Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lietkabelis 85.2, Jonava 76.2. Lietkabelis win in about 76 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Lietkabelis home LKL results this season: 85-79 win over Taurage (2026-09-26) and 84-82 win over Juventus (2026-09-19), but road losses of 68-97 at Zalgiris (2026-10-04) and 77-86 at Siauliai (2026-09-23).
- Jonava LKL scoring this season: 63-79 loss to Siauliai (2026-10-03), 85-65 win over Nevezis (2026-09-22) and 90-95 overtime loss at Taurage (2026-09-19), so their regulation road output is nearer 82.
- Over 15 games each, Lietkabelis shoot 52.9% on two-pointers and 34.1% on three-pointers with 28.2 rebounds and 11.3 turnovers per game; Jonava shoot 55.9% inside and 32.7% outside with 31.1 rebounds and 12.5 turnovers.
- Lietkabelis are inside a three-game week: EuroCup loss 87-92 at BC Roma on 2026-10-07 and a home EuroCup game against PAOK on 2026-10-13, with only about three days rest versus seven for Jonava.
- The last 10 meetings are 8-2 to Lietkabelis by roughly nine points on average, but the most recent was Jonava 69-67 on 2026-04-29, and all ten are from older rosters.
BetBugs · Match Winnerlost
LietkabelisEstimated chance76.2%
LietkabelisEstimated chance76.2%











