ABA LeagueFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Perspektiva Ilirija76Spartak Subotica82

Sat 10 Oct 2026, 15:30 Predictions graded

Predictions16–867%

Points by period: Perspektiva Ilirija and Spartak Subotica.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Perspektiva Ilirija	23	16	18	19
Spartak Subotica	17	21	27	17

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Both teams are 0-1 in the ABA League and had almost identical rest after Wednesday games.

Spartak Subotica look the stronger side, with an expected score of about 84-79 after 40 minutes. Ilirija shoot better inside the arc and won the November 2025 home meeting 78-75, but Spartak took the most recent clash 104-86. No bookmaker prices were available, so no price can be backed.

Context

Both teams played on 7 October and had about three days of rest. Ilirija carry two home defeats into the game, while Spartak switch back from a 32-point European win, so the playing conditions are ordinary and roughly even.

Spartak Subotica began Basketball Champions League play with a 32-point home win over Rasta Vechta, then had three days before the ABA League Round 3 game away to Perspektiva Ilirija. A lopsided European win points to a functioning offence and good rhythm, but it does not establish which players the coaching staff will use or how the minutes will be shared in Ljubljana. The quick switch between competitions is the open question.
- Spartak Subotica beat Rasta Vechta 96-64 on 7 October in the Basketball Champions League.
- The win came in Spartak Subotica's opening game of the 2026/27 Champions League group phase.
Perspektiva Ilirija have lost their two most recent games, both at home: an ABA League defeat to Dubai and a one-point Slovenian league loss to Krka decided at the buzzer. They now host Spartak Subotica in ABA League Round 3 at the same Ljubljana hall. The pattern of narrow late-game outcomes is the main form concern, while the results alone do not settle how the rebuilt rotation will cope with a stronger regional opponent.
- Dubai Basketball won 85-70 at Perspektiva Ilirija on 4 October.
- Krka beat Perspektiva Ilirija 83-82 on 7 October after Blaž Mahkovic made a three at the buzzer.
- Both defeats came in Ljubljana.
Perspektiva Ilirija start their second ABA League season with a new head coach and a largely rebuilt roster, so the rotation and on-court hierarchy are still forming in the opening rounds. Edo Murić is the most experienced player and the designated on-court leader around a group of recruits, several of whom are taking their first senior steps in the regional league. How quickly that group has come together is the central uncertainty for this Round 3 home game against Spartak Subotica.
- Gašper Okorn replaced Stipe Modrić as Perspektiva Ilirija head coach for the 2026/27 season.
- Edo Murić, Bine Gabrijel, Lovro Faganel, Radoslav Stanislav Raykov and Lian Boisa are the five players retained from last season.
- Nine players arrived over the summer, among them Jan Copot, Hunter Dean, Cameron Shelton, Gal Čop, Matej Čibej, Cole Hargrove, Vit Hrabar and Stefan Todorović.
Spartak Subotica are competing in two competitions at once, so the ABA League meeting with Perspektiva Ilirija falls inside a stretch of European and regional fixtures. Group F includes Cholet Basket, Hapoel Holon and Rasta Vechta, and the club's European commitments can shape how heavily the coaching staff uses mainstays such as Jalon Pipkins, Danilo Nikolić and Igor Drobnjak. Any rotation or rest decision for this specific game has not been confirmed.
- Spartak Subotica are drawn in Basketball Champions League Group F with Cholet Basket, Hapoel Holon and Rasta Vechta.
- The group opened on 6 October, with Spartak Subotica playing their opener the following day.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result6 of 9 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, Spartak Subotica 84.3. Perspektiva Ilirija cover +5.5 in the 1st quarter in about 72 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for Spartak Subotica, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija scored 70 at home to Dubai in the ABA League (4 Oct 2026) and 82 at home to Krka in the Slovenian league (7 Oct 2026), losing both.
- Spartak average 37.5 rebounds over 11 tracked box scores versus Ilirija's 32.6 over 15, and shoot 50.7% on two-pointers against Ilirija's 54.3%.
- Spartak beat Vechta 96-64 in the Champions League on 7 Oct 2026 but lost their ABA opener 79-95 at home to Bosna on 3 Oct 2026.
- Ilirija kept only five players from last season and brought in nine newcomers under new coach Gasper Okorn (ABA League, 19 Sep 2026).
- The two 2025-26 meetings split: Spartak won 104-86 at home (11 Jan 2026) and Ilirija won 78-75 at home (10 Nov 2025).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapwonPerspektiva Ilirija +5.5Estimated chance72.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, Spartak Subotica 84.3. Spartak Subotica cover +2.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 72 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for Spartak Subotica, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija scored 70 at home to Dubai in the ABA League (4 Oct 2026) and 82 at home to Krka in the Slovenian league (7 Oct 2026), losing both.
- Spartak average 37.5 rebounds over 11 tracked box scores versus Ilirija's 32.6 over 15, and shoot 50.7% on two-pointers against Ilirija's 54.3%.
- Spartak beat Vechta 96-64 in the Champions League on 7 Oct 2026 but lost their ABA opener 79-95 at home to Bosna on 3 Oct 2026.
- Ilirija kept only five players from last season and brought in nine newcomers under new coach Gasper Okorn (ABA League, 19 Sep 2026).
- The two 2025-26 meetings split: Spartak won 104-86 at home (11 Jan 2026) and Ilirija won 78-75 at home (10 Nov 2025).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonSpartak Subotica +2.5Estimated chance71.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, Spartak Subotica 84.3. Spartak Subotica win in about 66 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Ilirija scored 70 at home to Dubai in the ABA League (4 Oct 2026) and 82 at home to Krka in the Slovenian league (7 Oct 2026), losing both.
- Spartak average 37.5 rebounds over 11 tracked box scores versus Ilirija's 32.6 over 15, and shoot 50.7% on two-pointers against Ilirija's 54.3%.
- Spartak beat Vechta 96-64 in the Champions League on 7 Oct 2026 but lost their ABA opener 79-95 at home to Bosna on 3 Oct 2026.
- Ilirija kept only five players from last season and brought in nine newcomers under new coach Gasper Okorn (ABA League, 19 Sep 2026).
- The two 2025-26 meetings split: Spartak won 104-86 at home (11 Jan 2026) and Ilirija won 78-75 at home (10 Nov 2025).
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonSpartak SuboticaEstimated chance66.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, Spartak Subotica 84.3. Spartak Subotica cover -0.5 (overtime included) in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for Spartak Subotica, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija scored 70 at home to Dubai in the ABA League (4 Oct 2026) and 82 at home to Krka in the Slovenian league (7 Oct 2026), losing both.
- Spartak average 37.5 rebounds over 11 tracked box scores versus Ilirija's 32.6 over 15, and shoot 50.7% on two-pointers against Ilirija's 54.3%.
- Spartak beat Vechta 96-64 in the Champions League on 7 Oct 2026 but lost their ABA opener 79-95 at home to Bosna on 3 Oct 2026.
- Ilirija kept only five players from last season and brought in nine newcomers under new coach Gasper Okorn (ABA League, 19 Sep 2026).
- The two 2025-26 meetings split: Spartak won 104-86 at home (11 Jan 2026) and Ilirija won 78-75 at home (10 Nov 2025).
BetBugs · HandicapwonSpartak Subotica -0.5Estimated chance66.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, Spartak Subotica 84.3. Spartak Subotica are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Ilirija scored 70 at home to Dubai in the ABA League (4 Oct 2026) and 82 at home to Krka in the Slovenian league (7 Oct 2026), losing both.
- Spartak average 37.5 rebounds over 11 tracked box scores versus Ilirija's 32.6 over 15, and shoot 50.7% on two-pointers against Ilirija's 54.3%.
- Spartak beat Vechta 96-64 in the Champions League on 7 Oct 2026 but lost their ABA opener 79-95 at home to Bosna on 3 Oct 2026.
- Ilirija kept only five players from last season and brought in nine newcomers under new coach Gasper Okorn (ABA League, 19 Sep 2026).
- The two 2025-26 meetings split: Spartak won 104-86 at home (11 Jan 2026) and Ilirija won 78-75 at home (10 Nov 2025).
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonSpartak SuboticaEstimated chance64.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, Spartak Subotica 84.3. Perspektiva Ilirija cover +3.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for Spartak Subotica, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija scored 70 at home to Dubai in the ABA League (4 Oct 2026) and 82 at home to Krka in the Slovenian league (7 Oct 2026), losing both.
- Spartak average 37.5 rebounds over 11 tracked box scores versus Ilirija's 32.6 over 15, and shoot 50.7% on two-pointers against Ilirija's 54.3%.
- Spartak beat Vechta 96-64 in the Champions League on 7 Oct 2026 but lost their ABA opener 79-95 at home to Bosna on 3 Oct 2026.
- Ilirija kept only five players from last season and brought in nine newcomers under new coach Gasper Okorn (ABA League, 19 Sep 2026).
- The two 2025-26 meetings split: Spartak won 104-86 at home (11 Jan 2026) and Ilirija won 78-75 at home (10 Nov 2025).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostPerspektiva Ilirija +3.5Estimated chance62.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, Spartak Subotica 84.3. Spartak Subotica are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Ilirija scored 70 at home to Dubai in the ABA League (4 Oct 2026) and 82 at home to Krka in the Slovenian league (7 Oct 2026), losing both.
- Spartak average 37.5 rebounds over 11 tracked box scores versus Ilirija's 32.6 over 15, and shoot 50.7% on two-pointers against Ilirija's 54.3%.
- Spartak beat Vechta 96-64 in the Champions League on 7 Oct 2026 but lost their ABA opener 79-95 at home to Bosna on 3 Oct 2026.
- Ilirija kept only five players from last season and brought in nine newcomers under new coach Gasper Okorn (ABA League, 19 Sep 2026).
- The two 2025-26 meetings split: Spartak won 104-86 at home (11 Jan 2026) and Ilirija won 78-75 at home (10 Nov 2025).
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultlostSpartak SuboticaEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, Spartak Subotica 84.3. Spartak Subotica cover -0.5 in the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for Spartak Subotica, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija scored 70 at home to Dubai in the ABA League (4 Oct 2026) and 82 at home to Krka in the Slovenian league (7 Oct 2026), losing both.
- Spartak average 37.5 rebounds over 11 tracked box scores versus Ilirija's 32.6 over 15, and shoot 50.7% on two-pointers against Ilirija's 54.3%.
- Spartak beat Vechta 96-64 in the Champions League on 7 Oct 2026 but lost their ABA opener 79-95 at home to Bosna on 3 Oct 2026.
- Ilirija kept only five players from last season and brought in nine newcomers under new coach Gasper Okorn (ABA League, 19 Sep 2026).
- The two 2025-26 meetings split: Spartak won 104-86 at home (11 Jan 2026) and Ilirija won 78-75 at home (10 Nov 2025).
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicaplostSpartak Subotica -0.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, Spartak Subotica 84.3. Spartak Subotica are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Ilirija scored 70 at home to Dubai in the ABA League (4 Oct 2026) and 82 at home to Krka in the Slovenian league (7 Oct 2026), losing both.
- Spartak average 37.5 rebounds over 11 tracked box scores versus Ilirija's 32.6 over 15, and shoot 50.7% on two-pointers against Ilirija's 54.3%.
- Spartak beat Vechta 96-64 in the Champions League on 7 Oct 2026 but lost their ABA opener 79-95 at home to Bosna on 3 Oct 2026.
- Ilirija kept only five players from last season and brought in nine newcomers under new coach Gasper Okorn (ABA League, 19 Sep 2026).
- The two 2025-26 meetings split: Spartak won 104-86 at home (11 Jan 2026) and Ilirija won 78-75 at home (10 Nov 2025).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonSpartak SuboticaEstimated chance56.4%

Points10 of 15 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, Spartak Subotica 84.3. Spartak Subotica score more than 15.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 85 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for Spartak Subotica, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija scored 70 at home to Dubai in the ABA League (4 Oct 2026) and 82 at home to Krka in the Slovenian league (7 Oct 2026), losing both.
- Spartak average 37.5 rebounds over 11 tracked box scores versus Ilirija's 32.6 over 15, and shoot 50.7% on two-pointers against Ilirija's 54.3%.
- Spartak beat Vechta 96-64 in the Champions League on 7 Oct 2026 but lost their ABA opener 79-95 at home to Bosna on 3 Oct 2026.
- Ilirija kept only five players from last season and brought in nine newcomers under new coach Gasper Okorn (ABA League, 19 Sep 2026).
- The two 2025-26 meetings split: Spartak won 104-86 at home (11 Jan 2026) and Ilirija won 78-75 at home (10 Nov 2025).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonSpartak Subotica over 15.5Estimated chance84.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, Spartak Subotica 84.3. Spartak Subotica score more than 75.5 points (overtime included) in about 81 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for Spartak Subotica, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija scored 70 at home to Dubai in the ABA League (4 Oct 2026) and 82 at home to Krka in the Slovenian league (7 Oct 2026), losing both.
- Spartak average 37.5 rebounds over 11 tracked box scores versus Ilirija's 32.6 over 15, and shoot 50.7% on two-pointers against Ilirija's 54.3%.
- Spartak beat Vechta 96-64 in the Champions League on 7 Oct 2026 but lost their ABA opener 79-95 at home to Bosna on 3 Oct 2026.
- Ilirija kept only five players from last season and brought in nine newcomers under new coach Gasper Okorn (ABA League, 19 Sep 2026).
- The two 2025-26 meetings split: Spartak won 104-86 at home (11 Jan 2026) and Ilirija won 78-75 at home (10 Nov 2025).
BetBugs · Team PointswonSpartak Subotica over 75.5Estimated chance81.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, Spartak Subotica 84.3. Perspektiva Ilirija score fewer than 23.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 77 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for Spartak Subotica, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija scored 70 at home to Dubai in the ABA League (4 Oct 2026) and 82 at home to Krka in the Slovenian league (7 Oct 2026), losing both.
- Spartak average 37.5 rebounds over 11 tracked box scores versus Ilirija's 32.6 over 15, and shoot 50.7% on two-pointers against Ilirija's 54.3%.
- Spartak beat Vechta 96-64 in the Champions League on 7 Oct 2026 but lost their ABA opener 79-95 at home to Bosna on 3 Oct 2026.
- Ilirija kept only five players from last season and brought in nine newcomers under new coach Gasper Okorn (ABA League, 19 Sep 2026).
- The two 2025-26 meetings split: Spartak won 104-86 at home (11 Jan 2026) and Ilirija won 78-75 at home (10 Nov 2025).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonPerspektiva Ilirija under 23.5Estimated chance77%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, Spartak Subotica 84.3. Spartak Subotica score more than 17.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 76 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for Spartak Subotica, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija scored 70 at home to Dubai in the ABA League (4 Oct 2026) and 82 at home to Krka in the Slovenian league (7 Oct 2026), losing both.
- Spartak average 37.5 rebounds over 11 tracked box scores versus Ilirija's 32.6 over 15, and shoot 50.7% on two-pointers against Ilirija's 54.3%.
- Spartak beat Vechta 96-64 in the Champions League on 7 Oct 2026 but lost their ABA opener 79-95 at home to Bosna on 3 Oct 2026.
- Ilirija kept only five players from last season and brought in nine newcomers under new coach Gasper Okorn (ABA League, 19 Sep 2026).
- The two 2025-26 meetings split: Spartak won 104-86 at home (11 Jan 2026) and Ilirija won 78-75 at home (10 Nov 2025).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostSpartak Subotica over 17.5Estimated chance75.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, Spartak Subotica 84.3. Spartak Subotica score more than 37.5 points in the 1st half in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for Spartak Subotica, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija scored 70 at home to Dubai in the ABA League (4 Oct 2026) and 82 at home to Krka in the Slovenian league (7 Oct 2026), losing both.
- Spartak average 37.5 rebounds over 11 tracked box scores versus Ilirija's 32.6 over 15, and shoot 50.7% on two-pointers against Ilirija's 54.3%.
- Spartak beat Vechta 96-64 in the Champions League on 7 Oct 2026 but lost their ABA opener 79-95 at home to Bosna on 3 Oct 2026.
- Ilirija kept only five players from last season and brought in nine newcomers under new coach Gasper Okorn (ABA League, 19 Sep 2026).
- The two 2025-26 meetings split: Spartak won 104-86 at home (11 Jan 2026) and Ilirija won 78-75 at home (10 Nov 2025).
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonSpartak Subotica over 37.5Estimated chance75.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, Spartak Subotica 84.3. The 2nd quarter has more than 37.5 points in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for Spartak Subotica, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija scored 70 at home to Dubai in the ABA League (4 Oct 2026) and 82 at home to Krka in the Slovenian league (7 Oct 2026), losing both.
- Spartak average 37.5 rebounds over 11 tracked box scores versus Ilirija's 32.6 over 15, and shoot 50.7% on two-pointers against Ilirija's 54.3%.
- Spartak beat Vechta 96-64 in the Champions League on 7 Oct 2026 but lost their ABA opener 79-95 at home to Bosna on 3 Oct 2026.
- Ilirija kept only five players from last season and brought in nine newcomers under new coach Gasper Okorn (ABA League, 19 Sep 2026).
- The two 2025-26 meetings split: Spartak won 104-86 at home (11 Jan 2026) and Ilirija won 78-75 at home (10 Nov 2025).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointslostOver 37.5Estimated chance68.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, Spartak Subotica 84.3. Perspektiva Ilirija score more than 74.5 points (overtime included) in about 68 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for Spartak Subotica, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija scored 70 at home to Dubai in the ABA League (4 Oct 2026) and 82 at home to Krka in the Slovenian league (7 Oct 2026), losing both.
- Spartak average 37.5 rebounds over 11 tracked box scores versus Ilirija's 32.6 over 15, and shoot 50.7% on two-pointers against Ilirija's 54.3%.
- Spartak beat Vechta 96-64 in the Champions League on 7 Oct 2026 but lost their ABA opener 79-95 at home to Bosna on 3 Oct 2026.
- Ilirija kept only five players from last season and brought in nine newcomers under new coach Gasper Okorn (ABA League, 19 Sep 2026).
- The two 2025-26 meetings split: Spartak won 104-86 at home (11 Jan 2026) and Ilirija won 78-75 at home (10 Nov 2025).
BetBugs · Team PointswonPerspektiva Ilirija over 74.5Estimated chance67.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, Spartak Subotica 84.3. Perspektiva Ilirija score fewer than 42.5 points in the 1st half in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for Spartak Subotica, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija scored 70 at home to Dubai in the ABA League (4 Oct 2026) and 82 at home to Krka in the Slovenian league (7 Oct 2026), losing both.
- Spartak average 37.5 rebounds over 11 tracked box scores versus Ilirija's 32.6 over 15, and shoot 50.7% on two-pointers against Ilirija's 54.3%.
- Spartak beat Vechta 96-64 in the Champions League on 7 Oct 2026 but lost their ABA opener 79-95 at home to Bosna on 3 Oct 2026.
- Ilirija kept only five players from last season and brought in nine newcomers under new coach Gasper Okorn (ABA League, 19 Sep 2026).
- The two 2025-26 meetings split: Spartak won 104-86 at home (11 Jan 2026) and Ilirija won 78-75 at home (10 Nov 2025).
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonPerspektiva Ilirija under 42.5Estimated chance66.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, Spartak Subotica 84.3. The game has more than 158.5 points (overtime included) in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for Spartak Subotica, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija scored 70 at home to Dubai in the ABA League (4 Oct 2026) and 82 at home to Krka in the Slovenian league (7 Oct 2026), losing both.
- Spartak average 37.5 rebounds over 11 tracked box scores versus Ilirija's 32.6 over 15, and shoot 50.7% on two-pointers against Ilirija's 54.3%.
- Spartak beat Vechta 96-64 in the Champions League on 7 Oct 2026 but lost their ABA opener 79-95 at home to Bosna on 3 Oct 2026.
- Ilirija kept only five players from last season and brought in nine newcomers under new coach Gasper Okorn (ABA League, 19 Sep 2026).
- The two 2025-26 meetings split: Spartak won 104-86 at home (11 Jan 2026) and Ilirija won 78-75 at home (10 Nov 2025).
BetBugs · Total PointslostOver 158.5Estimated chance63.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, Spartak Subotica 84.3. The 1st half has more than 79.5 points in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for Spartak Subotica, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija scored 70 at home to Dubai in the ABA League (4 Oct 2026) and 82 at home to Krka in the Slovenian league (7 Oct 2026), losing both.
- Spartak average 37.5 rebounds over 11 tracked box scores versus Ilirija's 32.6 over 15, and shoot 50.7% on two-pointers against Ilirija's 54.3%.
- Spartak beat Vechta 96-64 in the Champions League on 7 Oct 2026 but lost their ABA opener 79-95 at home to Bosna on 3 Oct 2026.
- Ilirija kept only five players from last season and brought in nine newcomers under new coach Gasper Okorn (ABA League, 19 Sep 2026).
- The two 2025-26 meetings split: Spartak won 104-86 at home (11 Jan 2026) and Ilirija won 78-75 at home (10 Nov 2025).
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostOver 79.5Estimated chance58.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, Spartak Subotica 84.3. The 1st quarter has more than 39.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for Spartak Subotica, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija scored 70 at home to Dubai in the ABA League (4 Oct 2026) and 82 at home to Krka in the Slovenian league (7 Oct 2026), losing both.
- Spartak average 37.5 rebounds over 11 tracked box scores versus Ilirija's 32.6 over 15, and shoot 50.7% on two-pointers against Ilirija's 54.3%.
- Spartak beat Vechta 96-64 in the Champions League on 7 Oct 2026 but lost their ABA opener 79-95 at home to Bosna on 3 Oct 2026.
- Ilirija kept only five players from last season and brought in nine newcomers under new coach Gasper Okorn (ABA League, 19 Sep 2026).
- The two 2025-26 meetings split: Spartak won 104-86 at home (11 Jan 2026) and Ilirija won 78-75 at home (10 Nov 2025).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonOver 39.5Estimated chance57.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, Spartak Subotica 84.3. Perspektiva Ilirija score fewer than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for Spartak Subotica, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija scored 70 at home to Dubai in the ABA League (4 Oct 2026) and 82 at home to Krka in the Slovenian league (7 Oct 2026), losing both.
- Spartak average 37.5 rebounds over 11 tracked box scores versus Ilirija's 32.6 over 15, and shoot 50.7% on two-pointers against Ilirija's 54.3%.
- Spartak beat Vechta 96-64 in the Champions League on 7 Oct 2026 but lost their ABA opener 79-95 at home to Bosna on 3 Oct 2026.
- Ilirija kept only five players from last season and brought in nine newcomers under new coach Gasper Okorn (ABA League, 19 Sep 2026).
- The two 2025-26 meetings split: Spartak won 104-86 at home (11 Jan 2026) and Ilirija won 78-75 at home (10 Nov 2025).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonPerspektiva Ilirija under 20.5Estimated chance56.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, Spartak Subotica 84.3. Perspektiva Ilirija score fewer than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for Spartak Subotica, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija scored 70 at home to Dubai in the ABA League (4 Oct 2026) and 82 at home to Krka in the Slovenian league (7 Oct 2026), losing both.
- Spartak average 37.5 rebounds over 11 tracked box scores versus Ilirija's 32.6 over 15, and shoot 50.7% on two-pointers against Ilirija's 54.3%.
- Spartak beat Vechta 96-64 in the Champions League on 7 Oct 2026 but lost their ABA opener 79-95 at home to Bosna on 3 Oct 2026.
- Ilirija kept only five players from last season and brought in nine newcomers under new coach Gasper Okorn (ABA League, 19 Sep 2026).
- The two 2025-26 meetings split: Spartak won 104-86 at home (11 Jan 2026) and Ilirija won 78-75 at home (10 Nov 2025).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonPerspektiva Ilirija under 20.5Estimated chance56.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, Spartak Subotica 84.3. Spartak Subotica score more than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for Spartak Subotica, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija scored 70 at home to Dubai in the ABA League (4 Oct 2026) and 82 at home to Krka in the Slovenian league (7 Oct 2026), losing both.
- Spartak average 37.5 rebounds over 11 tracked box scores versus Ilirija's 32.6 over 15, and shoot 50.7% on two-pointers against Ilirija's 54.3%.
- Spartak beat Vechta 96-64 in the Champions League on 7 Oct 2026 but lost their ABA opener 79-95 at home to Bosna on 3 Oct 2026.
- Ilirija kept only five players from last season and brought in nine newcomers under new coach Gasper Okorn (ABA League, 19 Sep 2026).
- The two 2025-26 meetings split: Spartak won 104-86 at home (11 Jan 2026) and Ilirija won 78-75 at home (10 Nov 2025).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonSpartak Subotica over 20.5Estimated chance56.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, Spartak Subotica 84.3. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 41.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for Spartak Subotica, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija scored 70 at home to Dubai in the ABA League (4 Oct 2026) and 82 at home to Krka in the Slovenian league (7 Oct 2026), losing both.
- Spartak average 37.5 rebounds over 11 tracked box scores versus Ilirija's 32.6 over 15, and shoot 50.7% on two-pointers against Ilirija's 54.3%.
- Spartak beat Vechta 96-64 in the Champions League on 7 Oct 2026 but lost their ABA opener 79-95 at home to Bosna on 3 Oct 2026.
- Ilirija kept only five players from last season and brought in nine newcomers under new coach Gasper Okorn (ABA League, 19 Sep 2026).
- The two 2025-26 meetings split: Spartak won 104-86 at home (11 Jan 2026) and Ilirija won 78-75 at home (10 Nov 2025).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostUnder 41.5Estimated chance56%

L104–86

Spartak Suboticav

Perspektiva Ilirija

Jan 11, 2026·ABA

W78–75

Perspektiva Ilirijav

Spartak Subotica

Nov 10, 2025·ABA

171.5Avg total points

10.5Avg margin

2meetings

League table

ABA League · AdmiralBet ABA League - Regular Season · Group A

#TeamW–LWin %

Perspektiva Ilirija

0–10%

Spartak Subotica

0–10%

Recent Form

Perspektiva Ilirija

8W 7L · last 15

vs KK Krka Novo mesto82–83 Oct 7LIG

vs Dubai70–85 Oct 4ABA

at KK Triglav Kranj89–79 Sep 30LIG

vs Gorica86–59 Sep 23LIG

at KK Krka Novo mesto74–97 May 23LIG

vs KK Krka Novo mesto105–89 May 21LIG

at KK Krka Novo mesto80–94 May 18LIG

vs KK Triglav Kranj72–65 May 13LIG

at KK Triglav Kranj86–70 May 11LIG

vs KK Triglav Kranj84–85 May 8LIG

at KK Krka Novo mesto68–83 May 3LIG

at Sencur102–99 OTApr 30LIG

vs Polzela103–87 Apr 28LIG

at FMP Beograd88–82 Apr 25ABA

vs Studentski Centar74–75 Apr 19ABA

Spartak Subotica

9W 6L · last 15

vs Vechta96–64 Oct 7CL

vs KK Bosna79–95 Oct 3ABA

at FMP Beograd76–73 OTMay 31SUP

at Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet90–89 May 29SUP

at Borac Mozzart75–68 May 19SUP

vs Borac Mozzart83–66 May 15SUP

vs Dubai84–88 May 10ABA

at Dubai74–102 May 6ABA

at Igokea80–68 May 3ABA

vs Zadar86–68 Apr 30ABA

at Split83–93 Apr 24ABA

vs Borac Mozzart92–66 Apr 18ABA

at KK Krka Novo mesto61–66 Apr 11ABA

at FMP Beograd49–69 Apr 6ABA

vs Studentski Centar77–71 Mar 30ABA

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Perspektiva Ilirija

Stats

4–1

Spartak Subotica

Perspektiva Ilirija leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 3–0

2-point %+3.6pp

54.3%

+3.6pp

50.7%

3-point %+1.4pp

34.4%

+1.4pp

33.0%

Free-throw %+0.4pp

74.7%

+0.4pp

74.3%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s4.0pp apart

27.1%

4.0pp apart

31.1%

Free throws per shot1.0pp apart

33.0%

1.0pp apart

32.0%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game15/11 games+4.9

32.6

+4.9

37.5

Turnovers per game1.6 fewer

12.2

1.6 fewer

13.8

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.