Ulm102KK Bosna93

Wed 14 Oct 2026, 16:30 Predictions graded

Predictions11–285%

Points by period: Ulm and KK Bosna.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Ulm	26	26	26	24
KK Bosna	26	23	16	28

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Ulm have scored 93.5 points per game in their two EuroCup games, but they arrive on a three-game losing run; Bosna are 0-2 in the competition yet have won both of their ABA League games.

Ulm are the likely winners, ahead after 40 minutes in about 73 of 100 games like this. No quoted price stands out at our numbers.

Context

Both teams last played on 10 October, so rest is nearly equal at roughly four days each, and no venue or travel factor is established. Bosna's Nikola Popovic missed the latest game on 10 October, which is an observation rather than a confirmed absence.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result8 of 9 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ulm 87.2, KK Bosna 78.8. Ulm win in about 75 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Ulm has scored 93.5 points per game in two EuroCup games this season (98 vs Balkan on 2026-09-30, 89 at Manresa on 2026-10-07).
- KK Bosna has scored exactly 72 points in both EuroCup games (72 at Lietkabelis on 2026-09-30, 72 vs PAOK on 2026-10-06), while averaging 97.5 in two ABA League games.
- Bosna's EuroCup defense has allowed 75.0 points per game, holding both Lietkabelis and PAOK to 75.
- Ulm's EuroCup defense has allowed 92.5 points per game, including 84 at home to Balkan on 2026-09-30.
- In overall stats (15 games tracked), Ulm shoots 55.3% on two-pointers and 31.4% on threes; Bosna shoots 51.7% on two-pointers and 36.6% on threes.
- Ulm had no regulars missing from its latest box score (2026-10-10), while Bosna's Nikola Popovic (8.3 ppg) missed the latest game on 2026-10-10.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonUlmEstimated chance74.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ulm 87.2, KK Bosna 78.8. Ulm are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 73 of 100 games like this.
- Ulm has scored 93.5 points per game in two EuroCup games this season (98 vs Balkan on 2026-09-30, 89 at Manresa on 2026-10-07).
- KK Bosna has scored exactly 72 points in both EuroCup games (72 at Lietkabelis on 2026-09-30, 72 vs PAOK on 2026-10-06), while averaging 97.5 in two ABA League games.
- Bosna's EuroCup defense has allowed 75.0 points per game, holding both Lietkabelis and PAOK to 75.
- Ulm's EuroCup defense has allowed 92.5 points per game, including 84 at home to Balkan on 2026-09-30.
- In overall stats (15 games tracked), Ulm shoots 55.3% on two-pointers and 31.4% on threes; Bosna shoots 51.7% on two-pointers and 36.6% on threes.
- Ulm had no regulars missing from its latest box score (2026-10-10), while Bosna's Nikola Popovic (8.3 ppg) missed the latest game on 2026-10-10.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonUlmEstimated chance72.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ulm 87.2, KK Bosna 78.8. Ulm are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Ulm has scored 93.5 points per game in two EuroCup games this season (98 vs Balkan on 2026-09-30, 89 at Manresa on 2026-10-07).
- KK Bosna has scored exactly 72 points in both EuroCup games (72 at Lietkabelis on 2026-09-30, 72 vs PAOK on 2026-10-06), while averaging 97.5 in two ABA League games.
- Bosna's EuroCup defense has allowed 75.0 points per game, holding both Lietkabelis and PAOK to 75.
- Ulm's EuroCup defense has allowed 92.5 points per game, including 84 at home to Balkan on 2026-09-30.
- In overall stats (15 games tracked), Ulm shoots 55.3% on two-pointers and 31.4% on threes; Bosna shoots 51.7% on two-pointers and 36.6% on threes.
- Ulm had no regulars missing from its latest box score (2026-10-10), while Bosna's Nikola Popovic (8.3 ppg) missed the latest game on 2026-10-10.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonUlmEstimated chance66.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ulm 87.2, KK Bosna 78.8. KK Bosna cover +12.5 (overtime included) in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Ulm has scored 93.5 points per game in two EuroCup games this season (98 vs Balkan on 2026-09-30, 89 at Manresa on 2026-10-07).
- KK Bosna has scored exactly 72 points in both EuroCup games (72 at Lietkabelis on 2026-09-30, 72 vs PAOK on 2026-10-06), while averaging 97.5 in two ABA League games.
- Bosna's EuroCup defense has allowed 75.0 points per game, holding both Lietkabelis and PAOK to 75.
- Ulm's EuroCup defense has allowed 92.5 points per game, including 84 at home to Balkan on 2026-09-30.
- In overall stats (15 games tracked), Ulm shoots 55.3% on two-pointers and 31.4% on threes; Bosna shoots 51.7% on two-pointers and 36.6% on threes.
- Ulm had no regulars missing from its latest box score (2026-10-10), while Bosna's Nikola Popovic (8.3 ppg) missed the latest game on 2026-10-10.
BetBugs · HandicapwonKK Bosna +12.5Estimated chance62.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ulm 87.2, KK Bosna 78.8. Ulm are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Ulm has scored 93.5 points per game in two EuroCup games this season (98 vs Balkan on 2026-09-30, 89 at Manresa on 2026-10-07).
- KK Bosna has scored exactly 72 points in both EuroCup games (72 at Lietkabelis on 2026-09-30, 72 vs PAOK on 2026-10-06), while averaging 97.5 in two ABA League games.
- Bosna's EuroCup defense has allowed 75.0 points per game, holding both Lietkabelis and PAOK to 75.
- Ulm's EuroCup defense has allowed 92.5 points per game, including 84 at home to Balkan on 2026-09-30.
- In overall stats (15 games tracked), Ulm shoots 55.3% on two-pointers and 31.4% on threes; Bosna shoots 51.7% on two-pointers and 36.6% on threes.
- Ulm had no regulars missing from its latest box score (2026-10-10), while Bosna's Nikola Popovic (8.3 ppg) missed the latest game on 2026-10-10.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonUlmEstimated chance61.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ulm 87.2, KK Bosna 78.8. Ulm are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Ulm has scored 93.5 points per game in two EuroCup games this season (98 vs Balkan on 2026-09-30, 89 at Manresa on 2026-10-07).
- KK Bosna has scored exactly 72 points in both EuroCup games (72 at Lietkabelis on 2026-09-30, 72 vs PAOK on 2026-10-06), while averaging 97.5 in two ABA League games.
- Bosna's EuroCup defense has allowed 75.0 points per game, holding both Lietkabelis and PAOK to 75.
- Ulm's EuroCup defense has allowed 92.5 points per game, including 84 at home to Balkan on 2026-09-30.
- In overall stats (15 games tracked), Ulm shoots 55.3% on two-pointers and 31.4% on threes; Bosna shoots 51.7% on two-pointers and 36.6% on threes.
- Ulm had no regulars missing from its latest box score (2026-10-10), while Bosna's Nikola Popovic (8.3 ppg) missed the latest game on 2026-10-10.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultlostUlmEstimated chance58.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ulm 87.2, KK Bosna 78.8. Ulm are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Ulm has scored 93.5 points per game in two EuroCup games this season (98 vs Balkan on 2026-09-30, 89 at Manresa on 2026-10-07).
- KK Bosna has scored exactly 72 points in both EuroCup games (72 at Lietkabelis on 2026-09-30, 72 vs PAOK on 2026-10-06), while averaging 97.5 in two ABA League games.
- Bosna's EuroCup defense has allowed 75.0 points per game, holding both Lietkabelis and PAOK to 75.
- Ulm's EuroCup defense has allowed 92.5 points per game, including 84 at home to Balkan on 2026-09-30.
- In overall stats (15 games tracked), Ulm shoots 55.3% on two-pointers and 31.4% on threes; Bosna shoots 51.7% on two-pointers and 36.6% on threes.
- Ulm had no regulars missing from its latest box score (2026-10-10), while Bosna's Nikola Popovic (8.3 ppg) missed the latest game on 2026-10-10.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonUlmEstimated chance57.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ulm 87.2, KK Bosna 78.8. Ulm cover -0.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Ulm and 14 for KK Bosna, across seasons and competitions.
- Ulm has scored 93.5 points per game in two EuroCup games this season (98 vs Balkan on 2026-09-30, 89 at Manresa on 2026-10-07).
- KK Bosna has scored exactly 72 points in both EuroCup games (72 at Lietkabelis on 2026-09-30, 72 vs PAOK on 2026-10-06), while averaging 97.5 in two ABA League games.
- Bosna's EuroCup defense has allowed 75.0 points per game, holding both Lietkabelis and PAOK to 75.
- Ulm's EuroCup defense has allowed 92.5 points per game, including 84 at home to Balkan on 2026-09-30.
- In overall stats (15 games tracked), Ulm shoots 55.3% on two-pointers and 31.4% on threes; Bosna shoots 51.7% on two-pointers and 36.6% on threes.
- Ulm had no regulars missing from its latest box score (2026-10-10), while Bosna's Nikola Popovic (8.3 ppg) missed the latest game on 2026-10-10.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonUlm -0.5Estimated chance57.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ulm 87.2, KK Bosna 78.8. Ulm cover -1.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Ulm and 14 for KK Bosna, across seasons and competitions.
- Ulm has scored 93.5 points per game in two EuroCup games this season (98 vs Balkan on 2026-09-30, 89 at Manresa on 2026-10-07).
- KK Bosna has scored exactly 72 points in both EuroCup games (72 at Lietkabelis on 2026-09-30, 72 vs PAOK on 2026-10-06), while averaging 97.5 in two ABA League games.
- Bosna's EuroCup defense has allowed 75.0 points per game, holding both Lietkabelis and PAOK to 75.
- Ulm's EuroCup defense has allowed 92.5 points per game, including 84 at home to Balkan on 2026-09-30.
- In overall stats (15 games tracked), Ulm shoots 55.3% on two-pointers and 31.4% on threes; Bosna shoots 51.7% on two-pointers and 36.6% on threes.
- Ulm had no regulars missing from its latest box score (2026-10-10), while Bosna's Nikola Popovic (8.3 ppg) missed the latest game on 2026-10-10.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonUlm -1.5Estimated chance56.2%

Points3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ulm 87.2, KK Bosna 78.8. Ulm score more than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Ulm has scored 93.5 points per game in two EuroCup games this season (98 vs Balkan on 2026-09-30, 89 at Manresa on 2026-10-07).
- KK Bosna has scored exactly 72 points in both EuroCup games (72 at Lietkabelis on 2026-09-30, 72 vs PAOK on 2026-10-06), while averaging 97.5 in two ABA League games.
- Bosna's EuroCup defense has allowed 75.0 points per game, holding both Lietkabelis and PAOK to 75.
- Ulm's EuroCup defense has allowed 92.5 points per game, including 84 at home to Balkan on 2026-09-30.
- In overall stats (15 games tracked), Ulm shoots 55.3% on two-pointers and 31.4% on threes; Bosna shoots 51.7% on two-pointers and 36.6% on threes.
- Ulm had no regulars missing from its latest box score (2026-10-10), while Bosna's Nikola Popovic (8.3 ppg) missed the latest game on 2026-10-10.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonUlm over 20.5Estimated chance62.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ulm 87.2, KK Bosna 78.8. KK Bosna score fewer than 81.5 points (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Ulm has scored 93.5 points per game in two EuroCup games this season (98 vs Balkan on 2026-09-30, 89 at Manresa on 2026-10-07).
- KK Bosna has scored exactly 72 points in both EuroCup games (72 at Lietkabelis on 2026-09-30, 72 vs PAOK on 2026-10-06), while averaging 97.5 in two ABA League games.
- Bosna's EuroCup defense has allowed 75.0 points per game, holding both Lietkabelis and PAOK to 75.
- Ulm's EuroCup defense has allowed 92.5 points per game, including 84 at home to Balkan on 2026-09-30.
- In overall stats (15 games tracked), Ulm shoots 55.3% on two-pointers and 31.4% on threes; Bosna shoots 51.7% on two-pointers and 36.6% on threes.
- Ulm had no regulars missing from its latest box score (2026-10-10), while Bosna's Nikola Popovic (8.3 ppg) missed the latest game on 2026-10-10.
BetBugs · Team PointslostKK Bosna under 81.5Estimated chance59%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ulm 87.2, KK Bosna 78.8. KK Bosna score fewer than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Ulm has scored 93.5 points per game in two EuroCup games this season (98 vs Balkan on 2026-09-30, 89 at Manresa on 2026-10-07).
- KK Bosna has scored exactly 72 points in both EuroCup games (72 at Lietkabelis on 2026-09-30, 72 vs PAOK on 2026-10-06), while averaging 97.5 in two ABA League games.
- Bosna's EuroCup defense has allowed 75.0 points per game, holding both Lietkabelis and PAOK to 75.
- Ulm's EuroCup defense has allowed 92.5 points per game, including 84 at home to Balkan on 2026-09-30.
- In overall stats (15 games tracked), Ulm shoots 55.3% on two-pointers and 31.4% on threes; Bosna shoots 51.7% on two-pointers and 36.6% on threes.
- Ulm had no regulars missing from its latest box score (2026-10-10), while Bosna's Nikola Popovic (8.3 ppg) missed the latest game on 2026-10-10.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonKK Bosna under 20.5Estimated chance56.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ulm 87.2, KK Bosna 78.8. The 2nd quarter has more than 40.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Ulm has scored 93.5 points per game in two EuroCup games this season (98 vs Balkan on 2026-09-30, 89 at Manresa on 2026-10-07).
- KK Bosna has scored exactly 72 points in both EuroCup games (72 at Lietkabelis on 2026-09-30, 72 vs PAOK on 2026-10-06), while averaging 97.5 in two ABA League games.
- Bosna's EuroCup defense has allowed 75.0 points per game, holding both Lietkabelis and PAOK to 75.
- Ulm's EuroCup defense has allowed 92.5 points per game, including 84 at home to Balkan on 2026-09-30.
- In overall stats (15 games tracked), Ulm shoots 55.3% on two-pointers and 31.4% on threes; Bosna shoots 51.7% on two-pointers and 36.6% on threes.
- Ulm had no regulars missing from its latest box score (2026-10-10), while Bosna's Nikola Popovic (8.3 ppg) missed the latest game on 2026-10-10.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonOver 40.5Estimated chance56.5%