Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tambov 72.2, Chelyabinsk 84.8. Chelyabinsk win in about 84 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Chelyabinsk are 2-0 in the 2026-27 Super League, both wins on the road (87-78 at Izhevsk on 12 Oct 2026, 93-79 at Metallurg on 4 Oct 2026), scoring 90.0 and conceding 78.5 per game.
- Tambov are 1-2 in the 2026-27 Super League, averaging 64.3 scored and 66.3 conceded in three games (73-56 home win over Metallurg 12 Oct, 64-83 at Dynamo Grozny 4 Oct, 56-60 at CSKA Moscow 2 1 Oct).
- Tambov lost at home 66-86 to Izhevsk in the Russian Cup on 8 Oct 2026, an opponent Chelyabinsk beat 87-78 on the road four days later.
- The last two head-to-head meetings were high scoring: Chelyabinsk 103-76 at home (3 Oct 2025) and Tambov 101-87 in overtime at home (13 Jan 2026).
- Neither team has a single box score this season (0 of 30 recent games tracked), so shooting, rebounding and turnover splits are unavailable.
- In 2025-26 Tambov scored about 83 points per game in home Super League games versus roughly 63 on the road, indicating a strong venue effect that may carry some weight.
BetBugs · Match Winnerwon
ChelyabinskEstimated chance84%
ChelyabinskEstimated chance84%










