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Predictions graded

Partizan Mozzart Bet55Panathinaikos72

Tue 13 Oct 2026, 18:30 Predictions graded

Predictions0–140%

Edges0–10%

Points by period: Partizan Mozzart Bet and Panathinaikos.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Partizan Mozzart Bet	16	12	8	19
Panathinaikos	16	19	20	17

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Panathinaikos bring a 4-0 EuroLeague record to Belgrade, but every win came in Athens, and Partizan have won the last four home meetings in this fixture.

The game projects close, Partizan 84.8 to Panathinaikos 84.2 after 40 minutes, with the home side narrowly ahead. Over 166.5 combined points at 1.92 is the one quoted price that holds up.

Context

Panathinaikos are reportedly without Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas, who remained in Athens, while Juancho Hernangomez is back in the 13-player travelling group without a confirmed place in the final 12. Partizan have Carlik Jones rested and Lamar Stevens back from a hand injury.

Nunn is not part of the 13-player travelling group from which Panathinaikos will select its 12 for this game. His absence removes one established option from the away side for the Belgrade fixture.
- Panathinaikos travelled to Belgrade with 13 players on 12 October.
- Kendrick Nunn was among the players who remained in Athens.
- He was described as being in the final stage of rehabilitation.
Sloukas is outside the travelling group and cannot be selected from Panathinaikos's 13 players in Belgrade. His recovery remains ongoing for this EuroLeague game.
- Panathinaikos named 13 players in its travelling group for Belgrade on 12 October.
- Kostas Sloukas was listed among the players who remained in Athens.
- He was reported to be in the final stage of rehabilitation.
Hernangomez has moved from a four-game absence into the travelling party for this fixture. Panathinaikos will choose 12 from the 13 players in Belgrade, so his final inclusion is still to be decided before tip-off.
- Hernangomez missed four Panathinaikos games with an injury.
- He returned to the squad for the domestic game against Promitheas on 10 October.
- He was included in Panathinaikos's 13-player travelling group for Belgrade on 12 October.
Stevens returned in Partizan's final domestic game before this EuroLeague double week after missing the trip to Bayern. His recovery makes him a selectable forward option against Panathinaikos.
- Stevens returned to the court against Vienna on 11 October.
- His hand injury was sustained against Paris on 29 September.
- Partizan reported no fracture and set an initial recovery period of seven to ten days.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Total PointslostUncertainty band: Slight lean

Over 166.5

1.92fair 1.73

Market 52.1% · BetBugs 57.9%

+5.9ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Partizan Mozzart Bet 84.8, Panathinaikos 84.2. The game has more than 166.5 points (overtime included) in about 58 of 100 games like this. Partizan's home court and strong home defense, plus Panathinaikos's scoring being built entirely at home so far, point to a close, lower-scoring game than Pan's home averages. Panathinaikos still has enough firepower to keep it in the low 80s, but Partizan's rested Jones and returning Stevens give them a slight advantage.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Partizan Mozzart Bet 84.8, Panathinaikos 84.2. Partizan Mozzart Bet cover +3.5 (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos is 4-0 in EuroLeague, averaging 93.8 points scored and 73.0 allowed, but all four games were in Athens through Oct 8, 2026.
- Partizan is 3-1 in EuroLeague, averaging 86.5 scored and 81.3 allowed; their only home EuroLeague game was a 92-76 win over Olimpia Milano on Sep 25, 2026.
- Panathinaikos has not played a EuroLeague road game this season; their lone domestic away game was an 84-59 win at Promitheas on Oct 10, 2026.
- Partizan has won the last four home meetings with Panathinaikos, including 78-62 on Feb 5, 2026, and 91-73 on Dec 5, 2024.
- Carlik Jones was rested for Partizan's Oct 11 ABA game and is expected back; Lamar Stevens returned from a hand injury on Oct 11 (confirmed).
- Panathinaikos's reported absentees Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas have not appeared in any 2026-27 box score tracked (0 games), so the 4-0 start already reflects their absence.
BetBugs · HandicaplostPartizan Mozzart Bet +3.5Estimated chance60.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Partizan Mozzart Bet 84.8, Panathinaikos 84.2. Partizan Mozzart Bet cover +1.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Partizan Mozzart Bet and 15 for Panathinaikos, across seasons and competitions.
- Panathinaikos is 4-0 in EuroLeague, averaging 93.8 points scored and 73.0 allowed, but all four games were in Athens through Oct 8, 2026.
- Partizan is 3-1 in EuroLeague, averaging 86.5 scored and 81.3 allowed; their only home EuroLeague game was a 92-76 win over Olimpia Milano on Sep 25, 2026.
- Panathinaikos has not played a EuroLeague road game this season; their lone domestic away game was an 84-59 win at Promitheas on Oct 10, 2026.
- Partizan has won the last four home meetings with Panathinaikos, including 78-62 on Feb 5, 2026, and 91-73 on Dec 5, 2024.
- Carlik Jones was rested for Partizan's Oct 11 ABA game and is expected back; Lamar Stevens returned from a hand injury on Oct 11 (confirmed).
- Panathinaikos's reported absentees Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas have not appeared in any 2026-27 box score tracked (0 games), so the 4-0 start already reflects their absence.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostPartizan Mozzart Bet +1.5Estimated chance59.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Partizan Mozzart Bet 84.8, Panathinaikos 84.2. Partizan Mozzart Bet cover +1.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Partizan Mozzart Bet and 15 for Panathinaikos, across seasons and competitions.
- Panathinaikos is 4-0 in EuroLeague, averaging 93.8 points scored and 73.0 allowed, but all four games were in Athens through Oct 8, 2026.
- Partizan is 3-1 in EuroLeague, averaging 86.5 scored and 81.3 allowed; their only home EuroLeague game was a 92-76 win over Olimpia Milano on Sep 25, 2026.
- Panathinaikos has not played a EuroLeague road game this season; their lone domestic away game was an 84-59 win at Promitheas on Oct 10, 2026.
- Partizan has won the last four home meetings with Panathinaikos, including 78-62 on Feb 5, 2026, and 91-73 on Dec 5, 2024.
- Carlik Jones was rested for Partizan's Oct 11 ABA game and is expected back; Lamar Stevens returned from a hand injury on Oct 11 (confirmed).
- Panathinaikos's reported absentees Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas have not appeared in any 2026-27 box score tracked (0 games), so the 4-0 start already reflects their absence.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostPartizan Mozzart Bet +1.5Estimated chance58.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Partizan Mozzart Bet 84.8, Panathinaikos 84.2. Partizan Mozzart Bet cover +1.5 in the 1st half in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos is 4-0 in EuroLeague, averaging 93.8 points scored and 73.0 allowed, but all four games were in Athens through Oct 8, 2026.
- Partizan is 3-1 in EuroLeague, averaging 86.5 scored and 81.3 allowed; their only home EuroLeague game was a 92-76 win over Olimpia Milano on Sep 25, 2026.
- Panathinaikos has not played a EuroLeague road game this season; their lone domestic away game was an 84-59 win at Promitheas on Oct 10, 2026.
- Partizan has won the last four home meetings with Panathinaikos, including 78-62 on Feb 5, 2026, and 91-73 on Dec 5, 2024.
- Carlik Jones was rested for Partizan's Oct 11 ABA game and is expected back; Lamar Stevens returned from a hand injury on Oct 11 (confirmed).
- Panathinaikos's reported absentees Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas have not appeared in any 2026-27 box score tracked (0 games), so the 4-0 start already reflects their absence.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicaplostPartizan Mozzart Bet +1.5Estimated chance57.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Partizan Mozzart Bet 84.8, Panathinaikos 84.2. Partizan Mozzart Bet win in about 52 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Panathinaikos is 4-0 in EuroLeague, averaging 93.8 points scored and 73.0 allowed, but all four games were in Athens through Oct 8, 2026.
- Partizan is 3-1 in EuroLeague, averaging 86.5 scored and 81.3 allowed; their only home EuroLeague game was a 92-76 win over Olimpia Milano on Sep 25, 2026.
- Panathinaikos has not played a EuroLeague road game this season; their lone domestic away game was an 84-59 win at Promitheas on Oct 10, 2026.
- Partizan has won the last four home meetings with Panathinaikos, including 78-62 on Feb 5, 2026, and 91-73 on Dec 5, 2024.
- Carlik Jones was rested for Partizan's Oct 11 ABA game and is expected back; Lamar Stevens returned from a hand injury on Oct 11 (confirmed).
- Panathinaikos's reported absentees Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas have not appeared in any 2026-27 box score tracked (0 games), so the 4-0 start already reflects their absence.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostPartizan Mozzart BetEstimated chance51.9%

Points0 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Partizan Mozzart Bet 84.8, Panathinaikos 84.2. Partizan Mozzart Bet score more than 81.5 points (overtime included) in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos is 4-0 in EuroLeague, averaging 93.8 points scored and 73.0 allowed, but all four games were in Athens through Oct 8, 2026.
- Partizan is 3-1 in EuroLeague, averaging 86.5 scored and 81.3 allowed; their only home EuroLeague game was a 92-76 win over Olimpia Milano on Sep 25, 2026.
- Panathinaikos has not played a EuroLeague road game this season; their lone domestic away game was an 84-59 win at Promitheas on Oct 10, 2026.
- Partizan has won the last four home meetings with Panathinaikos, including 78-62 on Feb 5, 2026, and 91-73 on Dec 5, 2024.
- Carlik Jones was rested for Partizan's Oct 11 ABA game and is expected back; Lamar Stevens returned from a hand injury on Oct 11 (confirmed).
- Panathinaikos's reported absentees Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas have not appeared in any 2026-27 box score tracked (0 games), so the 4-0 start already reflects their absence.
BetBugs · Team PointslostPartizan Mozzart Bet over 81.5Estimated chance64%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Partizan Mozzart Bet 84.8, Panathinaikos 84.2. The 2nd quarter has more than 40.5 points in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos is 4-0 in EuroLeague, averaging 93.8 points scored and 73.0 allowed, but all four games were in Athens through Oct 8, 2026.
- Partizan is 3-1 in EuroLeague, averaging 86.5 scored and 81.3 allowed; their only home EuroLeague game was a 92-76 win over Olimpia Milano on Sep 25, 2026.
- Panathinaikos has not played a EuroLeague road game this season; their lone domestic away game was an 84-59 win at Promitheas on Oct 10, 2026.
- Partizan has won the last four home meetings with Panathinaikos, including 78-62 on Feb 5, 2026, and 91-73 on Dec 5, 2024.
- Carlik Jones was rested for Partizan's Oct 11 ABA game and is expected back; Lamar Stevens returned from a hand injury on Oct 11 (confirmed).
- Panathinaikos's reported absentees Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas have not appeared in any 2026-27 box score tracked (0 games), so the 4-0 start already reflects their absence.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointslostOver 40.5Estimated chance60.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Partizan Mozzart Bet 84.8, Panathinaikos 84.2. The 1st half has more than 82.5 points in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos is 4-0 in EuroLeague, averaging 93.8 points scored and 73.0 allowed, but all four games were in Athens through Oct 8, 2026.
- Partizan is 3-1 in EuroLeague, averaging 86.5 scored and 81.3 allowed; their only home EuroLeague game was a 92-76 win over Olimpia Milano on Sep 25, 2026.
- Panathinaikos has not played a EuroLeague road game this season; their lone domestic away game was an 84-59 win at Promitheas on Oct 10, 2026.
- Partizan has won the last four home meetings with Panathinaikos, including 78-62 on Feb 5, 2026, and 91-73 on Dec 5, 2024.
- Carlik Jones was rested for Partizan's Oct 11 ABA game and is expected back; Lamar Stevens returned from a hand injury on Oct 11 (confirmed).
- Panathinaikos's reported absentees Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas have not appeared in any 2026-27 box score tracked (0 games), so the 4-0 start already reflects their absence.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostOver 82.5Estimated chance58.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.92
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Partizan Mozzart Bet 84.8, Panathinaikos 84.2. The game has more than 166.5 points (overtime included) in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos is 4-0 in EuroLeague, averaging 93.8 points scored and 73.0 allowed, but all four games were in Athens through Oct 8, 2026.
- Partizan is 3-1 in EuroLeague, averaging 86.5 scored and 81.3 allowed; their only home EuroLeague game was a 92-76 win over Olimpia Milano on Sep 25, 2026.
- Panathinaikos has not played a EuroLeague road game this season; their lone domestic away game was an 84-59 win at Promitheas on Oct 10, 2026.
- Partizan has won the last four home meetings with Panathinaikos, including 78-62 on Feb 5, 2026, and 91-73 on Dec 5, 2024.
- Carlik Jones was rested for Partizan's Oct 11 ABA game and is expected back; Lamar Stevens returned from a hand injury on Oct 11 (confirmed).
- Panathinaikos's reported absentees Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas have not appeared in any 2026-27 box score tracked (0 games), so the 4-0 start already reflects their absence.
BetBugs · Total PointslostOver 166.5Estimated chance57.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Partizan Mozzart Bet 84.8, Panathinaikos 84.2. The 3rd quarter has more than 40.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos is 4-0 in EuroLeague, averaging 93.8 points scored and 73.0 allowed, but all four games were in Athens through Oct 8, 2026.
- Partizan is 3-1 in EuroLeague, averaging 86.5 scored and 81.3 allowed; their only home EuroLeague game was a 92-76 win over Olimpia Milano on Sep 25, 2026.
- Panathinaikos has not played a EuroLeague road game this season; their lone domestic away game was an 84-59 win at Promitheas on Oct 10, 2026.
- Partizan has won the last four home meetings with Panathinaikos, including 78-62 on Feb 5, 2026, and 91-73 on Dec 5, 2024.
- Carlik Jones was rested for Partizan's Oct 11 ABA game and is expected back; Lamar Stevens returned from a hand injury on Oct 11 (confirmed).
- Panathinaikos's reported absentees Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas have not appeared in any 2026-27 box score tracked (0 games), so the 4-0 start already reflects their absence.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostOver 40.5Estimated chance57.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Partizan Mozzart Bet 84.8, Panathinaikos 84.2. Partizan Mozzart Bet score more than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos is 4-0 in EuroLeague, averaging 93.8 points scored and 73.0 allowed, but all four games were in Athens through Oct 8, 2026.
- Partizan is 3-1 in EuroLeague, averaging 86.5 scored and 81.3 allowed; their only home EuroLeague game was a 92-76 win over Olimpia Milano on Sep 25, 2026.
- Panathinaikos has not played a EuroLeague road game this season; their lone domestic away game was an 84-59 win at Promitheas on Oct 10, 2026.
- Partizan has won the last four home meetings with Panathinaikos, including 78-62 on Feb 5, 2026, and 91-73 on Dec 5, 2024.
- Carlik Jones was rested for Partizan's Oct 11 ABA game and is expected back; Lamar Stevens returned from a hand injury on Oct 11 (confirmed).
- Panathinaikos's reported absentees Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas have not appeared in any 2026-27 box score tracked (0 games), so the 4-0 start already reflects their absence.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostPartizan Mozzart Bet over 20.5Estimated chance56.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Partizan Mozzart Bet 84.8, Panathinaikos 84.2. Partizan Mozzart Bet score more than 41.5 points in the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos is 4-0 in EuroLeague, averaging 93.8 points scored and 73.0 allowed, but all four games were in Athens through Oct 8, 2026.
- Partizan is 3-1 in EuroLeague, averaging 86.5 scored and 81.3 allowed; their only home EuroLeague game was a 92-76 win over Olimpia Milano on Sep 25, 2026.
- Panathinaikos has not played a EuroLeague road game this season; their lone domestic away game was an 84-59 win at Promitheas on Oct 10, 2026.
- Partizan has won the last four home meetings with Panathinaikos, including 78-62 on Feb 5, 2026, and 91-73 on Dec 5, 2024.
- Carlik Jones was rested for Partizan's Oct 11 ABA game and is expected back; Lamar Stevens returned from a hand injury on Oct 11 (confirmed).
- Panathinaikos's reported absentees Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas have not appeared in any 2026-27 box score tracked (0 games), so the 4-0 start already reflects their absence.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostPartizan Mozzart Bet over 41.5Estimated chance55.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Partizan Mozzart Bet 84.8, Panathinaikos 84.2. Partizan Mozzart Bet score more than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos is 4-0 in EuroLeague, averaging 93.8 points scored and 73.0 allowed, but all four games were in Athens through Oct 8, 2026.
- Partizan is 3-1 in EuroLeague, averaging 86.5 scored and 81.3 allowed; their only home EuroLeague game was a 92-76 win over Olimpia Milano on Sep 25, 2026.
- Panathinaikos has not played a EuroLeague road game this season; their lone domestic away game was an 84-59 win at Promitheas on Oct 10, 2026.
- Partizan has won the last four home meetings with Panathinaikos, including 78-62 on Feb 5, 2026, and 91-73 on Dec 5, 2024.
- Carlik Jones was rested for Partizan's Oct 11 ABA game and is expected back; Lamar Stevens returned from a hand injury on Oct 11 (confirmed).
- Panathinaikos's reported absentees Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas have not appeared in any 2026-27 box score tracked (0 games), so the 4-0 start already reflects their absence.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostPartizan Mozzart Bet over 20.5Estimated chance55.5%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 12, 19:28

Selected line

166.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

58%

Chance of 167+ points

+6 pp above break-even

Over 1.92 needs 52% to break even. BetBugs sees 58%.

Move the line main 166.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 58%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 42%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W78–62

Partizan Mozzart Betv

Panathinaikos

Feb 5, 2026·EUR

L91–69

Panathinaikosv

Partizan Mozzart Bet

Nov 25, 2025·EUR

L96–84

Panathinaikosv

Partizan

Jan 9, 2025·EUR

W91–73

Partizanv

Panathinaikos

Dec 5, 2024·EUR

L84–71

Panathinaikosv

Partizan

Jan 19, 2024·EUR

W92–87

Partizanv

Panathinaikos

Nov 30, 2023·EUROT

W83–81

Partizanv

Panathinaikos

Apr 14, 2023·EUR

W89–91

Panathinaikosv

Partizan

Nov 3, 2022·EUR

L73–68

Panathinaikosv

Partizan

Oct 3, 2010·GOM

L66–82

Partizanv

Panathinaikos

Mar 4, 2010·EUR

161.1Avg total points

11.1Avg margin

10meetings

League table

EuroLeague · Euroleague - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Partizan Mozzart Bet

3–175%

Panathinaikos

4–0100%

Recent Form

Partizan Mozzart Bet

10W 5L · last 15

vs Vienna Basket99–78 Oct 11ABA

at Real Madrid76–86 Oct 8EUR

vs Mega Basket83–59 Oct 5ABA

at Bayern86–84 Oct 2EUR

at Paris92–79 Sep 29EUR

vs Olimpia Milano92–76 Sep 25EUR

vs Dubai81–83 Jun 12ABA

vs Dubai84–70 Jun 10ABA

at Dubai81–86 Jun 6ABA

at Dubai93–99 Jun 4ABA

vs FMP Beograd79–92 May 29SUP

at Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet89–78 May 21ABA

vs Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet100–94 May 18ABA

at KK Bosna87–73 May 10ABA

vs KK Bosna81–73 May 6ABA

Panathinaikos

11W 4L · last 15

at Promitheas84–59 Oct 10BAS

vs Fenerbahce92–74 Oct 8EUR

vs Vikos103–74 Oct 4BAS

vs Maccabi Tel Aviv90–67 Oct 2EUR

vs Lyon-Villeurbanne102–79 Sep 30EUR

vs PAOK82–84 Sep 26SUP

vs Paris91–72 Sep 24EUR

at Olympiacos85–89 Jun 13BAS

vs Olympiacos93–86 OTJun 10BAS

at Olympiacos92–102 Jun 8BAS

vs Olympiacos68–58 Jun 5BAS

at Olympiacos76–82 Jun 3BAS

at PAOK102–94 May 30BAS

vs PAOK114–102 OTMay 28BAS

at Mykonos90–76 May 17BAS

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Partizan Mozzart Bet

Stats

0–3

Panathinaikos

Panathinaikos leads in 3 of 3 performance stats.

Shooting· 0–3

2-point %+0.4pp

57.9%

+0.4pp

58.3%

3-point %+5.0pp

33.9%

+5.0pp

38.9%

Free-throw %13/12 games+1.5pp

77.5%

+1.5pp

79.0%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s3.5pp apart

30.5%

3.5pp apart

34.0%

Free throws per shot13/12 games1.5pp apart

35.3%

1.5pp apart

36.8%

Possession· 0–0

Rebounds per game14/15 games—

30.7

—

30.7

Turnovers per game—

11.2

—

11.2

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.