Liga ACBFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Real Madrid120Manresa83

Sun 11 Oct 2026, 10:00 Predictions graded

Predictions10–663%

Edges1–150%

Points by period: Real Madrid and Manresa.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Real Madrid	34	28	24	34
Manresa	22	16	18	27

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Real Madrid are 2-0 in the ACB and host a Manresa side sitting 18th at 0-2, with a 96-83 projected scoreline pointing to a comfortable home win.

Manresa's first win of the season, 101-89 over Ulm, and Real Madrid's missing Gabriel Deck are the reasons it may not run away. Two prices offer something: Manresa with a 16.5-point start at 1.9 and Real Madrid under 25.5 third-quarter points at 1.8. Real Madrid to win at 1.05 gives nothing.

Context

Real Madrid are confirmed without Gabriel Deck after he also missed the 8 October EuroLeague win over Partizan, thinning the frontcourt, while Manresa have Pierre Oriola, Hugo Benítez and Eric Vila reported as doubts. Both clubs also play in Europe in midweek, three days after this game.

Deck sat out the 8 October EuroLeague win over Partizan with the same shoulder problem and is now ruled out of the Manresa fixture as well. The forward's absence thins Real Madrid's frontcourt options, and the club had not set a return date while tests were pending.
- Gabriel Deck will miss the games against Partizan and Manresa with a left shoulder injury.
- Real Madrid were awaiting test results to establish the full extent of the layoff.
Oriola has not featured since taking a knock on his back before the league season began, leaving Manresa short of an experienced interior presence. A return against Real Madrid would restore size to the frontcourt, but the club had not confirmed whether he would be ready.
- Pierre Oriola and Hugo Benítez could reinforce Manresa for the visit to Real Madrid.
- Oriola was left out of Manresa's opening league game at Bilbao with a haematoma from a knock picked up against Coruña.
- Oriola remained unavailable a week later, when Manresa welcomed Timmy Allen back.
Benítez is one of Manresa's ball-handlers, so his absence would increase the playmaking load on Ferran Bassas and Lucas Beaufort in Madrid. Manresa had not yet decided whether he would be available.
- Hugo Benítez, Pierre Oriola and Eric Vila are doubts for Manresa's game against Real Madrid.
- Benítez and Pierre Oriola could reinforce Manresa for the visit.
Vila is part of Manresa's forward rotation, and his absence would add to any gaps created by the doubts over Pierre Oriola and Hugo Benítez. The club had not confirmed his status for the game.
- Hugo Benítez, Pierre Oriola and Eric Vila are doubts for Manresa's game against Real Madrid.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

HandicaplostUncertainty band: Lean

Manresa +16.5

1.90fair 1.62

Market 52.6% · BetBugs 61.6%

+9.0ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Real Madrid 96.2, Manresa 83.5. Manresa cover +16.5 (overtime included) in about 62 of 100 games like this. Real Madrid are the deeper, better-shooting side at home and Manresa have allowed 100-plus points in three of their last four games while sitting bottom of the early table, so a home score in the mid-90s is the central expectation. Manresa have been scoring reasonably (95-101 in three of four) but their road output and Real Madrid's home defence point to a low-80s total.

3rd Quarter Team PointswonUncertainty band: Lean

Real Madrid under 25.5

1.80fair 1.55

Market 55.6% · BetBugs 64.5%

+8.9ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Real Madrid 96.2, Manresa 83.5. Real Madrid score fewer than 25.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this. Real Madrid are the deeper, better-shooting side at home and Manresa have allowed 100-plus points in three of their last four games while sitting bottom of the early table, so a home score in the mid-90s is the central expectation. Manresa have been scoring reasonably (95-101 in three of four) but their road output and Real Madrid's home defence point to a low-80s total.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result8 of 11 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Real Madrid 96.2, Manresa 83.5. Real Madrid win in about 84 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Real Madrid are 2-0 in the ACB with 203 points scored, beating Unicaja 89-87 at home on 27 September and Obradoiro 114-107 in overtime on 4 October.
- Manresa sit 18th at 0-2 in the ACB, conceding 107 at Bilbao on 26 September and 101 at home to Breogan on 3 October, with 208 points allowed in two league games.
- Real Madrid shot 57.7% on two-pointers and 32.9% on threes across 15 tracked games, and 79.6% from the line over 12 games, all slightly better than Manresa's 56.4%, 31.1% and 73.0%.
- In ACB meetings, Real Madrid beat Manresa 87-75 at home on 26 October 2025 and 86-61 at home on 27 October 2024, while Manresa won 94-87 at home on 29 May 2026.
- Manresa average 14.1 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games versus Real Madrid's 11.7, and their recent road scores were 92 at Bilbao and 78 at PAOK.
- Gabriel Deck is confirmed out for Real Madrid with a shoulder problem after also missing the 8 October EuroLeague win over Partizan, thinning the frontcourt.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonReal MadridEstimated chance84.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Real Madrid 96.2, Manresa 83.5. Real Madrid are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 83 of 100 games like this.
- Real Madrid are 2-0 in the ACB with 203 points scored, beating Unicaja 89-87 at home on 27 September and Obradoiro 114-107 in overtime on 4 October.
- Manresa sit 18th at 0-2 in the ACB, conceding 107 at Bilbao on 26 September and 101 at home to Breogan on 3 October, with 208 points allowed in two league games.
- Real Madrid shot 57.7% on two-pointers and 32.9% on threes across 15 tracked games, and 79.6% from the line over 12 games, all slightly better than Manresa's 56.4%, 31.1% and 73.0%.
- In ACB meetings, Real Madrid beat Manresa 87-75 at home on 26 October 2025 and 86-61 at home on 27 October 2024, while Manresa won 94-87 at home on 29 May 2026.
- Manresa average 14.1 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games versus Real Madrid's 11.7, and their recent road scores were 92 at Bilbao and 78 at PAOK.
- Gabriel Deck is confirmed out for Real Madrid with a shoulder problem after also missing the 8 October EuroLeague win over Partizan, thinning the frontcourt.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonReal MadridEstimated chance82.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Real Madrid 96.2, Manresa 83.5. Real Madrid cover +3.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 80 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Real Madrid and 15 for Manresa, across seasons and competitions.
- Real Madrid are 2-0 in the ACB with 203 points scored, beating Unicaja 89-87 at home on 27 September and Obradoiro 114-107 in overtime on 4 October.
- Manresa sit 18th at 0-2 in the ACB, conceding 107 at Bilbao on 26 September and 101 at home to Breogan on 3 October, with 208 points allowed in two league games.
- Real Madrid shot 57.7% on two-pointers and 32.9% on threes across 15 tracked games, and 79.6% from the line over 12 games, all slightly better than Manresa's 56.4%, 31.1% and 73.0%.
- In ACB meetings, Real Madrid beat Manresa 87-75 at home on 26 October 2025 and 86-61 at home on 27 October 2024, while Manresa won 94-87 at home on 29 May 2026.
- Manresa average 14.1 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games versus Real Madrid's 11.7, and their recent road scores were 92 at Bilbao and 78 at PAOK.
- Gabriel Deck is confirmed out for Real Madrid with a shoulder problem after also missing the 8 October EuroLeague win over Partizan, thinning the frontcourt.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonReal Madrid +3.5Estimated chance80.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Real Madrid 96.2, Manresa 83.5. Real Madrid are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 75 of 100 games like this.
- Real Madrid are 2-0 in the ACB with 203 points scored, beating Unicaja 89-87 at home on 27 September and Obradoiro 114-107 in overtime on 4 October.
- Manresa sit 18th at 0-2 in the ACB, conceding 107 at Bilbao on 26 September and 101 at home to Breogan on 3 October, with 208 points allowed in two league games.
- Real Madrid shot 57.7% on two-pointers and 32.9% on threes across 15 tracked games, and 79.6% from the line over 12 games, all slightly better than Manresa's 56.4%, 31.1% and 73.0%.
- In ACB meetings, Real Madrid beat Manresa 87-75 at home on 26 October 2025 and 86-61 at home on 27 October 2024, while Manresa won 94-87 at home on 29 May 2026.
- Manresa average 14.1 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games versus Real Madrid's 11.7, and their recent road scores were 92 at Bilbao and 78 at PAOK.
- Gabriel Deck is confirmed out for Real Madrid with a shoulder problem after also missing the 8 October EuroLeague win over Partizan, thinning the frontcourt.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonReal MadridEstimated chance75.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Real Madrid 96.2, Manresa 83.5. Real Madrid cover +0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 73 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Real Madrid and 15 for Manresa, across seasons and competitions.
- Real Madrid are 2-0 in the ACB with 203 points scored, beating Unicaja 89-87 at home on 27 September and Obradoiro 114-107 in overtime on 4 October.
- Manresa sit 18th at 0-2 in the ACB, conceding 107 at Bilbao on 26 September and 101 at home to Breogan on 3 October, with 208 points allowed in two league games.
- Real Madrid shot 57.7% on two-pointers and 32.9% on threes across 15 tracked games, and 79.6% from the line over 12 games, all slightly better than Manresa's 56.4%, 31.1% and 73.0%.
- In ACB meetings, Real Madrid beat Manresa 87-75 at home on 26 October 2025 and 86-61 at home on 27 October 2024, while Manresa won 94-87 at home on 29 May 2026.
- Manresa average 14.1 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games versus Real Madrid's 11.7, and their recent road scores were 92 at Bilbao and 78 at PAOK.
- Gabriel Deck is confirmed out for Real Madrid with a shoulder problem after also missing the 8 October EuroLeague win over Partizan, thinning the frontcourt.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonReal Madrid +0.5Estimated chance73.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Real Madrid 96.2, Manresa 83.5. Real Madrid are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 68 of 100 games like this.
- Real Madrid are 2-0 in the ACB with 203 points scored, beating Unicaja 89-87 at home on 27 September and Obradoiro 114-107 in overtime on 4 October.
- Manresa sit 18th at 0-2 in the ACB, conceding 107 at Bilbao on 26 September and 101 at home to Breogan on 3 October, with 208 points allowed in two league games.
- Real Madrid shot 57.7% on two-pointers and 32.9% on threes across 15 tracked games, and 79.6% from the line over 12 games, all slightly better than Manresa's 56.4%, 31.1% and 73.0%.
- In ACB meetings, Real Madrid beat Manresa 87-75 at home on 26 October 2025 and 86-61 at home on 27 October 2024, while Manresa won 94-87 at home on 29 May 2026.
- Manresa average 14.1 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games versus Real Madrid's 11.7, and their recent road scores were 92 at Bilbao and 78 at PAOK.
- Gabriel Deck is confirmed out for Real Madrid with a shoulder problem after also missing the 8 October EuroLeague win over Partizan, thinning the frontcourt.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonReal MadridEstimated chance68.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Real Madrid 96.2, Manresa 83.5. Real Madrid are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Real Madrid are 2-0 in the ACB with 203 points scored, beating Unicaja 89-87 at home on 27 September and Obradoiro 114-107 in overtime on 4 October.
- Manresa sit 18th at 0-2 in the ACB, conceding 107 at Bilbao on 26 September and 101 at home to Breogan on 3 October, with 208 points allowed in two league games.
- Real Madrid shot 57.7% on two-pointers and 32.9% on threes across 15 tracked games, and 79.6% from the line over 12 games, all slightly better than Manresa's 56.4%, 31.1% and 73.0%.
- In ACB meetings, Real Madrid beat Manresa 87-75 at home on 26 October 2025 and 86-61 at home on 27 October 2024, while Manresa won 94-87 at home on 29 May 2026.
- Manresa average 14.1 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games versus Real Madrid's 11.7, and their recent road scores were 92 at Bilbao and 78 at PAOK.
- Gabriel Deck is confirmed out for Real Madrid with a shoulder problem after also missing the 8 October EuroLeague win over Partizan, thinning the frontcourt.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonReal MadridEstimated chance63.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Real Madrid 96.2, Manresa 83.5. Real Madrid are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Real Madrid are 2-0 in the ACB with 203 points scored, beating Unicaja 89-87 at home on 27 September and Obradoiro 114-107 in overtime on 4 October.
- Manresa sit 18th at 0-2 in the ACB, conceding 107 at Bilbao on 26 September and 101 at home to Breogan on 3 October, with 208 points allowed in two league games.
- Real Madrid shot 57.7% on two-pointers and 32.9% on threes across 15 tracked games, and 79.6% from the line over 12 games, all slightly better than Manresa's 56.4%, 31.1% and 73.0%.
- In ACB meetings, Real Madrid beat Manresa 87-75 at home on 26 October 2025 and 86-61 at home on 27 October 2024, while Manresa won 94-87 at home on 29 May 2026.
- Manresa average 14.1 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games versus Real Madrid's 11.7, and their recent road scores were 92 at Bilbao and 78 at PAOK.
- Gabriel Deck is confirmed out for Real Madrid with a shoulder problem after also missing the 8 October EuroLeague win over Partizan, thinning the frontcourt.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonReal MadridEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.90
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Real Madrid 96.2, Manresa 83.5. Manresa cover +16.5 (overtime included) in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Real Madrid are 2-0 in the ACB with 203 points scored, beating Unicaja 89-87 at home on 27 September and Obradoiro 114-107 in overtime on 4 October.
- Manresa sit 18th at 0-2 in the ACB, conceding 107 at Bilbao on 26 September and 101 at home to Breogan on 3 October, with 208 points allowed in two league games.
- Real Madrid shot 57.7% on two-pointers and 32.9% on threes across 15 tracked games, and 79.6% from the line over 12 games, all slightly better than Manresa's 56.4%, 31.1% and 73.0%.
- In ACB meetings, Real Madrid beat Manresa 87-75 at home on 26 October 2025 and 86-61 at home on 27 October 2024, while Manresa won 94-87 at home on 29 May 2026.
- Manresa average 14.1 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games versus Real Madrid's 11.7, and their recent road scores were 92 at Bilbao and 78 at PAOK.
- Gabriel Deck is confirmed out for Real Madrid with a shoulder problem after also missing the 8 October EuroLeague win over Partizan, thinning the frontcourt.
BetBugs · HandicaplostManresa +16.5Estimated chance61.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Real Madrid 96.2, Manresa 83.5. Manresa cover +4.5 in the 1st quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Real Madrid are 2-0 in the ACB with 203 points scored, beating Unicaja 89-87 at home on 27 September and Obradoiro 114-107 in overtime on 4 October.
- Manresa sit 18th at 0-2 in the ACB, conceding 107 at Bilbao on 26 September and 101 at home to Breogan on 3 October, with 208 points allowed in two league games.
- Real Madrid shot 57.7% on two-pointers and 32.9% on threes across 15 tracked games, and 79.6% from the line over 12 games, all slightly better than Manresa's 56.4%, 31.1% and 73.0%.
- In ACB meetings, Real Madrid beat Manresa 87-75 at home on 26 October 2025 and 86-61 at home on 27 October 2024, while Manresa won 94-87 at home on 29 May 2026.
- Manresa average 14.1 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games versus Real Madrid's 11.7, and their recent road scores were 92 at Bilbao and 78 at PAOK.
- Gabriel Deck is confirmed out for Real Madrid with a shoulder problem after also missing the 8 October EuroLeague win over Partizan, thinning the frontcourt.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicaplostManresa +4.5Estimated chance58.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Real Madrid 96.2, Manresa 83.5. Manresa cover +8.5 in the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Real Madrid are 2-0 in the ACB with 203 points scored, beating Unicaja 89-87 at home on 27 September and Obradoiro 114-107 in overtime on 4 October.
- Manresa sit 18th at 0-2 in the ACB, conceding 107 at Bilbao on 26 September and 101 at home to Breogan on 3 October, with 208 points allowed in two league games.
- Real Madrid shot 57.7% on two-pointers and 32.9% on threes across 15 tracked games, and 79.6% from the line over 12 games, all slightly better than Manresa's 56.4%, 31.1% and 73.0%.
- In ACB meetings, Real Madrid beat Manresa 87-75 at home on 26 October 2025 and 86-61 at home on 27 October 2024, while Manresa won 94-87 at home on 29 May 2026.
- Manresa average 14.1 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games versus Real Madrid's 11.7, and their recent road scores were 92 at Bilbao and 78 at PAOK.
- Gabriel Deck is confirmed out for Real Madrid with a shoulder problem after also missing the 8 October EuroLeague win over Partizan, thinning the frontcourt.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicaplostManresa +8.5Estimated chance56%

Points2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.80
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Real Madrid 96.2, Manresa 83.5. Real Madrid score fewer than 25.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Real Madrid are 2-0 in the ACB with 203 points scored, beating Unicaja 89-87 at home on 27 September and Obradoiro 114-107 in overtime on 4 October.
- Manresa sit 18th at 0-2 in the ACB, conceding 107 at Bilbao on 26 September and 101 at home to Breogan on 3 October, with 208 points allowed in two league games.
- Real Madrid shot 57.7% on two-pointers and 32.9% on threes across 15 tracked games, and 79.6% from the line over 12 games, all slightly better than Manresa's 56.4%, 31.1% and 73.0%.
- In ACB meetings, Real Madrid beat Manresa 87-75 at home on 26 October 2025 and 86-61 at home on 27 October 2024, while Manresa won 94-87 at home on 29 May 2026.
- Manresa average 14.1 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games versus Real Madrid's 11.7, and their recent road scores were 92 at Bilbao and 78 at PAOK.
- Gabriel Deck is confirmed out for Real Madrid with a shoulder problem after also missing the 8 October EuroLeague win over Partizan, thinning the frontcourt.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonReal Madrid under 25.5Estimated chance64.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Real Madrid 96.2, Manresa 83.5. Real Madrid score fewer than 99.5 points (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Real Madrid are 2-0 in the ACB with 203 points scored, beating Unicaja 89-87 at home on 27 September and Obradoiro 114-107 in overtime on 4 October.
- Manresa sit 18th at 0-2 in the ACB, conceding 107 at Bilbao on 26 September and 101 at home to Breogan on 3 October, with 208 points allowed in two league games.
- Real Madrid shot 57.7% on two-pointers and 32.9% on threes across 15 tracked games, and 79.6% from the line over 12 games, all slightly better than Manresa's 56.4%, 31.1% and 73.0%.
- In ACB meetings, Real Madrid beat Manresa 87-75 at home on 26 October 2025 and 86-61 at home on 27 October 2024, while Manresa won 94-87 at home on 29 May 2026.
- Manresa average 14.1 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games versus Real Madrid's 11.7, and their recent road scores were 92 at Bilbao and 78 at PAOK.
- Gabriel Deck is confirmed out for Real Madrid with a shoulder problem after also missing the 8 October EuroLeague win over Partizan, thinning the frontcourt.
BetBugs · Team PointslostReal Madrid under 99.5Estimated chance60.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Real Madrid 96.2, Manresa 83.5. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 45.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Real Madrid are 2-0 in the ACB with 203 points scored, beating Unicaja 89-87 at home on 27 September and Obradoiro 114-107 in overtime on 4 October.
- Manresa sit 18th at 0-2 in the ACB, conceding 107 at Bilbao on 26 September and 101 at home to Breogan on 3 October, with 208 points allowed in two league games.
- Real Madrid shot 57.7% on two-pointers and 32.9% on threes across 15 tracked games, and 79.6% from the line over 12 games, all slightly better than Manresa's 56.4%, 31.1% and 73.0%.
- In ACB meetings, Real Madrid beat Manresa 87-75 at home on 26 October 2025 and 86-61 at home on 27 October 2024, while Manresa won 94-87 at home on 29 May 2026.
- Manresa average 14.1 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games versus Real Madrid's 11.7, and their recent road scores were 92 at Bilbao and 78 at PAOK.
- Gabriel Deck is confirmed out for Real Madrid with a shoulder problem after also missing the 8 October EuroLeague win over Partizan, thinning the frontcourt.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 45.5Estimated chance55.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Real Madrid 96.2, Manresa 83.5. The game has fewer than 182.5 points (overtime included) in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Real Madrid are 2-0 in the ACB with 203 points scored, beating Unicaja 89-87 at home on 27 September and Obradoiro 114-107 in overtime on 4 October.
- Manresa sit 18th at 0-2 in the ACB, conceding 107 at Bilbao on 26 September and 101 at home to Breogan on 3 October, with 208 points allowed in two league games.
- Real Madrid shot 57.7% on two-pointers and 32.9% on threes across 15 tracked games, and 79.6% from the line over 12 games, all slightly better than Manresa's 56.4%, 31.1% and 73.0%.
- In ACB meetings, Real Madrid beat Manresa 87-75 at home on 26 October 2025 and 86-61 at home on 27 October 2024, while Manresa won 94-87 at home on 29 May 2026.
- Manresa average 14.1 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games versus Real Madrid's 11.7, and their recent road scores were 92 at Bilbao and 78 at PAOK.
- Gabriel Deck is confirmed out for Real Madrid with a shoulder problem after also missing the 8 October EuroLeague win over Partizan, thinning the frontcourt.
BetBugs · Total PointslostUnder 182.5Estimated chance55.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Real Madrid 96.2, Manresa 83.5. Manresa score more than 40.5 points in the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Real Madrid are 2-0 in the ACB with 203 points scored, beating Unicaja 89-87 at home on 27 September and Obradoiro 114-107 in overtime on 4 October.
- Manresa sit 18th at 0-2 in the ACB, conceding 107 at Bilbao on 26 September and 101 at home to Breogan on 3 October, with 208 points allowed in two league games.
- Real Madrid shot 57.7% on two-pointers and 32.9% on threes across 15 tracked games, and 79.6% from the line over 12 games, all slightly better than Manresa's 56.4%, 31.1% and 73.0%.
- In ACB meetings, Real Madrid beat Manresa 87-75 at home on 26 October 2025 and 86-61 at home on 27 October 2024, while Manresa won 94-87 at home on 29 May 2026.
- Manresa average 14.1 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games versus Real Madrid's 11.7, and their recent road scores were 92 at Bilbao and 78 at PAOK.
- Gabriel Deck is confirmed out for Real Madrid with a shoulder problem after also missing the 8 October EuroLeague win over Partizan, thinning the frontcourt.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostManresa over 40.5Estimated chance55.5%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 10, 18:33

Selected line

182.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

45%

Chance of 183+ points

9 pp below break-even

Over 1.88 needs 53% to break even. BetBugs sees 45%.

Move the line main 182.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 45%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 56%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L94–87

Manresav

Real Madrid

May 29, 2026·ACB

W87–75

Real Madridv Manresa

Manresa

Oct 26, 2025·ACB

W65–67

Manresav

Real Madrid

May 18, 2025·ACB

W92–69

Real Madridv Manresa

Manresa

Feb 14, 2025·SPA

W86–61

Real Madridv Manresa

Manresa

Oct 27, 2024·ACB

L72–83

Real Madridv Manresa

Manresa

Mar 31, 2024·ACB

W88–94

Manresav

Real Madrid

Sep 29, 2023·ACB

W69–94

Manresav

Real Madrid

Jan 29, 2023·ACB

W103–89

Real Madridv Manresa

Manresa

Dec 11, 2022·ACB

W74–83

Manresav

Real Madrid

May 28, 2022·ACB

163.2Avg total points

13.4Avg margin

10meetings

League table

Liga ACB · ACB - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Real Madrid

2–0100%

Manresa

0–20%

Recent Form

Real Madrid

5W 10L · last 15

vs Partizan Mozzart Bet86–76 Oct 8EUR

at Obradoiro CAB114–107 OTOct 4ACB

at Hapoel Tel Aviv98–102 Oct 1EUR

at Anadolu Efes84–94 Sep 29EUR

vs Unicaja89–87 Sep 27ACB

at Dubai77–78 Sep 24EUR

vs Tenerife95–107 Jun 6ACB

at Tenerife118–83 Jun 4ACB

vs Tenerife97–98 Jun 2ACB

at Manresa87–94 May 29ACB

vs Baskonia83–88 May 27ACB

at Olympiacos85–92 May 24EUR

at Valencia105–90 May 22EUR

vs Joventut Badalona81–89 May 17ACB

at Bilbao82–88 May 14ACB

Manresa

8W 7L · last 15

vs Ulm101–89 Oct 7EUR

vs Breogan95–101 Oct 3ACB

at PAOK78–93 Sep 30EUR

at Bilbao92–107 Sep 26ACB

vs Real Madrid94–87 May 29ACB

at Gran Canaria87–80 May 23ACB

vs Basket Zaragoza101–83 May 16ACB

at Basquet Girona79–74 May 12ACB

at MoraBanc Andorra94–104 May 10ACB

vs Valencia104–102 May 3ACB

vs San Pablo Burgos94–101 Apr 26ACB

at Bilbao84–80 Apr 18ACB

vs Joventut Badalona87–77 Apr 12ACB

vs Baskonia83–88 Apr 5ACB

at Breogan78–91 Mar 28ACB

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Real Madrid

Stats

4–0

Manresa

Real Madrid leads in 4 of 4 performance stats.

Shooting· 3–0

2-point %+1.3pp

57.7%

+1.3pp

56.4%

3-point %+1.8pp

32.9%

+1.8pp

31.1%

Free-throw %12/13 games+6.6pp

79.6%

+6.6pp

73.0%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s13/15 games3.3pp apart

27.6%

3.3pp apart

30.9%

Free throws per shot12/13 games6.6pp apart

34.4%

6.6pp apart

41.0%

Possession· 1–0

Rebounds per game—

34.3

—

34.3

Turnovers per game2.4 fewer

11.7

2.4 fewer

14.1

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.