Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Soles 88.1, Fuerza Regia 85.9. Soles cover +3.5 in the 1st quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Soles and 15 for Fuerza Regia, across seasons and competitions.
- Soles are 20-6 in LNBP and allow only 73.5 points per game, while Fuerza Regia score 89.8 per game (26 games, LNBP table).
- In the most recent meeting on Oct 7, Soles beat Fuerza Regia 88-86 in Mexicali, with both teams scoring near their recent averages (research).
- Soles' last five games: 88.2 points scored, 71.6 allowed; Fuerza's last five: 86.8 scored, 78.0 allowed (LNBP, Sep-Oct 2026).
- Fuerza Regia's Ivey Jimond (12.3 ppg) has not played since Sep 26; Soles' Webster Johsua (6.6 ppg) missed the last game (squad data, Oct 7).
- Soles shoot 39.0% from three and have a free-throw rate of 0.363, compared to Fuerza's 35.9% and 0.280 (overall 15 games).
- The teams' last three meetings this season all had totals of 174 or more, with the two July games going to overtime (h2h).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Handicapwon
Soles +3.5Estimated chance71.4%
Soles +3.5Estimated chance71.4%












