LNB ÉliteFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Nanterre101Gravelines-Dunkerque73

Sat 10 Oct 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions13–381%

Edges2–0100%

Points by period: Nanterre and Gravelines-Dunkerque.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Nanterre	21	22	28	30
Gravelines-Dunkerque	19	20	17	17

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Gravelines-Dunkerque arrive in Nanterre without centre Neal Quinn and still chasing a first league win, and the home side should win comfortably, with the projection 86.0 to 74.3 after 40 minutes.

Gravelines' 54.5% two-point shooting over their last 14 games is the counterweight. Two quoted prices offer value: Gravelines-Dunkerque under 77.5 points at 1.87 and Nanterre to win the second quarter at 1.61.

Context

Gravelines-Dunkerque are without centre Neal Quinn for six to eight weeks and have averaged 29.4 rebounds over 14 games, while further injuries to Hassan Martin and L.J. Thorpe are unconfirmed. Nanterre played an overtime Champions League game at Trabzonspor on 7 October and have three days before tip-off.

Quinn is the paint anchor Gravelines-Dunkerque built around, and the six-to-eight-week timeline rules him out of the visit to Nanterre. The club immediately entered the medical-replacement market, bringing in a short-term big man while Quinn recovers. The open question is how the rebuilt interior holds up against Nanterre's frontcourt.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque announced on 13 September that Neal Quinn would miss six to eight weeks.
- Quinn sprained an ankle in training and the club began looking for a medical replacement.
Martin arrived with a strong CV, having played for Olympiakos and been a factor in a Monaco playoff series, on a two-month deal to fill the gap left by Quinn. His own injury soon after left Gravelines-Dunkerque short in the paint, and the club's medical room was still crowded in early October. Whether Martin can play at Nanterre remains uncertain.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque announced on 18 September that Hassan Martin had signed for two months to replace the injured Neal Quinn.
- Martin was also hurt in late September, leaving the club to look at another medical replacement.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque still had a crowded injury list on 4 October.
Thorpe's injury, reported in late September, opened a backcourt spot that Gravelines-Dunkerque filled on 1 October. Six weeks from late September points to a return in early November, so he is not expected for the trip to Nanterre. The club has not set a precise return date.
- L.J. Thorpe must miss six weeks.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque signed a medical replacement for Thorpe on 1 October.
Nembhard joined to cover the backcourt minutes left by L.J. Thorpe, whose absence stretches into November. He is a former NBA guard stepping into Betclic Élite for the first time, so how quickly he adapts and how large a role he takes against Nanterre is the main unknown.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque confirmed the signing of R.J. Nembhard as a medical replacement on 1 October.
- Nembhard is a former NBA player aiming to establish himself in Europe.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Team PointswonUncertainty band: Lean

Gravelines-Dunkerque under 77.5

1.87fair 1.63

Market 53.5% · BetBugs 61.3%

+7.8ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Nanterre 86.0, Gravelines-Dunkerque 74.3. Gravelines-Dunkerque score fewer than 77.5 points (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this. Nanterre are at home with a fuller, more settled rotation and a clear size advantage against a Gravelines-Dunkerque side missing its starting centre and already leaking points in league and cup play. Gravelines' shooting has been efficient, so I only give Nanterre a moderate cushion rather than a large one.

2nd Quarter ResultwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Nanterre

1.61fair 1.50

Market 62.1% · BetBugs 66.8%

+4.7ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Nanterre 86.0, Gravelines-Dunkerque 74.3. Nanterre are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this. Nanterre are at home with a fuller, more settled rotation and a clear size advantage against a Gravelines-Dunkerque side missing its starting centre and already leaking points in league and cup play. Gravelines' shooting has been efficient, so I only give Nanterre a moderate cushion rather than a large one.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result9 of 9 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nanterre 86.0, Gravelines-Dunkerque 74.3. Nanterre win in about 82 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Nanterre are 1-1 in LNB 2026-27, beating Pau-Orthez 78-64 at home on 26 September and losing 83-93 at Roanne on 2 October.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque are 0-2 in LNB 2026-27 and were beaten 106-81 at second-division Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque's centre Neal Quinn was ruled out for six to eight weeks on 13 September, and two further frontcourt/backcourt injuries (Martin, Thorpe) are reported but unconfirmed for this game.
- Over 15 tracked games Nanterre average 35.2 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers, while Gravelines-Dunkerque average only 29.4 rebounds over 14 games with a rotation running Gilyard at 39 minutes per game in 2026-27.
- Nanterre have won the last two meetings, including 101-79 at home on 4 October 2025 and 85-80 in overtime at Gravelines on 9 May 2026.
- Nanterre shot 51.3% on two-pointers and 30.8% on three-pointers across 15 games; Gravelines-Dunkerque shot 54.5% and 35.8% across 14 games but on a much thinner rotation.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonNanterreEstimated chance82.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nanterre 86.0, Gravelines-Dunkerque 74.3. Nanterre are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 81 of 100 games like this.
- Nanterre are 1-1 in LNB 2026-27, beating Pau-Orthez 78-64 at home on 26 September and losing 83-93 at Roanne on 2 October.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque are 0-2 in LNB 2026-27 and were beaten 106-81 at second-division Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque's centre Neal Quinn was ruled out for six to eight weeks on 13 September, and two further frontcourt/backcourt injuries (Martin, Thorpe) are reported but unconfirmed for this game.
- Over 15 tracked games Nanterre average 35.2 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers, while Gravelines-Dunkerque average only 29.4 rebounds over 14 games with a rotation running Gilyard at 39 minutes per game in 2026-27.
- Nanterre have won the last two meetings, including 101-79 at home on 4 October 2025 and 85-80 in overtime at Gravelines on 9 May 2026.
- Nanterre shot 51.3% on two-pointers and 30.8% on three-pointers across 15 games; Gravelines-Dunkerque shot 54.5% and 35.8% across 14 games but on a much thinner rotation.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonNanterreEstimated chance80.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nanterre 86.0, Gravelines-Dunkerque 74.3. Nanterre are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 73 of 100 games like this.
- Nanterre are 1-1 in LNB 2026-27, beating Pau-Orthez 78-64 at home on 26 September and losing 83-93 at Roanne on 2 October.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque are 0-2 in LNB 2026-27 and were beaten 106-81 at second-division Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque's centre Neal Quinn was ruled out for six to eight weeks on 13 September, and two further frontcourt/backcourt injuries (Martin, Thorpe) are reported but unconfirmed for this game.
- Over 15 tracked games Nanterre average 35.2 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers, while Gravelines-Dunkerque average only 29.4 rebounds over 14 games with a rotation running Gilyard at 39 minutes per game in 2026-27.
- Nanterre have won the last two meetings, including 101-79 at home on 4 October 2025 and 85-80 in overtime at Gravelines on 9 May 2026.
- Nanterre shot 51.3% on two-pointers and 30.8% on three-pointers across 15 games; Gravelines-Dunkerque shot 54.5% and 35.8% across 14 games but on a much thinner rotation.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonNanterreEstimated chance73.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.61
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nanterre 86.0, Gravelines-Dunkerque 74.3. Nanterre are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Nanterre are 1-1 in LNB 2026-27, beating Pau-Orthez 78-64 at home on 26 September and losing 83-93 at Roanne on 2 October.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque are 0-2 in LNB 2026-27 and were beaten 106-81 at second-division Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque's centre Neal Quinn was ruled out for six to eight weeks on 13 September, and two further frontcourt/backcourt injuries (Martin, Thorpe) are reported but unconfirmed for this game.
- Over 15 tracked games Nanterre average 35.2 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers, while Gravelines-Dunkerque average only 29.4 rebounds over 14 games with a rotation running Gilyard at 39 minutes per game in 2026-27.
- Nanterre have won the last two meetings, including 101-79 at home on 4 October 2025 and 85-80 in overtime at Gravelines on 9 May 2026.
- Nanterre shot 51.3% on two-pointers and 30.8% on three-pointers across 15 games; Gravelines-Dunkerque shot 54.5% and 35.8% across 14 games but on a much thinner rotation.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonNanterreEstimated chance66.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nanterre 86.0, Gravelines-Dunkerque 74.3. Nanterre cover -0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Nanterre and 15 for Gravelines-Dunkerque, across seasons and competitions.
- Nanterre are 1-1 in LNB 2026-27, beating Pau-Orthez 78-64 at home on 26 September and losing 83-93 at Roanne on 2 October.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque are 0-2 in LNB 2026-27 and were beaten 106-81 at second-division Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque's centre Neal Quinn was ruled out for six to eight weeks on 13 September, and two further frontcourt/backcourt injuries (Martin, Thorpe) are reported but unconfirmed for this game.
- Over 15 tracked games Nanterre average 35.2 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers, while Gravelines-Dunkerque average only 29.4 rebounds over 14 games with a rotation running Gilyard at 39 minutes per game in 2026-27.
- Nanterre have won the last two meetings, including 101-79 at home on 4 October 2025 and 85-80 in overtime at Gravelines on 9 May 2026.
- Nanterre shot 51.3% on two-pointers and 30.8% on three-pointers across 15 games; Gravelines-Dunkerque shot 54.5% and 35.8% across 14 games but on a much thinner rotation.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonNanterre -0.5Estimated chance66.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nanterre 86.0, Gravelines-Dunkerque 74.3. Nanterre cover +0.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Nanterre and 15 for Gravelines-Dunkerque, across seasons and competitions.
- Nanterre are 1-1 in LNB 2026-27, beating Pau-Orthez 78-64 at home on 26 September and losing 83-93 at Roanne on 2 October.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque are 0-2 in LNB 2026-27 and were beaten 106-81 at second-division Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque's centre Neal Quinn was ruled out for six to eight weeks on 13 September, and two further frontcourt/backcourt injuries (Martin, Thorpe) are reported but unconfirmed for this game.
- Over 15 tracked games Nanterre average 35.2 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers, while Gravelines-Dunkerque average only 29.4 rebounds over 14 games with a rotation running Gilyard at 39 minutes per game in 2026-27.
- Nanterre have won the last two meetings, including 101-79 at home on 4 October 2025 and 85-80 in overtime at Gravelines on 9 May 2026.
- Nanterre shot 51.3% on two-pointers and 30.8% on three-pointers across 15 games; Gravelines-Dunkerque shot 54.5% and 35.8% across 14 games but on a much thinner rotation.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonNanterre +0.5Estimated chance66%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nanterre 86.0, Gravelines-Dunkerque 74.3. Nanterre are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Nanterre are 1-1 in LNB 2026-27, beating Pau-Orthez 78-64 at home on 26 September and losing 83-93 at Roanne on 2 October.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque are 0-2 in LNB 2026-27 and were beaten 106-81 at second-division Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque's centre Neal Quinn was ruled out for six to eight weeks on 13 September, and two further frontcourt/backcourt injuries (Martin, Thorpe) are reported but unconfirmed for this game.
- Over 15 tracked games Nanterre average 35.2 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers, while Gravelines-Dunkerque average only 29.4 rebounds over 14 games with a rotation running Gilyard at 39 minutes per game in 2026-27.
- Nanterre have won the last two meetings, including 101-79 at home on 4 October 2025 and 85-80 in overtime at Gravelines on 9 May 2026.
- Nanterre shot 51.3% on two-pointers and 30.8% on three-pointers across 15 games; Gravelines-Dunkerque shot 54.5% and 35.8% across 14 games but on a much thinner rotation.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonNanterreEstimated chance62.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nanterre 86.0, Gravelines-Dunkerque 74.3. Nanterre are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Nanterre are 1-1 in LNB 2026-27, beating Pau-Orthez 78-64 at home on 26 September and losing 83-93 at Roanne on 2 October.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque are 0-2 in LNB 2026-27 and were beaten 106-81 at second-division Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque's centre Neal Quinn was ruled out for six to eight weeks on 13 September, and two further frontcourt/backcourt injuries (Martin, Thorpe) are reported but unconfirmed for this game.
- Over 15 tracked games Nanterre average 35.2 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers, while Gravelines-Dunkerque average only 29.4 rebounds over 14 games with a rotation running Gilyard at 39 minutes per game in 2026-27.
- Nanterre have won the last two meetings, including 101-79 at home on 4 October 2025 and 85-80 in overtime at Gravelines on 9 May 2026.
- Nanterre shot 51.3% on two-pointers and 30.8% on three-pointers across 15 games; Gravelines-Dunkerque shot 54.5% and 35.8% across 14 games but on a much thinner rotation.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonNanterreEstimated chance60.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nanterre 86.0, Gravelines-Dunkerque 74.3. Nanterre cover -9.5 (overtime included) in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Nanterre are 1-1 in LNB 2026-27, beating Pau-Orthez 78-64 at home on 26 September and losing 83-93 at Roanne on 2 October.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque are 0-2 in LNB 2026-27 and were beaten 106-81 at second-division Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque's centre Neal Quinn was ruled out for six to eight weeks on 13 September, and two further frontcourt/backcourt injuries (Martin, Thorpe) are reported but unconfirmed for this game.
- Over 15 tracked games Nanterre average 35.2 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers, while Gravelines-Dunkerque average only 29.4 rebounds over 14 games with a rotation running Gilyard at 39 minutes per game in 2026-27.
- Nanterre have won the last two meetings, including 101-79 at home on 4 October 2025 and 85-80 in overtime at Gravelines on 9 May 2026.
- Nanterre shot 51.3% on two-pointers and 30.8% on three-pointers across 15 games; Gravelines-Dunkerque shot 54.5% and 35.8% across 14 games but on a much thinner rotation.
BetBugs · HandicapwonNanterre -9.5Estimated chance57.3%

Points4 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.87
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nanterre 86.0, Gravelines-Dunkerque 74.3. Gravelines-Dunkerque score fewer than 77.5 points (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Nanterre are 1-1 in LNB 2026-27, beating Pau-Orthez 78-64 at home on 26 September and losing 83-93 at Roanne on 2 October.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque are 0-2 in LNB 2026-27 and were beaten 106-81 at second-division Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque's centre Neal Quinn was ruled out for six to eight weeks on 13 September, and two further frontcourt/backcourt injuries (Martin, Thorpe) are reported but unconfirmed for this game.
- Over 15 tracked games Nanterre average 35.2 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers, while Gravelines-Dunkerque average only 29.4 rebounds over 14 games with a rotation running Gilyard at 39 minutes per game in 2026-27.
- Nanterre have won the last two meetings, including 101-79 at home on 4 October 2025 and 85-80 in overtime at Gravelines on 9 May 2026.
- Nanterre shot 51.3% on two-pointers and 30.8% on three-pointers across 15 games; Gravelines-Dunkerque shot 54.5% and 35.8% across 14 games but on a much thinner rotation.
BetBugs · Team PointswonGravelines-Dunkerque under 77.5Estimated chance61.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nanterre 86.0, Gravelines-Dunkerque 74.3. Gravelines-Dunkerque score fewer than 19.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Nanterre are 1-1 in LNB 2026-27, beating Pau-Orthez 78-64 at home on 26 September and losing 83-93 at Roanne on 2 October.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque are 0-2 in LNB 2026-27 and were beaten 106-81 at second-division Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque's centre Neal Quinn was ruled out for six to eight weeks on 13 September, and two further frontcourt/backcourt injuries (Martin, Thorpe) are reported but unconfirmed for this game.
- Over 15 tracked games Nanterre average 35.2 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers, while Gravelines-Dunkerque average only 29.4 rebounds over 14 games with a rotation running Gilyard at 39 minutes per game in 2026-27.
- Nanterre have won the last two meetings, including 101-79 at home on 4 October 2025 and 85-80 in overtime at Gravelines on 9 May 2026.
- Nanterre shot 51.3% on two-pointers and 30.8% on three-pointers across 15 games; Gravelines-Dunkerque shot 54.5% and 35.8% across 14 games but on a much thinner rotation.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostGravelines-Dunkerque under 19.5Estimated chance59.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nanterre 86.0, Gravelines-Dunkerque 74.3. Gravelines-Dunkerque score fewer than 38.5 points in the 1st half in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Nanterre are 1-1 in LNB 2026-27, beating Pau-Orthez 78-64 at home on 26 September and losing 83-93 at Roanne on 2 October.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque are 0-2 in LNB 2026-27 and were beaten 106-81 at second-division Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque's centre Neal Quinn was ruled out for six to eight weeks on 13 September, and two further frontcourt/backcourt injuries (Martin, Thorpe) are reported but unconfirmed for this game.
- Over 15 tracked games Nanterre average 35.2 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers, while Gravelines-Dunkerque average only 29.4 rebounds over 14 games with a rotation running Gilyard at 39 minutes per game in 2026-27.
- Nanterre have won the last two meetings, including 101-79 at home on 4 October 2025 and 85-80 in overtime at Gravelines on 9 May 2026.
- Nanterre shot 51.3% on two-pointers and 30.8% on three-pointers across 15 games; Gravelines-Dunkerque shot 54.5% and 35.8% across 14 games but on a much thinner rotation.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostGravelines-Dunkerque under 38.5Estimated chance58.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nanterre 86.0, Gravelines-Dunkerque 74.3. The game has fewer than 164.5 points (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Nanterre are 1-1 in LNB 2026-27, beating Pau-Orthez 78-64 at home on 26 September and losing 83-93 at Roanne on 2 October.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque are 0-2 in LNB 2026-27 and were beaten 106-81 at second-division Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque's centre Neal Quinn was ruled out for six to eight weeks on 13 September, and two further frontcourt/backcourt injuries (Martin, Thorpe) are reported but unconfirmed for this game.
- Over 15 tracked games Nanterre average 35.2 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers, while Gravelines-Dunkerque average only 29.4 rebounds over 14 games with a rotation running Gilyard at 39 minutes per game in 2026-27.
- Nanterre have won the last two meetings, including 101-79 at home on 4 October 2025 and 85-80 in overtime at Gravelines on 9 May 2026.
- Nanterre shot 51.3% on two-pointers and 30.8% on three-pointers across 15 games; Gravelines-Dunkerque shot 54.5% and 35.8% across 14 games but on a much thinner rotation.
BetBugs · Total PointslostUnder 164.5Estimated chance58.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nanterre 86.0, Gravelines-Dunkerque 74.3. The 1st half has fewer than 82.5 points in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Nanterre are 1-1 in LNB 2026-27, beating Pau-Orthez 78-64 at home on 26 September and losing 83-93 at Roanne on 2 October.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque are 0-2 in LNB 2026-27 and were beaten 106-81 at second-division Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque's centre Neal Quinn was ruled out for six to eight weeks on 13 September, and two further frontcourt/backcourt injuries (Martin, Thorpe) are reported but unconfirmed for this game.
- Over 15 tracked games Nanterre average 35.2 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers, while Gravelines-Dunkerque average only 29.4 rebounds over 14 games with a rotation running Gilyard at 39 minutes per game in 2026-27.
- Nanterre have won the last two meetings, including 101-79 at home on 4 October 2025 and 85-80 in overtime at Gravelines on 9 May 2026.
- Nanterre shot 51.3% on two-pointers and 30.8% on three-pointers across 15 games; Gravelines-Dunkerque shot 54.5% and 35.8% across 14 games but on a much thinner rotation.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonUnder 82.5Estimated chance58.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nanterre 86.0, Gravelines-Dunkerque 74.3. The 1st quarter has fewer than 41.5 points in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Nanterre are 1-1 in LNB 2026-27, beating Pau-Orthez 78-64 at home on 26 September and losing 83-93 at Roanne on 2 October.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque are 0-2 in LNB 2026-27 and were beaten 106-81 at second-division Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque's centre Neal Quinn was ruled out for six to eight weeks on 13 September, and two further frontcourt/backcourt injuries (Martin, Thorpe) are reported but unconfirmed for this game.
- Over 15 tracked games Nanterre average 35.2 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers, while Gravelines-Dunkerque average only 29.4 rebounds over 14 games with a rotation running Gilyard at 39 minutes per game in 2026-27.
- Nanterre have won the last two meetings, including 101-79 at home on 4 October 2025 and 85-80 in overtime at Gravelines on 9 May 2026.
- Nanterre shot 51.3% on two-pointers and 30.8% on three-pointers across 15 games; Gravelines-Dunkerque shot 54.5% and 35.8% across 14 games but on a much thinner rotation.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonUnder 41.5Estimated chance57.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nanterre 86.0, Gravelines-Dunkerque 74.3. Gravelines-Dunkerque score fewer than 19.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Nanterre are 1-1 in LNB 2026-27, beating Pau-Orthez 78-64 at home on 26 September and losing 83-93 at Roanne on 2 October.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque are 0-2 in LNB 2026-27 and were beaten 106-81 at second-division Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque's centre Neal Quinn was ruled out for six to eight weeks on 13 September, and two further frontcourt/backcourt injuries (Martin, Thorpe) are reported but unconfirmed for this game.
- Over 15 tracked games Nanterre average 35.2 rebounds and 14.1 turnovers, while Gravelines-Dunkerque average only 29.4 rebounds over 14 games with a rotation running Gilyard at 39 minutes per game in 2026-27.
- Nanterre have won the last two meetings, including 101-79 at home on 4 October 2025 and 85-80 in overtime at Gravelines on 9 May 2026.
- Nanterre shot 51.3% on two-pointers and 30.8% on three-pointers across 15 games; Gravelines-Dunkerque shot 54.5% and 35.8% across 14 games but on a much thinner rotation.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonGravelines-Dunkerque under 19.5Estimated chance56.8%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 9, 16:22

Selected line

164.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

41%

Chance of 165+ points

11 pp below break-even

Over 1.90 needs 53% to break even. BetBugs sees 41%.

Move the line main 164.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 41%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 59%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W80–85

Gravelines-Dunkerquev

Nanterre

May 9, 2026·LNBOT

W101–79

Nanterrev

Gravelines-Dunkerque

Oct 4, 2025·LNB

W93–80

Nanterrev

Gravelines-Dunkerque

Feb 28, 2025·LNB

W83–89

Gravelines-Dunkerquev

Nanterre

Dec 15, 2024·LNBOT

L80–79

Gravelines-Dunkerquev

Nanterre

Jan 20, 2024·LNB

W78–75

Nanterrev

Gravelines-Dunkerque

Dec 16, 2023·LNB

L93–56

Gravelines-Dunkerquev

Nanterre

Feb 3, 2023·LNB

W103–95

Nanterrev

Gravelines-Dunkerque

Oct 29, 2022·LNBOT

L87–83

Gravelines-Dunkerquev

Nanterre

Mar 4, 2022·LNB

W88–86

Nanterrev

Gravelines-Dunkerque

Nov 13, 2021·LNB

169.3Avg total points

10.1Avg margin

10meetings

League table

LNB Élite · LNB - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Nanterre

1–150%

Gravelines-Dunkerque

0–20%

Recent Form

Nanterre

7W 8L · last 15

at Trabzonspor83–93 OTOct 7CL

at Roanne83–93 Oct 2LNB

vs Pau-Orthez78–64 Sep 26LNB

at Paris88–95 Sep 19LNB

vs Monaco78–89 Jun 8LNB

vs Monaco61–83 Jun 6LNB

at Monaco98–89 Jun 3LNB

at Monaco88–103 Jun 1LNB

at Le Mans64–55 May 27LNB

vs Le Mans90–74 May 25LNB

vs Cholet66–79 May 16LNB

at Gravelines-Dunkerque85–80 OTMay 9LNB

vs Dijon87–69 May 2LNB

at Limoges79–97 Apr 19LNB

vs Nancy86–72 Apr 10LNB

Gravelines-Dunkerque

3W 12L · last 15

at Denain-Voltaire81–106 Oct 6FRE

vs Lyon-Villeurbanne65–70 Oct 4LNB

vs Le Mans97–103 OTSep 26LNB

at JL Bourg78–95 May 16LNB

vs Nanterre80–85 OTMay 9LNB

at Lyon-Villeurbanne79–88 May 1LNB

vs Le Mans83–96 Apr 18LNB

at Limoges64–93 Apr 11LNB

vs Le Portel100–78 Apr 5LNB

at Chalon/Saone81–86 Mar 27LNB

vs Monaco77–89 Mar 21LNB

at Paris115–109 OTMar 15LNB

vs Boulazac91–92 Mar 8LNB

at Cholet85–91 Feb 13LNB

vs Saint Quentin91–75 Feb 7LNB

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Nanterre

Stats

1–4

Gravelines-Dunkerque

14 games

Gravelines-Dunkerque leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 0–3

2-point %+3.2pp

51.3%

+3.2pp

54.5%

3-point %+5.0pp

30.8%

+5.0pp

35.8%

Free-throw %+0.4pp

74.4%

+0.4pp

74.8%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s6.3pp apart

33.4%

6.3pp apart

39.7%

Free throws per shot1.7pp apart

32.7%

1.7pp apart

34.4%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+5.8

35.2

+5.8

29.4

Turnovers per game1.4 fewer

14.1

1.4 fewer

12.7

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.