KorisliigaFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Kouvot Kouvola95Kataja76

Fri 16 Oct 2026, 15:30 Predictions graded

Predictions5–1033%

Edges0–10%

Points by period: Kouvot Kouvola and Kataja.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Kouvot Kouvola	23	27	19	26
Kataja	15	23	24	14

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Kataja visit a Kouvot side still without a league win, and the 40-minute read has Kataja ahead 90.2 to 82.5.

Kouvot's home games have been tighter and the clubs' recent meetings high-scoring, so it is no formality. The one quoted price that offers value is under 44.5 combined points in the second quarter at 1.88; over 175.5 combined points at 1.76 is worth leaving.

Context

Kouvot are 0-4 and concede 89.0 points a game through 14 October, while Kataja are 2-2 and have averaged around 18 offensive rebounds across their first four league games, the most concrete on-court edge in the brief. No availability change is established for either squad.

Kouvot have not won in the Korisliiga this season. They lost at home to Kipinä Basket on 6 October and, in a midday game at Luhta Areena on 14 October, were beaten 91-83 by Lahti Basketball in front of 1,850 spectators. A home meeting with Kataja is a chance to end the wait for a first win, but the visitors arrive with a 2-2 record and a strong offensive-rebounding start. Kouvot's ability to protect their own basket and rebound defensively will shape whether they can turn the game into a first victory.
- Lahti Basketball beat Kouvot 91-83 on 14 October in front of 1,850 spectators at Luhta Areena.
- Kipinä Basket won in Kouvola on 6 October, their second consecutive victory.
Kataja opened the season with wins over Seagulls and Bisons Loimaa, then lost at Lahti Basketball 91-85 on 7 October and at home to Tapiolan Honka on 10 October. Against Honka the defence struggled and the head coach pointed to specific areas to address in training. The two defeats have left Kataja at 2-2 and raised questions about their defensive consistency. They visit a Kouvot side still searching for a first league win, giving Kataja a chance to stop the slide and rebuild momentum.
- Kataja won their opening league game at home to Seagulls on 29 September and then won at Bisons Loimaa on 3 October.
- Lahti Basketball beat Kataja 91-85 on 7 October.
- Tapiolan Honka won at Motonet Areena on 10 October after Kataja's defence struggled in a high-scoring game.
Josiah Harris, a rookie big man, has started at centre in Kataja's recent league games and scored 19 points with five rebounds by half-time of the season opener. Kataja have leaned on him early, using an inside presence alongside guards Stevie Strong, Joonas Timonen and Topias Palmi. Kouvot's frontcourt must limit his touches and second-chance work; if Harris is contained, Kataja will need more from their perimeter players. His role remains central while Kataja's rotation stays as it is.
- Josiah Harris had 19 points and five rebounds by half-time of Kataja's opening league win over Seagulls on 29 September.
- Harris has started at centre for Kataja in their league games against Bisons Loimaa, Lahti and Tapiolan Honka.
Kouvot announced on 11 October that Brandon Stroud is returning to Kouvola, describing him as a reinforcement familiar from last season. The move was presented as a boost for a club trying to climb away from relegation trouble. The announcement welcomed him back to Kouvola and the club's B team, so it is not yet clear whether he will be part of the Korisliiga rotation immediately. If he is available, he gives Kouvot another known option for the visit of Kataja.
- Kouvot announced on 11 October that Brandon Stroud is returning to the club.
- The announcement welcomed him back to Kouvola and the club's B team.
- The move was presented as a boost for a side trying to avoid relegation.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

2nd Quarter Total PointslostUncertainty band: Slight lean

Under 44.5

1.88fair 1.77

Market 53.2% · BetBugs 56.4%

+3.2ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Kouvot Kouvola 82.5, Kataja 90.2. The 2nd quarter has fewer than 44.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this. Kataja have the stronger and deeper scoring group (Strong 22.5, Harris 19.3, Springs 14.8 points a game) and an offensive-rebounding edge, while Kouvot are winless and allow 89 points a game; Kouvot's home games have produced 74-80 points, so a low-80s home score against a leakier Kataja defence is fair.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Kouvot Kouvola 82.5, Kataja 90.2. Kataja win in about 73 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Kouvot are 0-4 in Korisliiga 2026-27, scoring 328 and conceding 356 (82.0 for / 89.0 against per game) through 4 games to 14 October.
- Kataja are 2-2, scoring 372 and conceding 353 (93.0 for / 88.3 against per game) through 4 games to 10 October, including a 108-99 home loss to Honka.
- In two home games this season Kouvot scored 80 (6 Oct vs Kipinä) and 74 (30 Sep vs Karhu), while in two away games Kataja scored 85 (7 Oct at Lahti) and 86 (3 Oct at Bisons).
- Over 15 tracked games each, Kouvot shoot 50.2% on two-pointers and 32.0% on threes with 35.0 rebounds and 12.5 turnovers a game; Kataja shoot 49.0% / 31.8% with 36.1 rebounds and 11.7 turnovers.
- Kataja's most recent meetings with Kouvot were high-scoring: 112-88 on 10 March 2026 and 108-90 on 9 December 2025, both Kataja wins in Korisliiga.
- Kataja average 18 offensive rebounds a game across their first four league games (to 10 October), a source of extra possessions against a Kouvot side conceding 89 a game.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostKatajaEstimated chance72.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Kouvot Kouvola 82.5, Kataja 90.2. Kataja are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 71 of 100 games like this.
- Kouvot are 0-4 in Korisliiga 2026-27, scoring 328 and conceding 356 (82.0 for / 89.0 against per game) through 4 games to 14 October.
- Kataja are 2-2, scoring 372 and conceding 353 (93.0 for / 88.3 against per game) through 4 games to 10 October, including a 108-99 home loss to Honka.
- In two home games this season Kouvot scored 80 (6 Oct vs Kipinä) and 74 (30 Sep vs Karhu), while in two away games Kataja scored 85 (7 Oct at Lahti) and 86 (3 Oct at Bisons).
- Over 15 tracked games each, Kouvot shoot 50.2% on two-pointers and 32.0% on threes with 35.0 rebounds and 12.5 turnovers a game; Kataja shoot 49.0% / 31.8% with 36.1 rebounds and 11.7 turnovers.
- Kataja's most recent meetings with Kouvot were high-scoring: 112-88 on 10 March 2026 and 108-90 on 9 December 2025, both Kataja wins in Korisliiga.
- Kataja average 18 offensive rebounds a game across their first four league games (to 10 October), a source of extra possessions against a Kouvot side conceding 89 a game.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minlostKatajaEstimated chance70.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Kouvot Kouvola 82.5, Kataja 90.2. Kataja cover +1.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Kouvot Kouvola and 15 for Kataja, across seasons and competitions.
- Kouvot are 0-4 in Korisliiga 2026-27, scoring 328 and conceding 356 (82.0 for / 89.0 against per game) through 4 games to 14 October.
- Kataja are 2-2, scoring 372 and conceding 353 (93.0 for / 88.3 against per game) through 4 games to 10 October, including a 108-99 home loss to Honka.
- In two home games this season Kouvot scored 80 (6 Oct vs Kipinä) and 74 (30 Sep vs Karhu), while in two away games Kataja scored 85 (7 Oct at Lahti) and 86 (3 Oct at Bisons).
- Over 15 tracked games each, Kouvot shoot 50.2% on two-pointers and 32.0% on threes with 35.0 rebounds and 12.5 turnovers a game; Kataja shoot 49.0% / 31.8% with 36.1 rebounds and 11.7 turnovers.
- Kataja's most recent meetings with Kouvot were high-scoring: 112-88 on 10 March 2026 and 108-90 on 9 December 2025, both Kataja wins in Korisliiga.
- Kataja average 18 offensive rebounds a game across their first four league games (to 10 October), a source of extra possessions against a Kouvot side conceding 89 a game.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostKataja +1.5Estimated chance70.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Kouvot Kouvola 82.5, Kataja 90.2. Kataja are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Kouvot are 0-4 in Korisliiga 2026-27, scoring 328 and conceding 356 (82.0 for / 89.0 against per game) through 4 games to 14 October.
- Kataja are 2-2, scoring 372 and conceding 353 (93.0 for / 88.3 against per game) through 4 games to 10 October, including a 108-99 home loss to Honka.
- In two home games this season Kouvot scored 80 (6 Oct vs Kipinä) and 74 (30 Sep vs Karhu), while in two away games Kataja scored 85 (7 Oct at Lahti) and 86 (3 Oct at Bisons).
- Over 15 tracked games each, Kouvot shoot 50.2% on two-pointers and 32.0% on threes with 35.0 rebounds and 12.5 turnovers a game; Kataja shoot 49.0% / 31.8% with 36.1 rebounds and 11.7 turnovers.
- Kataja's most recent meetings with Kouvot were high-scoring: 112-88 on 10 March 2026 and 108-90 on 9 December 2025, both Kataja wins in Korisliiga.
- Kataja average 18 offensive rebounds a game across their first four league games (to 10 October), a source of extra possessions against a Kouvot side conceding 89 a game.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultlostKatajaEstimated chance65.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Kouvot Kouvola 82.5, Kataja 90.2. Kataja cover +0.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Kouvot Kouvola and 15 for Kataja, across seasons and competitions.
- Kouvot are 0-4 in Korisliiga 2026-27, scoring 328 and conceding 356 (82.0 for / 89.0 against per game) through 4 games to 14 October.
- Kataja are 2-2, scoring 372 and conceding 353 (93.0 for / 88.3 against per game) through 4 games to 10 October, including a 108-99 home loss to Honka.
- In two home games this season Kouvot scored 80 (6 Oct vs Kipinä) and 74 (30 Sep vs Karhu), while in two away games Kataja scored 85 (7 Oct at Lahti) and 86 (3 Oct at Bisons).
- Over 15 tracked games each, Kouvot shoot 50.2% on two-pointers and 32.0% on threes with 35.0 rebounds and 12.5 turnovers a game; Kataja shoot 49.0% / 31.8% with 36.1 rebounds and 11.7 turnovers.
- Kataja's most recent meetings with Kouvot were high-scoring: 112-88 on 10 March 2026 and 108-90 on 9 December 2025, both Kataja wins in Korisliiga.
- Kataja average 18 offensive rebounds a game across their first four league games (to 10 October), a source of extra possessions against a Kouvot side conceding 89 a game.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonKataja +0.5Estimated chance61.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Kouvot Kouvola 82.5, Kataja 90.2. Kataja are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Kouvot are 0-4 in Korisliiga 2026-27, scoring 328 and conceding 356 (82.0 for / 89.0 against per game) through 4 games to 14 October.
- Kataja are 2-2, scoring 372 and conceding 353 (93.0 for / 88.3 against per game) through 4 games to 10 October, including a 108-99 home loss to Honka.
- In two home games this season Kouvot scored 80 (6 Oct vs Kipinä) and 74 (30 Sep vs Karhu), while in two away games Kataja scored 85 (7 Oct at Lahti) and 86 (3 Oct at Bisons).
- Over 15 tracked games each, Kouvot shoot 50.2% on two-pointers and 32.0% on threes with 35.0 rebounds and 12.5 turnovers a game; Kataja shoot 49.0% / 31.8% with 36.1 rebounds and 11.7 turnovers.
- Kataja's most recent meetings with Kouvot were high-scoring: 112-88 on 10 March 2026 and 108-90 on 9 December 2025, both Kataja wins in Korisliiga.
- Kataja average 18 offensive rebounds a game across their first four league games (to 10 October), a source of extra possessions against a Kouvot side conceding 89 a game.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultlostKatajaEstimated chance60.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Kouvot Kouvola 82.5, Kataja 90.2. Kataja are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Kouvot are 0-4 in Korisliiga 2026-27, scoring 328 and conceding 356 (82.0 for / 89.0 against per game) through 4 games to 14 October.
- Kataja are 2-2, scoring 372 and conceding 353 (93.0 for / 88.3 against per game) through 4 games to 10 October, including a 108-99 home loss to Honka.
- In two home games this season Kouvot scored 80 (6 Oct vs Kipinä) and 74 (30 Sep vs Karhu), while in two away games Kataja scored 85 (7 Oct at Lahti) and 86 (3 Oct at Bisons).
- Over 15 tracked games each, Kouvot shoot 50.2% on two-pointers and 32.0% on threes with 35.0 rebounds and 12.5 turnovers a game; Kataja shoot 49.0% / 31.8% with 36.1 rebounds and 11.7 turnovers.
- Kataja's most recent meetings with Kouvot were high-scoring: 112-88 on 10 March 2026 and 108-90 on 9 December 2025, both Kataja wins in Korisliiga.
- Kataja average 18 offensive rebounds a game across their first four league games (to 10 October), a source of extra possessions against a Kouvot side conceding 89 a game.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultlostKatajaEstimated chance57.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Kouvot Kouvola 82.5, Kataja 90.2. Kataja are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Kouvot are 0-4 in Korisliiga 2026-27, scoring 328 and conceding 356 (82.0 for / 89.0 against per game) through 4 games to 14 October.
- Kataja are 2-2, scoring 372 and conceding 353 (93.0 for / 88.3 against per game) through 4 games to 10 October, including a 108-99 home loss to Honka.
- In two home games this season Kouvot scored 80 (6 Oct vs Kipinä) and 74 (30 Sep vs Karhu), while in two away games Kataja scored 85 (7 Oct at Lahti) and 86 (3 Oct at Bisons).
- Over 15 tracked games each, Kouvot shoot 50.2% on two-pointers and 32.0% on threes with 35.0 rebounds and 12.5 turnovers a game; Kataja shoot 49.0% / 31.8% with 36.1 rebounds and 11.7 turnovers.
- Kataja's most recent meetings with Kouvot were high-scoring: 112-88 on 10 March 2026 and 108-90 on 9 December 2025, both Kataja wins in Korisliiga.
- Kataja average 18 offensive rebounds a game across their first four league games (to 10 October), a source of extra possessions against a Kouvot side conceding 89 a game.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonKatajaEstimated chance56.3%

Points3 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Kouvot Kouvola 82.5, Kataja 90.2. The 3rd quarter has more than 39.5 points in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Kouvot Kouvola and 15 for Kataja, across seasons and competitions.
- Kouvot are 0-4 in Korisliiga 2026-27, scoring 328 and conceding 356 (82.0 for / 89.0 against per game) through 4 games to 14 October.
- Kataja are 2-2, scoring 372 and conceding 353 (93.0 for / 88.3 against per game) through 4 games to 10 October, including a 108-99 home loss to Honka.
- In two home games this season Kouvot scored 80 (6 Oct vs Kipinä) and 74 (30 Sep vs Karhu), while in two away games Kataja scored 85 (7 Oct at Lahti) and 86 (3 Oct at Bisons).
- Over 15 tracked games each, Kouvot shoot 50.2% on two-pointers and 32.0% on threes with 35.0 rebounds and 12.5 turnovers a game; Kataja shoot 49.0% / 31.8% with 36.1 rebounds and 11.7 turnovers.
- Kataja's most recent meetings with Kouvot were high-scoring: 112-88 on 10 March 2026 and 108-90 on 9 December 2025, both Kataja wins in Korisliiga.
- Kataja average 18 offensive rebounds a game across their first four league games (to 10 October), a source of extra possessions against a Kouvot side conceding 89 a game.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonOver 39.5Estimated chance67%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Kouvot Kouvola 82.5, Kataja 90.2. Kataja score more than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Kouvot Kouvola and 15 for Kataja, across seasons and competitions.
- Kouvot are 0-4 in Korisliiga 2026-27, scoring 328 and conceding 356 (82.0 for / 89.0 against per game) through 4 games to 14 October.
- Kataja are 2-2, scoring 372 and conceding 353 (93.0 for / 88.3 against per game) through 4 games to 10 October, including a 108-99 home loss to Honka.
- In two home games this season Kouvot scored 80 (6 Oct vs Kipinä) and 74 (30 Sep vs Karhu), while in two away games Kataja scored 85 (7 Oct at Lahti) and 86 (3 Oct at Bisons).
- Over 15 tracked games each, Kouvot shoot 50.2% on two-pointers and 32.0% on threes with 35.0 rebounds and 12.5 turnovers a game; Kataja shoot 49.0% / 31.8% with 36.1 rebounds and 11.7 turnovers.
- Kataja's most recent meetings with Kouvot were high-scoring: 112-88 on 10 March 2026 and 108-90 on 9 December 2025, both Kataja wins in Korisliiga.
- Kataja average 18 offensive rebounds a game across their first four league games (to 10 October), a source of extra possessions against a Kouvot side conceding 89 a game.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonKataja over 20.5Estimated chance62.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Kouvot Kouvola 82.5, Kataja 90.2. Kouvot Kouvola score fewer than 21.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Kouvot are 0-4 in Korisliiga 2026-27, scoring 328 and conceding 356 (82.0 for / 89.0 against per game) through 4 games to 14 October.
- Kataja are 2-2, scoring 372 and conceding 353 (93.0 for / 88.3 against per game) through 4 games to 10 October, including a 108-99 home loss to Honka.
- In two home games this season Kouvot scored 80 (6 Oct vs Kipinä) and 74 (30 Sep vs Karhu), while in two away games Kataja scored 85 (7 Oct at Lahti) and 86 (3 Oct at Bisons).
- Over 15 tracked games each, Kouvot shoot 50.2% on two-pointers and 32.0% on threes with 35.0 rebounds and 12.5 turnovers a game; Kataja shoot 49.0% / 31.8% with 36.1 rebounds and 11.7 turnovers.
- Kataja's most recent meetings with Kouvot were high-scoring: 112-88 on 10 March 2026 and 108-90 on 9 December 2025, both Kataja wins in Korisliiga.
- Kataja average 18 offensive rebounds a game across their first four league games (to 10 October), a source of extra possessions against a Kouvot side conceding 89 a game.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostKouvot Kouvola under 21.5Estimated chance58.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Kouvot Kouvola 82.5, Kataja 90.2. Kouvot Kouvola score more than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Kouvot Kouvola and 15 for Kataja, across seasons and competitions.
- Kouvot are 0-4 in Korisliiga 2026-27, scoring 328 and conceding 356 (82.0 for / 89.0 against per game) through 4 games to 14 October.
- Kataja are 2-2, scoring 372 and conceding 353 (93.0 for / 88.3 against per game) through 4 games to 10 October, including a 108-99 home loss to Honka.
- In two home games this season Kouvot scored 80 (6 Oct vs Kipinä) and 74 (30 Sep vs Karhu), while in two away games Kataja scored 85 (7 Oct at Lahti) and 86 (3 Oct at Bisons).
- Over 15 tracked games each, Kouvot shoot 50.2% on two-pointers and 32.0% on threes with 35.0 rebounds and 12.5 turnovers a game; Kataja shoot 49.0% / 31.8% with 36.1 rebounds and 11.7 turnovers.
- Kataja's most recent meetings with Kouvot were high-scoring: 112-88 on 10 March 2026 and 108-90 on 9 December 2025, both Kataja wins in Korisliiga.
- Kataja average 18 offensive rebounds a game across their first four league games (to 10 October), a source of extra possessions against a Kouvot side conceding 89 a game.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostKouvot Kouvola over 19.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Kouvot Kouvola 82.5, Kataja 90.2. Kataja score fewer than 23.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Kouvot are 0-4 in Korisliiga 2026-27, scoring 328 and conceding 356 (82.0 for / 89.0 against per game) through 4 games to 14 October.
- Kataja are 2-2, scoring 372 and conceding 353 (93.0 for / 88.3 against per game) through 4 games to 10 October, including a 108-99 home loss to Honka.
- In two home games this season Kouvot scored 80 (6 Oct vs Kipinä) and 74 (30 Sep vs Karhu), while in two away games Kataja scored 85 (7 Oct at Lahti) and 86 (3 Oct at Bisons).
- Over 15 tracked games each, Kouvot shoot 50.2% on two-pointers and 32.0% on threes with 35.0 rebounds and 12.5 turnovers a game; Kataja shoot 49.0% / 31.8% with 36.1 rebounds and 11.7 turnovers.
- Kataja's most recent meetings with Kouvot were high-scoring: 112-88 on 10 March 2026 and 108-90 on 9 December 2025, both Kataja wins in Korisliiga.
- Kataja average 18 offensive rebounds a game across their first four league games (to 10 October), a source of extra possessions against a Kouvot side conceding 89 a game.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonKataja under 23.5Estimated chance57.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Kouvot Kouvola 82.5, Kataja 90.2. Kouvot Kouvola score fewer than 84.5 points (overtime included) in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Kouvot are 0-4 in Korisliiga 2026-27, scoring 328 and conceding 356 (82.0 for / 89.0 against per game) through 4 games to 14 October.
- Kataja are 2-2, scoring 372 and conceding 353 (93.0 for / 88.3 against per game) through 4 games to 10 October, including a 108-99 home loss to Honka.
- In two home games this season Kouvot scored 80 (6 Oct vs Kipinä) and 74 (30 Sep vs Karhu), while in two away games Kataja scored 85 (7 Oct at Lahti) and 86 (3 Oct at Bisons).
- Over 15 tracked games each, Kouvot shoot 50.2% on two-pointers and 32.0% on threes with 35.0 rebounds and 12.5 turnovers a game; Kataja shoot 49.0% / 31.8% with 36.1 rebounds and 11.7 turnovers.
- Kataja's most recent meetings with Kouvot were high-scoring: 112-88 on 10 March 2026 and 108-90 on 9 December 2025, both Kataja wins in Korisliiga.
- Kataja average 18 offensive rebounds a game across their first four league games (to 10 October), a source of extra possessions against a Kouvot side conceding 89 a game.
BetBugs · Team PointslostKouvot Kouvola under 84.5Estimated chance56.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.88
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Kouvot Kouvola 82.5, Kataja 90.2. The 2nd quarter has fewer than 44.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Kouvot are 0-4 in Korisliiga 2026-27, scoring 328 and conceding 356 (82.0 for / 89.0 against per game) through 4 games to 14 October.
- Kataja are 2-2, scoring 372 and conceding 353 (93.0 for / 88.3 against per game) through 4 games to 10 October, including a 108-99 home loss to Honka.
- In two home games this season Kouvot scored 80 (6 Oct vs Kipinä) and 74 (30 Sep vs Karhu), while in two away games Kataja scored 85 (7 Oct at Lahti) and 86 (3 Oct at Bisons).
- Over 15 tracked games each, Kouvot shoot 50.2% on two-pointers and 32.0% on threes with 35.0 rebounds and 12.5 turnovers a game; Kataja shoot 49.0% / 31.8% with 36.1 rebounds and 11.7 turnovers.
- Kataja's most recent meetings with Kouvot were high-scoring: 112-88 on 10 March 2026 and 108-90 on 9 December 2025, both Kataja wins in Korisliiga.
- Kataja average 18 offensive rebounds a game across their first four league games (to 10 October), a source of extra possessions against a Kouvot side conceding 89 a game.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointslostUnder 44.5Estimated chance56.4%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 15, 03:57

Selected line

175.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

45%

Chance of 176+ points

12 pp below break-even

Over 1.76 needs 57% to break even. BetBugs sees 45%.

Move the line main 175.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 45%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 55%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L112–88

Katajav

Kouvot Kouvola

Mar 10, 2026·KOR

W85–79

Kouvot Kouvolav Kataja

Kataja

Feb 8, 2026·KOR

L90–108

Kouvot Kouvolav Kataja

Kataja

Dec 9, 2025·KOR

W107–109

Katajav

Kouvot Kouvola

Oct 8, 2025·KOROT

L92–87

Katajav

Kouvot Kouvola

Dec 21, 2024·KOR

L68–94

Kouvot Kouvolav Kataja

Kataja

Nov 1, 2024·KOR

W84–69

Kouvot Kouvolav Kataja

Kataja

Jan 12, 2024·KOR

L105–85

Katajav

Kouvot Kouvola

Nov 11, 2023·KOR

L78–102

Kouvot Kouvolav Kataja

Kataja

Mar 17, 2023·KOR

L86–78

Katajav

Kouvot Kouvola

Feb 11, 2023·KOR

180.6Avg total points

14.8Avg margin

10meetings

League table

Korisliiga · Korisliiga - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Kouvot Kouvola

0–40%

Kataja

2–250%

Recent Form

Kouvot Kouvola

6W 9L · last 15

at Lahti Basketball83–91 Oct 14KOR

vs Kipina80–89 Oct 6KOR

at Honka91–99 Oct 3KOR

vs Karhu Basket74–77 Sep 30KOR

vs Kobrat103–99 Mar 18KOR

at Pyrinto Tampere93–78 Mar 14KOR

at Kataja88–112 Mar 10KOR

vs Bisons Loimaa76–74 Mar 5KOR

at Lahti Basketball96–80 Feb 22KOR

at Kobrat83–86 Feb 19KOR

vs Pyrinto Tampere63–77 Feb 15KOR

at Bisons Loimaa83–111 Feb 11KOR

vs Kataja85–79 Feb 8KOR

vs Lahti Basketball79–74 Jan 30KOR

at Kobrat90–94 Jan 24KOR

Kataja

8W 7L · last 15

vs Honka99–108 Oct 10KOR

at Lahti Basketball85–91 Oct 7KOR

at Bisons Loimaa86–71 Oct 3KOR

vs Helsinki Seagulls102–83 Sep 29KOR

at Salon Vilpas69–100 May 19KOR

vs Salon Vilpas75–59 May 16KOR

at Salon Vilpas81–90 May 14KOR

vs Salon Vilpas79–86 May 12KOR

at Salon Vilpas45–82 May 9KOR

vs Salon Vilpas75–70 May 5KOR

at Salon Vilpas84–75 May 2KOR

at Helsinki Seagulls65–58 Apr 28KOR

vs Helsinki Seagulls71–74 Apr 26KOR

at Helsinki Seagulls69–64 Apr 24KOR

vs Helsinki Seagulls107–100 Apr 21KOR

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Kouvot Kouvola

Stats

2–3

Kataja

Kataja leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–1

2-point %+1.2pp

50.2%

+1.2pp

49.0%

3-point %+0.2pp

32.0%

+0.2pp

31.8%

Free-throw %+4.0pp

74.3%

+4.0pp

78.3%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s1.8pp apart

37.3%

1.8pp apart

35.5%

Free throws per shot6.5pp apart

23.2%

6.5pp apart

29.7%

Possession· 0–2

Rebounds per game+1.1

35.0

+1.1

36.1

Turnovers per game0.8 fewer

12.5

0.8 fewer

11.7

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.