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Predictions graded

Boulazac84JL Bourg73

Sat 10 Oct 2026, 18:30 Predictions graded

Predictions9–375%

Edges2–0100%

Points by period: Boulazac and JL Bourg.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Boulazac	19	15	28	22
JL Bourg	14	28	15	16

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Boulazac are winless at 0-2 and host a JL Bourg side missing guards Tyson Walker and Hugo Robineau, which makes this tighter than the table suggests.

Bourg still look the likely winners, around 83-80, and at 1.44 their win leaves nothing. The two prices that offer something are JL Bourg to score under 86.5 points at 1.87 and Boulazac to win at 2.88.

Context

JL Bourg arrive without two frontline guards: Tyson Walker is out for around six weeks and Hugo Robineau is expected to miss five to six weeks with a foot injury, so new cover signing Tyger Campbell steps into the rotation. Boulazac are 0-2 in the league and conceded 107 points to a third-division side in the French Cup, leaving the home side without a league win so far.

Walker is JL Bourg's point guard and the club has confirmed a multi-week absence, reported at around six weeks. With Hugo Robineau also out, Bourg arrive at Boulazac without two front-line guards, so the load falls on the remaining backcourt and on new signing Tyger Campbell. The uncertainty is how quickly Campbell can be integrated and how Bourg organises its guard rotation in his first days with the group.
- JL Bourg will be without Tyson Walker for a multi-week spell.
- The expected absence is around six weeks.
- JL Bourg signed a point guard as medical cover during Walker's absence.
Robineau joined JL Bourg in the summer but a foot injury in pre-season is expected to keep him out for five to six weeks from mid-September. Along with Tyson Walker's absence, that leaves Bourg without two guards for the game at Boulazac. Robineau previously played for Boulazac, who had expected to welcome him back on this date, so his absence removes a familiar face from the visitors' rotation.
- Hugo Robineau was injured in a pre-season game against Hapoel Jerusalem in Vilnius.
- JL Bourg estimated a foot injury will keep him out for five to six weeks.
- Boulazac wished Robineau a good recovery and had marked 10 October to face him again at the Palio.
Bourg moved quickly to cover Tyson Walker's absence by signing Tyger Campbell as a medical joker. With Hugo Robineau also out, Campbell is expected to step into the guard rotation at Boulazac, but he has only just joined the group, so his role, minutes and integration are still open. His availability gives Bourg a natural ball-handler for a game in which their usual options are missing.
- JL Bourg recruited point guard Tyger Campbell as a medical replacement during Tyson Walker's absence.
- Campbell previously played in France with Saint-Quentin and spent last season in the Australian league.
- He has been cleared to play and could make his league debut at Boulazac.
Boulazac have started under coach Alexandre Ménard with two defeats, including a home loss to promoted Roanne, and are still without a league win. The visit of JL Bourg is their next chance to get off the mark. Their ability to close out a tight game is the open question after they fell short by two points against Roanne, and they face a Bourg team also working through a busy week.
- Boulazac lost their season opener at home to promoted Roanne 79-81.
- They then lost 87-75 at Strasbourg on matchday two.
- Against Strasbourg they recovered from 20 points down at half-time to close within two.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Team PointswonUncertainty band: Lean

JL Bourg under 86.5

1.87fair 1.65

Market 53.5% · BetBugs 60.7%

+7.3ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Boulazac 80.0, JL Bourg 83.0. JL Bourg score fewer than 86.5 points (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this. Boulazac are at home and have a lead scorer in Estrada, but they have started 0-2, gave up 107 points to a third-division side in the cup and lost both 2025-26 meetings with Bourg. Bourg are the stronger, more experienced side and road-tested in the EuroCup, but they arrive without two frontline guards, which should keep this close and low-to-mid 80s for the visitors against a home side in the high 70s. My expected score is a narrow Bourg win after 40 minutes.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Boulazac

2.88fair 2.46

Market 34.7% · BetBugs 40.6%

+5.9ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Boulazac 80.0, JL Bourg 83.0. Boulazac win in about 41 of 100 games like this, overtime included. Boulazac are at home and have a lead scorer in Estrada, but they have started 0-2, gave up 107 points to a third-division side in the cup and lost both 2025-26 meetings with Bourg. Bourg are the stronger, more experienced side and road-tested in the EuroCup, but they arrive without two frontline guards, which should keep this close and low-to-mid 80s for the visitors against a home side in the high 70s. My expected score is a narrow Bourg win after 40 minutes.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Boulazac 80.0, JL Bourg 83.0. Boulazac cover +3.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Boulazac and 15 for JL Bourg, across seasons and competitions.
- Boulazac are 0-2 in LNB 2026-27 (154 scored, 168 conceded), losing 79-81 at home to Roanne on 26 Sep 2026 and 75-87 at Strasbourg on 3 Oct 2026, plus a 96-107 French Cup defeat at third-division Challans on 6 Oct 2026.
- JL Bourg are 1-1 in LNB 2026-27 (193 for, 183 against), beating Chalon 90-77 on 3 Oct 2026 and losing 103-106 in overtime at Saint Quentin on 26 Sep 2026, and lost EuroCup games 82-89 to Tofas on 6 Oct 2026 and 76-84 at Napoli on 30 Sep 2026.
- The last two head-to-head meetings (both 2025-26 LNB) went to JL Bourg: 73-70 on 6 Feb 2026 and 82-68 at Boulazac on 8 Nov 2025.
- Across the tracked box scores Boulazac shoot 53.8% on two-pointers and 31.3% on threes (14 games) with 31.6 rebounds and 12.2 turnovers per game, while JL Bourg shoot 50.0% and 33.6% (15 games) with 33.4 rebounds and 14.3 turnovers per game; the provider has no offensive/defensive rebound split, so possessions cannot be measured.
- Bour's confirmed news says point guard Tyson Walker is out around six weeks (published 6-8 Oct 2026) and Hugo Robineau is a watch-listed foot-injury absence of five to six weeks; cover signing Tyger Campbell is cleared but is new to the group.
- Aaron Estrada has carried Boulazac's offense with 21 points against Roanne and 19 at Strasbourg, but the club's current-season sample is only two league games.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonBoulazac +3.5Estimated chance65.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Boulazac 80.0, JL Bourg 83.0. JL Bourg cover +1.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Boulazac and 15 for JL Bourg, across seasons and competitions.
- Boulazac are 0-2 in LNB 2026-27 (154 scored, 168 conceded), losing 79-81 at home to Roanne on 26 Sep 2026 and 75-87 at Strasbourg on 3 Oct 2026, plus a 96-107 French Cup defeat at third-division Challans on 6 Oct 2026.
- JL Bourg are 1-1 in LNB 2026-27 (193 for, 183 against), beating Chalon 90-77 on 3 Oct 2026 and losing 103-106 in overtime at Saint Quentin on 26 Sep 2026, and lost EuroCup games 82-89 to Tofas on 6 Oct 2026 and 76-84 at Napoli on 30 Sep 2026.
- The last two head-to-head meetings (both 2025-26 LNB) went to JL Bourg: 73-70 on 6 Feb 2026 and 82-68 at Boulazac on 8 Nov 2025.
- Across the tracked box scores Boulazac shoot 53.8% on two-pointers and 31.3% on threes (14 games) with 31.6 rebounds and 12.2 turnovers per game, while JL Bourg shoot 50.0% and 33.6% (15 games) with 33.4 rebounds and 14.3 turnovers per game; the provider has no offensive/defensive rebound split, so possessions cannot be measured.
- Bour's confirmed news says point guard Tyson Walker is out around six weeks (published 6-8 Oct 2026) and Hugo Robineau is a watch-listed foot-injury absence of five to six weeks; cover signing Tyger Campbell is cleared but is new to the group.
- Aaron Estrada has carried Boulazac's offense with 21 points against Roanne and 19 at Strasbourg, but the club's current-season sample is only two league games.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonJL Bourg +1.5Estimated chance63.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Boulazac 80.0, JL Bourg 83.0. JL Bourg win in about 59 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Boulazac are 0-2 in LNB 2026-27 (154 scored, 168 conceded), losing 79-81 at home to Roanne on 26 Sep 2026 and 75-87 at Strasbourg on 3 Oct 2026, plus a 96-107 French Cup defeat at third-division Challans on 6 Oct 2026.
- JL Bourg are 1-1 in LNB 2026-27 (193 for, 183 against), beating Chalon 90-77 on 3 Oct 2026 and losing 103-106 in overtime at Saint Quentin on 26 Sep 2026, and lost EuroCup games 82-89 to Tofas on 6 Oct 2026 and 76-84 at Napoli on 30 Sep 2026.
- The last two head-to-head meetings (both 2025-26 LNB) went to JL Bourg: 73-70 on 6 Feb 2026 and 82-68 at Boulazac on 8 Nov 2025.
- Across the tracked box scores Boulazac shoot 53.8% on two-pointers and 31.3% on threes (14 games) with 31.6 rebounds and 12.2 turnovers per game, while JL Bourg shoot 50.0% and 33.6% (15 games) with 33.4 rebounds and 14.3 turnovers per game; the provider has no offensive/defensive rebound split, so possessions cannot be measured.
- Bour's confirmed news says point guard Tyson Walker is out around six weeks (published 6-8 Oct 2026) and Hugo Robineau is a watch-listed foot-injury absence of five to six weeks; cover signing Tyger Campbell is cleared but is new to the group.
- Aaron Estrada has carried Boulazac's offense with 21 points against Roanne and 19 at Strasbourg, but the club's current-season sample is only two league games.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostJL BourgEstimated chance59.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Boulazac 80.0, JL Bourg 83.0. JL Bourg are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Boulazac are 0-2 in LNB 2026-27 (154 scored, 168 conceded), losing 79-81 at home to Roanne on 26 Sep 2026 and 75-87 at Strasbourg on 3 Oct 2026, plus a 96-107 French Cup defeat at third-division Challans on 6 Oct 2026.
- JL Bourg are 1-1 in LNB 2026-27 (193 for, 183 against), beating Chalon 90-77 on 3 Oct 2026 and losing 103-106 in overtime at Saint Quentin on 26 Sep 2026, and lost EuroCup games 82-89 to Tofas on 6 Oct 2026 and 76-84 at Napoli on 30 Sep 2026.
- The last two head-to-head meetings (both 2025-26 LNB) went to JL Bourg: 73-70 on 6 Feb 2026 and 82-68 at Boulazac on 8 Nov 2025.
- Across the tracked box scores Boulazac shoot 53.8% on two-pointers and 31.3% on threes (14 games) with 31.6 rebounds and 12.2 turnovers per game, while JL Bourg shoot 50.0% and 33.6% (15 games) with 33.4 rebounds and 14.3 turnovers per game; the provider has no offensive/defensive rebound split, so possessions cannot be measured.
- Bour's confirmed news says point guard Tyson Walker is out around six weeks (published 6-8 Oct 2026) and Hugo Robineau is a watch-listed foot-injury absence of five to six weeks; cover signing Tyger Campbell is cleared but is new to the group.
- Aaron Estrada has carried Boulazac's offense with 21 points against Roanne and 19 at Strasbourg, but the club's current-season sample is only two league games.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minlostJL BourgEstimated chance57.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Boulazac 80.0, JL Bourg 83.0. Boulazac cover +5.5 (overtime included) in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Boulazac are 0-2 in LNB 2026-27 (154 scored, 168 conceded), losing 79-81 at home to Roanne on 26 Sep 2026 and 75-87 at Strasbourg on 3 Oct 2026, plus a 96-107 French Cup defeat at third-division Challans on 6 Oct 2026.
- JL Bourg are 1-1 in LNB 2026-27 (193 for, 183 against), beating Chalon 90-77 on 3 Oct 2026 and losing 103-106 in overtime at Saint Quentin on 26 Sep 2026, and lost EuroCup games 82-89 to Tofas on 6 Oct 2026 and 76-84 at Napoli on 30 Sep 2026.
- The last two head-to-head meetings (both 2025-26 LNB) went to JL Bourg: 73-70 on 6 Feb 2026 and 82-68 at Boulazac on 8 Nov 2025.
- Across the tracked box scores Boulazac shoot 53.8% on two-pointers and 31.3% on threes (14 games) with 31.6 rebounds and 12.2 turnovers per game, while JL Bourg shoot 50.0% and 33.6% (15 games) with 33.4 rebounds and 14.3 turnovers per game; the provider has no offensive/defensive rebound split, so possessions cannot be measured.
- Bour's confirmed news says point guard Tyson Walker is out around six weeks (published 6-8 Oct 2026) and Hugo Robineau is a watch-listed foot-injury absence of five to six weeks; cover signing Tyger Campbell is cleared but is new to the group.
- Aaron Estrada has carried Boulazac's offense with 21 points against Roanne and 19 at Strasbourg, but the club's current-season sample is only two league games.
BetBugs · HandicapwonBoulazac +5.5Estimated chance56.7%

Points6 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.87
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Boulazac 80.0, JL Bourg 83.0. JL Bourg score fewer than 86.5 points (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Boulazac are 0-2 in LNB 2026-27 (154 scored, 168 conceded), losing 79-81 at home to Roanne on 26 Sep 2026 and 75-87 at Strasbourg on 3 Oct 2026, plus a 96-107 French Cup defeat at third-division Challans on 6 Oct 2026.
- JL Bourg are 1-1 in LNB 2026-27 (193 for, 183 against), beating Chalon 90-77 on 3 Oct 2026 and losing 103-106 in overtime at Saint Quentin on 26 Sep 2026, and lost EuroCup games 82-89 to Tofas on 6 Oct 2026 and 76-84 at Napoli on 30 Sep 2026.
- The last two head-to-head meetings (both 2025-26 LNB) went to JL Bourg: 73-70 on 6 Feb 2026 and 82-68 at Boulazac on 8 Nov 2025.
- Across the tracked box scores Boulazac shoot 53.8% on two-pointers and 31.3% on threes (14 games) with 31.6 rebounds and 12.2 turnovers per game, while JL Bourg shoot 50.0% and 33.6% (15 games) with 33.4 rebounds and 14.3 turnovers per game; the provider has no offensive/defensive rebound split, so possessions cannot be measured.
- Bour's confirmed news says point guard Tyson Walker is out around six weeks (published 6-8 Oct 2026) and Hugo Robineau is a watch-listed foot-injury absence of five to six weeks; cover signing Tyger Campbell is cleared but is new to the group.
- Aaron Estrada has carried Boulazac's offense with 21 points against Roanne and 19 at Strasbourg, but the club's current-season sample is only two league games.
BetBugs · Team PointswonJL Bourg under 86.5Estimated chance60.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Boulazac 80.0, JL Bourg 83.0. JL Bourg score fewer than 43.5 points in the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Boulazac are 0-2 in LNB 2026-27 (154 scored, 168 conceded), losing 79-81 at home to Roanne on 26 Sep 2026 and 75-87 at Strasbourg on 3 Oct 2026, plus a 96-107 French Cup defeat at third-division Challans on 6 Oct 2026.
- JL Bourg are 1-1 in LNB 2026-27 (193 for, 183 against), beating Chalon 90-77 on 3 Oct 2026 and losing 103-106 in overtime at Saint Quentin on 26 Sep 2026, and lost EuroCup games 82-89 to Tofas on 6 Oct 2026 and 76-84 at Napoli on 30 Sep 2026.
- The last two head-to-head meetings (both 2025-26 LNB) went to JL Bourg: 73-70 on 6 Feb 2026 and 82-68 at Boulazac on 8 Nov 2025.
- Across the tracked box scores Boulazac shoot 53.8% on two-pointers and 31.3% on threes (14 games) with 31.6 rebounds and 12.2 turnovers per game, while JL Bourg shoot 50.0% and 33.6% (15 games) with 33.4 rebounds and 14.3 turnovers per game; the provider has no offensive/defensive rebound split, so possessions cannot be measured.
- Bour's confirmed news says point guard Tyson Walker is out around six weeks (published 6-8 Oct 2026) and Hugo Robineau is a watch-listed foot-injury absence of five to six weeks; cover signing Tyger Campbell is cleared but is new to the group.
- Aaron Estrada has carried Boulazac's offense with 21 points against Roanne and 19 at Strasbourg, but the club's current-season sample is only two league games.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonJL Bourg under 43.5Estimated chance60.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Boulazac 80.0, JL Bourg 83.0. The game has fewer than 167.5 points (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Boulazac are 0-2 in LNB 2026-27 (154 scored, 168 conceded), losing 79-81 at home to Roanne on 26 Sep 2026 and 75-87 at Strasbourg on 3 Oct 2026, plus a 96-107 French Cup defeat at third-division Challans on 6 Oct 2026.
- JL Bourg are 1-1 in LNB 2026-27 (193 for, 183 against), beating Chalon 90-77 on 3 Oct 2026 and losing 103-106 in overtime at Saint Quentin on 26 Sep 2026, and lost EuroCup games 82-89 to Tofas on 6 Oct 2026 and 76-84 at Napoli on 30 Sep 2026.
- The last two head-to-head meetings (both 2025-26 LNB) went to JL Bourg: 73-70 on 6 Feb 2026 and 82-68 at Boulazac on 8 Nov 2025.
- Across the tracked box scores Boulazac shoot 53.8% on two-pointers and 31.3% on threes (14 games) with 31.6 rebounds and 12.2 turnovers per game, while JL Bourg shoot 50.0% and 33.6% (15 games) with 33.4 rebounds and 14.3 turnovers per game; the provider has no offensive/defensive rebound split, so possessions cannot be measured.
- Bour's confirmed news says point guard Tyson Walker is out around six weeks (published 6-8 Oct 2026) and Hugo Robineau is a watch-listed foot-injury absence of five to six weeks; cover signing Tyger Campbell is cleared but is new to the group.
- Aaron Estrada has carried Boulazac's offense with 21 points against Roanne and 19 at Strasbourg, but the club's current-season sample is only two league games.
BetBugs · Total PointswonUnder 167.5Estimated chance58.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Boulazac 80.0, JL Bourg 83.0. JL Bourg score fewer than 21.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Boulazac are 0-2 in LNB 2026-27 (154 scored, 168 conceded), losing 79-81 at home to Roanne on 26 Sep 2026 and 75-87 at Strasbourg on 3 Oct 2026, plus a 96-107 French Cup defeat at third-division Challans on 6 Oct 2026.
- JL Bourg are 1-1 in LNB 2026-27 (193 for, 183 against), beating Chalon 90-77 on 3 Oct 2026 and losing 103-106 in overtime at Saint Quentin on 26 Sep 2026, and lost EuroCup games 82-89 to Tofas on 6 Oct 2026 and 76-84 at Napoli on 30 Sep 2026.
- The last two head-to-head meetings (both 2025-26 LNB) went to JL Bourg: 73-70 on 6 Feb 2026 and 82-68 at Boulazac on 8 Nov 2025.
- Across the tracked box scores Boulazac shoot 53.8% on two-pointers and 31.3% on threes (14 games) with 31.6 rebounds and 12.2 turnovers per game, while JL Bourg shoot 50.0% and 33.6% (15 games) with 33.4 rebounds and 14.3 turnovers per game; the provider has no offensive/defensive rebound split, so possessions cannot be measured.
- Bour's confirmed news says point guard Tyson Walker is out around six weeks (published 6-8 Oct 2026) and Hugo Robineau is a watch-listed foot-injury absence of five to six weeks; cover signing Tyger Campbell is cleared but is new to the group.
- Aaron Estrada has carried Boulazac's offense with 21 points against Roanne and 19 at Strasbourg, but the club's current-season sample is only two league games.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonJL Bourg under 21.5Estimated chance57.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Boulazac 80.0, JL Bourg 83.0. The 1st half has fewer than 83.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Boulazac are 0-2 in LNB 2026-27 (154 scored, 168 conceded), losing 79-81 at home to Roanne on 26 Sep 2026 and 75-87 at Strasbourg on 3 Oct 2026, plus a 96-107 French Cup defeat at third-division Challans on 6 Oct 2026.
- JL Bourg are 1-1 in LNB 2026-27 (193 for, 183 against), beating Chalon 90-77 on 3 Oct 2026 and losing 103-106 in overtime at Saint Quentin on 26 Sep 2026, and lost EuroCup games 82-89 to Tofas on 6 Oct 2026 and 76-84 at Napoli on 30 Sep 2026.
- The last two head-to-head meetings (both 2025-26 LNB) went to JL Bourg: 73-70 on 6 Feb 2026 and 82-68 at Boulazac on 8 Nov 2025.
- Across the tracked box scores Boulazac shoot 53.8% on two-pointers and 31.3% on threes (14 games) with 31.6 rebounds and 12.2 turnovers per game, while JL Bourg shoot 50.0% and 33.6% (15 games) with 33.4 rebounds and 14.3 turnovers per game; the provider has no offensive/defensive rebound split, so possessions cannot be measured.
- Bour's confirmed news says point guard Tyson Walker is out around six weeks (published 6-8 Oct 2026) and Hugo Robineau is a watch-listed foot-injury absence of five to six weeks; cover signing Tyger Campbell is cleared but is new to the group.
- Aaron Estrada has carried Boulazac's offense with 21 points against Roanne and 19 at Strasbourg, but the club's current-season sample is only two league games.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonUnder 83.5Estimated chance56.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Boulazac 80.0, JL Bourg 83.0. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 41.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Boulazac are 0-2 in LNB 2026-27 (154 scored, 168 conceded), losing 79-81 at home to Roanne on 26 Sep 2026 and 75-87 at Strasbourg on 3 Oct 2026, plus a 96-107 French Cup defeat at third-division Challans on 6 Oct 2026.
- JL Bourg are 1-1 in LNB 2026-27 (193 for, 183 against), beating Chalon 90-77 on 3 Oct 2026 and losing 103-106 in overtime at Saint Quentin on 26 Sep 2026, and lost EuroCup games 82-89 to Tofas on 6 Oct 2026 and 76-84 at Napoli on 30 Sep 2026.
- The last two head-to-head meetings (both 2025-26 LNB) went to JL Bourg: 73-70 on 6 Feb 2026 and 82-68 at Boulazac on 8 Nov 2025.
- Across the tracked box scores Boulazac shoot 53.8% on two-pointers and 31.3% on threes (14 games) with 31.6 rebounds and 12.2 turnovers per game, while JL Bourg shoot 50.0% and 33.6% (15 games) with 33.4 rebounds and 14.3 turnovers per game; the provider has no offensive/defensive rebound split, so possessions cannot be measured.
- Bour's confirmed news says point guard Tyson Walker is out around six weeks (published 6-8 Oct 2026) and Hugo Robineau is a watch-listed foot-injury absence of five to six weeks; cover signing Tyger Campbell is cleared but is new to the group.
- Aaron Estrada has carried Boulazac's offense with 21 points against Roanne and 19 at Strasbourg, but the club's current-season sample is only two league games.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostUnder 41.5Estimated chance56.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Boulazac 80.0, JL Bourg 83.0. JL Bourg score fewer than 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Boulazac are 0-2 in LNB 2026-27 (154 scored, 168 conceded), losing 79-81 at home to Roanne on 26 Sep 2026 and 75-87 at Strasbourg on 3 Oct 2026, plus a 96-107 French Cup defeat at third-division Challans on 6 Oct 2026.
- JL Bourg are 1-1 in LNB 2026-27 (193 for, 183 against), beating Chalon 90-77 on 3 Oct 2026 and losing 103-106 in overtime at Saint Quentin on 26 Sep 2026, and lost EuroCup games 82-89 to Tofas on 6 Oct 2026 and 76-84 at Napoli on 30 Sep 2026.
- The last two head-to-head meetings (both 2025-26 LNB) went to JL Bourg: 73-70 on 6 Feb 2026 and 82-68 at Boulazac on 8 Nov 2025.
- Across the tracked box scores Boulazac shoot 53.8% on two-pointers and 31.3% on threes (14 games) with 31.6 rebounds and 12.2 turnovers per game, while JL Bourg shoot 50.0% and 33.6% (15 games) with 33.4 rebounds and 14.3 turnovers per game; the provider has no offensive/defensive rebound split, so possessions cannot be measured.
- Bour's confirmed news says point guard Tyson Walker is out around six weeks (published 6-8 Oct 2026) and Hugo Robineau is a watch-listed foot-injury absence of five to six weeks; cover signing Tyger Campbell is cleared but is new to the group.
- Aaron Estrada has carried Boulazac's offense with 21 points against Roanne and 19 at Strasbourg, but the club's current-season sample is only two league games.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonJL Bourg under 21.5Estimated chance56.1%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 9, 16:22

Selected line

167.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

41%

Chance of 168+ points

11 pp below break-even

Over 1.90 needs 53% to break even. BetBugs sees 41%.

Move the line main 167.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 41%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 59%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L73–70

JL Bourgv

Boulazac

Feb 6, 2026·LNB

L68–82

Boulazacv

JL Bourg

Nov 8, 2025·LNB

L92–86

JL Bourgv

Boulazac

May 14, 2021·LNBOT

L68–81

Boulazacv

JL Bourg

Apr 13, 2021·LNB

L96–72

JL Bourgv

Boulazac

Dec 27, 2019·LNB

L93–75

JL Bourgv

Boulazac

Feb 1, 2019·LNB

W86–82

Boulazacv

JL Bourg

Nov 17, 2018·LNB

W71–62

Boulazacv

JL Bourg

May 8, 2018·LNB

W89–91

JL Bourgv

Boulazac

Dec 9, 2017·LNB

L78–60

JL Bourgv

Boulazac

Mar 31, 2017·PRO

157.5Avg total points

11.1Avg margin

10meetings

League table

LNB Élite · LNB - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Boulazac

0–20%

JL Bourg

1–150%

Recent Form

Boulazac

6W 9L · last 15

at Challans96–107 Oct 6FRE

at Strasbourg75–87 Oct 3LNB

vs Roanne79–81 Sep 26LNB

vs Monaco92–74 May 16LNB

at Limoges72–80 May 7LNB

vs Cholet68–77 May 2LNB

at Dijon85–103 Apr 17LNB

vs Chalon/Saone94–90 Apr 11LNB

at Saint Quentin81–88 Apr 4LNB

vs Strasbourg95–76 Mar 29LNB

at Le Mans94–108 Mar 21LNB

vs Lyon-Villeurbanne72–67 Mar 14LNB

at Gravelines-Dunkerque92–91 Mar 8LNB

vs Le Portel94–64 Feb 14LNB

at JL Bourg70–73 Feb 6LNB

JL Bourg

6W 9L · last 15

vs Tofas82–89 Oct 6EUR

vs Chalon/Saone90–77 Oct 3LNB

at Basket Napoli76–84 Sep 30EUR

at Saint Quentin103–106 OTSep 26LNB

vs Monaco103–114 May 27LNB

at Monaco75–81 May 25LNB

vs Strasbourg91–71 May 20LNB

vs Gravelines-Dunkerque95–78 May 16LNB

at Dijon83–101 May 9LNB

at Lyon-Villeurbanne77–91 May 5LNB

vs Saint Quentin71–89 May 3LNB

vs Besiktas73–71 Apr 28EUR

at Besiktas72–60 Apr 22EUR

at Chalon/Saone84–100 Apr 18LNB

vs Limoges92–71 Apr 15LNB

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Boulazac

14 games

Stats

3–2

JL Bourg

Boulazac leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–1

2-point %+3.8pp

53.8%

+3.8pp

50.0%

3-point %+2.3pp

31.3%

+2.3pp

33.6%

Free-throw %14/11 games+5.4pp

77.6%

+5.4pp

72.2%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s14/13 games1.2pp apart

32.4%

1.2pp apart

31.2%

Free throws per shot14/11 games7.0pp apart

40.4%

7.0pp apart

47.4%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+1.8

31.6

+1.8

33.4

Turnovers per game2.1 fewer

12.2

2.1 fewer

14.3

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.