EuroLeagueFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Valencia93Hapoel Tel Aviv82

Thu 8 Oct 2026, 18:30 Predictions graded

Predictions16–770%

Points by period: Valencia and Hapoel Tel Aviv.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Valencia	29	18	27	19
Hapoel Tel Aviv	17	23	17	25

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Valencia's unbeaten EuroLeague start against a Hapoel side that has already beaten Real Madrid and won in Belgrade is the tension here.

Valencia are the likely winners, ahead after 40 minutes in about 77 of 100 games like this, with the expected score 97.3-87.2. Prices are available, but none stands out at our numbers.

Context

Valencia have opened the EuroLeague with 104.0 points scored and 91.3 conceded per game, while Hapoel have taken two of three, including a road win at Crvena Zvezda. Availability on both backcourts is unsettled: Valencia's Mario Saint-Supery is a doubt with a cold, and Hapoel rested Bryant, Micic and Satoransky at the weekend, with Micic and Satoransky reported to be managed rather than ruled out.

Mario Saint-Supéry is listed as a point guard and missed Valencia's final training session before the game. His recovery could affect Xavi Albert's guard options against Hapoel, while the rest of Valencia's squad was described as available.
- Mario Saint-Supéry missed Wednesday training because of a cold.
- Valencia named him as its only doubt for Hapoel's visit.
Micic is a Hapoel point guard and the muscle concern arose during the previous EuroLeague double week. He was rested at the weekend, so his condition remains relevant for Hapoel's backcourt in Valencia. Official match-day confirmation is pending.
- Micic had an MRI after feeling muscle discomfort following Hapoel's game against Real Madrid.
- The issue was not expected to make him miss games.
- Micic rested for the Winner Cup semi-final against Ness Ziona.
Satoransky is a Hapoel point guard who was held out of the weekend cup tie with a minor ankle issue. His condition could affect Hapoel's guard options for this away game. Official match-day confirmation is pending.
- Satoransky was rested after ankle soreness following the Real Madrid game.
- He was among Hapoel's key players given the weekend off before Valencia.
Ginat's knee problem has already changed Hapoel's frontcourt call-up options, with Tai Odiase filling in. His status for Valencia is not stated, so the available depth at power forward remains uncertain.
- Tai Odiase had been completing Hapoel call-ups because of Tomer Ginat's knee injury.
- Ginat is listed as a power forward in Hapoel's squad.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result8 of 11 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 97.3, Hapoel Tel Aviv 87.2. Valencia cover +1.5 (overtime included) in about 80 of 100 games like this.
- Valencia are 3-0 in the EuroLeague with 104.0 points scored and 91.3 conceded per game, including 111-88 at home to Baskonia on 29 September 2026.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv are 2-1 in the EuroLeague with 89.0 scored and 88.0 conceded per game, beating Real Madrid 102-98 at home on 1 October 2026 and winning 81-80 away at Crvena Zvezda on 29 September 2026.
- Valencia's only home EuroLeague game this season produced 111 points, but they also lost 100-105 at home to Forca Lleida in the ACB on 27 September 2026, and went down 86-87 to Barcelona at home in the Supercopa on 19 September 2026.
- The last five Valencia-Hapoel meetings (EuroLeague and EuroCup, March 2025 to February 2026) were all high-scoring, averaging 192.6 total points, with Hapoel averaging 96.4 and Valencia 94.2.
- Hapoel's leading scorers Elijah Bryant (16.7 points) and Vasilije Micic (15.7) have only appeared in the three EuroLeague games and were held out of the League Cup semi-final on 3 October 2026, so their availability is unclear; Micic's muscle check was reported as not expected to cost games.
- Valencia's Mario Saint-Supery (16.3 minutes, 4.5 points) is a confirmed doubt with a cold; the rest of Valencia's rotation was described as available.
BetBugs · HandicapwonValencia +1.5Estimated chance80.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 97.3, Hapoel Tel Aviv 87.2. Valencia win in about 79 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Valencia are 3-0 in the EuroLeague with 104.0 points scored and 91.3 conceded per game, including 111-88 at home to Baskonia on 29 September 2026.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv are 2-1 in the EuroLeague with 89.0 scored and 88.0 conceded per game, beating Real Madrid 102-98 at home on 1 October 2026 and winning 81-80 away at Crvena Zvezda on 29 September 2026.
- Valencia's only home EuroLeague game this season produced 111 points, but they also lost 100-105 at home to Forca Lleida in the ACB on 27 September 2026, and went down 86-87 to Barcelona at home in the Supercopa on 19 September 2026.
- The last five Valencia-Hapoel meetings (EuroLeague and EuroCup, March 2025 to February 2026) were all high-scoring, averaging 192.6 total points, with Hapoel averaging 96.4 and Valencia 94.2.
- Hapoel's leading scorers Elijah Bryant (16.7 points) and Vasilije Micic (15.7) have only appeared in the three EuroLeague games and were held out of the League Cup semi-final on 3 October 2026, so their availability is unclear; Micic's muscle check was reported as not expected to cost games.
- Valencia's Mario Saint-Supery (16.3 minutes, 4.5 points) is a confirmed doubt with a cold; the rest of Valencia's rotation was described as available.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonValenciaEstimated chance78.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 97.3, Hapoel Tel Aviv 87.2. Valencia are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 77 of 100 games like this.
- Valencia are 3-0 in the EuroLeague with 104.0 points scored and 91.3 conceded per game, including 111-88 at home to Baskonia on 29 September 2026.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv are 2-1 in the EuroLeague with 89.0 scored and 88.0 conceded per game, beating Real Madrid 102-98 at home on 1 October 2026 and winning 81-80 away at Crvena Zvezda on 29 September 2026.
- Valencia's only home EuroLeague game this season produced 111 points, but they also lost 100-105 at home to Forca Lleida in the ACB on 27 September 2026, and went down 86-87 to Barcelona at home in the Supercopa on 19 September 2026.
- The last five Valencia-Hapoel meetings (EuroLeague and EuroCup, March 2025 to February 2026) were all high-scoring, averaging 192.6 total points, with Hapoel averaging 96.4 and Valencia 94.2.
- Hapoel's leading scorers Elijah Bryant (16.7 points) and Vasilije Micic (15.7) have only appeared in the three EuroLeague games and were held out of the League Cup semi-final on 3 October 2026, so their availability is unclear; Micic's muscle check was reported as not expected to cost games.
- Valencia's Mario Saint-Supery (16.3 minutes, 4.5 points) is a confirmed doubt with a cold; the rest of Valencia's rotation was described as available.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonValenciaEstimated chance77%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 97.3, Hapoel Tel Aviv 87.2. Valencia cover +0.5 in the 1st half in about 74 of 100 games like this.
- Valencia are 3-0 in the EuroLeague with 104.0 points scored and 91.3 conceded per game, including 111-88 at home to Baskonia on 29 September 2026.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv are 2-1 in the EuroLeague with 89.0 scored and 88.0 conceded per game, beating Real Madrid 102-98 at home on 1 October 2026 and winning 81-80 away at Crvena Zvezda on 29 September 2026.
- Valencia's only home EuroLeague game this season produced 111 points, but they also lost 100-105 at home to Forca Lleida in the ACB on 27 September 2026, and went down 86-87 to Barcelona at home in the Supercopa on 19 September 2026.
- The last five Valencia-Hapoel meetings (EuroLeague and EuroCup, March 2025 to February 2026) were all high-scoring, averaging 192.6 total points, with Hapoel averaging 96.4 and Valencia 94.2.
- Hapoel's leading scorers Elijah Bryant (16.7 points) and Vasilije Micic (15.7) have only appeared in the three EuroLeague games and were held out of the League Cup semi-final on 3 October 2026, so their availability is unclear; Micic's muscle check was reported as not expected to cost games.
- Valencia's Mario Saint-Supery (16.3 minutes, 4.5 points) is a confirmed doubt with a cold; the rest of Valencia's rotation was described as available.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonValencia +0.5Estimated chance73.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 97.3, Hapoel Tel Aviv 87.2. Valencia are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 70 of 100 games like this.
- Valencia are 3-0 in the EuroLeague with 104.0 points scored and 91.3 conceded per game, including 111-88 at home to Baskonia on 29 September 2026.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv are 2-1 in the EuroLeague with 89.0 scored and 88.0 conceded per game, beating Real Madrid 102-98 at home on 1 October 2026 and winning 81-80 away at Crvena Zvezda on 29 September 2026.
- Valencia's only home EuroLeague game this season produced 111 points, but they also lost 100-105 at home to Forca Lleida in the ACB on 27 September 2026, and went down 86-87 to Barcelona at home in the Supercopa on 19 September 2026.
- The last five Valencia-Hapoel meetings (EuroLeague and EuroCup, March 2025 to February 2026) were all high-scoring, averaging 192.6 total points, with Hapoel averaging 96.4 and Valencia 94.2.
- Hapoel's leading scorers Elijah Bryant (16.7 points) and Vasilije Micic (15.7) have only appeared in the three EuroLeague games and were held out of the League Cup semi-final on 3 October 2026, so their availability is unclear; Micic's muscle check was reported as not expected to cost games.
- Valencia's Mario Saint-Supery (16.3 minutes, 4.5 points) is a confirmed doubt with a cold; the rest of Valencia's rotation was described as available.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonValenciaEstimated chance70.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 97.3, Hapoel Tel Aviv 87.2. Hapoel Tel Aviv cover +5.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 68 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Valencia and 14 for Hapoel Tel Aviv, across seasons and competitions.
- Valencia are 3-0 in the EuroLeague with 104.0 points scored and 91.3 conceded per game, including 111-88 at home to Baskonia on 29 September 2026.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv are 2-1 in the EuroLeague with 89.0 scored and 88.0 conceded per game, beating Real Madrid 102-98 at home on 1 October 2026 and winning 81-80 away at Crvena Zvezda on 29 September 2026.
- Valencia's only home EuroLeague game this season produced 111 points, but they also lost 100-105 at home to Forca Lleida in the ACB on 27 September 2026, and went down 86-87 to Barcelona at home in the Supercopa on 19 September 2026.
- The last five Valencia-Hapoel meetings (EuroLeague and EuroCup, March 2025 to February 2026) were all high-scoring, averaging 192.6 total points, with Hapoel averaging 96.4 and Valencia 94.2.
- Hapoel's leading scorers Elijah Bryant (16.7 points) and Vasilije Micic (15.7) have only appeared in the three EuroLeague games and were held out of the League Cup semi-final on 3 October 2026, so their availability is unclear; Micic's muscle check was reported as not expected to cost games.
- Valencia's Mario Saint-Supery (16.3 minutes, 4.5 points) is a confirmed doubt with a cold; the rest of Valencia's rotation was described as available.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostHapoel Tel Aviv +5.5Estimated chance67.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 97.3, Hapoel Tel Aviv 87.2. Valencia cover +0.5 in the 1st quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Valencia are 3-0 in the EuroLeague with 104.0 points scored and 91.3 conceded per game, including 111-88 at home to Baskonia on 29 September 2026.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv are 2-1 in the EuroLeague with 89.0 scored and 88.0 conceded per game, beating Real Madrid 102-98 at home on 1 October 2026 and winning 81-80 away at Crvena Zvezda on 29 September 2026.
- Valencia's only home EuroLeague game this season produced 111 points, but they also lost 100-105 at home to Forca Lleida in the ACB on 27 September 2026, and went down 86-87 to Barcelona at home in the Supercopa on 19 September 2026.
- The last five Valencia-Hapoel meetings (EuroLeague and EuroCup, March 2025 to February 2026) were all high-scoring, averaging 192.6 total points, with Hapoel averaging 96.4 and Valencia 94.2.
- Hapoel's leading scorers Elijah Bryant (16.7 points) and Vasilije Micic (15.7) have only appeared in the three EuroLeague games and were held out of the League Cup semi-final on 3 October 2026, so their availability is unclear; Micic's muscle check was reported as not expected to cost games.
- Valencia's Mario Saint-Supery (16.3 minutes, 4.5 points) is a confirmed doubt with a cold; the rest of Valencia's rotation was described as available.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapwonValencia +0.5Estimated chance65.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 97.3, Hapoel Tel Aviv 87.2. Valencia are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Valencia are 3-0 in the EuroLeague with 104.0 points scored and 91.3 conceded per game, including 111-88 at home to Baskonia on 29 September 2026.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv are 2-1 in the EuroLeague with 89.0 scored and 88.0 conceded per game, beating Real Madrid 102-98 at home on 1 October 2026 and winning 81-80 away at Crvena Zvezda on 29 September 2026.
- Valencia's only home EuroLeague game this season produced 111 points, but they also lost 100-105 at home to Forca Lleida in the ACB on 27 September 2026, and went down 86-87 to Barcelona at home in the Supercopa on 19 September 2026.
- The last five Valencia-Hapoel meetings (EuroLeague and EuroCup, March 2025 to February 2026) were all high-scoring, averaging 192.6 total points, with Hapoel averaging 96.4 and Valencia 94.2.
- Hapoel's leading scorers Elijah Bryant (16.7 points) and Vasilije Micic (15.7) have only appeared in the three EuroLeague games and were held out of the League Cup semi-final on 3 October 2026, so their availability is unclear; Micic's muscle check was reported as not expected to cost games.
- Valencia's Mario Saint-Supery (16.3 minutes, 4.5 points) is a confirmed doubt with a cold; the rest of Valencia's rotation was described as available.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultlostValenciaEstimated chance64.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 97.3, Hapoel Tel Aviv 87.2. Valencia cover -0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Valencia and 14 for Hapoel Tel Aviv, across seasons and competitions.
- Valencia are 3-0 in the EuroLeague with 104.0 points scored and 91.3 conceded per game, including 111-88 at home to Baskonia on 29 September 2026.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv are 2-1 in the EuroLeague with 89.0 scored and 88.0 conceded per game, beating Real Madrid 102-98 at home on 1 October 2026 and winning 81-80 away at Crvena Zvezda on 29 September 2026.
- Valencia's only home EuroLeague game this season produced 111 points, but they also lost 100-105 at home to Forca Lleida in the ACB on 27 September 2026, and went down 86-87 to Barcelona at home in the Supercopa on 19 September 2026.
- The last five Valencia-Hapoel meetings (EuroLeague and EuroCup, March 2025 to February 2026) were all high-scoring, averaging 192.6 total points, with Hapoel averaging 96.4 and Valencia 94.2.
- Hapoel's leading scorers Elijah Bryant (16.7 points) and Vasilije Micic (15.7) have only appeared in the three EuroLeague games and were held out of the League Cup semi-final on 3 October 2026, so their availability is unclear; Micic's muscle check was reported as not expected to cost games.
- Valencia's Mario Saint-Supery (16.3 minutes, 4.5 points) is a confirmed doubt with a cold; the rest of Valencia's rotation was described as available.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostValencia -0.5Estimated chance64.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 97.3, Hapoel Tel Aviv 87.2. Valencia are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Valencia are 3-0 in the EuroLeague with 104.0 points scored and 91.3 conceded per game, including 111-88 at home to Baskonia on 29 September 2026.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv are 2-1 in the EuroLeague with 89.0 scored and 88.0 conceded per game, beating Real Madrid 102-98 at home on 1 October 2026 and winning 81-80 away at Crvena Zvezda on 29 September 2026.
- Valencia's only home EuroLeague game this season produced 111 points, but they also lost 100-105 at home to Forca Lleida in the ACB on 27 September 2026, and went down 86-87 to Barcelona at home in the Supercopa on 19 September 2026.
- The last five Valencia-Hapoel meetings (EuroLeague and EuroCup, March 2025 to February 2026) were all high-scoring, averaging 192.6 total points, with Hapoel averaging 96.4 and Valencia 94.2.
- Hapoel's leading scorers Elijah Bryant (16.7 points) and Vasilije Micic (15.7) have only appeared in the three EuroLeague games and were held out of the League Cup semi-final on 3 October 2026, so their availability is unclear; Micic's muscle check was reported as not expected to cost games.
- Valencia's Mario Saint-Supery (16.3 minutes, 4.5 points) is a confirmed doubt with a cold; the rest of Valencia's rotation was described as available.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonValenciaEstimated chance60.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 97.3, Hapoel Tel Aviv 87.2. Valencia are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Valencia are 3-0 in the EuroLeague with 104.0 points scored and 91.3 conceded per game, including 111-88 at home to Baskonia on 29 September 2026.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv are 2-1 in the EuroLeague with 89.0 scored and 88.0 conceded per game, beating Real Madrid 102-98 at home on 1 October 2026 and winning 81-80 away at Crvena Zvezda on 29 September 2026.
- Valencia's only home EuroLeague game this season produced 111 points, but they also lost 100-105 at home to Forca Lleida in the ACB on 27 September 2026, and went down 86-87 to Barcelona at home in the Supercopa on 19 September 2026.
- The last five Valencia-Hapoel meetings (EuroLeague and EuroCup, March 2025 to February 2026) were all high-scoring, averaging 192.6 total points, with Hapoel averaging 96.4 and Valencia 94.2.
- Hapoel's leading scorers Elijah Bryant (16.7 points) and Vasilije Micic (15.7) have only appeared in the three EuroLeague games and were held out of the League Cup semi-final on 3 October 2026, so their availability is unclear; Micic's muscle check was reported as not expected to cost games.
- Valencia's Mario Saint-Supery (16.3 minutes, 4.5 points) is a confirmed doubt with a cold; the rest of Valencia's rotation was described as available.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonValenciaEstimated chance59.1%

Points8 of 12 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 97.3, Hapoel Tel Aviv 87.2. Valencia score more than 88.5 points (overtime included) in about 81 of 100 games like this.
- Valencia are 3-0 in the EuroLeague with 104.0 points scored and 91.3 conceded per game, including 111-88 at home to Baskonia on 29 September 2026.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv are 2-1 in the EuroLeague with 89.0 scored and 88.0 conceded per game, beating Real Madrid 102-98 at home on 1 October 2026 and winning 81-80 away at Crvena Zvezda on 29 September 2026.
- Valencia's only home EuroLeague game this season produced 111 points, but they also lost 100-105 at home to Forca Lleida in the ACB on 27 September 2026, and went down 86-87 to Barcelona at home in the Supercopa on 19 September 2026.
- The last five Valencia-Hapoel meetings (EuroLeague and EuroCup, March 2025 to February 2026) were all high-scoring, averaging 192.6 total points, with Hapoel averaging 96.4 and Valencia 94.2.
- Hapoel's leading scorers Elijah Bryant (16.7 points) and Vasilije Micic (15.7) have only appeared in the three EuroLeague games and were held out of the League Cup semi-final on 3 October 2026, so their availability is unclear; Micic's muscle check was reported as not expected to cost games.
- Valencia's Mario Saint-Supery (16.3 minutes, 4.5 points) is a confirmed doubt with a cold; the rest of Valencia's rotation was described as available.
BetBugs · Team PointswonValencia over 88.5Estimated chance81.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 97.3, Hapoel Tel Aviv 87.2. Valencia score more than 44.5 points in the 1st half in about 74 of 100 games like this.
- Valencia are 3-0 in the EuroLeague with 104.0 points scored and 91.3 conceded per game, including 111-88 at home to Baskonia on 29 September 2026.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv are 2-1 in the EuroLeague with 89.0 scored and 88.0 conceded per game, beating Real Madrid 102-98 at home on 1 October 2026 and winning 81-80 away at Crvena Zvezda on 29 September 2026.
- Valencia's only home EuroLeague game this season produced 111 points, but they also lost 100-105 at home to Forca Lleida in the ACB on 27 September 2026, and went down 86-87 to Barcelona at home in the Supercopa on 19 September 2026.
- The last five Valencia-Hapoel meetings (EuroLeague and EuroCup, March 2025 to February 2026) were all high-scoring, averaging 192.6 total points, with Hapoel averaging 96.4 and Valencia 94.2.
- Hapoel's leading scorers Elijah Bryant (16.7 points) and Vasilije Micic (15.7) have only appeared in the three EuroLeague games and were held out of the League Cup semi-final on 3 October 2026, so their availability is unclear; Micic's muscle check was reported as not expected to cost games.
- Valencia's Mario Saint-Supery (16.3 minutes, 4.5 points) is a confirmed doubt with a cold; the rest of Valencia's rotation was described as available.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonValencia over 44.5Estimated chance73.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 97.3, Hapoel Tel Aviv 87.2. Valencia score more than 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this.
- Valencia are 3-0 in the EuroLeague with 104.0 points scored and 91.3 conceded per game, including 111-88 at home to Baskonia on 29 September 2026.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv are 2-1 in the EuroLeague with 89.0 scored and 88.0 conceded per game, beating Real Madrid 102-98 at home on 1 October 2026 and winning 81-80 away at Crvena Zvezda on 29 September 2026.
- Valencia's only home EuroLeague game this season produced 111 points, but they also lost 100-105 at home to Forca Lleida in the ACB on 27 September 2026, and went down 86-87 to Barcelona at home in the Supercopa on 19 September 2026.
- The last five Valencia-Hapoel meetings (EuroLeague and EuroCup, March 2025 to February 2026) were all high-scoring, averaging 192.6 total points, with Hapoel averaging 96.4 and Valencia 94.2.
- Hapoel's leading scorers Elijah Bryant (16.7 points) and Vasilije Micic (15.7) have only appeared in the three EuroLeague games and were held out of the League Cup semi-final on 3 October 2026, so their availability is unclear; Micic's muscle check was reported as not expected to cost games.
- Valencia's Mario Saint-Supery (16.3 minutes, 4.5 points) is a confirmed doubt with a cold; the rest of Valencia's rotation was described as available.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonValencia over 21.5Estimated chance70.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 97.3, Hapoel Tel Aviv 87.2. Valencia score more than 21.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 68 of 100 games like this.
- Valencia are 3-0 in the EuroLeague with 104.0 points scored and 91.3 conceded per game, including 111-88 at home to Baskonia on 29 September 2026.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv are 2-1 in the EuroLeague with 89.0 scored and 88.0 conceded per game, beating Real Madrid 102-98 at home on 1 October 2026 and winning 81-80 away at Crvena Zvezda on 29 September 2026.
- Valencia's only home EuroLeague game this season produced 111 points, but they also lost 100-105 at home to Forca Lleida in the ACB on 27 September 2026, and went down 86-87 to Barcelona at home in the Supercopa on 19 September 2026.
- The last five Valencia-Hapoel meetings (EuroLeague and EuroCup, March 2025 to February 2026) were all high-scoring, averaging 192.6 total points, with Hapoel averaging 96.4 and Valencia 94.2.
- Hapoel's leading scorers Elijah Bryant (16.7 points) and Vasilije Micic (15.7) have only appeared in the three EuroLeague games and were held out of the League Cup semi-final on 3 October 2026, so their availability is unclear; Micic's muscle check was reported as not expected to cost games.
- Valencia's Mario Saint-Supery (16.3 minutes, 4.5 points) is a confirmed doubt with a cold; the rest of Valencia's rotation was described as available.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonValencia over 21.5Estimated chance67.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 97.3, Hapoel Tel Aviv 87.2. The game has more than 177.5 points (overtime included) in about 68 of 100 games like this.
- Valencia are 3-0 in the EuroLeague with 104.0 points scored and 91.3 conceded per game, including 111-88 at home to Baskonia on 29 September 2026.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv are 2-1 in the EuroLeague with 89.0 scored and 88.0 conceded per game, beating Real Madrid 102-98 at home on 1 October 2026 and winning 81-80 away at Crvena Zvezda on 29 September 2026.
- Valencia's only home EuroLeague game this season produced 111 points, but they also lost 100-105 at home to Forca Lleida in the ACB on 27 September 2026, and went down 86-87 to Barcelona at home in the Supercopa on 19 September 2026.
- The last five Valencia-Hapoel meetings (EuroLeague and EuroCup, March 2025 to February 2026) were all high-scoring, averaging 192.6 total points, with Hapoel averaging 96.4 and Valencia 94.2.
- Hapoel's leading scorers Elijah Bryant (16.7 points) and Vasilije Micic (15.7) have only appeared in the three EuroLeague games and were held out of the League Cup semi-final on 3 October 2026, so their availability is unclear; Micic's muscle check was reported as not expected to cost games.
- Valencia's Mario Saint-Supery (16.3 minutes, 4.5 points) is a confirmed doubt with a cold; the rest of Valencia's rotation was described as available.
BetBugs · Total PointslostOver 177.5Estimated chance67.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 97.3, Hapoel Tel Aviv 87.2. Valencia score more than 22.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Valencia are 3-0 in the EuroLeague with 104.0 points scored and 91.3 conceded per game, including 111-88 at home to Baskonia on 29 September 2026.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv are 2-1 in the EuroLeague with 89.0 scored and 88.0 conceded per game, beating Real Madrid 102-98 at home on 1 October 2026 and winning 81-80 away at Crvena Zvezda on 29 September 2026.
- Valencia's only home EuroLeague game this season produced 111 points, but they also lost 100-105 at home to Forca Lleida in the ACB on 27 September 2026, and went down 86-87 to Barcelona at home in the Supercopa on 19 September 2026.
- The last five Valencia-Hapoel meetings (EuroLeague and EuroCup, March 2025 to February 2026) were all high-scoring, averaging 192.6 total points, with Hapoel averaging 96.4 and Valencia 94.2.
- Hapoel's leading scorers Elijah Bryant (16.7 points) and Vasilije Micic (15.7) have only appeared in the three EuroLeague games and were held out of the League Cup semi-final on 3 October 2026, so their availability is unclear; Micic's muscle check was reported as not expected to cost games.
- Valencia's Mario Saint-Supery (16.3 minutes, 4.5 points) is a confirmed doubt with a cold; the rest of Valencia's rotation was described as available.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostValencia over 22.5Estimated chance67%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 97.3, Hapoel Tel Aviv 87.2. The 2nd quarter has more than 43.5 points in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Valencia are 3-0 in the EuroLeague with 104.0 points scored and 91.3 conceded per game, including 111-88 at home to Baskonia on 29 September 2026.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv are 2-1 in the EuroLeague with 89.0 scored and 88.0 conceded per game, beating Real Madrid 102-98 at home on 1 October 2026 and winning 81-80 away at Crvena Zvezda on 29 September 2026.
- Valencia's only home EuroLeague game this season produced 111 points, but they also lost 100-105 at home to Forca Lleida in the ACB on 27 September 2026, and went down 86-87 to Barcelona at home in the Supercopa on 19 September 2026.
- The last five Valencia-Hapoel meetings (EuroLeague and EuroCup, March 2025 to February 2026) were all high-scoring, averaging 192.6 total points, with Hapoel averaging 96.4 and Valencia 94.2.
- Hapoel's leading scorers Elijah Bryant (16.7 points) and Vasilije Micic (15.7) have only appeared in the three EuroLeague games and were held out of the League Cup semi-final on 3 October 2026, so their availability is unclear; Micic's muscle check was reported as not expected to cost games.
- Valencia's Mario Saint-Supery (16.3 minutes, 4.5 points) is a confirmed doubt with a cold; the rest of Valencia's rotation was described as available.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointslostOver 43.5Estimated chance65.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 97.3, Hapoel Tel Aviv 87.2. The 3rd quarter has more than 43.5 points in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Valencia are 3-0 in the EuroLeague with 104.0 points scored and 91.3 conceded per game, including 111-88 at home to Baskonia on 29 September 2026.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv are 2-1 in the EuroLeague with 89.0 scored and 88.0 conceded per game, beating Real Madrid 102-98 at home on 1 October 2026 and winning 81-80 away at Crvena Zvezda on 29 September 2026.
- Valencia's only home EuroLeague game this season produced 111 points, but they also lost 100-105 at home to Forca Lleida in the ACB on 27 September 2026, and went down 86-87 to Barcelona at home in the Supercopa on 19 September 2026.
- The last five Valencia-Hapoel meetings (EuroLeague and EuroCup, March 2025 to February 2026) were all high-scoring, averaging 192.6 total points, with Hapoel averaging 96.4 and Valencia 94.2.
- Hapoel's leading scorers Elijah Bryant (16.7 points) and Vasilije Micic (15.7) have only appeared in the three EuroLeague games and were held out of the League Cup semi-final on 3 October 2026, so their availability is unclear; Micic's muscle check was reported as not expected to cost games.
- Valencia's Mario Saint-Supery (16.3 minutes, 4.5 points) is a confirmed doubt with a cold; the rest of Valencia's rotation was described as available.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonOver 43.5Estimated chance61.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 97.3, Hapoel Tel Aviv 87.2. The 1st half has more than 89.5 points in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Valencia are 3-0 in the EuroLeague with 104.0 points scored and 91.3 conceded per game, including 111-88 at home to Baskonia on 29 September 2026.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv are 2-1 in the EuroLeague with 89.0 scored and 88.0 conceded per game, beating Real Madrid 102-98 at home on 1 October 2026 and winning 81-80 away at Crvena Zvezda on 29 September 2026.
- Valencia's only home EuroLeague game this season produced 111 points, but they also lost 100-105 at home to Forca Lleida in the ACB on 27 September 2026, and went down 86-87 to Barcelona at home in the Supercopa on 19 September 2026.
- The last five Valencia-Hapoel meetings (EuroLeague and EuroCup, March 2025 to February 2026) were all high-scoring, averaging 192.6 total points, with Hapoel averaging 96.4 and Valencia 94.2.
- Hapoel's leading scorers Elijah Bryant (16.7 points) and Vasilije Micic (15.7) have only appeared in the three EuroLeague games and were held out of the League Cup semi-final on 3 October 2026, so their availability is unclear; Micic's muscle check was reported as not expected to cost games.
- Valencia's Mario Saint-Supery (16.3 minutes, 4.5 points) is a confirmed doubt with a cold; the rest of Valencia's rotation was described as available.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostOver 89.5Estimated chance60.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 97.3, Hapoel Tel Aviv 87.2. The 1st quarter has more than 44.5 points in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Valencia are 3-0 in the EuroLeague with 104.0 points scored and 91.3 conceded per game, including 111-88 at home to Baskonia on 29 September 2026.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv are 2-1 in the EuroLeague with 89.0 scored and 88.0 conceded per game, beating Real Madrid 102-98 at home on 1 October 2026 and winning 81-80 away at Crvena Zvezda on 29 September 2026.
- Valencia's only home EuroLeague game this season produced 111 points, but they also lost 100-105 at home to Forca Lleida in the ACB on 27 September 2026, and went down 86-87 to Barcelona at home in the Supercopa on 19 September 2026.
- The last five Valencia-Hapoel meetings (EuroLeague and EuroCup, March 2025 to February 2026) were all high-scoring, averaging 192.6 total points, with Hapoel averaging 96.4 and Valencia 94.2.
- Hapoel's leading scorers Elijah Bryant (16.7 points) and Vasilije Micic (15.7) have only appeared in the three EuroLeague games and were held out of the League Cup semi-final on 3 October 2026, so their availability is unclear; Micic's muscle check was reported as not expected to cost games.
- Valencia's Mario Saint-Supery (16.3 minutes, 4.5 points) is a confirmed doubt with a cold; the rest of Valencia's rotation was described as available.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonOver 44.5Estimated chance59%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 97.3, Hapoel Tel Aviv 87.2. Hapoel Tel Aviv score fewer than 89.5 points (overtime included) in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Valencia are 3-0 in the EuroLeague with 104.0 points scored and 91.3 conceded per game, including 111-88 at home to Baskonia on 29 September 2026.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv are 2-1 in the EuroLeague with 89.0 scored and 88.0 conceded per game, beating Real Madrid 102-98 at home on 1 October 2026 and winning 81-80 away at Crvena Zvezda on 29 September 2026.
- Valencia's only home EuroLeague game this season produced 111 points, but they also lost 100-105 at home to Forca Lleida in the ACB on 27 September 2026, and went down 86-87 to Barcelona at home in the Supercopa on 19 September 2026.
- The last five Valencia-Hapoel meetings (EuroLeague and EuroCup, March 2025 to February 2026) were all high-scoring, averaging 192.6 total points, with Hapoel averaging 96.4 and Valencia 94.2.
- Hapoel's leading scorers Elijah Bryant (16.7 points) and Vasilije Micic (15.7) have only appeared in the three EuroLeague games and were held out of the League Cup semi-final on 3 October 2026, so their availability is unclear; Micic's muscle check was reported as not expected to cost games.
- Valencia's Mario Saint-Supery (16.3 minutes, 4.5 points) is a confirmed doubt with a cold; the rest of Valencia's rotation was described as available.
BetBugs · Team PointswonHapoel Tel Aviv under 89.5Estimated chance57.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valencia 97.3, Hapoel Tel Aviv 87.2. Hapoel Tel Aviv score fewer than 22.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Valencia are 3-0 in the EuroLeague with 104.0 points scored and 91.3 conceded per game, including 111-88 at home to Baskonia on 29 September 2026.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv are 2-1 in the EuroLeague with 89.0 scored and 88.0 conceded per game, beating Real Madrid 102-98 at home on 1 October 2026 and winning 81-80 away at Crvena Zvezda on 29 September 2026.
- Valencia's only home EuroLeague game this season produced 111 points, but they also lost 100-105 at home to Forca Lleida in the ACB on 27 September 2026, and went down 86-87 to Barcelona at home in the Supercopa on 19 September 2026.
- The last five Valencia-Hapoel meetings (EuroLeague and EuroCup, March 2025 to February 2026) were all high-scoring, averaging 192.6 total points, with Hapoel averaging 96.4 and Valencia 94.2.
- Hapoel's leading scorers Elijah Bryant (16.7 points) and Vasilije Micic (15.7) have only appeared in the three EuroLeague games and were held out of the League Cup semi-final on 3 October 2026, so their availability is unclear; Micic's muscle check was reported as not expected to cost games.
- Valencia's Mario Saint-Supery (16.3 minutes, 4.5 points) is a confirmed doubt with a cold; the rest of Valencia's rotation was described as available.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonHapoel Tel Aviv under 22.5Estimated chance55.1%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 5, 14:17

Selected line

177.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

68%

Chance of 178+ points

+16 pp above break-even

Over 1.93 needs 52% to break even. BetBugs sees 68%.

Move the line main 177.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 68%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 32%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W99–104

Hapoel Tel Avivv

Valencia

Feb 5, 2026·EUROT

L93–100

Valenciav

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Oct 15, 2025·EUR

L92–94

Valenciav

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

Apr 2, 2025·EUR

L96–91

Hapoel Tel-Avivv

Valencia

Mar 28, 2025·EUR

W91–82

Valenciav

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

Mar 25, 2025·EUR

188.4Avg total points

5.6Avg margin

5meetings

League table

EuroLeague · Euroleague - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Valencia

3–0100%

Hapoel Tel Aviv

2–167%

Recent Form

Valencia

12W 3L · last 15

at Basket Zaragoza97–82 Oct 4ACB

at Lyon-Villeurbanne105–92 Oct 2EUR

vs Baskonia111–88 Sep 29EUR

vs Forca Lleida100–105 Sep 27ACB

at Besiktas96–94 Sep 25EUR

vs Barcelona86–87 Sep 19SUP

at Barcelona108–84 Jun 24ACB

at Barcelona88–80 Jun 22ACB

vs Barcelona102–75 Jun 20ACB

vs Barcelona112–113 OTJun 18ACB

at Joventut Badalona87–75 Jun 14ACB

vs Joventut Badalona90–76 Jun 12ACB

vs Joventut Badalona118–117 OTJun 10ACB

at Bilbao88–71 Jun 5ACB

vs Bilbao83–80 Jun 3ACB

Hapoel Tel Aviv

10W 5L · last 15

vs Nes Ziona79–76 Oct 3LEA

vs Real Madrid102–98 Oct 1EUR

at Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet81–80 Sep 29EUR

vs Hapoel Beer Sheva85–67 Sep 26LEA

vs Bayern84–86 Sep 24EUR

vs Maccabi Tel Aviv79–83 Jun 23SUP

at Maccabi Tel Aviv80–74 Jun 21SUP

vs Maccabi Tel Aviv98–102 Jun 18SUP

at Maccabi Tel Aviv75–96 Jun 16SUP

vs Hapoel Jerusalem89–81 Jun 11SUP

at Hapoel Jerusalem88–84 Jun 9SUP

vs Hapoel Jerusalem20–1 Jun 7SUP

vs Maccabi Rishon96–83 Jun 4SUP

at Maccabi Rishon95–69 Jun 2SUP

vs Maccabi Rishon74–82 May 31SUP

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Valencia

Stats

2–3

Hapoel Tel Aviv

14 games

Hapoel Tel Aviv leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+0.2pp

55.4%

+0.2pp

55.2%

3-point %14/14 games+1.6pp

36.8%

+1.6pp

38.4%

Free-throw %14/13 games+27.4pp

47.4%

+27.4pp

74.8%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s25.8pp apart

64.5%

25.8pp apart

38.7%

Free throws per shot13/13 games1.3pp apart

30.0%

1.3pp apart

31.3%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game15/3 games+45.6

76.6

+45.6

31.0

Turnovers per game0.5 fewer

10.6

0.5 fewer

10.1

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.