EuroCupFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Tofas90Buducnost85

Wed 14 Oct 2026, 17:00 Predictions graded

Predictions10–567%

Edges1–150%

Points by period: Tofas and Buducnost.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Tofas	22	30	19	19
Buducnost	25	19	20	21

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Tofas sit 2-0 in EuroCup Group C and host a Buducnost side that has split its first two games, with a 99-point road win and a home loss.

The 40-minute expected score reads 86.2-81.2 to the home team, so Tofas are the likelier winner. Two prices hold: under 173.5 combined points at 1.84 and Tofas to lead at half-time (first-half handicap -0.5) at 1.80.

Context

Both teams last played on 10 October, leaving Tofas 4.1 days and Buducnost 3.9 days before tip-off, and no absence is confirmed on either side. There is no completed head-to-head meeting on record and no venue detail, so nothing beyond the EuroCup form separates the conditions.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Total PointslostUncertainty band: Lean

Under 173.5

1.84fair 1.60

Market 54.3% · BetBugs 62.4%

+8.0ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Tofas 86.2, Buducnost 81.2. The game has fewer than 173.5 points (overtime included) in about 62 of 100 games like this. Tofas have the better EuroCup record and defensive numbers so far, and they are at home. Buducnost's high-variance EuroCup form includes a home loss to Napoli and a blowout of Slask, so I give Tofas a moderate edge in a game that should stay around the high-160s.

1st Half HandicapwonUncertainty band: Lean

Tofas -0.5

1.80fair 1.69

Market 55.6% · BetBugs 59.3%

+3.8ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Tofas 86.2, Buducnost 81.2. Tofas cover -0.5 in the 1st half in about 59 of 100 games like this. Tofas have the better EuroCup record and defensive numbers so far, and they are at home. Buducnost's high-variance EuroCup form includes a home loss to Napoli and a blowout of Slask, so I give Tofas a moderate edge in a game that should stay around the high-160s.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result8 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tofas 86.2, Buducnost 81.2. Tofas cover +4.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 78 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Tofas and 15 for Buducnost, across seasons and competitions.
- Tofas are 2-0 in EuroCup Group C with a +20 point differential: 89-82 at JL Bourg on 6 Oct 2026 and 82-69 at home vs Chemnitz on 29 Sep 2026.
- Buducnost are 1-1 in EuroCup Group C, losing 75-93 at home to Napoli on 6 Oct 2026 and winning 99-75 at Slask on 30 Sep 2026.
- Current-season averages: Tofas score 85.4 and allow 85.6 in five games; Buducnost score 85.5 and allow 85.25 in four games (all competitions, through 10 Oct 2026).
- Across 15 tracked games, Buducnost shoot 39.3% from three with 8.6 turnovers per game; Tofas shoot 30.1% from three with 13.0 turnovers per game.
- In two EuroCup games each, Tofas allow 75.5 points per game and Buducnost allow 84.0 points per game.
- Buducnost's J. Morgan (12.3 ppg) and O. Kovliar were absent from the latest box score on 10 Oct 2026, but no confirmed absence is reported.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonTofas +4.5Estimated chance77.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tofas 86.2, Buducnost 81.2. Tofas cover +3.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 76 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Tofas and 15 for Buducnost, across seasons and competitions.
- Tofas are 2-0 in EuroCup Group C with a +20 point differential: 89-82 at JL Bourg on 6 Oct 2026 and 82-69 at home vs Chemnitz on 29 Sep 2026.
- Buducnost are 1-1 in EuroCup Group C, losing 75-93 at home to Napoli on 6 Oct 2026 and winning 99-75 at Slask on 30 Sep 2026.
- Current-season averages: Tofas score 85.4 and allow 85.6 in five games; Buducnost score 85.5 and allow 85.25 in four games (all competitions, through 10 Oct 2026).
- Across 15 tracked games, Buducnost shoot 39.3% from three with 8.6 turnovers per game; Tofas shoot 30.1% from three with 13.0 turnovers per game.
- In two EuroCup games each, Tofas allow 75.5 points per game and Buducnost allow 84.0 points per game.
- Buducnost's J. Morgan (12.3 ppg) and O. Kovliar were absent from the latest box score on 10 Oct 2026, but no confirmed absence is reported.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonTofas +3.5Estimated chance75.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tofas 86.2, Buducnost 81.2. Tofas win in about 65 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Tofas are 2-0 in EuroCup Group C with a +20 point differential: 89-82 at JL Bourg on 6 Oct 2026 and 82-69 at home vs Chemnitz on 29 Sep 2026.
- Buducnost are 1-1 in EuroCup Group C, losing 75-93 at home to Napoli on 6 Oct 2026 and winning 99-75 at Slask on 30 Sep 2026.
- Current-season averages: Tofas score 85.4 and allow 85.6 in five games; Buducnost score 85.5 and allow 85.25 in four games (all competitions, through 10 Oct 2026).
- Across 15 tracked games, Buducnost shoot 39.3% from three with 8.6 turnovers per game; Tofas shoot 30.1% from three with 13.0 turnovers per game.
- In two EuroCup games each, Tofas allow 75.5 points per game and Buducnost allow 84.0 points per game.
- Buducnost's J. Morgan (12.3 ppg) and O. Kovliar were absent from the latest box score on 10 Oct 2026, but no confirmed absence is reported.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonTofasEstimated chance65.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tofas 86.2, Buducnost 81.2. Tofas are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Tofas are 2-0 in EuroCup Group C with a +20 point differential: 89-82 at JL Bourg on 6 Oct 2026 and 82-69 at home vs Chemnitz on 29 Sep 2026.
- Buducnost are 1-1 in EuroCup Group C, losing 75-93 at home to Napoli on 6 Oct 2026 and winning 99-75 at Slask on 30 Sep 2026.
- Current-season averages: Tofas score 85.4 and allow 85.6 in five games; Buducnost score 85.5 and allow 85.25 in four games (all competitions, through 10 Oct 2026).
- Across 15 tracked games, Buducnost shoot 39.3% from three with 8.6 turnovers per game; Tofas shoot 30.1% from three with 13.0 turnovers per game.
- In two EuroCup games each, Tofas allow 75.5 points per game and Buducnost allow 84.0 points per game.
- Buducnost's J. Morgan (12.3 ppg) and O. Kovliar were absent from the latest box score on 10 Oct 2026, but no confirmed absence is reported.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonTofasEstimated chance63.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tofas 86.2, Buducnost 81.2. Tofas cover -2.5 (overtime included) in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Tofas are 2-0 in EuroCup Group C with a +20 point differential: 89-82 at JL Bourg on 6 Oct 2026 and 82-69 at home vs Chemnitz on 29 Sep 2026.
- Buducnost are 1-1 in EuroCup Group C, losing 75-93 at home to Napoli on 6 Oct 2026 and winning 99-75 at Slask on 30 Sep 2026.
- Current-season averages: Tofas score 85.4 and allow 85.6 in five games; Buducnost score 85.5 and allow 85.25 in four games (all competitions, through 10 Oct 2026).
- Across 15 tracked games, Buducnost shoot 39.3% from three with 8.6 turnovers per game; Tofas shoot 30.1% from three with 13.0 turnovers per game.
- In two EuroCup games each, Tofas allow 75.5 points per game and Buducnost allow 84.0 points per game.
- Buducnost's J. Morgan (12.3 ppg) and O. Kovliar were absent from the latest box score on 10 Oct 2026, but no confirmed absence is reported.
BetBugs · HandicapwonTofas -2.5Estimated chance59.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tofas 86.2, Buducnost 81.2. Tofas are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Tofas are 2-0 in EuroCup Group C with a +20 point differential: 89-82 at JL Bourg on 6 Oct 2026 and 82-69 at home vs Chemnitz on 29 Sep 2026.
- Buducnost are 1-1 in EuroCup Group C, losing 75-93 at home to Napoli on 6 Oct 2026 and winning 99-75 at Slask on 30 Sep 2026.
- Current-season averages: Tofas score 85.4 and allow 85.6 in five games; Buducnost score 85.5 and allow 85.25 in four games (all competitions, through 10 Oct 2026).
- Across 15 tracked games, Buducnost shoot 39.3% from three with 8.6 turnovers per game; Tofas shoot 30.1% from three with 13.0 turnovers per game.
- In two EuroCup games each, Tofas allow 75.5 points per game and Buducnost allow 84.0 points per game.
- Buducnost's J. Morgan (12.3 ppg) and O. Kovliar were absent from the latest box score on 10 Oct 2026, but no confirmed absence is reported.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonTofasEstimated chance59.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.80
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tofas 86.2, Buducnost 81.2. Tofas cover -0.5 in the 1st half in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Tofas are 2-0 in EuroCup Group C with a +20 point differential: 89-82 at JL Bourg on 6 Oct 2026 and 82-69 at home vs Chemnitz on 29 Sep 2026.
- Buducnost are 1-1 in EuroCup Group C, losing 75-93 at home to Napoli on 6 Oct 2026 and winning 99-75 at Slask on 30 Sep 2026.
- Current-season averages: Tofas score 85.4 and allow 85.6 in five games; Buducnost score 85.5 and allow 85.25 in four games (all competitions, through 10 Oct 2026).
- Across 15 tracked games, Buducnost shoot 39.3% from three with 8.6 turnovers per game; Tofas shoot 30.1% from three with 13.0 turnovers per game.
- In two EuroCup games each, Tofas allow 75.5 points per game and Buducnost allow 84.0 points per game.
- Buducnost's J. Morgan (12.3 ppg) and O. Kovliar were absent from the latest box score on 10 Oct 2026, but no confirmed absence is reported.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonTofas -0.5Estimated chance59.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tofas 86.2, Buducnost 81.2. Tofas are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Tofas are 2-0 in EuroCup Group C with a +20 point differential: 89-82 at JL Bourg on 6 Oct 2026 and 82-69 at home vs Chemnitz on 29 Sep 2026.
- Buducnost are 1-1 in EuroCup Group C, losing 75-93 at home to Napoli on 6 Oct 2026 and winning 99-75 at Slask on 30 Sep 2026.
- Current-season averages: Tofas score 85.4 and allow 85.6 in five games; Buducnost score 85.5 and allow 85.25 in four games (all competitions, through 10 Oct 2026).
- Across 15 tracked games, Buducnost shoot 39.3% from three with 8.6 turnovers per game; Tofas shoot 30.1% from three with 13.0 turnovers per game.
- In two EuroCup games each, Tofas allow 75.5 points per game and Buducnost allow 84.0 points per game.
- Buducnost's J. Morgan (12.3 ppg) and O. Kovliar were absent from the latest box score on 10 Oct 2026, but no confirmed absence is reported.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonTofasEstimated chance55.8%

Points2 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tofas 86.2, Buducnost 81.2. Buducnost score fewer than 85.5 points (overtime included) in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Tofas are 2-0 in EuroCup Group C with a +20 point differential: 89-82 at JL Bourg on 6 Oct 2026 and 82-69 at home vs Chemnitz on 29 Sep 2026.
- Buducnost are 1-1 in EuroCup Group C, losing 75-93 at home to Napoli on 6 Oct 2026 and winning 99-75 at Slask on 30 Sep 2026.
- Current-season averages: Tofas score 85.4 and allow 85.6 in five games; Buducnost score 85.5 and allow 85.25 in four games (all competitions, through 10 Oct 2026).
- Across 15 tracked games, Buducnost shoot 39.3% from three with 8.6 turnovers per game; Tofas shoot 30.1% from three with 13.0 turnovers per game.
- In two EuroCup games each, Tofas allow 75.5 points per game and Buducnost allow 84.0 points per game.
- Buducnost's J. Morgan (12.3 ppg) and O. Kovliar were absent from the latest box score on 10 Oct 2026, but no confirmed absence is reported.
BetBugs · Team PointswonBuducnost under 85.5Estimated chance64.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.84
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tofas 86.2, Buducnost 81.2. The game has fewer than 173.5 points (overtime included) in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Tofas are 2-0 in EuroCup Group C with a +20 point differential: 89-82 at JL Bourg on 6 Oct 2026 and 82-69 at home vs Chemnitz on 29 Sep 2026.
- Buducnost are 1-1 in EuroCup Group C, losing 75-93 at home to Napoli on 6 Oct 2026 and winning 99-75 at Slask on 30 Sep 2026.
- Current-season averages: Tofas score 85.4 and allow 85.6 in five games; Buducnost score 85.5 and allow 85.25 in four games (all competitions, through 10 Oct 2026).
- Across 15 tracked games, Buducnost shoot 39.3% from three with 8.6 turnovers per game; Tofas shoot 30.1% from three with 13.0 turnovers per game.
- In two EuroCup games each, Tofas allow 75.5 points per game and Buducnost allow 84.0 points per game.
- Buducnost's J. Morgan (12.3 ppg) and O. Kovliar were absent from the latest box score on 10 Oct 2026, but no confirmed absence is reported.
BetBugs · Total PointslostUnder 173.5Estimated chance62.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tofas 86.2, Buducnost 81.2. Buducnost score fewer than 42.5 points in the 1st half in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Tofas are 2-0 in EuroCup Group C with a +20 point differential: 89-82 at JL Bourg on 6 Oct 2026 and 82-69 at home vs Chemnitz on 29 Sep 2026.
- Buducnost are 1-1 in EuroCup Group C, losing 75-93 at home to Napoli on 6 Oct 2026 and winning 99-75 at Slask on 30 Sep 2026.
- Current-season averages: Tofas score 85.4 and allow 85.6 in five games; Buducnost score 85.5 and allow 85.25 in four games (all competitions, through 10 Oct 2026).
- Across 15 tracked games, Buducnost shoot 39.3% from three with 8.6 turnovers per game; Tofas shoot 30.1% from three with 13.0 turnovers per game.
- In two EuroCup games each, Tofas allow 75.5 points per game and Buducnost allow 84.0 points per game.
- Buducnost's J. Morgan (12.3 ppg) and O. Kovliar were absent from the latest box score on 10 Oct 2026, but no confirmed absence is reported.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostBuducnost under 42.5Estimated chance60.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tofas 86.2, Buducnost 81.2. The 1st half has fewer than 86.5 points in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Tofas are 2-0 in EuroCup Group C with a +20 point differential: 89-82 at JL Bourg on 6 Oct 2026 and 82-69 at home vs Chemnitz on 29 Sep 2026.
- Buducnost are 1-1 in EuroCup Group C, losing 75-93 at home to Napoli on 6 Oct 2026 and winning 99-75 at Slask on 30 Sep 2026.
- Current-season averages: Tofas score 85.4 and allow 85.6 in five games; Buducnost score 85.5 and allow 85.25 in four games (all competitions, through 10 Oct 2026).
- Across 15 tracked games, Buducnost shoot 39.3% from three with 8.6 turnovers per game; Tofas shoot 30.1% from three with 13.0 turnovers per game.
- In two EuroCup games each, Tofas allow 75.5 points per game and Buducnost allow 84.0 points per game.
- Buducnost's J. Morgan (12.3 ppg) and O. Kovliar were absent from the latest box score on 10 Oct 2026, but no confirmed absence is reported.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostUnder 86.5Estimated chance59.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tofas 86.2, Buducnost 81.2. Buducnost score fewer than 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Tofas are 2-0 in EuroCup Group C with a +20 point differential: 89-82 at JL Bourg on 6 Oct 2026 and 82-69 at home vs Chemnitz on 29 Sep 2026.
- Buducnost are 1-1 in EuroCup Group C, losing 75-93 at home to Napoli on 6 Oct 2026 and winning 99-75 at Slask on 30 Sep 2026.
- Current-season averages: Tofas score 85.4 and allow 85.6 in five games; Buducnost score 85.5 and allow 85.25 in four games (all competitions, through 10 Oct 2026).
- Across 15 tracked games, Buducnost shoot 39.3% from three with 8.6 turnovers per game; Tofas shoot 30.1% from three with 13.0 turnovers per game.
- In two EuroCup games each, Tofas allow 75.5 points per game and Buducnost allow 84.0 points per game.
- Buducnost's J. Morgan (12.3 ppg) and O. Kovliar were absent from the latest box score on 10 Oct 2026, but no confirmed absence is reported.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostBuducnost under 21.5Estimated chance59.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tofas 86.2, Buducnost 81.2. The 1st quarter has fewer than 43.5 points in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Tofas are 2-0 in EuroCup Group C with a +20 point differential: 89-82 at JL Bourg on 6 Oct 2026 and 82-69 at home vs Chemnitz on 29 Sep 2026.
- Buducnost are 1-1 in EuroCup Group C, losing 75-93 at home to Napoli on 6 Oct 2026 and winning 99-75 at Slask on 30 Sep 2026.
- Current-season averages: Tofas score 85.4 and allow 85.6 in five games; Buducnost score 85.5 and allow 85.25 in four games (all competitions, through 10 Oct 2026).
- Across 15 tracked games, Buducnost shoot 39.3% from three with 8.6 turnovers per game; Tofas shoot 30.1% from three with 13.0 turnovers per game.
- In two EuroCup games each, Tofas allow 75.5 points per game and Buducnost allow 84.0 points per game.
- Buducnost's J. Morgan (12.3 ppg) and O. Kovliar were absent from the latest box score on 10 Oct 2026, but no confirmed absence is reported.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointslostUnder 43.5Estimated chance59.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tofas 86.2, Buducnost 81.2. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 42.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Tofas are 2-0 in EuroCup Group C with a +20 point differential: 89-82 at JL Bourg on 6 Oct 2026 and 82-69 at home vs Chemnitz on 29 Sep 2026.
- Buducnost are 1-1 in EuroCup Group C, losing 75-93 at home to Napoli on 6 Oct 2026 and winning 99-75 at Slask on 30 Sep 2026.
- Current-season averages: Tofas score 85.4 and allow 85.6 in five games; Buducnost score 85.5 and allow 85.25 in four games (all competitions, through 10 Oct 2026).
- Across 15 tracked games, Buducnost shoot 39.3% from three with 8.6 turnovers per game; Tofas shoot 30.1% from three with 13.0 turnovers per game.
- In two EuroCup games each, Tofas allow 75.5 points per game and Buducnost allow 84.0 points per game.
- Buducnost's J. Morgan (12.3 ppg) and O. Kovliar were absent from the latest box score on 10 Oct 2026, but no confirmed absence is reported.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 42.5Estimated chance55.9%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 14, 05:34

Selected line

173.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

38%

Chance of 174+ points

17 pp below break-even

Over 1.83 needs 55% to break even. BetBugs sees 38%.

Move the line main 173.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 38%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 62%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

League table

EuroCup · Eurocup - Regular Season · Group A

#TeamW–LWin %

Tofas

2–0100%

Buducnost

1–150%

Recent Form

Tofas

6W 9L · last 15

vs Esenler Erokspor79–87 Oct 10BAS

at JL Bourg89–82 Oct 6EUR

at Denizli Basket87–101 Oct 3BAS

vs Chemnitz82–69 Sep 29EUR

vs Bordo Bandirma90–89 Sep 25BAS

vs Petkim Spor73–71 May 10BAS

vs Karsiyaka87–78 May 3BAS

at Bahcesehir Kol.76–78 Apr 25BAS

vs Besiktas84–98 Apr 17BAS

at Manisa96–100 Apr 12BAS

vs Trabzonspor71–91 Apr 4BAS

at Anadolu Efes82–92 Mar 29BAS

vs Merkezefendi88–93 Mar 21BAS

vs AS Karditsas90–98 Mar 18CL

at Bursaspor115–113 OTMar 15BAS

Buducnost

10W 5L · last 15

at Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet91–101 Oct 10ABA

vs Basket Napoli75–93 Oct 6EUR

at KK Krka Novo mesto77–72 Oct 2ABA

at Slask Wroclaw99–75 Sep 30EUR

at Studentski Centar94–84 Jun 4PRV

vs Studentski Centar104–81 Jun 2PRV

at Dubai77–103 May 28ABA

vs Dubai91–90 May 25ABA

at Dubai90–104 May 21ABA

vs Cluj-Napoca112–81 May 12ABA

at Cluj-Napoca90–94 May 8ABA

vs Cluj-Napoca86–73 May 5ABA

at Mornar Bar103–76 Apr 28PRV

vs Mornar Bar105–89 Apr 24PRV

at Cluj-Napoca110–72 Apr 19ABA

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Tofas

Stats

1–4

Buducnost

Buducnost leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+4.1pp

58.9%

+4.1pp

54.8%

3-point %+9.2pp

30.1%

+9.2pp

39.3%

Free-throw %14/13 games+2.6pp

77.7%

+2.6pp

80.3%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s10.2pp apart

25.1%

10.2pp apart

35.3%

Free throws per shot14/13 games12.6pp apart

41.9%

12.6pp apart

29.3%

Possession· 0–2

Rebounds per game+5.5

29.5

+5.5

35.0

Turnovers per game4.4 fewer

13.0

4.4 fewer

8.6

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.