Lega Basket Serie AFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Scafati82Verona89

Sun 11 Oct 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions7–1335%

Edges0–10%

Points by period: Scafati and Verona.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Scafati	25	22	25	10
Verona	24	28	18	19

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Scafati are 0-2 in their Lega A return and host Verona, who beat Olimpia Milano 75-72 on 5 October.

The expected 40-minute score, Scafati 78.7 to Verona 84.8, points to Verona winning, and the price with value is under 85.5 combined first-half points at 1.88 — the only quoted market that clears. Scafati's better 15-game shooting and 7.0 days' rest are the main reasons to hesitate.

Context

Scafati are 0-2 in Lega A 2026-27 and Verona 1-1, with Verona's 75-72 home win over Olimpia Milano on 5 October the standout recent result. The rest gap is small — 7.0 days for Scafati against 5.9 for Verona — and Scafati have been without Brandon Johnson through their opening games without confirmation for this one, so conditions are only mildly tilted.

Scafati have lost their first two games on their Serie A return and have been without Brandon Johnson through that stretch. He missed the home defeat by Varese and is listed as still absent for the Verona visit. His continued absence leaves Scafati's rotation unchanged from the opening weeks, and whether he can feature on 11 October is unresolved; the club has not confirmed his participation.
- Scafati were without Brandon Johnson for the 4 October home loss to Varese.
- The preview of the 11 October Verona fixture lists the team as still without Brandon Johnson.
Scafati opened their top-flight return with a defeat at Udine and a 77-85 home loss to Varese, when Garrett Nevels led their scoring. They are still chasing a first win, and the visit of Verona is their next chance to take one at home. A third straight defeat would leave them searching for form early in the season.
- Scafati lost their season opener away to Udine on 27 September.
- Scafati then lost their home opener 77-85 to Varese on 4 October, with Garrett Nevels their leading scorer.
Verona followed an opening loss at Tortona with a 75-72 home win over Olimpia Milano, CJ Massinburg scoring the winning basket at the buzzer. They travel to Scafati with a split record and recent evidence they can close out tight games, against a home side still without a win.
- Verona beat Olimpia Milano 75-72 on 5 October.
- CJ Massinburg scored the decisive basket at the buzzer.
- Verona had lost their opener 101-93 at Tortona on 27 September.
Ramagli's assessment sets up the trip to PalaMangano as a physical contest. Scafati are still chasing a first win and Verona, after beating Milano, will expect a demanding road game against a side whose coach has built around physicality on both ends.
- Verona head coach Alessandro Ramagli called Scafati a very physical team ahead of the game.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

1st Half Total PointslostUncertainty band: Lean

Under 85.5

1.88fair 1.58

Market 53.2% · BetBugs 63.3%

+10.1ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Scafati 78.7, Verona 84.8. The 1st half has fewer than 85.5 points in about 63 of 100 games like this. Scafati have struggled offensively in their return to Lega A, averaging just 70 points in two losses, while Verona have a better current offense and won both Serie A2 meetings last season. Scafati's home court and superior shooting percentages from the larger sample keep it competitive, but Verona's edge in rebounding and turnovers should give them the higher score.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result6 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Scafati 78.7, Verona 84.8. Verona cover +1.5 (overtime included) in about 70 of 100 games like this.
- Scafati are 0-2 in Lega A 2026-27, scoring 70.0 ppg and allowing 86.0 ppg (2 games through 4 Oct).
- Verona are 1-1, scoring 84.0 ppg and allowing 86.5 ppg, including a 75-72 home win over Olimpia Milano on 5 Oct.
- In last season's Serie A2, Verona won both meetings: 76-61 at home (22 Feb 2026) and 85-81 at Scafati (12 Oct 2025).
- Scafati's 15-game overall shooting is strong (39.0% 3PT, 51.3% 2PT) but they remain without Brandon Johnson (watch) and have lost both openers.
- Verona's 15-game overall rebounding (34.6) and turnovers (10.1) are slightly better than Scafati's (33.5 rebounds, 11.3 turnovers).
- Rest: Scafati have 7.0 days since their last game, Verona 5.9 days.
BetBugs · HandicapwonVerona +1.5Estimated chance70.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Scafati 78.7, Verona 84.8. Scafati cover +5.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Scafati and 15 for Verona, across seasons and competitions.
- Scafati are 0-2 in Lega A 2026-27, scoring 70.0 ppg and allowing 86.0 ppg (2 games through 4 Oct).
- Verona are 1-1, scoring 84.0 ppg and allowing 86.5 ppg, including a 75-72 home win over Olimpia Milano on 5 Oct.
- In last season's Serie A2, Verona won both meetings: 76-61 at home (22 Feb 2026) and 85-81 at Scafati (12 Oct 2025).
- Scafati's 15-game overall shooting is strong (39.0% 3PT, 51.3% 2PT) but they remain without Brandon Johnson (watch) and have lost both openers.
- Verona's 15-game overall rebounding (34.6) and turnovers (10.1) are slightly better than Scafati's (33.5 rebounds, 11.3 turnovers).
- Rest: Scafati have 7.0 days since their last game, Verona 5.9 days.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostScafati +5.5Estimated chance68.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Scafati 78.7, Verona 84.8. Verona win in about 69 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Scafati are 0-2 in Lega A 2026-27, scoring 70.0 ppg and allowing 86.0 ppg (2 games through 4 Oct).
- Verona are 1-1, scoring 84.0 ppg and allowing 86.5 ppg, including a 75-72 home win over Olimpia Milano on 5 Oct.
- In last season's Serie A2, Verona won both meetings: 76-61 at home (22 Feb 2026) and 85-81 at Scafati (12 Oct 2025).
- Scafati's 15-game overall shooting is strong (39.0% 3PT, 51.3% 2PT) but they remain without Brandon Johnson (watch) and have lost both openers.
- Verona's 15-game overall rebounding (34.6) and turnovers (10.1) are slightly better than Scafati's (33.5 rebounds, 11.3 turnovers).
- Rest: Scafati have 7.0 days since their last game, Verona 5.9 days.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonVeronaEstimated chance68.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Scafati 78.7, Verona 84.8. Verona are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Scafati are 0-2 in Lega A 2026-27, scoring 70.0 ppg and allowing 86.0 ppg (2 games through 4 Oct).
- Verona are 1-1, scoring 84.0 ppg and allowing 86.5 ppg, including a 75-72 home win over Olimpia Milano on 5 Oct.
- In last season's Serie A2, Verona won both meetings: 76-61 at home (22 Feb 2026) and 85-81 at Scafati (12 Oct 2025).
- Scafati's 15-game overall shooting is strong (39.0% 3PT, 51.3% 2PT) but they remain without Brandon Johnson (watch) and have lost both openers.
- Verona's 15-game overall rebounding (34.6) and turnovers (10.1) are slightly better than Scafati's (33.5 rebounds, 11.3 turnovers).
- Rest: Scafati have 7.0 days since their last game, Verona 5.9 days.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonVeronaEstimated chance66.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Scafati 78.7, Verona 84.8. Verona cover +0.5 in the 1st half in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Scafati are 0-2 in Lega A 2026-27, scoring 70.0 ppg and allowing 86.0 ppg (2 games through 4 Oct).
- Verona are 1-1, scoring 84.0 ppg and allowing 86.5 ppg, including a 75-72 home win over Olimpia Milano on 5 Oct.
- In last season's Serie A2, Verona won both meetings: 76-61 at home (22 Feb 2026) and 85-81 at Scafati (12 Oct 2025).
- Scafati's 15-game overall shooting is strong (39.0% 3PT, 51.3% 2PT) but they remain without Brandon Johnson (watch) and have lost both openers.
- Verona's 15-game overall rebounding (34.6) and turnovers (10.1) are slightly better than Scafati's (33.5 rebounds, 11.3 turnovers).
- Rest: Scafati have 7.0 days since their last game, Verona 5.9 days.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonVerona +0.5Estimated chance65.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Scafati 78.7, Verona 84.8. Verona are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Scafati are 0-2 in Lega A 2026-27, scoring 70.0 ppg and allowing 86.0 ppg (2 games through 4 Oct).
- Verona are 1-1, scoring 84.0 ppg and allowing 86.5 ppg, including a 75-72 home win over Olimpia Milano on 5 Oct.
- In last season's Serie A2, Verona won both meetings: 76-61 at home (22 Feb 2026) and 85-81 at Scafati (12 Oct 2025).
- Scafati's 15-game overall shooting is strong (39.0% 3PT, 51.3% 2PT) but they remain without Brandon Johnson (watch) and have lost both openers.
- Verona's 15-game overall rebounding (34.6) and turnovers (10.1) are slightly better than Scafati's (33.5 rebounds, 11.3 turnovers).
- Rest: Scafati have 7.0 days since their last game, Verona 5.9 days.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonVeronaEstimated chance61.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Scafati 78.7, Verona 84.8. Verona cover +0.5 in the 1st quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Scafati are 0-2 in Lega A 2026-27, scoring 70.0 ppg and allowing 86.0 ppg (2 games through 4 Oct).
- Verona are 1-1, scoring 84.0 ppg and allowing 86.5 ppg, including a 75-72 home win over Olimpia Milano on 5 Oct.
- In last season's Serie A2, Verona won both meetings: 76-61 at home (22 Feb 2026) and 85-81 at Scafati (12 Oct 2025).
- Scafati's 15-game overall shooting is strong (39.0% 3PT, 51.3% 2PT) but they remain without Brandon Johnson (watch) and have lost both openers.
- Verona's 15-game overall rebounding (34.6) and turnovers (10.1) are slightly better than Scafati's (33.5 rebounds, 11.3 turnovers).
- Rest: Scafati have 7.0 days since their last game, Verona 5.9 days.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicaplostVerona +0.5Estimated chance60.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Scafati 78.7, Verona 84.8. Verona cover +0.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Scafati and 15 for Verona, across seasons and competitions.
- Scafati are 0-2 in Lega A 2026-27, scoring 70.0 ppg and allowing 86.0 ppg (2 games through 4 Oct).
- Verona are 1-1, scoring 84.0 ppg and allowing 86.5 ppg, including a 75-72 home win over Olimpia Milano on 5 Oct.
- In last season's Serie A2, Verona won both meetings: 76-61 at home (22 Feb 2026) and 85-81 at Scafati (12 Oct 2025).
- Scafati's 15-game overall shooting is strong (39.0% 3PT, 51.3% 2PT) but they remain without Brandon Johnson (watch) and have lost both openers.
- Verona's 15-game overall rebounding (34.6) and turnovers (10.1) are slightly better than Scafati's (33.5 rebounds, 11.3 turnovers).
- Rest: Scafati have 7.0 days since their last game, Verona 5.9 days.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostVerona +0.5Estimated chance59.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Scafati 78.7, Verona 84.8. Verona are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Scafati are 0-2 in Lega A 2026-27, scoring 70.0 ppg and allowing 86.0 ppg (2 games through 4 Oct).
- Verona are 1-1, scoring 84.0 ppg and allowing 86.5 ppg, including a 75-72 home win over Olimpia Milano on 5 Oct.
- In last season's Serie A2, Verona won both meetings: 76-61 at home (22 Feb 2026) and 85-81 at Scafati (12 Oct 2025).
- Scafati's 15-game overall shooting is strong (39.0% 3PT, 51.3% 2PT) but they remain without Brandon Johnson (watch) and have lost both openers.
- Verona's 15-game overall rebounding (34.6) and turnovers (10.1) are slightly better than Scafati's (33.5 rebounds, 11.3 turnovers).
- Rest: Scafati have 7.0 days since their last game, Verona 5.9 days.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonVeronaEstimated chance57.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Scafati 78.7, Verona 84.8. Verona are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Scafati are 0-2 in Lega A 2026-27, scoring 70.0 ppg and allowing 86.0 ppg (2 games through 4 Oct).
- Verona are 1-1, scoring 84.0 ppg and allowing 86.5 ppg, including a 75-72 home win over Olimpia Milano on 5 Oct.
- In last season's Serie A2, Verona won both meetings: 76-61 at home (22 Feb 2026) and 85-81 at Scafati (12 Oct 2025).
- Scafati's 15-game overall shooting is strong (39.0% 3PT, 51.3% 2PT) but they remain without Brandon Johnson (watch) and have lost both openers.
- Verona's 15-game overall rebounding (34.6) and turnovers (10.1) are slightly better than Scafati's (33.5 rebounds, 11.3 turnovers).
- Rest: Scafati have 7.0 days since their last game, Verona 5.9 days.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultlostVeronaEstimated chance55.4%

Points1 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Scafati 78.7, Verona 84.8. Scafati score fewer than 85.5 points (overtime included) in about 72 of 100 games like this.
- Scafati are 0-2 in Lega A 2026-27, scoring 70.0 ppg and allowing 86.0 ppg (2 games through 4 Oct).
- Verona are 1-1, scoring 84.0 ppg and allowing 86.5 ppg, including a 75-72 home win over Olimpia Milano on 5 Oct.
- In last season's Serie A2, Verona won both meetings: 76-61 at home (22 Feb 2026) and 85-81 at Scafati (12 Oct 2025).
- Scafati's 15-game overall shooting is strong (39.0% 3PT, 51.3% 2PT) but they remain without Brandon Johnson (watch) and have lost both openers.
- Verona's 15-game overall rebounding (34.6) and turnovers (10.1) are slightly better than Scafati's (33.5 rebounds, 11.3 turnovers).
- Rest: Scafati have 7.0 days since their last game, Verona 5.9 days.
BetBugs · Team PointswonScafati under 85.5Estimated chance72.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Scafati 78.7, Verona 84.8. Scafati score fewer than 43.5 points in the 1st half in about 72 of 100 games like this.
- Scafati are 0-2 in Lega A 2026-27, scoring 70.0 ppg and allowing 86.0 ppg (2 games through 4 Oct).
- Verona are 1-1, scoring 84.0 ppg and allowing 86.5 ppg, including a 75-72 home win over Olimpia Milano on 5 Oct.
- In last season's Serie A2, Verona won both meetings: 76-61 at home (22 Feb 2026) and 85-81 at Scafati (12 Oct 2025).
- Scafati's 15-game overall shooting is strong (39.0% 3PT, 51.3% 2PT) but they remain without Brandon Johnson (watch) and have lost both openers.
- Verona's 15-game overall rebounding (34.6) and turnovers (10.1) are slightly better than Scafati's (33.5 rebounds, 11.3 turnovers).
- Rest: Scafati have 7.0 days since their last game, Verona 5.9 days.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostScafati under 43.5Estimated chance72.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Scafati 78.7, Verona 84.8. Scafati score fewer than 21.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Scafati are 0-2 in Lega A 2026-27, scoring 70.0 ppg and allowing 86.0 ppg (2 games through 4 Oct).
- Verona are 1-1, scoring 84.0 ppg and allowing 86.5 ppg, including a 75-72 home win over Olimpia Milano on 5 Oct.
- In last season's Serie A2, Verona won both meetings: 76-61 at home (22 Feb 2026) and 85-81 at Scafati (12 Oct 2025).
- Scafati's 15-game overall shooting is strong (39.0% 3PT, 51.3% 2PT) but they remain without Brandon Johnson (watch) and have lost both openers.
- Verona's 15-game overall rebounding (34.6) and turnovers (10.1) are slightly better than Scafati's (33.5 rebounds, 11.3 turnovers).
- Rest: Scafati have 7.0 days since their last game, Verona 5.9 days.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostScafati under 21.5Estimated chance64.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Scafati 78.7, Verona 84.8. Scafati score fewer than 21.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Scafati are 0-2 in Lega A 2026-27, scoring 70.0 ppg and allowing 86.0 ppg (2 games through 4 Oct).
- Verona are 1-1, scoring 84.0 ppg and allowing 86.5 ppg, including a 75-72 home win over Olimpia Milano on 5 Oct.
- In last season's Serie A2, Verona won both meetings: 76-61 at home (22 Feb 2026) and 85-81 at Scafati (12 Oct 2025).
- Scafati's 15-game overall shooting is strong (39.0% 3PT, 51.3% 2PT) but they remain without Brandon Johnson (watch) and have lost both openers.
- Verona's 15-game overall rebounding (34.6) and turnovers (10.1) are slightly better than Scafati's (33.5 rebounds, 11.3 turnovers).
- Rest: Scafati have 7.0 days since their last game, Verona 5.9 days.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostScafati under 21.5Estimated chance64.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Scafati 78.7, Verona 84.8. The game has fewer than 170.5 points (overtime included) in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Scafati are 0-2 in Lega A 2026-27, scoring 70.0 ppg and allowing 86.0 ppg (2 games through 4 Oct).
- Verona are 1-1, scoring 84.0 ppg and allowing 86.5 ppg, including a 75-72 home win over Olimpia Milano on 5 Oct.
- In last season's Serie A2, Verona won both meetings: 76-61 at home (22 Feb 2026) and 85-81 at Scafati (12 Oct 2025).
- Scafati's 15-game overall shooting is strong (39.0% 3PT, 51.3% 2PT) but they remain without Brandon Johnson (watch) and have lost both openers.
- Verona's 15-game overall rebounding (34.6) and turnovers (10.1) are slightly better than Scafati's (33.5 rebounds, 11.3 turnovers).
- Rest: Scafati have 7.0 days since their last game, Verona 5.9 days.
BetBugs · Total PointslostUnder 170.5Estimated chance64.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Scafati 78.7, Verona 84.8. Scafati score fewer than 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Scafati are 0-2 in Lega A 2026-27, scoring 70.0 ppg and allowing 86.0 ppg (2 games through 4 Oct).
- Verona are 1-1, scoring 84.0 ppg and allowing 86.5 ppg, including a 75-72 home win over Olimpia Milano on 5 Oct.
- In last season's Serie A2, Verona won both meetings: 76-61 at home (22 Feb 2026) and 85-81 at Scafati (12 Oct 2025).
- Scafati's 15-game overall shooting is strong (39.0% 3PT, 51.3% 2PT) but they remain without Brandon Johnson (watch) and have lost both openers.
- Verona's 15-game overall rebounding (34.6) and turnovers (10.1) are slightly better than Scafati's (33.5 rebounds, 11.3 turnovers).
- Rest: Scafati have 7.0 days since their last game, Verona 5.9 days.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostScafati under 21.5Estimated chance63.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.88
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Scafati 78.7, Verona 84.8. The 1st half has fewer than 85.5 points in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Scafati are 0-2 in Lega A 2026-27, scoring 70.0 ppg and allowing 86.0 ppg (2 games through 4 Oct).
- Verona are 1-1, scoring 84.0 ppg and allowing 86.5 ppg, including a 75-72 home win over Olimpia Milano on 5 Oct.
- In last season's Serie A2, Verona won both meetings: 76-61 at home (22 Feb 2026) and 85-81 at Scafati (12 Oct 2025).
- Scafati's 15-game overall shooting is strong (39.0% 3PT, 51.3% 2PT) but they remain without Brandon Johnson (watch) and have lost both openers.
- Verona's 15-game overall rebounding (34.6) and turnovers (10.1) are slightly better than Scafati's (33.5 rebounds, 11.3 turnovers).
- Rest: Scafati have 7.0 days since their last game, Verona 5.9 days.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostUnder 85.5Estimated chance63.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Scafati 78.7, Verona 84.8. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 42.5 points in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Scafati are 0-2 in Lega A 2026-27, scoring 70.0 ppg and allowing 86.0 ppg (2 games through 4 Oct).
- Verona are 1-1, scoring 84.0 ppg and allowing 86.5 ppg, including a 75-72 home win over Olimpia Milano on 5 Oct.
- In last season's Serie A2, Verona won both meetings: 76-61 at home (22 Feb 2026) and 85-81 at Scafati (12 Oct 2025).
- Scafati's 15-game overall shooting is strong (39.0% 3PT, 51.3% 2PT) but they remain without Brandon Johnson (watch) and have lost both openers.
- Verona's 15-game overall rebounding (34.6) and turnovers (10.1) are slightly better than Scafati's (33.5 rebounds, 11.3 turnovers).
- Rest: Scafati have 7.0 days since their last game, Verona 5.9 days.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostUnder 42.5Estimated chance61%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Scafati 78.7, Verona 84.8. The 1st quarter has fewer than 42.5 points in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Scafati are 0-2 in Lega A 2026-27, scoring 70.0 ppg and allowing 86.0 ppg (2 games through 4 Oct).
- Verona are 1-1, scoring 84.0 ppg and allowing 86.5 ppg, including a 75-72 home win over Olimpia Milano on 5 Oct.
- In last season's Serie A2, Verona won both meetings: 76-61 at home (22 Feb 2026) and 85-81 at Scafati (12 Oct 2025).
- Scafati's 15-game overall shooting is strong (39.0% 3PT, 51.3% 2PT) but they remain without Brandon Johnson (watch) and have lost both openers.
- Verona's 15-game overall rebounding (34.6) and turnovers (10.1) are slightly better than Scafati's (33.5 rebounds, 11.3 turnovers).
- Rest: Scafati have 7.0 days since their last game, Verona 5.9 days.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointslostUnder 42.5Estimated chance59%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Scafati 78.7, Verona 84.8. The 2nd quarter has fewer than 42.5 points in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Scafati are 0-2 in Lega A 2026-27, scoring 70.0 ppg and allowing 86.0 ppg (2 games through 4 Oct).
- Verona are 1-1, scoring 84.0 ppg and allowing 86.5 ppg, including a 75-72 home win over Olimpia Milano on 5 Oct.
- In last season's Serie A2, Verona won both meetings: 76-61 at home (22 Feb 2026) and 85-81 at Scafati (12 Oct 2025).
- Scafati's 15-game overall shooting is strong (39.0% 3PT, 51.3% 2PT) but they remain without Brandon Johnson (watch) and have lost both openers.
- Verona's 15-game overall rebounding (34.6) and turnovers (10.1) are slightly better than Scafati's (33.5 rebounds, 11.3 turnovers).
- Rest: Scafati have 7.0 days since their last game, Verona 5.9 days.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointslostUnder 42.5Estimated chance58.1%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 10, 18:33

Selected line

170.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

36%

Chance of 171+ points

18 pp below break-even

Over 1.87 needs 53% to break even. BetBugs sees 36%.

Move the line main 170.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 36%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 64%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L76–61

Veronav

Scafati

Feb 22, 2026·SER

L81–85

Scafativ

Verona

Oct 12, 2025·SER

W78–86

Veronav

Scafati

Apr 23, 2023·LEG

W92–87

Scafativ

Verona

Oct 23, 2022·LEG

L82–100

Scafativ

Verona

Jun 18, 2022·SER

L75–70

Veronav

Scafati

Apr 6, 2022·SER

W77–57

Scafativ

Verona

Dec 5, 2021·SER

W58–70

Veronav

Scafati

May 7, 2016·A2

W79–76

Scafativ

Verona

May 4, 2016·A2 OT

W70–68

Scafativ

Verona

May 2, 2016·A2

152.8Avg total points

9.2Avg margin

10meetings

League table

Lega Basket Serie A · Lega A - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Scafati

0–20%

Verona

1–150%

Recent Form

Scafati

12W 3L · last 15

vs Varese77–85 Oct 4LEG

at Udine63–87 Sep 27LEG

at Rimini80–76 Apr 26SER

vs Avellino Basket93–71 Apr 19SER

at Cento88–83 Apr 12SER

vs Brindisi85–77 Apr 8SER

at Sebastiani Rieti81–76 Apr 4SER

vs Forli96–72 Mar 29SER

at Basket Torino82–74 Mar 25SER

vs Cividale90–80 Mar 22SER

at Pistoia97–82 Mar 8SER

at Verona61–76 Feb 22SER

vs Pesaro84–79 Feb 15SER

at JuVi Cremona79–76 Feb 11SER

vs Roseto97–75 Feb 7SER

Verona

12W 3L · last 15

vs Olimpia Milano75–72 Oct 5LEG

at Tortona93–101 Sep 27LEG

at Rimini83–75 Jun 14SER

at Rimini70–82 Jun 12SER

vs Rimini84–76 Jun 9SER

vs Rimini84–74 Jun 7SER

vs Fortitudo Bologna86–73 May 25SER

at Fortitudo Bologna75–74 OTMay 22SER

at Fortitudo Bologna60–59 May 20SER

at Brindisi77–69 May 14SER

at Brindisi70–77 May 12SER

vs Brindisi86–71 May 9SER

vs Brindisi80–78 May 7SER

vs Urania Milano95–74 Apr 26SER

at Roseto84–69 Apr 19SER

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Scafati

Stats

3–2

Verona

Scafati leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 3–0

2-point %+1.7pp

51.3%

+1.7pp

49.6%

3-point %+2.7pp

39.0%

+2.7pp

36.3%

Free-throw %+1.6pp

68.6%

+1.6pp

67.0%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s1.1pp apart

40.1%

1.1pp apart

41.2%

Free throws per shot2.6pp apart

33.3%

2.6pp apart

30.7%

Possession· 0–2

Rebounds per game+1.1

33.5

+1.1

34.6

Turnovers per game1.2 fewer

11.3

1.2 fewer

10.1

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.