FIBA Europe CupFinished

Predictions graded

Benfica96Denizli Basket91

Wed 14 Oct 2026, 19:00 Predictions graded

Predictions20–387%

Points by period: Benfica and Denizli Basket.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Benfica	28	22	27	19
Denizli Basket	23	22	17	29

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Both teams won their FIBA Europe Cup opener, and Benfica's home floor tips a tight Group G game their way: 88.5-84.2 after 40 minutes, winning about 63 of 100 including overtime.

Denizli's 39.0% three-point shooting and 80.2% free-throw shooting over five games keep it close. No prices are quoted for this fixture, so the forecasts are unpriced.

Context

Benfica average 86.3 points scored and 82.3 conceded over three home games this season, while Denizli average 85.0 scored and 90.3 conceded over three away games. No availability, travel or rotation factors are established, and both teams last played on 11 October.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result7 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Benfica 88.5, Denizli Basket 84.2. Benfica cover +6.5 (overtime included) in about 80 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Benfica and 5 for Denizli Basket, across seasons and competitions.
- Benfica's five 2026-27 games across LPB, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.2 points scored and 84.2 allowed.
- Denizli's five 2026-27 games across Basketbol Süper Ligi, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.8 scored and 85.4 allowed.
- Benfica's three home games this season (Sep 15–Oct 3) average 86.3 scored and 82.3 allowed, while Denizli's three away games (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 85.0 scored and 90.3 allowed.
- Denizli shoots 39.0% from three and 80.2% on free throws over five games, compared with Benfica's 31.3% and 70.4% over 14 games.
- Denizli turns the ball over 12.0 times per game versus Benfica's 14.5, though Benfica rebounds better (34.6 to 32.8) over the same current-season samples.
BetBugs · HandicapwonBenfica +6.5Estimated chance79.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Benfica 88.5, Denizli Basket 84.2. Denizli Basket cover +5.5 in the 1st quarter in about 74 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Benfica and 5 for Denizli Basket, across seasons and competitions.
- Benfica's five 2026-27 games across LPB, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.2 points scored and 84.2 allowed.
- Denizli's five 2026-27 games across Basketbol Süper Ligi, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.8 scored and 85.4 allowed.
- Benfica's three home games this season (Sep 15–Oct 3) average 86.3 scored and 82.3 allowed, while Denizli's three away games (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 85.0 scored and 90.3 allowed.
- Denizli shoots 39.0% from three and 80.2% on free throws over five games, compared with Benfica's 31.3% and 70.4% over 14 games.
- Denizli turns the ball over 12.0 times per game versus Benfica's 14.5, though Benfica rebounds better (34.6 to 32.8) over the same current-season samples.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapwonDenizli Basket +5.5Estimated chance73.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Benfica 88.5, Denizli Basket 84.2. Benfica cover +2.5 in the 1st half in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Benfica and 5 for Denizli Basket, across seasons and competitions.
- Benfica's five 2026-27 games across LPB, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.2 points scored and 84.2 allowed.
- Denizli's five 2026-27 games across Basketbol Süper Ligi, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.8 scored and 85.4 allowed.
- Benfica's three home games this season (Sep 15–Oct 3) average 86.3 scored and 82.3 allowed, while Denizli's three away games (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 85.0 scored and 90.3 allowed.
- Denizli shoots 39.0% from three and 80.2% on free throws over five games, compared with Benfica's 31.3% and 70.4% over 14 games.
- Denizli turns the ball over 12.0 times per game versus Benfica's 14.5, though Benfica rebounds better (34.6 to 32.8) over the same current-season samples.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonBenfica +2.5Estimated chance69.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Benfica 88.5, Denizli Basket 84.2. Denizli Basket cover +3.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Benfica and 5 for Denizli Basket, across seasons and competitions.
- Benfica's five 2026-27 games across LPB, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.2 points scored and 84.2 allowed.
- Denizli's five 2026-27 games across Basketbol Süper Ligi, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.8 scored and 85.4 allowed.
- Benfica's three home games this season (Sep 15–Oct 3) average 86.3 scored and 82.3 allowed, while Denizli's three away games (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 85.0 scored and 90.3 allowed.
- Denizli shoots 39.0% from three and 80.2% on free throws over five games, compared with Benfica's 31.3% and 70.4% over 14 games.
- Denizli turns the ball over 12.0 times per game versus Benfica's 14.5, though Benfica rebounds better (34.6 to 32.8) over the same current-season samples.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostDenizli Basket +3.5Estimated chance63.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Benfica 88.5, Denizli Basket 84.2. Benfica win in about 63 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Benfica's five 2026-27 games across LPB, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.2 points scored and 84.2 allowed.
- Denizli's five 2026-27 games across Basketbol Süper Ligi, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.8 scored and 85.4 allowed.
- Benfica's three home games this season (Sep 15–Oct 3) average 86.3 scored and 82.3 allowed, while Denizli's three away games (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 85.0 scored and 90.3 allowed.
- Denizli shoots 39.0% from three and 80.2% on free throws over five games, compared with Benfica's 31.3% and 70.4% over 14 games.
- Denizli turns the ball over 12.0 times per game versus Benfica's 14.5, though Benfica rebounds better (34.6 to 32.8) over the same current-season samples.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonBenficaEstimated chance63.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Benfica 88.5, Denizli Basket 84.2. Benfica are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Benfica's five 2026-27 games across LPB, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.2 points scored and 84.2 allowed.
- Denizli's five 2026-27 games across Basketbol Süper Ligi, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.8 scored and 85.4 allowed.
- Benfica's three home games this season (Sep 15–Oct 3) average 86.3 scored and 82.3 allowed, while Denizli's three away games (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 85.0 scored and 90.3 allowed.
- Denizli shoots 39.0% from three and 80.2% on free throws over five games, compared with Benfica's 31.3% and 70.4% over 14 games.
- Denizli turns the ball over 12.0 times per game versus Benfica's 14.5, though Benfica rebounds better (34.6 to 32.8) over the same current-season samples.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonBenficaEstimated chance61.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Benfica 88.5, Denizli Basket 84.2. Benfica are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Benfica's five 2026-27 games across LPB, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.2 points scored and 84.2 allowed.
- Denizli's five 2026-27 games across Basketbol Süper Ligi, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.8 scored and 85.4 allowed.
- Benfica's three home games this season (Sep 15–Oct 3) average 86.3 scored and 82.3 allowed, while Denizli's three away games (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 85.0 scored and 90.3 allowed.
- Denizli shoots 39.0% from three and 80.2% on free throws over five games, compared with Benfica's 31.3% and 70.4% over 14 games.
- Denizli turns the ball over 12.0 times per game versus Benfica's 14.5, though Benfica rebounds better (34.6 to 32.8) over the same current-season samples.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonBenficaEstimated chance57.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Benfica 88.5, Denizli Basket 84.2. Denizli Basket cover +2.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Benfica and 5 for Denizli Basket, across seasons and competitions.
- Benfica's five 2026-27 games across LPB, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.2 points scored and 84.2 allowed.
- Denizli's five 2026-27 games across Basketbol Süper Ligi, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.8 scored and 85.4 allowed.
- Benfica's three home games this season (Sep 15–Oct 3) average 86.3 scored and 82.3 allowed, while Denizli's three away games (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 85.0 scored and 90.3 allowed.
- Denizli shoots 39.0% from three and 80.2% on free throws over five games, compared with Benfica's 31.3% and 70.4% over 14 games.
- Denizli turns the ball over 12.0 times per game versus Benfica's 14.5, though Benfica rebounds better (34.6 to 32.8) over the same current-season samples.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonDenizli Basket +2.5Estimated chance56.2%

Points13 of 15 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Benfica 88.5, Denizli Basket 84.2. Benfica score more than 17.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 82 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Benfica and 5 for Denizli Basket, across seasons and competitions.
- Benfica's five 2026-27 games across LPB, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.2 points scored and 84.2 allowed.
- Denizli's five 2026-27 games across Basketbol Süper Ligi, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.8 scored and 85.4 allowed.
- Benfica's three home games this season (Sep 15–Oct 3) average 86.3 scored and 82.3 allowed, while Denizli's three away games (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 85.0 scored and 90.3 allowed.
- Denizli shoots 39.0% from three and 80.2% on free throws over five games, compared with Benfica's 31.3% and 70.4% over 14 games.
- Denizli turns the ball over 12.0 times per game versus Benfica's 14.5, though Benfica rebounds better (34.6 to 32.8) over the same current-season samples.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonBenfica over 17.5Estimated chance82%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Benfica 88.5, Denizli Basket 84.2. Denizli Basket score more than 17.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Benfica and 5 for Denizli Basket, across seasons and competitions.
- Benfica's five 2026-27 games across LPB, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.2 points scored and 84.2 allowed.
- Denizli's five 2026-27 games across Basketbol Süper Ligi, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.8 scored and 85.4 allowed.
- Benfica's three home games this season (Sep 15–Oct 3) average 86.3 scored and 82.3 allowed, while Denizli's three away games (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 85.0 scored and 90.3 allowed.
- Denizli shoots 39.0% from three and 80.2% on free throws over five games, compared with Benfica's 31.3% and 70.4% over 14 games.
- Denizli turns the ball over 12.0 times per game versus Benfica's 14.5, though Benfica rebounds better (34.6 to 32.8) over the same current-season samples.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonDenizli Basket over 17.5Estimated chance75.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Benfica 88.5, Denizli Basket 84.2. Benfica score more than 19.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Benfica and 5 for Denizli Basket, across seasons and competitions.
- Benfica's five 2026-27 games across LPB, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.2 points scored and 84.2 allowed.
- Denizli's five 2026-27 games across Basketbol Süper Ligi, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.8 scored and 85.4 allowed.
- Benfica's three home games this season (Sep 15–Oct 3) average 86.3 scored and 82.3 allowed, while Denizli's three away games (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 85.0 scored and 90.3 allowed.
- Denizli shoots 39.0% from three and 80.2% on free throws over five games, compared with Benfica's 31.3% and 70.4% over 14 games.
- Denizli turns the ball over 12.0 times per game versus Benfica's 14.5, though Benfica rebounds better (34.6 to 32.8) over the same current-season samples.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonBenfica over 19.5Estimated chance71.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Benfica 88.5, Denizli Basket 84.2. The game has more than 164.5 points (overtime included) in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Benfica and 5 for Denizli Basket, across seasons and competitions.
- Benfica's five 2026-27 games across LPB, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.2 points scored and 84.2 allowed.
- Denizli's five 2026-27 games across Basketbol Süper Ligi, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.8 scored and 85.4 allowed.
- Benfica's three home games this season (Sep 15–Oct 3) average 86.3 scored and 82.3 allowed, while Denizli's three away games (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 85.0 scored and 90.3 allowed.
- Denizli shoots 39.0% from three and 80.2% on free throws over five games, compared with Benfica's 31.3% and 70.4% over 14 games.
- Denizli turns the ball over 12.0 times per game versus Benfica's 14.5, though Benfica rebounds better (34.6 to 32.8) over the same current-season samples.
BetBugs · Total PointswonOver 164.5Estimated chance70.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Benfica 88.5, Denizli Basket 84.2. Denizli Basket score more than 38.5 points in the 1st half in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Benfica and 5 for Denizli Basket, across seasons and competitions.
- Benfica's five 2026-27 games across LPB, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.2 points scored and 84.2 allowed.
- Denizli's five 2026-27 games across Basketbol Süper Ligi, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.8 scored and 85.4 allowed.
- Benfica's three home games this season (Sep 15–Oct 3) average 86.3 scored and 82.3 allowed, while Denizli's three away games (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 85.0 scored and 90.3 allowed.
- Denizli shoots 39.0% from three and 80.2% on free throws over five games, compared with Benfica's 31.3% and 70.4% over 14 games.
- Denizli turns the ball over 12.0 times per game versus Benfica's 14.5, though Benfica rebounds better (34.6 to 32.8) over the same current-season samples.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonDenizli Basket over 38.5Estimated chance69.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Benfica 88.5, Denizli Basket 84.2. Denizli Basket score more than 79.5 points (overtime included) in about 68 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Benfica and 5 for Denizli Basket, across seasons and competitions.
- Benfica's five 2026-27 games across LPB, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.2 points scored and 84.2 allowed.
- Denizli's five 2026-27 games across Basketbol Süper Ligi, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.8 scored and 85.4 allowed.
- Benfica's three home games this season (Sep 15–Oct 3) average 86.3 scored and 82.3 allowed, while Denizli's three away games (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 85.0 scored and 90.3 allowed.
- Denizli shoots 39.0% from three and 80.2% on free throws over five games, compared with Benfica's 31.3% and 70.4% over 14 games.
- Denizli turns the ball over 12.0 times per game versus Benfica's 14.5, though Benfica rebounds better (34.6 to 32.8) over the same current-season samples.
BetBugs · Team PointswonDenizli Basket over 79.5Estimated chance68.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Benfica 88.5, Denizli Basket 84.2. The 2nd quarter has more than 40.5 points in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Benfica and 5 for Denizli Basket, across seasons and competitions.
- Benfica's five 2026-27 games across LPB, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.2 points scored and 84.2 allowed.
- Denizli's five 2026-27 games across Basketbol Süper Ligi, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.8 scored and 85.4 allowed.
- Benfica's three home games this season (Sep 15–Oct 3) average 86.3 scored and 82.3 allowed, while Denizli's three away games (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 85.0 scored and 90.3 allowed.
- Denizli shoots 39.0% from three and 80.2% on free throws over five games, compared with Benfica's 31.3% and 70.4% over 14 games.
- Denizli turns the ball over 12.0 times per game versus Benfica's 14.5, though Benfica rebounds better (34.6 to 32.8) over the same current-season samples.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonOver 40.5Estimated chance65.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Benfica 88.5, Denizli Basket 84.2. The 1st half has more than 82.5 points in about 65 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Benfica and 5 for Denizli Basket, across seasons and competitions.
- Benfica's five 2026-27 games across LPB, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.2 points scored and 84.2 allowed.
- Denizli's five 2026-27 games across Basketbol Süper Ligi, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.8 scored and 85.4 allowed.
- Benfica's three home games this season (Sep 15–Oct 3) average 86.3 scored and 82.3 allowed, while Denizli's three away games (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 85.0 scored and 90.3 allowed.
- Denizli shoots 39.0% from three and 80.2% on free throws over five games, compared with Benfica's 31.3% and 70.4% over 14 games.
- Denizli turns the ball over 12.0 times per game versus Benfica's 14.5, though Benfica rebounds better (34.6 to 32.8) over the same current-season samples.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonOver 82.5Estimated chance64.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Benfica 88.5, Denizli Basket 84.2. Denizli Basket score more than 19.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Benfica and 5 for Denizli Basket, across seasons and competitions.
- Benfica's five 2026-27 games across LPB, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.2 points scored and 84.2 allowed.
- Denizli's five 2026-27 games across Basketbol Süper Ligi, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.8 scored and 85.4 allowed.
- Benfica's three home games this season (Sep 15–Oct 3) average 86.3 scored and 82.3 allowed, while Denizli's three away games (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 85.0 scored and 90.3 allowed.
- Denizli shoots 39.0% from three and 80.2% on free throws over five games, compared with Benfica's 31.3% and 70.4% over 14 games.
- Denizli turns the ball over 12.0 times per game versus Benfica's 14.5, though Benfica rebounds better (34.6 to 32.8) over the same current-season samples.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonDenizli Basket over 19.5Estimated chance62.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Benfica 88.5, Denizli Basket 84.2. Denizli Basket score more than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Benfica and 5 for Denizli Basket, across seasons and competitions.
- Benfica's five 2026-27 games across LPB, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.2 points scored and 84.2 allowed.
- Denizli's five 2026-27 games across Basketbol Süper Ligi, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.8 scored and 85.4 allowed.
- Benfica's three home games this season (Sep 15–Oct 3) average 86.3 scored and 82.3 allowed, while Denizli's three away games (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 85.0 scored and 90.3 allowed.
- Denizli shoots 39.0% from three and 80.2% on free throws over five games, compared with Benfica's 31.3% and 70.4% over 14 games.
- Denizli turns the ball over 12.0 times per game versus Benfica's 14.5, though Benfica rebounds better (34.6 to 32.8) over the same current-season samples.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostDenizli Basket over 19.5Estimated chance60.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Benfica 88.5, Denizli Basket 84.2. Benfica score more than 86.5 points (overtime included) in about 60 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Benfica and 5 for Denizli Basket, across seasons and competitions.
- Benfica's five 2026-27 games across LPB, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.2 points scored and 84.2 allowed.
- Denizli's five 2026-27 games across Basketbol Süper Ligi, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.8 scored and 85.4 allowed.
- Benfica's three home games this season (Sep 15–Oct 3) average 86.3 scored and 82.3 allowed, while Denizli's three away games (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 85.0 scored and 90.3 allowed.
- Denizli shoots 39.0% from three and 80.2% on free throws over five games, compared with Benfica's 31.3% and 70.4% over 14 games.
- Denizli turns the ball over 12.0 times per game versus Benfica's 14.5, though Benfica rebounds better (34.6 to 32.8) over the same current-season samples.
BetBugs · Team PointswonBenfica over 86.5Estimated chance59.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Benfica 88.5, Denizli Basket 84.2. The 1st quarter has more than 41.5 points in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Benfica and 5 for Denizli Basket, across seasons and competitions.
- Benfica's five 2026-27 games across LPB, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.2 points scored and 84.2 allowed.
- Denizli's five 2026-27 games across Basketbol Süper Ligi, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.8 scored and 85.4 allowed.
- Benfica's three home games this season (Sep 15–Oct 3) average 86.3 scored and 82.3 allowed, while Denizli's three away games (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 85.0 scored and 90.3 allowed.
- Denizli shoots 39.0% from three and 80.2% on free throws over five games, compared with Benfica's 31.3% and 70.4% over 14 games.
- Denizli turns the ball over 12.0 times per game versus Benfica's 14.5, though Benfica rebounds better (34.6 to 32.8) over the same current-season samples.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonOver 41.5Estimated chance59.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Benfica 88.5, Denizli Basket 84.2. The 3rd quarter has more than 41.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Benfica and 5 for Denizli Basket, across seasons and competitions.
- Benfica's five 2026-27 games across LPB, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.2 points scored and 84.2 allowed.
- Denizli's five 2026-27 games across Basketbol Süper Ligi, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.8 scored and 85.4 allowed.
- Benfica's three home games this season (Sep 15–Oct 3) average 86.3 scored and 82.3 allowed, while Denizli's three away games (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 85.0 scored and 90.3 allowed.
- Denizli shoots 39.0% from three and 80.2% on free throws over five games, compared with Benfica's 31.3% and 70.4% over 14 games.
- Denizli turns the ball over 12.0 times per game versus Benfica's 14.5, though Benfica rebounds better (34.6 to 32.8) over the same current-season samples.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonOver 41.5Estimated chance56.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Benfica 88.5, Denizli Basket 84.2. Benfica score more than 43.5 points in the 1st half in about 55 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Benfica and 5 for Denizli Basket, across seasons and competitions.
- Benfica's five 2026-27 games across LPB, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.2 points scored and 84.2 allowed.
- Denizli's five 2026-27 games across Basketbol Süper Ligi, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.8 scored and 85.4 allowed.
- Benfica's three home games this season (Sep 15–Oct 3) average 86.3 scored and 82.3 allowed, while Denizli's three away games (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 85.0 scored and 90.3 allowed.
- Denizli shoots 39.0% from three and 80.2% on free throws over five games, compared with Benfica's 31.3% and 70.4% over 14 games.
- Denizli turns the ball over 12.0 times per game versus Benfica's 14.5, though Benfica rebounds better (34.6 to 32.8) over the same current-season samples.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonBenfica over 43.5Estimated chance55.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Benfica 88.5, Denizli Basket 84.2. Benfica score fewer than 22.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Benfica and 5 for Denizli Basket, across seasons and competitions.
- Benfica's five 2026-27 games across LPB, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.2 points scored and 84.2 allowed.
- Denizli's five 2026-27 games across Basketbol Süper Ligi, FIBA Europe Cup and Champions League (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 87.8 scored and 85.4 allowed.
- Benfica's three home games this season (Sep 15–Oct 3) average 86.3 scored and 82.3 allowed, while Denizli's three away games (Sep 15–Oct 11) average 85.0 scored and 90.3 allowed.
- Denizli shoots 39.0% from three and 80.2% on free throws over five games, compared with Benfica's 31.3% and 70.4% over 14 games.
- Denizli turns the ball over 12.0 times per game versus Benfica's 14.5, though Benfica rebounds better (34.6 to 32.8) over the same current-season samples.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostBenfica under 22.5Estimated chance55.2%

League table

FIBA Europe Cup · FIBA Europe Cup - Regular Season · Group A

#TeamW–LWin %

Benfica

1–0100%

Recent Form

Benfica

9W 6L · last 15

at FC Porto86–93 Oct 11LPB

at Bakken Bears91–81 Oct 7FIB

vs Sporting CP84–71 Oct 3LPB

vs Vechta88–98 Sep 17CL

vs Geneva Lions87–78 Sep 15CL

at FC Porto71–75 Jun 14LPB

at FC Porto63–87 Jun 12LPB

vs FC Porto98–102 OTJun 9LPB

vs FC Porto89–73 Jun 7LPB

at Oliveirense86–78 May 28LPB

vs Oliveirense86–61 May 23LPB

vs Oliveirense98–76 May 21LPB

at Braga94–79 May 13LPB

vs Braga90–72 May 9LPB

vs Sporting CP77–79 May 3TAC

Denizli Basket

2W 3L · last 5

at Anadolu Efes76–85 Oct 11BAS

vs BC Prievidza83–69 Oct 6FIB

vs Tofas101–87 Oct 3BAS

at Petkim Spor81–85 Sep 26BAS

at Vechta98–101 Sep 15CL

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Benfica

Stats

2–3

Denizli Basket

5 games

Denizli Basket leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %14/5 games+0.7pp

54.2%

+0.7pp

53.5%

3-point %14/5 games+7.7pp

31.3%

+7.7pp

39.0%

Free-throw %14/5 games+9.8pp

70.4%

+9.8pp

80.2%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s14/5 games3.6pp apart

27.8%

3.6pp apart

31.4%

Free throws per shot14/5 games14.1pp apart

39.8%

14.1pp apart

25.7%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game14/5 games+1.8

34.6

+1.8

32.8

Turnovers per game2.5 fewer

14.5

2.5 fewer

12.0

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.