EuroCupFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Tenerife96Maxima Roma71

Wed 14 Oct 2026, 19:00 Predictions graded

Predictions6–843%

Edges0–10%

Points by period: Tenerife and Maxima Roma.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Tenerife	26	19	20	31
Maxima Roma	14	19	15	23

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Tenerife host Maxima Roma with both sides 1-1 in EuroCup Group B, and the expected score after 40 minutes is Tenerife 86.0, Maxima Roma 79.8, which points to a home win including overtime in about 69 of 100 such games.

Roma's 40.0% three-point shooting over five games this season is the main threat. Of the prices available, only the second quarter over 39.5 combined points at 1.72 offers an edge; a Tenerife -7.5 handicap at 1.83 is not supported.

Context

Tenerife's expected edge is modest: they average 81.8 points scored and 79.4 conceded over five games this season, Roma average 85.2 scored over the same span, and Tenerife's Shermadini and Bamba did not appear on 11 October, with no confirmed absence either way.

Tenerife began the season with a new coach, a new European competition and six additions. Lakovic has a 15-player squad including Kyle Guy, T.J. Bamba and Vince Hunter, giving him more lineup options for the EuroCup meeting with Maxima Roma. The August squad outline does not establish the final match-day selection.
- Jaka Lakovic took over after Txus Vidorreta left Tenerife.
- Tenerife moved from the Basketball Champions League to the EuroCup for the 2026-27 season.
- Xabi López-Arostegui, Ethan Happ, Arturs Kurucs, Kyle Guy, T.J. Bamba and Vince Hunter joined the squad.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

2nd Quarter Total PointslostUncertainty band: Lean

Over 39.5

1.72fair 1.62

Market 58.1% · BetBugs 61.7%

+3.5ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Tenerife 86.0, Maxima Roma 79.8. The 2nd quarter has more than 39.5 points in about 62 of 100 games like this. Tenerife's better current-season scoring margin, home court, and stronger two-point shooting and ball security point to a moderate home win. Roma scores enough to stay close, but its away defense has conceded 92 and 98 in its two road games.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result5 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tenerife 86.0, Maxima Roma 79.8. Tenerife cover +2.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Tenerife and 5 for Maxima Roma, across seasons and competitions.
- Tenerife is 3-2 in 2026-27 games through Oct 11, averaging 81.8 points scored and 79.4 allowed over five games.
- Maxima Roma is 2-3 in 2026-27 games through Oct 11, averaging 85.2 scored and 86.8 allowed over five games.
- Tenerife beat Turk Telekom 82-75 at home on Sep 30; Roma lost 77-92 at Turk Telekom on Oct 6, a common EuroCup opponent.
- Tenerife's 15-game overall shooting is 53.8% on 2s, 39.6% on 3s and 82.3% on free throws with 9.9 turnovers per game; Roma's 5-game overall is 46.3% on 2s, 40.0% on 3s and 85.1% on free throws with 14.6 turnovers per game.
- Tenerife's Shermadini and Bamba are absent from the latest box score (Oct 11) after earlier appearances; Roma's Ryan Matt is absent from the latest box score (Oct 11).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonTenerife +2.5Estimated chance70.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tenerife 86.0, Maxima Roma 79.8. Tenerife win in about 69 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Tenerife is 3-2 in 2026-27 games through Oct 11, averaging 81.8 points scored and 79.4 allowed over five games.
- Maxima Roma is 2-3 in 2026-27 games through Oct 11, averaging 85.2 scored and 86.8 allowed over five games.
- Tenerife beat Turk Telekom 82-75 at home on Sep 30; Roma lost 77-92 at Turk Telekom on Oct 6, a common EuroCup opponent.
- Tenerife's 15-game overall shooting is 53.8% on 2s, 39.6% on 3s and 82.3% on free throws with 9.9 turnovers per game; Roma's 5-game overall is 46.3% on 2s, 40.0% on 3s and 85.1% on free throws with 14.6 turnovers per game.
- Tenerife's Shermadini and Bamba are absent from the latest box score (Oct 11) after earlier appearances; Roma's Ryan Matt is absent from the latest box score (Oct 11).
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonTenerifeEstimated chance68.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tenerife 86.0, Maxima Roma 79.8. Tenerife are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Tenerife is 3-2 in 2026-27 games through Oct 11, averaging 81.8 points scored and 79.4 allowed over five games.
- Maxima Roma is 2-3 in 2026-27 games through Oct 11, averaging 85.2 scored and 86.8 allowed over five games.
- Tenerife beat Turk Telekom 82-75 at home on Sep 30; Roma lost 77-92 at Turk Telekom on Oct 6, a common EuroCup opponent.
- Tenerife's 15-game overall shooting is 53.8% on 2s, 39.6% on 3s and 82.3% on free throws with 9.9 turnovers per game; Roma's 5-game overall is 46.3% on 2s, 40.0% on 3s and 85.1% on free throws with 14.6 turnovers per game.
- Tenerife's Shermadini and Bamba are absent from the latest box score (Oct 11) after earlier appearances; Roma's Ryan Matt is absent from the latest box score (Oct 11).
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonTenerifeEstimated chance66.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tenerife 86.0, Maxima Roma 79.8. Tenerife are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Tenerife is 3-2 in 2026-27 games through Oct 11, averaging 81.8 points scored and 79.4 allowed over five games.
- Maxima Roma is 2-3 in 2026-27 games through Oct 11, averaging 85.2 scored and 86.8 allowed over five games.
- Tenerife beat Turk Telekom 82-75 at home on Sep 30; Roma lost 77-92 at Turk Telekom on Oct 6, a common EuroCup opponent.
- Tenerife's 15-game overall shooting is 53.8% on 2s, 39.6% on 3s and 82.3% on free throws with 9.9 turnovers per game; Roma's 5-game overall is 46.3% on 2s, 40.0% on 3s and 85.1% on free throws with 14.6 turnovers per game.
- Tenerife's Shermadini and Bamba are absent from the latest box score (Oct 11) after earlier appearances; Roma's Ryan Matt is absent from the latest box score (Oct 11).
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonTenerifeEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tenerife 86.0, Maxima Roma 79.8. Tenerife are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Tenerife is 3-2 in 2026-27 games through Oct 11, averaging 81.8 points scored and 79.4 allowed over five games.
- Maxima Roma is 2-3 in 2026-27 games through Oct 11, averaging 85.2 scored and 86.8 allowed over five games.
- Tenerife beat Turk Telekom 82-75 at home on Sep 30; Roma lost 77-92 at Turk Telekom on Oct 6, a common EuroCup opponent.
- Tenerife's 15-game overall shooting is 53.8% on 2s, 39.6% on 3s and 82.3% on free throws with 9.9 turnovers per game; Roma's 5-game overall is 46.3% on 2s, 40.0% on 3s and 85.1% on free throws with 14.6 turnovers per game.
- Tenerife's Shermadini and Bamba are absent from the latest box score (Oct 11) after earlier appearances; Roma's Ryan Matt is absent from the latest box score (Oct 11).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultlostTenerifeEstimated chance57.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tenerife 86.0, Maxima Roma 79.8. Tenerife cover -0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Tenerife and 5 for Maxima Roma, across seasons and competitions.
- Tenerife is 3-2 in 2026-27 games through Oct 11, averaging 81.8 points scored and 79.4 allowed over five games.
- Maxima Roma is 2-3 in 2026-27 games through Oct 11, averaging 85.2 scored and 86.8 allowed over five games.
- Tenerife beat Turk Telekom 82-75 at home on Sep 30; Roma lost 77-92 at Turk Telekom on Oct 6, a common EuroCup opponent.
- Tenerife's 15-game overall shooting is 53.8% on 2s, 39.6% on 3s and 82.3% on free throws with 9.9 turnovers per game; Roma's 5-game overall is 46.3% on 2s, 40.0% on 3s and 85.1% on free throws with 14.6 turnovers per game.
- Tenerife's Shermadini and Bamba are absent from the latest box score (Oct 11) after earlier appearances; Roma's Ryan Matt is absent from the latest box score (Oct 11).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostTenerife -0.5Estimated chance57.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tenerife 86.0, Maxima Roma 79.8. Tenerife are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Tenerife is 3-2 in 2026-27 games through Oct 11, averaging 81.8 points scored and 79.4 allowed over five games.
- Maxima Roma is 2-3 in 2026-27 games through Oct 11, averaging 85.2 scored and 86.8 allowed over five games.
- Tenerife beat Turk Telekom 82-75 at home on Sep 30; Roma lost 77-92 at Turk Telekom on Oct 6, a common EuroCup opponent.
- Tenerife's 15-game overall shooting is 53.8% on 2s, 39.6% on 3s and 82.3% on free throws with 9.9 turnovers per game; Roma's 5-game overall is 46.3% on 2s, 40.0% on 3s and 85.1% on free throws with 14.6 turnovers per game.
- Tenerife's Shermadini and Bamba are absent from the latest box score (Oct 11) after earlier appearances; Roma's Ryan Matt is absent from the latest box score (Oct 11).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonTenerifeEstimated chance55.5%

Points1 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.72
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tenerife 86.0, Maxima Roma 79.8. The 2nd quarter has more than 39.5 points in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Tenerife is 3-2 in 2026-27 games through Oct 11, averaging 81.8 points scored and 79.4 allowed over five games.
- Maxima Roma is 2-3 in 2026-27 games through Oct 11, averaging 85.2 scored and 86.8 allowed over five games.
- Tenerife beat Turk Telekom 82-75 at home on Sep 30; Roma lost 77-92 at Turk Telekom on Oct 6, a common EuroCup opponent.
- Tenerife's 15-game overall shooting is 53.8% on 2s, 39.6% on 3s and 82.3% on free throws with 9.9 turnovers per game; Roma's 5-game overall is 46.3% on 2s, 40.0% on 3s and 85.1% on free throws with 14.6 turnovers per game.
- Tenerife's Shermadini and Bamba are absent from the latest box score (Oct 11) after earlier appearances; Roma's Ryan Matt is absent from the latest box score (Oct 11).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointslostOver 39.5Estimated chance61.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tenerife 86.0, Maxima Roma 79.8. Maxima Roma score more than 18.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Tenerife is 3-2 in 2026-27 games through Oct 11, averaging 81.8 points scored and 79.4 allowed over five games.
- Maxima Roma is 2-3 in 2026-27 games through Oct 11, averaging 85.2 scored and 86.8 allowed over five games.
- Tenerife beat Turk Telekom 82-75 at home on Sep 30; Roma lost 77-92 at Turk Telekom on Oct 6, a common EuroCup opponent.
- Tenerife's 15-game overall shooting is 53.8% on 2s, 39.6% on 3s and 82.3% on free throws with 9.9 turnovers per game; Roma's 5-game overall is 46.3% on 2s, 40.0% on 3s and 85.1% on free throws with 14.6 turnovers per game.
- Tenerife's Shermadini and Bamba are absent from the latest box score (Oct 11) after earlier appearances; Roma's Ryan Matt is absent from the latest box score (Oct 11).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonMaxima Roma over 18.5Estimated chance60.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tenerife 86.0, Maxima Roma 79.8. Tenerife score more than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Tenerife is 3-2 in 2026-27 games through Oct 11, averaging 81.8 points scored and 79.4 allowed over five games.
- Maxima Roma is 2-3 in 2026-27 games through Oct 11, averaging 85.2 scored and 86.8 allowed over five games.
- Tenerife beat Turk Telekom 82-75 at home on Sep 30; Roma lost 77-92 at Turk Telekom on Oct 6, a common EuroCup opponent.
- Tenerife's 15-game overall shooting is 53.8% on 2s, 39.6% on 3s and 82.3% on free throws with 9.9 turnovers per game; Roma's 5-game overall is 46.3% on 2s, 40.0% on 3s and 85.1% on free throws with 14.6 turnovers per game.
- Tenerife's Shermadini and Bamba are absent from the latest box score (Oct 11) after earlier appearances; Roma's Ryan Matt is absent from the latest box score (Oct 11).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostTenerife over 20.5Estimated chance59.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tenerife 86.0, Maxima Roma 79.8. Maxima Roma score more than 38.5 points in the 1st half in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Tenerife is 3-2 in 2026-27 games through Oct 11, averaging 81.8 points scored and 79.4 allowed over five games.
- Maxima Roma is 2-3 in 2026-27 games through Oct 11, averaging 85.2 scored and 86.8 allowed over five games.
- Tenerife beat Turk Telekom 82-75 at home on Sep 30; Roma lost 77-92 at Turk Telekom on Oct 6, a common EuroCup opponent.
- Tenerife's 15-game overall shooting is 53.8% on 2s, 39.6% on 3s and 82.3% on free throws with 9.9 turnovers per game; Roma's 5-game overall is 46.3% on 2s, 40.0% on 3s and 85.1% on free throws with 14.6 turnovers per game.
- Tenerife's Shermadini and Bamba are absent from the latest box score (Oct 11) after earlier appearances; Roma's Ryan Matt is absent from the latest box score (Oct 11).
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostMaxima Roma over 38.5Estimated chance57.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tenerife 86.0, Maxima Roma 79.8. Maxima Roma score more than 78.5 points (overtime included) in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Tenerife is 3-2 in 2026-27 games through Oct 11, averaging 81.8 points scored and 79.4 allowed over five games.
- Maxima Roma is 2-3 in 2026-27 games through Oct 11, averaging 85.2 scored and 86.8 allowed over five games.
- Tenerife beat Turk Telekom 82-75 at home on Sep 30; Roma lost 77-92 at Turk Telekom on Oct 6, a common EuroCup opponent.
- Tenerife's 15-game overall shooting is 53.8% on 2s, 39.6% on 3s and 82.3% on free throws with 9.9 turnovers per game; Roma's 5-game overall is 46.3% on 2s, 40.0% on 3s and 85.1% on free throws with 14.6 turnovers per game.
- Tenerife's Shermadini and Bamba are absent from the latest box score (Oct 11) after earlier appearances; Roma's Ryan Matt is absent from the latest box score (Oct 11).
BetBugs · Team PointslostMaxima Roma over 78.5Estimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tenerife 86.0, Maxima Roma 79.8. The 1st half has more than 81.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Tenerife is 3-2 in 2026-27 games through Oct 11, averaging 81.8 points scored and 79.4 allowed over five games.
- Maxima Roma is 2-3 in 2026-27 games through Oct 11, averaging 85.2 scored and 86.8 allowed over five games.
- Tenerife beat Turk Telekom 82-75 at home on Sep 30; Roma lost 77-92 at Turk Telekom on Oct 6, a common EuroCup opponent.
- Tenerife's 15-game overall shooting is 53.8% on 2s, 39.6% on 3s and 82.3% on free throws with 9.9 turnovers per game; Roma's 5-game overall is 46.3% on 2s, 40.0% on 3s and 85.1% on free throws with 14.6 turnovers per game.
- Tenerife's Shermadini and Bamba are absent from the latest box score (Oct 11) after earlier appearances; Roma's Ryan Matt is absent from the latest box score (Oct 11).
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostOver 81.5Estimated chance55.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tenerife 86.0, Maxima Roma 79.8. Tenerife score more than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Tenerife is 3-2 in 2026-27 games through Oct 11, averaging 81.8 points scored and 79.4 allowed over five games.
- Maxima Roma is 2-3 in 2026-27 games through Oct 11, averaging 85.2 scored and 86.8 allowed over five games.
- Tenerife beat Turk Telekom 82-75 at home on Sep 30; Roma lost 77-92 at Turk Telekom on Oct 6, a common EuroCup opponent.
- Tenerife's 15-game overall shooting is 53.8% on 2s, 39.6% on 3s and 82.3% on free throws with 9.9 turnovers per game; Roma's 5-game overall is 46.3% on 2s, 40.0% on 3s and 85.1% on free throws with 14.6 turnovers per game.
- Tenerife's Shermadini and Bamba are absent from the latest box score (Oct 11) after earlier appearances; Roma's Ryan Matt is absent from the latest box score (Oct 11).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostTenerife over 20.5Estimated chance55.2%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 14, 05:34

Selected line

164.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

55%

Chance of 165+ points

1 pp below break-even

Over 1.78 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 55%.

Move the line main 164.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 55%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 45%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

League table

EuroCup · Eurocup - Regular Season · Group A

#TeamW–LWin %

Tenerife

1–150%

Maxima Roma

1–150%

Recent Form

Tenerife

6W 9L · last 15

at Murcia90–77 Oct 11ACB

at London Lions77–89 Oct 6EUR

at Unicaja80–75 Oct 3ACB

vs Turk Telekom82–75 Sep 30EUR

vs Basket Zaragoza80–81 Sep 27ACB

vs Barcelona76–85 Jun 13ACB

at Barcelona89–97 Jun 11ACB

at Barcelona67–100 Jun 9ACB

at Real Madrid107–95 Jun 6ACB

vs Real Madrid83–118 Jun 4ACB

at Real Madrid98–97 Jun 2ACB

vs Bilbao82–87 May 29ACB

at Granada109–96 May 23ACB

vs Joventut Badalona98–100 OTMay 20ACB

vs Barcelona97–102 May 17ACB

Maxima Roma

2W 3L · last 5

vs BC Roma96–95 Oct 11LEG

at Turk Telekom77–92 Oct 6EUR

at Virtus Bologna89–98 Oct 4LEG

vs Cluj-Napoca89–55 Sep 30EUR

vs Basket Napoli75–94 Sep 27LEG

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Tenerife

Stats

2–3

Maxima Roma

5 games

Maxima Roma leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+7.5pp

53.8%

+7.5pp

46.3%

3-point %+0.4pp

39.6%

+0.4pp

40.0%

Free-throw %13/3 games+2.8pp

82.3%

+2.8pp

85.1%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s1.3pp apart

35.8%

1.3pp apart

37.1%

Free throws per shot13/3 games17.5pp apart

29.5%

17.5pp apart

47.0%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+5.3

26.1

+5.3

31.4

Turnovers per game4.7 fewer

9.9

4.7 fewer

14.6

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.