LNB ÉliteFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Chalon/Saone108Nancy67

Sat 10 Oct 2026, 16:30 Predictions graded

Predictions12–0100%

Edges2–0100%

Points by period: Chalon/Saone and Nancy.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Chalon/Saone	28	29	23	28
Nancy	24	18	10	15

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Chalon/Saone host Nancy with both clubs coming off midweek FIBA Europe Cup wins, but Nancy are still without a league victory and have managed 71.7 points per game in three games this season, all at home.

Chalon should win. Chalon to lead at the end of the second quarter at 1.66 and Chalon over 21.5 points in that quarter at 1.96 are the two prices worth backing.

Context

Chalon are at home with the stronger recent scoring, but Nancy arrive off a European win and Chalon lost by 13 at Bourg on 3 October. Riethauser's continued absence, Grandison's arrival as cover, and Weathers' unconfirmed availability are the main open questions.

Riethauser, a young frontcourt option, was expected to be part of Chalon's rotation before his injury. The club moved quickly by adding Jacob Grandison as a medical joker through the end of 2026, and he has already been used in the league and in the FIBA Europe Cup. Riethauser's continued absence leaves Chalon leaning on Grandison and their remaining big men against Nancy, and the club has not announced a return date.
- Klark Riethauser must continue his convalescence and faces a longer spell out.
- Chalon signed American-Finnish forward Jacob Grandison as the injury replacement for Riethauser until the end of 2026.
- Grandison was cleared by the league and available for the weekend starting 3 October.
Weathers is a perimeter option for Nancy and his exit during the Paris game left the backcourt rotation short. The club has not confirmed whether he will be available in Chalon, so his minutes may again be redistributed. If he misses out, more ball-handling and scoring will fall to Marcus Hammond and the other Nancy guards.
- Nancy lost Michael Weathers to injury during their home Betclic Élite opener against Paris on 27 September.
- Nancy led by nine points in the fourth quarter before losing that game.
Nancy began the domestic season with two home defeats but broke through in Europe by beating Vienna in the club's return to the FIBA Europe Cup. Marcus Hammond's 19-point, five-rebound, four-assist night gave the team a lift before the trip to Chalon, and coach Sylvain Lautié must decide how heavily to reuse that group three days later.
- Nancy lost both opening Betclic Élite games at home, first to Paris and then 85-76 to Cholet on 3 October.
- Nancy beat Vienna 66-65 on 6 October for their first win of the season in the FIBA Europe Cup.
- Marcus Hammond scored 19 points with five rebounds and four assists and was named MVP of the Vienna game.
Chalon carried a long unbeaten run through preseason and the league opener, then were beaten clearly in the derby at Bourg. Elric Delord's side answered in the FIBA Europe Cup by beating Manchester with new forwards Jeriah Horne and Jacob Grandison in the group. The Nancy game tests whether that response holds at home and how Delord manages his rotation across the two competitions.
- Chalon won all seven preseason games and opened Betclic Élite with a home win over Limoges on 26 September.
- Chalon lost 90-77 at Bourg-en-Bresse on 3 October, their first defeat of the season.
- Chalon beat Manchester 79-72 on 7 October in their FIBA Europe Cup opener.
- Elric Delord said taking a heavy defeat can do a team good, and the response came with the European win.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

2nd Quarter ResultwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Chalon/Saone

1.66fair 1.53

Market 60.2% · BetBugs 65.4%

+5.2ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Chalon/Saone 86.8, Nancy 76.0. Chalon/Saone are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this. Chalon have scored heavily at home in the league and again in Europe, while Nancy have been held to roughly 72 points in every game this season, including three straight at home, and lost 91-75 on their last trip to Chalon. Nancy's defense has given up 78 and 85 in the league, so a Chalon total in the high 80s fits the evidence better than a repeat of the 90-plus home scores from last spring.

2nd Quarter Team PointswonUncertainty band: Slight lean

Chalon/Saone over 21.5

1.96fair 1.82

Market 51% · BetBugs 54.9%

+3.9ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Chalon/Saone 86.8, Nancy 76.0. Chalon/Saone score more than 21.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this. Chalon have scored heavily at home in the league and again in Europe, while Nancy have been held to roughly 72 points in every game this season, including three straight at home, and lost 91-75 on their last trip to Chalon. Nancy's defense has given up 78 and 85 in the league, so a Chalon total in the high 80s fits the evidence better than a repeat of the 90-plus home scores from last spring.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result10 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chalon/Saone 86.8, Nancy 76.0. Chalon/Saone win in about 80 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Chalon have scored 82 and 79 in their two home games this season (LNB vs Limoges, 26 Sep 2026; FIBA Europe Cup vs Manchester, 7 Oct 2026)
- Chalon's home LNB games late last season produced 91, 93, 100, 87, 86 and 109 points (Mar–May 2026, 6 games)
- Nancy have scored 73, 76 and 66 in three games this season, all at home, for 71.7 points per game (27 Sep–6 Oct 2026)
- Nancy's most recent visit to Chalon ended 91-75 on 20 May 2026, one of three straight Chalon wins in the fixture
- Chalon's five-game home run in this fixture includes 91, 93 and 103 points scored (2025 and 2026, LNB)
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonChalon/SaoneEstimated chance80.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chalon/Saone 86.8, Nancy 76.0. Chalon/Saone are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 79 of 100 games like this.
- Chalon have scored 82 and 79 in their two home games this season (LNB vs Limoges, 26 Sep 2026; FIBA Europe Cup vs Manchester, 7 Oct 2026)
- Chalon's home LNB games late last season produced 91, 93, 100, 87, 86 and 109 points (Mar–May 2026, 6 games)
- Nancy have scored 73, 76 and 66 in three games this season, all at home, for 71.7 points per game (27 Sep–6 Oct 2026)
- Nancy's most recent visit to Chalon ended 91-75 on 20 May 2026, one of three straight Chalon wins in the fixture
- Chalon's five-game home run in this fixture includes 91, 93 and 103 points scored (2025 and 2026, LNB)
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonChalon/SaoneEstimated chance78.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chalon/Saone 86.8, Nancy 76.0. Chalon/Saone are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 72 of 100 games like this.
- Chalon have scored 82 and 79 in their two home games this season (LNB vs Limoges, 26 Sep 2026; FIBA Europe Cup vs Manchester, 7 Oct 2026)
- Chalon's home LNB games late last season produced 91, 93, 100, 87, 86 and 109 points (Mar–May 2026, 6 games)
- Nancy have scored 73, 76 and 66 in three games this season, all at home, for 71.7 points per game (27 Sep–6 Oct 2026)
- Nancy's most recent visit to Chalon ended 91-75 on 20 May 2026, one of three straight Chalon wins in the fixture
- Chalon's five-game home run in this fixture includes 91, 93 and 103 points scored (2025 and 2026, LNB)
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonChalon/SaoneEstimated chance71.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chalon/Saone 86.8, Nancy 76.0. Chalon/Saone cover +0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Chalon/Saone and 15 for Nancy, across seasons and competitions.
- Chalon have scored 82 and 79 in their two home games this season (LNB vs Limoges, 26 Sep 2026; FIBA Europe Cup vs Manchester, 7 Oct 2026)
- Chalon's home LNB games late last season produced 91, 93, 100, 87, 86 and 109 points (Mar–May 2026, 6 games)
- Nancy have scored 73, 76 and 66 in three games this season, all at home, for 71.7 points per game (27 Sep–6 Oct 2026)
- Nancy's most recent visit to Chalon ended 91-75 on 20 May 2026, one of three straight Chalon wins in the fixture
- Chalon's five-game home run in this fixture includes 91, 93 and 103 points scored (2025 and 2026, LNB)
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonChalon/Saone +0.5Estimated chance70.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chalon/Saone 86.8, Nancy 76.0. Chalon/Saone cover +1.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Chalon/Saone and 15 for Nancy, across seasons and competitions.
- Chalon have scored 82 and 79 in their two home games this season (LNB vs Limoges, 26 Sep 2026; FIBA Europe Cup vs Manchester, 7 Oct 2026)
- Chalon's home LNB games late last season produced 91, 93, 100, 87, 86 and 109 points (Mar–May 2026, 6 games)
- Nancy have scored 73, 76 and 66 in three games this season, all at home, for 71.7 points per game (27 Sep–6 Oct 2026)
- Nancy's most recent visit to Chalon ended 91-75 on 20 May 2026, one of three straight Chalon wins in the fixture
- Chalon's five-game home run in this fixture includes 91, 93 and 103 points scored (2025 and 2026, LNB)
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonChalon/Saone +1.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.66
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chalon/Saone 86.8, Nancy 76.0. Chalon/Saone are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Chalon have scored 82 and 79 in their two home games this season (LNB vs Limoges, 26 Sep 2026; FIBA Europe Cup vs Manchester, 7 Oct 2026)
- Chalon's home LNB games late last season produced 91, 93, 100, 87, 86 and 109 points (Mar–May 2026, 6 games)
- Nancy have scored 73, 76 and 66 in three games this season, all at home, for 71.7 points per game (27 Sep–6 Oct 2026)
- Nancy's most recent visit to Chalon ended 91-75 on 20 May 2026, one of three straight Chalon wins in the fixture
- Chalon's five-game home run in this fixture includes 91, 93 and 103 points scored (2025 and 2026, LNB)
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonChalon/SaoneEstimated chance65.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chalon/Saone 86.8, Nancy 76.0. Chalon/Saone are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Chalon have scored 82 and 79 in their two home games this season (LNB vs Limoges, 26 Sep 2026; FIBA Europe Cup vs Manchester, 7 Oct 2026)
- Chalon's home LNB games late last season produced 91, 93, 100, 87, 86 and 109 points (Mar–May 2026, 6 games)
- Nancy have scored 73, 76 and 66 in three games this season, all at home, for 71.7 points per game (27 Sep–6 Oct 2026)
- Nancy's most recent visit to Chalon ended 91-75 on 20 May 2026, one of three straight Chalon wins in the fixture
- Chalon's five-game home run in this fixture includes 91, 93 and 103 points scored (2025 and 2026, LNB)
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonChalon/SaoneEstimated chance61.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chalon/Saone 86.8, Nancy 76.0. Chalon/Saone are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Chalon have scored 82 and 79 in their two home games this season (LNB vs Limoges, 26 Sep 2026; FIBA Europe Cup vs Manchester, 7 Oct 2026)
- Chalon's home LNB games late last season produced 91, 93, 100, 87, 86 and 109 points (Mar–May 2026, 6 games)
- Nancy have scored 73, 76 and 66 in three games this season, all at home, for 71.7 points per game (27 Sep–6 Oct 2026)
- Nancy's most recent visit to Chalon ended 91-75 on 20 May 2026, one of three straight Chalon wins in the fixture
- Chalon's five-game home run in this fixture includes 91, 93 and 103 points scored (2025 and 2026, LNB)
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonChalon/SaoneEstimated chance59.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chalon/Saone 86.8, Nancy 76.0. Chalon/Saone cover -8.5 (overtime included) in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Chalon have scored 82 and 79 in their two home games this season (LNB vs Limoges, 26 Sep 2026; FIBA Europe Cup vs Manchester, 7 Oct 2026)
- Chalon's home LNB games late last season produced 91, 93, 100, 87, 86 and 109 points (Mar–May 2026, 6 games)
- Nancy have scored 73, 76 and 66 in three games this season, all at home, for 71.7 points per game (27 Sep–6 Oct 2026)
- Nancy's most recent visit to Chalon ended 91-75 on 20 May 2026, one of three straight Chalon wins in the fixture
- Chalon's five-game home run in this fixture includes 91, 93 and 103 points scored (2025 and 2026, LNB)
BetBugs · HandicapwonChalon/Saone -8.5Estimated chance57.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chalon/Saone 86.8, Nancy 76.0. Chalon/Saone cover -4.5 in the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Chalon have scored 82 and 79 in their two home games this season (LNB vs Limoges, 26 Sep 2026; FIBA Europe Cup vs Manchester, 7 Oct 2026)
- Chalon's home LNB games late last season produced 91, 93, 100, 87, 86 and 109 points (Mar–May 2026, 6 games)
- Nancy have scored 73, 76 and 66 in three games this season, all at home, for 71.7 points per game (27 Sep–6 Oct 2026)
- Nancy's most recent visit to Chalon ended 91-75 on 20 May 2026, one of three straight Chalon wins in the fixture
- Chalon's five-game home run in this fixture includes 91, 93 and 103 points scored (2025 and 2026, LNB)
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonChalon/Saone -4.5Estimated chance56.1%

Points2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chalon/Saone 86.8, Nancy 76.0. Chalon/Saone score more than 42.5 points in the 1st half in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Chalon have scored 82 and 79 in their two home games this season (LNB vs Limoges, 26 Sep 2026; FIBA Europe Cup vs Manchester, 7 Oct 2026)
- Chalon's home LNB games late last season produced 91, 93, 100, 87, 86 and 109 points (Mar–May 2026, 6 games)
- Nancy have scored 73, 76 and 66 in three games this season, all at home, for 71.7 points per game (27 Sep–6 Oct 2026)
- Nancy's most recent visit to Chalon ended 91-75 on 20 May 2026, one of three straight Chalon wins in the fixture
- Chalon's five-game home run in this fixture includes 91, 93 and 103 points scored (2025 and 2026, LNB)
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonChalon/Saone over 42.5Estimated chance57.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chalon/Saone 86.8, Nancy 76.0. Nancy score fewer than 19.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Chalon have scored 82 and 79 in their two home games this season (LNB vs Limoges, 26 Sep 2026; FIBA Europe Cup vs Manchester, 7 Oct 2026)
- Chalon's home LNB games late last season produced 91, 93, 100, 87, 86 and 109 points (Mar–May 2026, 6 games)
- Nancy have scored 73, 76 and 66 in three games this season, all at home, for 71.7 points per game (27 Sep–6 Oct 2026)
- Nancy's most recent visit to Chalon ended 91-75 on 20 May 2026, one of three straight Chalon wins in the fixture
- Chalon's five-game home run in this fixture includes 91, 93 and 103 points scored (2025 and 2026, LNB)
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonNancy under 19.5Estimated chance56%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 9, 16:22

Selected line

163.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

50%

Chance of 164+ points

3 pp below break-even

Over 1.88 needs 53% to break even. BetBugs sees 50%.

Move the line main 163.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 50%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 50%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W91–75

Chalon/Saonev Nancy

Nancy

May 20, 2026·LNB

L102–80

Nancyv

Chalon/Saone

Mar 7, 2026·LNB

W93–84

Chalon/Saonev Nancy

Nancy

Dec 26, 2025·LNB

W103–73

Chalon/Saonev Nancy

Nancy

Apr 12, 2025·LNB

L96–84

Nancyv

Chalon/Saone

Oct 12, 2024·LNB

L70–74

Chalon/Saonev Nancy

Nancy

Mar 23, 2024·LNB

L92–83

Nancyv

Chalon/Saone

Sep 16, 2023·LNB

L76–56

Nancyv

Chalon/Saone

May 13, 2022·PRO

W72–71

Chalon/Saonev Nancy

Nancy

Jan 15, 2022·PRO

W74–106

Nancyv

Chalon/Saone

Apr 11, 2017·LNB

165.5Avg total points

15.5Avg margin

10meetings

League table

LNB Élite · LNB - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Chalon/Saone

1–150%

Nancy

0–20%

Recent Form

Chalon/Saone

10W 5L · last 15

vs Manchester Basketball79–72 Oct 7FIB

at JL Bourg77–90 Oct 3LNB

vs Limoges82–74 Sep 26LNB

at Strasbourg81–102 May 23LNB

vs Nancy91–75 May 20LNB

at Strasbourg91–90 OTMay 16LNB

vs Le Portel93–58 May 9LNB

at Paris105–103 OTMay 2LNB

vs JL Bourg100–84 Apr 18LNB

at Boulazac90–94 Apr 11LNB

vs Lyon-Villeurbanne87–89 Apr 5LNB

vs Gravelines-Dunkerque86–81 Mar 27LNB

at Saint Quentin86–65 Mar 21LNB

at Wurzburg81–84 Mar 17CL

vs Limoges109–56 Mar 13LNB

Nancy

7W 8L · last 15

vs Vienna Basket66–65 Oct 6FIB

vs Cholet76–85 Oct 3LNB

vs Paris73–78 Sep 27LNB

at Chalon/Saone75–91 May 20LNB

vs Saint Quentin84–71 May 16LNB

at Cholet91–94 OTMay 10LNB

at Le Mans74–102 Apr 30LNB

vs Le Portel95–50 Apr 18LNB

at Nanterre72–86 Apr 10LNB

vs Strasbourg82–86 Apr 3LNB

at Limoges95–89 Mar 28LNB

vs Dijon96–94 Mar 20LNB

at Monaco94–86 Mar 14LNB

vs Chalon/Saone102–80 Mar 7LNB

vs Lyon-Villeurbanne82–88 Feb 14LNB

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Chalon/Saone

Stats

2–3

Nancy

Nancy leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+2.6pp

58.0%

+2.6pp

55.4%

3-point %+3.5pp

31.3%

+3.5pp

34.8%

Free-throw %+5.1pp

70.6%

+5.1pp

75.7%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s6.2pp apart

25.1%

6.2pp apart

31.3%

Free throws per shot1.0pp apart

39.7%

1.0pp apart

38.7%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+0.8

34.7

+0.8

33.9

Turnovers per game2.0 fewer

17.1

2.0 fewer

15.1

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.