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Predictions graded

Promitheas59Panathinaikos84

Sat 10 Oct 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions11–1150%

Points by period: Promitheas and Panathinaikos.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Promitheas	7	19	14	19
Panathinaikos	21	22	27	14

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Panathinaikos travel to Patras unbeaten in the EuroLeague and with wins in all 10 most recent meetings, the latest 96-63 in April 2026.

They are the likely winners, expected around 95-79 after 40 minutes. Promitheas score well at home but have not reached 85 points against them in that run, and Panathinaikos are reported short in the backcourt. No quoted price stands out at our numbers.

Context

Panathinaikos are reported unlikely to have Nunn and Sloukas and come off a EuroLeague game two days earlier, while Hernangomez's return is unconfirmed; Promitheas have no reported absences and won 91-77 in Europe on 7 October.

Juancho Hernangomez was ruled out of Panathinaikos' EuroLeague double week in late September after a muscle spasm, missing both games and the Basket League opener. He returned to individual on-court work in early October while the rest of the squad trained fully, and on 9 October he was expected to make his comeback in the Basket League game at Promitheas. His return would give Zeljko Obradovic another frontcourt body for a trip that follows a EuroLeague win and a short turnaround. The uncertainty is whether he actually plays and how much he is used after several weeks out; Panathinaikos have not officially confirmed his return.
- Juancho Hernangomez was ruled out of Panathinaikos' EuroLeague double week in late September with a muscle spasm.
- He returned to individual on-court work in early October while his teammates trained fully.
- He was expected to be available for the Basket League game at Promitheas.
Kendrick Nunn has not featured for Panathinaikos in the opening weeks of 2026-27 and was listed among their absentees for the Basket League opener on 4 October. In early October the club highlighted his return to individual on-court work, and reports on 8-9 October placed his comeback after Juancho Hernangomez's, pointing to a later game than the trip to Promitheas. Nunn is a leading perimeter option, so his absence keeps the backcourt short for Zeljko Obradovic. The uncertainty is whether he is cleared in time for this fixture.
- Kendrick Nunn returned to individual on-court training in early October after time out.
- He was listed among the absentees for Panathinaikos' Basket League opener on 4 October.
- His return was expected to follow Juancho Hernangomez's, pointing to a later game than the Promitheas trip.
Kostas Sloukas has been working back from injury, having spoken in September about his return and the surgery he had last April. He was among the players missing for the Basket League opener on 4 October, and on 9 October his comeback was targeted at the following home league game rather than the trip to Promitheas. That leaves Panathinaikos without an experienced ball-handler as they move between EuroLeague and domestic games. The uncertainty is whether he becomes available sooner than expected.
- Kostas Sloukas spoke in September about returning from injury and the surgery he had last April.
- He was listed among the absentees for Panathinaikos' Basket League opener on 4 October.
- His return was targeted at the following home league game rather than the Promitheas trip.
Promitheas spent the opening week of October fighting to keep their place in the Basket League. Maroussi had asked for the club to be expelled from the championship, and the ESAKE athletic court rejected that request. On 9 October the club announced that the administrative court found no grounds for expulsion, and that it had also won interim measures against the competition authority's decision, meaning no points deduction. The decision removes the threat of the club being removed from the standings and confirms it plays on normally. The uncertainty is limited to further appeals.
- The ESAKE athletic court rejected Maroussi's request to expel Promitheas from the championship.
- Promitheas announced that the administrative court found no grounds to remove the club from the championship.
- The club also won interim measures against the competition authority's decision and said it faced no points deduction.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result7 of 9 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Promitheas 79.3, Panathinaikos 95.2. Panathinaikos win in about 90 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Panathinaikos won both 2025-26 Basket League meetings with Promitheas by 33 (96-63 in Patras on 4 April 2026) and 21 points (91-70 at home on 26 October 2025).
- Promitheas scored 88 in their Basket League home opener against Peristeri on 3 October 2026 and 91 at Trepca in the FIBA Europe Cup on 7 October 2026.
- Panathinaikos scored 103 in their Basket League opener against Vikos on 4 October 2026 and 92 against Fenerbahce in the EuroLeague on 8 October 2026.
- Over 15 tracked games this season Panathinaikos shot 58.2% inside the arc (319/548) and 39.2% from three (158/403).
- In the 10 most recent head-to-head meetings, Promitheas have not reached 85 points against Panathinaikos.
- Panathinaikos were without Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas in their 4 October 2026 league opener, and both are reported on 9 October 2026 as unlikely for this trip.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonPanathinaikosEstimated chance89.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Promitheas 79.3, Panathinaikos 95.2. Panathinaikos are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 88 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos won both 2025-26 Basket League meetings with Promitheas by 33 (96-63 in Patras on 4 April 2026) and 21 points (91-70 at home on 26 October 2025).
- Promitheas scored 88 in their Basket League home opener against Peristeri on 3 October 2026 and 91 at Trepca in the FIBA Europe Cup on 7 October 2026.
- Panathinaikos scored 103 in their Basket League opener against Vikos on 4 October 2026 and 92 against Fenerbahce in the EuroLeague on 8 October 2026.
- Over 15 tracked games this season Panathinaikos shot 58.2% inside the arc (319/548) and 39.2% from three (158/403).
- In the 10 most recent head-to-head meetings, Promitheas have not reached 85 points against Panathinaikos.
- Panathinaikos were without Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas in their 4 October 2026 league opener, and both are reported on 9 October 2026 as unlikely for this trip.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonPanathinaikosEstimated chance88.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Promitheas 79.3, Panathinaikos 95.2. Panathinaikos are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 81 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos won both 2025-26 Basket League meetings with Promitheas by 33 (96-63 in Patras on 4 April 2026) and 21 points (91-70 at home on 26 October 2025).
- Promitheas scored 88 in their Basket League home opener against Peristeri on 3 October 2026 and 91 at Trepca in the FIBA Europe Cup on 7 October 2026.
- Panathinaikos scored 103 in their Basket League opener against Vikos on 4 October 2026 and 92 against Fenerbahce in the EuroLeague on 8 October 2026.
- Over 15 tracked games this season Panathinaikos shot 58.2% inside the arc (319/548) and 39.2% from three (158/403).
- In the 10 most recent head-to-head meetings, Promitheas have not reached 85 points against Panathinaikos.
- Panathinaikos were without Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas in their 4 October 2026 league opener, and both are reported on 9 October 2026 as unlikely for this trip.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonPanathinaikosEstimated chance80.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Promitheas 79.3, Panathinaikos 95.2. Panathinaikos are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 73 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos won both 2025-26 Basket League meetings with Promitheas by 33 (96-63 in Patras on 4 April 2026) and 21 points (91-70 at home on 26 October 2025).
- Promitheas scored 88 in their Basket League home opener against Peristeri on 3 October 2026 and 91 at Trepca in the FIBA Europe Cup on 7 October 2026.
- Panathinaikos scored 103 in their Basket League opener against Vikos on 4 October 2026 and 92 against Fenerbahce in the EuroLeague on 8 October 2026.
- Over 15 tracked games this season Panathinaikos shot 58.2% inside the arc (319/548) and 39.2% from three (158/403).
- In the 10 most recent head-to-head meetings, Promitheas have not reached 85 points against Panathinaikos.
- Panathinaikos were without Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas in their 4 October 2026 league opener, and both are reported on 9 October 2026 as unlikely for this trip.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonPanathinaikosEstimated chance73.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Promitheas 79.3, Panathinaikos 95.2. Panathinaikos are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 68 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos won both 2025-26 Basket League meetings with Promitheas by 33 (96-63 in Patras on 4 April 2026) and 21 points (91-70 at home on 26 October 2025).
- Promitheas scored 88 in their Basket League home opener against Peristeri on 3 October 2026 and 91 at Trepca in the FIBA Europe Cup on 7 October 2026.
- Panathinaikos scored 103 in their Basket League opener against Vikos on 4 October 2026 and 92 against Fenerbahce in the EuroLeague on 8 October 2026.
- Over 15 tracked games this season Panathinaikos shot 58.2% inside the arc (319/548) and 39.2% from three (158/403).
- In the 10 most recent head-to-head meetings, Promitheas have not reached 85 points against Panathinaikos.
- Panathinaikos were without Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas in their 4 October 2026 league opener, and both are reported on 9 October 2026 as unlikely for this trip.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonPanathinaikosEstimated chance67.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Promitheas 79.3, Panathinaikos 95.2. Promitheas cover +6.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Promitheas and 15 for Panathinaikos, across seasons and competitions.
- Panathinaikos won both 2025-26 Basket League meetings with Promitheas by 33 (96-63 in Patras on 4 April 2026) and 21 points (91-70 at home on 26 October 2025).
- Promitheas scored 88 in their Basket League home opener against Peristeri on 3 October 2026 and 91 at Trepca in the FIBA Europe Cup on 7 October 2026.
- Panathinaikos scored 103 in their Basket League opener against Vikos on 4 October 2026 and 92 against Fenerbahce in the EuroLeague on 8 October 2026.
- Over 15 tracked games this season Panathinaikos shot 58.2% inside the arc (319/548) and 39.2% from three (158/403).
- In the 10 most recent head-to-head meetings, Promitheas have not reached 85 points against Panathinaikos.
- Panathinaikos were without Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas in their 4 October 2026 league opener, and both are reported on 9 October 2026 as unlikely for this trip.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostPromitheas +6.5Estimated chance66.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Promitheas 79.3, Panathinaikos 95.2. Panathinaikos are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos won both 2025-26 Basket League meetings with Promitheas by 33 (96-63 in Patras on 4 April 2026) and 21 points (91-70 at home on 26 October 2025).
- Promitheas scored 88 in their Basket League home opener against Peristeri on 3 October 2026 and 91 at Trepca in the FIBA Europe Cup on 7 October 2026.
- Panathinaikos scored 103 in their Basket League opener against Vikos on 4 October 2026 and 92 against Fenerbahce in the EuroLeague on 8 October 2026.
- Over 15 tracked games this season Panathinaikos shot 58.2% inside the arc (319/548) and 39.2% from three (158/403).
- In the 10 most recent head-to-head meetings, Promitheas have not reached 85 points against Panathinaikos.
- Panathinaikos were without Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas in their 4 October 2026 league opener, and both are reported on 9 October 2026 as unlikely for this trip.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonPanathinaikosEstimated chance65.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Promitheas 79.3, Panathinaikos 95.2. Panathinaikos cover -3.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Promitheas and 15 for Panathinaikos, across seasons and competitions.
- Panathinaikos won both 2025-26 Basket League meetings with Promitheas by 33 (96-63 in Patras on 4 April 2026) and 21 points (91-70 at home on 26 October 2025).
- Promitheas scored 88 in their Basket League home opener against Peristeri on 3 October 2026 and 91 at Trepca in the FIBA Europe Cup on 7 October 2026.
- Panathinaikos scored 103 in their Basket League opener against Vikos on 4 October 2026 and 92 against Fenerbahce in the EuroLeague on 8 October 2026.
- Over 15 tracked games this season Panathinaikos shot 58.2% inside the arc (319/548) and 39.2% from three (158/403).
- In the 10 most recent head-to-head meetings, Promitheas have not reached 85 points against Panathinaikos.
- Panathinaikos were without Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas in their 4 October 2026 league opener, and both are reported on 9 October 2026 as unlikely for this trip.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostPanathinaikos -3.5Estimated chance58.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Promitheas 79.3, Panathinaikos 95.2. Panathinaikos cover -7.5 in the 1st half in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos won both 2025-26 Basket League meetings with Promitheas by 33 (96-63 in Patras on 4 April 2026) and 21 points (91-70 at home on 26 October 2025).
- Promitheas scored 88 in their Basket League home opener against Peristeri on 3 October 2026 and 91 at Trepca in the FIBA Europe Cup on 7 October 2026.
- Panathinaikos scored 103 in their Basket League opener against Vikos on 4 October 2026 and 92 against Fenerbahce in the EuroLeague on 8 October 2026.
- Over 15 tracked games this season Panathinaikos shot 58.2% inside the arc (319/548) and 39.2% from three (158/403).
- In the 10 most recent head-to-head meetings, Promitheas have not reached 85 points against Panathinaikos.
- Panathinaikos were without Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas in their 4 October 2026 league opener, and both are reported on 9 October 2026 as unlikely for this trip.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonPanathinaikos -7.5Estimated chance55.4%

Points4 of 13 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Promitheas 79.3, Panathinaikos 95.2. The 2nd quarter has more than 38.5 points in about 77 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Promitheas and 15 for Panathinaikos, across seasons and competitions.
- Panathinaikos won both 2025-26 Basket League meetings with Promitheas by 33 (96-63 in Patras on 4 April 2026) and 21 points (91-70 at home on 26 October 2025).
- Promitheas scored 88 in their Basket League home opener against Peristeri on 3 October 2026 and 91 at Trepca in the FIBA Europe Cup on 7 October 2026.
- Panathinaikos scored 103 in their Basket League opener against Vikos on 4 October 2026 and 92 against Fenerbahce in the EuroLeague on 8 October 2026.
- Over 15 tracked games this season Panathinaikos shot 58.2% inside the arc (319/548) and 39.2% from three (158/403).
- In the 10 most recent head-to-head meetings, Promitheas have not reached 85 points against Panathinaikos.
- Panathinaikos were without Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas in their 4 October 2026 league opener, and both are reported on 9 October 2026 as unlikely for this trip.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonOver 38.5Estimated chance77.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Promitheas 79.3, Panathinaikos 95.2. Panathinaikos score more than 21.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 72 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Promitheas and 15 for Panathinaikos, across seasons and competitions.
- Panathinaikos won both 2025-26 Basket League meetings with Promitheas by 33 (96-63 in Patras on 4 April 2026) and 21 points (91-70 at home on 26 October 2025).
- Promitheas scored 88 in their Basket League home opener against Peristeri on 3 October 2026 and 91 at Trepca in the FIBA Europe Cup on 7 October 2026.
- Panathinaikos scored 103 in their Basket League opener against Vikos on 4 October 2026 and 92 against Fenerbahce in the EuroLeague on 8 October 2026.
- Over 15 tracked games this season Panathinaikos shot 58.2% inside the arc (319/548) and 39.2% from three (158/403).
- In the 10 most recent head-to-head meetings, Promitheas have not reached 85 points against Panathinaikos.
- Panathinaikos were without Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas in their 4 October 2026 league opener, and both are reported on 9 October 2026 as unlikely for this trip.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonPanathinaikos over 21.5Estimated chance71.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Promitheas 79.3, Panathinaikos 95.2. Promitheas score more than 17.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 68 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Promitheas and 15 for Panathinaikos, across seasons and competitions.
- Panathinaikos won both 2025-26 Basket League meetings with Promitheas by 33 (96-63 in Patras on 4 April 2026) and 21 points (91-70 at home on 26 October 2025).
- Promitheas scored 88 in their Basket League home opener against Peristeri on 3 October 2026 and 91 at Trepca in the FIBA Europe Cup on 7 October 2026.
- Panathinaikos scored 103 in their Basket League opener against Vikos on 4 October 2026 and 92 against Fenerbahce in the EuroLeague on 8 October 2026.
- Over 15 tracked games this season Panathinaikos shot 58.2% inside the arc (319/548) and 39.2% from three (158/403).
- In the 10 most recent head-to-head meetings, Promitheas have not reached 85 points against Panathinaikos.
- Panathinaikos were without Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas in their 4 October 2026 league opener, and both are reported on 9 October 2026 as unlikely for this trip.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostPromitheas over 17.5Estimated chance67.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Promitheas 79.3, Panathinaikos 95.2. The game has more than 168.5 points (overtime included) in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos won both 2025-26 Basket League meetings with Promitheas by 33 (96-63 in Patras on 4 April 2026) and 21 points (91-70 at home on 26 October 2025).
- Promitheas scored 88 in their Basket League home opener against Peristeri on 3 October 2026 and 91 at Trepca in the FIBA Europe Cup on 7 October 2026.
- Panathinaikos scored 103 in their Basket League opener against Vikos on 4 October 2026 and 92 against Fenerbahce in the EuroLeague on 8 October 2026.
- Over 15 tracked games this season Panathinaikos shot 58.2% inside the arc (319/548) and 39.2% from three (158/403).
- In the 10 most recent head-to-head meetings, Promitheas have not reached 85 points against Panathinaikos.
- Panathinaikos were without Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas in their 4 October 2026 league opener, and both are reported on 9 October 2026 as unlikely for this trip.
BetBugs · Total PointslostOver 168.5Estimated chance65.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Promitheas 79.3, Panathinaikos 95.2. The 1st half has more than 83.5 points in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos won both 2025-26 Basket League meetings with Promitheas by 33 (96-63 in Patras on 4 April 2026) and 21 points (91-70 at home on 26 October 2025).
- Promitheas scored 88 in their Basket League home opener against Peristeri on 3 October 2026 and 91 at Trepca in the FIBA Europe Cup on 7 October 2026.
- Panathinaikos scored 103 in their Basket League opener against Vikos on 4 October 2026 and 92 against Fenerbahce in the EuroLeague on 8 October 2026.
- Over 15 tracked games this season Panathinaikos shot 58.2% inside the arc (319/548) and 39.2% from three (158/403).
- In the 10 most recent head-to-head meetings, Promitheas have not reached 85 points against Panathinaikos.
- Panathinaikos were without Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas in their 4 October 2026 league opener, and both are reported on 9 October 2026 as unlikely for this trip.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostOver 83.5Estimated chance64.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Promitheas 79.3, Panathinaikos 95.2. Panathinaikos score more than 45.5 points in the 1st half in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos won both 2025-26 Basket League meetings with Promitheas by 33 (96-63 in Patras on 4 April 2026) and 21 points (91-70 at home on 26 October 2025).
- Promitheas scored 88 in their Basket League home opener against Peristeri on 3 October 2026 and 91 at Trepca in the FIBA Europe Cup on 7 October 2026.
- Panathinaikos scored 103 in their Basket League opener against Vikos on 4 October 2026 and 92 against Fenerbahce in the EuroLeague on 8 October 2026.
- Over 15 tracked games this season Panathinaikos shot 58.2% inside the arc (319/548) and 39.2% from three (158/403).
- In the 10 most recent head-to-head meetings, Promitheas have not reached 85 points against Panathinaikos.
- Panathinaikos were without Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas in their 4 October 2026 league opener, and both are reported on 9 October 2026 as unlikely for this trip.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostPanathinaikos over 45.5Estimated chance64.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Promitheas 79.3, Panathinaikos 95.2. Panathinaikos score more than 92.5 points (overtime included) in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos won both 2025-26 Basket League meetings with Promitheas by 33 (96-63 in Patras on 4 April 2026) and 21 points (91-70 at home on 26 October 2025).
- Promitheas scored 88 in their Basket League home opener against Peristeri on 3 October 2026 and 91 at Trepca in the FIBA Europe Cup on 7 October 2026.
- Panathinaikos scored 103 in their Basket League opener against Vikos on 4 October 2026 and 92 against Fenerbahce in the EuroLeague on 8 October 2026.
- Over 15 tracked games this season Panathinaikos shot 58.2% inside the arc (319/548) and 39.2% from three (158/403).
- In the 10 most recent head-to-head meetings, Promitheas have not reached 85 points against Panathinaikos.
- Panathinaikos were without Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas in their 4 October 2026 league opener, and both are reported on 9 October 2026 as unlikely for this trip.
BetBugs · Team PointslostPanathinaikos over 92.5Estimated chance61.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Promitheas 79.3, Panathinaikos 95.2. Promitheas score more than 76.5 points (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos won both 2025-26 Basket League meetings with Promitheas by 33 (96-63 in Patras on 4 April 2026) and 21 points (91-70 at home on 26 October 2025).
- Promitheas scored 88 in their Basket League home opener against Peristeri on 3 October 2026 and 91 at Trepca in the FIBA Europe Cup on 7 October 2026.
- Panathinaikos scored 103 in their Basket League opener against Vikos on 4 October 2026 and 92 against Fenerbahce in the EuroLeague on 8 October 2026.
- Over 15 tracked games this season Panathinaikos shot 58.2% inside the arc (319/548) and 39.2% from three (158/403).
- In the 10 most recent head-to-head meetings, Promitheas have not reached 85 points against Panathinaikos.
- Panathinaikos were without Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas in their 4 October 2026 league opener, and both are reported on 9 October 2026 as unlikely for this trip.
BetBugs · Team PointslostPromitheas over 76.5Estimated chance60.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Promitheas 79.3, Panathinaikos 95.2. Promitheas score more than 37.5 points in the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos won both 2025-26 Basket League meetings with Promitheas by 33 (96-63 in Patras on 4 April 2026) and 21 points (91-70 at home on 26 October 2025).
- Promitheas scored 88 in their Basket League home opener against Peristeri on 3 October 2026 and 91 at Trepca in the FIBA Europe Cup on 7 October 2026.
- Panathinaikos scored 103 in their Basket League opener against Vikos on 4 October 2026 and 92 against Fenerbahce in the EuroLeague on 8 October 2026.
- Over 15 tracked games this season Panathinaikos shot 58.2% inside the arc (319/548) and 39.2% from three (158/403).
- In the 10 most recent head-to-head meetings, Promitheas have not reached 85 points against Panathinaikos.
- Panathinaikos were without Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas in their 4 October 2026 league opener, and both are reported on 9 October 2026 as unlikely for this trip.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostPromitheas over 37.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Promitheas 79.3, Panathinaikos 95.2. Panathinaikos score fewer than 24.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Promitheas and 15 for Panathinaikos, across seasons and competitions.
- Panathinaikos won both 2025-26 Basket League meetings with Promitheas by 33 (96-63 in Patras on 4 April 2026) and 21 points (91-70 at home on 26 October 2025).
- Promitheas scored 88 in their Basket League home opener against Peristeri on 3 October 2026 and 91 at Trepca in the FIBA Europe Cup on 7 October 2026.
- Panathinaikos scored 103 in their Basket League opener against Vikos on 4 October 2026 and 92 against Fenerbahce in the EuroLeague on 8 October 2026.
- Over 15 tracked games this season Panathinaikos shot 58.2% inside the arc (319/548) and 39.2% from three (158/403).
- In the 10 most recent head-to-head meetings, Promitheas have not reached 85 points against Panathinaikos.
- Panathinaikos were without Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas in their 4 October 2026 league opener, and both are reported on 9 October 2026 as unlikely for this trip.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostPanathinaikos under 24.5Estimated chance59.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Promitheas 79.3, Panathinaikos 95.2. Promitheas score fewer than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Promitheas and 15 for Panathinaikos, across seasons and competitions.
- Panathinaikos won both 2025-26 Basket League meetings with Promitheas by 33 (96-63 in Patras on 4 April 2026) and 21 points (91-70 at home on 26 October 2025).
- Promitheas scored 88 in their Basket League home opener against Peristeri on 3 October 2026 and 91 at Trepca in the FIBA Europe Cup on 7 October 2026.
- Panathinaikos scored 103 in their Basket League opener against Vikos on 4 October 2026 and 92 against Fenerbahce in the EuroLeague on 8 October 2026.
- Over 15 tracked games this season Panathinaikos shot 58.2% inside the arc (319/548) and 39.2% from three (158/403).
- In the 10 most recent head-to-head meetings, Promitheas have not reached 85 points against Panathinaikos.
- Panathinaikos were without Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas in their 4 October 2026 league opener, and both are reported on 9 October 2026 as unlikely for this trip.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonPromitheas under 20.5Estimated chance58.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Promitheas 79.3, Panathinaikos 95.2. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 44.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Promitheas and 15 for Panathinaikos, across seasons and competitions.
- Panathinaikos won both 2025-26 Basket League meetings with Promitheas by 33 (96-63 in Patras on 4 April 2026) and 21 points (91-70 at home on 26 October 2025).
- Promitheas scored 88 in their Basket League home opener against Peristeri on 3 October 2026 and 91 at Trepca in the FIBA Europe Cup on 7 October 2026.
- Panathinaikos scored 103 in their Basket League opener against Vikos on 4 October 2026 and 92 against Fenerbahce in the EuroLeague on 8 October 2026.
- Over 15 tracked games this season Panathinaikos shot 58.2% inside the arc (319/548) and 39.2% from three (158/403).
- In the 10 most recent head-to-head meetings, Promitheas have not reached 85 points against Panathinaikos.
- Panathinaikos were without Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas in their 4 October 2026 league opener, and both are reported on 9 October 2026 as unlikely for this trip.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 44.5Estimated chance57.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Promitheas 79.3, Panathinaikos 95.2. The 1st quarter has more than 42.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos won both 2025-26 Basket League meetings with Promitheas by 33 (96-63 in Patras on 4 April 2026) and 21 points (91-70 at home on 26 October 2025).
- Promitheas scored 88 in their Basket League home opener against Peristeri on 3 October 2026 and 91 at Trepca in the FIBA Europe Cup on 7 October 2026.
- Panathinaikos scored 103 in their Basket League opener against Vikos on 4 October 2026 and 92 against Fenerbahce in the EuroLeague on 8 October 2026.
- Over 15 tracked games this season Panathinaikos shot 58.2% inside the arc (319/548) and 39.2% from three (158/403).
- In the 10 most recent head-to-head meetings, Promitheas have not reached 85 points against Panathinaikos.
- Panathinaikos were without Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas in their 4 October 2026 league opener, and both are reported on 9 October 2026 as unlikely for this trip.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointslostOver 42.5Estimated chance56.3%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 9, 15:33

Selected line

168.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

65%

Chance of 169+ points

+12 pp above break-even

Over 1.90 needs 53% to break even. BetBugs sees 65%.

Move the line main 168.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 65%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 35%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L63–96

Promitheasv

Panathinaikos

Apr 4, 2026·BAS

L91–70

Panathinaikosv

Promitheas

Oct 26, 2025·BAS

L59–97

Promitheasv

Panathinaikos

May 14, 2025·BAS

L101–69

Panathinaikosv

Promitheas

May 12, 2025·BAS

L73–91

Promitheasv

Panathinaikos

Feb 14, 2025·GRE

L78–84

Promitheasv

Panathinaikos

Jan 25, 2025·BAS

L92–67

Panathinaikosv

Promitheas

Nov 3, 2024·BAS

L90–82

Panathinaikosv

Promitheas

May 10, 2024·BAS

L93–62

Panathinaikosv

Promitheas

Mar 25, 2024·BAS

L54–69

Promitheasv

Panathinaikos

Dec 24, 2023·BAS

158.1Avg total points

22.7Avg margin

10meetings

League table

Basket League · Basket League - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Promitheas

0–10%

Panathinaikos

1–0100%

Recent Form

Promitheas

5W 10L · last 15

at Trepca91–77 Oct 7FIB

vs Peristeri88–94 Oct 3BAS

vs Vechta73–103 Sep 19CL

vs Korfez Basket94–93 Sep 17CL

vs Vienna Basket92–82 Sep 15CL

vs Iraklis97–85 Apr 25BAS

at AS Karditsas79–95 Apr 18BAS

vs Panathinaikos63–96 Apr 4BAS

at PAOK70–100 Mar 28BAS

vs Kolossos Rhodes76–98 Mar 21BAS

at Mykonos99–89 Mar 14BAS

at AEK Athens85–102 Mar 7BAS

vs Peristeri77–84 Feb 14BAS

at Olympiacos87–102 Feb 8BAS

vs Maroussi92–100 Feb 4GRE

Panathinaikos

11W 4L · last 15

vs Fenerbahce92–74 Oct 8EUR

vs Vikos103–74 Oct 4BAS

vs Maccabi Tel Aviv90–67 Oct 2EUR

vs Lyon-Villeurbanne102–79 Sep 30EUR

vs PAOK82–84 Sep 26SUP

vs Paris91–72 Sep 24EUR

at Olympiacos85–89 Jun 13BAS

vs Olympiacos93–86 OTJun 10BAS

at Olympiacos92–102 Jun 8BAS

vs Olympiacos68–58 Jun 5BAS

at Olympiacos76–82 Jun 3BAS

at PAOK102–94 May 30BAS

vs PAOK114–102 OTMay 28BAS

at Mykonos90–76 May 17BAS

vs Mykonos99–75 May 15BAS

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Promitheas

14 games

Stats

0–5

Panathinaikos

Panathinaikos leads in 5 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 0–3

2-point %+3.1pp

55.1%

+3.1pp

58.2%

3-point %+2.3pp

36.9%

+2.3pp

39.2%

Free-throw %14/12 games+4.5pp

75.5%

+4.5pp

80.0%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s1.3pp apart

35.1%

1.3pp apart

33.8%

Free throws per shot14/12 games3.7pp apart

40.0%

3.7pp apart

36.3%

Possession· 0–2

Rebounds per game+2.8

27.1

+2.8

29.9

Turnovers per game3.4 fewer

14.0

3.4 fewer

10.6

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.