Latvia-Estonian LeagueFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Tartu Ulikool74Rigas Zelli94

Fri 9 Oct 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions15–865%

Points by period: Tartu Ulikool and Rigas Zelli.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Tartu Ulikool	19	18	26	11
Rigas Zelli	29	17	24	24

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Tartu Ulikool have won the last two meetings with Rigas Zelli by five points combined, but Rigas arrive 3-0 in the league with the better shooting numbers.

Expect Rigas to be ahead after 40 minutes and to win including overtime, around an 84-88 game. No prices were available for this fixture, so those forecasts are unpriced.

Context

Both teams last played on 6 October: Tartu have three days since a 76-103 home loss to Dziki Warszawa in the FIBA Europe Cup, Rigas just under three days since an 86-87 EuroCup defeat at Rostock. Rigas are 3-0 in the league; Tartu are 2-1 and hold the recent head-to-head edge.

Tartu’s FIBA Europe Cup opener got away early, with Dziki building a 24-point first-quarter lead. Kuusmaa said the team had not understood its intended play in the opening half, before clearer rules improved the second-half display. Rīgas Zeļļi are the next opponent, so the communication issue is an immediate part of Tartu’s response context.
- Tartu lost 103-76 at home to Dziki Warsaw on 6 October.
- Dziki led 36-12 after the first quarter and 55-29 at half-time.
- Aivar Kuusmaa identified communication problems between coaches and players during the first half.
Rīga’s most recent game before facing Tartu was a tightly contested EuroCup loss in Rostock. The side recovered from several swings in momentum and briefly regained the lead, but could not overturn the final deficit. The result provides immediate competition context for the league fixture.
- Rīga lost 87-86 to Rostock Seawolves in the EuroCup on 6 October.
- Tony Perkins scored 35 points and Martynas Varnas added 24.
- Martynas Varnas hit a three-pointer in the final second to make the final margin one point.
Toms Skuja, a point guard, returned in the EuroCup game after an injury absence. He supplied four assists but was still described as adjusting to the intensity of the competition. His return gives Rīga another ball-handler for the Tartu fixture. Friday availability is not officially confirmed.
- Toms Skuja returned from injury against Rostock on 6 October.
- Toms Skuja made four assists in the 87-86 loss.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result6 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tartu Ulikool 83.7, Rigas Zelli 87.5. Tartu Ulikool cover +12.5 (overtime included) in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Tartu Ulikool and 15 for Rigas Zelli, across seasons and competitions.
- Tartu's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 87.3 points scored, 79.3 allowed (dates 24 Sep–2 Oct).
- Rigas's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 94.3 points scored, 76.3 allowed (dates 25 Sep–3 Oct).
- Across 15 tracked games, Rigas shoots 55.4% on two-pointers, 35.7% on three-pointers and 72.9% on free throws; Tartu's marks are 51.6%, 30.6% and 67.0%.
- Tartu lost 76-103 at home to Dziki Warszawa in the FIBA Europe Cup on 6 October.
- Rigas lost 86-87 at Rostock in the EuroCup on 6 October, with Tony Perkins scoring 35 points.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Tartu won 83-80 on 14 February 2026 and 78-76 on 27 December 2025.
BetBugs · HandicaplostTartu Ulikool +12.5Estimated chance75.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tartu Ulikool 83.7, Rigas Zelli 87.5. Tartu Ulikool cover +5.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 74 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Tartu Ulikool and 15 for Rigas Zelli, across seasons and competitions.
- Tartu's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 87.3 points scored, 79.3 allowed (dates 24 Sep–2 Oct).
- Rigas's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 94.3 points scored, 76.3 allowed (dates 25 Sep–3 Oct).
- Across 15 tracked games, Rigas shoots 55.4% on two-pointers, 35.7% on three-pointers and 72.9% on free throws; Tartu's marks are 51.6%, 30.6% and 67.0%.
- Tartu lost 76-103 at home to Dziki Warszawa in the FIBA Europe Cup on 6 October.
- Rigas lost 86-87 at Rostock in the EuroCup on 6 October, with Tony Perkins scoring 35 points.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Tartu won 83-80 on 14 February 2026 and 78-76 on 27 December 2025.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonTartu Ulikool +5.5Estimated chance74.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tartu Ulikool 83.7, Rigas Zelli 87.5. Rigas Zelli cover +1.5 in the 1st quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Tartu Ulikool and 15 for Rigas Zelli, across seasons and competitions.
- Tartu's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 87.3 points scored, 79.3 allowed (dates 24 Sep–2 Oct).
- Rigas's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 94.3 points scored, 76.3 allowed (dates 25 Sep–3 Oct).
- Across 15 tracked games, Rigas shoots 55.4% on two-pointers, 35.7% on three-pointers and 72.9% on free throws; Tartu's marks are 51.6%, 30.6% and 67.0%.
- Tartu lost 76-103 at home to Dziki Warszawa in the FIBA Europe Cup on 6 October.
- Rigas lost 86-87 at Rostock in the EuroCup on 6 October, with Tony Perkins scoring 35 points.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Tartu won 83-80 on 14 February 2026 and 78-76 on 27 December 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapwonRigas Zelli +1.5Estimated chance63.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tartu Ulikool 83.7, Rigas Zelli 87.5. Tartu Ulikool cover +3.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Tartu Ulikool and 15 for Rigas Zelli, across seasons and competitions.
- Tartu's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 87.3 points scored, 79.3 allowed (dates 24 Sep–2 Oct).
- Rigas's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 94.3 points scored, 76.3 allowed (dates 25 Sep–3 Oct).
- Across 15 tracked games, Rigas shoots 55.4% on two-pointers, 35.7% on three-pointers and 72.9% on free throws; Tartu's marks are 51.6%, 30.6% and 67.0%.
- Tartu lost 76-103 at home to Dziki Warszawa in the FIBA Europe Cup on 6 October.
- Rigas lost 86-87 at Rostock in the EuroCup on 6 October, with Tony Perkins scoring 35 points.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Tartu won 83-80 on 14 February 2026 and 78-76 on 27 December 2025.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonTartu Ulikool +3.5Estimated chance62.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tartu Ulikool 83.7, Rigas Zelli 87.5. Rigas Zelli win in about 62 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Tartu's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 87.3 points scored, 79.3 allowed (dates 24 Sep–2 Oct).
- Rigas's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 94.3 points scored, 76.3 allowed (dates 25 Sep–3 Oct).
- Across 15 tracked games, Rigas shoots 55.4% on two-pointers, 35.7% on three-pointers and 72.9% on free throws; Tartu's marks are 51.6%, 30.6% and 67.0%.
- Tartu lost 76-103 at home to Dziki Warszawa in the FIBA Europe Cup on 6 October.
- Rigas lost 86-87 at Rostock in the EuroCup on 6 October, with Tony Perkins scoring 35 points.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Tartu won 83-80 on 14 February 2026 and 78-76 on 27 December 2025.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonRigas ZelliEstimated chance61.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tartu Ulikool 83.7, Rigas Zelli 87.5. Rigas Zelli are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Tartu's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 87.3 points scored, 79.3 allowed (dates 24 Sep–2 Oct).
- Rigas's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 94.3 points scored, 76.3 allowed (dates 25 Sep–3 Oct).
- Across 15 tracked games, Rigas shoots 55.4% on two-pointers, 35.7% on three-pointers and 72.9% on free throws; Tartu's marks are 51.6%, 30.6% and 67.0%.
- Tartu lost 76-103 at home to Dziki Warszawa in the FIBA Europe Cup on 6 October.
- Rigas lost 86-87 at Rostock in the EuroCup on 6 October, with Tony Perkins scoring 35 points.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Tartu won 83-80 on 14 February 2026 and 78-76 on 27 December 2025.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonRigas ZelliEstimated chance59.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tartu Ulikool 83.7, Rigas Zelli 87.5. Rigas Zelli are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Tartu's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 87.3 points scored, 79.3 allowed (dates 24 Sep–2 Oct).
- Rigas's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 94.3 points scored, 76.3 allowed (dates 25 Sep–3 Oct).
- Across 15 tracked games, Rigas shoots 55.4% on two-pointers, 35.7% on three-pointers and 72.9% on free throws; Tartu's marks are 51.6%, 30.6% and 67.0%.
- Tartu lost 76-103 at home to Dziki Warszawa in the FIBA Europe Cup on 6 October.
- Rigas lost 86-87 at Rostock in the EuroCup on 6 October, with Tony Perkins scoring 35 points.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Tartu won 83-80 on 14 February 2026 and 78-76 on 27 December 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonRigas ZelliEstimated chance56.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tartu Ulikool 83.7, Rigas Zelli 87.5. Tartu Ulikool cover +3.5 in the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Tartu Ulikool and 15 for Rigas Zelli, across seasons and competitions.
- Tartu's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 87.3 points scored, 79.3 allowed (dates 24 Sep–2 Oct).
- Rigas's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 94.3 points scored, 76.3 allowed (dates 25 Sep–3 Oct).
- Across 15 tracked games, Rigas shoots 55.4% on two-pointers, 35.7% on three-pointers and 72.9% on free throws; Tartu's marks are 51.6%, 30.6% and 67.0%.
- Tartu lost 76-103 at home to Dziki Warszawa in the FIBA Europe Cup on 6 October.
- Rigas lost 86-87 at Rostock in the EuroCup on 6 October, with Tony Perkins scoring 35 points.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Tartu won 83-80 on 14 February 2026 and 78-76 on 27 December 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicaplostTartu Ulikool +3.5Estimated chance55.8%

Points9 of 15 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tartu Ulikool 83.7, Rigas Zelli 87.5. Tartu Ulikool score more than 16.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 80 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Tartu Ulikool and 15 for Rigas Zelli, across seasons and competitions.
- Tartu's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 87.3 points scored, 79.3 allowed (dates 24 Sep–2 Oct).
- Rigas's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 94.3 points scored, 76.3 allowed (dates 25 Sep–3 Oct).
- Across 15 tracked games, Rigas shoots 55.4% on two-pointers, 35.7% on three-pointers and 72.9% on free throws; Tartu's marks are 51.6%, 30.6% and 67.0%.
- Tartu lost 76-103 at home to Dziki Warszawa in the FIBA Europe Cup on 6 October.
- Rigas lost 86-87 at Rostock in the EuroCup on 6 October, with Tony Perkins scoring 35 points.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Tartu won 83-80 on 14 February 2026 and 78-76 on 27 December 2025.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonTartu Ulikool over 16.5Estimated chance79.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tartu Ulikool 83.7, Rigas Zelli 87.5. Rigas Zelli score more than 18.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 76 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Tartu Ulikool and 15 for Rigas Zelli, across seasons and competitions.
- Tartu's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 87.3 points scored, 79.3 allowed (dates 24 Sep–2 Oct).
- Rigas's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 94.3 points scored, 76.3 allowed (dates 25 Sep–3 Oct).
- Across 15 tracked games, Rigas shoots 55.4% on two-pointers, 35.7% on three-pointers and 72.9% on free throws; Tartu's marks are 51.6%, 30.6% and 67.0%.
- Tartu lost 76-103 at home to Dziki Warszawa in the FIBA Europe Cup on 6 October.
- Rigas lost 86-87 at Rostock in the EuroCup on 6 October, with Tony Perkins scoring 35 points.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Tartu won 83-80 on 14 February 2026 and 78-76 on 27 December 2025.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostRigas Zelli over 18.5Estimated chance75.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tartu Ulikool 83.7, Rigas Zelli 87.5. The game has more than 160.5 points (overtime included) in about 76 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Tartu Ulikool and 15 for Rigas Zelli, across seasons and competitions.
- Tartu's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 87.3 points scored, 79.3 allowed (dates 24 Sep–2 Oct).
- Rigas's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 94.3 points scored, 76.3 allowed (dates 25 Sep–3 Oct).
- Across 15 tracked games, Rigas shoots 55.4% on two-pointers, 35.7% on three-pointers and 72.9% on free throws; Tartu's marks are 51.6%, 30.6% and 67.0%.
- Tartu lost 76-103 at home to Dziki Warszawa in the FIBA Europe Cup on 6 October.
- Rigas lost 86-87 at Rostock in the EuroCup on 6 October, with Tony Perkins scoring 35 points.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Tartu won 83-80 on 14 February 2026 and 78-76 on 27 December 2025.
BetBugs · Total PointswonOver 160.5Estimated chance75.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tartu Ulikool 83.7, Rigas Zelli 87.5. The 1st quarter has fewer than 47.5 points in about 74 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Tartu Ulikool and 15 for Rigas Zelli, across seasons and competitions.
- Tartu's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 87.3 points scored, 79.3 allowed (dates 24 Sep–2 Oct).
- Rigas's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 94.3 points scored, 76.3 allowed (dates 25 Sep–3 Oct).
- Across 15 tracked games, Rigas shoots 55.4% on two-pointers, 35.7% on three-pointers and 72.9% on free throws; Tartu's marks are 51.6%, 30.6% and 67.0%.
- Tartu lost 76-103 at home to Dziki Warszawa in the FIBA Europe Cup on 6 October.
- Rigas lost 86-87 at Rostock in the EuroCup on 6 October, with Tony Perkins scoring 35 points.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Tartu won 83-80 on 14 February 2026 and 78-76 on 27 December 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointslostUnder 47.5Estimated chance74.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tartu Ulikool 83.7, Rigas Zelli 87.5. Tartu Ulikool score more than 37.5 points in the 1st half in about 73 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Tartu Ulikool and 15 for Rigas Zelli, across seasons and competitions.
- Tartu's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 87.3 points scored, 79.3 allowed (dates 24 Sep–2 Oct).
- Rigas's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 94.3 points scored, 76.3 allowed (dates 25 Sep–3 Oct).
- Across 15 tracked games, Rigas shoots 55.4% on two-pointers, 35.7% on three-pointers and 72.9% on free throws; Tartu's marks are 51.6%, 30.6% and 67.0%.
- Tartu lost 76-103 at home to Dziki Warszawa in the FIBA Europe Cup on 6 October.
- Rigas lost 86-87 at Rostock in the EuroCup on 6 October, with Tony Perkins scoring 35 points.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Tartu won 83-80 on 14 February 2026 and 78-76 on 27 December 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostTartu Ulikool over 37.5Estimated chance72.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tartu Ulikool 83.7, Rigas Zelli 87.5. The 1st half has more than 79.5 points in about 72 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Tartu Ulikool and 15 for Rigas Zelli, across seasons and competitions.
- Tartu's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 87.3 points scored, 79.3 allowed (dates 24 Sep–2 Oct).
- Rigas's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 94.3 points scored, 76.3 allowed (dates 25 Sep–3 Oct).
- Across 15 tracked games, Rigas shoots 55.4% on two-pointers, 35.7% on three-pointers and 72.9% on free throws; Tartu's marks are 51.6%, 30.6% and 67.0%.
- Tartu lost 76-103 at home to Dziki Warszawa in the FIBA Europe Cup on 6 October.
- Rigas lost 86-87 at Rostock in the EuroCup on 6 October, with Tony Perkins scoring 35 points.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Tartu won 83-80 on 14 February 2026 and 78-76 on 27 December 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonOver 79.5Estimated chance72.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tartu Ulikool 83.7, Rigas Zelli 87.5. Tartu Ulikool score fewer than 23.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Tartu Ulikool and 15 for Rigas Zelli, across seasons and competitions.
- Tartu's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 87.3 points scored, 79.3 allowed (dates 24 Sep–2 Oct).
- Rigas's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 94.3 points scored, 76.3 allowed (dates 25 Sep–3 Oct).
- Across 15 tracked games, Rigas shoots 55.4% on two-pointers, 35.7% on three-pointers and 72.9% on free throws; Tartu's marks are 51.6%, 30.6% and 67.0%.
- Tartu lost 76-103 at home to Dziki Warszawa in the FIBA Europe Cup on 6 October.
- Rigas lost 86-87 at Rostock in the EuroCup on 6 October, with Tony Perkins scoring 35 points.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Tartu won 83-80 on 14 February 2026 and 78-76 on 27 December 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonTartu Ulikool under 23.5Estimated chance69.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tartu Ulikool 83.7, Rigas Zelli 87.5. The 2nd quarter has more than 40.5 points in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Tartu Ulikool and 15 for Rigas Zelli, across seasons and competitions.
- Tartu's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 87.3 points scored, 79.3 allowed (dates 24 Sep–2 Oct).
- Rigas's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 94.3 points scored, 76.3 allowed (dates 25 Sep–3 Oct).
- Across 15 tracked games, Rigas shoots 55.4% on two-pointers, 35.7% on three-pointers and 72.9% on free throws; Tartu's marks are 51.6%, 30.6% and 67.0%.
- Tartu lost 76-103 at home to Dziki Warszawa in the FIBA Europe Cup on 6 October.
- Rigas lost 86-87 at Rostock in the EuroCup on 6 October, with Tony Perkins scoring 35 points.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Tartu won 83-80 on 14 February 2026 and 78-76 on 27 December 2025.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointslostOver 40.5Estimated chance63.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tartu Ulikool 83.7, Rigas Zelli 87.5. Tartu Ulikool score more than 19.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Tartu Ulikool and 15 for Rigas Zelli, across seasons and competitions.
- Tartu's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 87.3 points scored, 79.3 allowed (dates 24 Sep–2 Oct).
- Rigas's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 94.3 points scored, 76.3 allowed (dates 25 Sep–3 Oct).
- Across 15 tracked games, Rigas shoots 55.4% on two-pointers, 35.7% on three-pointers and 72.9% on free throws; Tartu's marks are 51.6%, 30.6% and 67.0%.
- Tartu lost 76-103 at home to Dziki Warszawa in the FIBA Europe Cup on 6 October.
- Rigas lost 86-87 at Rostock in the EuroCup on 6 October, with Tony Perkins scoring 35 points.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Tartu won 83-80 on 14 February 2026 and 78-76 on 27 December 2025.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostTartu Ulikool over 19.5Estimated chance60.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tartu Ulikool 83.7, Rigas Zelli 87.5. Rigas Zelli score more than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Tartu Ulikool and 15 for Rigas Zelli, across seasons and competitions.
- Tartu's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 87.3 points scored, 79.3 allowed (dates 24 Sep–2 Oct).
- Rigas's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 94.3 points scored, 76.3 allowed (dates 25 Sep–3 Oct).
- Across 15 tracked games, Rigas shoots 55.4% on two-pointers, 35.7% on three-pointers and 72.9% on free throws; Tartu's marks are 51.6%, 30.6% and 67.0%.
- Tartu lost 76-103 at home to Dziki Warszawa in the FIBA Europe Cup on 6 October.
- Rigas lost 86-87 at Rostock in the EuroCup on 6 October, with Tony Perkins scoring 35 points.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Tartu won 83-80 on 14 February 2026 and 78-76 on 27 December 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonRigas Zelli over 20.5Estimated chance60.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tartu Ulikool 83.7, Rigas Zelli 87.5. The 3rd quarter has more than 40.5 points in about 60 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Tartu Ulikool and 15 for Rigas Zelli, across seasons and competitions.
- Tartu's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 87.3 points scored, 79.3 allowed (dates 24 Sep–2 Oct).
- Rigas's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 94.3 points scored, 76.3 allowed (dates 25 Sep–3 Oct).
- Across 15 tracked games, Rigas shoots 55.4% on two-pointers, 35.7% on three-pointers and 72.9% on free throws; Tartu's marks are 51.6%, 30.6% and 67.0%.
- Tartu lost 76-103 at home to Dziki Warszawa in the FIBA Europe Cup on 6 October.
- Rigas lost 86-87 at Rostock in the EuroCup on 6 October, with Tony Perkins scoring 35 points.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Tartu won 83-80 on 14 February 2026 and 78-76 on 27 December 2025.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonOver 40.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tartu Ulikool 83.7, Rigas Zelli 87.5. Rigas Zelli score more than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Tartu Ulikool and 15 for Rigas Zelli, across seasons and competitions.
- Tartu's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 87.3 points scored, 79.3 allowed (dates 24 Sep–2 Oct).
- Rigas's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 94.3 points scored, 76.3 allowed (dates 25 Sep–3 Oct).
- Across 15 tracked games, Rigas shoots 55.4% on two-pointers, 35.7% on three-pointers and 72.9% on free throws; Tartu's marks are 51.6%, 30.6% and 67.0%.
- Tartu lost 76-103 at home to Dziki Warszawa in the FIBA Europe Cup on 6 October.
- Rigas lost 86-87 at Rostock in the EuroCup on 6 October, with Tony Perkins scoring 35 points.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Tartu won 83-80 on 14 February 2026 and 78-76 on 27 December 2025.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonRigas Zelli over 20.5Estimated chance58.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tartu Ulikool 83.7, Rigas Zelli 87.5. Rigas Zelli score more than 42.5 points in the 1st half in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Tartu Ulikool and 15 for Rigas Zelli, across seasons and competitions.
- Tartu's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 87.3 points scored, 79.3 allowed (dates 24 Sep–2 Oct).
- Rigas's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 94.3 points scored, 76.3 allowed (dates 25 Sep–3 Oct).
- Across 15 tracked games, Rigas shoots 55.4% on two-pointers, 35.7% on three-pointers and 72.9% on free throws; Tartu's marks are 51.6%, 30.6% and 67.0%.
- Tartu lost 76-103 at home to Dziki Warszawa in the FIBA Europe Cup on 6 October.
- Rigas lost 86-87 at Rostock in the EuroCup on 6 October, with Tony Perkins scoring 35 points.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Tartu won 83-80 on 14 February 2026 and 78-76 on 27 December 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonRigas Zelli over 42.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tartu Ulikool 83.7, Rigas Zelli 87.5. Tartu Ulikool score more than 82.5 points (overtime included) in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Tartu Ulikool and 15 for Rigas Zelli, across seasons and competitions.
- Tartu's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 87.3 points scored, 79.3 allowed (dates 24 Sep–2 Oct).
- Rigas's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 94.3 points scored, 76.3 allowed (dates 25 Sep–3 Oct).
- Across 15 tracked games, Rigas shoots 55.4% on two-pointers, 35.7% on three-pointers and 72.9% on free throws; Tartu's marks are 51.6%, 30.6% and 67.0%.
- Tartu lost 76-103 at home to Dziki Warszawa in the FIBA Europe Cup on 6 October.
- Rigas lost 86-87 at Rostock in the EuroCup on 6 October, with Tony Perkins scoring 35 points.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Tartu won 83-80 on 14 February 2026 and 78-76 on 27 December 2025.
BetBugs · Team PointslostTartu Ulikool over 82.5Estimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tartu Ulikool 83.7, Rigas Zelli 87.5. Rigas Zelli score more than 86.5 points (overtime included) in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Tartu Ulikool and 15 for Rigas Zelli, across seasons and competitions.
- Tartu's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 87.3 points scored, 79.3 allowed (dates 24 Sep–2 Oct).
- Rigas's three 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games: 94.3 points scored, 76.3 allowed (dates 25 Sep–3 Oct).
- Across 15 tracked games, Rigas shoots 55.4% on two-pointers, 35.7% on three-pointers and 72.9% on free throws; Tartu's marks are 51.6%, 30.6% and 67.0%.
- Tartu lost 76-103 at home to Dziki Warszawa in the FIBA Europe Cup on 6 October.
- Rigas lost 86-87 at Rostock in the EuroCup on 6 October, with Tony Perkins scoring 35 points.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Tartu won 83-80 on 14 February 2026 and 78-76 on 27 December 2025.
BetBugs · Team PointswonRigas Zelli over 86.5Estimated chance55.9%

W83–80

Tartu Ulikoolv

Rigas Zelli

Feb 14, 2026·LAT

W76–78

Rigas Zelliv

Tartu Ulikool

Dec 27, 2025·LAT

L79–65

Rigas Zelliv

Tartu Ulikool

Dec 28, 2024·LAT

W77–71

Tartu Ulikoolv

Rigas Zelli

Oct 18, 2024·LAT

L59–56

Rigas Zelliv

Tartu Ulikool

Mar 16, 2024·LAT

W63–56

Tartu Ulikoolv

Rigas Zelli

Oct 6, 2023·LAT

140.5Avg total points

5.8Avg margin

6meetings

League table

Latvia-Estonian League · Latvian-Estonian League - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Tartu Ulikool

2–167%

Rigas Zelli

3–0100%

Recent Form

Tartu Ulikool

8W 7L · last 15

vs Dziki Warszawa76–103 Oct 6FIB

at Ventspils85–92 Oct 2LAT

at BK Liepaja87–83 Sep 30LAT

vs BC Kalev/Cramo90–63 Sep 24LAT

vs BC Kalev/Cramo85–65 May 29KOR

at BC Kalev/Cramo109–116 OTMay 26KOR

vs BC Kalev/Cramo77–83 May 23KOR

at BC Kalev/Cramo82–81 May 20KOR

vs BC Kalev/Cramo83–78 May 16KOR

vs Parnu76–72 May 9KOR

at Parnu70–63 May 7KOR

vs Parnu82–75 May 4KOR

at Parnu81–101 Apr 30KOR

vs Parnu76–84 Apr 27KOR

vs Valmiera Glass Via95–100 Apr 8LAT

Rigas Zelli

10W 5L · last 15

at Rostock86–87 Oct 6EUR

vs BK Ogre110–85 Oct 3LAT

vs Tortona86–84 Sep 30EUR

at Tal Tech79–73 Sep 26LAT

at Keila Coolbet94–71 Sep 25LAT

at VEF Riga93–80 May 14LBL

vs VEF Riga112–100 May 11LBL

at VEF Riga84–94 May 8LBL

at Valmiera Glass Via93–98 May 3LBL

vs Valmiera Glass Via107–62 May 1LBL

at Valmiera Glass Via102–104 Apr 29LBL

vs Valmiera Glass Via95–79 Apr 25LBL

at Valmiera Glass Via73–80 Apr 23LBL

vs BK Liepaja106–74 Apr 18LBL

at BK Liepaja102–92 OTApr 15LBL

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Tartu Ulikool

Stats

2–3

Rigas Zelli

Rigas Zelli leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 0–3

2-point %+3.8pp

51.6%

+3.8pp

55.4%

3-point %+5.1pp

30.6%

+5.1pp

35.7%

Free-throw %15/14 games+5.9pp

67.0%

+5.9pp

72.9%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s3.1pp apart

31.6%

3.1pp apart

34.7%

Free throws per shot15/14 games4.0pp apart

39.8%

4.0pp apart

43.8%

Possession· 2–0

Rebounds per game+2.5

39.0

+2.5

36.5

Turnovers per game1.4 fewer

12.5

1.4 fewer

13.9

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.