EuroLeagueFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Baskonia79Dubai93

Tue 13 Oct 2026, 18:30 Predictions graded

Predictions8–1240%

Points by period: Baskonia and Dubai.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Baskonia	23	20	19	17
Dubai	25	19	26	23

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Two EuroLeague teams with almost identical shooting meet in Vitoria, where Baskonia's higher scoring is expected to edge Dubai's lower output.

Baskonia lead after 40 minutes in about 63 of 100 games like this and win about 65, so the lean is a Baskonia win by a handful of points. No price stands out at our numbers, so there is nothing worth taking from the main markets.

Context

Both teams played on 11 October and come in on comparable two-day rest, with no confirmed absences on either side; the open question is Markus Howard, who has been left out of Baskonia's last two squads while a move is discussed and whose availability for this game is unconfirmed.

Markus Howard has watched the Besiktas and Joventut games from courtside while Baskonia explore a move to Zenit and seek frontcourt reinforcements. A further omission would remove a shooting-guard option from Paolo Galbiati's choices against Dubai. His status for Tuesday has not been officially confirmed.
- Markus Howard was absent from Baskonia's squad for the 9 October EuroLeague game against Besiktas.
- He also watched Baskonia's 11 October Liga Endesa win over Joventut from courtside.
- Baskonia are reportedly seeking a transfer that would create room for another centre.
The Joventut victory was played at Fernando Buesa Arena, where Baskonia will face Dubai. Baskonia maintained control after halftime and finished with a 20-point margin, providing immediate home form context for this fixture.
- Baskonia led Joventut 45-39 at halftime.
- They won 93-73 after leading at the end of every quarter.
Dubai's latest completed game was an ABA League road win in Romania. Xavi Pascual's side changed the game with a dominant third quarter after trailing by nine at the break, giving them recent competitive context before facing Baskonia.
- Dubai trailed 45-36 at halftime in Cluj-Napoca.
- They opened the third quarter with a 21-6 run and won the period 32-14.
- Dubai had five players score in double figures in the 92-85 win.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 9 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Baskonia 87.3, Dubai 82.5. Baskonia cover +5.5 (overtime included) in about 78 of 100 games like this.
- Baskonia's four EuroLeague games this season average 86.8 points scored and 96.3 conceded, including home games of 84 (v Besiktas, 9 Oct), 86 (v Milano, 2 Oct) and 89 (v Olympiacos, 24 Sep).
- Dubai's four EuroLeague games this season average 74.0 scored and 79.3 conceded, but range from 58 (v Crvena Zvezda, 8 Oct) to 94 (v Barcelona, 29 Sep).
- Baskonia beat Joventut 93-73 at home in the ACB on 11 October; Dubai won 92-85 away at Cluj-Napoca in the ABA League on the same day.
- Across 15 tracked games each, the two teams shoot almost identically from the field: Baskonia 56.6% on twos and 34.0% on threes, Dubai 55.5% and 34.4%.
- Dubai turn the ball over slightly less (11.3 v 12.1 per game) while Baskonia rebound slightly better (33.3 v 32.1 per game) over the same 15-game samples.
- The two most recent meetings, both EuroLeague, were Baskonia 92-85 Dubai in Vitoria (28 Oct 2025) and Dubai 100-94 Baskonia in Dubai (12 Mar 2026).
BetBugs · HandicaplostBaskonia +5.5Estimated chance78.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Baskonia 87.3, Dubai 82.5. Baskonia cover +2.5 in the 1st half in about 70 of 100 games like this.
- Baskonia's four EuroLeague games this season average 86.8 points scored and 96.3 conceded, including home games of 84 (v Besiktas, 9 Oct), 86 (v Milano, 2 Oct) and 89 (v Olympiacos, 24 Sep).
- Dubai's four EuroLeague games this season average 74.0 scored and 79.3 conceded, but range from 58 (v Crvena Zvezda, 8 Oct) to 94 (v Barcelona, 29 Sep).
- Baskonia beat Joventut 93-73 at home in the ACB on 11 October; Dubai won 92-85 away at Cluj-Napoca in the ABA League on the same day.
- Across 15 tracked games each, the two teams shoot almost identically from the field: Baskonia 56.6% on twos and 34.0% on threes, Dubai 55.5% and 34.4%.
- Dubai turn the ball over slightly less (11.3 v 12.1 per game) while Baskonia rebound slightly better (33.3 v 32.1 per game) over the same 15-game samples.
- The two most recent meetings, both EuroLeague, were Baskonia 92-85 Dubai in Vitoria (28 Oct 2025) and Dubai 100-94 Baskonia in Dubai (12 Mar 2026).
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonBaskonia +2.5Estimated chance70.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Baskonia 87.3, Dubai 82.5. Baskonia cover +1.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Baskonia and 15 for Dubai, across seasons and competitions.
- Baskonia's four EuroLeague games this season average 86.8 points scored and 96.3 conceded, including home games of 84 (v Besiktas, 9 Oct), 86 (v Milano, 2 Oct) and 89 (v Olympiacos, 24 Sep).
- Dubai's four EuroLeague games this season average 74.0 scored and 79.3 conceded, but range from 58 (v Crvena Zvezda, 8 Oct) to 94 (v Barcelona, 29 Sep).
- Baskonia beat Joventut 93-73 at home in the ACB on 11 October; Dubai won 92-85 away at Cluj-Napoca in the ABA League on the same day.
- Across 15 tracked games each, the two teams shoot almost identically from the field: Baskonia 56.6% on twos and 34.0% on threes, Dubai 55.5% and 34.4%.
- Dubai turn the ball over slightly less (11.3 v 12.1 per game) while Baskonia rebound slightly better (33.3 v 32.1 per game) over the same 15-game samples.
- The two most recent meetings, both EuroLeague, were Baskonia 92-85 Dubai in Vitoria (28 Oct 2025) and Dubai 100-94 Baskonia in Dubai (12 Mar 2026).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonBaskonia +1.5Estimated chance66%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Baskonia 87.3, Dubai 82.5. Baskonia win in about 65 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Baskonia's four EuroLeague games this season average 86.8 points scored and 96.3 conceded, including home games of 84 (v Besiktas, 9 Oct), 86 (v Milano, 2 Oct) and 89 (v Olympiacos, 24 Sep).
- Dubai's four EuroLeague games this season average 74.0 scored and 79.3 conceded, but range from 58 (v Crvena Zvezda, 8 Oct) to 94 (v Barcelona, 29 Sep).
- Baskonia beat Joventut 93-73 at home in the ACB on 11 October; Dubai won 92-85 away at Cluj-Napoca in the ABA League on the same day.
- Across 15 tracked games each, the two teams shoot almost identically from the field: Baskonia 56.6% on twos and 34.0% on threes, Dubai 55.5% and 34.4%.
- Dubai turn the ball over slightly less (11.3 v 12.1 per game) while Baskonia rebound slightly better (33.3 v 32.1 per game) over the same 15-game samples.
- The two most recent meetings, both EuroLeague, were Baskonia 92-85 Dubai in Vitoria (28 Oct 2025) and Dubai 100-94 Baskonia in Dubai (12 Mar 2026).
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostBaskoniaEstimated chance64.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Baskonia 87.3, Dubai 82.5. Baskonia cover +1.5 in the 1st quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Baskonia's four EuroLeague games this season average 86.8 points scored and 96.3 conceded, including home games of 84 (v Besiktas, 9 Oct), 86 (v Milano, 2 Oct) and 89 (v Olympiacos, 24 Sep).
- Dubai's four EuroLeague games this season average 74.0 scored and 79.3 conceded, but range from 58 (v Crvena Zvezda, 8 Oct) to 94 (v Barcelona, 29 Sep).
- Baskonia beat Joventut 93-73 at home in the ACB on 11 October; Dubai won 92-85 away at Cluj-Napoca in the ABA League on the same day.
- Across 15 tracked games each, the two teams shoot almost identically from the field: Baskonia 56.6% on twos and 34.0% on threes, Dubai 55.5% and 34.4%.
- Dubai turn the ball over slightly less (11.3 v 12.1 per game) while Baskonia rebound slightly better (33.3 v 32.1 per game) over the same 15-game samples.
- The two most recent meetings, both EuroLeague, were Baskonia 92-85 Dubai in Vitoria (28 Oct 2025) and Dubai 100-94 Baskonia in Dubai (12 Mar 2026).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicaplostBaskonia +1.5Estimated chance64.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Baskonia 87.3, Dubai 82.5. Baskonia cover +1.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Baskonia and 15 for Dubai, across seasons and competitions.
- Baskonia's four EuroLeague games this season average 86.8 points scored and 96.3 conceded, including home games of 84 (v Besiktas, 9 Oct), 86 (v Milano, 2 Oct) and 89 (v Olympiacos, 24 Sep).
- Dubai's four EuroLeague games this season average 74.0 scored and 79.3 conceded, but range from 58 (v Crvena Zvezda, 8 Oct) to 94 (v Barcelona, 29 Sep).
- Baskonia beat Joventut 93-73 at home in the ACB on 11 October; Dubai won 92-85 away at Cluj-Napoca in the ABA League on the same day.
- Across 15 tracked games each, the two teams shoot almost identically from the field: Baskonia 56.6% on twos and 34.0% on threes, Dubai 55.5% and 34.4%.
- Dubai turn the ball over slightly less (11.3 v 12.1 per game) while Baskonia rebound slightly better (33.3 v 32.1 per game) over the same 15-game samples.
- The two most recent meetings, both EuroLeague, were Baskonia 92-85 Dubai in Vitoria (28 Oct 2025) and Dubai 100-94 Baskonia in Dubai (12 Mar 2026).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostBaskonia +1.5Estimated chance63.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Baskonia 87.3, Dubai 82.5. Baskonia are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Baskonia's four EuroLeague games this season average 86.8 points scored and 96.3 conceded, including home games of 84 (v Besiktas, 9 Oct), 86 (v Milano, 2 Oct) and 89 (v Olympiacos, 24 Sep).
- Dubai's four EuroLeague games this season average 74.0 scored and 79.3 conceded, but range from 58 (v Crvena Zvezda, 8 Oct) to 94 (v Barcelona, 29 Sep).
- Baskonia beat Joventut 93-73 at home in the ACB on 11 October; Dubai won 92-85 away at Cluj-Napoca in the ABA League on the same day.
- Across 15 tracked games each, the two teams shoot almost identically from the field: Baskonia 56.6% on twos and 34.0% on threes, Dubai 55.5% and 34.4%.
- Dubai turn the ball over slightly less (11.3 v 12.1 per game) while Baskonia rebound slightly better (33.3 v 32.1 per game) over the same 15-game samples.
- The two most recent meetings, both EuroLeague, were Baskonia 92-85 Dubai in Vitoria (28 Oct 2025) and Dubai 100-94 Baskonia in Dubai (12 Mar 2026).
BetBugs · Result after 40 minlostBaskoniaEstimated chance62.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Baskonia 87.3, Dubai 82.5. Baskonia are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Baskonia's four EuroLeague games this season average 86.8 points scored and 96.3 conceded, including home games of 84 (v Besiktas, 9 Oct), 86 (v Milano, 2 Oct) and 89 (v Olympiacos, 24 Sep).
- Dubai's four EuroLeague games this season average 74.0 scored and 79.3 conceded, but range from 58 (v Crvena Zvezda, 8 Oct) to 94 (v Barcelona, 29 Sep).
- Baskonia beat Joventut 93-73 at home in the ACB on 11 October; Dubai won 92-85 away at Cluj-Napoca in the ABA League on the same day.
- Across 15 tracked games each, the two teams shoot almost identically from the field: Baskonia 56.6% on twos and 34.0% on threes, Dubai 55.5% and 34.4%.
- Dubai turn the ball over slightly less (11.3 v 12.1 per game) while Baskonia rebound slightly better (33.3 v 32.1 per game) over the same 15-game samples.
- The two most recent meetings, both EuroLeague, were Baskonia 92-85 Dubai in Vitoria (28 Oct 2025) and Dubai 100-94 Baskonia in Dubai (12 Mar 2026).
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultlostBaskoniaEstimated chance58.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Baskonia 87.3, Dubai 82.5. Baskonia are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Baskonia's four EuroLeague games this season average 86.8 points scored and 96.3 conceded, including home games of 84 (v Besiktas, 9 Oct), 86 (v Milano, 2 Oct) and 89 (v Olympiacos, 24 Sep).
- Dubai's four EuroLeague games this season average 74.0 scored and 79.3 conceded, but range from 58 (v Crvena Zvezda, 8 Oct) to 94 (v Barcelona, 29 Sep).
- Baskonia beat Joventut 93-73 at home in the ACB on 11 October; Dubai won 92-85 away at Cluj-Napoca in the ABA League on the same day.
- Across 15 tracked games each, the two teams shoot almost identically from the field: Baskonia 56.6% on twos and 34.0% on threes, Dubai 55.5% and 34.4%.
- Dubai turn the ball over slightly less (11.3 v 12.1 per game) while Baskonia rebound slightly better (33.3 v 32.1 per game) over the same 15-game samples.
- The two most recent meetings, both EuroLeague, were Baskonia 92-85 Dubai in Vitoria (28 Oct 2025) and Dubai 100-94 Baskonia in Dubai (12 Mar 2026).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonBaskoniaEstimated chance55.5%

Points5 of 11 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Baskonia 87.3, Dubai 82.5. Dubai score fewer than 91.5 points (overtime included) in about 78 of 100 games like this.
- Baskonia's four EuroLeague games this season average 86.8 points scored and 96.3 conceded, including home games of 84 (v Besiktas, 9 Oct), 86 (v Milano, 2 Oct) and 89 (v Olympiacos, 24 Sep).
- Dubai's four EuroLeague games this season average 74.0 scored and 79.3 conceded, but range from 58 (v Crvena Zvezda, 8 Oct) to 94 (v Barcelona, 29 Sep).
- Baskonia beat Joventut 93-73 at home in the ACB on 11 October; Dubai won 92-85 away at Cluj-Napoca in the ABA League on the same day.
- Across 15 tracked games each, the two teams shoot almost identically from the field: Baskonia 56.6% on twos and 34.0% on threes, Dubai 55.5% and 34.4%.
- Dubai turn the ball over slightly less (11.3 v 12.1 per game) while Baskonia rebound slightly better (33.3 v 32.1 per game) over the same 15-game samples.
- The two most recent meetings, both EuroLeague, were Baskonia 92-85 Dubai in Vitoria (28 Oct 2025) and Dubai 100-94 Baskonia in Dubai (12 Mar 2026).
BetBugs · Team PointslostDubai under 91.5Estimated chance78.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Baskonia 87.3, Dubai 82.5. Dubai score fewer than 45.5 points in the 1st half in about 73 of 100 games like this.
- Baskonia's four EuroLeague games this season average 86.8 points scored and 96.3 conceded, including home games of 84 (v Besiktas, 9 Oct), 86 (v Milano, 2 Oct) and 89 (v Olympiacos, 24 Sep).
- Dubai's four EuroLeague games this season average 74.0 scored and 79.3 conceded, but range from 58 (v Crvena Zvezda, 8 Oct) to 94 (v Barcelona, 29 Sep).
- Baskonia beat Joventut 93-73 at home in the ACB on 11 October; Dubai won 92-85 away at Cluj-Napoca in the ABA League on the same day.
- Across 15 tracked games each, the two teams shoot almost identically from the field: Baskonia 56.6% on twos and 34.0% on threes, Dubai 55.5% and 34.4%.
- Dubai turn the ball over slightly less (11.3 v 12.1 per game) while Baskonia rebound slightly better (33.3 v 32.1 per game) over the same 15-game samples.
- The two most recent meetings, both EuroLeague, were Baskonia 92-85 Dubai in Vitoria (28 Oct 2025) and Dubai 100-94 Baskonia in Dubai (12 Mar 2026).
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonDubai under 45.5Estimated chance72.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Baskonia 87.3, Dubai 82.5. Dubai score fewer than 23.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this.
- Baskonia's four EuroLeague games this season average 86.8 points scored and 96.3 conceded, including home games of 84 (v Besiktas, 9 Oct), 86 (v Milano, 2 Oct) and 89 (v Olympiacos, 24 Sep).
- Dubai's four EuroLeague games this season average 74.0 scored and 79.3 conceded, but range from 58 (v Crvena Zvezda, 8 Oct) to 94 (v Barcelona, 29 Sep).
- Baskonia beat Joventut 93-73 at home in the ACB on 11 October; Dubai won 92-85 away at Cluj-Napoca in the ABA League on the same day.
- Across 15 tracked games each, the two teams shoot almost identically from the field: Baskonia 56.6% on twos and 34.0% on threes, Dubai 55.5% and 34.4%.
- Dubai turn the ball over slightly less (11.3 v 12.1 per game) while Baskonia rebound slightly better (33.3 v 32.1 per game) over the same 15-game samples.
- The two most recent meetings, both EuroLeague, were Baskonia 92-85 Dubai in Vitoria (28 Oct 2025) and Dubai 100-94 Baskonia in Dubai (12 Mar 2026).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostDubai under 23.5Estimated chance71.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Baskonia 87.3, Dubai 82.5. The 1st half has fewer than 89.5 points in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Baskonia's four EuroLeague games this season average 86.8 points scored and 96.3 conceded, including home games of 84 (v Besiktas, 9 Oct), 86 (v Milano, 2 Oct) and 89 (v Olympiacos, 24 Sep).
- Dubai's four EuroLeague games this season average 74.0 scored and 79.3 conceded, but range from 58 (v Crvena Zvezda, 8 Oct) to 94 (v Barcelona, 29 Sep).
- Baskonia beat Joventut 93-73 at home in the ACB on 11 October; Dubai won 92-85 away at Cluj-Napoca in the ABA League on the same day.
- Across 15 tracked games each, the two teams shoot almost identically from the field: Baskonia 56.6% on twos and 34.0% on threes, Dubai 55.5% and 34.4%.
- Dubai turn the ball over slightly less (11.3 v 12.1 per game) while Baskonia rebound slightly better (33.3 v 32.1 per game) over the same 15-game samples.
- The two most recent meetings, both EuroLeague, were Baskonia 92-85 Dubai in Vitoria (28 Oct 2025) and Dubai 100-94 Baskonia in Dubai (12 Mar 2026).
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonUnder 89.5Estimated chance66.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Baskonia 87.3, Dubai 82.5. The game has fewer than 177.5 points (overtime included) in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Baskonia's four EuroLeague games this season average 86.8 points scored and 96.3 conceded, including home games of 84 (v Besiktas, 9 Oct), 86 (v Milano, 2 Oct) and 89 (v Olympiacos, 24 Sep).
- Dubai's four EuroLeague games this season average 74.0 scored and 79.3 conceded, but range from 58 (v Crvena Zvezda, 8 Oct) to 94 (v Barcelona, 29 Sep).
- Baskonia beat Joventut 93-73 at home in the ACB on 11 October; Dubai won 92-85 away at Cluj-Napoca in the ABA League on the same day.
- Across 15 tracked games each, the two teams shoot almost identically from the field: Baskonia 56.6% on twos and 34.0% on threes, Dubai 55.5% and 34.4%.
- Dubai turn the ball over slightly less (11.3 v 12.1 per game) while Baskonia rebound slightly better (33.3 v 32.1 per game) over the same 15-game samples.
- The two most recent meetings, both EuroLeague, were Baskonia 92-85 Dubai in Vitoria (28 Oct 2025) and Dubai 100-94 Baskonia in Dubai (12 Mar 2026).
BetBugs · Total PointswonUnder 177.5Estimated chance65.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Baskonia 87.3, Dubai 82.5. Dubai score fewer than 22.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Baskonia's four EuroLeague games this season average 86.8 points scored and 96.3 conceded, including home games of 84 (v Besiktas, 9 Oct), 86 (v Milano, 2 Oct) and 89 (v Olympiacos, 24 Sep).
- Dubai's four EuroLeague games this season average 74.0 scored and 79.3 conceded, but range from 58 (v Crvena Zvezda, 8 Oct) to 94 (v Barcelona, 29 Sep).
- Baskonia beat Joventut 93-73 at home in the ACB on 11 October; Dubai won 92-85 away at Cluj-Napoca in the ABA League on the same day.
- Across 15 tracked games each, the two teams shoot almost identically from the field: Baskonia 56.6% on twos and 34.0% on threes, Dubai 55.5% and 34.4%.
- Dubai turn the ball over slightly less (11.3 v 12.1 per game) while Baskonia rebound slightly better (33.3 v 32.1 per game) over the same 15-game samples.
- The two most recent meetings, both EuroLeague, were Baskonia 92-85 Dubai in Vitoria (28 Oct 2025) and Dubai 100-94 Baskonia in Dubai (12 Mar 2026).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostDubai under 22.5Estimated chance65.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Baskonia 87.3, Dubai 82.5. Dubai score fewer than 22.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Baskonia's four EuroLeague games this season average 86.8 points scored and 96.3 conceded, including home games of 84 (v Besiktas, 9 Oct), 86 (v Milano, 2 Oct) and 89 (v Olympiacos, 24 Sep).
- Dubai's four EuroLeague games this season average 74.0 scored and 79.3 conceded, but range from 58 (v Crvena Zvezda, 8 Oct) to 94 (v Barcelona, 29 Sep).
- Baskonia beat Joventut 93-73 at home in the ACB on 11 October; Dubai won 92-85 away at Cluj-Napoca in the ABA League on the same day.
- Across 15 tracked games each, the two teams shoot almost identically from the field: Baskonia 56.6% on twos and 34.0% on threes, Dubai 55.5% and 34.4%.
- Dubai turn the ball over slightly less (11.3 v 12.1 per game) while Baskonia rebound slightly better (33.3 v 32.1 per game) over the same 15-game samples.
- The two most recent meetings, both EuroLeague, were Baskonia 92-85 Dubai in Vitoria (28 Oct 2025) and Dubai 100-94 Baskonia in Dubai (12 Mar 2026).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonDubai under 22.5Estimated chance64.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Baskonia 87.3, Dubai 82.5. The 1st quarter has fewer than 44.5 points in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Baskonia's four EuroLeague games this season average 86.8 points scored and 96.3 conceded, including home games of 84 (v Besiktas, 9 Oct), 86 (v Milano, 2 Oct) and 89 (v Olympiacos, 24 Sep).
- Dubai's four EuroLeague games this season average 74.0 scored and 79.3 conceded, but range from 58 (v Crvena Zvezda, 8 Oct) to 94 (v Barcelona, 29 Sep).
- Baskonia beat Joventut 93-73 at home in the ACB on 11 October; Dubai won 92-85 away at Cluj-Napoca in the ABA League on the same day.
- Across 15 tracked games each, the two teams shoot almost identically from the field: Baskonia 56.6% on twos and 34.0% on threes, Dubai 55.5% and 34.4%.
- Dubai turn the ball over slightly less (11.3 v 12.1 per game) while Baskonia rebound slightly better (33.3 v 32.1 per game) over the same 15-game samples.
- The two most recent meetings, both EuroLeague, were Baskonia 92-85 Dubai in Vitoria (28 Oct 2025) and Dubai 100-94 Baskonia in Dubai (12 Mar 2026).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointslostUnder 44.5Estimated chance61.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Baskonia 87.3, Dubai 82.5. The 2nd quarter has fewer than 44.5 points in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Baskonia's four EuroLeague games this season average 86.8 points scored and 96.3 conceded, including home games of 84 (v Besiktas, 9 Oct), 86 (v Milano, 2 Oct) and 89 (v Olympiacos, 24 Sep).
- Dubai's four EuroLeague games this season average 74.0 scored and 79.3 conceded, but range from 58 (v Crvena Zvezda, 8 Oct) to 94 (v Barcelona, 29 Sep).
- Baskonia beat Joventut 93-73 at home in the ACB on 11 October; Dubai won 92-85 away at Cluj-Napoca in the ABA League on the same day.
- Across 15 tracked games each, the two teams shoot almost identically from the field: Baskonia 56.6% on twos and 34.0% on threes, Dubai 55.5% and 34.4%.
- Dubai turn the ball over slightly less (11.3 v 12.1 per game) while Baskonia rebound slightly better (33.3 v 32.1 per game) over the same 15-game samples.
- The two most recent meetings, both EuroLeague, were Baskonia 92-85 Dubai in Vitoria (28 Oct 2025) and Dubai 100-94 Baskonia in Dubai (12 Mar 2026).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 44.5Estimated chance60.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Baskonia 87.3, Dubai 82.5. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 43.5 points in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Baskonia's four EuroLeague games this season average 86.8 points scored and 96.3 conceded, including home games of 84 (v Besiktas, 9 Oct), 86 (v Milano, 2 Oct) and 89 (v Olympiacos, 24 Sep).
- Dubai's four EuroLeague games this season average 74.0 scored and 79.3 conceded, but range from 58 (v Crvena Zvezda, 8 Oct) to 94 (v Barcelona, 29 Sep).
- Baskonia beat Joventut 93-73 at home in the ACB on 11 October; Dubai won 92-85 away at Cluj-Napoca in the ABA League on the same day.
- Across 15 tracked games each, the two teams shoot almost identically from the field: Baskonia 56.6% on twos and 34.0% on threes, Dubai 55.5% and 34.4%.
- Dubai turn the ball over slightly less (11.3 v 12.1 per game) while Baskonia rebound slightly better (33.3 v 32.1 per game) over the same 15-game samples.
- The two most recent meetings, both EuroLeague, were Baskonia 92-85 Dubai in Vitoria (28 Oct 2025) and Dubai 100-94 Baskonia in Dubai (12 Mar 2026).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostUnder 43.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Baskonia 87.3, Dubai 82.5. Baskonia score more than 86.5 points (overtime included) in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Baskonia's four EuroLeague games this season average 86.8 points scored and 96.3 conceded, including home games of 84 (v Besiktas, 9 Oct), 86 (v Milano, 2 Oct) and 89 (v Olympiacos, 24 Sep).
- Dubai's four EuroLeague games this season average 74.0 scored and 79.3 conceded, but range from 58 (v Crvena Zvezda, 8 Oct) to 94 (v Barcelona, 29 Sep).
- Baskonia beat Joventut 93-73 at home in the ACB on 11 October; Dubai won 92-85 away at Cluj-Napoca in the ABA League on the same day.
- Across 15 tracked games each, the two teams shoot almost identically from the field: Baskonia 56.6% on twos and 34.0% on threes, Dubai 55.5% and 34.4%.
- Dubai turn the ball over slightly less (11.3 v 12.1 per game) while Baskonia rebound slightly better (33.3 v 32.1 per game) over the same 15-game samples.
- The two most recent meetings, both EuroLeague, were Baskonia 92-85 Dubai in Vitoria (28 Oct 2025) and Dubai 100-94 Baskonia in Dubai (12 Mar 2026).
BetBugs · Team PointslostBaskonia over 86.5Estimated chance55.2%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 12, 19:28

Selected line

177.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

34%

Chance of 178+ points

18 pp below break-even

Over 1.93 needs 52% to break even. BetBugs sees 34%.

Move the line main 177.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 34%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 66%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L100–94

Dubaiv

Baskonia

Mar 12, 2026·EUR

W92–85

Baskoniav

Dubai

Oct 28, 2025·EUR

185.5Avg total points

6.5Avg margin

2meetings

League table

EuroLeague · Euroleague - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Baskonia

1–325%

Dubai

2–250%

Recent Form

Baskonia

9W 6L · last 15

vs Joventut Badalona93–73 Oct 11ACB

vs Besiktas84–92 Oct 9EUR

vs Basquet Girona118–78 Oct 4ACB

vs Olimpia Milano86–76 Oct 2EUR

at Valencia88–111 Sep 29EUR

at San Pablo Burgos98–97 Sep 27ACB

vs Olympiacos89–106 Sep 24EUR

at Joventut Badalona84–96 Sep 19SUP

vs Joventut Badalona88–96 Jun 7ACB

at Joventut Badalona63–82 Jun 5ACB

vs Joventut Badalona85–71 Jun 3ACB

vs Unicaja92–89 May 29ACB

at Real Madrid88–83 May 27ACB

vs Granada121–85 May 17ACB

vs Murcia87–80 May 14ACB

Dubai

11W 4L · last 15

at Cluj-Napoca92–85 Oct 11ABA

vs Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet58–77 Oct 8EUR

at Perspektiva Ilirija85–70 Oct 4ABA

at Fenerbahce66–76 Oct 2EUR

vs Barcelona94–87 Sep 29EUR

vs Real Madrid78–77 Sep 24EUR

at Partizan Mozzart Bet83–81 Jun 12ABA

at Partizan Mozzart Bet70–84 Jun 10ABA

vs Partizan Mozzart Bet86–81 Jun 6ABA

vs Partizan Mozzart Bet99–93 Jun 4ABA

vs Buducnost103–77 May 28ABA

at Buducnost90–91 May 25ABA

vs Buducnost104–90 May 21ABA

at Spartak Subotica88–84 May 10ABA

vs Spartak Subotica102–74 May 6ABA

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Baskonia

Stats

3–2

Dubai

Baskonia leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–1

2-point %+1.1pp

56.6%

+1.1pp

55.5%

3-point %+0.4pp

34.0%

+0.4pp

34.4%

Free-throw %14/13 games+1.3pp

79.2%

+1.3pp

77.9%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s0.3pp apart

32.2%

0.3pp apart

31.9%

Free throws per shot14/13 games1.1pp apart

33.9%

1.1pp apart

35.0%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+1.2

33.3

+1.2

32.1

Turnovers per game0.8 fewer

12.1

0.8 fewer

11.3

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.