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Predictions graded

Valencia97Olympiacos102

Tue 13 Oct 2026, 19:00 Predictions graded

Predictions2–250%

Quarter scores unavailable.

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Valencia's 4-0 EuroLeague start meets the reigning champions: Olympiacos arrive 3-1, and Valencia have won each of the last two meetings.

A 96.7-92.1 edge after 40 minutes makes Valencia the likely winner, with the +2.5 start covered in about 69 of 100 such games. No quoted price stands out at our numbers.

Context

Both sides last played on 11 October, roughly two days before tip-off, and Olympiacos open a two-game trip to Spain with Barcelona to follow on 16 October. Nikola Milutinov is back in Olympiacos' squad after missing EuroLeague Rounds 2 and 3.

Valencia start a three-game home week against Olympiacos, Maccabi and UCAM Murcia. The Barcelona match was their immediate previous fixture, but the full-squad declaration gives Xavi Albert his complete group for the visit of the reigning EuroLeague champions.
- Valencia declared its full squad available on 12 October.
- The game follows Valencia's 89-86 defeat at Barcelona by under 48 hours.
- Olympiacos begins a run of three consecutive home games for Valencia.
Milutinov had missed part of Olympiacos' early EuroLeague schedule before returning to the group for the Spanish trip. The centre is again available alongside Tyrique Jones and Donta Hall, restoring another experienced interior option for Georgios Bartzokas against Valencia.
- Nikola Milutinov missed EuroLeague Rounds 2 and 3 after physical problems.
- Valencia's pre-game update described Milutinov as returning from injury.
- Olympiacos were declared at full squad strength for the Valencia game.
Montero is the first member of Valencia's previous domestic title-winning group to return to Roig Arena as an opponent. He has been used from the bench in Olympiacos' early EuroLeague games and is one of the guards relied on to create his own offence alongside Tyler Dorsey and Evan Fournier.
- Jean Montero won the Liga Endesa and Supercopa Endesa with Valencia last season.
- He moved to Olympiacos for the 2026-27 campaign.
- He scored 30 points against Kolossos on 11 October.
The Valencia fixture opens Olympiacos' two-game Spanish EuroLeague trip before the visit to Barcelona three days later. Cory Joseph described a demanding week with further travel, while Georgios Bartzokas said the team still has areas to improve at both ends.
- Olympiacos travelled to Spain on 12 October.
- Valencia is the opening game of the road double week.
- Olympiacos are scheduled to face Barcelona on 16 October.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 96.7, Olympiacos 92.1. Valencia cover +2.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Valencia and 15 for Olympiacos, across seasons and competitions.
- Valencia are 4-0 in the EuroLeague, averaging 101.3 points scored and 89.0 allowed through four games (table as of 2026-10-12).
- Olympiacos are 3-1 in the EuroLeague, averaging 95.5 points scored and 85.5 allowed through four games (table as of 2026-10-12).
- Valencia's two home EuroLeague games this season: 93-82 vs Hapoel Tel Aviv (Oct 8) and 111-88 vs Baskonia (Sep 29), averaging 102.0 points.
- Olympiacos' three away EuroLeague games this season: 94-96 at Virtus Bologna (Oct 1), 93-91 at Zalgiris Kaunas (Sep 29) and 106-89 at Baskonia (Sep 24), averaging 97.7 points.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings, Valencia won 85-84 at home (2026-03-24) and 99-92 at Olympiacos (2025-12-16).
- Olympiacos shoot 62.4% on two-pointers and 79.3% on free throws over 15 tracked games; Valencia shoot 36.9% on three-pointers and average 10.2 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Handicapnot gradableValencia +2.5Estimated chance70.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 96.7, Olympiacos 92.1. Valencia cover +2.5 (overtime included) in about 69 of 100 games like this.
- Valencia are 4-0 in the EuroLeague, averaging 101.3 points scored and 89.0 allowed through four games (table as of 2026-10-12).
- Olympiacos are 3-1 in the EuroLeague, averaging 95.5 points scored and 85.5 allowed through four games (table as of 2026-10-12).
- Valencia's two home EuroLeague games this season: 93-82 vs Hapoel Tel Aviv (Oct 8) and 111-88 vs Baskonia (Sep 29), averaging 102.0 points.
- Olympiacos' three away EuroLeague games this season: 94-96 at Virtus Bologna (Oct 1), 93-91 at Zalgiris Kaunas (Sep 29) and 106-89 at Baskonia (Sep 24), averaging 97.7 points.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings, Valencia won 85-84 at home (2026-03-24) and 99-92 at Olympiacos (2025-12-16).
- Olympiacos shoot 62.4% on two-pointers and 79.3% on free throws over 15 tracked games; Valencia shoot 36.9% on three-pointers and average 10.2 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games.
BetBugs · HandicaplostValencia +2.5Estimated chance69.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 96.7, Olympiacos 92.1. Valencia cover +1.5 in the 1st half in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Valencia are 4-0 in the EuroLeague, averaging 101.3 points scored and 89.0 allowed through four games (table as of 2026-10-12).
- Olympiacos are 3-1 in the EuroLeague, averaging 95.5 points scored and 85.5 allowed through four games (table as of 2026-10-12).
- Valencia's two home EuroLeague games this season: 93-82 vs Hapoel Tel Aviv (Oct 8) and 111-88 vs Baskonia (Sep 29), averaging 102.0 points.
- Olympiacos' three away EuroLeague games this season: 94-96 at Virtus Bologna (Oct 1), 93-91 at Zalgiris Kaunas (Sep 29) and 106-89 at Baskonia (Sep 24), averaging 97.7 points.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings, Valencia won 85-84 at home (2026-03-24) and 99-92 at Olympiacos (2025-12-16).
- Olympiacos shoot 62.4% on two-pointers and 79.3% on free throws over 15 tracked games; Valencia shoot 36.9% on three-pointers and average 10.2 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games.
BetBugs · 1st Half Handicapnot gradableValencia +1.5Estimated chance66.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 96.7, Olympiacos 92.1. Valencia win in about 64 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Valencia are 4-0 in the EuroLeague, averaging 101.3 points scored and 89.0 allowed through four games (table as of 2026-10-12).
- Olympiacos are 3-1 in the EuroLeague, averaging 95.5 points scored and 85.5 allowed through four games (table as of 2026-10-12).
- Valencia's two home EuroLeague games this season: 93-82 vs Hapoel Tel Aviv (Oct 8) and 111-88 vs Baskonia (Sep 29), averaging 102.0 points.
- Olympiacos' three away EuroLeague games this season: 94-96 at Virtus Bologna (Oct 1), 93-91 at Zalgiris Kaunas (Sep 29) and 106-89 at Baskonia (Sep 24), averaging 97.7 points.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings, Valencia won 85-84 at home (2026-03-24) and 99-92 at Olympiacos (2025-12-16).
- Olympiacos shoot 62.4% on two-pointers and 79.3% on free throws over 15 tracked games; Valencia shoot 36.9% on three-pointers and average 10.2 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostValenciaEstimated chance64.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 96.7, Olympiacos 92.1. Valencia are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Valencia are 4-0 in the EuroLeague, averaging 101.3 points scored and 89.0 allowed through four games (table as of 2026-10-12).
- Olympiacos are 3-1 in the EuroLeague, averaging 95.5 points scored and 85.5 allowed through four games (table as of 2026-10-12).
- Valencia's two home EuroLeague games this season: 93-82 vs Hapoel Tel Aviv (Oct 8) and 111-88 vs Baskonia (Sep 29), averaging 102.0 points.
- Olympiacos' three away EuroLeague games this season: 94-96 at Virtus Bologna (Oct 1), 93-91 at Zalgiris Kaunas (Sep 29) and 106-89 at Baskonia (Sep 24), averaging 97.7 points.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings, Valencia won 85-84 at home (2026-03-24) and 99-92 at Olympiacos (2025-12-16).
- Olympiacos shoot 62.4% on two-pointers and 79.3% on free throws over 15 tracked games; Valencia shoot 36.9% on three-pointers and average 10.2 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minnot gradableValenciaEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 96.7, Olympiacos 92.1. Valencia cover +0.5 in the 1st quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Valencia are 4-0 in the EuroLeague, averaging 101.3 points scored and 89.0 allowed through four games (table as of 2026-10-12).
- Olympiacos are 3-1 in the EuroLeague, averaging 95.5 points scored and 85.5 allowed through four games (table as of 2026-10-12).
- Valencia's two home EuroLeague games this season: 93-82 vs Hapoel Tel Aviv (Oct 8) and 111-88 vs Baskonia (Sep 29), averaging 102.0 points.
- Olympiacos' three away EuroLeague games this season: 94-96 at Virtus Bologna (Oct 1), 93-91 at Zalgiris Kaunas (Sep 29) and 106-89 at Baskonia (Sep 24), averaging 97.7 points.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings, Valencia won 85-84 at home (2026-03-24) and 99-92 at Olympiacos (2025-12-16).
- Olympiacos shoot 62.4% on two-pointers and 79.3% on free throws over 15 tracked games; Valencia shoot 36.9% on three-pointers and average 10.2 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Handicapnot gradableValencia +0.5Estimated chance58.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 96.7, Olympiacos 92.1. Valencia are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Valencia are 4-0 in the EuroLeague, averaging 101.3 points scored and 89.0 allowed through four games (table as of 2026-10-12).
- Olympiacos are 3-1 in the EuroLeague, averaging 95.5 points scored and 85.5 allowed through four games (table as of 2026-10-12).
- Valencia's two home EuroLeague games this season: 93-82 vs Hapoel Tel Aviv (Oct 8) and 111-88 vs Baskonia (Sep 29), averaging 102.0 points.
- Olympiacos' three away EuroLeague games this season: 94-96 at Virtus Bologna (Oct 1), 93-91 at Zalgiris Kaunas (Sep 29) and 106-89 at Baskonia (Sep 24), averaging 97.7 points.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings, Valencia won 85-84 at home (2026-03-24) and 99-92 at Olympiacos (2025-12-16).
- Olympiacos shoot 62.4% on two-pointers and 79.3% on free throws over 15 tracked games; Valencia shoot 36.9% on three-pointers and average 10.2 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games.
BetBugs · 1st Half Resultnot gradableValenciaEstimated chance58.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 96.7, Olympiacos 92.1. Olympiacos cover +2.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Valencia and 15 for Olympiacos, across seasons and competitions.
- Valencia are 4-0 in the EuroLeague, averaging 101.3 points scored and 89.0 allowed through four games (table as of 2026-10-12).
- Olympiacos are 3-1 in the EuroLeague, averaging 95.5 points scored and 85.5 allowed through four games (table as of 2026-10-12).
- Valencia's two home EuroLeague games this season: 93-82 vs Hapoel Tel Aviv (Oct 8) and 111-88 vs Baskonia (Sep 29), averaging 102.0 points.
- Olympiacos' three away EuroLeague games this season: 94-96 at Virtus Bologna (Oct 1), 93-91 at Zalgiris Kaunas (Sep 29) and 106-89 at Baskonia (Sep 24), averaging 97.7 points.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings, Valencia won 85-84 at home (2026-03-24) and 99-92 at Olympiacos (2025-12-16).
- Olympiacos shoot 62.4% on two-pointers and 79.3% on free throws over 15 tracked games; Valencia shoot 36.9% on three-pointers and average 10.2 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Handicapnot gradableOlympiacos +2.5Estimated chance58.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 96.7, Olympiacos 92.1. Valencia are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Valencia are 4-0 in the EuroLeague, averaging 101.3 points scored and 89.0 allowed through four games (table as of 2026-10-12).
- Olympiacos are 3-1 in the EuroLeague, averaging 95.5 points scored and 85.5 allowed through four games (table as of 2026-10-12).
- Valencia's two home EuroLeague games this season: 93-82 vs Hapoel Tel Aviv (Oct 8) and 111-88 vs Baskonia (Sep 29), averaging 102.0 points.
- Olympiacos' three away EuroLeague games this season: 94-96 at Virtus Bologna (Oct 1), 93-91 at Zalgiris Kaunas (Sep 29) and 106-89 at Baskonia (Sep 24), averaging 97.7 points.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings, Valencia won 85-84 at home (2026-03-24) and 99-92 at Olympiacos (2025-12-16).
- Olympiacos shoot 62.4% on two-pointers and 79.3% on free throws over 15 tracked games; Valencia shoot 36.9% on three-pointers and average 10.2 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Resultnot gradableValenciaEstimated chance55.2%

Points2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 96.7, Olympiacos 92.1. Valencia score more than 89.5 points (overtime included) in about 77 of 100 games like this.
- Valencia are 4-0 in the EuroLeague, averaging 101.3 points scored and 89.0 allowed through four games (table as of 2026-10-12).
- Olympiacos are 3-1 in the EuroLeague, averaging 95.5 points scored and 85.5 allowed through four games (table as of 2026-10-12).
- Valencia's two home EuroLeague games this season: 93-82 vs Hapoel Tel Aviv (Oct 8) and 111-88 vs Baskonia (Sep 29), averaging 102.0 points.
- Olympiacos' three away EuroLeague games this season: 94-96 at Virtus Bologna (Oct 1), 93-91 at Zalgiris Kaunas (Sep 29) and 106-89 at Baskonia (Sep 24), averaging 97.7 points.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings, Valencia won 85-84 at home (2026-03-24) and 99-92 at Olympiacos (2025-12-16).
- Olympiacos shoot 62.4% on two-pointers and 79.3% on free throws over 15 tracked games; Valencia shoot 36.9% on three-pointers and average 10.2 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games.
BetBugs · Team PointswonValencia over 89.5Estimated chance76.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 96.7, Olympiacos 92.1. Valencia score more than 21.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 72 of 100 games like this.
- Valencia are 4-0 in the EuroLeague, averaging 101.3 points scored and 89.0 allowed through four games (table as of 2026-10-12).
- Olympiacos are 3-1 in the EuroLeague, averaging 95.5 points scored and 85.5 allowed through four games (table as of 2026-10-12).
- Valencia's two home EuroLeague games this season: 93-82 vs Hapoel Tel Aviv (Oct 8) and 111-88 vs Baskonia (Sep 29), averaging 102.0 points.
- Olympiacos' three away EuroLeague games this season: 94-96 at Virtus Bologna (Oct 1), 93-91 at Zalgiris Kaunas (Sep 29) and 106-89 at Baskonia (Sep 24), averaging 97.7 points.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings, Valencia won 85-84 at home (2026-03-24) and 99-92 at Olympiacos (2025-12-16).
- Olympiacos shoot 62.4% on two-pointers and 79.3% on free throws over 15 tracked games; Valencia shoot 36.9% on three-pointers and average 10.2 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team Pointsnot gradableValencia over 21.5Estimated chance71.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 96.7, Olympiacos 92.1. Valencia score more than 44.5 points in the 1st half in about 72 of 100 games like this.
- Valencia are 4-0 in the EuroLeague, averaging 101.3 points scored and 89.0 allowed through four games (table as of 2026-10-12).
- Olympiacos are 3-1 in the EuroLeague, averaging 95.5 points scored and 85.5 allowed through four games (table as of 2026-10-12).
- Valencia's two home EuroLeague games this season: 93-82 vs Hapoel Tel Aviv (Oct 8) and 111-88 vs Baskonia (Sep 29), averaging 102.0 points.
- Olympiacos' three away EuroLeague games this season: 94-96 at Virtus Bologna (Oct 1), 93-91 at Zalgiris Kaunas (Sep 29) and 106-89 at Baskonia (Sep 24), averaging 97.7 points.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings, Valencia won 85-84 at home (2026-03-24) and 99-92 at Olympiacos (2025-12-16).
- Olympiacos shoot 62.4% on two-pointers and 79.3% on free throws over 15 tracked games; Valencia shoot 36.9% on three-pointers and average 10.2 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team Pointsnot gradableValencia over 44.5Estimated chance71.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 96.7, Olympiacos 92.1. The game has more than 180.5 points (overtime included) in about 71 of 100 games like this.
- Valencia are 4-0 in the EuroLeague, averaging 101.3 points scored and 89.0 allowed through four games (table as of 2026-10-12).
- Olympiacos are 3-1 in the EuroLeague, averaging 95.5 points scored and 85.5 allowed through four games (table as of 2026-10-12).
- Valencia's two home EuroLeague games this season: 93-82 vs Hapoel Tel Aviv (Oct 8) and 111-88 vs Baskonia (Sep 29), averaging 102.0 points.
- Olympiacos' three away EuroLeague games this season: 94-96 at Virtus Bologna (Oct 1), 93-91 at Zalgiris Kaunas (Sep 29) and 106-89 at Baskonia (Sep 24), averaging 97.7 points.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings, Valencia won 85-84 at home (2026-03-24) and 99-92 at Olympiacos (2025-12-16).
- Olympiacos shoot 62.4% on two-pointers and 79.3% on free throws over 15 tracked games; Valencia shoot 36.9% on three-pointers and average 10.2 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games.
BetBugs · Total PointswonOver 180.5Estimated chance70.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 96.7, Olympiacos 92.1. The 2nd quarter has more than 44.5 points in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Valencia are 4-0 in the EuroLeague, averaging 101.3 points scored and 89.0 allowed through four games (table as of 2026-10-12).
- Olympiacos are 3-1 in the EuroLeague, averaging 95.5 points scored and 85.5 allowed through four games (table as of 2026-10-12).
- Valencia's two home EuroLeague games this season: 93-82 vs Hapoel Tel Aviv (Oct 8) and 111-88 vs Baskonia (Sep 29), averaging 102.0 points.
- Olympiacos' three away EuroLeague games this season: 94-96 at Virtus Bologna (Oct 1), 93-91 at Zalgiris Kaunas (Sep 29) and 106-89 at Baskonia (Sep 24), averaging 97.7 points.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings, Valencia won 85-84 at home (2026-03-24) and 99-92 at Olympiacos (2025-12-16).
- Olympiacos shoot 62.4% on two-pointers and 79.3% on free throws over 15 tracked games; Valencia shoot 36.9% on three-pointers and average 10.2 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total Pointsnot gradableOver 44.5Estimated chance65.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 96.7, Olympiacos 92.1. The 1st half has more than 90.5 points in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Valencia are 4-0 in the EuroLeague, averaging 101.3 points scored and 89.0 allowed through four games (table as of 2026-10-12).
- Olympiacos are 3-1 in the EuroLeague, averaging 95.5 points scored and 85.5 allowed through four games (table as of 2026-10-12).
- Valencia's two home EuroLeague games this season: 93-82 vs Hapoel Tel Aviv (Oct 8) and 111-88 vs Baskonia (Sep 29), averaging 102.0 points.
- Olympiacos' three away EuroLeague games this season: 94-96 at Virtus Bologna (Oct 1), 93-91 at Zalgiris Kaunas (Sep 29) and 106-89 at Baskonia (Sep 24), averaging 97.7 points.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings, Valencia won 85-84 at home (2026-03-24) and 99-92 at Olympiacos (2025-12-16).
- Olympiacos shoot 62.4% on two-pointers and 79.3% on free throws over 15 tracked games; Valencia shoot 36.9% on three-pointers and average 10.2 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total Pointsnot gradableOver 90.5Estimated chance65.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 96.7, Olympiacos 92.1. Valencia score more than 22.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Valencia are 4-0 in the EuroLeague, averaging 101.3 points scored and 89.0 allowed through four games (table as of 2026-10-12).
- Olympiacos are 3-1 in the EuroLeague, averaging 95.5 points scored and 85.5 allowed through four games (table as of 2026-10-12).
- Valencia's two home EuroLeague games this season: 93-82 vs Hapoel Tel Aviv (Oct 8) and 111-88 vs Baskonia (Sep 29), averaging 102.0 points.
- Olympiacos' three away EuroLeague games this season: 94-96 at Virtus Bologna (Oct 1), 93-91 at Zalgiris Kaunas (Sep 29) and 106-89 at Baskonia (Sep 24), averaging 97.7 points.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings, Valencia won 85-84 at home (2026-03-24) and 99-92 at Olympiacos (2025-12-16).
- Olympiacos shoot 62.4% on two-pointers and 79.3% on free throws over 15 tracked games; Valencia shoot 36.9% on three-pointers and average 10.2 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team Pointsnot gradableValencia over 22.5Estimated chance62.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 96.7, Olympiacos 92.1. The 3rd quarter has more than 44.5 points in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Valencia are 4-0 in the EuroLeague, averaging 101.3 points scored and 89.0 allowed through four games (table as of 2026-10-12).
- Olympiacos are 3-1 in the EuroLeague, averaging 95.5 points scored and 85.5 allowed through four games (table as of 2026-10-12).
- Valencia's two home EuroLeague games this season: 93-82 vs Hapoel Tel Aviv (Oct 8) and 111-88 vs Baskonia (Sep 29), averaging 102.0 points.
- Olympiacos' three away EuroLeague games this season: 94-96 at Virtus Bologna (Oct 1), 93-91 at Zalgiris Kaunas (Sep 29) and 106-89 at Baskonia (Sep 24), averaging 97.7 points.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings, Valencia won 85-84 at home (2026-03-24) and 99-92 at Olympiacos (2025-12-16).
- Olympiacos shoot 62.4% on two-pointers and 79.3% on free throws over 15 tracked games; Valencia shoot 36.9% on three-pointers and average 10.2 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total Pointsnot gradableOver 44.5Estimated chance61.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 96.7, Olympiacos 92.1. Valencia score more than 22.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Valencia are 4-0 in the EuroLeague, averaging 101.3 points scored and 89.0 allowed through four games (table as of 2026-10-12).
- Olympiacos are 3-1 in the EuroLeague, averaging 95.5 points scored and 85.5 allowed through four games (table as of 2026-10-12).
- Valencia's two home EuroLeague games this season: 93-82 vs Hapoel Tel Aviv (Oct 8) and 111-88 vs Baskonia (Sep 29), averaging 102.0 points.
- Olympiacos' three away EuroLeague games this season: 94-96 at Virtus Bologna (Oct 1), 93-91 at Zalgiris Kaunas (Sep 29) and 106-89 at Baskonia (Sep 24), averaging 97.7 points.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings, Valencia won 85-84 at home (2026-03-24) and 99-92 at Olympiacos (2025-12-16).
- Olympiacos shoot 62.4% on two-pointers and 79.3% on free throws over 15 tracked games; Valencia shoot 36.9% on three-pointers and average 10.2 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team Pointsnot gradableValencia over 22.5Estimated chance60.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 96.7, Olympiacos 92.1. The 1st quarter has more than 45.5 points in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Valencia are 4-0 in the EuroLeague, averaging 101.3 points scored and 89.0 allowed through four games (table as of 2026-10-12).
- Olympiacos are 3-1 in the EuroLeague, averaging 95.5 points scored and 85.5 allowed through four games (table as of 2026-10-12).
- Valencia's two home EuroLeague games this season: 93-82 vs Hapoel Tel Aviv (Oct 8) and 111-88 vs Baskonia (Sep 29), averaging 102.0 points.
- Olympiacos' three away EuroLeague games this season: 94-96 at Virtus Bologna (Oct 1), 93-91 at Zalgiris Kaunas (Sep 29) and 106-89 at Baskonia (Sep 24), averaging 97.7 points.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings, Valencia won 85-84 at home (2026-03-24) and 99-92 at Olympiacos (2025-12-16).
- Olympiacos shoot 62.4% on two-pointers and 79.3% on free throws over 15 tracked games; Valencia shoot 36.9% on three-pointers and average 10.2 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total Pointsnot gradableOver 45.5Estimated chance59.4%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 12, 19:28

Selected line

180.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

71%

Chance of 181+ points

+19 pp above break-even

Over 1.93 needs 52% to break even. BetBugs sees 71%.

Move the line main 180.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 71%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 29%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W85–84

Valenciav

Olympiacos

Mar 24, 2026·EUR

W92–99

Olympiacosv

Valencia

Dec 16, 2025·EUR

L65–78

Valenciav

Olympiacos

Feb 8, 2024·EUR

W56–63

Olympiacosv

Valencia

Dec 15, 2023·EUR

L85–92

Valenciav

Olympiacos

Feb 24, 2023·EUR

W82–83

Olympiacosv

Valencia

Nov 4, 2022·EUR

L79–88

Valenciav

Olympiacos

Mar 31, 2021·EUR

W85–96

Olympiacosv

Valencia

Dec 16, 2020·EUR

L80–70

Olympiakosv

Valencia

Feb 22, 2018·EUR

L64–72

Valenciav

Olympiakos

Nov 30, 2017·EUR

159.8Avg total points

7.4Avg margin

10meetings

League table

EuroLeague · Euroleague - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Valencia

4–0100%

Olympiacos

3–175%

Recent Form

Valencia

11W 4L · last 15

at Barcelona86–89 Oct 11ACB

vs Hapoel Tel Aviv93–82 Oct 8EUR

at Basket Zaragoza97–82 Oct 4ACB

at Lyon-Villeurbanne105–92 Oct 2EUR

vs Baskonia111–88 Sep 29EUR

vs Forca Lleida100–105 Sep 27ACB

at Besiktas96–94 Sep 25EUR

vs Barcelona86–87 Sep 19SUP

at Barcelona108–84 Jun 24ACB

at Barcelona88–80 Jun 22ACB

vs Barcelona102–75 Jun 20ACB

vs Barcelona112–113 OTJun 18ACB

at Joventut Badalona87–75 Jun 14ACB

vs Joventut Badalona90–76 Jun 12ACB

vs Joventut Badalona118–117 OTJun 10ACB

Olympiacos

12W 3L · last 15

vs Kolossos Rhodes99–83 Oct 11BAS

vs Anadolu Efes89–66 Oct 9EUR

at Iraklis78–68 Oct 4BAS

at Virtus Bologna94–96 Oct 1EUR

at Zalgiris Kaunas93–91 Sep 29EUR

vs PAOK101–96 Sep 27SUP

vs AEK Athens93–80 Sep 26SUP

at Baskonia106–89 Sep 24EUR

vs Panathinaikos89–85 Jun 13BAS

at Panathinaikos86–93 OTJun 10BAS

vs Panathinaikos102–92 Jun 8BAS

at Panathinaikos58–68 Jun 5BAS

vs Panathinaikos82–76 Jun 3BAS

at AEK Athens95–68 May 30BAS

vs AEK Athens94–77 May 28BAS

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Valencia

Stats

3–2

Olympiacos

Valencia leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+7.3pp

55.1%

+7.3pp

62.4%

3-point %14/15 games+4.8pp

36.9%

+4.8pp

32.1%

Free-throw %13/13 games+33.0pp

46.3%

+33.0pp

79.3%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s35.0pp apart

64.3%

35.0pp apart

29.3%

Free throws per shot12/13 games8.9pp apart

30.0%

8.9pp apart

38.9%

Possession· 2–0

Rebounds per game+42.3

76.5

+42.3

34.2

Turnovers per game2.3 fewer

10.2

2.3 fewer

12.5

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.