Abra Weavers106Quezon City54

Fri 9 Oct 2026, 11:00 Predictions graded

Predictions18–482%

Points by period: Abra Weavers and Quezon City.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Abra Weavers	34	18	31	23
Quezon City	15	9	12	18

Quick Take

Pre-match view

A North Division quarterfinal pairs 24-2 Abra Weavers with Quezon City, who took the last playoff place at 13-14.

An expected score of 88.8-71.5 puts Abra ahead after 40 minutes in about 90 of 100 such games. No prices are available for this fixture, so the forecasts remain unpriced and there is nothing to back.

Context

Abra last played an MPBL game on 10 September, 29 days before this fixture, but won 79-72 against Hong Kong Eastern in the EASL on 3 October; Quezon City had nine days after clinching a playoff berth with a 95-81 win over Pasig City on 30 September. No player availability is established for either side.

Abra’s EASL debut came six days before this MPBL playoff fixture. The Weavers beat Hong Kong Eastern in Cebu, with Fadi Ibrahim and Jaylen Johnson sharing the team scoring lead. The separate regional result gives Abra recent winning form but does not confirm the MPBL lineup for this game.
- Abra won 79-72 at SM Seaside Cebu Arena on 3 October.
- Fadi Ibrahim and Jaylen Johnson scored 14 points apiece.
The win ended Quezon City’s three-year playoff absence and set a best-of-three series with North Division top seed Abra. This fixture is therefore a postseason meeting rather than a regular-season rematch. The result does not confirm the lineup for this game.
- Quezon City defeated Pasig City 95-81 to claim the North Division’s last playoff berth.
- The Black Bulls led 47-23 at halftime and extended the lead to 70-40.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result11 of 11 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Abra Weavers 88.8, Quezon City 71.5. Abra Weavers win in about 91 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Abra Weavers are 24-2 and average 95.2 points scored and 70.0 allowed over 26 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Quezon City are 13-14 and average 83.7 points scored and 83.0 allowed over 27 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Abra beat Quezon City 79-51 on 2026-08-27 in MPBL, and also won 99-77 on 2025-06-23.
- Abra's last MPBL game was 2026-09-10, but they won 79-72 in the EASL on 2026-10-03.
- Quezon City last played 2026-09-30, beating Pasig City 95-81 to reach the playoffs.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonAbra WeaversEstimated chance91.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Abra Weavers 88.8, Quezon City 71.5. Abra Weavers are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 90 of 100 games like this.
- Abra Weavers are 24-2 and average 95.2 points scored and 70.0 allowed over 26 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Quezon City are 13-14 and average 83.7 points scored and 83.0 allowed over 27 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Abra beat Quezon City 79-51 on 2026-08-27 in MPBL, and also won 99-77 on 2025-06-23.
- Abra's last MPBL game was 2026-09-10, but they won 79-72 in the EASL on 2026-10-03.
- Quezon City last played 2026-09-30, beating Pasig City 95-81 to reach the playoffs.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonAbra WeaversEstimated chance90.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Abra Weavers 88.8, Quezon City 71.5. Abra Weavers are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 83 of 100 games like this.
- Abra Weavers are 24-2 and average 95.2 points scored and 70.0 allowed over 26 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Quezon City are 13-14 and average 83.7 points scored and 83.0 allowed over 27 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Abra beat Quezon City 79-51 on 2026-08-27 in MPBL, and also won 99-77 on 2025-06-23.
- Abra's last MPBL game was 2026-09-10, but they won 79-72 in the EASL on 2026-10-03.
- Quezon City last played 2026-09-30, beating Pasig City 95-81 to reach the playoffs.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonAbra WeaversEstimated chance82.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Abra Weavers 88.8, Quezon City 71.5. Abra Weavers are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 75 of 100 games like this.
- Abra Weavers are 24-2 and average 95.2 points scored and 70.0 allowed over 26 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Quezon City are 13-14 and average 83.7 points scored and 83.0 allowed over 27 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Abra beat Quezon City 79-51 on 2026-08-27 in MPBL, and also won 99-77 on 2025-06-23.
- Abra's last MPBL game was 2026-09-10, but they won 79-72 in the EASL on 2026-10-03.
- Quezon City last played 2026-09-30, beating Pasig City 95-81 to reach the playoffs.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonAbra WeaversEstimated chance75.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Abra Weavers 88.8, Quezon City 71.5. Abra Weavers cover -4.5 in the 1st half in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 14 completed games for Abra Weavers and 14 for Quezon City, across seasons and competitions.
- Abra Weavers are 24-2 and average 95.2 points scored and 70.0 allowed over 26 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Quezon City are 13-14 and average 83.7 points scored and 83.0 allowed over 27 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Abra beat Quezon City 79-51 on 2026-08-27 in MPBL, and also won 99-77 on 2025-06-23.
- Abra's last MPBL game was 2026-09-10, but they won 79-72 in the EASL on 2026-10-03.
- Quezon City last played 2026-09-30, beating Pasig City 95-81 to reach the playoffs.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonAbra Weavers -4.5Estimated chance70.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Abra Weavers 88.8, Quezon City 71.5. Abra Weavers are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 70 of 100 games like this.
- Abra Weavers are 24-2 and average 95.2 points scored and 70.0 allowed over 26 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Quezon City are 13-14 and average 83.7 points scored and 83.0 allowed over 27 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Abra beat Quezon City 79-51 on 2026-08-27 in MPBL, and also won 99-77 on 2025-06-23.
- Abra's last MPBL game was 2026-09-10, but they won 79-72 in the EASL on 2026-10-03.
- Quezon City last played 2026-09-30, beating Pasig City 95-81 to reach the playoffs.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonAbra WeaversEstimated chance69.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Abra Weavers 88.8, Quezon City 71.5. Abra Weavers are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Abra Weavers are 24-2 and average 95.2 points scored and 70.0 allowed over 26 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Quezon City are 13-14 and average 83.7 points scored and 83.0 allowed over 27 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Abra beat Quezon City 79-51 on 2026-08-27 in MPBL, and also won 99-77 on 2025-06-23.
- Abra's last MPBL game was 2026-09-10, but they won 79-72 in the EASL on 2026-10-03.
- Quezon City last played 2026-09-30, beating Pasig City 95-81 to reach the playoffs.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonAbra WeaversEstimated chance67%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Abra Weavers 88.8, Quezon City 71.5. Abra Weavers cover -0.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 14 completed games for Abra Weavers and 14 for Quezon City, across seasons and competitions.
- Abra Weavers are 24-2 and average 95.2 points scored and 70.0 allowed over 26 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Quezon City are 13-14 and average 83.7 points scored and 83.0 allowed over 27 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Abra beat Quezon City 79-51 on 2026-08-27 in MPBL, and also won 99-77 on 2025-06-23.
- Abra's last MPBL game was 2026-09-10, but they won 79-72 in the EASL on 2026-10-03.
- Quezon City last played 2026-09-30, beating Pasig City 95-81 to reach the playoffs.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonAbra Weavers -0.5Estimated chance67%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Abra Weavers 88.8, Quezon City 71.5. Abra Weavers cover -13.5 (overtime included) in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Abra Weavers and 15 for Quezon City, across seasons and competitions.
- Abra Weavers are 24-2 and average 95.2 points scored and 70.0 allowed over 26 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Quezon City are 13-14 and average 83.7 points scored and 83.0 allowed over 27 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Abra beat Quezon City 79-51 on 2026-08-27 in MPBL, and also won 99-77 on 2025-06-23.
- Abra's last MPBL game was 2026-09-10, but they won 79-72 in the EASL on 2026-10-03.
- Quezon City last played 2026-09-30, beating Pasig City 95-81 to reach the playoffs.
BetBugs · HandicapwonAbra Weavers -13.5Estimated chance61.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Abra Weavers 88.8, Quezon City 71.5. Abra Weavers cover -2.5 in the 1st quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 14 completed games for Abra Weavers and 14 for Quezon City, across seasons and competitions.
- Abra Weavers are 24-2 and average 95.2 points scored and 70.0 allowed over 26 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Quezon City are 13-14 and average 83.7 points scored and 83.0 allowed over 27 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Abra beat Quezon City 79-51 on 2026-08-27 in MPBL, and also won 99-77 on 2025-06-23.
- Abra's last MPBL game was 2026-09-10, but they won 79-72 in the EASL on 2026-10-03.
- Quezon City last played 2026-09-30, beating Pasig City 95-81 to reach the playoffs.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapwonAbra Weavers -2.5Estimated chance59.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Abra Weavers 88.8, Quezon City 71.5. Abra Weavers cover -4.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 14 completed games for Abra Weavers and 14 for Quezon City, across seasons and competitions.
- Abra Weavers are 24-2 and average 95.2 points scored and 70.0 allowed over 26 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Quezon City are 13-14 and average 83.7 points scored and 83.0 allowed over 27 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Abra beat Quezon City 79-51 on 2026-08-27 in MPBL, and also won 99-77 on 2025-06-23.
- Abra's last MPBL game was 2026-09-10, but they won 79-72 in the EASL on 2026-10-03.
- Quezon City last played 2026-09-30, beating Pasig City 95-81 to reach the playoffs.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonAbra Weavers -4.5Estimated chance55.2%

Points7 of 11 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Abra Weavers 88.8, Quezon City 71.5. The 1st quarter has more than 34.5 points in about 78 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 14 completed games for Abra Weavers and 14 for Quezon City, across seasons and competitions.
- Abra Weavers are 24-2 and average 95.2 points scored and 70.0 allowed over 26 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Quezon City are 13-14 and average 83.7 points scored and 83.0 allowed over 27 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Abra beat Quezon City 79-51 on 2026-08-27 in MPBL, and also won 99-77 on 2025-06-23.
- Abra's last MPBL game was 2026-09-10, but they won 79-72 in the EASL on 2026-10-03.
- Quezon City last played 2026-09-30, beating Pasig City 95-81 to reach the playoffs.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonOver 34.5Estimated chance78.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Abra Weavers 88.8, Quezon City 71.5. Abra Weavers score more than 19.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 74 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 14 completed games for Abra Weavers and 14 for Quezon City, across seasons and competitions.
- Abra Weavers are 24-2 and average 95.2 points scored and 70.0 allowed over 26 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Quezon City are 13-14 and average 83.7 points scored and 83.0 allowed over 27 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Abra beat Quezon City 79-51 on 2026-08-27 in MPBL, and also won 99-77 on 2025-06-23.
- Abra's last MPBL game was 2026-09-10, but they won 79-72 in the EASL on 2026-10-03.
- Quezon City last played 2026-09-30, beating Pasig City 95-81 to reach the playoffs.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostAbra Weavers over 19.5Estimated chance74.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Abra Weavers 88.8, Quezon City 71.5. Abra Weavers score more than 82.5 points (overtime included) in about 74 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Abra Weavers and 15 for Quezon City, across seasons and competitions.
- Abra Weavers are 24-2 and average 95.2 points scored and 70.0 allowed over 26 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Quezon City are 13-14 and average 83.7 points scored and 83.0 allowed over 27 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Abra beat Quezon City 79-51 on 2026-08-27 in MPBL, and also won 99-77 on 2025-06-23.
- Abra's last MPBL game was 2026-09-10, but they won 79-72 in the EASL on 2026-10-03.
- Quezon City last played 2026-09-30, beating Pasig City 95-81 to reach the playoffs.
BetBugs · Team PointswonAbra Weavers over 82.5Estimated chance74%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Abra Weavers 88.8, Quezon City 71.5. Abra Weavers score more than 40.5 points in the 1st half in about 73 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 14 completed games for Abra Weavers and 14 for Quezon City, across seasons and competitions.
- Abra Weavers are 24-2 and average 95.2 points scored and 70.0 allowed over 26 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Quezon City are 13-14 and average 83.7 points scored and 83.0 allowed over 27 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Abra beat Quezon City 79-51 on 2026-08-27 in MPBL, and also won 99-77 on 2025-06-23.
- Abra's last MPBL game was 2026-09-10, but they won 79-72 in the EASL on 2026-10-03.
- Quezon City last played 2026-09-30, beating Pasig City 95-81 to reach the playoffs.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonAbra Weavers over 40.5Estimated chance73.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Abra Weavers 88.8, Quezon City 71.5. Abra Weavers score fewer than 24.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 14 completed games for Abra Weavers and 14 for Quezon City, across seasons and competitions.
- Abra Weavers are 24-2 and average 95.2 points scored and 70.0 allowed over 26 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Quezon City are 13-14 and average 83.7 points scored and 83.0 allowed over 27 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Abra beat Quezon City 79-51 on 2026-08-27 in MPBL, and also won 99-77 on 2025-06-23.
- Abra's last MPBL game was 2026-09-10, but they won 79-72 in the EASL on 2026-10-03.
- Quezon City last played 2026-09-30, beating Pasig City 95-81 to reach the playoffs.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostAbra Weavers under 24.5Estimated chance70.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Abra Weavers 88.8, Quezon City 71.5. The 2nd quarter has more than 36.5 points in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 14 completed games for Abra Weavers and 14 for Quezon City, across seasons and competitions.
- Abra Weavers are 24-2 and average 95.2 points scored and 70.0 allowed over 26 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Quezon City are 13-14 and average 83.7 points scored and 83.0 allowed over 27 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Abra beat Quezon City 79-51 on 2026-08-27 in MPBL, and also won 99-77 on 2025-06-23.
- Abra's last MPBL game was 2026-09-10, but they won 79-72 in the EASL on 2026-10-03.
- Quezon City last played 2026-09-30, beating Pasig City 95-81 to reach the playoffs.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointslostOver 36.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Abra Weavers 88.8, Quezon City 71.5. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 43.5 points in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 14 completed games for Abra Weavers and 14 for Quezon City, across seasons and competitions.
- Abra Weavers are 24-2 and average 95.2 points scored and 70.0 allowed over 26 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Quezon City are 13-14 and average 83.7 points scored and 83.0 allowed over 27 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Abra beat Quezon City 79-51 on 2026-08-27 in MPBL, and also won 99-77 on 2025-06-23.
- Abra's last MPBL game was 2026-09-10, but they won 79-72 in the EASL on 2026-10-03.
- Quezon City last played 2026-09-30, beating Pasig City 95-81 to reach the playoffs.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 43.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Abra Weavers 88.8, Quezon City 71.5. Abra Weavers score more than 19.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 14 completed games for Abra Weavers and 14 for Quezon City, across seasons and competitions.
- Abra Weavers are 24-2 and average 95.2 points scored and 70.0 allowed over 26 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Quezon City are 13-14 and average 83.7 points scored and 83.0 allowed over 27 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Abra beat Quezon City 79-51 on 2026-08-27 in MPBL, and also won 99-77 on 2025-06-23.
- Abra's last MPBL game was 2026-09-10, but they won 79-72 in the EASL on 2026-10-03.
- Quezon City last played 2026-09-30, beating Pasig City 95-81 to reach the playoffs.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonAbra Weavers over 19.5Estimated chance69.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Abra Weavers 88.8, Quezon City 71.5. Quezon City score fewer than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 14 completed games for Abra Weavers and 14 for Quezon City, across seasons and competitions.
- Abra Weavers are 24-2 and average 95.2 points scored and 70.0 allowed over 26 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Quezon City are 13-14 and average 83.7 points scored and 83.0 allowed over 27 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Abra beat Quezon City 79-51 on 2026-08-27 in MPBL, and also won 99-77 on 2025-06-23.
- Abra's last MPBL game was 2026-09-10, but they won 79-72 in the EASL on 2026-10-03.
- Quezon City last played 2026-09-30, beating Pasig City 95-81 to reach the playoffs.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonQuezon City under 19.5Estimated chance61.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Abra Weavers 88.8, Quezon City 71.5. The 1st half has more than 77.5 points in about 60 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 14 completed games for Abra Weavers and 14 for Quezon City, across seasons and competitions.
- Abra Weavers are 24-2 and average 95.2 points scored and 70.0 allowed over 26 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Quezon City are 13-14 and average 83.7 points scored and 83.0 allowed over 27 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Abra beat Quezon City 79-51 on 2026-08-27 in MPBL, and also won 99-77 on 2025-06-23.
- Abra's last MPBL game was 2026-09-10, but they won 79-72 in the EASL on 2026-10-03.
- Quezon City last played 2026-09-30, beating Pasig City 95-81 to reach the playoffs.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostOver 77.5Estimated chance60.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Abra Weavers 88.8, Quezon City 71.5. Quezon City score fewer than 18.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 14 completed games for Abra Weavers and 14 for Quezon City, across seasons and competitions.
- Abra Weavers are 24-2 and average 95.2 points scored and 70.0 allowed over 26 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Quezon City are 13-14 and average 83.7 points scored and 83.0 allowed over 27 MPBL games (standings observed 2026-10-08).
- Abra beat Quezon City 79-51 on 2026-08-27 in MPBL, and also won 99-77 on 2025-06-23.
- Abra's last MPBL game was 2026-09-10, but they won 79-72 in the EASL on 2026-10-03.
- Quezon City last played 2026-09-30, beating Pasig City 95-81 to reach the playoffs.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonQuezon City under 18.5Estimated chance58.6%