Virtus Zagreb56Zadar87

Mon 12 Oct 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions7–1139%

Points by period: Virtus Zagreb and Zadar.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Virtus Zagreb	10	12	18	16
Zadar	27	21	21	18

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Two 2-0 league starts meet with the fixture switched to Zagreb on 12 October, and the expected score after 40 minutes — Zadar 81.3, Virtus Zagreb 84.2 — makes it a close game leaning slightly to Virtus.

A high-scoring night looks likely, with Virtus above 74.5 points the strongest game-level lean and the combined total above 157.5 points. No prices are quoted for this game, so the forecasts are unpriced.

Context

The league confirms the switch to SD Sutinska Vrela on 12 October and both teams arrive 2-0 in the Premijer liga, but the two Virtus absences from 2 October are unconfirmed for this game and no availability change is established.

The league schedule now lists Virtus Zagreb as the home side and places the game on 12 October, rather than the previously listed Zadar fixture on 9 October. This changes the setting and leaves both teams several additional days after their latest league games. The revised league schedule is the current fixture arrangement.
- The original home-and-away arrangement has been swapped.
- Virtus Zagreb will host Zadar on 12 October at SD Sutinska Vrela.
Virtus assistant coach Bariša Krasić said Delvin Barnstable was unavailable for the 2 October league win because of a fever. Virtus do not meet Zadar until 12 October, so his condition may change before the game. An official update for the Zadar game is pending.
- Virtus beat Dubrava 89-84 on 2 October.
- Barnstable missed the game because of a fever.
Virtus assistant coach Bariša Krasić said Lovre Pešić was unavailable for the 2 October league win because of a fever. Virtus do not meet Zadar until 12 October, so his condition may change before the game. An official update for the Zadar game is pending.
- Virtus beat Dubrava 89-84 on 2 October.
- Pešić missed the game because of a fever.
Zadar opened domestic league play with wins over Samobor and DepoLink Škrljevo, while Virtus overcame Kvarner before defeating Dubrava. The two unbeaten starts provide the immediate domestic context for their rescheduled meeting in Zagreb.
- Zadar beat Samobor 81-59 on 27 September.
- Zadar won 107-69 at DepoLink Škrljevo on 2 October.
- Virtus beat Kvarner 96-93 in Rijeka.
- Virtus followed with an 89-84 win against Dubrava on 2 October.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zadar 81.3, Virtus Zagreb 84.2. Virtus Zagreb cover +6.5 in the 1st half in about 80 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Zadar and 15 for Virtus Zagreb, across seasons and competitions.
- Zadar's current Premijer liga games: 81-59 vs Samobor (27 Sep) and 107-69 at Skrljevo (2 Oct); Virtus's: 96-93 at Kvarner (27 Sep) and 89-84 vs Dubrava (2 Oct).
- Over 15 tracked games Zadar shoots 57.4% on two-pointers and 35.3% on three-pointers; Virtus shoots 51.5% and 34.3%.
- Zadar allows 69.3 points per game over 15 tracked games and 64.3 in three current-season games; Virtus allows 82.7 over 15 and 88.5 in two current-season games.
- Zadar averages 36.7 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers over 15 tracked games; Virtus averages 32.4 rebounds and 13.3 turnovers.
- In the dated head-to-head, Zadar won 81-67 on 14 Mar 2026 and 85-63 on 7 Dec 2025 against the opponent listed as Cedevita Junior/Virtus.
- The confirmed schedule change makes Virtus the home side on 12 October; Barnstable and Pesic remain watch items after missing 2 Oct with a fever.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonVirtus Zagreb +6.5Estimated chance80%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zadar 81.3, Virtus Zagreb 84.2. Zadar cover +4.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Zadar and 15 for Virtus Zagreb, across seasons and competitions.
- Zadar's current Premijer liga games: 81-59 vs Samobor (27 Sep) and 107-69 at Skrljevo (2 Oct); Virtus's: 96-93 at Kvarner (27 Sep) and 89-84 vs Dubrava (2 Oct).
- Over 15 tracked games Zadar shoots 57.4% on two-pointers and 35.3% on three-pointers; Virtus shoots 51.5% and 34.3%.
- Zadar allows 69.3 points per game over 15 tracked games and 64.3 in three current-season games; Virtus allows 82.7 over 15 and 88.5 in two current-season games.
- Zadar averages 36.7 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers over 15 tracked games; Virtus averages 32.4 rebounds and 13.3 turnovers.
- In the dated head-to-head, Zadar won 81-67 on 14 Mar 2026 and 85-63 on 7 Dec 2025 against the opponent listed as Cedevita Junior/Virtus.
- The confirmed schedule change makes Virtus the home side on 12 October; Barnstable and Pesic remain watch items after missing 2 Oct with a fever.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonZadar +4.5Estimated chance70.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zadar 81.3, Virtus Zagreb 84.2. Zadar cover +4.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Zadar and 15 for Virtus Zagreb, across seasons and competitions.
- Zadar's current Premijer liga games: 81-59 vs Samobor (27 Sep) and 107-69 at Skrljevo (2 Oct); Virtus's: 96-93 at Kvarner (27 Sep) and 89-84 vs Dubrava (2 Oct).
- Over 15 tracked games Zadar shoots 57.4% on two-pointers and 35.3% on three-pointers; Virtus shoots 51.5% and 34.3%.
- Zadar allows 69.3 points per game over 15 tracked games and 64.3 in three current-season games; Virtus allows 82.7 over 15 and 88.5 in two current-season games.
- Zadar averages 36.7 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers over 15 tracked games; Virtus averages 32.4 rebounds and 13.3 turnovers.
- In the dated head-to-head, Zadar won 81-67 on 14 Mar 2026 and 85-63 on 7 Dec 2025 against the opponent listed as Cedevita Junior/Virtus.
- The confirmed schedule change makes Virtus the home side on 12 October; Barnstable and Pesic remain watch items after missing 2 Oct with a fever.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostZadar +4.5Estimated chance68.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zadar 81.3, Virtus Zagreb 84.2. Zadar cover +3.5 in the 1st quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Zadar and 15 for Virtus Zagreb, across seasons and competitions.
- Zadar's current Premijer liga games: 81-59 vs Samobor (27 Sep) and 107-69 at Skrljevo (2 Oct); Virtus's: 96-93 at Kvarner (27 Sep) and 89-84 vs Dubrava (2 Oct).
- Over 15 tracked games Zadar shoots 57.4% on two-pointers and 35.3% on three-pointers; Virtus shoots 51.5% and 34.3%.
- Zadar allows 69.3 points per game over 15 tracked games and 64.3 in three current-season games; Virtus allows 82.7 over 15 and 88.5 in two current-season games.
- Zadar averages 36.7 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers over 15 tracked games; Virtus averages 32.4 rebounds and 13.3 turnovers.
- In the dated head-to-head, Zadar won 81-67 on 14 Mar 2026 and 85-63 on 7 Dec 2025 against the opponent listed as Cedevita Junior/Virtus.
- The confirmed schedule change makes Virtus the home side on 12 October; Barnstable and Pesic remain watch items after missing 2 Oct with a fever.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicaplostZadar +3.5Estimated chance65.4%

Points5 of 14 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zadar 81.3, Virtus Zagreb 84.2. The 2nd quarter has more than 34.5 points in about 84 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Zadar and 15 for Virtus Zagreb, across seasons and competitions.
- Zadar's current Premijer liga games: 81-59 vs Samobor (27 Sep) and 107-69 at Skrljevo (2 Oct); Virtus's: 96-93 at Kvarner (27 Sep) and 89-84 vs Dubrava (2 Oct).
- Over 15 tracked games Zadar shoots 57.4% on two-pointers and 35.3% on three-pointers; Virtus shoots 51.5% and 34.3%.
- Zadar allows 69.3 points per game over 15 tracked games and 64.3 in three current-season games; Virtus allows 82.7 over 15 and 88.5 in two current-season games.
- Zadar averages 36.7 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers over 15 tracked games; Virtus averages 32.4 rebounds and 13.3 turnovers.
- In the dated head-to-head, Zadar won 81-67 on 14 Mar 2026 and 85-63 on 7 Dec 2025 against the opponent listed as Cedevita Junior/Virtus.
- The confirmed schedule change makes Virtus the home side on 12 October; Barnstable and Pesic remain watch items after missing 2 Oct with a fever.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointslostOver 34.5Estimated chance83.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zadar 81.3, Virtus Zagreb 84.2. Virtus Zagreb score more than 74.5 points (overtime included) in about 83 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Zadar and 15 for Virtus Zagreb, across seasons and competitions.
- Zadar's current Premijer liga games: 81-59 vs Samobor (27 Sep) and 107-69 at Skrljevo (2 Oct); Virtus's: 96-93 at Kvarner (27 Sep) and 89-84 vs Dubrava (2 Oct).
- Over 15 tracked games Zadar shoots 57.4% on two-pointers and 35.3% on three-pointers; Virtus shoots 51.5% and 34.3%.
- Zadar allows 69.3 points per game over 15 tracked games and 64.3 in three current-season games; Virtus allows 82.7 over 15 and 88.5 in two current-season games.
- Zadar averages 36.7 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers over 15 tracked games; Virtus averages 32.4 rebounds and 13.3 turnovers.
- In the dated head-to-head, Zadar won 81-67 on 14 Mar 2026 and 85-63 on 7 Dec 2025 against the opponent listed as Cedevita Junior/Virtus.
- The confirmed schedule change makes Virtus the home side on 12 October; Barnstable and Pesic remain watch items after missing 2 Oct with a fever.
BetBugs · Team PointswonVirtus Zagreb over 74.5Estimated chance83.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zadar 81.3, Virtus Zagreb 84.2. The 3rd quarter has more than 35.5 points in about 77 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Zadar and 15 for Virtus Zagreb, across seasons and competitions.
- Zadar's current Premijer liga games: 81-59 vs Samobor (27 Sep) and 107-69 at Skrljevo (2 Oct); Virtus's: 96-93 at Kvarner (27 Sep) and 89-84 vs Dubrava (2 Oct).
- Over 15 tracked games Zadar shoots 57.4% on two-pointers and 35.3% on three-pointers; Virtus shoots 51.5% and 34.3%.
- Zadar allows 69.3 points per game over 15 tracked games and 64.3 in three current-season games; Virtus allows 82.7 over 15 and 88.5 in two current-season games.
- Zadar averages 36.7 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers over 15 tracked games; Virtus averages 32.4 rebounds and 13.3 turnovers.
- In the dated head-to-head, Zadar won 81-67 on 14 Mar 2026 and 85-63 on 7 Dec 2025 against the opponent listed as Cedevita Junior/Virtus.
- The confirmed schedule change makes Virtus the home side on 12 October; Barnstable and Pesic remain watch items after missing 2 Oct with a fever.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonOver 35.5Estimated chance77.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zadar 81.3, Virtus Zagreb 84.2. Virtus Zagreb score more than 37.5 points in the 1st half in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Zadar and 15 for Virtus Zagreb, across seasons and competitions.
- Zadar's current Premijer liga games: 81-59 vs Samobor (27 Sep) and 107-69 at Skrljevo (2 Oct); Virtus's: 96-93 at Kvarner (27 Sep) and 89-84 vs Dubrava (2 Oct).
- Over 15 tracked games Zadar shoots 57.4% on two-pointers and 35.3% on three-pointers; Virtus shoots 51.5% and 34.3%.
- Zadar allows 69.3 points per game over 15 tracked games and 64.3 in three current-season games; Virtus allows 82.7 over 15 and 88.5 in two current-season games.
- Zadar averages 36.7 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers over 15 tracked games; Virtus averages 32.4 rebounds and 13.3 turnovers.
- In the dated head-to-head, Zadar won 81-67 on 14 Mar 2026 and 85-63 on 7 Dec 2025 against the opponent listed as Cedevita Junior/Virtus.
- The confirmed schedule change makes Virtus the home side on 12 October; Barnstable and Pesic remain watch items after missing 2 Oct with a fever.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonVirtus Zagreb over 37.5Estimated chance74.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zadar 81.3, Virtus Zagreb 84.2. Virtus Zagreb score more than 17.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 74 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Zadar and 15 for Virtus Zagreb, across seasons and competitions.
- Zadar's current Premijer liga games: 81-59 vs Samobor (27 Sep) and 107-69 at Skrljevo (2 Oct); Virtus's: 96-93 at Kvarner (27 Sep) and 89-84 vs Dubrava (2 Oct).
- Over 15 tracked games Zadar shoots 57.4% on two-pointers and 35.3% on three-pointers; Virtus shoots 51.5% and 34.3%.
- Zadar allows 69.3 points per game over 15 tracked games and 64.3 in three current-season games; Virtus allows 82.7 over 15 and 88.5 in two current-season games.
- Zadar averages 36.7 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers over 15 tracked games; Virtus averages 32.4 rebounds and 13.3 turnovers.
- In the dated head-to-head, Zadar won 81-67 on 14 Mar 2026 and 85-63 on 7 Dec 2025 against the opponent listed as Cedevita Junior/Virtus.
- The confirmed schedule change makes Virtus the home side on 12 October; Barnstable and Pesic remain watch items after missing 2 Oct with a fever.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonVirtus Zagreb over 17.5Estimated chance73.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zadar 81.3, Virtus Zagreb 84.2. Zadar score more than 75.5 points (overtime included) in about 72 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Zadar and 15 for Virtus Zagreb, across seasons and competitions.
- Zadar's current Premijer liga games: 81-59 vs Samobor (27 Sep) and 107-69 at Skrljevo (2 Oct); Virtus's: 96-93 at Kvarner (27 Sep) and 89-84 vs Dubrava (2 Oct).
- Over 15 tracked games Zadar shoots 57.4% on two-pointers and 35.3% on three-pointers; Virtus shoots 51.5% and 34.3%.
- Zadar allows 69.3 points per game over 15 tracked games and 64.3 in three current-season games; Virtus allows 82.7 over 15 and 88.5 in two current-season games.
- Zadar averages 36.7 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers over 15 tracked games; Virtus averages 32.4 rebounds and 13.3 turnovers.
- In the dated head-to-head, Zadar won 81-67 on 14 Mar 2026 and 85-63 on 7 Dec 2025 against the opponent listed as Cedevita Junior/Virtus.
- The confirmed schedule change makes Virtus the home side on 12 October; Barnstable and Pesic remain watch items after missing 2 Oct with a fever.
BetBugs · Team PointslostZadar over 75.5Estimated chance72.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zadar 81.3, Virtus Zagreb 84.2. Zadar score more than 17.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Zadar and 15 for Virtus Zagreb, across seasons and competitions.
- Zadar's current Premijer liga games: 81-59 vs Samobor (27 Sep) and 107-69 at Skrljevo (2 Oct); Virtus's: 96-93 at Kvarner (27 Sep) and 89-84 vs Dubrava (2 Oct).
- Over 15 tracked games Zadar shoots 57.4% on two-pointers and 35.3% on three-pointers; Virtus shoots 51.5% and 34.3%.
- Zadar allows 69.3 points per game over 15 tracked games and 64.3 in three current-season games; Virtus allows 82.7 over 15 and 88.5 in two current-season games.
- Zadar averages 36.7 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers over 15 tracked games; Virtus averages 32.4 rebounds and 13.3 turnovers.
- In the dated head-to-head, Zadar won 81-67 on 14 Mar 2026 and 85-63 on 7 Dec 2025 against the opponent listed as Cedevita Junior/Virtus.
- The confirmed schedule change makes Virtus the home side on 12 October; Barnstable and Pesic remain watch items after missing 2 Oct with a fever.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostZadar over 17.5Estimated chance70.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zadar 81.3, Virtus Zagreb 84.2. The game has more than 157.5 points (overtime included) in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Zadar and 15 for Virtus Zagreb, across seasons and competitions.
- Zadar's current Premijer liga games: 81-59 vs Samobor (27 Sep) and 107-69 at Skrljevo (2 Oct); Virtus's: 96-93 at Kvarner (27 Sep) and 89-84 vs Dubrava (2 Oct).
- Over 15 tracked games Zadar shoots 57.4% on two-pointers and 35.3% on three-pointers; Virtus shoots 51.5% and 34.3%.
- Zadar allows 69.3 points per game over 15 tracked games and 64.3 in three current-season games; Virtus allows 82.7 over 15 and 88.5 in two current-season games.
- Zadar averages 36.7 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers over 15 tracked games; Virtus averages 32.4 rebounds and 13.3 turnovers.
- In the dated head-to-head, Zadar won 81-67 on 14 Mar 2026 and 85-63 on 7 Dec 2025 against the opponent listed as Cedevita Junior/Virtus.
- The confirmed schedule change makes Virtus the home side on 12 October; Barnstable and Pesic remain watch items after missing 2 Oct with a fever.
BetBugs · Total PointslostOver 157.5Estimated chance70.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zadar 81.3, Virtus Zagreb 84.2. Zadar score more than 37.5 points in the 1st half in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Zadar and 15 for Virtus Zagreb, across seasons and competitions.
- Zadar's current Premijer liga games: 81-59 vs Samobor (27 Sep) and 107-69 at Skrljevo (2 Oct); Virtus's: 96-93 at Kvarner (27 Sep) and 89-84 vs Dubrava (2 Oct).
- Over 15 tracked games Zadar shoots 57.4% on two-pointers and 35.3% on three-pointers; Virtus shoots 51.5% and 34.3%.
- Zadar allows 69.3 points per game over 15 tracked games and 64.3 in three current-season games; Virtus allows 82.7 over 15 and 88.5 in two current-season games.
- Zadar averages 36.7 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers over 15 tracked games; Virtus averages 32.4 rebounds and 13.3 turnovers.
- In the dated head-to-head, Zadar won 81-67 on 14 Mar 2026 and 85-63 on 7 Dec 2025 against the opponent listed as Cedevita Junior/Virtus.
- The confirmed schedule change makes Virtus the home side on 12 October; Barnstable and Pesic remain watch items after missing 2 Oct with a fever.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostZadar over 37.5Estimated chance67.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zadar 81.3, Virtus Zagreb 84.2. The 1st half has more than 78.5 points in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Zadar and 15 for Virtus Zagreb, across seasons and competitions.
- Zadar's current Premijer liga games: 81-59 vs Samobor (27 Sep) and 107-69 at Skrljevo (2 Oct); Virtus's: 96-93 at Kvarner (27 Sep) and 89-84 vs Dubrava (2 Oct).
- Over 15 tracked games Zadar shoots 57.4% on two-pointers and 35.3% on three-pointers; Virtus shoots 51.5% and 34.3%.
- Zadar allows 69.3 points per game over 15 tracked games and 64.3 in three current-season games; Virtus allows 82.7 over 15 and 88.5 in two current-season games.
- Zadar averages 36.7 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers over 15 tracked games; Virtus averages 32.4 rebounds and 13.3 turnovers.
- In the dated head-to-head, Zadar won 81-67 on 14 Mar 2026 and 85-63 on 7 Dec 2025 against the opponent listed as Cedevita Junior/Virtus.
- The confirmed schedule change makes Virtus the home side on 12 October; Barnstable and Pesic remain watch items after missing 2 Oct with a fever.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostOver 78.5Estimated chance66.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zadar 81.3, Virtus Zagreb 84.2. Zadar score more than 18.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Zadar and 15 for Virtus Zagreb, across seasons and competitions.
- Zadar's current Premijer liga games: 81-59 vs Samobor (27 Sep) and 107-69 at Skrljevo (2 Oct); Virtus's: 96-93 at Kvarner (27 Sep) and 89-84 vs Dubrava (2 Oct).
- Over 15 tracked games Zadar shoots 57.4% on two-pointers and 35.3% on three-pointers; Virtus shoots 51.5% and 34.3%.
- Zadar allows 69.3 points per game over 15 tracked games and 64.3 in three current-season games; Virtus allows 82.7 over 15 and 88.5 in two current-season games.
- Zadar averages 36.7 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers over 15 tracked games; Virtus averages 32.4 rebounds and 13.3 turnovers.
- In the dated head-to-head, Zadar won 81-67 on 14 Mar 2026 and 85-63 on 7 Dec 2025 against the opponent listed as Cedevita Junior/Virtus.
- The confirmed schedule change makes Virtus the home side on 12 October; Barnstable and Pesic remain watch items after missing 2 Oct with a fever.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostZadar over 18.5Estimated chance62.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zadar 81.3, Virtus Zagreb 84.2. Virtus Zagreb score fewer than 22.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Zadar and 15 for Virtus Zagreb, across seasons and competitions.
- Zadar's current Premijer liga games: 81-59 vs Samobor (27 Sep) and 107-69 at Skrljevo (2 Oct); Virtus's: 96-93 at Kvarner (27 Sep) and 89-84 vs Dubrava (2 Oct).
- Over 15 tracked games Zadar shoots 57.4% on two-pointers and 35.3% on three-pointers; Virtus shoots 51.5% and 34.3%.
- Zadar allows 69.3 points per game over 15 tracked games and 64.3 in three current-season games; Virtus allows 82.7 over 15 and 88.5 in two current-season games.
- Zadar averages 36.7 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers over 15 tracked games; Virtus averages 32.4 rebounds and 13.3 turnovers.
- In the dated head-to-head, Zadar won 81-67 on 14 Mar 2026 and 85-63 on 7 Dec 2025 against the opponent listed as Cedevita Junior/Virtus.
- The confirmed schedule change makes Virtus the home side on 12 October; Barnstable and Pesic remain watch items after missing 2 Oct with a fever.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostVirtus Zagreb under 22.5Estimated chance61.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zadar 81.3, Virtus Zagreb 84.2. The 1st quarter has more than 39.5 points in about 60 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Zadar and 15 for Virtus Zagreb, across seasons and competitions.
- Zadar's current Premijer liga games: 81-59 vs Samobor (27 Sep) and 107-69 at Skrljevo (2 Oct); Virtus's: 96-93 at Kvarner (27 Sep) and 89-84 vs Dubrava (2 Oct).
- Over 15 tracked games Zadar shoots 57.4% on two-pointers and 35.3% on three-pointers; Virtus shoots 51.5% and 34.3%.
- Zadar allows 69.3 points per game over 15 tracked games and 64.3 in three current-season games; Virtus allows 82.7 over 15 and 88.5 in two current-season games.
- Zadar averages 36.7 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers over 15 tracked games; Virtus averages 32.4 rebounds and 13.3 turnovers.
- In the dated head-to-head, Zadar won 81-67 on 14 Mar 2026 and 85-63 on 7 Dec 2025 against the opponent listed as Cedevita Junior/Virtus.
- The confirmed schedule change makes Virtus the home side on 12 October; Barnstable and Pesic remain watch items after missing 2 Oct with a fever.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointslostOver 39.5Estimated chance60.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zadar 81.3, Virtus Zagreb 84.2. Zadar score fewer than 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Zadar and 15 for Virtus Zagreb, across seasons and competitions.
- Zadar's current Premijer liga games: 81-59 vs Samobor (27 Sep) and 107-69 at Skrljevo (2 Oct); Virtus's: 96-93 at Kvarner (27 Sep) and 89-84 vs Dubrava (2 Oct).
- Over 15 tracked games Zadar shoots 57.4% on two-pointers and 35.3% on three-pointers; Virtus shoots 51.5% and 34.3%.
- Zadar allows 69.3 points per game over 15 tracked games and 64.3 in three current-season games; Virtus allows 82.7 over 15 and 88.5 in two current-season games.
- Zadar averages 36.7 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers over 15 tracked games; Virtus averages 32.4 rebounds and 13.3 turnovers.
- In the dated head-to-head, Zadar won 81-67 on 14 Mar 2026 and 85-63 on 7 Dec 2025 against the opponent listed as Cedevita Junior/Virtus.
- The confirmed schedule change makes Virtus the home side on 12 October; Barnstable and Pesic remain watch items after missing 2 Oct with a fever.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonZadar under 21.5Estimated chance59.1%