EuroCup·Finished
Predictions graded
Trento8080 – 88
Chemnitz88| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trento | 17 | 17 | 24 | 22 |
| Chemnitz | 19 | 18 | 18 | 33 |
Pre-match view
Both teams are 1-1 in EuroCup Group C and a close game is expected: Trento 83.3, Chemnitz 81.0 after 40 minutes, a narrow Trento edge.
Chemnitz to win at 2.55 is the price with something in it — their win comes in about 43 of 100 games like this, more than the 39.2% the price asks. Trento at 1.45 and Trento giving 3.5 points at 1.67 offer nothing.
Trento's three absentees from the 10 October league game have not been confirmed either way for this fixture, while Chemnitz regain Cobe Williams for EuroCup; the expected margin is about two points.
Hassan's recovery had already removed a guard option for Trento's most recent league game. His continued absence may again narrow the home side's available backcourt options against Chemnitz.
Bertini's absence left Trento short-handed at Udine, where academy players Mansour Bayo and Antonio Barra were included. If the injury carries into this EuroCup game, Trento will again have one fewer perimeter option.
The wrist issue emerged immediately before Trento's last game and left Medina Bouza out of that squad. His availability for Chemnitz remains uncertain. Official confirmation is pending.
Williams was unavailable for Chemnitz's latest domestic game but can play in this competition. His eligibility restores a point-guard option for Rodrigo Pastore after the Bayern fixture.
Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
ChemnitzMarket 39.2% · BetBugs 42.8%
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trento 83.3, Chemnitz 81.0. Chemnitz win in about 43 of 100 games like this, overtime included. Trento's home court and better three-point shooting give them a narrow scoring edge, but Chemnitz's low recent road scoring keeps the total moderate. The expected score reflects a close game with Trento slightly ahead.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trento 83.3, Chemnitz 81.0. Chemnitz cover +5.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Trento and 15 for Chemnitz, across seasons and competitions.
Chemnitz +5.5Estimated chance75.5%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trento 83.3, Chemnitz 81.0. Chemnitz cover +4.5 in the 1st quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this.
Chemnitz +4.5Estimated chance71.1%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trento 83.3, Chemnitz 81.0. Trento cover +2.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Trento and 15 for Chemnitz, across seasons and competitions.
Trento +2.5Estimated chance67%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trento 83.3, Chemnitz 81.0. Trento cover +0.5 in the 1st half in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Trento and 15 for Chemnitz, across seasons and competitions.
Trento +0.5Estimated chance57.3%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trento 83.3, Chemnitz 81.0. Trento win in about 57 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
TrentoEstimated chance57.2%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trento 83.3, Chemnitz 81.0. Trento score more than 16.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 81 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Trento and 15 for Chemnitz, across seasons and competitions.
Trento over 16.5Estimated chance81%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trento 83.3, Chemnitz 81.0. Trento score more than 16.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 78 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Trento and 15 for Chemnitz, across seasons and competitions.
Trento over 16.5Estimated chance78.5%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trento 83.3, Chemnitz 81.0. Trento score more than 37.5 points in the 1st half in about 73 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Trento and 15 for Chemnitz, across seasons and competitions.
Trento over 37.5Estimated chance72.6%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trento 83.3, Chemnitz 81.0. Chemnitz score more than 17.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Trento and 15 for Chemnitz, across seasons and competitions.
Chemnitz over 17.5Estimated chance69.1%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trento 83.3, Chemnitz 81.0. Chemnitz score more than 76.5 points (overtime included) in about 68 of 100 games like this.
Chemnitz over 76.5Estimated chance67.9%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trento 83.3, Chemnitz 81.0. Chemnitz score fewer than 22.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Trento and 15 for Chemnitz, across seasons and competitions.
Chemnitz under 22.5Estimated chance67%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trento 83.3, Chemnitz 81.0. The game has fewer than 172.5 points (overtime included) in about 67 of 100 games like this.
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trento 83.3, Chemnitz 81.0. The 3rd quarter has more than 37.5 points in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Trento and 15 for Chemnitz, across seasons and competitions.
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trento 83.3, Chemnitz 81.0. Chemnitz score fewer than 43.5 points in the 1st half in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Trento and 15 for Chemnitz, across seasons and competitions.
Chemnitz under 43.5Estimated chance66.2%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trento 83.3, Chemnitz 81.0. The 1st half has fewer than 86.5 points in about 65 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Trento and 15 for Chemnitz, across seasons and competitions.
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trento 83.3, Chemnitz 81.0. The 1st quarter has fewer than 43.5 points in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Trento and 15 for Chemnitz, across seasons and competitions.
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trento 83.3, Chemnitz 81.0. The 2nd quarter has fewer than 43.5 points in about 62 of 100 games like this.
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trento 83.3, Chemnitz 81.0. Chemnitz score fewer than 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Trento and 15 for Chemnitz, across seasons and competitions.
Chemnitz under 21.5Estimated chance59.7%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trento 83.3, Chemnitz 81.0. Trento score fewer than 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Trento and 15 for Chemnitz, across seasons and competitions.
Trento under 21.5Estimated chance55.4%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Trento 83.3, Chemnitz 81.0. Trento score more than 82.5 points (overtime included) in about 55 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Trento and 15 for Chemnitz, across seasons and competitions.
Trento over 82.5Estimated chance55.1%The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees
Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.
Selected line
172.5
Bookmakers' main total
BetBugs · Over
33%
Chance of 173+ points
19 pp below break-even
Over 1.91 needs 52% to break even. BetBugs sees 33%.
Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.
ChemnitzvTrentoTrentovChemnitzTrento
Chemnitz
at Udine74–66 LEG
vs Slask Wroclaw81–94 EUR
vs Treviso90–93 LEG
at Neptunas76–73 EUR
at Reggiana83–78 LEG
at Virtus Bologna95–106 LEGvs Virtus Bologna81–90 LEGvs Virtus Bologna102–85 LEGat Virtus Bologna87–84 LEGat Virtus Bologna71–102 LEG
vs Olimpia Milano84–74 LEGat Udine76–69 LEG
at Basket Napoli74–84 LEGvs Reggiana82–90 LEG
at Tortona84–103 LEG
vs Bayern83–87 BBLvs Neptunas93–84 EUR
at Jena76–82 BBL
at Tofas69–82 EUR
vs Phoenix Hagen94–93 OTBBL
at Hamburg90–94 OTBBL
at Alba Berlin82–89 BBL
at Giessen77–70 GER
at Basketball Braunschweig90–104 BBL
vs Frankfurt86–82 OTBBLat Alba Berlin84–82 BBL
vs Bamberg62–89 BBLvs Jena76–73 BBL
vs Ulm79–66 BBLat Bayern77–91 BBLLast 15 games · all competitions
Trento
Stats
3–2
Chemnitz
Trento leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.
Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.