BBLFinished

Predictions graded

Frankfurt89Hamburg78

Sun 11 Oct 2026, 14:30 Predictions graded

Predictions11–569%

Edges0–10%

Points by period: Frankfurt and Hamburg.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Frankfurt	27	15	26	21
Hamburg	24	19	19	16

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Frankfurt have won two of three BBL games and all three home games across competitions this season, while Hamburg have one win in four and have lost both league road games.

A 40-minute score of 88.2-79.5 makes Frankfurt the likely winner, though Hamburg took both meetings last season. The one price worth backing is under 43.5 combined points in the first quarter at 1.9.

Context

Frankfurt have won all three home games across competitions in September and October 2026, but last played in the EuroCup on 6 October, while Hamburg have been idle since 3 October and have lost three of four BBL games. No squad availability change is confirmed for either side.

Hamburg's only league win came in a 94-90 overtime home success against Chemnitz on 25 September, and they were well beaten at Bonn on 19 September. The collapse at Oldenburg, where they led by 23 at half-time and for 38 of 40 minutes, and the home defeat to Rostock leave them with one win from four and little momentum before this trip. Frankfurt have started better and are at home. The uncertainty is the eight-day gap since Hamburg last played, which could allow a reset.
- Hamburg led by 23 points at half-time and for 38 of 40 minutes at Oldenburg on 27 September but lost 75-74.
- Oldenburg had trailed by 26 points before completing the comeback.
- Hamburg then lost 91-84 at home to Rostock Seawolves on 3 October, with Kenneth Ogbe scoring 16 points.
Frankfurt are back in the EuroCup this season and opened with a one-sided defeat at Reyer Venezia on 29 September. A 79-71 home win over Siauliai five days before this fixture gave them their first win in the competition and a positive result to carry into the BBL game at home. The main uncertainty is schedule load: Frankfurt played in Europe on 6 October, while Hamburg have been idle since 3 October and may be the fresher team.
- Frankfurt were beaten at Reyer Venezia on 29 September in their return to the EuroCup.
- Frankfurt beat Siauliai 79-71 at home on 6 October.
- It was the club's first win of the EuroCup season.
The Hagen win came two days before Frankfurt's EuroCup success and followed their opening BBL defeat at Alba Berlin. Mintz scored 20 points, the highest Frankfurt total reported for the game. Frankfurt are at home here and arrive off two wins in different competitions, while Hamburg have lost three of four. The uncertainty is that the early BBL table is still settling and form in one competition does not always transfer.
- Frankfurt won 93-88 at Phoenix Hagen on 4 October.
- Judah Mintz scored 20 points in the win.
- Frankfurt were beaten at Alba Berlin on 24 September.
The timing, the day before the trip to Frankfurt, points to a squad still being reshaped rather than a settled group. No incoming or outgoing player is confirmed and no target is named, so the roster available for this fixture is not expected to change because of it. It is background on a club that has started with one win from four and is looking at how to strengthen.
- A report on 10 October said Hamburg are planning moves in the transfer market.
- The same report included a portrait of Nicolas Pavrette.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

1st Quarter Total PointslostUncertainty band: Lean

Under 43.5

1.90fair 1.70

Market 52.6% · BetBugs 58.7%

+6.1ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Frankfurt 88.2, Hamburg 79.5. The 1st quarter has fewer than 43.5 points in about 59 of 100 games like this. Frankfurt have started better, are at home where they have won all three games this season, and score around 89 per game in the league, while Hamburg have lost three of four and manage only about 73 points on the road. Hamburg's rebounding and the recent head-to-head record keep this from being a bigger gap.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result5 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Frankfurt 88.2, Hamburg 79.5. Frankfurt cover +2.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 76 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Frankfurt and 15 for Hamburg, across seasons and competitions.
- Frankfurt have scored 269 points in three BBL games this season (89.7 per game), including 93 in home wins over Vechta on 26 September and at Phoenix Hagen on 4 October.
- Hamburg have one win in four BBL games, scoring 324 and conceding 352 (81.0/88.0 per game); the sole win, 94-90 over Chemnitz on 25 September, needed overtime.
- Frankfurt are 3-0 at home across competitions this season (93-81 Vechta, 94-63 Jena in the Cup, 79-71 Siauliai in the EuroCup), all in September/October 2026.
- Hamburg have averaged 73.0 points in two BBL road games this season (74 at Oldenburg, 72 at Bonn), both losses.
- Pooled shooting over each team's 15 tracked games: Frankfurt 52.9% on twos and 76.8% from the line versus Hamburg 52.5% and 71.2%; Frankfurt also turn it over slightly more (13.8 vs 13.5) and rebound less (29.5 vs 32.3).
- Head-to-head last season went to Hamburg twice (97-75 at home on 5 April 2026, 82-78 in Frankfurt on 24 January 2026), but those games involved different rosters.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostFrankfurt +2.5Estimated chance76.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Frankfurt 88.2, Hamburg 79.5. Frankfurt win in about 75 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Frankfurt have scored 269 points in three BBL games this season (89.7 per game), including 93 in home wins over Vechta on 26 September and at Phoenix Hagen on 4 October.
- Hamburg have one win in four BBL games, scoring 324 and conceding 352 (81.0/88.0 per game); the sole win, 94-90 over Chemnitz on 25 September, needed overtime.
- Frankfurt are 3-0 at home across competitions this season (93-81 Vechta, 94-63 Jena in the Cup, 79-71 Siauliai in the EuroCup), all in September/October 2026.
- Hamburg have averaged 73.0 points in two BBL road games this season (74 at Oldenburg, 72 at Bonn), both losses.
- Pooled shooting over each team's 15 tracked games: Frankfurt 52.9% on twos and 76.8% from the line versus Hamburg 52.5% and 71.2%; Frankfurt also turn it over slightly more (13.8 vs 13.5) and rebound less (29.5 vs 32.3).
- Head-to-head last season went to Hamburg twice (97-75 at home on 5 April 2026, 82-78 in Frankfurt on 24 January 2026), but those games involved different rosters.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonFrankfurtEstimated chance75.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Frankfurt 88.2, Hamburg 79.5. Frankfurt are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 74 of 100 games like this.
- Frankfurt have scored 269 points in three BBL games this season (89.7 per game), including 93 in home wins over Vechta on 26 September and at Phoenix Hagen on 4 October.
- Hamburg have one win in four BBL games, scoring 324 and conceding 352 (81.0/88.0 per game); the sole win, 94-90 over Chemnitz on 25 September, needed overtime.
- Frankfurt are 3-0 at home across competitions this season (93-81 Vechta, 94-63 Jena in the Cup, 79-71 Siauliai in the EuroCup), all in September/October 2026.
- Hamburg have averaged 73.0 points in two BBL road games this season (74 at Oldenburg, 72 at Bonn), both losses.
- Pooled shooting over each team's 15 tracked games: Frankfurt 52.9% on twos and 76.8% from the line versus Hamburg 52.5% and 71.2%; Frankfurt also turn it over slightly more (13.8 vs 13.5) and rebound less (29.5 vs 32.3).
- Head-to-head last season went to Hamburg twice (97-75 at home on 5 April 2026, 82-78 in Frankfurt on 24 January 2026), but those games involved different rosters.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonFrankfurtEstimated chance73.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Frankfurt 88.2, Hamburg 79.5. Frankfurt cover +1.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 68 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Frankfurt and 15 for Hamburg, across seasons and competitions.
- Frankfurt have scored 269 points in three BBL games this season (89.7 per game), including 93 in home wins over Vechta on 26 September and at Phoenix Hagen on 4 October.
- Hamburg have one win in four BBL games, scoring 324 and conceding 352 (81.0/88.0 per game); the sole win, 94-90 over Chemnitz on 25 September, needed overtime.
- Frankfurt are 3-0 at home across competitions this season (93-81 Vechta, 94-63 Jena in the Cup, 79-71 Siauliai in the EuroCup), all in September/October 2026.
- Hamburg have averaged 73.0 points in two BBL road games this season (74 at Oldenburg, 72 at Bonn), both losses.
- Pooled shooting over each team's 15 tracked games: Frankfurt 52.9% on twos and 76.8% from the line versus Hamburg 52.5% and 71.2%; Frankfurt also turn it over slightly more (13.8 vs 13.5) and rebound less (29.5 vs 32.3).
- Head-to-head last season went to Hamburg twice (97-75 at home on 5 April 2026, 82-78 in Frankfurt on 24 January 2026), but those games involved different rosters.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonFrankfurt +1.5Estimated chance67.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Frankfurt 88.2, Hamburg 79.5. Frankfurt are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Frankfurt have scored 269 points in three BBL games this season (89.7 per game), including 93 in home wins over Vechta on 26 September and at Phoenix Hagen on 4 October.
- Hamburg have one win in four BBL games, scoring 324 and conceding 352 (81.0/88.0 per game); the sole win, 94-90 over Chemnitz on 25 September, needed overtime.
- Frankfurt are 3-0 at home across competitions this season (93-81 Vechta, 94-63 Jena in the Cup, 79-71 Siauliai in the EuroCup), all in September/October 2026.
- Hamburg have averaged 73.0 points in two BBL road games this season (74 at Oldenburg, 72 at Bonn), both losses.
- Pooled shooting over each team's 15 tracked games: Frankfurt 52.9% on twos and 76.8% from the line versus Hamburg 52.5% and 71.2%; Frankfurt also turn it over slightly more (13.8 vs 13.5) and rebound less (29.5 vs 32.3).
- Head-to-head last season went to Hamburg twice (97-75 at home on 5 April 2026, 82-78 in Frankfurt on 24 January 2026), but those games involved different rosters.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultlostFrankfurtEstimated chance67.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Frankfurt 88.2, Hamburg 79.5. Frankfurt are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Frankfurt have scored 269 points in three BBL games this season (89.7 per game), including 93 in home wins over Vechta on 26 September and at Phoenix Hagen on 4 October.
- Hamburg have one win in four BBL games, scoring 324 and conceding 352 (81.0/88.0 per game); the sole win, 94-90 over Chemnitz on 25 September, needed overtime.
- Frankfurt are 3-0 at home across competitions this season (93-81 Vechta, 94-63 Jena in the Cup, 79-71 Siauliai in the EuroCup), all in September/October 2026.
- Hamburg have averaged 73.0 points in two BBL road games this season (74 at Oldenburg, 72 at Bonn), both losses.
- Pooled shooting over each team's 15 tracked games: Frankfurt 52.9% on twos and 76.8% from the line versus Hamburg 52.5% and 71.2%; Frankfurt also turn it over slightly more (13.8 vs 13.5) and rebound less (29.5 vs 32.3).
- Head-to-head last season went to Hamburg twice (97-75 at home on 5 April 2026, 82-78 in Frankfurt on 24 January 2026), but those games involved different rosters.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultlostFrankfurtEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Frankfurt 88.2, Hamburg 79.5. Frankfurt are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Frankfurt have scored 269 points in three BBL games this season (89.7 per game), including 93 in home wins over Vechta on 26 September and at Phoenix Hagen on 4 October.
- Hamburg have one win in four BBL games, scoring 324 and conceding 352 (81.0/88.0 per game); the sole win, 94-90 over Chemnitz on 25 September, needed overtime.
- Frankfurt are 3-0 at home across competitions this season (93-81 Vechta, 94-63 Jena in the Cup, 79-71 Siauliai in the EuroCup), all in September/October 2026.
- Hamburg have averaged 73.0 points in two BBL road games this season (74 at Oldenburg, 72 at Bonn), both losses.
- Pooled shooting over each team's 15 tracked games: Frankfurt 52.9% on twos and 76.8% from the line versus Hamburg 52.5% and 71.2%; Frankfurt also turn it over slightly more (13.8 vs 13.5) and rebound less (29.5 vs 32.3).
- Head-to-head last season went to Hamburg twice (97-75 at home on 5 April 2026, 82-78 in Frankfurt on 24 January 2026), but those games involved different rosters.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonFrankfurtEstimated chance58.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Frankfurt 88.2, Hamburg 79.5. Frankfurt are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Frankfurt have scored 269 points in three BBL games this season (89.7 per game), including 93 in home wins over Vechta on 26 September and at Phoenix Hagen on 4 October.
- Hamburg have one win in four BBL games, scoring 324 and conceding 352 (81.0/88.0 per game); the sole win, 94-90 over Chemnitz on 25 September, needed overtime.
- Frankfurt are 3-0 at home across competitions this season (93-81 Vechta, 94-63 Jena in the Cup, 79-71 Siauliai in the EuroCup), all in September/October 2026.
- Hamburg have averaged 73.0 points in two BBL road games this season (74 at Oldenburg, 72 at Bonn), both losses.
- Pooled shooting over each team's 15 tracked games: Frankfurt 52.9% on twos and 76.8% from the line versus Hamburg 52.5% and 71.2%; Frankfurt also turn it over slightly more (13.8 vs 13.5) and rebound less (29.5 vs 32.3).
- Head-to-head last season went to Hamburg twice (97-75 at home on 5 April 2026, 82-78 in Frankfurt on 24 January 2026), but those games involved different rosters.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonFrankfurtEstimated chance57.4%

Points6 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Frankfurt 88.2, Hamburg 79.5. Hamburg score fewer than 41.5 points in the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Frankfurt have scored 269 points in three BBL games this season (89.7 per game), including 93 in home wins over Vechta on 26 September and at Phoenix Hagen on 4 October.
- Hamburg have one win in four BBL games, scoring 324 and conceding 352 (81.0/88.0 per game); the sole win, 94-90 over Chemnitz on 25 September, needed overtime.
- Frankfurt are 3-0 at home across competitions this season (93-81 Vechta, 94-63 Jena in the Cup, 79-71 Siauliai in the EuroCup), all in September/October 2026.
- Hamburg have averaged 73.0 points in two BBL road games this season (74 at Oldenburg, 72 at Bonn), both losses.
- Pooled shooting over each team's 15 tracked games: Frankfurt 52.9% on twos and 76.8% from the line versus Hamburg 52.5% and 71.2%; Frankfurt also turn it over slightly more (13.8 vs 13.5) and rebound less (29.5 vs 32.3).
- Head-to-head last season went to Hamburg twice (97-75 at home on 5 April 2026, 82-78 in Frankfurt on 24 January 2026), but those games involved different rosters.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostHamburg under 41.5Estimated chance60.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Frankfurt 88.2, Hamburg 79.5. The 1st half has fewer than 86.5 points in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Frankfurt have scored 269 points in three BBL games this season (89.7 per game), including 93 in home wins over Vechta on 26 September and at Phoenix Hagen on 4 October.
- Hamburg have one win in four BBL games, scoring 324 and conceding 352 (81.0/88.0 per game); the sole win, 94-90 over Chemnitz on 25 September, needed overtime.
- Frankfurt are 3-0 at home across competitions this season (93-81 Vechta, 94-63 Jena in the Cup, 79-71 Siauliai in the EuroCup), all in September/October 2026.
- Hamburg have averaged 73.0 points in two BBL road games this season (74 at Oldenburg, 72 at Bonn), both losses.
- Pooled shooting over each team's 15 tracked games: Frankfurt 52.9% on twos and 76.8% from the line versus Hamburg 52.5% and 71.2%; Frankfurt also turn it over slightly more (13.8 vs 13.5) and rebound less (29.5 vs 32.3).
- Head-to-head last season went to Hamburg twice (97-75 at home on 5 April 2026, 82-78 in Frankfurt on 24 January 2026), but those games involved different rosters.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonUnder 86.5Estimated chance59.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.90
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Frankfurt 88.2, Hamburg 79.5. The 1st quarter has fewer than 43.5 points in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Frankfurt have scored 269 points in three BBL games this season (89.7 per game), including 93 in home wins over Vechta on 26 September and at Phoenix Hagen on 4 October.
- Hamburg have one win in four BBL games, scoring 324 and conceding 352 (81.0/88.0 per game); the sole win, 94-90 over Chemnitz on 25 September, needed overtime.
- Frankfurt are 3-0 at home across competitions this season (93-81 Vechta, 94-63 Jena in the Cup, 79-71 Siauliai in the EuroCup), all in September/October 2026.
- Hamburg have averaged 73.0 points in two BBL road games this season (74 at Oldenburg, 72 at Bonn), both losses.
- Pooled shooting over each team's 15 tracked games: Frankfurt 52.9% on twos and 76.8% from the line versus Hamburg 52.5% and 71.2%; Frankfurt also turn it over slightly more (13.8 vs 13.5) and rebound less (29.5 vs 32.3).
- Head-to-head last season went to Hamburg twice (97-75 at home on 5 April 2026, 82-78 in Frankfurt on 24 January 2026), but those games involved different rosters.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointslostUnder 43.5Estimated chance58.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Frankfurt 88.2, Hamburg 79.5. The 2nd quarter has fewer than 43.5 points in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Frankfurt have scored 269 points in three BBL games this season (89.7 per game), including 93 in home wins over Vechta on 26 September and at Phoenix Hagen on 4 October.
- Hamburg have one win in four BBL games, scoring 324 and conceding 352 (81.0/88.0 per game); the sole win, 94-90 over Chemnitz on 25 September, needed overtime.
- Frankfurt are 3-0 at home across competitions this season (93-81 Vechta, 94-63 Jena in the Cup, 79-71 Siauliai in the EuroCup), all in September/October 2026.
- Hamburg have averaged 73.0 points in two BBL road games this season (74 at Oldenburg, 72 at Bonn), both losses.
- Pooled shooting over each team's 15 tracked games: Frankfurt 52.9% on twos and 76.8% from the line versus Hamburg 52.5% and 71.2%; Frankfurt also turn it over slightly more (13.8 vs 13.5) and rebound less (29.5 vs 32.3).
- Head-to-head last season went to Hamburg twice (97-75 at home on 5 April 2026, 82-78 in Frankfurt on 24 January 2026), but those games involved different rosters.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 43.5Estimated chance57.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Frankfurt 88.2, Hamburg 79.5. The game has fewer than 171.5 points (overtime included) in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Frankfurt have scored 269 points in three BBL games this season (89.7 per game), including 93 in home wins over Vechta on 26 September and at Phoenix Hagen on 4 October.
- Hamburg have one win in four BBL games, scoring 324 and conceding 352 (81.0/88.0 per game); the sole win, 94-90 over Chemnitz on 25 September, needed overtime.
- Frankfurt are 3-0 at home across competitions this season (93-81 Vechta, 94-63 Jena in the Cup, 79-71 Siauliai in the EuroCup), all in September/October 2026.
- Hamburg have averaged 73.0 points in two BBL road games this season (74 at Oldenburg, 72 at Bonn), both losses.
- Pooled shooting over each team's 15 tracked games: Frankfurt 52.9% on twos and 76.8% from the line versus Hamburg 52.5% and 71.2%; Frankfurt also turn it over slightly more (13.8 vs 13.5) and rebound less (29.5 vs 32.3).
- Head-to-head last season went to Hamburg twice (97-75 at home on 5 April 2026, 82-78 in Frankfurt on 24 January 2026), but those games involved different rosters.
BetBugs · Total PointswonUnder 171.5Estimated chance57.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Frankfurt 88.2, Hamburg 79.5. Hamburg score fewer than 81.5 points (overtime included) in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Frankfurt have scored 269 points in three BBL games this season (89.7 per game), including 93 in home wins over Vechta on 26 September and at Phoenix Hagen on 4 October.
- Hamburg have one win in four BBL games, scoring 324 and conceding 352 (81.0/88.0 per game); the sole win, 94-90 over Chemnitz on 25 September, needed overtime.
- Frankfurt are 3-0 at home across competitions this season (93-81 Vechta, 94-63 Jena in the Cup, 79-71 Siauliai in the EuroCup), all in September/October 2026.
- Hamburg have averaged 73.0 points in two BBL road games this season (74 at Oldenburg, 72 at Bonn), both losses.
- Pooled shooting over each team's 15 tracked games: Frankfurt 52.9% on twos and 76.8% from the line versus Hamburg 52.5% and 71.2%; Frankfurt also turn it over slightly more (13.8 vs 13.5) and rebound less (29.5 vs 32.3).
- Head-to-head last season went to Hamburg twice (97-75 at home on 5 April 2026, 82-78 in Frankfurt on 24 January 2026), but those games involved different rosters.
BetBugs · Team PointswonHamburg under 81.5Estimated chance56.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Frankfurt 88.2, Hamburg 79.5. Hamburg score fewer than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Frankfurt have scored 269 points in three BBL games this season (89.7 per game), including 93 in home wins over Vechta on 26 September and at Phoenix Hagen on 4 October.
- Hamburg have one win in four BBL games, scoring 324 and conceding 352 (81.0/88.0 per game); the sole win, 94-90 over Chemnitz on 25 September, needed overtime.
- Frankfurt are 3-0 at home across competitions this season (93-81 Vechta, 94-63 Jena in the Cup, 79-71 Siauliai in the EuroCup), all in September/October 2026.
- Hamburg have averaged 73.0 points in two BBL road games this season (74 at Oldenburg, 72 at Bonn), both losses.
- Pooled shooting over each team's 15 tracked games: Frankfurt 52.9% on twos and 76.8% from the line versus Hamburg 52.5% and 71.2%; Frankfurt also turn it over slightly more (13.8 vs 13.5) and rebound less (29.5 vs 32.3).
- Head-to-head last season went to Hamburg twice (97-75 at home on 5 April 2026, 82-78 in Frankfurt on 24 January 2026), but those games involved different rosters.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonHamburg under 20.5Estimated chance56.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Frankfurt 88.2, Hamburg 79.5. Frankfurt score fewer than 45.5 points in the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Frankfurt have scored 269 points in three BBL games this season (89.7 per game), including 93 in home wins over Vechta on 26 September and at Phoenix Hagen on 4 October.
- Hamburg have one win in four BBL games, scoring 324 and conceding 352 (81.0/88.0 per game); the sole win, 94-90 over Chemnitz on 25 September, needed overtime.
- Frankfurt are 3-0 at home across competitions this season (93-81 Vechta, 94-63 Jena in the Cup, 79-71 Siauliai in the EuroCup), all in September/October 2026.
- Hamburg have averaged 73.0 points in two BBL road games this season (74 at Oldenburg, 72 at Bonn), both losses.
- Pooled shooting over each team's 15 tracked games: Frankfurt 52.9% on twos and 76.8% from the line versus Hamburg 52.5% and 71.2%; Frankfurt also turn it over slightly more (13.8 vs 13.5) and rebound less (29.5 vs 32.3).
- Head-to-head last season went to Hamburg twice (97-75 at home on 5 April 2026, 82-78 in Frankfurt on 24 January 2026), but those games involved different rosters.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonFrankfurt under 45.5Estimated chance56%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 10, 18:33

Selected line

171.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

43%

Chance of 172+ points

11 pp below break-even

Over 1.88 needs 53% to break even. BetBugs sees 43%.

Move the line main 171.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 43%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 57%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L97–75

Hamburgv

Frankfurt

Apr 5, 2026·BBL

L78–82

Frankfurtv Hamburg

Hamburg

Jan 24, 2026·BBL

L78–84

Frankfurtv Hamburg

Hamburg

Mar 1, 2025·BBLOT

L91–78

Hamburgv

Frankfurt

Nov 30, 2024·BBL

L84–70

Hamburgv

Frankfurt

Mar 25, 2023·BBL

W97–93

Frankfurtv Hamburg

Hamburg

Jan 29, 2023·BBL

L68–58

Hamburgv

Frankfurt

Apr 13, 2022·BBL

L64–74

Frankfurtv Hamburg

Hamburg

Oct 10, 2021·BBL

W96–89

Frankfurtv Hamburg

Hamburg

May 9, 2021·BBL

L98–70

Hamburgv

Frankfurt

Jan 23, 2021·BBL

162.4Avg total points

11.8Avg margin

10meetings

League table

BBL · BBL - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Frankfurt

2–167%

Hamburg

1–325%

Recent Form

Frankfurt

6W 9L · last 15

vs Siauliai79–71 Oct 6EUR

at Phoenix Hagen93–88 Oct 4BBL

at Venezia72–104 Sep 29EUR

vs Vechta93–81 Sep 26BBL

at Alba Berlin83–94 Sep 24BBL

vs Jena94–63 Sep 13GER

vs Ulm64–103 May 10BBL

at Chemnitz82–86 OTMay 7BBL

vs Bonn72–104 May 1BBL

vs Alba Berlin61–87 Apr 26BBL

at Wurzburg66–80 Apr 17BBL

vs Heidelberg73–93 Apr 12BBL

at Hamburg75–97 Apr 5BBL

at Jena90–58 Apr 2BBL

vs Rostock97–74 Mar 29BBL

Hamburg

6W 9L · last 15

vs Rostock84–91 Oct 3BBL

at Oldenburg74–75 Sep 27BBL

vs Chemnitz94–90 OTSep 25BBL

at Bonn72–96 Sep 19BBL

vs Rostock90–81 Sep 11GER

at Rostock71–103 May 10BBL

vs Wurzburg73–90 May 7BBL

at Bamberg71–85 May 3BBL

at Ulm72–81 Apr 25BBL

vs Rostock91–86 OTApr 22BBL

vs Vechta83–92 Apr 19BBL

at Syntainics MBC94–99 Apr 10BBL

vs Frankfurt97–75 Apr 5BBL

at Oldenburg96–77 Apr 1BBL

vs Bayern96–81 Mar 29BBL

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Frankfurt

Stats

3–2

Hamburg

Frankfurt leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 3–0

2-point %+0.5pp

53.0%

+0.5pp

52.5%

3-point %+0.4pp

33.9%

+0.4pp

33.5%

Free-throw %14/15 games+5.6pp

76.8%

+5.6pp

71.2%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s3.2pp apart

38.8%

3.2pp apart

35.6%

Free throws per shot14/15 games5.8pp apart

27.2%

5.8pp apart

33.0%

Possession· 0–2

Rebounds per game+2.8

29.5

+2.8

32.3

Turnovers per game0.3 fewer

13.8

0.3 fewer

13.5

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.