Champions LeagueFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Spartak Subotica84Hapoel Holon86

Wed 14 Oct 2026, 18:00 Predictions graded

Predictions4–1521%

Edges1–0100%

Points by period: Spartak Subotica and Hapoel Holon.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Spartak Subotica	14	23	19	28
Hapoel Holon	27	15	20	24

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Spartak Subotica opened Group F with a 96-64 home win while Holon lost at home by 20, and an expected score of 89.1-77.9 has the hosts ahead at 40 minutes about 80 times in 100.

Spartak winning is the plain read, though Holon's 54.8% two-point and 37.3% three-point shooting over their last 15 games is the caveat. Of the prices on offer, only over 164.5 combined points at 1.88 carries a value edge.

Context

The form gap is real but thinly supported: three current-season games for Spartak, six for Holon, no completed head-to-head and no confirmed availability news. Holon's rebounding figure covers a single game, so conditions beyond recent scoring and shooting are largely unmeasured.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Total PointswonUncertainty band: Slight lean

Over 164.5

1.88fair 1.74

Market 53.2% · BetBugs 57.4%

+4.2ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Spartak Subotica 89.1, Hapoel Holon 77.9. The game has more than 164.5 points (overtime included) in about 57 of 100 games like this. Spartak's stronger current-season form and home-court advantage point to a higher score, while Holon's poor current-season defense and low recent scoring keep them below 80. The one-game Champions League results agree with that direction, though Holon's better overall shooting prevents a larger expected margin.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 11 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Spartak Subotica 89.1, Hapoel Holon 77.9. Spartak Subotica win in about 81 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Spartak Subotica won their Champions League opener 96-64 at home against Vechta on 2026-10-07.
- Hapoel Holon lost their Champions League opener 79-99 at home against Cholet on 2026-10-06.
- In current-season games, Spartak has averaged 85.7 points scored and 78.3 allowed over three games (2026-10-03 to 2026-10-10), while Holon has averaged 78.2 scored and 86.0 allowed over six games (2026-09-10 to 2026-10-11).
- Over 15 tracked games, Holon has shot 54.8% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers, compared with Spartak's 50.4% and 33.6%.
- No completed head-to-head meeting between Spartak Subotica and Hapoel Holon is on record.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostSpartak SuboticaEstimated chance81.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Spartak Subotica 89.1, Hapoel Holon 77.9. Spartak Subotica are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 80 of 100 games like this.
- Spartak Subotica won their Champions League opener 96-64 at home against Vechta on 2026-10-07.
- Hapoel Holon lost their Champions League opener 79-99 at home against Cholet on 2026-10-06.
- In current-season games, Spartak has averaged 85.7 points scored and 78.3 allowed over three games (2026-10-03 to 2026-10-10), while Holon has averaged 78.2 scored and 86.0 allowed over six games (2026-09-10 to 2026-10-11).
- Over 15 tracked games, Holon has shot 54.8% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers, compared with Spartak's 50.4% and 33.6%.
- No completed head-to-head meeting between Spartak Subotica and Hapoel Holon is on record.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minlostSpartak SuboticaEstimated chance79.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Spartak Subotica 89.1, Hapoel Holon 77.9. Spartak Subotica are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 72 of 100 games like this.
- Spartak Subotica won their Champions League opener 96-64 at home against Vechta on 2026-10-07.
- Hapoel Holon lost their Champions League opener 79-99 at home against Cholet on 2026-10-06.
- In current-season games, Spartak has averaged 85.7 points scored and 78.3 allowed over three games (2026-10-03 to 2026-10-10), while Holon has averaged 78.2 scored and 86.0 allowed over six games (2026-09-10 to 2026-10-11).
- Over 15 tracked games, Holon has shot 54.8% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers, compared with Spartak's 50.4% and 33.6%.
- No completed head-to-head meeting between Spartak Subotica and Hapoel Holon is on record.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultlostSpartak SuboticaEstimated chance72.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Spartak Subotica 89.1, Hapoel Holon 77.9. Spartak Subotica cover +0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Spartak Subotica and 15 for Hapoel Holon, across seasons and competitions.
- Spartak Subotica won their Champions League opener 96-64 at home against Vechta on 2026-10-07.
- Hapoel Holon lost their Champions League opener 79-99 at home against Cholet on 2026-10-06.
- In current-season games, Spartak has averaged 85.7 points scored and 78.3 allowed over three games (2026-10-03 to 2026-10-10), while Holon has averaged 78.2 scored and 86.0 allowed over six games (2026-09-10 to 2026-10-11).
- Over 15 tracked games, Holon has shot 54.8% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers, compared with Spartak's 50.4% and 33.6%.
- No completed head-to-head meeting between Spartak Subotica and Hapoel Holon is on record.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonSpartak Subotica +0.5Estimated chance70.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Spartak Subotica 89.1, Hapoel Holon 77.9. Spartak Subotica cover -5.5 (overtime included) in about 68 of 100 games like this.
- Spartak Subotica won their Champions League opener 96-64 at home against Vechta on 2026-10-07.
- Hapoel Holon lost their Champions League opener 79-99 at home against Cholet on 2026-10-06.
- In current-season games, Spartak has averaged 85.7 points scored and 78.3 allowed over three games (2026-10-03 to 2026-10-10), while Holon has averaged 78.2 scored and 86.0 allowed over six games (2026-09-10 to 2026-10-11).
- Over 15 tracked games, Holon has shot 54.8% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers, compared with Spartak's 50.4% and 33.6%.
- No completed head-to-head meeting between Spartak Subotica and Hapoel Holon is on record.
BetBugs · HandicaplostSpartak Subotica -5.5Estimated chance68.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Spartak Subotica 89.1, Hapoel Holon 77.9. Spartak Subotica are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Spartak Subotica won their Champions League opener 96-64 at home against Vechta on 2026-10-07.
- Hapoel Holon lost their Champions League opener 79-99 at home against Cholet on 2026-10-06.
- In current-season games, Spartak has averaged 85.7 points scored and 78.3 allowed over three games (2026-10-03 to 2026-10-10), while Holon has averaged 78.2 scored and 86.0 allowed over six games (2026-09-10 to 2026-10-11).
- Over 15 tracked games, Holon has shot 54.8% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers, compared with Spartak's 50.4% and 33.6%.
- No completed head-to-head meeting between Spartak Subotica and Hapoel Holon is on record.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonSpartak SuboticaEstimated chance66.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Spartak Subotica 89.1, Hapoel Holon 77.9. Spartak Subotica are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Spartak Subotica won their Champions League opener 96-64 at home against Vechta on 2026-10-07.
- Hapoel Holon lost their Champions League opener 79-99 at home against Cholet on 2026-10-06.
- In current-season games, Spartak has averaged 85.7 points scored and 78.3 allowed over three games (2026-10-03 to 2026-10-10), while Holon has averaged 78.2 scored and 86.0 allowed over six games (2026-09-10 to 2026-10-11).
- Over 15 tracked games, Holon has shot 54.8% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers, compared with Spartak's 50.4% and 33.6%.
- No completed head-to-head meeting between Spartak Subotica and Hapoel Holon is on record.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultlostSpartak SuboticaEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Spartak Subotica 89.1, Hapoel Holon 77.9. Spartak Subotica cover -3.5 in the 1st half in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Spartak Subotica won their Champions League opener 96-64 at home against Vechta on 2026-10-07.
- Hapoel Holon lost their Champions League opener 79-99 at home against Cholet on 2026-10-06.
- In current-season games, Spartak has averaged 85.7 points scored and 78.3 allowed over three games (2026-10-03 to 2026-10-10), while Holon has averaged 78.2 scored and 86.0 allowed over six games (2026-09-10 to 2026-10-11).
- Over 15 tracked games, Holon has shot 54.8% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers, compared with Spartak's 50.4% and 33.6%.
- No completed head-to-head meeting between Spartak Subotica and Hapoel Holon is on record.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicaplostSpartak Subotica -3.5Estimated chance61%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Spartak Subotica 89.1, Hapoel Holon 77.9. Spartak Subotica are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Spartak Subotica won their Champions League opener 96-64 at home against Vechta on 2026-10-07.
- Hapoel Holon lost their Champions League opener 79-99 at home against Cholet on 2026-10-06.
- In current-season games, Spartak has averaged 85.7 points scored and 78.3 allowed over three games (2026-10-03 to 2026-10-10), while Holon has averaged 78.2 scored and 86.0 allowed over six games (2026-09-10 to 2026-10-11).
- Over 15 tracked games, Holon has shot 54.8% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers, compared with Spartak's 50.4% and 33.6%.
- No completed head-to-head meeting between Spartak Subotica and Hapoel Holon is on record.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultlostSpartak SuboticaEstimated chance60.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Spartak Subotica 89.1, Hapoel Holon 77.9. Spartak Subotica cover -0.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Spartak Subotica and 15 for Hapoel Holon, across seasons and competitions.
- Spartak Subotica won their Champions League opener 96-64 at home against Vechta on 2026-10-07.
- Hapoel Holon lost their Champions League opener 79-99 at home against Cholet on 2026-10-06.
- In current-season games, Spartak has averaged 85.7 points scored and 78.3 allowed over three games (2026-10-03 to 2026-10-10), while Holon has averaged 78.2 scored and 86.0 allowed over six games (2026-09-10 to 2026-10-11).
- Over 15 tracked games, Holon has shot 54.8% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers, compared with Spartak's 50.4% and 33.6%.
- No completed head-to-head meeting between Spartak Subotica and Hapoel Holon is on record.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostSpartak Subotica -0.5Estimated chance60.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Spartak Subotica 89.1, Hapoel Holon 77.9. Spartak Subotica cover -1.5 in the 1st quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Spartak Subotica won their Champions League opener 96-64 at home against Vechta on 2026-10-07.
- Hapoel Holon lost their Champions League opener 79-99 at home against Cholet on 2026-10-06.
- In current-season games, Spartak has averaged 85.7 points scored and 78.3 allowed over three games (2026-10-03 to 2026-10-10), while Holon has averaged 78.2 scored and 86.0 allowed over six games (2026-09-10 to 2026-10-11).
- Over 15 tracked games, Holon has shot 54.8% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers, compared with Spartak's 50.4% and 33.6%.
- No completed head-to-head meeting between Spartak Subotica and Hapoel Holon is on record.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicaplostSpartak Subotica -1.5Estimated chance56.6%

Points2 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Spartak Subotica 89.1, Hapoel Holon 77.9. Spartak Subotica score more than 84.5 points (overtime included) in about 69 of 100 games like this.
- Spartak Subotica won their Champions League opener 96-64 at home against Vechta on 2026-10-07.
- Hapoel Holon lost their Champions League opener 79-99 at home against Cholet on 2026-10-06.
- In current-season games, Spartak has averaged 85.7 points scored and 78.3 allowed over three games (2026-10-03 to 2026-10-10), while Holon has averaged 78.2 scored and 86.0 allowed over six games (2026-09-10 to 2026-10-11).
- Over 15 tracked games, Holon has shot 54.8% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers, compared with Spartak's 50.4% and 33.6%.
- No completed head-to-head meeting between Spartak Subotica and Hapoel Holon is on record.
BetBugs · Team PointslostSpartak Subotica over 84.5Estimated chance68.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Spartak Subotica 89.1, Hapoel Holon 77.9. Spartak Subotica score more than 42.5 points in the 1st half in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Spartak Subotica won their Champions League opener 96-64 at home against Vechta on 2026-10-07.
- Hapoel Holon lost their Champions League opener 79-99 at home against Cholet on 2026-10-06.
- In current-season games, Spartak has averaged 85.7 points scored and 78.3 allowed over three games (2026-10-03 to 2026-10-10), while Holon has averaged 78.2 scored and 86.0 allowed over six games (2026-09-10 to 2026-10-11).
- Over 15 tracked games, Holon has shot 54.8% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers, compared with Spartak's 50.4% and 33.6%.
- No completed head-to-head meeting between Spartak Subotica and Hapoel Holon is on record.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostSpartak Subotica over 42.5Estimated chance63.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Spartak Subotica 89.1, Hapoel Holon 77.9. Spartak Subotica score more than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Spartak Subotica won their Champions League opener 96-64 at home against Vechta on 2026-10-07.
- Hapoel Holon lost their Champions League opener 79-99 at home against Cholet on 2026-10-06.
- In current-season games, Spartak has averaged 85.7 points scored and 78.3 allowed over three games (2026-10-03 to 2026-10-10), while Holon has averaged 78.2 scored and 86.0 allowed over six games (2026-09-10 to 2026-10-11).
- Over 15 tracked games, Holon has shot 54.8% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers, compared with Spartak's 50.4% and 33.6%.
- No completed head-to-head meeting between Spartak Subotica and Hapoel Holon is on record.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostSpartak Subotica over 20.5Estimated chance60.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Spartak Subotica 89.1, Hapoel Holon 77.9. Spartak Subotica score more than 21.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Spartak Subotica won their Champions League opener 96-64 at home against Vechta on 2026-10-07.
- Hapoel Holon lost their Champions League opener 79-99 at home against Cholet on 2026-10-06.
- In current-season games, Spartak has averaged 85.7 points scored and 78.3 allowed over three games (2026-10-03 to 2026-10-10), while Holon has averaged 78.2 scored and 86.0 allowed over six games (2026-09-10 to 2026-10-11).
- Over 15 tracked games, Holon has shot 54.8% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers, compared with Spartak's 50.4% and 33.6%.
- No completed head-to-head meeting between Spartak Subotica and Hapoel Holon is on record.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonSpartak Subotica over 21.5Estimated chance59.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Spartak Subotica 89.1, Hapoel Holon 77.9. The 2nd quarter has more than 40.5 points in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Spartak Subotica won their Champions League opener 96-64 at home against Vechta on 2026-10-07.
- Hapoel Holon lost their Champions League opener 79-99 at home against Cholet on 2026-10-06.
- In current-season games, Spartak has averaged 85.7 points scored and 78.3 allowed over three games (2026-10-03 to 2026-10-10), while Holon has averaged 78.2 scored and 86.0 allowed over six games (2026-09-10 to 2026-10-11).
- Over 15 tracked games, Holon has shot 54.8% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers, compared with Spartak's 50.4% and 33.6%.
- No completed head-to-head meeting between Spartak Subotica and Hapoel Holon is on record.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointslostOver 40.5Estimated chance57.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.88
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Spartak Subotica 89.1, Hapoel Holon 77.9. The game has more than 164.5 points (overtime included) in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Spartak Subotica won their Champions League opener 96-64 at home against Vechta on 2026-10-07.
- Hapoel Holon lost their Champions League opener 79-99 at home against Cholet on 2026-10-06.
- In current-season games, Spartak has averaged 85.7 points scored and 78.3 allowed over three games (2026-10-03 to 2026-10-10), while Holon has averaged 78.2 scored and 86.0 allowed over six games (2026-09-10 to 2026-10-11).
- Over 15 tracked games, Holon has shot 54.8% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers, compared with Spartak's 50.4% and 33.6%.
- No completed head-to-head meeting between Spartak Subotica and Hapoel Holon is on record.
BetBugs · Total PointswonOver 164.5Estimated chance57.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Spartak Subotica 89.1, Hapoel Holon 77.9. Spartak Subotica score more than 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Spartak Subotica won their Champions League opener 96-64 at home against Vechta on 2026-10-07.
- Hapoel Holon lost their Champions League opener 79-99 at home against Cholet on 2026-10-06.
- In current-season games, Spartak has averaged 85.7 points scored and 78.3 allowed over three games (2026-10-03 to 2026-10-10), while Holon has averaged 78.2 scored and 86.0 allowed over six games (2026-09-10 to 2026-10-11).
- Over 15 tracked games, Holon has shot 54.8% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers, compared with Spartak's 50.4% and 33.6%.
- No completed head-to-head meeting between Spartak Subotica and Hapoel Holon is on record.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostSpartak Subotica over 21.5Estimated chance55.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Spartak Subotica 89.1, Hapoel Holon 77.9. Hapoel Holon score fewer than 79.5 points (overtime included) in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Spartak Subotica won their Champions League opener 96-64 at home against Vechta on 2026-10-07.
- Hapoel Holon lost their Champions League opener 79-99 at home against Cholet on 2026-10-06.
- In current-season games, Spartak has averaged 85.7 points scored and 78.3 allowed over three games (2026-10-03 to 2026-10-10), while Holon has averaged 78.2 scored and 86.0 allowed over six games (2026-09-10 to 2026-10-11).
- Over 15 tracked games, Holon has shot 54.8% on two-pointers and 37.3% on three-pointers, compared with Spartak's 50.4% and 33.6%.
- No completed head-to-head meeting between Spartak Subotica and Hapoel Holon is on record.
BetBugs · Team PointslostHapoel Holon under 79.5Estimated chance55.4%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 14, 05:34

Selected line

164.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

57%

Chance of 165+ points

+4 pp above break-even

Over 1.88 needs 53% to break even. BetBugs sees 57%.

Move the line main 164.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 57%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 43%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

League table

Champions League · Champions League - Regular Season · Group A

#TeamW–LWin %

Spartak Subotica

1–0100%

Hapoel Holon

0–10%

Recent Form

Spartak Subotica

9W 6L · last 15

at Perspektiva Ilirija82–76 Oct 10ABA

vs Vechta96–64 Oct 7CL

vs KK Bosna79–95 Oct 3ABA

at FMP Beograd76–73 OTMay 31SUP

at Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet90–89 May 29SUP

at Borac Mozzart75–68 May 19SUP

vs Borac Mozzart83–66 May 15SUP

vs Dubai84–88 May 10ABA

at Dubai74–102 May 6ABA

at Igokea80–68 May 3ABA

vs Zadar86–68 Apr 30ABA

at Split83–93 Apr 24ABA

vs Borac Mozzart92–66 Apr 18ABA

at KK Krka Novo mesto61–66 Apr 11ABA

at FMP Beograd49–69 Apr 6ABA

Hapoel Holon

7W 8L · last 15

vs Hapoel Jerusalem69–92 Oct 11SUP

vs Cholet79–99 Oct 6CL

vs Ironi Eilat87–85 Sep 30LEA

vs Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan83–80 Sep 23LEA

vs Ironi Kiryat Ata79–83 Sep 15LEA

at Nes Ziona72–77 Sep 10LEA

at Maccabi Tel Aviv61–89 Jun 12SUP

vs Maccabi Tel Aviv74–84 Jun 10SUP

at Maccabi Tel Aviv93–107 Jun 8SUP

vs Bnei Herzliya99–84 Jun 3SUP

at Bnei Herzliya84–73 Jun 1SUP

at Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan104–110 May 26SUP

at Elitzur Maccabi Netanya108–95 May 18SUP

vs Maccabi Raanana95–93 May 15SUP

at Galil Elyon103–76 May 10SUP

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Spartak Subotica

Stats

1–4

Hapoel Holon

Hapoel Holon leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 0–3

2-point %+4.4pp

50.4%

+4.4pp

54.8%

3-point %+3.7pp

33.6%

+3.7pp

37.3%

Free-throw %+0.2pp

74.6%

+0.2pp

74.8%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s12.9pp apart

31.2%

12.9pp apart

44.1%

Free throws per shot7.5pp apart

32.4%

7.5pp apart

24.9%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game11/1 games+12.0

37.0

+12.0

25.0

Turnovers per game0.5 fewer

13.9

0.5 fewer

13.4

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.