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Predictions graded

Breogan115Basquet Girona92

Sat 10 Oct 2026, 19:00 Predictions graded

Predictions18–675%

Edges1–0100%

Points by period: Breogan and Basquet Girona.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Breogan	30	31	23	31
Basquet Girona	22	19	23	28

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Breogan are 2-0 in the ACB and have scored 100 or more in both wins, while Girona arrive with a backcourt hit by injury after a 40-point league defeat.

Breogan are the likely winners, though a wide margin is not guaranteed. Of the prices available, under 47.5 points in the third quarter at 1.81 is the one that offers something.

Context

Girona are without Fjellerup (ankle surgery, 5 October) and Vázquez, with Pluta a match-day doubt, and have played three games in six days; Breogan have had a clear week.

Andrzej Pluta is part of Girona's backcourt rotation and is now a match-day doubt. Moncho Fernández linked the problem to the win at Baskonia, where the guard first felt ankle discomfort, and said it worsened in training when he stepped on a team-mate. If Pluta is ruled out, Girona would have to promote an under-22 player, with Enric Sanmartín the recent choice, and would lose another body from a group already missing Maxi Fjellerup and Isaac Vázquez. The knock reduces Girona's options at point guard and forces the staff to prepare two different rotations; the club has not yet confirmed whether he will play.
- Moncho Fernández described ankle discomfort for Andrzej Pluta dating back to the win at Baskonia, made worse when he stepped on a team-mate in training.
- Girona would need to call up an under-22 player if Pluta cannot play; Enric Sanmartín filled that role against Dinamo București.
- Pluta would join Maxi Fjellerup and Isaac Vázquez on the absentee list if he is ruled out.
Tevin Brown has begun the season as Breogán's leading perimeter threat and a central part of their unbeaten start. He twisted an ankle in training when he hit the basket support, and Luis Casimiro admitted the staff were shaken by the incident. Tests the same afternoon showed no serious damage, and Brown was back with the squad for Friday's session before the Girona game. His availability matters because Breogán have leaned on his scoring and playmaking alongside Dominik Mavra. Final confirmation is expected on match day.
- Luis Casimiro described an ankle knock for Tevin Brown against the basket support that left the staff shaken.
- The sprain was assessed the same afternoon and Brown trained with his team-mates on the Friday before the Girona game.
Maxi Fjellerup has been dealing with a right-ankle problem and went under the knife again. Girona confirmed on 3 October that surgery was needed and reported on 5 October that the operation had gone well, with the recovery period to be determined by his progress. The Argentine shooting guard had already been missing, so his absence continues to reduce Girona's wing options and leaves more responsibility on Jassel Pérez and Stanley Whittaker. He will not feature in Lugo.
- Girona announced on 3 October that Maxi Fjellerup, already out with a right-ankle problem, needed surgery again.
- The club said the operation was completed successfully on the morning of 5 October, with the recovery time to be set by his progress.
Isaac Vázquez has been on Girona's absentee list since mid-September, when the club's medical update also named Maxi Fjellerup and Aljaž Kunc. The point guard was still counted among the unavailable players on the eve of the Breogán game. With Andrzej Pluta also a doubt, Girona's point-guard depth is stretched and the coaching staff may again turn to a youth player. His absence is a rotation issue rather than a new setback.
- Girona's medical update on 18 September listed Isaac Vázquez, Maxi Fjellerup and Aljaž Kunc as out.
- Vázquez was still named among Girona's unavailable players on the eve of the Breogán game.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

3rd Quarter Total PointswonUncertainty band: Lean

Under 47.5

1.81fair 1.56

Market 55.2% · BetBugs 64%

+8.7ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 99.2, Basquet Girona 82.2. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 47.5 points in about 64 of 100 games like this. Breogan are unbeaten, score heavily at home, have had a clear week and shoot better from both inside and outside, while Girona have been poor away and are short in the backcourt. Girona's recent road totals and Breogan's softish defense keep the visitors in the low 80s rather than lower.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result9 of 11 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 99.2, Basquet Girona 82.2. Breogan win in about 91 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Breogan have scored 101, 110, 110, 105 and 126 points in their five 2026-27 games across ACB and Champions League (5 games to 3 October 2026).
- In ACB 2026-27 Breogan are 2-0 with 211 points scored and 199 conceded, beating Joventut 110-104 at home and Manresa 101-95 away.
- Girona have scored 78 and 84 in two ACB games this season plus 87 in the FIBA Europe Cup, including a 40-point loss at Baskonia on 4 October 2026.
- Girona's away scoring last season was mostly 75-94 points (away games March-May 2026), including 76 in a 95-76 loss at Breogan on 16 May 2026.
- Across 15 box scores Breogan shot 57.0% on two-pointers and 44.0% on three-pointers, versus 51.8% and 34.1% for Girona; Girona also turn it over more (14.8 vs 12.7 per game).
- Girona are without Fjellerup (ankle surgery confirmed 5 October 2026) and Vazquez, with Pluta a match-day doubt (9 October 2026), while Breogan's Tevin Brown trained Friday after an ankle scare.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonBreoganEstimated chance91%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 99.2, Basquet Girona 82.2. Breogan are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 90 of 100 games like this.
- Breogan have scored 101, 110, 110, 105 and 126 points in their five 2026-27 games across ACB and Champions League (5 games to 3 October 2026).
- In ACB 2026-27 Breogan are 2-0 with 211 points scored and 199 conceded, beating Joventut 110-104 at home and Manresa 101-95 away.
- Girona have scored 78 and 84 in two ACB games this season plus 87 in the FIBA Europe Cup, including a 40-point loss at Baskonia on 4 October 2026.
- Girona's away scoring last season was mostly 75-94 points (away games March-May 2026), including 76 in a 95-76 loss at Breogan on 16 May 2026.
- Across 15 box scores Breogan shot 57.0% on two-pointers and 44.0% on three-pointers, versus 51.8% and 34.1% for Girona; Girona also turn it over more (14.8 vs 12.7 per game).
- Girona are without Fjellerup (ankle surgery confirmed 5 October 2026) and Vazquez, with Pluta a match-day doubt (9 October 2026), while Breogan's Tevin Brown trained Friday after an ankle scare.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonBreoganEstimated chance90.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 99.2, Basquet Girona 82.2. Breogan are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 82 of 100 games like this.
- Breogan have scored 101, 110, 110, 105 and 126 points in their five 2026-27 games across ACB and Champions League (5 games to 3 October 2026).
- In ACB 2026-27 Breogan are 2-0 with 211 points scored and 199 conceded, beating Joventut 110-104 at home and Manresa 101-95 away.
- Girona have scored 78 and 84 in two ACB games this season plus 87 in the FIBA Europe Cup, including a 40-point loss at Baskonia on 4 October 2026.
- Girona's away scoring last season was mostly 75-94 points (away games March-May 2026), including 76 in a 95-76 loss at Breogan on 16 May 2026.
- Across 15 box scores Breogan shot 57.0% on two-pointers and 44.0% on three-pointers, versus 51.8% and 34.1% for Girona; Girona also turn it over more (14.8 vs 12.7 per game).
- Girona are without Fjellerup (ankle surgery confirmed 5 October 2026) and Vazquez, with Pluta a match-day doubt (9 October 2026), while Breogan's Tevin Brown trained Friday after an ankle scare.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonBreoganEstimated chance82.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 99.2, Basquet Girona 82.2. Breogan cover -6.5 (overtime included) in about 80 of 100 games like this.
- Breogan have scored 101, 110, 110, 105 and 126 points in their five 2026-27 games across ACB and Champions League (5 games to 3 October 2026).
- In ACB 2026-27 Breogan are 2-0 with 211 points scored and 199 conceded, beating Joventut 110-104 at home and Manresa 101-95 away.
- Girona have scored 78 and 84 in two ACB games this season plus 87 in the FIBA Europe Cup, including a 40-point loss at Baskonia on 4 October 2026.
- Girona's away scoring last season was mostly 75-94 points (away games March-May 2026), including 76 in a 95-76 loss at Breogan on 16 May 2026.
- Across 15 box scores Breogan shot 57.0% on two-pointers and 44.0% on three-pointers, versus 51.8% and 34.1% for Girona; Girona also turn it over more (14.8 vs 12.7 per game).
- Girona are without Fjellerup (ankle surgery confirmed 5 October 2026) and Vazquez, with Pluta a match-day doubt (9 October 2026), while Breogan's Tevin Brown trained Friday after an ankle scare.
BetBugs · HandicapwonBreogan -6.5Estimated chance80.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 99.2, Basquet Girona 82.2. Breogan are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 75 of 100 games like this.
- Breogan have scored 101, 110, 110, 105 and 126 points in their five 2026-27 games across ACB and Champions League (5 games to 3 October 2026).
- In ACB 2026-27 Breogan are 2-0 with 211 points scored and 199 conceded, beating Joventut 110-104 at home and Manresa 101-95 away.
- Girona have scored 78 and 84 in two ACB games this season plus 87 in the FIBA Europe Cup, including a 40-point loss at Baskonia on 4 October 2026.
- Girona's away scoring last season was mostly 75-94 points (away games March-May 2026), including 76 in a 95-76 loss at Breogan on 16 May 2026.
- Across 15 box scores Breogan shot 57.0% on two-pointers and 44.0% on three-pointers, versus 51.8% and 34.1% for Girona; Girona also turn it over more (14.8 vs 12.7 per game).
- Girona are without Fjellerup (ankle surgery confirmed 5 October 2026) and Vazquez, with Pluta a match-day doubt (9 October 2026), while Breogan's Tevin Brown trained Friday after an ankle scare.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonBreoganEstimated chance74.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 99.2, Basquet Girona 82.2. Breogan cover -3.5 in the 1st half in about 73 of 100 games like this.
- Breogan have scored 101, 110, 110, 105 and 126 points in their five 2026-27 games across ACB and Champions League (5 games to 3 October 2026).
- In ACB 2026-27 Breogan are 2-0 with 211 points scored and 199 conceded, beating Joventut 110-104 at home and Manresa 101-95 away.
- Girona have scored 78 and 84 in two ACB games this season plus 87 in the FIBA Europe Cup, including a 40-point loss at Baskonia on 4 October 2026.
- Girona's away scoring last season was mostly 75-94 points (away games March-May 2026), including 76 in a 95-76 loss at Breogan on 16 May 2026.
- Across 15 box scores Breogan shot 57.0% on two-pointers and 44.0% on three-pointers, versus 51.8% and 34.1% for Girona; Girona also turn it over more (14.8 vs 12.7 per game).
- Girona are without Fjellerup (ankle surgery confirmed 5 October 2026) and Vazquez, with Pluta a match-day doubt (9 October 2026), while Breogan's Tevin Brown trained Friday after an ankle scare.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonBreogan -3.5Estimated chance73%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 99.2, Basquet Girona 82.2. Breogan are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 69 of 100 games like this.
- Breogan have scored 101, 110, 110, 105 and 126 points in their five 2026-27 games across ACB and Champions League (5 games to 3 October 2026).
- In ACB 2026-27 Breogan are 2-0 with 211 points scored and 199 conceded, beating Joventut 110-104 at home and Manresa 101-95 away.
- Girona have scored 78 and 84 in two ACB games this season plus 87 in the FIBA Europe Cup, including a 40-point loss at Baskonia on 4 October 2026.
- Girona's away scoring last season was mostly 75-94 points (away games March-May 2026), including 76 in a 95-76 loss at Breogan on 16 May 2026.
- Across 15 box scores Breogan shot 57.0% on two-pointers and 44.0% on three-pointers, versus 51.8% and 34.1% for Girona; Girona also turn it over more (14.8 vs 12.7 per game).
- Girona are without Fjellerup (ankle surgery confirmed 5 October 2026) and Vazquez, with Pluta a match-day doubt (9 October 2026), while Breogan's Tevin Brown trained Friday after an ankle scare.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonBreoganEstimated chance69.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 99.2, Basquet Girona 82.2. Breogan are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Breogan have scored 101, 110, 110, 105 and 126 points in their five 2026-27 games across ACB and Champions League (5 games to 3 October 2026).
- In ACB 2026-27 Breogan are 2-0 with 211 points scored and 199 conceded, beating Joventut 110-104 at home and Manresa 101-95 away.
- Girona have scored 78 and 84 in two ACB games this season plus 87 in the FIBA Europe Cup, including a 40-point loss at Baskonia on 4 October 2026.
- Girona's away scoring last season was mostly 75-94 points (away games March-May 2026), including 76 in a 95-76 loss at Breogan on 16 May 2026.
- Across 15 box scores Breogan shot 57.0% on two-pointers and 44.0% on three-pointers, versus 51.8% and 34.1% for Girona; Girona also turn it over more (14.8 vs 12.7 per game).
- Girona are without Fjellerup (ankle surgery confirmed 5 October 2026) and Vazquez, with Pluta a match-day doubt (9 October 2026), while Breogan's Tevin Brown trained Friday after an ankle scare.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultlostBreoganEstimated chance66.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 99.2, Basquet Girona 82.2. Breogan cover -2.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Breogan and 15 for Basquet Girona, across seasons and competitions.
- Breogan have scored 101, 110, 110, 105 and 126 points in their five 2026-27 games across ACB and Champions League (5 games to 3 October 2026).
- In ACB 2026-27 Breogan are 2-0 with 211 points scored and 199 conceded, beating Joventut 110-104 at home and Manresa 101-95 away.
- Girona have scored 78 and 84 in two ACB games this season plus 87 in the FIBA Europe Cup, including a 40-point loss at Baskonia on 4 October 2026.
- Girona's away scoring last season was mostly 75-94 points (away games March-May 2026), including 76 in a 95-76 loss at Breogan on 16 May 2026.
- Across 15 box scores Breogan shot 57.0% on two-pointers and 44.0% on three-pointers, versus 51.8% and 34.1% for Girona; Girona also turn it over more (14.8 vs 12.7 per game).
- Girona are without Fjellerup (ankle surgery confirmed 5 October 2026) and Vazquez, with Pluta a match-day doubt (9 October 2026), while Breogan's Tevin Brown trained Friday after an ankle scare.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonBreogan -2.5Estimated chance65.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 99.2, Basquet Girona 82.2. Breogan cover -1.5 in the 1st quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Breogan have scored 101, 110, 110, 105 and 126 points in their five 2026-27 games across ACB and Champions League (5 games to 3 October 2026).
- In ACB 2026-27 Breogan are 2-0 with 211 points scored and 199 conceded, beating Joventut 110-104 at home and Manresa 101-95 away.
- Girona have scored 78 and 84 in two ACB games this season plus 87 in the FIBA Europe Cup, including a 40-point loss at Baskonia on 4 October 2026.
- Girona's away scoring last season was mostly 75-94 points (away games March-May 2026), including 76 in a 95-76 loss at Breogan on 16 May 2026.
- Across 15 box scores Breogan shot 57.0% on two-pointers and 44.0% on three-pointers, versus 51.8% and 34.1% for Girona; Girona also turn it over more (14.8 vs 12.7 per game).
- Girona are without Fjellerup (ankle surgery confirmed 5 October 2026) and Vazquez, with Pluta a match-day doubt (9 October 2026), while Breogan's Tevin Brown trained Friday after an ankle scare.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapwonBreogan -1.5Estimated chance64.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 99.2, Basquet Girona 82.2. Breogan cover -2.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Breogan and 15 for Basquet Girona, across seasons and competitions.
- Breogan have scored 101, 110, 110, 105 and 126 points in their five 2026-27 games across ACB and Champions League (5 games to 3 October 2026).
- In ACB 2026-27 Breogan are 2-0 with 211 points scored and 199 conceded, beating Joventut 110-104 at home and Manresa 101-95 away.
- Girona have scored 78 and 84 in two ACB games this season plus 87 in the FIBA Europe Cup, including a 40-point loss at Baskonia on 4 October 2026.
- Girona's away scoring last season was mostly 75-94 points (away games March-May 2026), including 76 in a 95-76 loss at Breogan on 16 May 2026.
- Across 15 box scores Breogan shot 57.0% on two-pointers and 44.0% on three-pointers, versus 51.8% and 34.1% for Girona; Girona also turn it over more (14.8 vs 12.7 per game).
- Girona are without Fjellerup (ankle surgery confirmed 5 October 2026) and Vazquez, with Pluta a match-day doubt (9 October 2026), while Breogan's Tevin Brown trained Friday after an ankle scare.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostBreogan -2.5Estimated chance56.2%

Points9 of 13 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 99.2, Basquet Girona 82.2. Basquet Girona score fewer than 88.5 points (overtime included) in about 72 of 100 games like this.
- Breogan have scored 101, 110, 110, 105 and 126 points in their five 2026-27 games across ACB and Champions League (5 games to 3 October 2026).
- In ACB 2026-27 Breogan are 2-0 with 211 points scored and 199 conceded, beating Joventut 110-104 at home and Manresa 101-95 away.
- Girona have scored 78 and 84 in two ACB games this season plus 87 in the FIBA Europe Cup, including a 40-point loss at Baskonia on 4 October 2026.
- Girona's away scoring last season was mostly 75-94 points (away games March-May 2026), including 76 in a 95-76 loss at Breogan on 16 May 2026.
- Across 15 box scores Breogan shot 57.0% on two-pointers and 44.0% on three-pointers, versus 51.8% and 34.1% for Girona; Girona also turn it over more (14.8 vs 12.7 per game).
- Girona are without Fjellerup (ankle surgery confirmed 5 October 2026) and Vazquez, with Pluta a match-day doubt (9 October 2026), while Breogan's Tevin Brown trained Friday after an ankle scare.
BetBugs · Team PointslostBasquet Girona under 88.5Estimated chance72.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 99.2, Basquet Girona 82.2. Breogan score more than 22.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 72 of 100 games like this.
- Breogan have scored 101, 110, 110, 105 and 126 points in their five 2026-27 games across ACB and Champions League (5 games to 3 October 2026).
- In ACB 2026-27 Breogan are 2-0 with 211 points scored and 199 conceded, beating Joventut 110-104 at home and Manresa 101-95 away.
- Girona have scored 78 and 84 in two ACB games this season plus 87 in the FIBA Europe Cup, including a 40-point loss at Baskonia on 4 October 2026.
- Girona's away scoring last season was mostly 75-94 points (away games March-May 2026), including 76 in a 95-76 loss at Breogan on 16 May 2026.
- Across 15 box scores Breogan shot 57.0% on two-pointers and 44.0% on three-pointers, versus 51.8% and 34.1% for Girona; Girona also turn it over more (14.8 vs 12.7 per game).
- Girona are without Fjellerup (ankle surgery confirmed 5 October 2026) and Vazquez, with Pluta a match-day doubt (9 October 2026), while Breogan's Tevin Brown trained Friday after an ankle scare.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonBreogan over 22.5Estimated chance71.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 99.2, Basquet Girona 82.2. Breogan score more than 46.5 points in the 1st half in about 70 of 100 games like this.
- Breogan have scored 101, 110, 110, 105 and 126 points in their five 2026-27 games across ACB and Champions League (5 games to 3 October 2026).
- In ACB 2026-27 Breogan are 2-0 with 211 points scored and 199 conceded, beating Joventut 110-104 at home and Manresa 101-95 away.
- Girona have scored 78 and 84 in two ACB games this season plus 87 in the FIBA Europe Cup, including a 40-point loss at Baskonia on 4 October 2026.
- Girona's away scoring last season was mostly 75-94 points (away games March-May 2026), including 76 in a 95-76 loss at Breogan on 16 May 2026.
- Across 15 box scores Breogan shot 57.0% on two-pointers and 44.0% on three-pointers, versus 51.8% and 34.1% for Girona; Girona also turn it over more (14.8 vs 12.7 per game).
- Girona are without Fjellerup (ankle surgery confirmed 5 October 2026) and Vazquez, with Pluta a match-day doubt (9 October 2026), while Breogan's Tevin Brown trained Friday after an ankle scare.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonBreogan over 46.5Estimated chance69.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 99.2, Basquet Girona 82.2. Breogan score more than 95.5 points (overtime included) in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Breogan have scored 101, 110, 110, 105 and 126 points in their five 2026-27 games across ACB and Champions League (5 games to 3 October 2026).
- In ACB 2026-27 Breogan are 2-0 with 211 points scored and 199 conceded, beating Joventut 110-104 at home and Manresa 101-95 away.
- Girona have scored 78 and 84 in two ACB games this season plus 87 in the FIBA Europe Cup, including a 40-point loss at Baskonia on 4 October 2026.
- Girona's away scoring last season was mostly 75-94 points (away games March-May 2026), including 76 in a 95-76 loss at Breogan on 16 May 2026.
- Across 15 box scores Breogan shot 57.0% on two-pointers and 44.0% on three-pointers, versus 51.8% and 34.1% for Girona; Girona also turn it over more (14.8 vs 12.7 per game).
- Girona are without Fjellerup (ankle surgery confirmed 5 October 2026) and Vazquez, with Pluta a match-day doubt (9 October 2026), while Breogan's Tevin Brown trained Friday after an ankle scare.
BetBugs · Team PointswonBreogan over 95.5Estimated chance65.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 99.2, Basquet Girona 82.2. Basquet Girona score fewer than 22.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Breogan have scored 101, 110, 110, 105 and 126 points in their five 2026-27 games across ACB and Champions League (5 games to 3 October 2026).
- In ACB 2026-27 Breogan are 2-0 with 211 points scored and 199 conceded, beating Joventut 110-104 at home and Manresa 101-95 away.
- Girona have scored 78 and 84 in two ACB games this season plus 87 in the FIBA Europe Cup, including a 40-point loss at Baskonia on 4 October 2026.
- Girona's away scoring last season was mostly 75-94 points (away games March-May 2026), including 76 in a 95-76 loss at Breogan on 16 May 2026.
- Across 15 box scores Breogan shot 57.0% on two-pointers and 44.0% on three-pointers, versus 51.8% and 34.1% for Girona; Girona also turn it over more (14.8 vs 12.7 per game).
- Girona are without Fjellerup (ankle surgery confirmed 5 October 2026) and Vazquez, with Pluta a match-day doubt (9 October 2026), while Breogan's Tevin Brown trained Friday after an ankle scare.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostBasquet Girona under 22.5Estimated chance64.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.81
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 99.2, Basquet Girona 82.2. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 47.5 points in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Breogan have scored 101, 110, 110, 105 and 126 points in their five 2026-27 games across ACB and Champions League (5 games to 3 October 2026).
- In ACB 2026-27 Breogan are 2-0 with 211 points scored and 199 conceded, beating Joventut 110-104 at home and Manresa 101-95 away.
- Girona have scored 78 and 84 in two ACB games this season plus 87 in the FIBA Europe Cup, including a 40-point loss at Baskonia on 4 October 2026.
- Girona's away scoring last season was mostly 75-94 points (away games March-May 2026), including 76 in a 95-76 loss at Breogan on 16 May 2026.
- Across 15 box scores Breogan shot 57.0% on two-pointers and 44.0% on three-pointers, versus 51.8% and 34.1% for Girona; Girona also turn it over more (14.8 vs 12.7 per game).
- Girona are without Fjellerup (ankle surgery confirmed 5 October 2026) and Vazquez, with Pluta a match-day doubt (9 October 2026), while Breogan's Tevin Brown trained Friday after an ankle scare.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 47.5Estimated chance64%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 99.2, Basquet Girona 82.2. Basquet Girona score fewer than 21.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Breogan have scored 101, 110, 110, 105 and 126 points in their five 2026-27 games across ACB and Champions League (5 games to 3 October 2026).
- In ACB 2026-27 Breogan are 2-0 with 211 points scored and 199 conceded, beating Joventut 110-104 at home and Manresa 101-95 away.
- Girona have scored 78 and 84 in two ACB games this season plus 87 in the FIBA Europe Cup, including a 40-point loss at Baskonia on 4 October 2026.
- Girona's away scoring last season was mostly 75-94 points (away games March-May 2026), including 76 in a 95-76 loss at Breogan on 16 May 2026.
- Across 15 box scores Breogan shot 57.0% on two-pointers and 44.0% on three-pointers, versus 51.8% and 34.1% for Girona; Girona also turn it over more (14.8 vs 12.7 per game).
- Girona are without Fjellerup (ankle surgery confirmed 5 October 2026) and Vazquez, with Pluta a match-day doubt (9 October 2026), while Breogan's Tevin Brown trained Friday after an ankle scare.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonBasquet Girona under 21.5Estimated chance60.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 99.2, Basquet Girona 82.2. Basquet Girona score fewer than 42.5 points in the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Breogan have scored 101, 110, 110, 105 and 126 points in their five 2026-27 games across ACB and Champions League (5 games to 3 October 2026).
- In ACB 2026-27 Breogan are 2-0 with 211 points scored and 199 conceded, beating Joventut 110-104 at home and Manresa 101-95 away.
- Girona have scored 78 and 84 in two ACB games this season plus 87 in the FIBA Europe Cup, including a 40-point loss at Baskonia on 4 October 2026.
- Girona's away scoring last season was mostly 75-94 points (away games March-May 2026), including 76 in a 95-76 loss at Breogan on 16 May 2026.
- Across 15 box scores Breogan shot 57.0% on two-pointers and 44.0% on three-pointers, versus 51.8% and 34.1% for Girona; Girona also turn it over more (14.8 vs 12.7 per game).
- Girona are without Fjellerup (ankle surgery confirmed 5 October 2026) and Vazquez, with Pluta a match-day doubt (9 October 2026), while Breogan's Tevin Brown trained Friday after an ankle scare.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonBasquet Girona under 42.5Estimated chance59.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 99.2, Basquet Girona 82.2. Breogan score more than 23.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Breogan have scored 101, 110, 110, 105 and 126 points in their five 2026-27 games across ACB and Champions League (5 games to 3 October 2026).
- In ACB 2026-27 Breogan are 2-0 with 211 points scored and 199 conceded, beating Joventut 110-104 at home and Manresa 101-95 away.
- Girona have scored 78 and 84 in two ACB games this season plus 87 in the FIBA Europe Cup, including a 40-point loss at Baskonia on 4 October 2026.
- Girona's away scoring last season was mostly 75-94 points (away games March-May 2026), including 76 in a 95-76 loss at Breogan on 16 May 2026.
- Across 15 box scores Breogan shot 57.0% on two-pointers and 44.0% on three-pointers, versus 51.8% and 34.1% for Girona; Girona also turn it over more (14.8 vs 12.7 per game).
- Girona are without Fjellerup (ankle surgery confirmed 5 October 2026) and Vazquez, with Pluta a match-day doubt (9 October 2026), while Breogan's Tevin Brown trained Friday after an ankle scare.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonBreogan over 23.5Estimated chance59.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 99.2, Basquet Girona 82.2. Basquet Girona score fewer than 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Breogan have scored 101, 110, 110, 105 and 126 points in their five 2026-27 games across ACB and Champions League (5 games to 3 October 2026).
- In ACB 2026-27 Breogan are 2-0 with 211 points scored and 199 conceded, beating Joventut 110-104 at home and Manresa 101-95 away.
- Girona have scored 78 and 84 in two ACB games this season plus 87 in the FIBA Europe Cup, including a 40-point loss at Baskonia on 4 October 2026.
- Girona's away scoring last season was mostly 75-94 points (away games March-May 2026), including 76 in a 95-76 loss at Breogan on 16 May 2026.
- Across 15 box scores Breogan shot 57.0% on two-pointers and 44.0% on three-pointers, versus 51.8% and 34.1% for Girona; Girona also turn it over more (14.8 vs 12.7 per game).
- Girona are without Fjellerup (ankle surgery confirmed 5 October 2026) and Vazquez, with Pluta a match-day doubt (9 October 2026), while Breogan's Tevin Brown trained Friday after an ankle scare.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostBasquet Girona under 21.5Estimated chance56.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 99.2, Basquet Girona 82.2. The game has fewer than 184.5 points (overtime included) in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Breogan have scored 101, 110, 110, 105 and 126 points in their five 2026-27 games across ACB and Champions League (5 games to 3 October 2026).
- In ACB 2026-27 Breogan are 2-0 with 211 points scored and 199 conceded, beating Joventut 110-104 at home and Manresa 101-95 away.
- Girona have scored 78 and 84 in two ACB games this season plus 87 in the FIBA Europe Cup, including a 40-point loss at Baskonia on 4 October 2026.
- Girona's away scoring last season was mostly 75-94 points (away games March-May 2026), including 76 in a 95-76 loss at Breogan on 16 May 2026.
- Across 15 box scores Breogan shot 57.0% on two-pointers and 44.0% on three-pointers, versus 51.8% and 34.1% for Girona; Girona also turn it over more (14.8 vs 12.7 per game).
- Girona are without Fjellerup (ankle surgery confirmed 5 October 2026) and Vazquez, with Pluta a match-day doubt (9 October 2026), while Breogan's Tevin Brown trained Friday after an ankle scare.
BetBugs · Total PointslostUnder 184.5Estimated chance56.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 99.2, Basquet Girona 82.2. The 2nd quarter has more than 44.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Breogan have scored 101, 110, 110, 105 and 126 points in their five 2026-27 games across ACB and Champions League (5 games to 3 October 2026).
- In ACB 2026-27 Breogan are 2-0 with 211 points scored and 199 conceded, beating Joventut 110-104 at home and Manresa 101-95 away.
- Girona have scored 78 and 84 in two ACB games this season plus 87 in the FIBA Europe Cup, including a 40-point loss at Baskonia on 4 October 2026.
- Girona's away scoring last season was mostly 75-94 points (away games March-May 2026), including 76 in a 95-76 loss at Breogan on 16 May 2026.
- Across 15 box scores Breogan shot 57.0% on two-pointers and 44.0% on three-pointers, versus 51.8% and 34.1% for Girona; Girona also turn it over more (14.8 vs 12.7 per game).
- Girona are without Fjellerup (ankle surgery confirmed 5 October 2026) and Vazquez, with Pluta a match-day doubt (9 October 2026), while Breogan's Tevin Brown trained Friday after an ankle scare.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonOver 44.5Estimated chance55.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 99.2, Basquet Girona 82.2. The 1st half has more than 89.5 points in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Breogan have scored 101, 110, 110, 105 and 126 points in their five 2026-27 games across ACB and Champions League (5 games to 3 October 2026).
- In ACB 2026-27 Breogan are 2-0 with 211 points scored and 199 conceded, beating Joventut 110-104 at home and Manresa 101-95 away.
- Girona have scored 78 and 84 in two ACB games this season plus 87 in the FIBA Europe Cup, including a 40-point loss at Baskonia on 4 October 2026.
- Girona's away scoring last season was mostly 75-94 points (away games March-May 2026), including 76 in a 95-76 loss at Breogan on 16 May 2026.
- Across 15 box scores Breogan shot 57.0% on two-pointers and 44.0% on three-pointers, versus 51.8% and 34.1% for Girona; Girona also turn it over more (14.8 vs 12.7 per game).
- Girona are without Fjellerup (ankle surgery confirmed 5 October 2026) and Vazquez, with Pluta a match-day doubt (9 October 2026), while Breogan's Tevin Brown trained Friday after an ankle scare.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonOver 89.5Estimated chance55.2%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 9, 16:35

Selected line

184.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

43%

Chance of 185+ points

9 pp below break-even

Over 1.92 needs 52% to break even. BetBugs sees 43%.

Move the line main 184.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 43%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 57%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W95–76

Breoganv

Basquet Girona

May 16, 2026·ACB

L103–80

Basquet Gironav Breogan

Breogan

Dec 6, 2025·ACB

L91–85

Basquet Gironav Breogan

Breogan

Apr 12, 2025·ACB

W77–74

Breoganv

Basquet Girona

Dec 21, 2024·ACB

W93–75

Breoganv

Basquet Girona

Jan 21, 2024·ACB

L87–83

Basquet Gironav Breogan

Breogan

Nov 18, 2023·ACB

W92–70

Breoganv

Basquet Girona

Feb 5, 2023·ACB

W66–73

Basquet Gironav Breogan

Breogan

Dec 4, 2022·ACB

165Avg total points

12.8Avg margin

8meetings

League table

Liga ACB · ACB - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Breogan

2–0100%

Basquet Girona

1–150%

Recent Form

Breogan

9W 6L · last 15

at Manresa101–95 Oct 3ACB

vs Joventut Badalona110–104 Sep 27ACB

at Dziki Warszawa110–113 Sep 19CL

at Manchester Basketball105–84 Sep 17CL

vs Rilski Sportist126–80 Sep 14CL

vs Basket Zaragoza94–95 May 29ACB

at Unicaja83–101 May 23ACB

vs Basquet Girona95–76 May 16ACB

vs Forca Lleida114–87 May 13ACB

at Real Madrid101–97 May 10ACB

at Baskonia84–112 May 3ACB

vs Joventut Badalona93–86 Apr 26ACB

at San Pablo Burgos99–94 Apr 19ACB

vs MoraBanc Andorra97–99 Apr 11ACB

at Valencia88–105 Apr 5ACB

Basquet Girona

5W 10L · last 15

vs Dinamo Bucharest87–75 Oct 6FIB

at Baskonia78–118 Oct 4ACB

vs Murcia84–77 Sep 27ACB

vs Joventut Badalona82–77 May 29ACB

at Bilbao80–86 May 24ACB

at Breogan76–95 May 16ACB

vs Manresa74–79 May 12ACB

at Murcia75–86 May 9ACB

vs Basket Zaragoza90–81 May 2ACB

at Gran Canaria90–100 Apr 25ACB

vs Valencia81–84 Apr 19ACB

at Tenerife94–97 Apr 11ACB

at Granada91–84 Apr 4ACB

vs Real Madrid93–95 Mar 28ACB

at Baskonia81–94 Mar 22ACB

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Breogan

Stats

4–1

Basquet Girona

Breogan leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 3–0

2-point %+5.2pp

57.0%

+5.2pp

51.8%

3-point %+9.9pp

44.0%

+9.9pp

34.1%

Free-throw %+0.9pp

76.0%

+0.9pp

75.1%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s0.5pp apart

39.1%

0.5pp apart

39.6%

Free throws per shot6.2pp apart

31.6%

6.2pp apart

25.4%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+3.4

31.9

+3.4

35.3

Turnovers per game2.1 fewer

12.7

2.1 fewer

14.8

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.