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Predictions graded

Legia73Anwil Wloclawek72

Fri 16 Oct 2026, 18:15 Predictions graded

Predictions7–370%

Points by period: Legia and Anwil Wloclawek.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Legia	19	27	11	16
Anwil Wloclawek	14	23	12	23

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Legia, the defending Polish champions, host an Anwil side that is 2-0 in the Energa Basket Liga but has won both games by a single point.

The expected score after 40 minutes is Legia 86.1, Anwil 82.7, leaving Legia the likelier winners with overtime included. No price stands out at our numbers; Legia's team total under 85.5 points at 1.76 is one to leave alone.

Context

Both teams have played only two league games this season. Anwil's wins came by one point each, and Legia have conceded 100 or more twice in their last three games across the league and the Champions League, so the game looks tight rather than settled.

Anwil wanted to move on from a difficult previous season and changed course on and off the floor, naming a new president and rebuilding the squad. Vedran Bosnić took charge as head coach and led the pre-season and the opening league games, with the roster reshaped around Emmanuel Lecomte, Sam Hines and Szymon Wójcik. The early results were positive, two narrow league wins, but how settled his rotation is for the Legia trip is not established.
- Anwil went into the 2026-27 season with a new president and a reshaped roster that brought in Emmanuel Lecomte, Sam Hines and Szymon Wójcik.
- Vedran Bosnić took the head-coach role and fronted the club's pre-season review as well as its first league build-up.
Anwil have started the league 2-0, but both wins were one-point finishes, first 88-87 over Górnik Wałbrzych and then 79-78 over Czarni Słupsk. Emmanuel Lecomte, Hans Vanwijn and Lennard Freeman carried the scoring and rebounding load in the second win, while Czarni's Dominic Green missed a late chance to steal it. The narrow margins point to a competitive side whose results can swing on single possessions when they visit Legia.
- Anwil beat Górnik Wałbrzych 88-87 at home on 5 October in their league opener.
- Górnik won the rebounding battle and shot better from three-point range but still lost in Włocławek.
- Anwil edged Czarni Słupsk 79-78 on 11 October, with Emmanuel Lecomte posting 14 points and 11 assists, Hans Vanwijn 14 points and 11 rebounds and Lennard Freeman 13 points and 11 rebounds.
- Czarni's Dominic Green scored 18 points and missed a late attempt that would have decided the game.
Legia began 2026-27 as defending Polish champions, beat Zastal Zielona Góra 110-96 to take the Super Cup on 27 September and edged Czarni Słupsk in their league opener on 2 October. Their Basketball Champions League campaign then opened with a 100-62 defeat at Strasbourg on 6 October, exposing a gap against continental opposition. Whether that heavy loss carries into their home league form against Anwil is the key question.
- Legia won the Polish Super Cup on 27 September by beating Zastal Zielona Góra 110-96.
- Legia opened the league with a narrow win over Czarni Słupsk on 2 October.
- Legia were beaten 100-62 at Strasbourg in the Basketball Champions League on 6 October.
Anwil's backcourt was short early in the campaign, so sports director Leo De Rycke returned to the market and signed 33-year-old combo guard Deon Edwin, who had been playing in Hungary. The club presented the move as cover for its fitness problems on the perimeter. Edwin adds another option to the rotation, but how much he features against Legia is not established.
- Anwil signed 33-year-old combo guard Deon Edwin, who had been playing in the Hungarian league.
- The signing came after fitness problems in the squad, with sports director Leo De Rycke seeking another perimeter option.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result5 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Legia 86.1, Anwil Wloclawek 82.7. Legia cover +3.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 73 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Legia and 15 for Anwil Wloclawek, across seasons and competitions.
- Legia have conceded 100+ twice in their last three games: 104 at Zielona Gora in the league (9 Oct) and 100 at Strasbourg in the Champions League (6 Oct).
- Anwil are 2-0 in the Energa Basket Liga but both wins came by one point: 88-87 at home over Gornik Walbrzych (5 Oct, overtime, so regulation scoring was lower) and 79-78 at home over Czarni Slupsk (11 Oct).
- Anwil scored 79 in regulation in each of their two league games (5 and 11 Oct); their 97-point game came in the ENBL against Donar Groningen (24 Sept).
- Legia scored 110 and 93 at home in the Super Cup against Zielona Gora and Trefl Sopot (27 and 26 Sept), and opened the league with 79 at Czarni Slupsk (2 Oct).
- In the last three home meetings with Anwil, Legia scored 80 (Nov 2025), 101 (June 2025) and 96 (Apr 2024), winning each.
- Pooled 15-game box scores show near-identical rebounding (Legia 34.3, Anwil 33.9 per game) and turnovers (Legia 11.9, Anwil 12.5), with Anwil the better two-point and free-throw shooting side (56.3% vs 54.8% on twos, 71.9% vs 67.1% at the line).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonLegia +3.5Estimated chance73.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Legia 86.1, Anwil Wloclawek 82.7. Legia cover +2.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Legia and 15 for Anwil Wloclawek, across seasons and competitions.
- Legia have conceded 100+ twice in their last three games: 104 at Zielona Gora in the league (9 Oct) and 100 at Strasbourg in the Champions League (6 Oct).
- Anwil are 2-0 in the Energa Basket Liga but both wins came by one point: 88-87 at home over Gornik Walbrzych (5 Oct, overtime, so regulation scoring was lower) and 79-78 at home over Czarni Slupsk (11 Oct).
- Anwil scored 79 in regulation in each of their two league games (5 and 11 Oct); their 97-point game came in the ENBL against Donar Groningen (24 Sept).
- Legia scored 110 and 93 at home in the Super Cup against Zielona Gora and Trefl Sopot (27 and 26 Sept), and opened the league with 79 at Czarni Slupsk (2 Oct).
- In the last three home meetings with Anwil, Legia scored 80 (Nov 2025), 101 (June 2025) and 96 (Apr 2024), winning each.
- Pooled 15-game box scores show near-identical rebounding (Legia 34.3, Anwil 33.9 per game) and turnovers (Legia 11.9, Anwil 12.5), with Anwil the better two-point and free-throw shooting side (56.3% vs 54.8% on twos, 71.9% vs 67.1% at the line).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonLegia +2.5Estimated chance67.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Legia 86.1, Anwil Wloclawek 82.7. Legia win in about 61 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Legia have conceded 100+ twice in their last three games: 104 at Zielona Gora in the league (9 Oct) and 100 at Strasbourg in the Champions League (6 Oct).
- Anwil are 2-0 in the Energa Basket Liga but both wins came by one point: 88-87 at home over Gornik Walbrzych (5 Oct, overtime, so regulation scoring was lower) and 79-78 at home over Czarni Slupsk (11 Oct).
- Anwil scored 79 in regulation in each of their two league games (5 and 11 Oct); their 97-point game came in the ENBL against Donar Groningen (24 Sept).
- Legia scored 110 and 93 at home in the Super Cup against Zielona Gora and Trefl Sopot (27 and 26 Sept), and opened the league with 79 at Czarni Slupsk (2 Oct).
- In the last three home meetings with Anwil, Legia scored 80 (Nov 2025), 101 (June 2025) and 96 (Apr 2024), winning each.
- Pooled 15-game box scores show near-identical rebounding (Legia 34.3, Anwil 33.9 per game) and turnovers (Legia 11.9, Anwil 12.5), with Anwil the better two-point and free-throw shooting side (56.3% vs 54.8% on twos, 71.9% vs 67.1% at the line).
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonLegiaEstimated chance60.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Legia 86.1, Anwil Wloclawek 82.7. Legia are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Legia have conceded 100+ twice in their last three games: 104 at Zielona Gora in the league (9 Oct) and 100 at Strasbourg in the Champions League (6 Oct).
- Anwil are 2-0 in the Energa Basket Liga but both wins came by one point: 88-87 at home over Gornik Walbrzych (5 Oct, overtime, so regulation scoring was lower) and 79-78 at home over Czarni Slupsk (11 Oct).
- Anwil scored 79 in regulation in each of their two league games (5 and 11 Oct); their 97-point game came in the ENBL against Donar Groningen (24 Sept).
- Legia scored 110 and 93 at home in the Super Cup against Zielona Gora and Trefl Sopot (27 and 26 Sept), and opened the league with 79 at Czarni Slupsk (2 Oct).
- In the last three home meetings with Anwil, Legia scored 80 (Nov 2025), 101 (June 2025) and 96 (Apr 2024), winning each.
- Pooled 15-game box scores show near-identical rebounding (Legia 34.3, Anwil 33.9 per game) and turnovers (Legia 11.9, Anwil 12.5), with Anwil the better two-point and free-throw shooting side (56.3% vs 54.8% on twos, 71.9% vs 67.1% at the line).
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonLegiaEstimated chance58.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Legia 86.1, Anwil Wloclawek 82.7. Legia are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Legia have conceded 100+ twice in their last three games: 104 at Zielona Gora in the league (9 Oct) and 100 at Strasbourg in the Champions League (6 Oct).
- Anwil are 2-0 in the Energa Basket Liga but both wins came by one point: 88-87 at home over Gornik Walbrzych (5 Oct, overtime, so regulation scoring was lower) and 79-78 at home over Czarni Slupsk (11 Oct).
- Anwil scored 79 in regulation in each of their two league games (5 and 11 Oct); their 97-point game came in the ENBL against Donar Groningen (24 Sept).
- Legia scored 110 and 93 at home in the Super Cup against Zielona Gora and Trefl Sopot (27 and 26 Sept), and opened the league with 79 at Czarni Slupsk (2 Oct).
- In the last three home meetings with Anwil, Legia scored 80 (Nov 2025), 101 (June 2025) and 96 (Apr 2024), winning each.
- Pooled 15-game box scores show near-identical rebounding (Legia 34.3, Anwil 33.9 per game) and turnovers (Legia 11.9, Anwil 12.5), with Anwil the better two-point and free-throw shooting side (56.3% vs 54.8% on twos, 71.9% vs 67.1% at the line).
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonLegiaEstimated chance55.7%

Points2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Legia 86.1, Anwil Wloclawek 82.7. Anwil Wloclawek score fewer than 22.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Legia and 15 for Anwil Wloclawek, across seasons and competitions.
- Legia have conceded 100+ twice in their last three games: 104 at Zielona Gora in the league (9 Oct) and 100 at Strasbourg in the Champions League (6 Oct).
- Anwil are 2-0 in the Energa Basket Liga but both wins came by one point: 88-87 at home over Gornik Walbrzych (5 Oct, overtime, so regulation scoring was lower) and 79-78 at home over Czarni Slupsk (11 Oct).
- Anwil scored 79 in regulation in each of their two league games (5 and 11 Oct); their 97-point game came in the ENBL against Donar Groningen (24 Sept).
- Legia scored 110 and 93 at home in the Super Cup against Zielona Gora and Trefl Sopot (27 and 26 Sept), and opened the league with 79 at Czarni Slupsk (2 Oct).
- In the last three home meetings with Anwil, Legia scored 80 (Nov 2025), 101 (June 2025) and 96 (Apr 2024), winning each.
- Pooled 15-game box scores show near-identical rebounding (Legia 34.3, Anwil 33.9 per game) and turnovers (Legia 11.9, Anwil 12.5), with Anwil the better two-point and free-throw shooting side (56.3% vs 54.8% on twos, 71.9% vs 67.1% at the line).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonAnwil Wloclawek under 22.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Legia 86.1, Anwil Wloclawek 82.7. The game has more than 165.5 points (overtime included) in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Legia have conceded 100+ twice in their last three games: 104 at Zielona Gora in the league (9 Oct) and 100 at Strasbourg in the Champions League (6 Oct).
- Anwil are 2-0 in the Energa Basket Liga but both wins came by one point: 88-87 at home over Gornik Walbrzych (5 Oct, overtime, so regulation scoring was lower) and 79-78 at home over Czarni Slupsk (11 Oct).
- Anwil scored 79 in regulation in each of their two league games (5 and 11 Oct); their 97-point game came in the ENBL against Donar Groningen (24 Sept).
- Legia scored 110 and 93 at home in the Super Cup against Zielona Gora and Trefl Sopot (27 and 26 Sept), and opened the league with 79 at Czarni Slupsk (2 Oct).
- In the last three home meetings with Anwil, Legia scored 80 (Nov 2025), 101 (June 2025) and 96 (Apr 2024), winning each.
- Pooled 15-game box scores show near-identical rebounding (Legia 34.3, Anwil 33.9 per game) and turnovers (Legia 11.9, Anwil 12.5), with Anwil the better two-point and free-throw shooting side (56.3% vs 54.8% on twos, 71.9% vs 67.1% at the line).
BetBugs · Total PointslostOver 165.5Estimated chance59.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Legia 86.1, Anwil Wloclawek 82.7. Anwil Wloclawek score more than 80.5 points (overtime included) in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Legia have conceded 100+ twice in their last three games: 104 at Zielona Gora in the league (9 Oct) and 100 at Strasbourg in the Champions League (6 Oct).
- Anwil are 2-0 in the Energa Basket Liga but both wins came by one point: 88-87 at home over Gornik Walbrzych (5 Oct, overtime, so regulation scoring was lower) and 79-78 at home over Czarni Slupsk (11 Oct).
- Anwil scored 79 in regulation in each of their two league games (5 and 11 Oct); their 97-point game came in the ENBL against Donar Groningen (24 Sept).
- Legia scored 110 and 93 at home in the Super Cup against Zielona Gora and Trefl Sopot (27 and 26 Sept), and opened the league with 79 at Czarni Slupsk (2 Oct).
- In the last three home meetings with Anwil, Legia scored 80 (Nov 2025), 101 (June 2025) and 96 (Apr 2024), winning each.
- Pooled 15-game box scores show near-identical rebounding (Legia 34.3, Anwil 33.9 per game) and turnovers (Legia 11.9, Anwil 12.5), with Anwil the better two-point and free-throw shooting side (56.3% vs 54.8% on twos, 71.9% vs 67.1% at the line).
BetBugs · Team PointslostAnwil Wloclawek over 80.5Estimated chance59.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Legia 86.1, Anwil Wloclawek 82.7. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 43.5 points in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Legia and 15 for Anwil Wloclawek, across seasons and competitions.
- Legia have conceded 100+ twice in their last three games: 104 at Zielona Gora in the league (9 Oct) and 100 at Strasbourg in the Champions League (6 Oct).
- Anwil are 2-0 in the Energa Basket Liga but both wins came by one point: 88-87 at home over Gornik Walbrzych (5 Oct, overtime, so regulation scoring was lower) and 79-78 at home over Czarni Slupsk (11 Oct).
- Anwil scored 79 in regulation in each of their two league games (5 and 11 Oct); their 97-point game came in the ENBL against Donar Groningen (24 Sept).
- Legia scored 110 and 93 at home in the Super Cup against Zielona Gora and Trefl Sopot (27 and 26 Sept), and opened the league with 79 at Czarni Slupsk (2 Oct).
- In the last three home meetings with Anwil, Legia scored 80 (Nov 2025), 101 (June 2025) and 96 (Apr 2024), winning each.
- Pooled 15-game box scores show near-identical rebounding (Legia 34.3, Anwil 33.9 per game) and turnovers (Legia 11.9, Anwil 12.5), with Anwil the better two-point and free-throw shooting side (56.3% vs 54.8% on twos, 71.9% vs 67.1% at the line).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 43.5Estimated chance59.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Legia 86.1, Anwil Wloclawek 82.7. Legia score more than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Legia and 15 for Anwil Wloclawek, across seasons and competitions.
- Legia have conceded 100+ twice in their last three games: 104 at Zielona Gora in the league (9 Oct) and 100 at Strasbourg in the Champions League (6 Oct).
- Anwil are 2-0 in the Energa Basket Liga but both wins came by one point: 88-87 at home over Gornik Walbrzych (5 Oct, overtime, so regulation scoring was lower) and 79-78 at home over Czarni Slupsk (11 Oct).
- Anwil scored 79 in regulation in each of their two league games (5 and 11 Oct); their 97-point game came in the ENBL against Donar Groningen (24 Sept).
- Legia scored 110 and 93 at home in the Super Cup against Zielona Gora and Trefl Sopot (27 and 26 Sept), and opened the league with 79 at Czarni Slupsk (2 Oct).
- In the last three home meetings with Anwil, Legia scored 80 (Nov 2025), 101 (June 2025) and 96 (Apr 2024), winning each.
- Pooled 15-game box scores show near-identical rebounding (Legia 34.3, Anwil 33.9 per game) and turnovers (Legia 11.9, Anwil 12.5), with Anwil the better two-point and free-throw shooting side (56.3% vs 54.8% on twos, 71.9% vs 67.1% at the line).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostLegia over 20.5Estimated chance55.7%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 15, 03:57

Selected line

165.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

60%

Chance of 166+ points

+3 pp above break-even

Over 1.75 needs 57% to break even. BetBugs sees 60%.

Move the line main 165.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 60%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 40%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W83–91

Anwil Wloclawekv Legia

Legia

Mar 7, 2026·ENE

W80–75

Legiav

Anwil Wloclawek

Nov 1, 2025·ENE

W101–80

Legiav

Anwil Wloclawek

Jun 2, 2025·ENE

W83–89

Anwil Wloclawekv Legia

Legia

May 29, 2025·ENE

W76–78

Anwil Wloclawekv Legia

Legia

May 27, 2025·ENE

W77–85

Anwil Wloclawekv Legia

Legia

Mar 29, 2025·ENE

L86–94

Legiav

Anwil Wloclawek

Nov 30, 2024·ENEOT

W96–87

Legiav

Anwil Wloclawek

Apr 20, 2024·ENE

W74–76

Anwil Wloclawekv Legia

Legia

Dec 26, 2023·ENE

W91–97

Anwil Wloclawekv Legia

Legia

Feb 5, 2023·ENE

169.9Avg total points

7.5Avg margin

10meetings

League table

Energa Basket Liga · Basket Liga - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Legia

1–150%

Anwil Wloclawek

2–0100%

Recent Form

Legia

10W 5L · last 15

at Zielona Gora87–104 Oct 9ENE

at Strasbourg62–100 Oct 6CL

at Czarni Slupsk79–76 Oct 2ENE

vs Zielona Gora110–96 Sep 27SUP

vs Trefl Sopot93–89 Sep 26SUP

vs Zielona Gora78–70 Jun 21ENE

at Zielona Gora74–76 Jun 19ENE

vs Zielona Gora84–80 Jun 17ENE

at Zielona Gora73–85 Jun 15ENE

at Zielona Gora79–63 Jun 13ENE

vs Zielona Gora104–82 Jun 10ENE

vs Zielona Gora74–77 Jun 8ENE

at Dziki Warszawa91–78 Jun 1ENE

vs Dziki Warszawa78–76 May 29ENE

vs Dziki Warszawa98–80 May 27ENE

Anwil Wloclawek

9W 6L · last 15

vs Czarni Slupsk79–78 Oct 11ENE

vs Gornik Walbrzych88–87 OTOct 5ENE

vs Donar Groningen97–81 Sep 24ENB

vs Dabrowa Gornicza84–87 May 10ENE

vs Zielona Gora71–86 May 8ENE

vs Trefl Sopot94–79 May 6ENE

at Dziki Warszawa73–78 Apr 30ENE

vs Slask Wroclaw96–83 Apr 25ENE

vs Zielona Gora79–70 Apr 19ENE

at Krosno101–87 Apr 11ENE

vs Ostrow Wielkopolski90–81 Apr 6ENE

at Czarni Slupsk68–57 Mar 28ENE

vs Torun87–98 Mar 22ENE

at Lublin91–97 Mar 14ENE

vs Legia83–91 Mar 7ENE

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Legia

Stats

3–2

Anwil Wloclawek

Legia leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+1.5pp

54.8%

+1.5pp

56.3%

3-point %+2.7pp

35.9%

+2.7pp

33.2%

Free-throw %+4.8pp

67.1%

+4.8pp

71.9%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s1.8pp apart

32.5%

1.8pp apart

30.7%

Free throws per shot3.5pp apart

40.2%

3.5pp apart

36.7%

Possession· 2–0

Rebounds per game+0.4

34.3

+0.4

33.9

Turnovers per game0.6 fewer

11.9

0.6 fewer

12.5

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.