Lega Basket Serie AFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Cantu80Basket Napoli99

Sun 11 Oct 2026, 15:00 Predictions graded

Predictions13–476%

Edges2–0100%

Points by period: Cantu and Basket Napoli.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Cantu	19	22	20	19
Basket Napoli	20	29	17	33

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Cantù are chasing a first league win of the season against a Napoli side unbeaten in Lega Basket Serie A.

Napoli's scoring rate points to a road win by roughly seven, with Cantù's home record in this series the counterweight. Two prices hold up: Cantù under 83.5 points at 1.88 and Napoli -4.5 at 1.82.

Context

Napoli are without centre Leonardo Totè, ruled out with a muscle problem on 8 October with no return date set, and the possible return of Jahmi'us Ramsey has not been confirmed. Cantù have no reported availability issue.

Napoli lose a frontcourt option for this game. Leonardo Totè has been troubled by a muscle problem and was already absent for the EuroCup trip to Budućnost Podgorica on 6 October. Coach Jasmin Repeša has to plan without him, and the club has not set a return date, so it is unclear whether the absence extends beyond round three.
- Leonardo Totè is out of Napoli's Serie A game at Cantù with a muscle problem.
- Totè also missed Napoli's EuroCup game at Budućnost Podgorica on 6 October.
Napoli may get a backcourt option back if Jahmi'us Ramsey is fit enough to face Cantù. The guard missed the EuroCup game at Budućnost Podgorica on 6 October. Coach Jasmin Repeša is considering using him again, but the club has not confirmed his return, so his participation remains uncertain.
- Jahmi'us Ramsey sat out Napoli's EuroCup game at Budućnost Podgorica on 6 October.
- Napoli are weighing a return for the guard in the round-three league game.
Napoli arrive on a strong run across two competitions. Jasmin Repeša's team beat Reggio Emilia 99-93 on 3 October, then won 93-75 at Budućnost Podgorica in the EuroCup on 6 October. They have not lost a Serie A game this season and carry that form into the round-three meeting with Cantù.
- Napoli beat Reggio Emilia 99-93 on 3 October.
- Napoli won 93-75 at Budućnost Podgorica in the EuroCup on 6 October.
- Napoli remain unbeaten in Serie A this season.
Savion Flagg is the one player in the two squads who has worn both jerseys. He spent 2025/26 at Napoli, averaging 12.4 points, 4.5 rebounds and 2.6 assists in Serie A, then moved to Cantù. Flagg scored 20 points in the overtime defeat to Udine on 5 October, and his knowledge of Napoli's set-up is a sub-plot of the round-three game.
- Savion Flagg played for Napoli in 2025/26 and averaged 12.4 points, 4.5 rebounds and 2.6 assists in Serie A.
- Flagg joined Cantù in the summer and scored 20 points in the overtime loss to Udine on 5 October.
- He is the only player in either squad to have played for both clubs.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Team PointswonUncertainty band: Lean

Cantu under 83.5

1.88fair 1.64

Market 53.2% · BetBugs 61%

+7.8ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Cantu 80.2, Basket Napoli 87.5. Cantu score fewer than 83.5 points (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this. Napoli have started the season scoring heavily in both the league and the EuroCup while Cantu have opened with two defeats and managed only around 76 points in regulation in their overtime home loss. Cantu get a home-court lift and should score more than in Venice, but Napoli's current scoring rate points to them clearing the 85-point mark on the road.

HandicapwonUncertainty band: Lean

Basket Napoli -4.5

1.82fair 1.67

Market 54.9% · BetBugs 60%

+5.0ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Cantu 80.2, Basket Napoli 87.5. Basket Napoli cover -4.5 (overtime included) in about 60 of 100 games like this. Napoli have started the season scoring heavily in both the league and the EuroCup while Cantu have opened with two defeats and managed only around 76 points in regulation in their overtime home loss. Cantu get a home-court lift and should score more than in Venice, but Napoli's current scoring rate points to them clearing the 85-point mark on the road.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result8 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cantu 80.2, Basket Napoli 87.5. Cantu cover +7.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 76 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Cantu and 15 for Basket Napoli, across seasons and competitions.
- Napoli are 2-0 in Lega A 2026-27, scoring 99 at home to Reggiana (3 Oct 2026) and 94 at Maxima Roma (27 Sep 2026).
- Napoli won 93-75 at Budućnost Podgorica in the EuroCup on 6 Oct 2026, and have conceded 79.8 points per game across their last four games in all competitions.
- Cantu are 0-2 in Lega A, losing 84-85 after overtime at home to Udine (5 Oct 2026) and 73-85 at Venezia (26 Sep 2026), so roughly 76-77 points in regulation in the overtime game.
- Across Cantu's 15 tracked games they shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 36.9% on threes and 70.6% from the line, with 12.3 turnovers and 31.3 rebounds per game.
- Napoli's first two league wins came with no games older than this season's roster in the squad list; Leonardo Totè, ruled out with a muscle problem on 8 Oct 2026, has not appeared in any tracked box score this season.
- The only two recent meetings were home wins split 1-1 (Napoli 98-86 on 28 Dec 2025, Cantu 94-77 on 15 Mar 2026), but both came with different rosters.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonCantu +7.5Estimated chance76.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cantu 80.2, Basket Napoli 87.5. Basket Napoli win in about 72 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Napoli are 2-0 in Lega A 2026-27, scoring 99 at home to Reggiana (3 Oct 2026) and 94 at Maxima Roma (27 Sep 2026).
- Napoli won 93-75 at Budućnost Podgorica in the EuroCup on 6 Oct 2026, and have conceded 79.8 points per game across their last four games in all competitions.
- Cantu are 0-2 in Lega A, losing 84-85 after overtime at home to Udine (5 Oct 2026) and 73-85 at Venezia (26 Sep 2026), so roughly 76-77 points in regulation in the overtime game.
- Across Cantu's 15 tracked games they shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 36.9% on threes and 70.6% from the line, with 12.3 turnovers and 31.3 rebounds per game.
- Napoli's first two league wins came with no games older than this season's roster in the squad list; Leonardo Totè, ruled out with a muscle problem on 8 Oct 2026, has not appeared in any tracked box score this season.
- The only two recent meetings were home wins split 1-1 (Napoli 98-86 on 28 Dec 2025, Cantu 94-77 on 15 Mar 2026), but both came with different rosters.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonBasket NapoliEstimated chance71.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cantu 80.2, Basket Napoli 87.5. Basket Napoli are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 70 of 100 games like this.
- Napoli are 2-0 in Lega A 2026-27, scoring 99 at home to Reggiana (3 Oct 2026) and 94 at Maxima Roma (27 Sep 2026).
- Napoli won 93-75 at Budućnost Podgorica in the EuroCup on 6 Oct 2026, and have conceded 79.8 points per game across their last four games in all competitions.
- Cantu are 0-2 in Lega A, losing 84-85 after overtime at home to Udine (5 Oct 2026) and 73-85 at Venezia (26 Sep 2026), so roughly 76-77 points in regulation in the overtime game.
- Across Cantu's 15 tracked games they shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 36.9% on threes and 70.6% from the line, with 12.3 turnovers and 31.3 rebounds per game.
- Napoli's first two league wins came with no games older than this season's roster in the squad list; Leonardo Totè, ruled out with a muscle problem on 8 Oct 2026, has not appeared in any tracked box score this season.
- The only two recent meetings were home wins split 1-1 (Napoli 98-86 on 28 Dec 2025, Cantu 94-77 on 15 Mar 2026), but both came with different rosters.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonBasket NapoliEstimated chance69.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cantu 80.2, Basket Napoli 87.5. Basket Napoli cover +1.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Cantu and 15 for Basket Napoli, across seasons and competitions.
- Napoli are 2-0 in Lega A 2026-27, scoring 99 at home to Reggiana (3 Oct 2026) and 94 at Maxima Roma (27 Sep 2026).
- Napoli won 93-75 at Budućnost Podgorica in the EuroCup on 6 Oct 2026, and have conceded 79.8 points per game across their last four games in all competitions.
- Cantu are 0-2 in Lega A, losing 84-85 after overtime at home to Udine (5 Oct 2026) and 73-85 at Venezia (26 Sep 2026), so roughly 76-77 points in regulation in the overtime game.
- Across Cantu's 15 tracked games they shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 36.9% on threes and 70.6% from the line, with 12.3 turnovers and 31.3 rebounds per game.
- Napoli's first two league wins came with no games older than this season's roster in the squad list; Leonardo Totè, ruled out with a muscle problem on 8 Oct 2026, has not appeared in any tracked box score this season.
- The only two recent meetings were home wins split 1-1 (Napoli 98-86 on 28 Dec 2025, Cantu 94-77 on 15 Mar 2026), but both came with different rosters.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostBasket Napoli +1.5Estimated chance66.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cantu 80.2, Basket Napoli 87.5. Basket Napoli are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Napoli are 2-0 in Lega A 2026-27, scoring 99 at home to Reggiana (3 Oct 2026) and 94 at Maxima Roma (27 Sep 2026).
- Napoli won 93-75 at Budućnost Podgorica in the EuroCup on 6 Oct 2026, and have conceded 79.8 points per game across their last four games in all competitions.
- Cantu are 0-2 in Lega A, losing 84-85 after overtime at home to Udine (5 Oct 2026) and 73-85 at Venezia (26 Sep 2026), so roughly 76-77 points in regulation in the overtime game.
- Across Cantu's 15 tracked games they shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 36.9% on threes and 70.6% from the line, with 12.3 turnovers and 31.3 rebounds per game.
- Napoli's first two league wins came with no games older than this season's roster in the squad list; Leonardo Totè, ruled out with a muscle problem on 8 Oct 2026, has not appeared in any tracked box score this season.
- The only two recent meetings were home wins split 1-1 (Napoli 98-86 on 28 Dec 2025, Cantu 94-77 on 15 Mar 2026), but both came with different rosters.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonBasket NapoliEstimated chance64.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.82
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cantu 80.2, Basket Napoli 87.5. Basket Napoli cover -4.5 (overtime included) in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Napoli are 2-0 in Lega A 2026-27, scoring 99 at home to Reggiana (3 Oct 2026) and 94 at Maxima Roma (27 Sep 2026).
- Napoli won 93-75 at Budućnost Podgorica in the EuroCup on 6 Oct 2026, and have conceded 79.8 points per game across their last four games in all competitions.
- Cantu are 0-2 in Lega A, losing 84-85 after overtime at home to Udine (5 Oct 2026) and 73-85 at Venezia (26 Sep 2026), so roughly 76-77 points in regulation in the overtime game.
- Across Cantu's 15 tracked games they shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 36.9% on threes and 70.6% from the line, with 12.3 turnovers and 31.3 rebounds per game.
- Napoli's first two league wins came with no games older than this season's roster in the squad list; Leonardo Totè, ruled out with a muscle problem on 8 Oct 2026, has not appeared in any tracked box score this season.
- The only two recent meetings were home wins split 1-1 (Napoli 98-86 on 28 Dec 2025, Cantu 94-77 on 15 Mar 2026), but both came with different rosters.
BetBugs · HandicapwonBasket Napoli -4.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cantu 80.2, Basket Napoli 87.5. Basket Napoli are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Napoli are 2-0 in Lega A 2026-27, scoring 99 at home to Reggiana (3 Oct 2026) and 94 at Maxima Roma (27 Sep 2026).
- Napoli won 93-75 at Budućnost Podgorica in the EuroCup on 6 Oct 2026, and have conceded 79.8 points per game across their last four games in all competitions.
- Cantu are 0-2 in Lega A, losing 84-85 after overtime at home to Udine (5 Oct 2026) and 73-85 at Venezia (26 Sep 2026), so roughly 76-77 points in regulation in the overtime game.
- Across Cantu's 15 tracked games they shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 36.9% on threes and 70.6% from the line, with 12.3 turnovers and 31.3 rebounds per game.
- Napoli's first two league wins came with no games older than this season's roster in the squad list; Leonardo Totè, ruled out with a muscle problem on 8 Oct 2026, has not appeared in any tracked box score this season.
- The only two recent meetings were home wins split 1-1 (Napoli 98-86 on 28 Dec 2025, Cantu 94-77 on 15 Mar 2026), but both came with different rosters.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonBasket NapoliEstimated chance59.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cantu 80.2, Basket Napoli 87.5. Basket Napoli are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Napoli are 2-0 in Lega A 2026-27, scoring 99 at home to Reggiana (3 Oct 2026) and 94 at Maxima Roma (27 Sep 2026).
- Napoli won 93-75 at Budućnost Podgorica in the EuroCup on 6 Oct 2026, and have conceded 79.8 points per game across their last four games in all competitions.
- Cantu are 0-2 in Lega A, losing 84-85 after overtime at home to Udine (5 Oct 2026) and 73-85 at Venezia (26 Sep 2026), so roughly 76-77 points in regulation in the overtime game.
- Across Cantu's 15 tracked games they shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 36.9% on threes and 70.6% from the line, with 12.3 turnovers and 31.3 rebounds per game.
- Napoli's first two league wins came with no games older than this season's roster in the squad list; Leonardo Totè, ruled out with a muscle problem on 8 Oct 2026, has not appeared in any tracked box score this season.
- The only two recent meetings were home wins split 1-1 (Napoli 98-86 on 28 Dec 2025, Cantu 94-77 on 15 Mar 2026), but both came with different rosters.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonBasket NapoliEstimated chance56.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cantu 80.2, Basket Napoli 87.5. Basket Napoli cover -2.5 in the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Napoli are 2-0 in Lega A 2026-27, scoring 99 at home to Reggiana (3 Oct 2026) and 94 at Maxima Roma (27 Sep 2026).
- Napoli won 93-75 at Budućnost Podgorica in the EuroCup on 6 Oct 2026, and have conceded 79.8 points per game across their last four games in all competitions.
- Cantu are 0-2 in Lega A, losing 84-85 after overtime at home to Udine (5 Oct 2026) and 73-85 at Venezia (26 Sep 2026), so roughly 76-77 points in regulation in the overtime game.
- Across Cantu's 15 tracked games they shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 36.9% on threes and 70.6% from the line, with 12.3 turnovers and 31.3 rebounds per game.
- Napoli's first two league wins came with no games older than this season's roster in the squad list; Leonardo Totè, ruled out with a muscle problem on 8 Oct 2026, has not appeared in any tracked box score this season.
- The only two recent meetings were home wins split 1-1 (Napoli 98-86 on 28 Dec 2025, Cantu 94-77 on 15 Mar 2026), but both came with different rosters.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonBasket Napoli -2.5Estimated chance56.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cantu 80.2, Basket Napoli 87.5. Basket Napoli are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Napoli are 2-0 in Lega A 2026-27, scoring 99 at home to Reggiana (3 Oct 2026) and 94 at Maxima Roma (27 Sep 2026).
- Napoli won 93-75 at Budućnost Podgorica in the EuroCup on 6 Oct 2026, and have conceded 79.8 points per game across their last four games in all competitions.
- Cantu are 0-2 in Lega A, losing 84-85 after overtime at home to Udine (5 Oct 2026) and 73-85 at Venezia (26 Sep 2026), so roughly 76-77 points in regulation in the overtime game.
- Across Cantu's 15 tracked games they shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 36.9% on threes and 70.6% from the line, with 12.3 turnovers and 31.3 rebounds per game.
- Napoli's first two league wins came with no games older than this season's roster in the squad list; Leonardo Totè, ruled out with a muscle problem on 8 Oct 2026, has not appeared in any tracked box score this season.
- The only two recent meetings were home wins split 1-1 (Napoli 98-86 on 28 Dec 2025, Cantu 94-77 on 15 Mar 2026), but both came with different rosters.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultlostBasket NapoliEstimated chance55.8%

Points5 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cantu 80.2, Basket Napoli 87.5. Cantu score fewer than 42.5 points in the 1st half in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Napoli are 2-0 in Lega A 2026-27, scoring 99 at home to Reggiana (3 Oct 2026) and 94 at Maxima Roma (27 Sep 2026).
- Napoli won 93-75 at Budućnost Podgorica in the EuroCup on 6 Oct 2026, and have conceded 79.8 points per game across their last four games in all competitions.
- Cantu are 0-2 in Lega A, losing 84-85 after overtime at home to Udine (5 Oct 2026) and 73-85 at Venezia (26 Sep 2026), so roughly 76-77 points in regulation in the overtime game.
- Across Cantu's 15 tracked games they shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 36.9% on threes and 70.6% from the line, with 12.3 turnovers and 31.3 rebounds per game.
- Napoli's first two league wins came with no games older than this season's roster in the squad list; Leonardo Totè, ruled out with a muscle problem on 8 Oct 2026, has not appeared in any tracked box score this season.
- The only two recent meetings were home wins split 1-1 (Napoli 98-86 on 28 Dec 2025, Cantu 94-77 on 15 Mar 2026), but both came with different rosters.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonCantu under 42.5Estimated chance63.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.88
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cantu 80.2, Basket Napoli 87.5. Cantu score fewer than 83.5 points (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Napoli are 2-0 in Lega A 2026-27, scoring 99 at home to Reggiana (3 Oct 2026) and 94 at Maxima Roma (27 Sep 2026).
- Napoli won 93-75 at Budućnost Podgorica in the EuroCup on 6 Oct 2026, and have conceded 79.8 points per game across their last four games in all competitions.
- Cantu are 0-2 in Lega A, losing 84-85 after overtime at home to Udine (5 Oct 2026) and 73-85 at Venezia (26 Sep 2026), so roughly 76-77 points in regulation in the overtime game.
- Across Cantu's 15 tracked games they shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 36.9% on threes and 70.6% from the line, with 12.3 turnovers and 31.3 rebounds per game.
- Napoli's first two league wins came with no games older than this season's roster in the squad list; Leonardo Totè, ruled out with a muscle problem on 8 Oct 2026, has not appeared in any tracked box score this season.
- The only two recent meetings were home wins split 1-1 (Napoli 98-86 on 28 Dec 2025, Cantu 94-77 on 15 Mar 2026), but both came with different rosters.
BetBugs · Team PointswonCantu under 83.5Estimated chance61%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cantu 80.2, Basket Napoli 87.5. The game has fewer than 172.5 points (overtime included) in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Napoli are 2-0 in Lega A 2026-27, scoring 99 at home to Reggiana (3 Oct 2026) and 94 at Maxima Roma (27 Sep 2026).
- Napoli won 93-75 at Budućnost Podgorica in the EuroCup on 6 Oct 2026, and have conceded 79.8 points per game across their last four games in all competitions.
- Cantu are 0-2 in Lega A, losing 84-85 after overtime at home to Udine (5 Oct 2026) and 73-85 at Venezia (26 Sep 2026), so roughly 76-77 points in regulation in the overtime game.
- Across Cantu's 15 tracked games they shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 36.9% on threes and 70.6% from the line, with 12.3 turnovers and 31.3 rebounds per game.
- Napoli's first two league wins came with no games older than this season's roster in the squad list; Leonardo Totè, ruled out with a muscle problem on 8 Oct 2026, has not appeared in any tracked box score this season.
- The only two recent meetings were home wins split 1-1 (Napoli 98-86 on 28 Dec 2025, Cantu 94-77 on 15 Mar 2026), but both came with different rosters.
BetBugs · Total PointslostUnder 172.5Estimated chance59.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cantu 80.2, Basket Napoli 87.5. The 1st half has fewer than 86.5 points in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Napoli are 2-0 in Lega A 2026-27, scoring 99 at home to Reggiana (3 Oct 2026) and 94 at Maxima Roma (27 Sep 2026).
- Napoli won 93-75 at Budućnost Podgorica in the EuroCup on 6 Oct 2026, and have conceded 79.8 points per game across their last four games in all competitions.
- Cantu are 0-2 in Lega A, losing 84-85 after overtime at home to Udine (5 Oct 2026) and 73-85 at Venezia (26 Sep 2026), so roughly 76-77 points in regulation in the overtime game.
- Across Cantu's 15 tracked games they shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 36.9% on threes and 70.6% from the line, with 12.3 turnovers and 31.3 rebounds per game.
- Napoli's first two league wins came with no games older than this season's roster in the squad list; Leonardo Totè, ruled out with a muscle problem on 8 Oct 2026, has not appeared in any tracked box score this season.
- The only two recent meetings were home wins split 1-1 (Napoli 98-86 on 28 Dec 2025, Cantu 94-77 on 15 Mar 2026), but both came with different rosters.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostUnder 86.5Estimated chance59.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cantu 80.2, Basket Napoli 87.5. The 1st quarter has fewer than 43.5 points in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Napoli are 2-0 in Lega A 2026-27, scoring 99 at home to Reggiana (3 Oct 2026) and 94 at Maxima Roma (27 Sep 2026).
- Napoli won 93-75 at Budućnost Podgorica in the EuroCup on 6 Oct 2026, and have conceded 79.8 points per game across their last four games in all competitions.
- Cantu are 0-2 in Lega A, losing 84-85 after overtime at home to Udine (5 Oct 2026) and 73-85 at Venezia (26 Sep 2026), so roughly 76-77 points in regulation in the overtime game.
- Across Cantu's 15 tracked games they shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 36.9% on threes and 70.6% from the line, with 12.3 turnovers and 31.3 rebounds per game.
- Napoli's first two league wins came with no games older than this season's roster in the squad list; Leonardo Totè, ruled out with a muscle problem on 8 Oct 2026, has not appeared in any tracked box score this season.
- The only two recent meetings were home wins split 1-1 (Napoli 98-86 on 28 Dec 2025, Cantu 94-77 on 15 Mar 2026), but both came with different rosters.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonUnder 43.5Estimated chance58.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cantu 80.2, Basket Napoli 87.5. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 42.5 points in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Napoli are 2-0 in Lega A 2026-27, scoring 99 at home to Reggiana (3 Oct 2026) and 94 at Maxima Roma (27 Sep 2026).
- Napoli won 93-75 at Budućnost Podgorica in the EuroCup on 6 Oct 2026, and have conceded 79.8 points per game across their last four games in all competitions.
- Cantu are 0-2 in Lega A, losing 84-85 after overtime at home to Udine (5 Oct 2026) and 73-85 at Venezia (26 Sep 2026), so roughly 76-77 points in regulation in the overtime game.
- Across Cantu's 15 tracked games they shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 36.9% on threes and 70.6% from the line, with 12.3 turnovers and 31.3 rebounds per game.
- Napoli's first two league wins came with no games older than this season's roster in the squad list; Leonardo Totè, ruled out with a muscle problem on 8 Oct 2026, has not appeared in any tracked box score this season.
- The only two recent meetings were home wins split 1-1 (Napoli 98-86 on 28 Dec 2025, Cantu 94-77 on 15 Mar 2026), but both came with different rosters.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 42.5Estimated chance55.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cantu 80.2, Basket Napoli 87.5. Basket Napoli score fewer than 22.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Napoli are 2-0 in Lega A 2026-27, scoring 99 at home to Reggiana (3 Oct 2026) and 94 at Maxima Roma (27 Sep 2026).
- Napoli won 93-75 at Budućnost Podgorica in the EuroCup on 6 Oct 2026, and have conceded 79.8 points per game across their last four games in all competitions.
- Cantu are 0-2 in Lega A, losing 84-85 after overtime at home to Udine (5 Oct 2026) and 73-85 at Venezia (26 Sep 2026), so roughly 76-77 points in regulation in the overtime game.
- Across Cantu's 15 tracked games they shoot 55.8% on two-pointers, 36.9% on threes and 70.6% from the line, with 12.3 turnovers and 31.3 rebounds per game.
- Napoli's first two league wins came with no games older than this season's roster in the squad list; Leonardo Totè, ruled out with a muscle problem on 8 Oct 2026, has not appeared in any tracked box score this season.
- The only two recent meetings were home wins split 1-1 (Napoli 98-86 on 28 Dec 2025, Cantu 94-77 on 15 Mar 2026), but both came with different rosters.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonBasket Napoli under 22.5Estimated chance55.3%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 10, 18:33

Selected line

172.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

40%

Chance of 173+ points

14 pp below break-even

Over 1.85 needs 54% to break even. BetBugs sees 40%.

Move the line main 172.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 40%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 60%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W94–77

Cantuv

Basket Napoli

Mar 15, 2026·LEG

L98–86

Basket Napoliv Cantu

Cantu

Dec 28, 2025·LEG

177.5Avg total points

14.5Avg margin

2meetings

League table

Lega Basket Serie A · Lega A - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Cantu

0–20%

Basket Napoli

2–0100%

Recent Form

Cantu

6W 9L · last 15

vs Udine84–85 OTOct 5LEG

at Venezia73–85 Sep 26LEG

vs Treviso72–80 May 3LEG

at Udine83–95 Apr 25LEG

vs Varese100–96 Apr 19LEG

at Virtus Bologna79–89 Apr 13LEG

vs Sassari80–78 Apr 4LEG

vs Trieste97–76 Mar 29LEG

at Tortona73–100 Mar 22LEG

vs Basket Napoli94–77 Mar 15LEG

at Olimpia Milano86–88 Mar 9LEG

vs Trento108–91 Feb 15LEG

at Cremona87–89 Feb 7LEG

vs Venezia81–86 Jan 31LEG

at Reggiana79–78 Jan 25LEG

Basket Napoli

8W 7L · last 15

at Buducnost93–75 Oct 6EUR

vs Reggiana99–93 Oct 3LEG

vs JL Bourg84–76 Sep 30EUR

at Maxima Roma94–75 Sep 27LEG

vs Udine98–71 May 10LEG

at Reggiana80–91 May 3LEG

vs Trento84–74 Apr 25LEG

at Olimpia Milano97–125 Apr 19LEG

vs Treviso88–71 Apr 12LEG

at Brescia85–100 Apr 4LEG

at Cremona81–88 Mar 29LEG

vs Varese104–75 Mar 22LEG

at Cantu77–94 Mar 15LEG

vs Virtus Bologna71–90 Mar 7LEG

at Virtus Bologna73–83 Feb 19ITA

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Cantu

Stats

2–3

Basket Napoli

Basket Napoli leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+0.7pp

55.8%

+0.7pp

55.1%

3-point %+0.5pp

36.9%

+0.5pp

37.4%

Free-throw %15/13 games+2.0pp

70.6%

+2.0pp

72.6%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s1.4pp apart

34.6%

1.4pp apart

33.2%

Free throws per shot15/13 games0.9pp apart

34.9%

0.9pp apart

34.0%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+2.6

31.3

+2.6

33.9

Turnovers per game1.8 fewer

12.3

1.8 fewer

14.1

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.