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Predictions graded

Udine66Trento74

Sat 10 Oct 2026, 18:00 Predictions graded

Predictions2–529%

Points by period: Udine and Trento.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Udine	21	12	17	16
Trento	23	15	16	20

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Udine are 2-0 in Serie A and at home; Trento have lost their last two at home but won both of their away games.

The projected score after 40 minutes is Udine 84.8, Trento 82.3, which points to a narrow Udine win in roughly 58 of 100 games like this. Prices are available across the main markets, but none stands out at our numbers.

Context

Both teams played within the last five days, Udine on 5 October and Trento on 6 October, and no availability issue is established in the supplied record, so conditions look ordinary. The projection of Udine 84.8 to Trento 82.3 keeps the game close.

Trento began the season with two wins but have since lost at home to Treviso in Serie A and to Śląsk Wrocław in the EuroCup, both after trailing. Those results came inside a run of four competitive games between 26 September and 6 October, which included a EuroCup trip to Lithuania. They now visit an unbeaten Udine for a third league game; the uncertainty is how Trento's rotation and confidence respond on the road after that opening block.
- Treviso won at Trento in the second round of Serie A on 3 October, led by DeWayne Russell.
- Śląsk Wrocław beat Trento 94-81 in EuroCup round two on 6 October after Trento had rallied from a 19-point deficit.
- Trento had opened the season with wins at Reggio Emilia on 26 September and at Neptūnas Klaipėda on 29 September.
Quincy Olivari has led Trento's scoring across competitions so far, with 23 points in his Serie A debut at Reggio Emilia, 23 in the EuroCup opener at Neptūnas Klaipėda and a team-high 17 in the EuroCup home loss to Śląsk Wrocław. Trento will again look to him on the road at Udine, where the home side has won its opening two games. The uncertainty is whether Udine can contain a guard who has started the season as Trento's primary scoring option.
- Quincy Olivari scored 23 points with seven rebounds as Trento won 83-78 at Reggio Emilia in his Serie A debut on 26 September.
- Olivari scored 23 points in Trento's EuroCup-opening win at Neptūnas Klaipėda on 29 September.
- Olivari led Trento with 17 points in the EuroCup defeat to Śląsk Wrocław on 6 October.
Udine have won their opening two Serie A games, beating Scafati on 27 September and then Cantù on the road in overtime on 5 October. In the Cantù game RaeQuan Battle scored 24 points and Andrea Calzavara made the decisive basket. They now face Trento at home on 10 October unbeaten, and the uncertainty is whether Udine can sustain that start against a side with four competitive games already behind it.
- Udine beat Scafati in their Serie A opener on 27 September.
- Udine's game at Cantù on 5 October went to overtime, where Andrea Calzavara made the decisive basket.
- RaeQuan Battle scored 24 points for Udine in the overtime win at Cantù.
Udine kept Adriano Vertemati as head coach for the 2026-27 season, continuing the previous campaign's project rather than changing direction. That continuity sits alongside a heavily rebuilt roster, and Vertemati's task is to blend the new players quickly. For the visit of Trento on 10 October, the question is how settled his rotation is after two opening league wins.
- Udine kept Adriano Vertemati as head coach for the 2026-27 season, maintaining continuity with the previous campaign.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Udine 84.8, Trento 82.3. Udine cover +3.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Udine and 15 for Trento, across seasons and competitions.
- Udine have opened Serie A 2-0: 87-63 at home to Scafati on 27 Sep and 85-84 in overtime at Cantu on 5 Oct, with RaeQuan Battle scoring 24 in the second win.
- Trento have allowed 93 (90-93 home to Treviso, 3 Oct) and 94 (81-94 home to Slask Wroclaw, 6 Oct) in their two defeats, but held opponents to 73 and 78 in their two wins (83-78 at Reggiana 26 Sep, 76-73 at Neptunas 29 Sep).
- Trento's away scoring this season is modest: 83 at Reggiana in Lega A and 76 at Neptunas in the EuroCup, an average of 79.5 over two road games.
- Both sides shoot well inside: Udine 52.1% on two-pointers and 32.5% on threes over 15 tracked box scores, Trento 55.2% on two-pointers, 35.0% on threes and 78.5% from the line.
- In 13 Lega A/Italian Cup games last season Udine scored 80.2 and conceded 86.3 per game, while the two h2h meetings were low-scoring (Trento 76-69 at Udine in May 2026, Udine 82-75 at Trento in December 2025).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonUdine +3.5Estimated chance71.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Udine 84.8, Trento 82.3. Trento cover +4.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Udine and 15 for Trento, across seasons and competitions.
- Udine have opened Serie A 2-0: 87-63 at home to Scafati on 27 Sep and 85-84 in overtime at Cantu on 5 Oct, with RaeQuan Battle scoring 24 in the second win.
- Trento have allowed 93 (90-93 home to Treviso, 3 Oct) and 94 (81-94 home to Slask Wroclaw, 6 Oct) in their two defeats, but held opponents to 73 and 78 in their two wins (83-78 at Reggiana 26 Sep, 76-73 at Neptunas 29 Sep).
- Trento's away scoring this season is modest: 83 at Reggiana in Lega A and 76 at Neptunas in the EuroCup, an average of 79.5 over two road games.
- Both sides shoot well inside: Udine 52.1% on two-pointers and 32.5% on threes over 15 tracked box scores, Trento 55.2% on two-pointers, 35.0% on threes and 78.5% from the line.
- In 13 Lega A/Italian Cup games last season Udine scored 80.2 and conceded 86.3 per game, while the two h2h meetings were low-scoring (Trento 76-69 at Udine in May 2026, Udine 82-75 at Trento in December 2025).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonTrento +4.5Estimated chance69.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Udine 84.8, Trento 82.3. Udine win in about 58 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Udine have opened Serie A 2-0: 87-63 at home to Scafati on 27 Sep and 85-84 in overtime at Cantu on 5 Oct, with RaeQuan Battle scoring 24 in the second win.
- Trento have allowed 93 (90-93 home to Treviso, 3 Oct) and 94 (81-94 home to Slask Wroclaw, 6 Oct) in their two defeats, but held opponents to 73 and 78 in their two wins (83-78 at Reggiana 26 Sep, 76-73 at Neptunas 29 Sep).
- Trento's away scoring this season is modest: 83 at Reggiana in Lega A and 76 at Neptunas in the EuroCup, an average of 79.5 over two road games.
- Both sides shoot well inside: Udine 52.1% on two-pointers and 32.5% on threes over 15 tracked box scores, Trento 55.2% on two-pointers, 35.0% on threes and 78.5% from the line.
- In 13 Lega A/Italian Cup games last season Udine scored 80.2 and conceded 86.3 per game, while the two h2h meetings were low-scoring (Trento 76-69 at Udine in May 2026, Udine 82-75 at Trento in December 2025).
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostUdineEstimated chance57.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Udine 84.8, Trento 82.3. Udine cover -1.5 (overtime included) in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Udine have opened Serie A 2-0: 87-63 at home to Scafati on 27 Sep and 85-84 in overtime at Cantu on 5 Oct, with RaeQuan Battle scoring 24 in the second win.
- Trento have allowed 93 (90-93 home to Treviso, 3 Oct) and 94 (81-94 home to Slask Wroclaw, 6 Oct) in their two defeats, but held opponents to 73 and 78 in their two wins (83-78 at Reggiana 26 Sep, 76-73 at Neptunas 29 Sep).
- Trento's away scoring this season is modest: 83 at Reggiana in Lega A and 76 at Neptunas in the EuroCup, an average of 79.5 over two road games.
- Both sides shoot well inside: Udine 52.1% on two-pointers and 32.5% on threes over 15 tracked box scores, Trento 55.2% on two-pointers, 35.0% on threes and 78.5% from the line.
- In 13 Lega A/Italian Cup games last season Udine scored 80.2 and conceded 86.3 per game, while the two h2h meetings were low-scoring (Trento 76-69 at Udine in May 2026, Udine 82-75 at Trento in December 2025).
BetBugs · HandicaplostUdine -1.5Estimated chance55.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Udine 84.8, Trento 82.3. Udine are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Udine have opened Serie A 2-0: 87-63 at home to Scafati on 27 Sep and 85-84 in overtime at Cantu on 5 Oct, with RaeQuan Battle scoring 24 in the second win.
- Trento have allowed 93 (90-93 home to Treviso, 3 Oct) and 94 (81-94 home to Slask Wroclaw, 6 Oct) in their two defeats, but held opponents to 73 and 78 in their two wins (83-78 at Reggiana 26 Sep, 76-73 at Neptunas 29 Sep).
- Trento's away scoring this season is modest: 83 at Reggiana in Lega A and 76 at Neptunas in the EuroCup, an average of 79.5 over two road games.
- Both sides shoot well inside: Udine 52.1% on two-pointers and 32.5% on threes over 15 tracked box scores, Trento 55.2% on two-pointers, 35.0% on threes and 78.5% from the line.
- In 13 Lega A/Italian Cup games last season Udine scored 80.2 and conceded 86.3 per game, while the two h2h meetings were low-scoring (Trento 76-69 at Udine in May 2026, Udine 82-75 at Trento in December 2025).
BetBugs · Result after 40 minlostUdineEstimated chance55.5%

Points0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Udine 84.8, Trento 82.3. Udine score more than 83.5 points (overtime included) in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Udine have opened Serie A 2-0: 87-63 at home to Scafati on 27 Sep and 85-84 in overtime at Cantu on 5 Oct, with RaeQuan Battle scoring 24 in the second win.
- Trento have allowed 93 (90-93 home to Treviso, 3 Oct) and 94 (81-94 home to Slask Wroclaw, 6 Oct) in their two defeats, but held opponents to 73 and 78 in their two wins (83-78 at Reggiana 26 Sep, 76-73 at Neptunas 29 Sep).
- Trento's away scoring this season is modest: 83 at Reggiana in Lega A and 76 at Neptunas in the EuroCup, an average of 79.5 over two road games.
- Both sides shoot well inside: Udine 52.1% on two-pointers and 32.5% on threes over 15 tracked box scores, Trento 55.2% on two-pointers, 35.0% on threes and 78.5% from the line.
- In 13 Lega A/Italian Cup games last season Udine scored 80.2 and conceded 86.3 per game, while the two h2h meetings were low-scoring (Trento 76-69 at Udine in May 2026, Udine 82-75 at Trento in December 2025).
BetBugs · Team PointslostUdine over 83.5Estimated chance57%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Udine 84.8, Trento 82.3. Udine score more than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Udine have opened Serie A 2-0: 87-63 at home to Scafati on 27 Sep and 85-84 in overtime at Cantu on 5 Oct, with RaeQuan Battle scoring 24 in the second win.
- Trento have allowed 93 (90-93 home to Treviso, 3 Oct) and 94 (81-94 home to Slask Wroclaw, 6 Oct) in their two defeats, but held opponents to 73 and 78 in their two wins (83-78 at Reggiana 26 Sep, 76-73 at Neptunas 29 Sep).
- Trento's away scoring this season is modest: 83 at Reggiana in Lega A and 76 at Neptunas in the EuroCup, an average of 79.5 over two road games.
- Both sides shoot well inside: Udine 52.1% on two-pointers and 32.5% on threes over 15 tracked box scores, Trento 55.2% on two-pointers, 35.0% on threes and 78.5% from the line.
- In 13 Lega A/Italian Cup games last season Udine scored 80.2 and conceded 86.3 per game, while the two h2h meetings were low-scoring (Trento 76-69 at Udine in May 2026, Udine 82-75 at Trento in December 2025).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostUdine over 20.5Estimated chance56.7%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 9, 16:40

Selected line

166.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

53%

Chance of 167+ points

5 pp below break-even

Over 1.71 needs 58% to break even. BetBugs sees 53%.

Move the line main 166.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 53%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 47%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L69–76

Udinev

Trento

May 3, 2026·LEG

W75–82

Trentov

Udine

Dec 27, 2025·LEG

151Avg total points

7Avg margin

2meetings

League table

Lega Basket Serie A · Lega A - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Udine

2–0100%

Trento

1–150%

Recent Form

Udine

6W 9L · last 15

at Cantu85–84 OTOct 5LEG

vs Scafati87–63 Sep 27LEG

at Basket Napoli71–98 May 10LEG

vs Trento69–76 May 3LEG

vs Cantu95–83 Apr 25LEG

at Treviso82–92 Apr 18LEG

vs Trieste70–89 Apr 12LEG

at Cremona73–82 Apr 4LEG

vs Olimpia Milano86–83 Mar 29LEG

at Venezia94–101 Mar 14LEG

vs Varese81–92 Mar 8LEG

at Brescia64–78 Feb 18ITA

at Virtus Bologna86–90 Feb 15LEG

vs Sassari92–79 Feb 8LEG

at Tortona80–79 Jan 31LEG

Trento

7W 8L · last 15

vs Slask Wroclaw81–94 Oct 6EUR

vs Treviso90–93 Oct 3LEG

at Neptunas76–73 Sep 29EUR

at Reggiana83–78 Sep 26LEG

at Virtus Bologna95–106 May 26LEG

vs Virtus Bologna81–90 May 24LEG

vs Virtus Bologna102–85 May 22LEG

at Virtus Bologna87–84 May 19LEG

at Virtus Bologna71–102 May 17LEG

vs Olimpia Milano84–74 May 10LEG

at Udine76–69 May 3LEG

at Basket Napoli74–84 Apr 25LEG

vs Reggiana82–90 Apr 18LEG

at Tortona84–103 Apr 12LEG

at Venezia106–87 Mar 29LEG

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Udine

Stats

2–3

Trento

Trento leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 0–3

2-point %+3.1pp

52.1%

+3.1pp

55.2%

3-point %+2.5pp

32.5%

+2.5pp

35.0%

Free-throw %15/14 games+5.4pp

73.1%

+5.4pp

78.5%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s0.2pp apart

36.2%

0.2pp apart

36.4%

Free throws per shot15/14 games0.9pp apart

26.5%

0.9pp apart

27.4%

Possession· 2–0

Rebounds per game+1.1

33.2

+1.1

32.1

Turnovers per game1.8 fewer

12.0

1.8 fewer

13.8

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.