Liga AFinished

Predictions graded

Independiente de Oliva92Ferro97

Fri 9 Oct 2026, 00:30 Predictions graded

Predictions14–1254%

Points by period: Independiente de Oliva and Ferro.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Independiente de Oliva	28	23	23	18
Ferro	33	14	27	23

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Ferro have a league game behind them and won the most recent meeting 88-82 in Buenos Aires in February, yet Independiente's home scoring and rebounding make the hosts the likely winner of this Liga A opener.

An expected 40-minute score of 85.8-77.7 leaves Independiente ahead in roughly three of every four such games. No prices are available for this fixture, so the forecasts are low-confidence and unpriced.

Context

Ferro bring one completed 2026-27 Liga A game, a 79-68 loss at Argentino on 30 September 2026, into this visit, while Independiente's most recent recorded Liga A result is a 71-81 defeat at Gimnasia on 19 May 2026, bridged by Sudamericana group games in Oliva on 2-4 October 2026. That leaves a modest rhythm contrast and no established availability concerns on either side.

Independiente's Liga Nacional opener follows its first continental group weekend, held in Oliva from 2 to 4 October. The team now switches from a successful Sudamericana start to its domestic campaign against Ferro.
- Independiente won its first two Group A games in Oliva.
- The 4 October group finale against Mogi did not change Independiente's quarter-final qualification.
This is Ferro's only completed Liga Nacional game before the visit to Oliva. It is an early-season result rather than a settled trend, but gives the visitors a completed domestic performance immediately before this fixture.
- Argentino beat Ferro 79-68 in Junín on 30 September.
- Ferro produced a third-quarter response before Argentino pulled clear in the final period.
Grytsak is a new arrival in Independiente's 2026/27 group. His signing adds another option to Martín González's squad for Ferro's visit, though his exact role in this game is not confirmed.
- Andriy Grytsak played his final game for Trouville on 1 August.
- Independiente added Grytsak to its senior group ahead of the new Liga Nacional season.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 11 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Independiente de Oliva 85.8, Ferro 77.7. Independiente de Oliva cover +1.5 (overtime included) in about 76 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Independiente de Oliva and 15 for Ferro, across seasons and competitions.
- Independiente averaged 86.7 points in regulation at home over their last 6 home games of the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-May 2026).
- Ferro averaged 74.9 points in 9 away games during the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-June 2026).
- Ferro lost their 2026-27 Liga A opener 79-68 at Argentino on 30 September 2026, scoring 68 points.
- In the most recent meeting in Oliva, Independiente beat Ferro 87-75 on 14 November 2025 (Liga A).
- Independiente pulled 35.8 rebounds per game and Ferro 30.7 rebounds per game across their last 15 tracked games each (2025-26 season).
- Ferro shot 54.1% on two-pointers but only 29.5% on three-pointers in their last 15 tracked games (2025-26 season).
BetBugs · HandicaplostIndependiente de Oliva +1.5Estimated chance75.6%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Independiente de Oliva 85.8, Ferro 77.7. Independiente de Oliva win in about 74 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Independiente averaged 86.7 points in regulation at home over their last 6 home games of the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-May 2026).
- Ferro averaged 74.9 points in 9 away games during the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-June 2026).
- Ferro lost their 2026-27 Liga A opener 79-68 at Argentino on 30 September 2026, scoring 68 points.
- In the most recent meeting in Oliva, Independiente beat Ferro 87-75 on 14 November 2025 (Liga A).
- Independiente pulled 35.8 rebounds per game and Ferro 30.7 rebounds per game across their last 15 tracked games each (2025-26 season).
- Ferro shot 54.1% on two-pointers but only 29.5% on three-pointers in their last 15 tracked games (2025-26 season).
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostIndependiente de OlivaEstimated chance73.9%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Independiente de Oliva 85.8, Ferro 77.7. Independiente de Oliva cover +2.5 in the 1st quarter in about 73 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Independiente de Oliva and 15 for Ferro, across seasons and competitions.
- Independiente averaged 86.7 points in regulation at home over their last 6 home games of the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-May 2026).
- Ferro averaged 74.9 points in 9 away games during the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-June 2026).
- Ferro lost their 2026-27 Liga A opener 79-68 at Argentino on 30 September 2026, scoring 68 points.
- In the most recent meeting in Oliva, Independiente beat Ferro 87-75 on 14 November 2025 (Liga A).
- Independiente pulled 35.8 rebounds per game and Ferro 30.7 rebounds per game across their last 15 tracked games each (2025-26 season).
- Ferro shot 54.1% on two-pointers but only 29.5% on three-pointers in their last 15 tracked games (2025-26 season).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicaplostIndependiente de Oliva +2.5Estimated chance73.4%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Independiente de Oliva 85.8, Ferro 77.7. Independiente de Oliva are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 72 of 100 games like this.
- Independiente averaged 86.7 points in regulation at home over their last 6 home games of the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-May 2026).
- Ferro averaged 74.9 points in 9 away games during the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-June 2026).
- Ferro lost their 2026-27 Liga A opener 79-68 at Argentino on 30 September 2026, scoring 68 points.
- In the most recent meeting in Oliva, Independiente beat Ferro 87-75 on 14 November 2025 (Liga A).
- Independiente pulled 35.8 rebounds per game and Ferro 30.7 rebounds per game across their last 15 tracked games each (2025-26 season).
- Ferro shot 54.1% on two-pointers but only 29.5% on three-pointers in their last 15 tracked games (2025-26 season).
BetBugs · Result after 40 minlostIndependiente de OlivaEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Independiente de Oliva 85.8, Ferro 77.7. Independiente de Oliva cover +0.5 in the 1st half in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Independiente de Oliva and 15 for Ferro, across seasons and competitions.
- Independiente averaged 86.7 points in regulation at home over their last 6 home games of the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-May 2026).
- Ferro averaged 74.9 points in 9 away games during the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-June 2026).
- Ferro lost their 2026-27 Liga A opener 79-68 at Argentino on 30 September 2026, scoring 68 points.
- In the most recent meeting in Oliva, Independiente beat Ferro 87-75 on 14 November 2025 (Liga A).
- Independiente pulled 35.8 rebounds per game and Ferro 30.7 rebounds per game across their last 15 tracked games each (2025-26 season).
- Ferro shot 54.1% on two-pointers but only 29.5% on three-pointers in their last 15 tracked games (2025-26 season).
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonIndependiente de Oliva +0.5Estimated chance69.8%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Independiente de Oliva 85.8, Ferro 77.7. Independiente de Oliva cover +1.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Independiente de Oliva and 15 for Ferro, across seasons and competitions.
- Independiente averaged 86.7 points in regulation at home over their last 6 home games of the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-May 2026).
- Ferro averaged 74.9 points in 9 away games during the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-June 2026).
- Ferro lost their 2026-27 Liga A opener 79-68 at Argentino on 30 September 2026, scoring 68 points.
- In the most recent meeting in Oliva, Independiente beat Ferro 87-75 on 14 November 2025 (Liga A).
- Independiente pulled 35.8 rebounds per game and Ferro 30.7 rebounds per game across their last 15 tracked games each (2025-26 season).
- Ferro shot 54.1% on two-pointers but only 29.5% on three-pointers in their last 15 tracked games (2025-26 season).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostIndependiente de Oliva +1.5Estimated chance67.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Independiente de Oliva 85.8, Ferro 77.7. Independiente de Oliva are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Independiente averaged 86.7 points in regulation at home over their last 6 home games of the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-May 2026).
- Ferro averaged 74.9 points in 9 away games during the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-June 2026).
- Ferro lost their 2026-27 Liga A opener 79-68 at Argentino on 30 September 2026, scoring 68 points.
- In the most recent meeting in Oliva, Independiente beat Ferro 87-75 on 14 November 2025 (Liga A).
- Independiente pulled 35.8 rebounds per game and Ferro 30.7 rebounds per game across their last 15 tracked games each (2025-26 season).
- Ferro shot 54.1% on two-pointers but only 29.5% on three-pointers in their last 15 tracked games (2025-26 season).
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonIndependiente de OlivaEstimated chance66%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Independiente de Oliva 85.8, Ferro 77.7. Independiente de Oliva are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Independiente averaged 86.7 points in regulation at home over their last 6 home games of the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-May 2026).
- Ferro averaged 74.9 points in 9 away games during the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-June 2026).
- Ferro lost their 2026-27 Liga A opener 79-68 at Argentino on 30 September 2026, scoring 68 points.
- In the most recent meeting in Oliva, Independiente beat Ferro 87-75 on 14 November 2025 (Liga A).
- Independiente pulled 35.8 rebounds per game and Ferro 30.7 rebounds per game across their last 15 tracked games each (2025-26 season).
- Ferro shot 54.1% on two-pointers but only 29.5% on three-pointers in their last 15 tracked games (2025-26 season).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonIndependiente de OlivaEstimated chance61%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Independiente de Oliva 85.8, Ferro 77.7. Independiente de Oliva cover -0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Independiente de Oliva and 15 for Ferro, across seasons and competitions.
- Independiente averaged 86.7 points in regulation at home over their last 6 home games of the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-May 2026).
- Ferro averaged 74.9 points in 9 away games during the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-June 2026).
- Ferro lost their 2026-27 Liga A opener 79-68 at Argentino on 30 September 2026, scoring 68 points.
- In the most recent meeting in Oliva, Independiente beat Ferro 87-75 on 14 November 2025 (Liga A).
- Independiente pulled 35.8 rebounds per game and Ferro 30.7 rebounds per game across their last 15 tracked games each (2025-26 season).
- Ferro shot 54.1% on two-pointers but only 29.5% on three-pointers in their last 15 tracked games (2025-26 season).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonIndependiente de Oliva -0.5Estimated chance61%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Independiente de Oliva 85.8, Ferro 77.7. Independiente de Oliva are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Independiente averaged 86.7 points in regulation at home over their last 6 home games of the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-May 2026).
- Ferro averaged 74.9 points in 9 away games during the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-June 2026).
- Ferro lost their 2026-27 Liga A opener 79-68 at Argentino on 30 September 2026, scoring 68 points.
- In the most recent meeting in Oliva, Independiente beat Ferro 87-75 on 14 November 2025 (Liga A).
- Independiente pulled 35.8 rebounds per game and Ferro 30.7 rebounds per game across their last 15 tracked games each (2025-26 season).
- Ferro shot 54.1% on two-pointers but only 29.5% on three-pointers in their last 15 tracked games (2025-26 season).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultlostIndependiente de OlivaEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Independiente de Oliva 85.8, Ferro 77.7. Independiente de Oliva are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Independiente averaged 86.7 points in regulation at home over their last 6 home games of the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-May 2026).
- Ferro averaged 74.9 points in 9 away games during the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-June 2026).
- Ferro lost their 2026-27 Liga A opener 79-68 at Argentino on 30 September 2026, scoring 68 points.
- In the most recent meeting in Oliva, Independiente beat Ferro 87-75 on 14 November 2025 (Liga A).
- Independiente pulled 35.8 rebounds per game and Ferro 30.7 rebounds per game across their last 15 tracked games each (2025-26 season).
- Ferro shot 54.1% on two-pointers but only 29.5% on three-pointers in their last 15 tracked games (2025-26 season).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultlostIndependiente de OlivaEstimated chance56.7%

Points10 of 15 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Independiente de Oliva 85.8, Ferro 77.7. Independiente de Oliva score more than 38.5 points in the 1st half in about 74 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Independiente de Oliva and 15 for Ferro, across seasons and competitions.
- Independiente averaged 86.7 points in regulation at home over their last 6 home games of the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-May 2026).
- Ferro averaged 74.9 points in 9 away games during the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-June 2026).
- Ferro lost their 2026-27 Liga A opener 79-68 at Argentino on 30 September 2026, scoring 68 points.
- In the most recent meeting in Oliva, Independiente beat Ferro 87-75 on 14 November 2025 (Liga A).
- Independiente pulled 35.8 rebounds per game and Ferro 30.7 rebounds per game across their last 15 tracked games each (2025-26 season).
- Ferro shot 54.1% on two-pointers but only 29.5% on three-pointers in their last 15 tracked games (2025-26 season).
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonIndependiente de Oliva over 38.5Estimated chance74.5%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Independiente de Oliva 85.8, Ferro 77.7. Independiente de Oliva score more than 79.5 points (overtime included) in about 74 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Independiente de Oliva and 15 for Ferro, across seasons and competitions.
- Independiente averaged 86.7 points in regulation at home over their last 6 home games of the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-May 2026).
- Ferro averaged 74.9 points in 9 away games during the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-June 2026).
- Ferro lost their 2026-27 Liga A opener 79-68 at Argentino on 30 September 2026, scoring 68 points.
- In the most recent meeting in Oliva, Independiente beat Ferro 87-75 on 14 November 2025 (Liga A).
- Independiente pulled 35.8 rebounds per game and Ferro 30.7 rebounds per game across their last 15 tracked games each (2025-26 season).
- Ferro shot 54.1% on two-pointers but only 29.5% on three-pointers in their last 15 tracked games (2025-26 season).
BetBugs · Team PointswonIndependiente de Oliva over 79.5Estimated chance74.3%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Independiente de Oliva 85.8, Ferro 77.7. Independiente de Oliva score more than 18.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 74 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Independiente de Oliva and 15 for Ferro, across seasons and competitions.
- Independiente averaged 86.7 points in regulation at home over their last 6 home games of the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-May 2026).
- Ferro averaged 74.9 points in 9 away games during the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-June 2026).
- Ferro lost their 2026-27 Liga A opener 79-68 at Argentino on 30 September 2026, scoring 68 points.
- In the most recent meeting in Oliva, Independiente beat Ferro 87-75 on 14 November 2025 (Liga A).
- Independiente pulled 35.8 rebounds per game and Ferro 30.7 rebounds per game across their last 15 tracked games each (2025-26 season).
- Ferro shot 54.1% on two-pointers but only 29.5% on three-pointers in their last 15 tracked games (2025-26 season).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonIndependiente de Oliva over 18.5Estimated chance74.1%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Independiente de Oliva 85.8, Ferro 77.7. The game has more than 154.5 points (overtime included) in about 72 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Independiente de Oliva and 15 for Ferro, across seasons and competitions.
- Independiente averaged 86.7 points in regulation at home over their last 6 home games of the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-May 2026).
- Ferro averaged 74.9 points in 9 away games during the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-June 2026).
- Ferro lost their 2026-27 Liga A opener 79-68 at Argentino on 30 September 2026, scoring 68 points.
- In the most recent meeting in Oliva, Independiente beat Ferro 87-75 on 14 November 2025 (Liga A).
- Independiente pulled 35.8 rebounds per game and Ferro 30.7 rebounds per game across their last 15 tracked games each (2025-26 season).
- Ferro shot 54.1% on two-pointers but only 29.5% on three-pointers in their last 15 tracked games (2025-26 season).
BetBugs · Total PointswonOver 154.5Estimated chance72.1%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Independiente de Oliva 85.8, Ferro 77.7. Independiente de Oliva score fewer than 23.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 68 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Independiente de Oliva and 15 for Ferro, across seasons and competitions.
- Independiente averaged 86.7 points in regulation at home over their last 6 home games of the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-May 2026).
- Ferro averaged 74.9 points in 9 away games during the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-June 2026).
- Ferro lost their 2026-27 Liga A opener 79-68 at Argentino on 30 September 2026, scoring 68 points.
- In the most recent meeting in Oliva, Independiente beat Ferro 87-75 on 14 November 2025 (Liga A).
- Independiente pulled 35.8 rebounds per game and Ferro 30.7 rebounds per game across their last 15 tracked games each (2025-26 season).
- Ferro shot 54.1% on two-pointers but only 29.5% on three-pointers in their last 15 tracked games (2025-26 season).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonIndependiente de Oliva under 23.5Estimated chance68%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Independiente de Oliva 85.8, Ferro 77.7. Ferro score fewer than 21.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Independiente de Oliva and 15 for Ferro, across seasons and competitions.
- Independiente averaged 86.7 points in regulation at home over their last 6 home games of the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-May 2026).
- Ferro averaged 74.9 points in 9 away games during the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-June 2026).
- Ferro lost their 2026-27 Liga A opener 79-68 at Argentino on 30 September 2026, scoring 68 points.
- In the most recent meeting in Oliva, Independiente beat Ferro 87-75 on 14 November 2025 (Liga A).
- Independiente pulled 35.8 rebounds per game and Ferro 30.7 rebounds per game across their last 15 tracked games each (2025-26 season).
- Ferro shot 54.1% on two-pointers but only 29.5% on three-pointers in their last 15 tracked games (2025-26 season).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonFerro under 21.5Estimated chance67.1%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Independiente de Oliva 85.8, Ferro 77.7. Ferro score fewer than 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Independiente de Oliva and 15 for Ferro, across seasons and competitions.
- Independiente averaged 86.7 points in regulation at home over their last 6 home games of the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-May 2026).
- Ferro averaged 74.9 points in 9 away games during the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-June 2026).
- Ferro lost their 2026-27 Liga A opener 79-68 at Argentino on 30 September 2026, scoring 68 points.
- In the most recent meeting in Oliva, Independiente beat Ferro 87-75 on 14 November 2025 (Liga A).
- Independiente pulled 35.8 rebounds per game and Ferro 30.7 rebounds per game across their last 15 tracked games each (2025-26 season).
- Ferro shot 54.1% on two-pointers but only 29.5% on three-pointers in their last 15 tracked games (2025-26 season).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostFerro under 21.5Estimated chance65.7%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Independiente de Oliva 85.8, Ferro 77.7. Ferro score fewer than 41.5 points in the 1st half in about 65 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Independiente de Oliva and 15 for Ferro, across seasons and competitions.
- Independiente averaged 86.7 points in regulation at home over their last 6 home games of the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-May 2026).
- Ferro averaged 74.9 points in 9 away games during the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-June 2026).
- Ferro lost their 2026-27 Liga A opener 79-68 at Argentino on 30 September 2026, scoring 68 points.
- In the most recent meeting in Oliva, Independiente beat Ferro 87-75 on 14 November 2025 (Liga A).
- Independiente pulled 35.8 rebounds per game and Ferro 30.7 rebounds per game across their last 15 tracked games each (2025-26 season).
- Ferro shot 54.1% on two-pointers but only 29.5% on three-pointers in their last 15 tracked games (2025-26 season).
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostFerro under 41.5Estimated chance65.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Independiente de Oliva 85.8, Ferro 77.7. The 2nd quarter has fewer than 43.5 points in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Independiente de Oliva and 15 for Ferro, across seasons and competitions.
- Independiente averaged 86.7 points in regulation at home over their last 6 home games of the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-May 2026).
- Ferro averaged 74.9 points in 9 away games during the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-June 2026).
- Ferro lost their 2026-27 Liga A opener 79-68 at Argentino on 30 September 2026, scoring 68 points.
- In the most recent meeting in Oliva, Independiente beat Ferro 87-75 on 14 November 2025 (Liga A).
- Independiente pulled 35.8 rebounds per game and Ferro 30.7 rebounds per game across their last 15 tracked games each (2025-26 season).
- Ferro shot 54.1% on two-pointers but only 29.5% on three-pointers in their last 15 tracked games (2025-26 season).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 43.5Estimated chance63.5%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Independiente de Oliva 85.8, Ferro 77.7. The 1st quarter has more than 38.5 points in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Independiente de Oliva and 15 for Ferro, across seasons and competitions.
- Independiente averaged 86.7 points in regulation at home over their last 6 home games of the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-May 2026).
- Ferro averaged 74.9 points in 9 away games during the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-June 2026).
- Ferro lost their 2026-27 Liga A opener 79-68 at Argentino on 30 September 2026, scoring 68 points.
- In the most recent meeting in Oliva, Independiente beat Ferro 87-75 on 14 November 2025 (Liga A).
- Independiente pulled 35.8 rebounds per game and Ferro 30.7 rebounds per game across their last 15 tracked games each (2025-26 season).
- Ferro shot 54.1% on two-pointers but only 29.5% on three-pointers in their last 15 tracked games (2025-26 season).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonOver 38.5Estimated chance63%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Independiente de Oliva 85.8, Ferro 77.7. The 3rd quarter has more than 38.5 points in about 60 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Independiente de Oliva and 15 for Ferro, across seasons and competitions.
- Independiente averaged 86.7 points in regulation at home over their last 6 home games of the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-May 2026).
- Ferro averaged 74.9 points in 9 away games during the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-June 2026).
- Ferro lost their 2026-27 Liga A opener 79-68 at Argentino on 30 September 2026, scoring 68 points.
- In the most recent meeting in Oliva, Independiente beat Ferro 87-75 on 14 November 2025 (Liga A).
- Independiente pulled 35.8 rebounds per game and Ferro 30.7 rebounds per game across their last 15 tracked games each (2025-26 season).
- Ferro shot 54.1% on two-pointers but only 29.5% on three-pointers in their last 15 tracked games (2025-26 season).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonOver 38.5Estimated chance60.5%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Independiente de Oliva 85.8, Ferro 77.7. Ferro score fewer than 80.5 points (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Independiente de Oliva and 15 for Ferro, across seasons and competitions.
- Independiente averaged 86.7 points in regulation at home over their last 6 home games of the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-May 2026).
- Ferro averaged 74.9 points in 9 away games during the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-June 2026).
- Ferro lost their 2026-27 Liga A opener 79-68 at Argentino on 30 September 2026, scoring 68 points.
- In the most recent meeting in Oliva, Independiente beat Ferro 87-75 on 14 November 2025 (Liga A).
- Independiente pulled 35.8 rebounds per game and Ferro 30.7 rebounds per game across their last 15 tracked games each (2025-26 season).
- Ferro shot 54.1% on two-pointers but only 29.5% on three-pointers in their last 15 tracked games (2025-26 season).
BetBugs · Team PointslostFerro under 80.5Estimated chance59.3%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Independiente de Oliva 85.8, Ferro 77.7. Ferro score fewer than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Independiente de Oliva and 15 for Ferro, across seasons and competitions.
- Independiente averaged 86.7 points in regulation at home over their last 6 home games of the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-May 2026).
- Ferro averaged 74.9 points in 9 away games during the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-June 2026).
- Ferro lost their 2026-27 Liga A opener 79-68 at Argentino on 30 September 2026, scoring 68 points.
- In the most recent meeting in Oliva, Independiente beat Ferro 87-75 on 14 November 2025 (Liga A).
- Independiente pulled 35.8 rebounds per game and Ferro 30.7 rebounds per game across their last 15 tracked games each (2025-26 season).
- Ferro shot 54.1% on two-pointers but only 29.5% on three-pointers in their last 15 tracked games (2025-26 season).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostFerro under 20.5Estimated chance58.8%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Independiente de Oliva 85.8, Ferro 77.7. Independiente de Oliva score more than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Independiente de Oliva and 15 for Ferro, across seasons and competitions.
- Independiente averaged 86.7 points in regulation at home over their last 6 home games of the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-May 2026).
- Ferro averaged 74.9 points in 9 away games during the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-June 2026).
- Ferro lost their 2026-27 Liga A opener 79-68 at Argentino on 30 September 2026, scoring 68 points.
- In the most recent meeting in Oliva, Independiente beat Ferro 87-75 on 14 November 2025 (Liga A).
- Independiente pulled 35.8 rebounds per game and Ferro 30.7 rebounds per game across their last 15 tracked games each (2025-26 season).
- Ferro shot 54.1% on two-pointers but only 29.5% on three-pointers in their last 15 tracked games (2025-26 season).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonIndependiente de Oliva over 20.5Estimated chance57.1%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Independiente de Oliva 85.8, Ferro 77.7. The 1st half has fewer than 83.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Independiente de Oliva and 15 for Ferro, across seasons and competitions.
- Independiente averaged 86.7 points in regulation at home over their last 6 home games of the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-May 2026).
- Ferro averaged 74.9 points in 9 away games during the 2025-26 Liga A season (games from April-June 2026).
- Ferro lost their 2026-27 Liga A opener 79-68 at Argentino on 30 September 2026, scoring 68 points.
- In the most recent meeting in Oliva, Independiente beat Ferro 87-75 on 14 November 2025 (Liga A).
- Independiente pulled 35.8 rebounds per game and Ferro 30.7 rebounds per game across their last 15 tracked games each (2025-26 season).
- Ferro shot 54.1% on two-pointers but only 29.5% on three-pointers in their last 15 tracked games (2025-26 season).
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostUnder 83.5Estimated chance56%

L88–82

Ferrov

Independiente de Oliva

Feb 11, 2026·LIG

W87–75

Independiente de Olivav Ferro

Ferro

Nov 14, 2025·LIG

L93–77

Ferrov

Independiente de Oliva

Feb 8, 2025·LIG

L87–92

Independiente de Olivav Ferro

Ferro

Nov 16, 2024·LIG

L91–79

Ferrov

Independiente de Oliva

May 15, 2024·LIG

W91–84

Independiente de Olivav Ferro

Ferro

Dec 14, 2023·LIG

W86–81

Independiente de Olivav Ferro

Ferro

Jan 26, 2023·LIG

W75–79

Ferrov

Independiente de Oliva

Jan 22, 2023·LIG

168.4Avg total points

8.4Avg margin

8meetings

League table

Liga A · Liga A - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Independiente de Oliva

0–0—

Ferro

0–10%

Recent Form

Independiente de Oliva

7W 8L · last 15

at Gimnasia71–81 May 19LIG

vs Gimnasia74–66 May 16LIG

vs Gimnasia78–76 May 14LIG

at Gimnasia72–77 May 10LIG

at Gimnasia66–78 May 9LIG

vs La Union97–92 May 3LIG

vs La Union83–78 May 1LIG

at La Union62–86 Apr 27LIG

at La Union102–91 Apr 25LIG

vs Quimsa102–110 OTApr 19LIG

at Obras Sanitarias77–73 Apr 16LIG

at Boca Juniors86–92 Apr 13LIG

vs Atenas108–104 OTApr 11LIG

vs Platense86–98 Apr 8LIG

vs Penarol102–107 Mar 28LIG

Ferro

8W 7L · last 15

at Argentino68–79 Oct 1LIG

at Gimnasia54–88 Jun 3LIG

vs Gimnasia81–73 May 30LIG

vs Gimnasia74–70 May 28LIG

at Gimnasia74–79 May 25LIG

at Gimnasia77–81 May 23LIG

at Regatas87–85 May 19LIG

vs Regatas71–79 May 15LIG

vs Regatas90–75 May 13LIG

at Regatas60–81 May 11LIG

at Regatas95–89 May 8LIG

at Penarol84–68 May 3LIG

at Penarol75–87 May 1LIG

vs Penarol80–78 Apr 26LIG

vs Penarol97–91 Apr 24LIG

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Independiente de Oliva

Stats

3–1

Ferro

Independiente de Oliva leads in 3 of 4 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–1

2-point %+2.1pp

52.0%

+2.1pp

54.1%

3-point %+1.4pp

30.9%

+1.4pp

29.5%

Free-throw %+0.1pp

73.9%

+0.1pp

73.8%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s1.3pp apart

31.1%

1.3pp apart

32.4%

Free throws per shot1.4pp apart

30.3%

1.4pp apart

31.7%

Possession· 1–0

Rebounds per game+5.1

35.8

+5.1

30.7

Turnovers per game—

0.0

—

0.0

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.