LiganFinished

Predictions graded

Hogsbo75Jamtland89

Fri 16 Oct 2026, 17:04 Predictions graded

Predictions10–856%

Points by period: Hogsbo and Jamtland.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Hogsbo	17	21	17	20
Jamtland	26	27	15	21

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Jamtland's shooting, rebounding and control make them narrow favourites in a game expected to finish within a couple of points, while Hogsbo's home wins over Nassjo and Boras keep it close.

Jamtland are the likelier full-game winners. Prices are quoted throughout, but no selection stands out at our numbers.

Context

Both teams last played on Oct 13 and have three days' rest, and no absences are confirmed. Jamtland bring the better early-season scoring and rebounding figures, while Hogsbo have won both of their home league games so far.

Hogsbo have added an experienced Nigerian forward who spent the previous three seasons with Morabanc Andorra in Spain's top division, where he averaged 8.4 points, 3.4 rebounds and one assist. The transfer brings a proven European-level frontcourt player into the Swedish league and gives the Gothenburg club another option alongside a squad that has been rebuilt around local connections. When he will be fully integrated into the rotation for this fixture is not yet clear, and the club has not publicly confirmed the transfer.
- Stan Okoye agreed to join Hogsbo after three seasons with Morabanc Andorra in Spain's Liga Endesa.
- The Nigerian forward averaged 8.4 points, 3.4 rebounds and one assist per game in the Spanish top division.
- The move carried a forward with three seasons of Spanish top-division experience into the Swedish league.
The Gothenburg club has begun a fresh squad cycle after a period of upheaval, placing local connections at the centre of the rebuild, and a marquee addition formed part of the refresh. That transition leaves some uncertainty about how settled Hogsbo's roster and roles are for this fixture, even as the side has settled into the early league schedule.
- Hogsbo started over after a turnaround, with local roots as the focus of the new squad.
- A marquee signing formed part of the refreshed group.
Gabo Loaiza is Jämtland's head coach and has publicly discussed building a shared on-court understanding and letting young players learn from mistakes. His approach is a continuity factor for the visiting side rather than a change, so it does not alter the team's expected set-up for this fixture; Jämtland go into the game with their coaching staff already established in the role this season.
- Gabo Loaiza is Jämtland Basket's head coach.
- He has described building a shared on-court understanding and giving young players room to learn from mistakes.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hogsbo 86.2, Jamtland 87.8. Hogsbo cover +7.5 (overtime included) in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Hogsbo's four 2026-2027 Basketligan games (Sep 29–Oct 13) average 88.5 points scored and 89.0 allowed, with home games of 85-81 over Nassjo and 96-90 over Boras.
- Jamtland's five 2026-2027 Basketligan games (Sep 25–Oct 13) average 87.0 scored and 83.6 allowed, including road results of 93-69 at Umea and 78-72 at Uppsala.
- Jamtland's overall box-score sample (15 games, 2025-2026 through 2026-2027) shows better shooting and control than Hogsbo: 36.3% vs 33.9% on threes, 78.8% vs 74.3% free throws, 32.9 vs 29.1 rebounds and 11.4 vs 13.4 turnovers per game.
- Jamtland won all three 2025-2026 head-to-head meetings (85-74 on Mar 17, 107-95 on Dec 6, 111-109 at Hogsbo on Sep 23), though those rosters have since changed.
- Current table: Jamtland 3-2 (435-418) and Hogsbo 2-2 (354-356) after five and four games respectively, so both samples are small.
- Both teams last played on Oct 13, giving each three days' rest before this fixture.
BetBugs · HandicaplostHogsbo +7.5Estimated chance67.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hogsbo 86.2, Jamtland 87.8. Hogsbo cover +2.5 in the 1st quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Hogsbo's four 2026-2027 Basketligan games (Sep 29–Oct 13) average 88.5 points scored and 89.0 allowed, with home games of 85-81 over Nassjo and 96-90 over Boras.
- Jamtland's five 2026-2027 Basketligan games (Sep 25–Oct 13) average 87.0 scored and 83.6 allowed, including road results of 93-69 at Umea and 78-72 at Uppsala.
- Jamtland's overall box-score sample (15 games, 2025-2026 through 2026-2027) shows better shooting and control than Hogsbo: 36.3% vs 33.9% on threes, 78.8% vs 74.3% free throws, 32.9 vs 29.1 rebounds and 11.4 vs 13.4 turnovers per game.
- Jamtland won all three 2025-2026 head-to-head meetings (85-74 on Mar 17, 107-95 on Dec 6, 111-109 at Hogsbo on Sep 23), though those rosters have since changed.
- Current table: Jamtland 3-2 (435-418) and Hogsbo 2-2 (354-356) after five and four games respectively, so both samples are small.
- Both teams last played on Oct 13, giving each three days' rest before this fixture.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicaplostHogsbo +2.5Estimated chance61.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hogsbo 86.2, Jamtland 87.8. Hogsbo cover +2.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Hogsbo and 15 for Jamtland, across seasons and competitions.
- Hogsbo's four 2026-2027 Basketligan games (Sep 29–Oct 13) average 88.5 points scored and 89.0 allowed, with home games of 85-81 over Nassjo and 96-90 over Boras.
- Jamtland's five 2026-2027 Basketligan games (Sep 25–Oct 13) average 87.0 scored and 83.6 allowed, including road results of 93-69 at Umea and 78-72 at Uppsala.
- Jamtland's overall box-score sample (15 games, 2025-2026 through 2026-2027) shows better shooting and control than Hogsbo: 36.3% vs 33.9% on threes, 78.8% vs 74.3% free throws, 32.9 vs 29.1 rebounds and 11.4 vs 13.4 turnovers per game.
- Jamtland won all three 2025-2026 head-to-head meetings (85-74 on Mar 17, 107-95 on Dec 6, 111-109 at Hogsbo on Sep 23), though those rosters have since changed.
- Current table: Jamtland 3-2 (435-418) and Hogsbo 2-2 (354-356) after five and four games respectively, so both samples are small.
- Both teams last played on Oct 13, giving each three days' rest before this fixture.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonHogsbo +2.5Estimated chance61.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hogsbo 86.2, Jamtland 87.8. Hogsbo cover +3.5 in the 1st half in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Hogsbo's four 2026-2027 Basketligan games (Sep 29–Oct 13) average 88.5 points scored and 89.0 allowed, with home games of 85-81 over Nassjo and 96-90 over Boras.
- Jamtland's five 2026-2027 Basketligan games (Sep 25–Oct 13) average 87.0 scored and 83.6 allowed, including road results of 93-69 at Umea and 78-72 at Uppsala.
- Jamtland's overall box-score sample (15 games, 2025-2026 through 2026-2027) shows better shooting and control than Hogsbo: 36.3% vs 33.9% on threes, 78.8% vs 74.3% free throws, 32.9 vs 29.1 rebounds and 11.4 vs 13.4 turnovers per game.
- Jamtland won all three 2025-2026 head-to-head meetings (85-74 on Mar 17, 107-95 on Dec 6, 111-109 at Hogsbo on Sep 23), though those rosters have since changed.
- Current table: Jamtland 3-2 (435-418) and Hogsbo 2-2 (354-356) after five and four games respectively, so both samples are small.
- Both teams last played on Oct 13, giving each three days' rest before this fixture.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicaplostHogsbo +3.5Estimated chance60.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hogsbo 86.2, Jamtland 87.8. Hogsbo cover +1.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Hogsbo and 15 for Jamtland, across seasons and competitions.
- Hogsbo's four 2026-2027 Basketligan games (Sep 29–Oct 13) average 88.5 points scored and 89.0 allowed, with home games of 85-81 over Nassjo and 96-90 over Boras.
- Jamtland's five 2026-2027 Basketligan games (Sep 25–Oct 13) average 87.0 scored and 83.6 allowed, including road results of 93-69 at Umea and 78-72 at Uppsala.
- Jamtland's overall box-score sample (15 games, 2025-2026 through 2026-2027) shows better shooting and control than Hogsbo: 36.3% vs 33.9% on threes, 78.8% vs 74.3% free throws, 32.9 vs 29.1 rebounds and 11.4 vs 13.4 turnovers per game.
- Jamtland won all three 2025-2026 head-to-head meetings (85-74 on Mar 17, 107-95 on Dec 6, 111-109 at Hogsbo on Sep 23), though those rosters have since changed.
- Current table: Jamtland 3-2 (435-418) and Hogsbo 2-2 (354-356) after five and four games respectively, so both samples are small.
- Both teams last played on Oct 13, giving each three days' rest before this fixture.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostHogsbo +1.5Estimated chance55.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hogsbo 86.2, Jamtland 87.8. Jamtland win in about 55 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Hogsbo's four 2026-2027 Basketligan games (Sep 29–Oct 13) average 88.5 points scored and 89.0 allowed, with home games of 85-81 over Nassjo and 96-90 over Boras.
- Jamtland's five 2026-2027 Basketligan games (Sep 25–Oct 13) average 87.0 scored and 83.6 allowed, including road results of 93-69 at Umea and 78-72 at Uppsala.
- Jamtland's overall box-score sample (15 games, 2025-2026 through 2026-2027) shows better shooting and control than Hogsbo: 36.3% vs 33.9% on threes, 78.8% vs 74.3% free throws, 32.9 vs 29.1 rebounds and 11.4 vs 13.4 turnovers per game.
- Jamtland won all three 2025-2026 head-to-head meetings (85-74 on Mar 17, 107-95 on Dec 6, 111-109 at Hogsbo on Sep 23), though those rosters have since changed.
- Current table: Jamtland 3-2 (435-418) and Hogsbo 2-2 (354-356) after five and four games respectively, so both samples are small.
- Both teams last played on Oct 13, giving each three days' rest before this fixture.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonJamtlandEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hogsbo 86.2, Jamtland 87.8. Jamtland are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 53 of 100 games like this.
- Hogsbo's four 2026-2027 Basketligan games (Sep 29–Oct 13) average 88.5 points scored and 89.0 allowed, with home games of 85-81 over Nassjo and 96-90 over Boras.
- Jamtland's five 2026-2027 Basketligan games (Sep 25–Oct 13) average 87.0 scored and 83.6 allowed, including road results of 93-69 at Umea and 78-72 at Uppsala.
- Jamtland's overall box-score sample (15 games, 2025-2026 through 2026-2027) shows better shooting and control than Hogsbo: 36.3% vs 33.9% on threes, 78.8% vs 74.3% free throws, 32.9 vs 29.1 rebounds and 11.4 vs 13.4 turnovers per game.
- Jamtland won all three 2025-2026 head-to-head meetings (85-74 on Mar 17, 107-95 on Dec 6, 111-109 at Hogsbo on Sep 23), though those rosters have since changed.
- Current table: Jamtland 3-2 (435-418) and Hogsbo 2-2 (354-356) after five and four games respectively, so both samples are small.
- Both teams last played on Oct 13, giving each three days' rest before this fixture.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonJamtlandEstimated chance52.7%

Points7 of 11 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hogsbo 86.2, Jamtland 87.8. Jamtland score fewer than 95.5 points (overtime included) in about 75 of 100 games like this.
- Hogsbo's four 2026-2027 Basketligan games (Sep 29–Oct 13) average 88.5 points scored and 89.0 allowed, with home games of 85-81 over Nassjo and 96-90 over Boras.
- Jamtland's five 2026-2027 Basketligan games (Sep 25–Oct 13) average 87.0 scored and 83.6 allowed, including road results of 93-69 at Umea and 78-72 at Uppsala.
- Jamtland's overall box-score sample (15 games, 2025-2026 through 2026-2027) shows better shooting and control than Hogsbo: 36.3% vs 33.9% on threes, 78.8% vs 74.3% free throws, 32.9 vs 29.1 rebounds and 11.4 vs 13.4 turnovers per game.
- Jamtland won all three 2025-2026 head-to-head meetings (85-74 on Mar 17, 107-95 on Dec 6, 111-109 at Hogsbo on Sep 23), though those rosters have since changed.
- Current table: Jamtland 3-2 (435-418) and Hogsbo 2-2 (354-356) after five and four games respectively, so both samples are small.
- Both teams last played on Oct 13, giving each three days' rest before this fixture.
BetBugs · Team PointswonJamtland under 95.5Estimated chance74.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hogsbo 86.2, Jamtland 87.8. Jamtland score fewer than 48.5 points in the 1st half in about 73 of 100 games like this.
- Hogsbo's four 2026-2027 Basketligan games (Sep 29–Oct 13) average 88.5 points scored and 89.0 allowed, with home games of 85-81 over Nassjo and 96-90 over Boras.
- Jamtland's five 2026-2027 Basketligan games (Sep 25–Oct 13) average 87.0 scored and 83.6 allowed, including road results of 93-69 at Umea and 78-72 at Uppsala.
- Jamtland's overall box-score sample (15 games, 2025-2026 through 2026-2027) shows better shooting and control than Hogsbo: 36.3% vs 33.9% on threes, 78.8% vs 74.3% free throws, 32.9 vs 29.1 rebounds and 11.4 vs 13.4 turnovers per game.
- Jamtland won all three 2025-2026 head-to-head meetings (85-74 on Mar 17, 107-95 on Dec 6, 111-109 at Hogsbo on Sep 23), though those rosters have since changed.
- Current table: Jamtland 3-2 (435-418) and Hogsbo 2-2 (354-356) after five and four games respectively, so both samples are small.
- Both teams last played on Oct 13, giving each three days' rest before this fixture.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostJamtland under 48.5Estimated chance73.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hogsbo 86.2, Jamtland 87.8. Hogsbo score fewer than 23.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Hogsbo and 15 for Jamtland, across seasons and competitions.
- Hogsbo's four 2026-2027 Basketligan games (Sep 29–Oct 13) average 88.5 points scored and 89.0 allowed, with home games of 85-81 over Nassjo and 96-90 over Boras.
- Jamtland's five 2026-2027 Basketligan games (Sep 25–Oct 13) average 87.0 scored and 83.6 allowed, including road results of 93-69 at Umea and 78-72 at Uppsala.
- Jamtland's overall box-score sample (15 games, 2025-2026 through 2026-2027) shows better shooting and control than Hogsbo: 36.3% vs 33.9% on threes, 78.8% vs 74.3% free throws, 32.9 vs 29.1 rebounds and 11.4 vs 13.4 turnovers per game.
- Jamtland won all three 2025-2026 head-to-head meetings (85-74 on Mar 17, 107-95 on Dec 6, 111-109 at Hogsbo on Sep 23), though those rosters have since changed.
- Current table: Jamtland 3-2 (435-418) and Hogsbo 2-2 (354-356) after five and four games respectively, so both samples are small.
- Both teams last played on Oct 13, giving each three days' rest before this fixture.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonHogsbo under 23.5Estimated chance66.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hogsbo 86.2, Jamtland 87.8. The 1st half has fewer than 91.5 points in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Hogsbo's four 2026-2027 Basketligan games (Sep 29–Oct 13) average 88.5 points scored and 89.0 allowed, with home games of 85-81 over Nassjo and 96-90 over Boras.
- Jamtland's five 2026-2027 Basketligan games (Sep 25–Oct 13) average 87.0 scored and 83.6 allowed, including road results of 93-69 at Umea and 78-72 at Uppsala.
- Jamtland's overall box-score sample (15 games, 2025-2026 through 2026-2027) shows better shooting and control than Hogsbo: 36.3% vs 33.9% on threes, 78.8% vs 74.3% free throws, 32.9 vs 29.1 rebounds and 11.4 vs 13.4 turnovers per game.
- Jamtland won all three 2025-2026 head-to-head meetings (85-74 on Mar 17, 107-95 on Dec 6, 111-109 at Hogsbo on Sep 23), though those rosters have since changed.
- Current table: Jamtland 3-2 (435-418) and Hogsbo 2-2 (354-356) after five and four games respectively, so both samples are small.
- Both teams last played on Oct 13, giving each three days' rest before this fixture.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonUnder 91.5Estimated chance65.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hogsbo 86.2, Jamtland 87.8. The game has fewer than 181.5 points (overtime included) in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Hogsbo's four 2026-2027 Basketligan games (Sep 29–Oct 13) average 88.5 points scored and 89.0 allowed, with home games of 85-81 over Nassjo and 96-90 over Boras.
- Jamtland's five 2026-2027 Basketligan games (Sep 25–Oct 13) average 87.0 scored and 83.6 allowed, including road results of 93-69 at Umea and 78-72 at Uppsala.
- Jamtland's overall box-score sample (15 games, 2025-2026 through 2026-2027) shows better shooting and control than Hogsbo: 36.3% vs 33.9% on threes, 78.8% vs 74.3% free throws, 32.9 vs 29.1 rebounds and 11.4 vs 13.4 turnovers per game.
- Jamtland won all three 2025-2026 head-to-head meetings (85-74 on Mar 17, 107-95 on Dec 6, 111-109 at Hogsbo on Sep 23), though those rosters have since changed.
- Current table: Jamtland 3-2 (435-418) and Hogsbo 2-2 (354-356) after five and four games respectively, so both samples are small.
- Both teams last played on Oct 13, giving each three days' rest before this fixture.
BetBugs · Total PointswonUnder 181.5Estimated chance65.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hogsbo 86.2, Jamtland 87.8. Jamtland score fewer than 23.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Hogsbo's four 2026-2027 Basketligan games (Sep 29–Oct 13) average 88.5 points scored and 89.0 allowed, with home games of 85-81 over Nassjo and 96-90 over Boras.
- Jamtland's five 2026-2027 Basketligan games (Sep 25–Oct 13) average 87.0 scored and 83.6 allowed, including road results of 93-69 at Umea and 78-72 at Uppsala.
- Jamtland's overall box-score sample (15 games, 2025-2026 through 2026-2027) shows better shooting and control than Hogsbo: 36.3% vs 33.9% on threes, 78.8% vs 74.3% free throws, 32.9 vs 29.1 rebounds and 11.4 vs 13.4 turnovers per game.
- Jamtland won all three 2025-2026 head-to-head meetings (85-74 on Mar 17, 107-95 on Dec 6, 111-109 at Hogsbo on Sep 23), though those rosters have since changed.
- Current table: Jamtland 3-2 (435-418) and Hogsbo 2-2 (354-356) after five and four games respectively, so both samples are small.
- Both teams last played on Oct 13, giving each three days' rest before this fixture.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostJamtland under 23.5Estimated chance62.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hogsbo 86.2, Jamtland 87.8. The 1st quarter has fewer than 45.5 points in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Hogsbo's four 2026-2027 Basketligan games (Sep 29–Oct 13) average 88.5 points scored and 89.0 allowed, with home games of 85-81 over Nassjo and 96-90 over Boras.
- Jamtland's five 2026-2027 Basketligan games (Sep 25–Oct 13) average 87.0 scored and 83.6 allowed, including road results of 93-69 at Umea and 78-72 at Uppsala.
- Jamtland's overall box-score sample (15 games, 2025-2026 through 2026-2027) shows better shooting and control than Hogsbo: 36.3% vs 33.9% on threes, 78.8% vs 74.3% free throws, 32.9 vs 29.1 rebounds and 11.4 vs 13.4 turnovers per game.
- Jamtland won all three 2025-2026 head-to-head meetings (85-74 on Mar 17, 107-95 on Dec 6, 111-109 at Hogsbo on Sep 23), though those rosters have since changed.
- Current table: Jamtland 3-2 (435-418) and Hogsbo 2-2 (354-356) after five and four games respectively, so both samples are small.
- Both teams last played on Oct 13, giving each three days' rest before this fixture.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonUnder 45.5Estimated chance61%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hogsbo 86.2, Jamtland 87.8. Jamtland score fewer than 23.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Hogsbo's four 2026-2027 Basketligan games (Sep 29–Oct 13) average 88.5 points scored and 89.0 allowed, with home games of 85-81 over Nassjo and 96-90 over Boras.
- Jamtland's five 2026-2027 Basketligan games (Sep 25–Oct 13) average 87.0 scored and 83.6 allowed, including road results of 93-69 at Umea and 78-72 at Uppsala.
- Jamtland's overall box-score sample (15 games, 2025-2026 through 2026-2027) shows better shooting and control than Hogsbo: 36.3% vs 33.9% on threes, 78.8% vs 74.3% free throws, 32.9 vs 29.1 rebounds and 11.4 vs 13.4 turnovers per game.
- Jamtland won all three 2025-2026 head-to-head meetings (85-74 on Mar 17, 107-95 on Dec 6, 111-109 at Hogsbo on Sep 23), though those rosters have since changed.
- Current table: Jamtland 3-2 (435-418) and Hogsbo 2-2 (354-356) after five and four games respectively, so both samples are small.
- Both teams last played on Oct 13, giving each three days' rest before this fixture.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostJamtland under 23.5Estimated chance60.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hogsbo 86.2, Jamtland 87.8. The 2nd quarter has fewer than 45.5 points in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Hogsbo's four 2026-2027 Basketligan games (Sep 29–Oct 13) average 88.5 points scored and 89.0 allowed, with home games of 85-81 over Nassjo and 96-90 over Boras.
- Jamtland's five 2026-2027 Basketligan games (Sep 25–Oct 13) average 87.0 scored and 83.6 allowed, including road results of 93-69 at Umea and 78-72 at Uppsala.
- Jamtland's overall box-score sample (15 games, 2025-2026 through 2026-2027) shows better shooting and control than Hogsbo: 36.3% vs 33.9% on threes, 78.8% vs 74.3% free throws, 32.9 vs 29.1 rebounds and 11.4 vs 13.4 turnovers per game.
- Jamtland won all three 2025-2026 head-to-head meetings (85-74 on Mar 17, 107-95 on Dec 6, 111-109 at Hogsbo on Sep 23), though those rosters have since changed.
- Current table: Jamtland 3-2 (435-418) and Hogsbo 2-2 (354-356) after five and four games respectively, so both samples are small.
- Both teams last played on Oct 13, giving each three days' rest before this fixture.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointslostUnder 45.5Estimated chance60.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hogsbo 86.2, Jamtland 87.8. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 44.5 points in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Hogsbo and 15 for Jamtland, across seasons and competitions.
- Hogsbo's four 2026-2027 Basketligan games (Sep 29–Oct 13) average 88.5 points scored and 89.0 allowed, with home games of 85-81 over Nassjo and 96-90 over Boras.
- Jamtland's five 2026-2027 Basketligan games (Sep 25–Oct 13) average 87.0 scored and 83.6 allowed, including road results of 93-69 at Umea and 78-72 at Uppsala.
- Jamtland's overall box-score sample (15 games, 2025-2026 through 2026-2027) shows better shooting and control than Hogsbo: 36.3% vs 33.9% on threes, 78.8% vs 74.3% free throws, 32.9 vs 29.1 rebounds and 11.4 vs 13.4 turnovers per game.
- Jamtland won all three 2025-2026 head-to-head meetings (85-74 on Mar 17, 107-95 on Dec 6, 111-109 at Hogsbo on Sep 23), though those rosters have since changed.
- Current table: Jamtland 3-2 (435-418) and Hogsbo 2-2 (354-356) after five and four games respectively, so both samples are small.
- Both teams last played on Oct 13, giving each three days' rest before this fixture.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 44.5Estimated chance57.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hogsbo 86.2, Jamtland 87.8. Jamtland score fewer than 22.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Hogsbo and 15 for Jamtland, across seasons and competitions.
- Hogsbo's four 2026-2027 Basketligan games (Sep 29–Oct 13) average 88.5 points scored and 89.0 allowed, with home games of 85-81 over Nassjo and 96-90 over Boras.
- Jamtland's five 2026-2027 Basketligan games (Sep 25–Oct 13) average 87.0 scored and 83.6 allowed, including road results of 93-69 at Umea and 78-72 at Uppsala.
- Jamtland's overall box-score sample (15 games, 2025-2026 through 2026-2027) shows better shooting and control than Hogsbo: 36.3% vs 33.9% on threes, 78.8% vs 74.3% free throws, 32.9 vs 29.1 rebounds and 11.4 vs 13.4 turnovers per game.
- Jamtland won all three 2025-2026 head-to-head meetings (85-74 on Mar 17, 107-95 on Dec 6, 111-109 at Hogsbo on Sep 23), though those rosters have since changed.
- Current table: Jamtland 3-2 (435-418) and Hogsbo 2-2 (354-356) after five and four games respectively, so both samples are small.
- Both teams last played on Oct 13, giving each three days' rest before this fixture.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonJamtland under 22.5Estimated chance56.2%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 15, 03:57

Selected line

181.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

35%

Chance of 182+ points

21 pp below break-even

Over 1.80 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 35%.

Move the line main 181.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 35%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 65%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L85–74

Jamtlandv

Hogsbo

Mar 17, 2026·BAS

L107–95

Jamtlandv

Hogsbo

Dec 6, 2025·BAS

L109–111

Hogsbov

Jamtland

Sep 23, 2025·BAS

L114–98

Jamtlandv

Hogsbo

Feb 15, 2025·BAS

W84–70

Hogsbov

Jamtland

Dec 27, 2024·BAS

L81–94

Hogsbov

Jamtland

Nov 1, 2024·BASOT

187Avg total points

11.3Avg margin

6meetings

League table

Ligan · Basketligan - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Hogsbo

2–250%

Jamtland

3–260%

Recent Form

Hogsbo

4W 11L · last 15

at Sodertalje85–93 Oct 13BAS

vs Nassjo85–81 Oct 9BAS

at Uppsala88–92 Oct 2BAS

vs Boras96–90 Sep 29BAS

at Jamtland74–85 Mar 17BAS

vs Umea81–77 Mar 14BAS

vs Uppsala79–93 Mar 10BAS

at Sodertalje75–110 Mar 6BAS

at Boras80–115 Feb 20BAS

vs BC Lulea78–92 Feb 16BAS

at Koping Stars96–110 Feb 13BAS

vs Nassjo93–75 Feb 6BAS

vs Norrkoping76–87 Feb 3BAS

at Sloga Uppsala102–106 OTJan 23BAS

vs Norrkoping63–94 Jan 17BAS

Jamtland

9W 6L · last 15

vs Boras92–99 Oct 13BAS

at Umea93–69 Oct 9BAS

at Sodertalje76–91 Oct 3BAS

vs BC Lulea96–87 Sep 29BAS

at Uppsala78–72 Sep 25BAS

vs Boras83–90 Apr 21BAS

at Boras104–99 Apr 19BAS

vs Boras107–96 Apr 17BAS

at Boras75–99 Apr 14BAS

at Boras84–106 Apr 12BAS

vs Boras98–105 Apr 9BAS

vs Boras86–83 Apr 7BAS

at Koping Stars114–92 Mar 28BAS

vs Koping Stars98–94 Mar 25BAS

vs Koping Stars103–101 Mar 23BAS

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Hogsbo

14 games

Stats

1–4

Jamtland

Jamtland leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+0.5pp

54.0%

+0.5pp

53.5%

3-point %+2.4pp

33.9%

+2.4pp

36.3%

Free-throw %+4.5pp

74.3%

+4.5pp

78.8%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s2.5pp apart

36.4%

2.5pp apart

38.9%

Free throws per shot9.2pp apart

39.1%

9.2pp apart

29.9%

Possession· 0–2

Rebounds per game+3.8

29.1

+3.8

32.9

Turnovers per game2.0 fewer

13.4

2.0 fewer

11.4

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.