Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: KK Krka Novo mesto 81.0, FMP Beograd 83.0. FMP Beograd cover +3.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for KK Krka Novo mesto and 15 for FMP Beograd, across seasons and competitions.
- FMP beat Crvena Zvezda 90-89 at home in their ABA League opener on 4 October, with Jamiya Neal scoring 27 and Brandon Rush 26.
- Krka lost their ABA League opener 72-77 at home to Buducnost on 2 October, managing only 72 points.
- In the most recent head-to-head, Krka beat FMP 81-71 at home on 15 January 2026, but FMP have won 8 of the last 10 meetings and 4 of the last 5 in Novo mesto.
- FMP lost 76-90 at home to Lokomotiv-Kuban in the Winline Basketball Cup on 7 October, conceding 90 points for the second straight competitive game.
- Across the tracked sample, Krka shoot 56.5% on two-pointers and 34.9% on three-pointers, while FMP shoot 51.0% and 31.9% respectively over 14-15 games.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Handicapwon
FMP Beograd +3.5Estimated chance70.6%
FMP Beograd +3.5Estimated chance70.6%














