EuroLeagueFinished

Predictions graded

Hapoel Tel Aviv100Besiktas82

Wed 14 Oct 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions7–1041%

Points by period: Hapoel Tel Aviv and Besiktas.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Hapoel Tel Aviv	22	21	32	25
Besiktas	18	21	16	27

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Hapoel Tel Aviv and Besiktas meet level at 2-2 in the EuroLeague, and the 40-minute projection separates them by a single point.

Hapoel shoot 38.5% from three across their last 14 games against Besiktas's 35.4% over 15, enough to make them narrow favourites at home, while Besiktas average more points in this season's EuroLeague. Prices are available across the full market, but none stands out at our numbers.

Context

Neither side carries a rest advantage: both last played on Oct 11, about three days before tip-off. Hapoel's latest game did not feature Micic, LeDay, Satoransky, Blakeney or Caboclo, and Besiktas's did not feature Omoruyi, but none of those is a confirmed absence.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 91.6, Besiktas 90.4. Besiktas cover +5.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 76 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 14 completed games for Hapoel Tel Aviv and 15 for Besiktas, across seasons and competitions.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv averaged 87.3 points scored and 89.3 allowed in four EuroLeague games this season (through Oct 8).
- Besiktas averaged 94.3 points scored and 92.0 allowed in four EuroLeague games this season (through Oct 9).
- Hapoel shoots 38.5% from three and 54.3% from two over 14 tracked games; Besiktas shoots 35.4% from three and 54.0% from two over 15 tracked games.
- Hapoel has a free-throw rate of 0.329 compared to Besiktas's 0.259 over 12 tracked games each.
- In two home EuroLeague games, Hapoel scored 93.0 points per game; in two away EuroLeague games, Besiktas scored 100.5 points per game.
- In five head-to-head meetings in 2023-2024 Eurocup, Hapoel averaged 94.8 points and Besiktas 86.0.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonBesiktas +5.5Estimated chance75.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 91.6, Besiktas 90.4. Besiktas cover +6.5 (overtime included) in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv averaged 87.3 points scored and 89.3 allowed in four EuroLeague games this season (through Oct 8).
- Besiktas averaged 94.3 points scored and 92.0 allowed in four EuroLeague games this season (through Oct 9).
- Hapoel shoots 38.5% from three and 54.3% from two over 14 tracked games; Besiktas shoots 35.4% from three and 54.0% from two over 15 tracked games.
- Hapoel has a free-throw rate of 0.329 compared to Besiktas's 0.259 over 12 tracked games each.
- In two home EuroLeague games, Hapoel scored 93.0 points per game; in two away EuroLeague games, Besiktas scored 100.5 points per game.
- In five head-to-head meetings in 2023-2024 Eurocup, Hapoel averaged 94.8 points and Besiktas 86.0.
BetBugs · HandicaplostBesiktas +6.5Estimated chance65.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 91.6, Besiktas 90.4. Besiktas cover +3.5 in the 1st half in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv averaged 87.3 points scored and 89.3 allowed in four EuroLeague games this season (through Oct 8).
- Besiktas averaged 94.3 points scored and 92.0 allowed in four EuroLeague games this season (through Oct 9).
- Hapoel shoots 38.5% from three and 54.3% from two over 14 tracked games; Besiktas shoots 35.4% from three and 54.0% from two over 15 tracked games.
- Hapoel has a free-throw rate of 0.329 compared to Besiktas's 0.259 over 12 tracked games each.
- In two home EuroLeague games, Hapoel scored 93.0 points per game; in two away EuroLeague games, Besiktas scored 100.5 points per game.
- In five head-to-head meetings in 2023-2024 Eurocup, Hapoel averaged 94.8 points and Besiktas 86.0.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicaplostBesiktas +3.5Estimated chance61.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 91.6, Besiktas 90.4. Hapoel Tel Aviv cover +1.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 14 completed games for Hapoel Tel Aviv and 15 for Besiktas, across seasons and competitions.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv averaged 87.3 points scored and 89.3 allowed in four EuroLeague games this season (through Oct 8).
- Besiktas averaged 94.3 points scored and 92.0 allowed in four EuroLeague games this season (through Oct 9).
- Hapoel shoots 38.5% from three and 54.3% from two over 14 tracked games; Besiktas shoots 35.4% from three and 54.0% from two over 15 tracked games.
- Hapoel has a free-throw rate of 0.329 compared to Besiktas's 0.259 over 12 tracked games each.
- In two home EuroLeague games, Hapoel scored 93.0 points per game; in two away EuroLeague games, Besiktas scored 100.5 points per game.
- In five head-to-head meetings in 2023-2024 Eurocup, Hapoel averaged 94.8 points and Besiktas 86.0.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonHapoel Tel Aviv +1.5Estimated chance59.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 91.6, Besiktas 90.4. Besiktas cover +1.5 in the 1st quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv averaged 87.3 points scored and 89.3 allowed in four EuroLeague games this season (through Oct 8).
- Besiktas averaged 94.3 points scored and 92.0 allowed in four EuroLeague games this season (through Oct 9).
- Hapoel shoots 38.5% from three and 54.3% from two over 14 tracked games; Besiktas shoots 35.4% from three and 54.0% from two over 15 tracked games.
- Hapoel has a free-throw rate of 0.329 compared to Besiktas's 0.259 over 12 tracked games each.
- In two home EuroLeague games, Hapoel scored 93.0 points per game; in two away EuroLeague games, Besiktas scored 100.5 points per game.
- In five head-to-head meetings in 2023-2024 Eurocup, Hapoel averaged 94.8 points and Besiktas 86.0.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicaplostBesiktas +1.5Estimated chance56.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 91.6, Besiktas 90.4. Hapoel Tel Aviv win in about 54 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv averaged 87.3 points scored and 89.3 allowed in four EuroLeague games this season (through Oct 8).
- Besiktas averaged 94.3 points scored and 92.0 allowed in four EuroLeague games this season (through Oct 9).
- Hapoel shoots 38.5% from three and 54.3% from two over 14 tracked games; Besiktas shoots 35.4% from three and 54.0% from two over 15 tracked games.
- Hapoel has a free-throw rate of 0.329 compared to Besiktas's 0.259 over 12 tracked games each.
- In two home EuroLeague games, Hapoel scored 93.0 points per game; in two away EuroLeague games, Besiktas scored 100.5 points per game.
- In five head-to-head meetings in 2023-2024 Eurocup, Hapoel averaged 94.8 points and Besiktas 86.0.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonHapoel Tel AvivEstimated chance53.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 91.6, Besiktas 90.4. Hapoel Tel Aviv are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 51 of 100 games like this.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv averaged 87.3 points scored and 89.3 allowed in four EuroLeague games this season (through Oct 8).
- Besiktas averaged 94.3 points scored and 92.0 allowed in four EuroLeague games this season (through Oct 9).
- Hapoel shoots 38.5% from three and 54.3% from two over 14 tracked games; Besiktas shoots 35.4% from three and 54.0% from two over 15 tracked games.
- Hapoel has a free-throw rate of 0.329 compared to Besiktas's 0.259 over 12 tracked games each.
- In two home EuroLeague games, Hapoel scored 93.0 points per game; in two away EuroLeague games, Besiktas scored 100.5 points per game.
- In five head-to-head meetings in 2023-2024 Eurocup, Hapoel averaged 94.8 points and Besiktas 86.0.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonHapoel Tel AvivEstimated chance51.4%

Points3 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 91.6, Besiktas 90.4. Besiktas score more than 84.5 points (overtime included) in about 73 of 100 games like this.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv averaged 87.3 points scored and 89.3 allowed in four EuroLeague games this season (through Oct 8).
- Besiktas averaged 94.3 points scored and 92.0 allowed in four EuroLeague games this season (through Oct 9).
- Hapoel shoots 38.5% from three and 54.3% from two over 14 tracked games; Besiktas shoots 35.4% from three and 54.0% from two over 15 tracked games.
- Hapoel has a free-throw rate of 0.329 compared to Besiktas's 0.259 over 12 tracked games each.
- In two home EuroLeague games, Hapoel scored 93.0 points per game; in two away EuroLeague games, Besiktas scored 100.5 points per game.
- In five head-to-head meetings in 2023-2024 Eurocup, Hapoel averaged 94.8 points and Besiktas 86.0.
BetBugs · Team PointslostBesiktas over 84.5Estimated chance72.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 91.6, Besiktas 90.4. Besiktas score more than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv averaged 87.3 points scored and 89.3 allowed in four EuroLeague games this season (through Oct 8).
- Besiktas averaged 94.3 points scored and 92.0 allowed in four EuroLeague games this season (through Oct 9).
- Hapoel shoots 38.5% from three and 54.3% from two over 14 tracked games; Besiktas shoots 35.4% from three and 54.0% from two over 15 tracked games.
- Hapoel has a free-throw rate of 0.329 compared to Besiktas's 0.259 over 12 tracked games each.
- In two home EuroLeague games, Hapoel scored 93.0 points per game; in two away EuroLeague games, Besiktas scored 100.5 points per game.
- In five head-to-head meetings in 2023-2024 Eurocup, Hapoel averaged 94.8 points and Besiktas 86.0.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonBesiktas over 20.5Estimated chance66.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 91.6, Besiktas 90.4. Besiktas score more than 42.5 points in the 1st half in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv averaged 87.3 points scored and 89.3 allowed in four EuroLeague games this season (through Oct 8).
- Besiktas averaged 94.3 points scored and 92.0 allowed in four EuroLeague games this season (through Oct 9).
- Hapoel shoots 38.5% from three and 54.3% from two over 14 tracked games; Besiktas shoots 35.4% from three and 54.0% from two over 15 tracked games.
- Hapoel has a free-throw rate of 0.329 compared to Besiktas's 0.259 over 12 tracked games each.
- In two home EuroLeague games, Hapoel scored 93.0 points per game; in two away EuroLeague games, Besiktas scored 100.5 points per game.
- In five head-to-head meetings in 2023-2024 Eurocup, Hapoel averaged 94.8 points and Besiktas 86.0.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostBesiktas over 42.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 91.6, Besiktas 90.4. The game has more than 176.5 points (overtime included) in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv averaged 87.3 points scored and 89.3 allowed in four EuroLeague games this season (through Oct 8).
- Besiktas averaged 94.3 points scored and 92.0 allowed in four EuroLeague games this season (through Oct 9).
- Hapoel shoots 38.5% from three and 54.3% from two over 14 tracked games; Besiktas shoots 35.4% from three and 54.0% from two over 15 tracked games.
- Hapoel has a free-throw rate of 0.329 compared to Besiktas's 0.259 over 12 tracked games each.
- In two home EuroLeague games, Hapoel scored 93.0 points per game; in two away EuroLeague games, Besiktas scored 100.5 points per game.
- In five head-to-head meetings in 2023-2024 Eurocup, Hapoel averaged 94.8 points and Besiktas 86.0.
BetBugs · Total PointswonOver 176.5Estimated chance64.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 91.6, Besiktas 90.4. Besiktas score more than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv averaged 87.3 points scored and 89.3 allowed in four EuroLeague games this season (through Oct 8).
- Besiktas averaged 94.3 points scored and 92.0 allowed in four EuroLeague games this season (through Oct 9).
- Hapoel shoots 38.5% from three and 54.3% from two over 14 tracked games; Besiktas shoots 35.4% from three and 54.0% from two over 15 tracked games.
- Hapoel has a free-throw rate of 0.329 compared to Besiktas's 0.259 over 12 tracked games each.
- In two home EuroLeague games, Hapoel scored 93.0 points per game; in two away EuroLeague games, Besiktas scored 100.5 points per game.
- In five head-to-head meetings in 2023-2024 Eurocup, Hapoel averaged 94.8 points and Besiktas 86.0.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostBesiktas over 20.5Estimated chance64.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 91.6, Besiktas 90.4. The 2nd quarter has more than 43.5 points in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv averaged 87.3 points scored and 89.3 allowed in four EuroLeague games this season (through Oct 8).
- Besiktas averaged 94.3 points scored and 92.0 allowed in four EuroLeague games this season (through Oct 9).
- Hapoel shoots 38.5% from three and 54.3% from two over 14 tracked games; Besiktas shoots 35.4% from three and 54.0% from two over 15 tracked games.
- Hapoel has a free-throw rate of 0.329 compared to Besiktas's 0.259 over 12 tracked games each.
- In two home EuroLeague games, Hapoel scored 93.0 points per game; in two away EuroLeague games, Besiktas scored 100.5 points per game.
- In five head-to-head meetings in 2023-2024 Eurocup, Hapoel averaged 94.8 points and Besiktas 86.0.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointslostOver 43.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 91.6, Besiktas 90.4. The 1st quarter has more than 43.5 points in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv averaged 87.3 points scored and 89.3 allowed in four EuroLeague games this season (through Oct 8).
- Besiktas averaged 94.3 points scored and 92.0 allowed in four EuroLeague games this season (through Oct 9).
- Hapoel shoots 38.5% from three and 54.3% from two over 14 tracked games; Besiktas shoots 35.4% from three and 54.0% from two over 15 tracked games.
- Hapoel has a free-throw rate of 0.329 compared to Besiktas's 0.259 over 12 tracked games each.
- In two home EuroLeague games, Hapoel scored 93.0 points per game; in two away EuroLeague games, Besiktas scored 100.5 points per game.
- In five head-to-head meetings in 2023-2024 Eurocup, Hapoel averaged 94.8 points and Besiktas 86.0.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointslostOver 43.5Estimated chance61%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 91.6, Besiktas 90.4. The 1st half has more than 88.5 points in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv averaged 87.3 points scored and 89.3 allowed in four EuroLeague games this season (through Oct 8).
- Besiktas averaged 94.3 points scored and 92.0 allowed in four EuroLeague games this season (through Oct 9).
- Hapoel shoots 38.5% from three and 54.3% from two over 14 tracked games; Besiktas shoots 35.4% from three and 54.0% from two over 15 tracked games.
- Hapoel has a free-throw rate of 0.329 compared to Besiktas's 0.259 over 12 tracked games each.
- In two home EuroLeague games, Hapoel scored 93.0 points per game; in two away EuroLeague games, Besiktas scored 100.5 points per game.
- In five head-to-head meetings in 2023-2024 Eurocup, Hapoel averaged 94.8 points and Besiktas 86.0.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostOver 88.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 91.6, Besiktas 90.4. Besiktas score more than 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv averaged 87.3 points scored and 89.3 allowed in four EuroLeague games this season (through Oct 8).
- Besiktas averaged 94.3 points scored and 92.0 allowed in four EuroLeague games this season (through Oct 9).
- Hapoel shoots 38.5% from three and 54.3% from two over 14 tracked games; Besiktas shoots 35.4% from three and 54.0% from two over 15 tracked games.
- Hapoel has a free-throw rate of 0.329 compared to Besiktas's 0.259 over 12 tracked games each.
- In two home EuroLeague games, Hapoel scored 93.0 points per game; in two away EuroLeague games, Besiktas scored 100.5 points per game.
- In five head-to-head meetings in 2023-2024 Eurocup, Hapoel averaged 94.8 points and Besiktas 86.0.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostBesiktas over 21.5Estimated chance58.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 91.6, Besiktas 90.4. The 3rd quarter has more than 43.5 points in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv averaged 87.3 points scored and 89.3 allowed in four EuroLeague games this season (through Oct 8).
- Besiktas averaged 94.3 points scored and 92.0 allowed in four EuroLeague games this season (through Oct 9).
- Hapoel shoots 38.5% from three and 54.3% from two over 14 tracked games; Besiktas shoots 35.4% from three and 54.0% from two over 15 tracked games.
- Hapoel has a free-throw rate of 0.329 compared to Besiktas's 0.259 over 12 tracked games each.
- In two home EuroLeague games, Hapoel scored 93.0 points per game; in two away EuroLeague games, Besiktas scored 100.5 points per game.
- In five head-to-head meetings in 2023-2024 Eurocup, Hapoel averaged 94.8 points and Besiktas 86.0.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonOver 43.5Estimated chance58.2%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 14, 05:34

Selected line

176.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

65%

Chance of 177+ points

+13 pp above break-even

Over 1.94 needs 52% to break even. BetBugs sees 65%.

Move the line main 176.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 65%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 35%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W109–101

Hapoel Tel-Avivv

Besiktas

Dec 18, 2024·EUROT

W87–101

Besiktasv

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

Oct 8, 2024·EUR

L89–94

Hapoel Tel-Avivv

Besiktas

Mar 13, 2024·EUR

W73–94

Besiktasv

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

Feb 7, 2024·EUR

W81–75

Hapoel Tel-Avivv

Besiktas

Nov 29, 2023·EUR

180.8Avg total points

10.8Avg margin

5meetings

League table

EuroLeague · Euroleague - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Hapoel Tel Aviv

2–250%

Besiktas

2–250%

Recent Form

Hapoel Tel Aviv

10W 5L · last 15

at Hapoel Beer Sheva95–82 Oct 11SUP

at Valencia82–93 Oct 8EUR

vs Nes Ziona79–76 Oct 3LEA

vs Real Madrid102–98 Oct 1EUR

at Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet81–80 Sep 29EUR

vs Hapoel Beer Sheva85–67 Sep 26LEA

vs Bayern84–86 Sep 24EUR

vs Maccabi Tel Aviv79–83 Jun 23SUP

at Maccabi Tel Aviv80–74 Jun 21SUP

vs Maccabi Tel Aviv98–102 Jun 18SUP

at Maccabi Tel Aviv75–96 Jun 16SUP

vs Hapoel Jerusalem89–81 Jun 11SUP

at Hapoel Jerusalem88–84 Jun 9SUP

vs Hapoel Jerusalem20–1 Jun 7SUP

vs Maccabi Rishon96–83 Jun 4SUP

Besiktas

6W 9L · last 15

at Turk Telekom63–88 Oct 11BAS

at Baskonia92–84 Oct 9EUR

vs Trabzonspor90–81 Oct 5BAS

vs Barcelona82–95 Oct 2EUR

at Maccabi Tel Aviv109–93 Sep 30EUR

at Anadolu Efes81–95 Sep 27BAS

vs Valencia94–96 Sep 25EUR

at Fenerbahce59–72 Sep 22SUP

vs Fenerbahce75–77 Jun 19BAS

vs Fenerbahce71–82 Jun 17BAS

at Fenerbahce68–93 Jun 15BAS

at Fenerbahce88–80 Jun 13BAS

vs Bahcesehir Kol.80–71 Jun 10BAS

at Bahcesehir Kol.73–71 Jun 8BAS

at Bahcesehir Kol.95–98 OTJun 6BAS

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Hapoel Tel Aviv

14 games

Stats

5–0

Besiktas

Hapoel Tel Aviv leads in 5 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 3–0

2-point %+0.3pp

54.3%

+0.3pp

54.0%

3-point %+3.1pp

38.5%

+3.1pp

35.4%

Free-throw %12/12 games+0.5pp

73.3%

+0.5pp

72.8%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s1.3pp apart

39.7%

1.3pp apart

38.4%

Free throws per shot12/12 games7.0pp apart

32.9%

7.0pp apart

25.9%

Possession· 2–0

Rebounds per game4/15 games+3.6

32.8

+3.6

29.2

Turnovers per game1.2 fewer

10.1

1.2 fewer

11.3

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.