouen 35.7 to 30.5 per game and shoot better inside (56.0% vs 54.6% on twos), while Rouen shoot far better from the line (78.8% vs 69.5%).
- Rouen starting interior Vincent Vent (11.3 points in 20.3 minutes per game, player of the match against Blois on 9 October) had a stroke on 12 October and left hospital without after-effects, but he has no stated return date.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonNantes +1.5Estimated chance66.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nantes 82.5, Rouen 77.2. Nantes win in about 66 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Nantes are 1-2 in Pro B 2026-27 through 9 October, scoring 74.0 and conceding 77.7 per game (222 for, 233 against in three games).
- Rouen are also 1-2, conceding 90.0 per game (256 for, 270 against), including an 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October and a 97-101 overtime loss to Vichy on 25 September.
- Across each team's last 15 completed games (Pro B and French Cup), the profiles are nearly identical: Nantes 84.5 scored / 79.7 allowed, Rouen 85.3 scored / 80.2 allowed.
- In last season's two Pro B meetings, Nantes won 107-85 at home on 13 February 2026 and 87-79 at Rouen on 14 November 2025.
- In 14 tracked box scores, Nantes out-rebound Rouen 35.7 to 30.5 per game and shoot better inside (56.0% vs 54.6% on twos), while Rouen shoot far better from the line (78.8% vs 69.5%).
- Rouen starting interior Vincent Vent (11.3 points in 20.3 minutes per game, player of the match against Blois on 9 October) had a stroke on 12 October and left hospital without after-effects, but he has no stated return date.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonNantesEstimated chance66.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nantes 82.5, Rouen 77.2. Nantes are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Nantes are 1-2 in Pro B 2026-27 through 9 October, scoring 74.0 and conceding 77.7 per game (222 for, 233 against in three games).
- Rouen are also 1-2, conceding 90.0 per game (256 for, 270 against), including an 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October and a 97-101 overtime loss to Vichy on 25 September.
- Across each team's last 15 completed games (Pro B and French Cup), the profiles are nearly identical: Nantes 84.5 scored / 79.7 allowed, Rouen 85.3 scored / 80.2 allowed.
- In last season's two Pro B meetings, Nantes won 107-85 at home on 13 February 2026 and 87-79 at Rouen on 14 November 2025.
- In 14 tracked box scores, Nantes out-rebound Rouen 35.7 to 30.5 per game and shoot better inside (56.0% vs 54.6% on twos), while Rouen shoot far better from the line (78.8% vs 69.5%).
- Rouen starting interior Vincent Vent (11.3 points in 20.3 minutes per game, player of the match against Blois on 9 October) had a stroke on 12 October and left hospital without after-effects, but he has no stated return date.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonNantesEstimated chance64.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nantes 82.5, Rouen 77.2. Nantes are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Nantes are 1-2 in Pro B 2026-27 through 9 October, scoring 74.0 and conceding 77.7 per game (222 for, 233 against in three games).
- Rouen are also 1-2, conceding 90.0 per game (256 for, 270 against), including an 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October and a 97-101 overtime loss to Vichy on 25 September.
- Across each team's last 15 completed games (Pro B and French Cup), the profiles are nearly identical: Nantes 84.5 scored / 79.7 allowed, Rouen 85.3 scored / 80.2 allowed.
- In last season's two Pro B meetings, Nantes won 107-85 at home on 13 February 2026 and 87-79 at Rouen on 14 November 2025.
- In 14 tracked box scores, Nantes out-rebound Rouen 35.7 to 30.5 per game and shoot better inside (56.0% vs 54.6% on twos), while Rouen shoot far better from the line (78.8% vs 69.5%).
- Rouen starting interior Vincent Vent (11.3 points in 20.3 minutes per game, player of the match against Blois on 9 October) had a stroke on 12 October and left hospital without after-effects, but he has no stated return date.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonNantesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nantes 82.5, Rouen 77.2. Nantes cover +0.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Nantes and 15 for Rouen, across seasons and competitions.
- Nantes are 1-2 in Pro B 2026-27 through 9 October, scoring 74.0 and conceding 77.7 per game (222 for, 233 against in three games).
- Rouen are also 1-2, conceding 90.0 per game (256 for, 270 against), including an 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October and a 97-101 overtime loss to Vichy on 25 September.
- Across each team's last 15 completed games (Pro B and French Cup), the profiles are nearly identical: Nantes 84.5 scored / 79.7 allowed, Rouen 85.3 scored / 80.2 allowed.
- In last season's two Pro B meetings, Nantes won 107-85 at home on 13 February 2026 and 87-79 at Rouen on 14 November 2025.
- In 14 tracked box scores, Nantes out-rebound Rouen 35.7 to 30.5 per game and shoot better inside (56.0% vs 54.6% on twos), while Rouen shoot far better from the line (78.8% vs 69.5%).
- Rouen starting interior Vincent Vent (11.3 points in 20.3 minutes per game, player of the match against Blois on 9 October) had a stroke on 12 October and left hospital without after-effects, but he has no stated return date.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonNantes +0.5Estimated chance58.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nantes 82.5, Rouen 77.2. Nantes cover -3.5 (overtime included) in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Nantes are 1-2 in Pro B 2026-27 through 9 October, scoring 74.0 and conceding 77.7 per game (222 for, 233 against in three games).
- Rouen are also 1-2, conceding 90.0 per game (256 for, 270 against), including an 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October and a 97-101 overtime loss to Vichy on 25 September.
- Across each team's last 15 completed games (Pro B and French Cup), the profiles are nearly identical: Nantes 84.5 scored / 79.7 allowed, Rouen 85.3 scored / 80.2 allowed.
- In last season's two Pro B meetings, Nantes won 107-85 at home on 13 February 2026 and 87-79 at Rouen on 14 November 2025.
- In 14 tracked box scores, Nantes out-rebound Rouen 35.7 to 30.5 per game and shoot better inside (56.0% vs 54.6% on twos), while Rouen shoot far better from the line (78.8% vs 69.5%).
- Rouen starting interior Vincent Vent (11.3 points in 20.3 minutes per game, player of the match against Blois on 9 October) had a stroke on 12 October and left hospital without after-effects, but he has no stated return date.
BetBugs · HandicapwonNantes -3.5Estimated chance57.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nantes 82.5, Rouen 77.2. Nantes are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Nantes are 1-2 in Pro B 2026-27 through 9 October, scoring 74.0 and conceding 77.7 per game (222 for, 233 against in three games).
- Rouen are also 1-2, conceding 90.0 per game (256 for, 270 against), including an 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October and a 97-101 overtime loss to Vichy on 25 September.
- Across each team's last 15 completed games (Pro B and French Cup), the profiles are nearly identical: Nantes 84.5 scored / 79.7 allowed, Rouen 85.3 scored / 80.2 allowed.
- In last season's two Pro B meetings, Nantes won 107-85 at home on 13 February 2026 and 87-79 at Rouen on 14 November 2025.
- In 14 tracked box scores, Nantes out-rebound Rouen 35.7 to 30.5 per game and shoot better inside (56.0% vs 54.6% on twos), while Rouen shoot far better from the line (78.8% vs 69.5%).
- Rouen starting interior Vincent Vent (11.3 points in 20.3 minutes per game, player of the match against Blois on 9 October) had a stroke on 12 October and left hospital without after-effects, but he has no stated return date.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonNantesEstimated chance56.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nantes 82.5, Rouen 77.2. Nantes cover -1.5 in the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Nantes are 1-2 in Pro B 2026-27 through 9 October, scoring 74.0 and conceding 77.7 per game (222 for, 233 against in three games).
- Rouen are also 1-2, conceding 90.0 per game (256 for, 270 against), including an 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October and a 97-101 overtime loss to Vichy on 25 September.
- Across each team's last 15 completed games (Pro B and French Cup), the profiles are nearly identical: Nantes 84.5 scored / 79.7 allowed, Rouen 85.3 scored / 80.2 allowed.
- In last season's two Pro B meetings, Nantes won 107-85 at home on 13 February 2026 and 87-79 at Rouen on 14 November 2025.
- In 14 tracked box scores, Nantes out-rebound Rouen 35.7 to 30.5 per game and shoot better inside (56.0% vs 54.6% on twos), while Rouen shoot far better from the line (78.8% vs 69.5%).
- Rouen starting interior Vincent Vent (11.3 points in 20.3 minutes per game, player of the match against Blois on 9 October) had a stroke on 12 October and left hospital without after-effects, but he has no stated return date.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonNantes -1.5Estimated chance55.9%

Points11 of 13 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nantes 82.5, Rouen 77.2. The game has fewer than 169.5 points (overtime included) in about 70 of 100 games like this.
- Nantes are 1-2 in Pro B 2026-27 through 9 October, scoring 74.0 and conceding 77.7 per game (222 for, 233 against in three games).
- Rouen are also 1-2, conceding 90.0 per game (256 for, 270 against), including an 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October and a 97-101 overtime loss to Vichy on 25 September.
- Across each team's last 15 completed games (Pro B and French Cup), the profiles are nearly identical: Nantes 84.5 scored / 79.7 allowed, Rouen 85.3 scored / 80.2 allowed.
- In last season's two Pro B meetings, Nantes won 107-85 at home on 13 February 2026 and 87-79 at Rouen on 14 November 2025.
- In 14 tracked box scores, Nantes out-rebound Rouen 35.7 to 30.5 per game and shoot better inside (56.0% vs 54.6% on twos), while Rouen shoot far better from the line (78.8% vs 69.5%).
- Rouen starting interior Vincent Vent (11.3 points in 20.3 minutes per game, player of the match against Blois on 9 October) had a stroke on 12 October and left hospital without after-effects, but he has no stated return date.
BetBugs · Total PointswonUnder 169.5Estimated chance70.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nantes 82.5, Rouen 77.2. Rouen score fewer than 82.5 points (overtime included) in about 68 of 100 games like this.
- Nantes are 1-2 in Pro B 2026-27 through 9 October, scoring 74.0 and conceding 77.7 per game (222 for, 233 against in three games).
- Rouen are also 1-2, conceding 90.0 per game (256 for, 270 against), including an 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October and a 97-101 overtime loss to Vichy on 25 September.
- Across each team's last 15 completed games (Pro B and French Cup), the profiles are nearly identical: Nantes 84.5 scored / 79.7 allowed, Rouen 85.3 scored / 80.2 allowed.
- In last season's two Pro B meetings, Nantes won 107-85 at home on 13 February 2026 and 87-79 at Rouen on 14 November 2025.
- In 14 tracked box scores, Nantes out-rebound Rouen 35.7 to 30.5 per game and shoot better inside (56.0% vs 54.6% on twos), while Rouen shoot far better from the line (78.8% vs 69.5%).
- Rouen starting interior Vincent Vent (11.3 points in 20.3 minutes per game, player of the match against Blois on 9 October) had a stroke on 12 October and left hospital without after-effects, but he has no stated return date.
BetBugs · Team PointswonRouen under 82.5Estimated chance67.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nantes 82.5, Rouen 77.2. The 1st quarter has fewer than 42.5 points in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Nantes are 1-2 in Pro B 2026-27 through 9 October, scoring 74.0 and conceding 77.7 per game (222 for, 233 against in three games).
- Rouen are also 1-2, conceding 90.0 per game (256 for, 270 against), including an 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October and a 97-101 overtime loss to Vichy on 25 September.
- Across each team's last 15 completed games (Pro B and French Cup), the profiles are nearly identical: Nantes 84.5 scored / 79.7 allowed, Rouen 85.3 scored / 80.2 allowed.
- In last season's two Pro B meetings, Nantes won 107-85 at home on 13 February 2026 and 87-79 at Rouen on 14 November 2025.
- In 14 tracked box scores, Nantes out-rebound Rouen 35.7 to 30.5 per game and shoot better inside (56.0% vs 54.6% on twos), while Rouen shoot far better from the line (78.8% vs 69.5%).
- Rouen starting interior Vincent Vent (11.3 points in 20.3 minutes per game, player of the match against Blois on 9 October) had a stroke on 12 October and left hospital without after-effects, but he has no stated return date.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonUnder 42.5Estimated chance64.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nantes 82.5, Rouen 77.2. Nantes score more than 18.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Nantes and 15 for Rouen, across seasons and competitions.
- Nantes are 1-2 in Pro B 2026-27 through 9 October, scoring 74.0 and conceding 77.7 per game (222 for, 233 against in three games).
- Rouen are also 1-2, conceding 90.0 per game (256 for, 270 against), including an 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October and a 97-101 overtime loss to Vichy on 25 September.
- Across each team's last 15 completed games (Pro B and French Cup), the profiles are nearly identical: Nantes 84.5 scored / 79.7 allowed, Rouen 85.3 scored / 80.2 allowed.
- In last season's two Pro B meetings, Nantes won 107-85 at home on 13 February 2026 and 87-79 at Rouen on 14 November 2025.
- In 14 tracked box scores, Nantes out-rebound Rouen 35.7 to 30.5 per game and shoot better inside (56.0% vs 54.6% on twos), while Rouen shoot far better from the line (78.8% vs 69.5%).
- Rouen starting interior Vincent Vent (11.3 points in 20.3 minutes per game, player of the match against Blois on 9 October) had a stroke on 12 October and left hospital without after-effects, but he has no stated return date.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostNantes over 18.5Estimated chance63.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nantes 82.5, Rouen 77.2. The 2nd quarter has fewer than 42.5 points in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Nantes are 1-2 in Pro B 2026-27 through 9 October, scoring 74.0 and conceding 77.7 per game (222 for, 233 against in three games).
- Rouen are also 1-2, conceding 90.0 per game (256 for, 270 against), including an 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October and a 97-101 overtime loss to Vichy on 25 September.
- Across each team's last 15 completed games (Pro B and French Cup), the profiles are nearly identical: Nantes 84.5 scored / 79.7 allowed, Rouen 85.3 scored / 80.2 allowed.
- In last season's two Pro B meetings, Nantes won 107-85 at home on 13 February 2026 and 87-79 at Rouen on 14 November 2025.
- In 14 tracked box scores, Nantes out-rebound Rouen 35.7 to 30.5 per game and shoot better inside (56.0% vs 54.6% on twos), while Rouen shoot far better from the line (78.8% vs 69.5%).
- Rouen starting interior Vincent Vent (11.3 points in 20.3 minutes per game, player of the match against Blois on 9 October) had a stroke on 12 October and left hospital without after-effects, but he has no stated return date.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 42.5Estimated chance63.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nantes 82.5, Rouen 77.2. Nantes score fewer than 86.5 points (overtime included) in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Nantes are 1-2 in Pro B 2026-27 through 9 October, scoring 74.0 and conceding 77.7 per game (222 for, 233 against in three games).
- Rouen are also 1-2, conceding 90.0 per game (256 for, 270 against), including an 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October and a 97-101 overtime loss to Vichy on 25 September.
- Across each team's last 15 completed games (Pro B and French Cup), the profiles are nearly identical: Nantes 84.5 scored / 79.7 allowed, Rouen 85.3 scored / 80.2 allowed.
- In last season's two Pro B meetings, Nantes won 107-85 at home on 13 February 2026 and 87-79 at Rouen on 14 November 2025.
- In 14 tracked box scores, Nantes out-rebound Rouen 35.7 to 30.5 per game and shoot better inside (56.0% vs 54.6% on twos), while Rouen shoot far better from the line (78.8% vs 69.5%).
- Rouen starting interior Vincent Vent (11.3 points in 20.3 minutes per game, player of the match against Blois on 9 October) had a stroke on 12 October and left hospital without after-effects, but he has no stated return date.
BetBugs · Team PointswonNantes under 86.5Estimated chance62.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nantes 82.5, Rouen 77.2. Rouen score fewer than 40.5 points in the 1st half in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Nantes are 1-2 in Pro B 2026-27 through 9 October, scoring 74.0 and conceding 77.7 per game (222 for, 233 against in three games).
- Rouen are also 1-2, conceding 90.0 per game (256 for, 270 against), including an 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October and a 97-101 overtime loss to Vichy on 25 September.
- Across each team's last 15 completed games (Pro B and French Cup), the profiles are nearly identical: Nantes 84.5 scored / 79.7 allowed, Rouen 85.3 scored / 80.2 allowed.
- In last season's two Pro B meetings, Nantes won 107-85 at home on 13 February 2026 and 87-79 at Rouen on 14 November 2025.
- In 14 tracked box scores, Nantes out-rebound Rouen 35.7 to 30.5 per game and shoot better inside (56.0% vs 54.6% on twos), while Rouen shoot far better from the line (78.8% vs 69.5%).
- Rouen starting interior Vincent Vent (11.3 points in 20.3 minutes per game, player of the match against Blois on 9 October) had a stroke on 12 October and left hospital without after-effects, but he has no stated return date.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonRouen under 40.5Estimated chance60.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nantes 82.5, Rouen 77.2. Rouen score fewer than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Nantes are 1-2 in Pro B 2026-27 through 9 October, scoring 74.0 and conceding 77.7 per game (222 for, 233 against in three games).
- Rouen are also 1-2, conceding 90.0 per game (256 for, 270 against), including an 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October and a 97-101 overtime loss to Vichy on 25 September.
- Across each team's last 15 completed games (Pro B and French Cup), the profiles are nearly identical: Nantes 84.5 scored / 79.7 allowed, Rouen 85.3 scored / 80.2 allowed.
- In last season's two Pro B meetings, Nantes won 107-85 at home on 13 February 2026 and 87-79 at Rouen on 14 November 2025.
- In 14 tracked box scores, Nantes out-rebound Rouen 35.7 to 30.5 per game and shoot better inside (56.0% vs 54.6% on twos), while Rouen shoot far better from the line (78.8% vs 69.5%).
- Rouen starting interior Vincent Vent (11.3 points in 20.3 minutes per game, player of the match against Blois on 9 October) had a stroke on 12 October and left hospital without after-effects, but he has no stated return date.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonRouen under 20.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nantes 82.5, Rouen 77.2. Rouen score fewer than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Nantes and 15 for Rouen, across seasons and competitions.
- Nantes are 1-2 in Pro B 2026-27 through 9 October, scoring 74.0 and conceding 77.7 per game (222 for, 233 against in three games).
- Rouen are also 1-2, conceding 90.0 per game (256 for, 270 against), including an 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October and a 97-101 overtime loss to Vichy on 25 September.
- Across each team's last 15 completed games (Pro B and French Cup), the profiles are nearly identical: Nantes 84.5 scored / 79.7 allowed, Rouen 85.3 scored / 80.2 allowed.
- In last season's two Pro B meetings, Nantes won 107-85 at home on 13 February 2026 and 87-79 at Rouen on 14 November 2025.
- In 14 tracked box scores, Nantes out-rebound Rouen 35.7 to 30.5 per game and shoot better inside (56.0% vs 54.6% on twos), while Rouen shoot far better from the line (78.8% vs 69.5%).
- Rouen starting interior Vincent Vent (11.3 points in 20.3 minutes per game, player of the match against Blois on 9 October) had a stroke on 12 October and left hospital without after-effects, but he has no stated return date.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonRouen under 20.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nantes 82.5, Rouen 77.2. The 1st half has fewer than 82.5 points in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Nantes are 1-2 in Pro B 2026-27 through 9 October, scoring 74.0 and conceding 77.7 per game (222 for, 233 against in three games).
- Rouen are also 1-2, conceding 90.0 per game (256 for, 270 against), including an 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October and a 97-101 overtime loss to Vichy on 25 September.
- Across each team's last 15 completed games (Pro B and French Cup), the profiles are nearly identical: Nantes 84.5 scored / 79.7 allowed, Rouen 85.3 scored / 80.2 allowed.
- In last season's two Pro B meetings, Nantes won 107-85 at home on 13 February 2026 and 87-79 at Rouen on 14 November 2025.
- In 14 tracked box scores, Nantes out-rebound Rouen 35.7 to 30.5 per game and shoot better inside (56.0% vs 54.6% on twos), while Rouen shoot far better from the line (78.8% vs 69.5%).
- Rouen starting interior Vincent Vent (11.3 points in 20.3 minutes per game, player of the match against Blois on 9 October) had a stroke on 12 October and left hospital without after-effects, but he has no stated return date.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonUnder 82.5Estimated chance59.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nantes 82.5, Rouen 77.2. Rouen score fewer than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Nantes are 1-2 in Pro B 2026-27 through 9 October, scoring 74.0 and conceding 77.7 per game (222 for, 233 against in three games).
- Rouen are also 1-2, conceding 90.0 per game (256 for, 270 against), including an 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October and a 97-101 overtime loss to Vichy on 25 September.
- Across each team's last 15 completed games (Pro B and French Cup), the profiles are nearly identical: Nantes 84.5 scored / 79.7 allowed, Rouen 85.3 scored / 80.2 allowed.
- In last season's two Pro B meetings, Nantes won 107-85 at home on 13 February 2026 and 87-79 at Rouen on 14 November 2025.
- In 14 tracked box scores, Nantes out-rebound Rouen 35.7 to 30.5 per game and shoot better inside (56.0% vs 54.6% on twos), while Rouen shoot far better from the line (78.8% vs 69.5%).
- Rouen starting interior Vincent Vent (11.3 points in 20.3 minutes per game, player of the match against Blois on 9 October) had a stroke on 12 October and left hospital without after-effects, but he has no stated return date.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostRouen under 20.5Estimated chance59.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nantes 82.5, Rouen 77.2. Nantes score fewer than 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Nantes are 1-2 in Pro B 2026-27 through 9 October, scoring 74.0 and conceding 77.7 per game (222 for, 233 against in three games).
- Rouen are also 1-2, conceding 90.0 per game (256 for, 270 against), including an 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October and a 97-101 overtime loss to Vichy on 25 September.
- Across each team's last 15 completed games (Pro B and French Cup), the profiles are nearly identical: Nantes 84.5 scored / 79.7 allowed, Rouen 85.3 scored / 80.2 allowed.
- In last season's two Pro B meetings, Nantes won 107-85 at home on 13 February 2026 and 87-79 at Rouen on 14 November 2025.
- In 14 tracked box scores, Nantes out-rebound Rouen 35.7 to 30.5 per game and shoot better inside (56.0% vs 54.6% on twos), while Rouen shoot far better from the line (78.8% vs 69.5%).
- Rouen starting interior Vincent Vent (11.3 points in 20.3 minutes per game, player of the match against Blois on 9 October) had a stroke on 12 October and left hospital without after-effects, but he has no stated return date.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonNantes under 21.5Estimated chance57.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nantes 82.5, Rouen 77.2. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 40.5 points in about 55 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Nantes and 15 for Rouen, across seasons and competitions.
- Nantes are 1-2 in Pro B 2026-27 through 9 October, scoring 74.0 and conceding 77.7 per game (222 for, 233 against in three games).
- Rouen are also 1-2, conceding 90.0 per game (256 for, 270 against), including an 85-78 home win over Blois on 9 October and a 97-101 overtime loss to Vichy on 25 September.
- Across each team's last 15 completed games (Pro B and French Cup), the profiles are nearly identical: Nantes 84.5 scored / 79.7 allowed, Rouen 85.3 scored / 80.2 allowed.
- In last season's two Pro B meetings, Nantes won 107-85 at home on 13 February 2026 and 87-79 at Rouen on 14 November 2025.
- In 14 tracked box scores, Nantes out-rebound Rouen 35.7 to 30.5 per game and shoot better inside (56.0% vs 54.6% on twos), while Rouen shoot far better from the line (78.8% vs 69.5%).
- Rouen starting interior Vincent Vent (11.3 points in 20.3 minutes per game, player of the match against Blois on 9 October) had a stroke on 12 October and left hospital without after-effects, but he has no stated return date.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 40.5Estimated chance55.4%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 15, 03:57

Selected line

169.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

30%

Chance of 170+ points

27 pp below break-even

Over 1.76 needs 57% to break even. BetBugs sees 30%.

Move the line main 169.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 30%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 70%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W107–85

Nantesv

Rouen

Feb 13, 2026·PRO

W79–87

Rouenv

Nantes

Nov 14, 2025·PRO

W87–83

Nantesv

Rouen

Feb 7, 2025·PRO

L101–66

Rouenv

Nantes

Nov 15, 2024·PRO

L92–88

Rouenv

Nantes

Mar 1, 2024·PROOT

W89–71

Nantesv

Rouen

Dec 15, 2023·PRO

L110–74

Rouenv

Nantes

Apr 15, 2022·PRO

W91–63

Nantesv

Rouen

Nov 9, 2021·PRO

W85–69

Nantesv

Rouen

Jun 8, 2021·PRO

W76–90

Rouenv

Nantes

May 11, 2021·PRO

169.3Avg total points

18.5Avg margin

10meetings

League table

Pro B · Elite 2 - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Nantes

1–233%

Rouen

1–233%

Recent Form

Nantes

9W 6L · last 15

at Poitiers73–90 Oct 9PRO

vs Quimper76–62 Oct 2PRO

at Antibes73–81 Sep 26PRO

at Angers82–84 Sep 15FRE

at Poitiers75–85 Jun 9PRO

vs Poitiers79–88 OTJun 6PRO

at Poitiers83–80 OTJun 3PRO

at Ada Blois88–68 May 31PRO

vs Ada Blois81–84 May 27PRO

at Ada Blois83–73 May 24PRO

vs La Rochelle107–89 May 19PRO

at Vichy82–75 May 15PRO

vs Antibes108–81 May 8PRO

vs St. Chamond88–70 May 1PRO

at Evreux89–85 Apr 24PRO

Rouen

9W 6L · last 15

vs Ada Blois85–78 Oct 9PRO

at Orleans74–91 Oct 3PRO

vs Vichy97–101 OTSep 25PRO

at Le Havre73–74 Sep 15FRE

vs Challans98–77 May 15PRO

at Orleans84–72 May 9PRO

at Denain-Voltaire93–78 Apr 30PRO

vs Ada Blois84–67 Apr 28PRO

vs Poitiers88–90 Apr 24PRO

at ASA79–76 Apr 21PRO

at Evreux76–78 Apr 10PRO

at La Rochelle83–80 Apr 7PRO

vs Antibes90–82 Apr 3PRO

vs Quimper90–69 Mar 27PRO

at Hyeres-Toulon85–90 Mar 20PRO

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Nantes

14 games

Stats

3–2

Rouen

14 games

Nantes leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–1

2-point %+1.4pp

56.0%

+1.4pp

54.6%

3-point %+1.4pp

31.4%

+1.4pp

30.0%

Free-throw %+9.3pp

69.5%

+9.3pp

78.8%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s1.2pp apart

26.6%

1.2pp apart

25.4%

Free throws per shot1.3pp apart

41.2%

1.3pp apart

42.5%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+5.2

35.7

+5.2

30.5

Turnovers per game0.7 fewer

13.6

0.7 fewer

12.9

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.