EuroLeagueFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Panathinaikos92Fenerbahce74

Thu 8 Oct 2026, 18:15 Predictions graded

Predictions16–480%

Edges2–0100%

Points by period: Panathinaikos and Fenerbahce.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Panathinaikos	27	19	21	25
Fenerbahce	24	17	14	19

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Two 3-0 EuroLeague sides meet in Athens, where Panathinaikos have averaged 94.3 points across three home games and Fenerbahce have conceded 70.0 across three wins.

Panathinaikos look the likely winners by roughly seven to eight points. Two prices hold up: Panathinaikos giving 3.5 points at 1.89 and over 162.5 combined points at 1.93.

Context

Panathinaikos are without Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas and report Juancho Hernangomez out with an adductor problem, while Nikos Rogkavopoulos has returned to full training and Mustafa Fall may debut. Fenerbahce's Shane Larkin is reported to have stayed in Istanbul rather than travel, with official confirmation pending.

Nunn remains unavailable alongside Kostas Sloukas and Juancho Hernangomez. His absence removes him from Panathinaikos's options for this EuroLeague fixture.
- Zeljko Obradovic said Kendrick Nunn is not ready for the Fenerbahce game.
- Nunn is one of three Panathinaikos players currently unavailable.
Sloukas remains unavailable alongside Kendrick Nunn and Juancho Hernangomez. Panathinaikos must prepare for Fenerbahce without him in the selection.
- Zeljko Obradovic said Kostas Sloukas is not ready for the Fenerbahce game.
- Sloukas remains one of three Panathinaikos players unavailable for the fixture.
The adductor problem has continued into the Fenerbahce week. Hernangomez joins Kendrick Nunn and Kostas Sloukas among Panathinaikos's unavailable players for this game.
- Hernangomez has not recovered from a right-adductor muscle spasm.
- He has been ruled out of the 8 October game against Fenerbahce.
- Zeljko Obradovic said Hernangomez is not ready.
Rogkavopoulos has resumed full work after the back issue that kept him out of two recent games. He may return to Panathinaikos's options against Fenerbahce.
- Rogkavopoulos completed Tuesday's full training session on 6 October.
- He had missed the Maccabi Tel Aviv and Vikos games with a lower-back spasm.
- He is expected to be available against Fenerbahce.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

HandicapwonUncertainty band: Lean

Panathinaikos -3.5

1.89fair 1.57

Market 52.9% · BetBugs 63.7%

+10.8ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Panathinaikos 87.2, Fenerbahce 79.8. Panathinaikos cover -3.5 (overtime included) in about 64 of 100 games like this. Panathinaikos have been the stronger home scoring team in the early EuroLeague season, and their shooting efficiency should give them the advantage, but Fenerbahce's strong defense and rebounding will keep it close. The confirmed absences for Panathinaikos are already reflected in their recent games, so I expect a moderate home win with a total around 168.

Total PointswonUncertainty band: Lean

Over 162.5

1.93fair 1.60

Market 51.8% · BetBugs 62.3%

+10.5ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Panathinaikos 87.2, Fenerbahce 79.8. The game has more than 162.5 points (overtime included) in about 62 of 100 games like this. Panathinaikos have been the stronger home scoring team in the early EuroLeague season, and their shooting efficiency should give them the advantage, but Fenerbahce's strong defense and rebounding will keep it close. The confirmed absences for Panathinaikos are already reflected in their recent games, so I expect a moderate home win with a total around 168.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result9 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Panathinaikos 87.2, Fenerbahce 79.8. Panathinaikos cover +3.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 79 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Panathinaikos and 15 for Fenerbahce, across seasons and competitions.
- Panathinaikos scored 90, 102 and 91 in their three EuroLeague home games this season (24 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 94.3 points.
- Fenerbahce allowed 66, 76 and 68 in their three EuroLeague wins this season (25 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 70.0 points conceded.
- Across 15 tracked games this season, Panathinaikos shoot 56.7% on two-pointers and 38.9% on three-pointers, while Fenerbahce shoot 55.1% and 34.1%.
- Fenerbahce average 34.9 rebounds per game to Panathinaikos's 30.0 across 15 tracked games this season.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings in Athens, Panathinaikos scored 83 and 91 while Fenerbahce scored 85 and 90 (13 Feb 2026 and 4 Feb 2025).
- Panathinaikos are confirmed without Kendrick Nunn, Kostas Sloukas and Juancho Hernangomez for this game (7 Oct), though none have appeared in this season's box scores.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonPanathinaikos +3.5Estimated chance78.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Panathinaikos 87.2, Fenerbahce 79.8. Panathinaikos win in about 72 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Panathinaikos scored 90, 102 and 91 in their three EuroLeague home games this season (24 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 94.3 points.
- Fenerbahce allowed 66, 76 and 68 in their three EuroLeague wins this season (25 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 70.0 points conceded.
- Across 15 tracked games this season, Panathinaikos shoot 56.7% on two-pointers and 38.9% on three-pointers, while Fenerbahce shoot 55.1% and 34.1%.
- Fenerbahce average 34.9 rebounds per game to Panathinaikos's 30.0 across 15 tracked games this season.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings in Athens, Panathinaikos scored 83 and 91 while Fenerbahce scored 85 and 90 (13 Feb 2026 and 4 Feb 2025).
- Panathinaikos are confirmed without Kendrick Nunn, Kostas Sloukas and Juancho Hernangomez for this game (7 Oct), though none have appeared in this season's box scores.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonPanathinaikosEstimated chance72.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Panathinaikos 87.2, Fenerbahce 79.8. Panathinaikos are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 70 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos scored 90, 102 and 91 in their three EuroLeague home games this season (24 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 94.3 points.
- Fenerbahce allowed 66, 76 and 68 in their three EuroLeague wins this season (25 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 70.0 points conceded.
- Across 15 tracked games this season, Panathinaikos shoot 56.7% on two-pointers and 38.9% on three-pointers, while Fenerbahce shoot 55.1% and 34.1%.
- Fenerbahce average 34.9 rebounds per game to Panathinaikos's 30.0 across 15 tracked games this season.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings in Athens, Panathinaikos scored 83 and 91 while Fenerbahce scored 85 and 90 (13 Feb 2026 and 4 Feb 2025).
- Panathinaikos are confirmed without Kendrick Nunn, Kostas Sloukas and Juancho Hernangomez for this game (7 Oct), though none have appeared in this season's box scores.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonPanathinaikosEstimated chance70.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Panathinaikos 87.2, Fenerbahce 79.8. Panathinaikos are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos scored 90, 102 and 91 in their three EuroLeague home games this season (24 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 94.3 points.
- Fenerbahce allowed 66, 76 and 68 in their three EuroLeague wins this season (25 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 70.0 points conceded.
- Across 15 tracked games this season, Panathinaikos shoot 56.7% on two-pointers and 38.9% on three-pointers, while Fenerbahce shoot 55.1% and 34.1%.
- Fenerbahce average 34.9 rebounds per game to Panathinaikos's 30.0 across 15 tracked games this season.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings in Athens, Panathinaikos scored 83 and 91 while Fenerbahce scored 85 and 90 (13 Feb 2026 and 4 Feb 2025).
- Panathinaikos are confirmed without Kendrick Nunn, Kostas Sloukas and Juancho Hernangomez for this game (7 Oct), though none have appeared in this season's box scores.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonPanathinaikosEstimated chance64.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.89
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Panathinaikos 87.2, Fenerbahce 79.8. Panathinaikos cover -3.5 (overtime included) in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos scored 90, 102 and 91 in their three EuroLeague home games this season (24 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 94.3 points.
- Fenerbahce allowed 66, 76 and 68 in their three EuroLeague wins this season (25 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 70.0 points conceded.
- Across 15 tracked games this season, Panathinaikos shoot 56.7% on two-pointers and 38.9% on three-pointers, while Fenerbahce shoot 55.1% and 34.1%.
- Fenerbahce average 34.9 rebounds per game to Panathinaikos's 30.0 across 15 tracked games this season.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings in Athens, Panathinaikos scored 83 and 91 while Fenerbahce scored 85 and 90 (13 Feb 2026 and 4 Feb 2025).
- Panathinaikos are confirmed without Kendrick Nunn, Kostas Sloukas and Juancho Hernangomez for this game (7 Oct), though none have appeared in this season's box scores.
BetBugs · HandicapwonPanathinaikos -3.5Estimated chance63.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Panathinaikos 87.2, Fenerbahce 79.8. Panathinaikos cover -1.5 in the 1st half in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos scored 90, 102 and 91 in their three EuroLeague home games this season (24 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 94.3 points.
- Fenerbahce allowed 66, 76 and 68 in their three EuroLeague wins this season (25 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 70.0 points conceded.
- Across 15 tracked games this season, Panathinaikos shoot 56.7% on two-pointers and 38.9% on three-pointers, while Fenerbahce shoot 55.1% and 34.1%.
- Fenerbahce average 34.9 rebounds per game to Panathinaikos's 30.0 across 15 tracked games this season.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings in Athens, Panathinaikos scored 83 and 91 while Fenerbahce scored 85 and 90 (13 Feb 2026 and 4 Feb 2025).
- Panathinaikos are confirmed without Kendrick Nunn, Kostas Sloukas and Juancho Hernangomez for this game (7 Oct), though none have appeared in this season's box scores.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonPanathinaikos -1.5Estimated chance60.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Panathinaikos 87.2, Fenerbahce 79.8. Panathinaikos are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos scored 90, 102 and 91 in their three EuroLeague home games this season (24 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 94.3 points.
- Fenerbahce allowed 66, 76 and 68 in their three EuroLeague wins this season (25 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 70.0 points conceded.
- Across 15 tracked games this season, Panathinaikos shoot 56.7% on two-pointers and 38.9% on three-pointers, while Fenerbahce shoot 55.1% and 34.1%.
- Fenerbahce average 34.9 rebounds per game to Panathinaikos's 30.0 across 15 tracked games this season.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings in Athens, Panathinaikos scored 83 and 91 while Fenerbahce scored 85 and 90 (13 Feb 2026 and 4 Feb 2025).
- Panathinaikos are confirmed without Kendrick Nunn, Kostas Sloukas and Juancho Hernangomez for this game (7 Oct), though none have appeared in this season's box scores.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonPanathinaikosEstimated chance59.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Panathinaikos 87.2, Fenerbahce 79.8. Panathinaikos are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos scored 90, 102 and 91 in their three EuroLeague home games this season (24 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 94.3 points.
- Fenerbahce allowed 66, 76 and 68 in their three EuroLeague wins this season (25 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 70.0 points conceded.
- Across 15 tracked games this season, Panathinaikos shoot 56.7% on two-pointers and 38.9% on three-pointers, while Fenerbahce shoot 55.1% and 34.1%.
- Fenerbahce average 34.9 rebounds per game to Panathinaikos's 30.0 across 15 tracked games this season.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings in Athens, Panathinaikos scored 83 and 91 while Fenerbahce scored 85 and 90 (13 Feb 2026 and 4 Feb 2025).
- Panathinaikos are confirmed without Kendrick Nunn, Kostas Sloukas and Juancho Hernangomez for this game (7 Oct), though none have appeared in this season's box scores.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonPanathinaikosEstimated chance57.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Panathinaikos 87.2, Fenerbahce 79.8. Panathinaikos are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos scored 90, 102 and 91 in their three EuroLeague home games this season (24 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 94.3 points.
- Fenerbahce allowed 66, 76 and 68 in their three EuroLeague wins this season (25 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 70.0 points conceded.
- Across 15 tracked games this season, Panathinaikos shoot 56.7% on two-pointers and 38.9% on three-pointers, while Fenerbahce shoot 55.1% and 34.1%.
- Fenerbahce average 34.9 rebounds per game to Panathinaikos's 30.0 across 15 tracked games this season.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings in Athens, Panathinaikos scored 83 and 91 while Fenerbahce scored 85 and 90 (13 Feb 2026 and 4 Feb 2025).
- Panathinaikos are confirmed without Kendrick Nunn, Kostas Sloukas and Juancho Hernangomez for this game (7 Oct), though none have appeared in this season's box scores.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonPanathinaikosEstimated chance55.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Panathinaikos 87.2, Fenerbahce 79.8. Fenerbahce cover +2.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Panathinaikos and 15 for Fenerbahce, across seasons and competitions.
- Panathinaikos scored 90, 102 and 91 in their three EuroLeague home games this season (24 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 94.3 points.
- Fenerbahce allowed 66, 76 and 68 in their three EuroLeague wins this season (25 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 70.0 points conceded.
- Across 15 tracked games this season, Panathinaikos shoot 56.7% on two-pointers and 38.9% on three-pointers, while Fenerbahce shoot 55.1% and 34.1%.
- Fenerbahce average 34.9 rebounds per game to Panathinaikos's 30.0 across 15 tracked games this season.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings in Athens, Panathinaikos scored 83 and 91 while Fenerbahce scored 85 and 90 (13 Feb 2026 and 4 Feb 2025).
- Panathinaikos are confirmed without Kendrick Nunn, Kostas Sloukas and Juancho Hernangomez for this game (7 Oct), though none have appeared in this season's box scores.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostFenerbahce +2.5Estimated chance55%

Points7 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Panathinaikos 87.2, Fenerbahce 79.8. Panathinaikos score more than 83.5 points (overtime included) in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos scored 90, 102 and 91 in their three EuroLeague home games this season (24 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 94.3 points.
- Fenerbahce allowed 66, 76 and 68 in their three EuroLeague wins this season (25 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 70.0 points conceded.
- Across 15 tracked games this season, Panathinaikos shoot 56.7% on two-pointers and 38.9% on three-pointers, while Fenerbahce shoot 55.1% and 34.1%.
- Fenerbahce average 34.9 rebounds per game to Panathinaikos's 30.0 across 15 tracked games this season.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings in Athens, Panathinaikos scored 83 and 91 while Fenerbahce scored 85 and 90 (13 Feb 2026 and 4 Feb 2025).
- Panathinaikos are confirmed without Kendrick Nunn, Kostas Sloukas and Juancho Hernangomez for this game (7 Oct), though none have appeared in this season's box scores.
BetBugs · Team PointswonPanathinaikos over 83.5Estimated chance65.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Panathinaikos 87.2, Fenerbahce 79.8. Panathinaikos score more than 41.5 points in the 1st half in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos scored 90, 102 and 91 in their three EuroLeague home games this season (24 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 94.3 points.
- Fenerbahce allowed 66, 76 and 68 in their three EuroLeague wins this season (25 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 70.0 points conceded.
- Across 15 tracked games this season, Panathinaikos shoot 56.7% on two-pointers and 38.9% on three-pointers, while Fenerbahce shoot 55.1% and 34.1%.
- Fenerbahce average 34.9 rebounds per game to Panathinaikos's 30.0 across 15 tracked games this season.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings in Athens, Panathinaikos scored 83 and 91 while Fenerbahce scored 85 and 90 (13 Feb 2026 and 4 Feb 2025).
- Panathinaikos are confirmed without Kendrick Nunn, Kostas Sloukas and Juancho Hernangomez for this game (7 Oct), though none have appeared in this season's box scores.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonPanathinaikos over 41.5Estimated chance63.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Panathinaikos 87.2, Fenerbahce 79.8. Panathinaikos score more than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos scored 90, 102 and 91 in their three EuroLeague home games this season (24 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 94.3 points.
- Fenerbahce allowed 66, 76 and 68 in their three EuroLeague wins this season (25 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 70.0 points conceded.
- Across 15 tracked games this season, Panathinaikos shoot 56.7% on two-pointers and 38.9% on three-pointers, while Fenerbahce shoot 55.1% and 34.1%.
- Fenerbahce average 34.9 rebounds per game to Panathinaikos's 30.0 across 15 tracked games this season.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings in Athens, Panathinaikos scored 83 and 91 while Fenerbahce scored 85 and 90 (13 Feb 2026 and 4 Feb 2025).
- Panathinaikos are confirmed without Kendrick Nunn, Kostas Sloukas and Juancho Hernangomez for this game (7 Oct), though none have appeared in this season's box scores.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostPanathinaikos over 20.5Estimated chance62.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.93
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Panathinaikos 87.2, Fenerbahce 79.8. The game has more than 162.5 points (overtime included) in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos scored 90, 102 and 91 in their three EuroLeague home games this season (24 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 94.3 points.
- Fenerbahce allowed 66, 76 and 68 in their three EuroLeague wins this season (25 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 70.0 points conceded.
- Across 15 tracked games this season, Panathinaikos shoot 56.7% on two-pointers and 38.9% on three-pointers, while Fenerbahce shoot 55.1% and 34.1%.
- Fenerbahce average 34.9 rebounds per game to Panathinaikos's 30.0 across 15 tracked games this season.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings in Athens, Panathinaikos scored 83 and 91 while Fenerbahce scored 85 and 90 (13 Feb 2026 and 4 Feb 2025).
- Panathinaikos are confirmed without Kendrick Nunn, Kostas Sloukas and Juancho Hernangomez for this game (7 Oct), though none have appeared in this season's box scores.
BetBugs · Total PointswonOver 162.5Estimated chance62.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Panathinaikos 87.2, Fenerbahce 79.8. Panathinaikos score more than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos scored 90, 102 and 91 in their three EuroLeague home games this season (24 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 94.3 points.
- Fenerbahce allowed 66, 76 and 68 in their three EuroLeague wins this season (25 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 70.0 points conceded.
- Across 15 tracked games this season, Panathinaikos shoot 56.7% on two-pointers and 38.9% on three-pointers, while Fenerbahce shoot 55.1% and 34.1%.
- Fenerbahce average 34.9 rebounds per game to Panathinaikos's 30.0 across 15 tracked games this season.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings in Athens, Panathinaikos scored 83 and 91 while Fenerbahce scored 85 and 90 (13 Feb 2026 and 4 Feb 2025).
- Panathinaikos are confirmed without Kendrick Nunn, Kostas Sloukas and Juancho Hernangomez for this game (7 Oct), though none have appeared in this season's box scores.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonPanathinaikos over 20.5Estimated chance59.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Panathinaikos 87.2, Fenerbahce 79.8. The 3rd quarter has more than 39.5 points in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos scored 90, 102 and 91 in their three EuroLeague home games this season (24 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 94.3 points.
- Fenerbahce allowed 66, 76 and 68 in their three EuroLeague wins this season (25 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 70.0 points conceded.
- Across 15 tracked games this season, Panathinaikos shoot 56.7% on two-pointers and 38.9% on three-pointers, while Fenerbahce shoot 55.1% and 34.1%.
- Fenerbahce average 34.9 rebounds per game to Panathinaikos's 30.0 across 15 tracked games this season.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings in Athens, Panathinaikos scored 83 and 91 while Fenerbahce scored 85 and 90 (13 Feb 2026 and 4 Feb 2025).
- Panathinaikos are confirmed without Kendrick Nunn, Kostas Sloukas and Juancho Hernangomez for this game (7 Oct), though none have appeared in this season's box scores.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostOver 39.5Estimated chance59.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Panathinaikos 87.2, Fenerbahce 79.8. The 1st half has more than 81.5 points in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos scored 90, 102 and 91 in their three EuroLeague home games this season (24 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 94.3 points.
- Fenerbahce allowed 66, 76 and 68 in their three EuroLeague wins this season (25 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 70.0 points conceded.
- Across 15 tracked games this season, Panathinaikos shoot 56.7% on two-pointers and 38.9% on three-pointers, while Fenerbahce shoot 55.1% and 34.1%.
- Fenerbahce average 34.9 rebounds per game to Panathinaikos's 30.0 across 15 tracked games this season.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings in Athens, Panathinaikos scored 83 and 91 while Fenerbahce scored 85 and 90 (13 Feb 2026 and 4 Feb 2025).
- Panathinaikos are confirmed without Kendrick Nunn, Kostas Sloukas and Juancho Hernangomez for this game (7 Oct), though none have appeared in this season's box scores.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonOver 81.5Estimated chance58.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Panathinaikos 87.2, Fenerbahce 79.8. The 2nd quarter has more than 40.5 points in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos scored 90, 102 and 91 in their three EuroLeague home games this season (24 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 94.3 points.
- Fenerbahce allowed 66, 76 and 68 in their three EuroLeague wins this season (25 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 70.0 points conceded.
- Across 15 tracked games this season, Panathinaikos shoot 56.7% on two-pointers and 38.9% on three-pointers, while Fenerbahce shoot 55.1% and 34.1%.
- Fenerbahce average 34.9 rebounds per game to Panathinaikos's 30.0 across 15 tracked games this season.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings in Athens, Panathinaikos scored 83 and 91 while Fenerbahce scored 85 and 90 (13 Feb 2026 and 4 Feb 2025).
- Panathinaikos are confirmed without Kendrick Nunn, Kostas Sloukas and Juancho Hernangomez for this game (7 Oct), though none have appeared in this season's box scores.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointslostOver 40.5Estimated chance57.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Panathinaikos 87.2, Fenerbahce 79.8. Panathinaikos score more than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos scored 90, 102 and 91 in their three EuroLeague home games this season (24 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 94.3 points.
- Fenerbahce allowed 66, 76 and 68 in their three EuroLeague wins this season (25 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 70.0 points conceded.
- Across 15 tracked games this season, Panathinaikos shoot 56.7% on two-pointers and 38.9% on three-pointers, while Fenerbahce shoot 55.1% and 34.1%.
- Fenerbahce average 34.9 rebounds per game to Panathinaikos's 30.0 across 15 tracked games this season.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings in Athens, Panathinaikos scored 83 and 91 while Fenerbahce scored 85 and 90 (13 Feb 2026 and 4 Feb 2025).
- Panathinaikos are confirmed without Kendrick Nunn, Kostas Sloukas and Juancho Hernangomez for this game (7 Oct), though none have appeared in this season's box scores.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonPanathinaikos over 20.5Estimated chance57.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Panathinaikos 87.2, Fenerbahce 79.8. The 1st quarter has more than 40.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos scored 90, 102 and 91 in their three EuroLeague home games this season (24 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 94.3 points.
- Fenerbahce allowed 66, 76 and 68 in their three EuroLeague wins this season (25 Sep–2 Oct), averaging 70.0 points conceded.
- Across 15 tracked games this season, Panathinaikos shoot 56.7% on two-pointers and 38.9% on three-pointers, while Fenerbahce shoot 55.1% and 34.1%.
- Fenerbahce average 34.9 rebounds per game to Panathinaikos's 30.0 across 15 tracked games this season.
- In the last two EuroLeague meetings in Athens, Panathinaikos scored 83 and 91 while Fenerbahce scored 85 and 90 (13 Feb 2026 and 4 Feb 2025).
- Panathinaikos are confirmed without Kendrick Nunn, Kostas Sloukas and Juancho Hernangomez for this game (7 Oct), though none have appeared in this season's box scores.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonOver 40.5Estimated chance57%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 5, 14:17

Selected line

162.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

62%

Chance of 163+ points

+10 pp above break-even

Over 1.93 needs 52% to break even. BetBugs sees 62%.

Move the line main 162.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 62%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 38%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L83–85

Panathinaikosv

Fenerbahce

Feb 13, 2026·EUR

W77–81

Fenerbahcev

Panathinaikos

Dec 16, 2025·EUR

L82–76

Fenerbahcev

Panathinaikos

May 23, 2025·EUR

W91–90

Panathinaikosv

Fenerbahce

Feb 4, 2025·EUR

W76–81

Fenerbahcev

Panathinaikos

Oct 25, 2024·EUR

W73–57

Panathinaikosv

Fenerbahce

May 24, 2024·EUR

W74–63

Panathinaikosv

Fenerbahce

Feb 9, 2024·EUR

L83–69

Fenerbahcev

Panathinaikos

Oct 17, 2023·EUR

L88–94

Panathinaikosv

Fenerbahce

Jan 10, 2023·EUROT

L107–77

Fenerbahcev

Panathinaikos

Nov 18, 2022·EUR

160.7Avg total points

9.5Avg margin

10meetings

League table

EuroLeague · Euroleague - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Panathinaikos

3–0100%

Fenerbahce

3–0100%

Recent Form

Panathinaikos

10W 5L · last 15

vs Vikos103–74 Oct 4BAS

vs Maccabi Tel Aviv90–67 Oct 2EUR

vs Lyon-Villeurbanne102–79 Sep 30EUR

vs PAOK82–84 Sep 26SUP

vs Paris91–72 Sep 24EUR

at Olympiacos85–89 Jun 13BAS

vs Olympiacos93–86 OTJun 10BAS

at Olympiacos92–102 Jun 8BAS

vs Olympiacos68–58 Jun 5BAS

at Olympiacos76–82 Jun 3BAS

at PAOK102–94 May 30BAS

vs PAOK114–102 OTMay 28BAS

at Mykonos90–76 May 17BAS

vs Mykonos99–75 May 15BAS

at Valencia64–81 May 13EUR

Fenerbahce

12W 3L · last 15

vs Korfez Basket85–84 Oct 4BAS

vs Dubai76–66 Oct 2EUR

vs Bayern100–76 Sep 29EUR

at Bahcesehir Kol.83–98 Sep 27BAS

vs Virtus Bologna78–68 Sep 25EUR

vs Besiktas72–59 Sep 22SUP

at Besiktas77–75 Jun 19BAS

at Besiktas82–71 Jun 17BAS

vs Besiktas93–68 Jun 15BAS

vs Besiktas80–88 Jun 13BAS

at Anadolu Efes102–93 OTJun 7BAS

at Anadolu Efes93–102 Jun 5BAS

vs Anadolu Efes73–72 Jun 3BAS

vs Anadolu Efes60–59 Jun 1BAS

at Esenler Erokspor96–73 May 29BAS

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Panathinaikos

Stats

4–1

Fenerbahce

Panathinaikos leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 3–0

2-point %+1.6pp

56.7%

+1.6pp

55.1%

3-point %+4.8pp

38.9%

+4.8pp

34.1%

Free-throw %12/14 games+5.4pp

80.0%

+5.4pp

74.6%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s14/15 games0.3pp apart

34.9%

0.3pp apart

34.6%

Free throws per shot12/14 games5.9pp apart

36.3%

5.9pp apart

42.2%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+4.9

30.0

+4.9

34.9

Turnovers per game0.3 fewer

10.8

0.3 fewer

11.1

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.