KorisliigaFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Honka100Lahti Basketball86

Fri 16 Oct 2026, 15:30 Predictions graded

Predictions15–671%

Edges1–0100%

Points by period: Honka and Lahti Basketball.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Honka	16	30	26	28
Lahti Basketball	24	22	21	19

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Honka are 4-0 in the Korisliiga, while Lahti have won their last two but played on 14 October, two days before tip-off.

Honka are the likely winners, and a 97.7-87.7 expected score after 40 minutes points to plenty of points. One selection is worth taking: over 89.5 combined points in the first half at 1.85.

Context

Lahti played on 14 October 2026, about two days before tip-off, while Honka last played on 10 October 2026, about six days earlier. Both teams arrive on winning runs, and no player availability or injury issue is established.

Honka have started the new season with a perfect record, following a buzzer-beating opening win at reigning champions Vilpas with home and road victories. Alvar Peltoniemi, A.J. Ferguson and Trevon Faulkner have carried the scoring load, with Peltoniemi's 28 points leading the home defeat of Kouvot on 3 October, and the team stayed unbeaten by winning a high-scoring game at Kataja on 10 October. That makes the home side the form team going into this fixture, although the small early sample means the perfect record is not yet proof of dominance. Lahti have also won their last two games, so Honka's streak is tested by a confident opponent.
- Tapiolan Honka beat reigning Finnish champions Salon Vilpas on the opening night of the season on 29 September, with Trevon Faulkner sealing the win on a buzzer-beating three.
- Honka beat Kouvot at home on 3 October, led by Alvar Peltoniemi's 28 points, with A.J. Ferguson adding 20 and Trevon Faulkner 18.
- Honka won a high-scoring game away to Kataja on 10 October and were still without a league defeat.
Lahti Basketball have found rhythm after a mixed beginning to the campaign, winning their last two league games. They beat Kataja 91-85 on 7 October and followed it with a 91-83 home win over Kouvot on 14 October at Luhta Areena, the club's first lunchtime fixture, watched by 1,850 spectators. The two wins give the visitors momentum, and with the Kouvot game coming only two days before this tip-off, Lahti's rotation and energy are the main question. Honka, by contrast, have not played since 10 October.
- Lahti Basketball beat Kataja 91-85 on 7 October.
- Lahti Basketball beat Kouvot 91-83 on 14 October at Luhta Areena in the club's first lunchtime home game.
- The Kouvot game attracted 1,850 spectators.
The two clubs arrive with different preparation windows. Lahti Basketball played at home on 14 October, giving them two days before this fixture, while Tapiolan Honka have not played since their 10 October trip to Kataja. The domestic calendar therefore gives the home side a longer gap between games. Both are coming off league wins, so the fixture is a meeting of two teams in form, with the shorter turnaround for Lahti the main scheduling difference.
- Lahti Basketball's most recent game before this fixture was at home to Kouvot on 14 October.
- Tapiolan Honka's most recent game before this fixture was away to Kataja on 10 October.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

1st Half Total PointswonUncertainty band: Lean

Over 89.5

1.85fair 1.60

Market 54.1% · BetBugs 62.6%

+8.5ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Honka 97.7, Lahti Basketball 87.7. The 1st half has more than 89.5 points in about 63 of 100 games like this. Honka have been the stronger side this season and play at a fast, high-scoring tempo that should let them reach the high 90s at home, while Lahti's recent wins and Honka's leaky defense suggest the visitors can stay close to 90 despite the short two-day turnaround. Both teams are in form, so the gap is modest.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result7 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Honka 97.7, Lahti Basketball 87.7. Honka win in about 79 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Honka are 4-0 in the 2026-27 Korisliiga, scoring 108, 97 (overtime), 99 and 107 in games from 29 September to 10 October 2026.
- Lahti have won their last two league games, 91-85 at home to Kataja on 7 October 2026 and 91-83 at home to Kouvot on 14 October 2026, after a 70-76 loss at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October.
- Across four league games this season Honka have conceded 104, 99, 96 (overtime) and 91 points, a high-scoring profile on both ends.
- Lahti's three league games this season produced 91, 91 and 70 points scored against 83, 85 and 76 conceded, a lower-scoring, tighter profile than Honka's.
- The last two meetings, both in 2025-26 Korisliiga, were split: Honka won 105-87 at home on 18 October 2025 and Lahti won 96-87 at home on 19 December 2025.
- Rest differs: Honka last played on 10 October 2026 (about six days before tip-off) while Lahti played on 14 October 2026 (about two days).
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonHonkaEstimated chance78.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Honka 97.7, Lahti Basketball 87.7. Honka cover +3.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 78 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Honka and 15 for Lahti Basketball, across seasons and competitions.
- Honka are 4-0 in the 2026-27 Korisliiga, scoring 108, 97 (overtime), 99 and 107 in games from 29 September to 10 October 2026.
- Lahti have won their last two league games, 91-85 at home to Kataja on 7 October 2026 and 91-83 at home to Kouvot on 14 October 2026, after a 70-76 loss at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October.
- Across four league games this season Honka have conceded 104, 99, 96 (overtime) and 91 points, a high-scoring profile on both ends.
- Lahti's three league games this season produced 91, 91 and 70 points scored against 83, 85 and 76 conceded, a lower-scoring, tighter profile than Honka's.
- The last two meetings, both in 2025-26 Korisliiga, were split: Honka won 105-87 at home on 18 October 2025 and Lahti won 96-87 at home on 19 December 2025.
- Rest differs: Honka last played on 10 October 2026 (about six days before tip-off) while Lahti played on 14 October 2026 (about two days).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonHonka +3.5Estimated chance78.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Honka 97.7, Lahti Basketball 87.7. Honka are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 77 of 100 games like this.
- Honka are 4-0 in the 2026-27 Korisliiga, scoring 108, 97 (overtime), 99 and 107 in games from 29 September to 10 October 2026.
- Lahti have won their last two league games, 91-85 at home to Kataja on 7 October 2026 and 91-83 at home to Kouvot on 14 October 2026, after a 70-76 loss at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October.
- Across four league games this season Honka have conceded 104, 99, 96 (overtime) and 91 points, a high-scoring profile on both ends.
- Lahti's three league games this season produced 91, 91 and 70 points scored against 83, 85 and 76 conceded, a lower-scoring, tighter profile than Honka's.
- The last two meetings, both in 2025-26 Korisliiga, were split: Honka won 105-87 at home on 18 October 2025 and Lahti won 96-87 at home on 19 December 2025.
- Rest differs: Honka last played on 10 October 2026 (about six days before tip-off) while Lahti played on 14 October 2026 (about two days).
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonHonkaEstimated chance76.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Honka 97.7, Lahti Basketball 87.7. Honka are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 70 of 100 games like this.
- Honka are 4-0 in the 2026-27 Korisliiga, scoring 108, 97 (overtime), 99 and 107 in games from 29 September to 10 October 2026.
- Lahti have won their last two league games, 91-85 at home to Kataja on 7 October 2026 and 91-83 at home to Kouvot on 14 October 2026, after a 70-76 loss at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October.
- Across four league games this season Honka have conceded 104, 99, 96 (overtime) and 91 points, a high-scoring profile on both ends.
- Lahti's three league games this season produced 91, 91 and 70 points scored against 83, 85 and 76 conceded, a lower-scoring, tighter profile than Honka's.
- The last two meetings, both in 2025-26 Korisliiga, were split: Honka won 105-87 at home on 18 October 2025 and Lahti won 96-87 at home on 19 December 2025.
- Rest differs: Honka last played on 10 October 2026 (about six days before tip-off) while Lahti played on 14 October 2026 (about two days).
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultlostHonkaEstimated chance69.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Honka 97.7, Lahti Basketball 87.7. Honka cover -5.5 (overtime included) in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Honka are 4-0 in the 2026-27 Korisliiga, scoring 108, 97 (overtime), 99 and 107 in games from 29 September to 10 October 2026.
- Lahti have won their last two league games, 91-85 at home to Kataja on 7 October 2026 and 91-83 at home to Kouvot on 14 October 2026, after a 70-76 loss at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October.
- Across four league games this season Honka have conceded 104, 99, 96 (overtime) and 91 points, a high-scoring profile on both ends.
- Lahti's three league games this season produced 91, 91 and 70 points scored against 83, 85 and 76 conceded, a lower-scoring, tighter profile than Honka's.
- The last two meetings, both in 2025-26 Korisliiga, were split: Honka won 105-87 at home on 18 October 2025 and Lahti won 96-87 at home on 19 December 2025.
- Rest differs: Honka last played on 10 October 2026 (about six days before tip-off) while Lahti played on 14 October 2026 (about two days).
BetBugs · HandicapwonHonka -5.5Estimated chance64.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Honka 97.7, Lahti Basketball 87.7. Honka are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Honka are 4-0 in the 2026-27 Korisliiga, scoring 108, 97 (overtime), 99 and 107 in games from 29 September to 10 October 2026.
- Lahti have won their last two league games, 91-85 at home to Kataja on 7 October 2026 and 91-83 at home to Kouvot on 14 October 2026, after a 70-76 loss at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October.
- Across four league games this season Honka have conceded 104, 99, 96 (overtime) and 91 points, a high-scoring profile on both ends.
- Lahti's three league games this season produced 91, 91 and 70 points scored against 83, 85 and 76 conceded, a lower-scoring, tighter profile than Honka's.
- The last two meetings, both in 2025-26 Korisliiga, were split: Honka won 105-87 at home on 18 October 2025 and Lahti won 96-87 at home on 19 December 2025.
- Rest differs: Honka last played on 10 October 2026 (about six days before tip-off) while Lahti played on 14 October 2026 (about two days).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonHonkaEstimated chance64.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Honka 97.7, Lahti Basketball 87.7. Honka cover -0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Honka and 15 for Lahti Basketball, across seasons and competitions.
- Honka are 4-0 in the 2026-27 Korisliiga, scoring 108, 97 (overtime), 99 and 107 in games from 29 September to 10 October 2026.
- Lahti have won their last two league games, 91-85 at home to Kataja on 7 October 2026 and 91-83 at home to Kouvot on 14 October 2026, after a 70-76 loss at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October.
- Across four league games this season Honka have conceded 104, 99, 96 (overtime) and 91 points, a high-scoring profile on both ends.
- Lahti's three league games this season produced 91, 91 and 70 points scored against 83, 85 and 76 conceded, a lower-scoring, tighter profile than Honka's.
- The last two meetings, both in 2025-26 Korisliiga, were split: Honka won 105-87 at home on 18 October 2025 and Lahti won 96-87 at home on 19 December 2025.
- Rest differs: Honka last played on 10 October 2026 (about six days before tip-off) while Lahti played on 14 October 2026 (about two days).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonHonka -0.5Estimated chance64.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Honka 97.7, Lahti Basketball 87.7. Honka cover -2.5 in the 1st half in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Honka are 4-0 in the 2026-27 Korisliiga, scoring 108, 97 (overtime), 99 and 107 in games from 29 September to 10 October 2026.
- Lahti have won their last two league games, 91-85 at home to Kataja on 7 October 2026 and 91-83 at home to Kouvot on 14 October 2026, after a 70-76 loss at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October.
- Across four league games this season Honka have conceded 104, 99, 96 (overtime) and 91 points, a high-scoring profile on both ends.
- Lahti's three league games this season produced 91, 91 and 70 points scored against 83, 85 and 76 conceded, a lower-scoring, tighter profile than Honka's.
- The last two meetings, both in 2025-26 Korisliiga, were split: Honka won 105-87 at home on 18 October 2025 and Lahti won 96-87 at home on 19 December 2025.
- Rest differs: Honka last played on 10 October 2026 (about six days before tip-off) while Lahti played on 14 October 2026 (about two days).
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicaplostHonka -2.5Estimated chance62.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Honka 97.7, Lahti Basketball 87.7. Honka are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Honka are 4-0 in the 2026-27 Korisliiga, scoring 108, 97 (overtime), 99 and 107 in games from 29 September to 10 October 2026.
- Lahti have won their last two league games, 91-85 at home to Kataja on 7 October 2026 and 91-83 at home to Kouvot on 14 October 2026, after a 70-76 loss at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October.
- Across four league games this season Honka have conceded 104, 99, 96 (overtime) and 91 points, a high-scoring profile on both ends.
- Lahti's three league games this season produced 91, 91 and 70 points scored against 83, 85 and 76 conceded, a lower-scoring, tighter profile than Honka's.
- The last two meetings, both in 2025-26 Korisliiga, were split: Honka won 105-87 at home on 18 October 2025 and Lahti won 96-87 at home on 19 December 2025.
- Rest differs: Honka last played on 10 October 2026 (about six days before tip-off) while Lahti played on 14 October 2026 (about two days).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultlostHonkaEstimated chance60.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Honka 97.7, Lahti Basketball 87.7. Honka are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Honka are 4-0 in the 2026-27 Korisliiga, scoring 108, 97 (overtime), 99 and 107 in games from 29 September to 10 October 2026.
- Lahti have won their last two league games, 91-85 at home to Kataja on 7 October 2026 and 91-83 at home to Kouvot on 14 October 2026, after a 70-76 loss at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October.
- Across four league games this season Honka have conceded 104, 99, 96 (overtime) and 91 points, a high-scoring profile on both ends.
- Lahti's three league games this season produced 91, 91 and 70 points scored against 83, 85 and 76 conceded, a lower-scoring, tighter profile than Honka's.
- The last two meetings, both in 2025-26 Korisliiga, were split: Honka won 105-87 at home on 18 October 2025 and Lahti won 96-87 at home on 19 December 2025.
- Rest differs: Honka last played on 10 October 2026 (about six days before tip-off) while Lahti played on 14 October 2026 (about two days).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonHonkaEstimated chance58.9%

Points8 of 11 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Honka 97.7, Lahti Basketball 87.7. The 3rd quarter has more than 39.5 points in about 81 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Honka and 15 for Lahti Basketball, across seasons and competitions.
- Honka are 4-0 in the 2026-27 Korisliiga, scoring 108, 97 (overtime), 99 and 107 in games from 29 September to 10 October 2026.
- Lahti have won their last two league games, 91-85 at home to Kataja on 7 October 2026 and 91-83 at home to Kouvot on 14 October 2026, after a 70-76 loss at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October.
- Across four league games this season Honka have conceded 104, 99, 96 (overtime) and 91 points, a high-scoring profile on both ends.
- Lahti's three league games this season produced 91, 91 and 70 points scored against 83, 85 and 76 conceded, a lower-scoring, tighter profile than Honka's.
- The last two meetings, both in 2025-26 Korisliiga, were split: Honka won 105-87 at home on 18 October 2025 and Lahti won 96-87 at home on 19 December 2025.
- Rest differs: Honka last played on 10 October 2026 (about six days before tip-off) while Lahti played on 14 October 2026 (about two days).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonOver 39.5Estimated chance80.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Honka 97.7, Lahti Basketball 87.7. Honka score more than 21.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Honka and 15 for Lahti Basketball, across seasons and competitions.
- Honka are 4-0 in the 2026-27 Korisliiga, scoring 108, 97 (overtime), 99 and 107 in games from 29 September to 10 October 2026.
- Lahti have won their last two league games, 91-85 at home to Kataja on 7 October 2026 and 91-83 at home to Kouvot on 14 October 2026, after a 70-76 loss at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October.
- Across four league games this season Honka have conceded 104, 99, 96 (overtime) and 91 points, a high-scoring profile on both ends.
- Lahti's three league games this season produced 91, 91 and 70 points scored against 83, 85 and 76 conceded, a lower-scoring, tighter profile than Honka's.
- The last two meetings, both in 2025-26 Korisliiga, were split: Honka won 105-87 at home on 18 October 2025 and Lahti won 96-87 at home on 19 December 2025.
- Rest differs: Honka last played on 10 October 2026 (about six days before tip-off) while Lahti played on 14 October 2026 (about two days).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonHonka over 21.5Estimated chance68.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Honka 97.7, Lahti Basketball 87.7. Honka score more than 93.5 points (overtime included) in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Honka are 4-0 in the 2026-27 Korisliiga, scoring 108, 97 (overtime), 99 and 107 in games from 29 September to 10 October 2026.
- Lahti have won their last two league games, 91-85 at home to Kataja on 7 October 2026 and 91-83 at home to Kouvot on 14 October 2026, after a 70-76 loss at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October.
- Across four league games this season Honka have conceded 104, 99, 96 (overtime) and 91 points, a high-scoring profile on both ends.
- Lahti's three league games this season produced 91, 91 and 70 points scored against 83, 85 and 76 conceded, a lower-scoring, tighter profile than Honka's.
- The last two meetings, both in 2025-26 Korisliiga, were split: Honka won 105-87 at home on 18 October 2025 and Lahti won 96-87 at home on 19 December 2025.
- Rest differs: Honka last played on 10 October 2026 (about six days before tip-off) while Lahti played on 14 October 2026 (about two days).
BetBugs · Team PointswonHonka over 93.5Estimated chance67.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Honka 97.7, Lahti Basketball 87.7. Honka score more than 46.5 points in the 1st half in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Honka are 4-0 in the 2026-27 Korisliiga, scoring 108, 97 (overtime), 99 and 107 in games from 29 September to 10 October 2026.
- Lahti have won their last two league games, 91-85 at home to Kataja on 7 October 2026 and 91-83 at home to Kouvot on 14 October 2026, after a 70-76 loss at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October.
- Across four league games this season Honka have conceded 104, 99, 96 (overtime) and 91 points, a high-scoring profile on both ends.
- Lahti's three league games this season produced 91, 91 and 70 points scored against 83, 85 and 76 conceded, a lower-scoring, tighter profile than Honka's.
- The last two meetings, both in 2025-26 Korisliiga, were split: Honka won 105-87 at home on 18 October 2025 and Lahti won 96-87 at home on 19 December 2025.
- Rest differs: Honka last played on 10 October 2026 (about six days before tip-off) while Lahti played on 14 October 2026 (about two days).
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostHonka over 46.5Estimated chance64.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.85
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Honka 97.7, Lahti Basketball 87.7. The 1st half has more than 89.5 points in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Honka are 4-0 in the 2026-27 Korisliiga, scoring 108, 97 (overtime), 99 and 107 in games from 29 September to 10 October 2026.
- Lahti have won their last two league games, 91-85 at home to Kataja on 7 October 2026 and 91-83 at home to Kouvot on 14 October 2026, after a 70-76 loss at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October.
- Across four league games this season Honka have conceded 104, 99, 96 (overtime) and 91 points, a high-scoring profile on both ends.
- Lahti's three league games this season produced 91, 91 and 70 points scored against 83, 85 and 76 conceded, a lower-scoring, tighter profile than Honka's.
- The last two meetings, both in 2025-26 Korisliiga, were split: Honka won 105-87 at home on 18 October 2025 and Lahti won 96-87 at home on 19 December 2025.
- Rest differs: Honka last played on 10 October 2026 (about six days before tip-off) while Lahti played on 14 October 2026 (about two days).
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonOver 89.5Estimated chance62.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Honka 97.7, Lahti Basketball 87.7. Lahti Basketball score fewer than 23.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Honka and 15 for Lahti Basketball, across seasons and competitions.
- Honka are 4-0 in the 2026-27 Korisliiga, scoring 108, 97 (overtime), 99 and 107 in games from 29 September to 10 October 2026.
- Lahti have won their last two league games, 91-85 at home to Kataja on 7 October 2026 and 91-83 at home to Kouvot on 14 October 2026, after a 70-76 loss at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October.
- Across four league games this season Honka have conceded 104, 99, 96 (overtime) and 91 points, a high-scoring profile on both ends.
- Lahti's three league games this season produced 91, 91 and 70 points scored against 83, 85 and 76 conceded, a lower-scoring, tighter profile than Honka's.
- The last two meetings, both in 2025-26 Korisliiga, were split: Honka won 105-87 at home on 18 October 2025 and Lahti won 96-87 at home on 19 December 2025.
- Rest differs: Honka last played on 10 October 2026 (about six days before tip-off) while Lahti played on 14 October 2026 (about two days).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonLahti Basketball under 23.5Estimated chance62.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Honka 97.7, Lahti Basketball 87.7. Honka score more than 23.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Honka are 4-0 in the 2026-27 Korisliiga, scoring 108, 97 (overtime), 99 and 107 in games from 29 September to 10 October 2026.
- Lahti have won their last two league games, 91-85 at home to Kataja on 7 October 2026 and 91-83 at home to Kouvot on 14 October 2026, after a 70-76 loss at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October.
- Across four league games this season Honka have conceded 104, 99, 96 (overtime) and 91 points, a high-scoring profile on both ends.
- Lahti's three league games this season produced 91, 91 and 70 points scored against 83, 85 and 76 conceded, a lower-scoring, tighter profile than Honka's.
- The last two meetings, both in 2025-26 Korisliiga, were split: Honka won 105-87 at home on 18 October 2025 and Lahti won 96-87 at home on 19 December 2025.
- Rest differs: Honka last played on 10 October 2026 (about six days before tip-off) while Lahti played on 14 October 2026 (about two days).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonHonka over 23.5Estimated chance60.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Honka 97.7, Lahti Basketball 87.7. The 1st quarter has more than 44.5 points in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Honka are 4-0 in the 2026-27 Korisliiga, scoring 108, 97 (overtime), 99 and 107 in games from 29 September to 10 October 2026.
- Lahti have won their last two league games, 91-85 at home to Kataja on 7 October 2026 and 91-83 at home to Kouvot on 14 October 2026, after a 70-76 loss at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October.
- Across four league games this season Honka have conceded 104, 99, 96 (overtime) and 91 points, a high-scoring profile on both ends.
- Lahti's three league games this season produced 91, 91 and 70 points scored against 83, 85 and 76 conceded, a lower-scoring, tighter profile than Honka's.
- The last two meetings, both in 2025-26 Korisliiga, were split: Honka won 105-87 at home on 18 October 2025 and Lahti won 96-87 at home on 19 December 2025.
- Rest differs: Honka last played on 10 October 2026 (about six days before tip-off) while Lahti played on 14 October 2026 (about two days).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointslostOver 44.5Estimated chance60.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Honka 97.7, Lahti Basketball 87.7. The game has more than 182.5 points (overtime included) in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Honka are 4-0 in the 2026-27 Korisliiga, scoring 108, 97 (overtime), 99 and 107 in games from 29 September to 10 October 2026.
- Lahti have won their last two league games, 91-85 at home to Kataja on 7 October 2026 and 91-83 at home to Kouvot on 14 October 2026, after a 70-76 loss at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October.
- Across four league games this season Honka have conceded 104, 99, 96 (overtime) and 91 points, a high-scoring profile on both ends.
- Lahti's three league games this season produced 91, 91 and 70 points scored against 83, 85 and 76 conceded, a lower-scoring, tighter profile than Honka's.
- The last two meetings, both in 2025-26 Korisliiga, were split: Honka won 105-87 at home on 18 October 2025 and Lahti won 96-87 at home on 19 December 2025.
- Rest differs: Honka last played on 10 October 2026 (about six days before tip-off) while Lahti played on 14 October 2026 (about two days).
BetBugs · Total PointswonOver 182.5Estimated chance58.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Honka 97.7, Lahti Basketball 87.7. Honka score more than 23.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Honka are 4-0 in the 2026-27 Korisliiga, scoring 108, 97 (overtime), 99 and 107 in games from 29 September to 10 October 2026.
- Lahti have won their last two league games, 91-85 at home to Kataja on 7 October 2026 and 91-83 at home to Kouvot on 14 October 2026, after a 70-76 loss at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October.
- Across four league games this season Honka have conceded 104, 99, 96 (overtime) and 91 points, a high-scoring profile on both ends.
- Lahti's three league games this season produced 91, 91 and 70 points scored against 83, 85 and 76 conceded, a lower-scoring, tighter profile than Honka's.
- The last two meetings, both in 2025-26 Korisliiga, were split: Honka won 105-87 at home on 18 October 2025 and Lahti won 96-87 at home on 19 December 2025.
- Rest differs: Honka last played on 10 October 2026 (about six days before tip-off) while Lahti played on 14 October 2026 (about two days).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostHonka over 23.5Estimated chance56.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Honka 97.7, Lahti Basketball 87.7. Lahti Basketball score fewer than 22.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Honka are 4-0 in the 2026-27 Korisliiga, scoring 108, 97 (overtime), 99 and 107 in games from 29 September to 10 October 2026.
- Lahti have won their last two league games, 91-85 at home to Kataja on 7 October 2026 and 91-83 at home to Kouvot on 14 October 2026, after a 70-76 loss at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October.
- Across four league games this season Honka have conceded 104, 99, 96 (overtime) and 91 points, a high-scoring profile on both ends.
- Lahti's three league games this season produced 91, 91 and 70 points scored against 83, 85 and 76 conceded, a lower-scoring, tighter profile than Honka's.
- The last two meetings, both in 2025-26 Korisliiga, were split: Honka won 105-87 at home on 18 October 2025 and Lahti won 96-87 at home on 19 December 2025.
- Rest differs: Honka last played on 10 October 2026 (about six days before tip-off) while Lahti played on 14 October 2026 (about two days).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonLahti Basketball under 22.5Estimated chance56.3%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 15, 03:57

Selected line

182.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

58%

Chance of 183+ points

+3 pp above break-even

Over 1.80 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 58%.

Move the line main 182.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 58%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 42%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L96–87

Lahti Basketballv Honka

Honka

Dec 19, 2025·KOR

W105–87

Honkav

Lahti Basketball

Oct 18, 2025·KOR

L120–115

Lahti Basketballv Honka

Honka

Mar 3, 2023·KOROT

L81–95

Honkav

Lahti Basketball

Feb 1, 2023·KOR

W90–101

Lahti Basketballv Honka

Honka

Nov 27, 2022·KOR

L71–76

Honkav

Lahti Basketball

Oct 1, 2022·KOR

187.3Avg total points

10.3Avg margin

6meetings

League table

Korisliiga · Korisliiga - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Honka

4–0100%

Lahti Basketball

2–167%

Recent Form

Honka

8W 7L · last 15

at Kataja108–99 Oct 10KOR

vs Pyrinto Tampere97–96 OTOct 6KOR

vs Kouvot Kouvola99–91 Oct 3KOR

at Salon Vilpas107–104 Sep 29KOR

at UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki72–92 Apr 4KOR

vs UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki72–88 Apr 1KOR

at UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki90–95 Mar 29KOR

vs UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki88–87 Mar 27KOR

at UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki69–88 Mar 23KOR

at Karhu Basket80–92 Mar 18KOR

vs UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki105–87 Mar 14KOR

vs Salon Vilpas104–86 Mar 11KOR

at KTP Kotka Basket68–89 Mar 6KOR

vs Helsinki Seagulls98–107 Feb 20KOR

vs Karhu Basket93–85 Feb 17KOR

Lahti Basketball

7W 8L · last 15

vs Kouvot Kouvola91–83 Oct 14KOR

vs Kataja91–85 Oct 7KOR

at Helsinki Seagulls70–76 Oct 2KOR

vs Bisons Loimaa89–92 Mar 18KOR

at Kobrat100–101 Mar 14KOR

at Pyrinto Tampere77–93 Mar 10KOR

vs Kouvot Kouvola80–96 Feb 22KOR

at Bisons Loimaa94–93 Feb 18KOR

vs Kobrat118–112 Feb 15KOR

vs Kataja94–90 Feb 11KOR

vs Pyrinto Tampere83–92 Feb 6KOR

at Kataja89–82 Feb 4KOR

at Kouvot Kouvola74–79 Jan 30KOR

vs Kataja107–86 Jan 24KOR

at UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki94–106 Jan 21KOR

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Honka

Stats

2–3

Lahti Basketball

Lahti Basketball leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+0.9pp

53.2%

+0.9pp

54.1%

3-point %+4.2pp

30.1%

+4.2pp

34.3%

Free-throw %+0.1pp

70.8%

+0.1pp

70.7%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s0.2pp apart

32.7%

0.2pp apart

32.5%

Free throws per shot6.8pp apart

33.0%

6.8pp apart

26.2%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+0.2

34.3

+0.2

34.5

Turnovers per game0.9 fewer

13.4

0.9 fewer

14.3

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.