B LeagueFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Nagasaki74Shinshu71

Thu 8 Oct 2026, 10:05 Predictions graded

Predictions20–677%

Points by period: Nagasaki and Shinshu.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Nagasaki	19	16	15	24
Shinshu	22	24	10	15

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Nagasaki are 0-4 and missing Akil Mitchell against a Shinshu side that split its Yokohama trip.

The expected score after 40 minutes, Nagasaki 76.8 to Shinshu 87.0, points to a Shinshu win, with every forecast LOW confidence. No prices are available for this game, so there is nothing quoted to back or avoid.

Context

Nagasaki are 0-4 in the 2026-27 B League and without Akil Mitchell, on the injury list since 29 September with a right hamstring injury, while Shinshu arrive at 2-2 after splitting their Yokohama trip.

Mitchell is listed as a centre/power forward. His injury-list restriction covers the Shinshu game, removing a frontcourt option for Nagasaki. The stated recovery timetable makes a return for Thursday not expected.
- Akil Mitchell was injured against Shimane Susanoo Magic on 23 September.
- Nagasaki placed him on the injury list on 29 September for a right biceps femoris injury.
- The club set 29 October as his removal date and gave a four-week recovery estimate.
Lee had been a small forward for Nagasaki. His confirmed departure predates the season, so he is not a wing option for this fixture.
- Nagasaki announced Hyunjung Lee's departure after his contract expired on 7 September.
- Lee agreed an Exhibit 10 contract with the Portland Trail Blazers for 2026-27.
The away pair ended in a split, with Shinshu carrying a completed road win into the Nagasaki fixture. It is recent game context rather than a match-day personnel change.
- Shinshu lost 85-78 at Yokohama BC on 3 October.
- Shinshu won the return game 89-84 on 4 October.
- Shinshu trailed 28-22 after the first quarter before winning the third quarter 23-17.
Nagasaki enter the Shinshu game after four early-season defeats, including the latest road doubleheader in Kyoto. The record adds immediate form context but does not determine the lineup for Thursday.
- Nagasaki lost 84-76 after overtime at Kyoto on 3 October.
- Kyoto beat Nagasaki 90-65 in the second game on 4 October.
- Nagasaki stood at 0-4 after the opening league fixtures.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result8 of 11 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nagasaki 76.8, Shinshu 87.0. Shinshu cover +3.5 (overtime included) in about 85 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Nagasaki and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Nagasaki are 0-4 in B League 2026-27, scoring 70.8 and allowing 87.0 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu are 2-2 in B League 2026-27, scoring 87.8 and allowing 87.3 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu's two away games at Yokohama this season produced 89 and 78 points (83.5 average), while Nagasaki's two home games against Shimane produced 78 and 64 points (71.0 average).
- Nagasaki average 30.2 rebounds over 15 tracked games, while Shinshu average 37.2 rebounds over 14 tracked games (Apr-Oct 2026, mixed seasons and competitions).
- Akil Mitchell is on Nagasaki's injury list with a right hamstring injury (29 Sep) and is not expected back until 29 Oct, removing a frontcourt option.
- In four 2026-27 B League games, Shinshu's Daum Mike averages 22.5 points and Harris Kevon 18.0, while Nagasaki's top scorers are Brantley (18.0) and Randolph (17.8).
BetBugs · HandicapwonShinshu +3.5Estimated chance84.8%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nagasaki 76.8, Shinshu 87.0. Shinshu win in about 79 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Nagasaki are 0-4 in B League 2026-27, scoring 70.8 and allowing 87.0 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu are 2-2 in B League 2026-27, scoring 87.8 and allowing 87.3 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu's two away games at Yokohama this season produced 89 and 78 points (83.5 average), while Nagasaki's two home games against Shimane produced 78 and 64 points (71.0 average).
- Nagasaki average 30.2 rebounds over 15 tracked games, while Shinshu average 37.2 rebounds over 14 tracked games (Apr-Oct 2026, mixed seasons and competitions).
- Akil Mitchell is on Nagasaki's injury list with a right hamstring injury (29 Sep) and is not expected back until 29 Oct, removing a frontcourt option.
- In four 2026-27 B League games, Shinshu's Daum Mike averages 22.5 points and Harris Kevon 18.0, while Nagasaki's top scorers are Brantley (18.0) and Randolph (17.8).
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostShinshuEstimated chance79%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nagasaki 76.8, Shinshu 87.0. Shinshu cover +2.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 78 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Nagasaki and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Nagasaki are 0-4 in B League 2026-27, scoring 70.8 and allowing 87.0 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu are 2-2 in B League 2026-27, scoring 87.8 and allowing 87.3 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu's two away games at Yokohama this season produced 89 and 78 points (83.5 average), while Nagasaki's two home games against Shimane produced 78 and 64 points (71.0 average).
- Nagasaki average 30.2 rebounds over 15 tracked games, while Shinshu average 37.2 rebounds over 14 tracked games (Apr-Oct 2026, mixed seasons and competitions).
- Akil Mitchell is on Nagasaki's injury list with a right hamstring injury (29 Sep) and is not expected back until 29 Oct, removing a frontcourt option.
- In four 2026-27 B League games, Shinshu's Daum Mike averages 22.5 points and Harris Kevon 18.0, while Nagasaki's top scorers are Brantley (18.0) and Randolph (17.8).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonShinshu +2.5Estimated chance78.3%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nagasaki 76.8, Shinshu 87.0. Shinshu are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 77 of 100 games like this.
- Nagasaki are 0-4 in B League 2026-27, scoring 70.8 and allowing 87.0 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu are 2-2 in B League 2026-27, scoring 87.8 and allowing 87.3 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu's two away games at Yokohama this season produced 89 and 78 points (83.5 average), while Nagasaki's two home games against Shimane produced 78 and 64 points (71.0 average).
- Nagasaki average 30.2 rebounds over 15 tracked games, while Shinshu average 37.2 rebounds over 14 tracked games (Apr-Oct 2026, mixed seasons and competitions).
- Akil Mitchell is on Nagasaki's injury list with a right hamstring injury (29 Sep) and is not expected back until 29 Oct, removing a frontcourt option.
- In four 2026-27 B League games, Shinshu's Daum Mike averages 22.5 points and Harris Kevon 18.0, while Nagasaki's top scorers are Brantley (18.0) and Randolph (17.8).
BetBugs · Result after 40 minlostShinshuEstimated chance77.3%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nagasaki 76.8, Shinshu 87.0. Nagasaki cover +7.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 77 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Nagasaki and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Nagasaki are 0-4 in B League 2026-27, scoring 70.8 and allowing 87.0 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu are 2-2 in B League 2026-27, scoring 87.8 and allowing 87.3 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu's two away games at Yokohama this season produced 89 and 78 points (83.5 average), while Nagasaki's two home games against Shimane produced 78 and 64 points (71.0 average).
- Nagasaki average 30.2 rebounds over 15 tracked games, while Shinshu average 37.2 rebounds over 14 tracked games (Apr-Oct 2026, mixed seasons and competitions).
- Akil Mitchell is on Nagasaki's injury list with a right hamstring injury (29 Sep) and is not expected back until 29 Oct, removing a frontcourt option.
- In four 2026-27 B League games, Shinshu's Daum Mike averages 22.5 points and Harris Kevon 18.0, while Nagasaki's top scorers are Brantley (18.0) and Randolph (17.8).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonNagasaki +7.5Estimated chance76.8%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nagasaki 76.8, Shinshu 87.0. Shinshu cover +2.5 in the 1st quarter in about 76 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Nagasaki and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Nagasaki are 0-4 in B League 2026-27, scoring 70.8 and allowing 87.0 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu are 2-2 in B League 2026-27, scoring 87.8 and allowing 87.3 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu's two away games at Yokohama this season produced 89 and 78 points (83.5 average), while Nagasaki's two home games against Shimane produced 78 and 64 points (71.0 average).
- Nagasaki average 30.2 rebounds over 15 tracked games, while Shinshu average 37.2 rebounds over 14 tracked games (Apr-Oct 2026, mixed seasons and competitions).
- Akil Mitchell is on Nagasaki's injury list with a right hamstring injury (29 Sep) and is not expected back until 29 Oct, removing a frontcourt option.
- In four 2026-27 B League games, Shinshu's Daum Mike averages 22.5 points and Harris Kevon 18.0, while Nagasaki's top scorers are Brantley (18.0) and Randolph (17.8).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapwonShinshu +2.5Estimated chance75.6%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nagasaki 76.8, Shinshu 87.0. Shinshu cover +0.5 in the 1st half in about 74 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Nagasaki and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Nagasaki are 0-4 in B League 2026-27, scoring 70.8 and allowing 87.0 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu are 2-2 in B League 2026-27, scoring 87.8 and allowing 87.3 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu's two away games at Yokohama this season produced 89 and 78 points (83.5 average), while Nagasaki's two home games against Shimane produced 78 and 64 points (71.0 average).
- Nagasaki average 30.2 rebounds over 15 tracked games, while Shinshu average 37.2 rebounds over 14 tracked games (Apr-Oct 2026, mixed seasons and competitions).
- Akil Mitchell is on Nagasaki's injury list with a right hamstring injury (29 Sep) and is not expected back until 29 Oct, removing a frontcourt option.
- In four 2026-27 B League games, Shinshu's Daum Mike averages 22.5 points and Harris Kevon 18.0, while Nagasaki's top scorers are Brantley (18.0) and Randolph (17.8).
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonShinshu +0.5Estimated chance73.8%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nagasaki 76.8, Shinshu 87.0. Shinshu are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 70 of 100 games like this.
- Nagasaki are 0-4 in B League 2026-27, scoring 70.8 and allowing 87.0 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu are 2-2 in B League 2026-27, scoring 87.8 and allowing 87.3 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu's two away games at Yokohama this season produced 89 and 78 points (83.5 average), while Nagasaki's two home games against Shimane produced 78 and 64 points (71.0 average).
- Nagasaki average 30.2 rebounds over 15 tracked games, while Shinshu average 37.2 rebounds over 14 tracked games (Apr-Oct 2026, mixed seasons and competitions).
- Akil Mitchell is on Nagasaki's injury list with a right hamstring injury (29 Sep) and is not expected back until 29 Oct, removing a frontcourt option.
- In four 2026-27 B League games, Shinshu's Daum Mike averages 22.5 points and Harris Kevon 18.0, while Nagasaki's top scorers are Brantley (18.0) and Randolph (17.8).
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonShinshuEstimated chance70.3%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nagasaki 76.8, Shinshu 87.0. Shinshu are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Nagasaki are 0-4 in B League 2026-27, scoring 70.8 and allowing 87.0 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu are 2-2 in B League 2026-27, scoring 87.8 and allowing 87.3 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu's two away games at Yokohama this season produced 89 and 78 points (83.5 average), while Nagasaki's two home games against Shimane produced 78 and 64 points (71.0 average).
- Nagasaki average 30.2 rebounds over 15 tracked games, while Shinshu average 37.2 rebounds over 14 tracked games (Apr-Oct 2026, mixed seasons and competitions).
- Akil Mitchell is on Nagasaki's injury list with a right hamstring injury (29 Sep) and is not expected back until 29 Oct, removing a frontcourt option.
- In four 2026-27 B League games, Shinshu's Daum Mike averages 22.5 points and Harris Kevon 18.0, while Nagasaki's top scorers are Brantley (18.0) and Randolph (17.8).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonShinshuEstimated chance64.5%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nagasaki 76.8, Shinshu 87.0. Shinshu are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Nagasaki are 0-4 in B League 2026-27, scoring 70.8 and allowing 87.0 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu are 2-2 in B League 2026-27, scoring 87.8 and allowing 87.3 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu's two away games at Yokohama this season produced 89 and 78 points (83.5 average), while Nagasaki's two home games against Shimane produced 78 and 64 points (71.0 average).
- Nagasaki average 30.2 rebounds over 15 tracked games, while Shinshu average 37.2 rebounds over 14 tracked games (Apr-Oct 2026, mixed seasons and competitions).
- Akil Mitchell is on Nagasaki's injury list with a right hamstring injury (29 Sep) and is not expected back until 29 Oct, removing a frontcourt option.
- In four 2026-27 B League games, Shinshu's Daum Mike averages 22.5 points and Harris Kevon 18.0, while Nagasaki's top scorers are Brantley (18.0) and Randolph (17.8).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonShinshuEstimated chance60.7%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nagasaki 76.8, Shinshu 87.0. Shinshu are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Nagasaki are 0-4 in B League 2026-27, scoring 70.8 and allowing 87.0 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu are 2-2 in B League 2026-27, scoring 87.8 and allowing 87.3 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu's two away games at Yokohama this season produced 89 and 78 points (83.5 average), while Nagasaki's two home games against Shimane produced 78 and 64 points (71.0 average).
- Nagasaki average 30.2 rebounds over 15 tracked games, while Shinshu average 37.2 rebounds over 14 tracked games (Apr-Oct 2026, mixed seasons and competitions).
- Akil Mitchell is on Nagasaki's injury list with a right hamstring injury (29 Sep) and is not expected back until 29 Oct, removing a frontcourt option.
- In four 2026-27 B League games, Shinshu's Daum Mike averages 22.5 points and Harris Kevon 18.0, while Nagasaki's top scorers are Brantley (18.0) and Randolph (17.8).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultlostShinshuEstimated chance59.2%

Points12 of 15 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nagasaki 76.8, Shinshu 87.0. Nagasaki score fewer than 83.5 points (overtime included) in about 73 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Nagasaki and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Nagasaki are 0-4 in B League 2026-27, scoring 70.8 and allowing 87.0 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu are 2-2 in B League 2026-27, scoring 87.8 and allowing 87.3 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu's two away games at Yokohama this season produced 89 and 78 points (83.5 average), while Nagasaki's two home games against Shimane produced 78 and 64 points (71.0 average).
- Nagasaki average 30.2 rebounds over 15 tracked games, while Shinshu average 37.2 rebounds over 14 tracked games (Apr-Oct 2026, mixed seasons and competitions).
- Akil Mitchell is on Nagasaki's injury list with a right hamstring injury (29 Sep) and is not expected back until 29 Oct, removing a frontcourt option.
- In four 2026-27 B League games, Shinshu's Daum Mike averages 22.5 points and Harris Kevon 18.0, while Nagasaki's top scorers are Brantley (18.0) and Randolph (17.8).
BetBugs · Team PointswonNagasaki under 83.5Estimated chance72.7%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nagasaki 76.8, Shinshu 87.0. The game has more than 155.5 points (overtime included) in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Nagasaki and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Nagasaki are 0-4 in B League 2026-27, scoring 70.8 and allowing 87.0 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu are 2-2 in B League 2026-27, scoring 87.8 and allowing 87.3 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu's two away games at Yokohama this season produced 89 and 78 points (83.5 average), while Nagasaki's two home games against Shimane produced 78 and 64 points (71.0 average).
- Nagasaki average 30.2 rebounds over 15 tracked games, while Shinshu average 37.2 rebounds over 14 tracked games (Apr-Oct 2026, mixed seasons and competitions).
- Akil Mitchell is on Nagasaki's injury list with a right hamstring injury (29 Sep) and is not expected back until 29 Oct, removing a frontcourt option.
- In four 2026-27 B League games, Shinshu's Daum Mike averages 22.5 points and Harris Kevon 18.0, while Nagasaki's top scorers are Brantley (18.0) and Randolph (17.8).
BetBugs · Total PointslostOver 155.5Estimated chance70.5%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nagasaki 76.8, Shinshu 87.0. Nagasaki score fewer than 21.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Nagasaki and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Nagasaki are 0-4 in B League 2026-27, scoring 70.8 and allowing 87.0 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu are 2-2 in B League 2026-27, scoring 87.8 and allowing 87.3 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu's two away games at Yokohama this season produced 89 and 78 points (83.5 average), while Nagasaki's two home games against Shimane produced 78 and 64 points (71.0 average).
- Nagasaki average 30.2 rebounds over 15 tracked games, while Shinshu average 37.2 rebounds over 14 tracked games (Apr-Oct 2026, mixed seasons and competitions).
- Akil Mitchell is on Nagasaki's injury list with a right hamstring injury (29 Sep) and is not expected back until 29 Oct, removing a frontcourt option.
- In four 2026-27 B League games, Shinshu's Daum Mike averages 22.5 points and Harris Kevon 18.0, while Nagasaki's top scorers are Brantley (18.0) and Randolph (17.8).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonNagasaki under 21.5Estimated chance69.1%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nagasaki 76.8, Shinshu 87.0. Nagasaki score fewer than 41.5 points in the 1st half in about 68 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Nagasaki and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Nagasaki are 0-4 in B League 2026-27, scoring 70.8 and allowing 87.0 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu are 2-2 in B League 2026-27, scoring 87.8 and allowing 87.3 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu's two away games at Yokohama this season produced 89 and 78 points (83.5 average), while Nagasaki's two home games against Shimane produced 78 and 64 points (71.0 average).
- Nagasaki average 30.2 rebounds over 15 tracked games, while Shinshu average 37.2 rebounds over 14 tracked games (Apr-Oct 2026, mixed seasons and competitions).
- Akil Mitchell is on Nagasaki's injury list with a right hamstring injury (29 Sep) and is not expected back until 29 Oct, removing a frontcourt option.
- In four 2026-27 B League games, Shinshu's Daum Mike averages 22.5 points and Harris Kevon 18.0, while Nagasaki's top scorers are Brantley (18.0) and Randolph (17.8).
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonNagasaki under 41.5Estimated chance67.8%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nagasaki 76.8, Shinshu 87.0. Nagasaki score fewer than 21.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Nagasaki and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Nagasaki are 0-4 in B League 2026-27, scoring 70.8 and allowing 87.0 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu are 2-2 in B League 2026-27, scoring 87.8 and allowing 87.3 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu's two away games at Yokohama this season produced 89 and 78 points (83.5 average), while Nagasaki's two home games against Shimane produced 78 and 64 points (71.0 average).
- Nagasaki average 30.2 rebounds over 15 tracked games, while Shinshu average 37.2 rebounds over 14 tracked games (Apr-Oct 2026, mixed seasons and competitions).
- Akil Mitchell is on Nagasaki's injury list with a right hamstring injury (29 Sep) and is not expected back until 29 Oct, removing a frontcourt option.
- In four 2026-27 B League games, Shinshu's Daum Mike averages 22.5 points and Harris Kevon 18.0, while Nagasaki's top scorers are Brantley (18.0) and Randolph (17.8).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonNagasaki under 21.5Estimated chance67.4%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nagasaki 76.8, Shinshu 87.0. Nagasaki score fewer than 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Nagasaki and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Nagasaki are 0-4 in B League 2026-27, scoring 70.8 and allowing 87.0 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu are 2-2 in B League 2026-27, scoring 87.8 and allowing 87.3 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu's two away games at Yokohama this season produced 89 and 78 points (83.5 average), while Nagasaki's two home games against Shimane produced 78 and 64 points (71.0 average).
- Nagasaki average 30.2 rebounds over 15 tracked games, while Shinshu average 37.2 rebounds over 14 tracked games (Apr-Oct 2026, mixed seasons and competitions).
- Akil Mitchell is on Nagasaki's injury list with a right hamstring injury (29 Sep) and is not expected back until 29 Oct, removing a frontcourt option.
- In four 2026-27 B League games, Shinshu's Daum Mike averages 22.5 points and Harris Kevon 18.0, while Nagasaki's top scorers are Brantley (18.0) and Randolph (17.8).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonNagasaki under 21.5Estimated chance67.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nagasaki 76.8, Shinshu 87.0. Shinshu score more than 19.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Nagasaki and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Nagasaki are 0-4 in B League 2026-27, scoring 70.8 and allowing 87.0 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu are 2-2 in B League 2026-27, scoring 87.8 and allowing 87.3 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu's two away games at Yokohama this season produced 89 and 78 points (83.5 average), while Nagasaki's two home games against Shimane produced 78 and 64 points (71.0 average).
- Nagasaki average 30.2 rebounds over 15 tracked games, while Shinshu average 37.2 rebounds over 14 tracked games (Apr-Oct 2026, mixed seasons and competitions).
- Akil Mitchell is on Nagasaki's injury list with a right hamstring injury (29 Sep) and is not expected back until 29 Oct, removing a frontcourt option.
- In four 2026-27 B League games, Shinshu's Daum Mike averages 22.5 points and Harris Kevon 18.0, while Nagasaki's top scorers are Brantley (18.0) and Randolph (17.8).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonShinshu over 19.5Estimated chance66.9%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nagasaki 76.8, Shinshu 87.0. Shinshu score more than 83.5 points (overtime included) in about 65 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Nagasaki and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Nagasaki are 0-4 in B League 2026-27, scoring 70.8 and allowing 87.0 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu are 2-2 in B League 2026-27, scoring 87.8 and allowing 87.3 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu's two away games at Yokohama this season produced 89 and 78 points (83.5 average), while Nagasaki's two home games against Shimane produced 78 and 64 points (71.0 average).
- Nagasaki average 30.2 rebounds over 15 tracked games, while Shinshu average 37.2 rebounds over 14 tracked games (Apr-Oct 2026, mixed seasons and competitions).
- Akil Mitchell is on Nagasaki's injury list with a right hamstring injury (29 Sep) and is not expected back until 29 Oct, removing a frontcourt option.
- In four 2026-27 B League games, Shinshu's Daum Mike averages 22.5 points and Harris Kevon 18.0, while Nagasaki's top scorers are Brantley (18.0) and Randolph (17.8).
BetBugs · Team PointslostShinshu over 83.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nagasaki 76.8, Shinshu 87.0. The 1st quarter has more than 38.5 points in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Nagasaki and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Nagasaki are 0-4 in B League 2026-27, scoring 70.8 and allowing 87.0 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu are 2-2 in B League 2026-27, scoring 87.8 and allowing 87.3 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu's two away games at Yokohama this season produced 89 and 78 points (83.5 average), while Nagasaki's two home games against Shimane produced 78 and 64 points (71.0 average).
- Nagasaki average 30.2 rebounds over 15 tracked games, while Shinshu average 37.2 rebounds over 14 tracked games (Apr-Oct 2026, mixed seasons and competitions).
- Akil Mitchell is on Nagasaki's injury list with a right hamstring injury (29 Sep) and is not expected back until 29 Oct, removing a frontcourt option.
- In four 2026-27 B League games, Shinshu's Daum Mike averages 22.5 points and Harris Kevon 18.0, while Nagasaki's top scorers are Brantley (18.0) and Randolph (17.8).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonOver 38.5Estimated chance63.4%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nagasaki 76.8, Shinshu 87.0. Shinshu score more than 41.5 points in the 1st half in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Nagasaki and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Nagasaki are 0-4 in B League 2026-27, scoring 70.8 and allowing 87.0 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu are 2-2 in B League 2026-27, scoring 87.8 and allowing 87.3 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu's two away games at Yokohama this season produced 89 and 78 points (83.5 average), while Nagasaki's two home games against Shimane produced 78 and 64 points (71.0 average).
- Nagasaki average 30.2 rebounds over 15 tracked games, while Shinshu average 37.2 rebounds over 14 tracked games (Apr-Oct 2026, mixed seasons and competitions).
- Akil Mitchell is on Nagasaki's injury list with a right hamstring injury (29 Sep) and is not expected back until 29 Oct, removing a frontcourt option.
- In four 2026-27 B League games, Shinshu's Daum Mike averages 22.5 points and Harris Kevon 18.0, while Nagasaki's top scorers are Brantley (18.0) and Randolph (17.8).
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonShinshu over 41.5Estimated chance62.9%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nagasaki 76.8, Shinshu 87.0. Shinshu score more than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Nagasaki and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Nagasaki are 0-4 in B League 2026-27, scoring 70.8 and allowing 87.0 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu are 2-2 in B League 2026-27, scoring 87.8 and allowing 87.3 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu's two away games at Yokohama this season produced 89 and 78 points (83.5 average), while Nagasaki's two home games against Shimane produced 78 and 64 points (71.0 average).
- Nagasaki average 30.2 rebounds over 15 tracked games, while Shinshu average 37.2 rebounds over 14 tracked games (Apr-Oct 2026, mixed seasons and competitions).
- Akil Mitchell is on Nagasaki's injury list with a right hamstring injury (29 Sep) and is not expected back until 29 Oct, removing a frontcourt option.
- In four 2026-27 B League games, Shinshu's Daum Mike averages 22.5 points and Harris Kevon 18.0, while Nagasaki's top scorers are Brantley (18.0) and Randolph (17.8).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonShinshu over 20.5Estimated chance62.8%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nagasaki 76.8, Shinshu 87.0. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 42.5 points in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Nagasaki and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Nagasaki are 0-4 in B League 2026-27, scoring 70.8 and allowing 87.0 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu are 2-2 in B League 2026-27, scoring 87.8 and allowing 87.3 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu's two away games at Yokohama this season produced 89 and 78 points (83.5 average), while Nagasaki's two home games against Shimane produced 78 and 64 points (71.0 average).
- Nagasaki average 30.2 rebounds over 15 tracked games, while Shinshu average 37.2 rebounds over 14 tracked games (Apr-Oct 2026, mixed seasons and competitions).
- Akil Mitchell is on Nagasaki's injury list with a right hamstring injury (29 Sep) and is not expected back until 29 Oct, removing a frontcourt option.
- In four 2026-27 B League games, Shinshu's Daum Mike averages 22.5 points and Harris Kevon 18.0, while Nagasaki's top scorers are Brantley (18.0) and Randolph (17.8).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 42.5Estimated chance60.6%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nagasaki 76.8, Shinshu 87.0. The 1st half has fewer than 84.5 points in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Nagasaki and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Nagasaki are 0-4 in B League 2026-27, scoring 70.8 and allowing 87.0 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu are 2-2 in B League 2026-27, scoring 87.8 and allowing 87.3 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu's two away games at Yokohama this season produced 89 and 78 points (83.5 average), while Nagasaki's two home games against Shimane produced 78 and 64 points (71.0 average).
- Nagasaki average 30.2 rebounds over 15 tracked games, while Shinshu average 37.2 rebounds over 14 tracked games (Apr-Oct 2026, mixed seasons and competitions).
- Akil Mitchell is on Nagasaki's injury list with a right hamstring injury (29 Sep) and is not expected back until 29 Oct, removing a frontcourt option.
- In four 2026-27 B League games, Shinshu's Daum Mike averages 22.5 points and Harris Kevon 18.0, while Nagasaki's top scorers are Brantley (18.0) and Randolph (17.8).
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonUnder 84.5Estimated chance59.1%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nagasaki 76.8, Shinshu 87.0. The 2nd quarter has fewer than 42.5 points in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Nagasaki and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Nagasaki are 0-4 in B League 2026-27, scoring 70.8 and allowing 87.0 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu are 2-2 in B League 2026-27, scoring 87.8 and allowing 87.3 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu's two away games at Yokohama this season produced 89 and 78 points (83.5 average), while Nagasaki's two home games against Shimane produced 78 and 64 points (71.0 average).
- Nagasaki average 30.2 rebounds over 15 tracked games, while Shinshu average 37.2 rebounds over 14 tracked games (Apr-Oct 2026, mixed seasons and competitions).
- Akil Mitchell is on Nagasaki's injury list with a right hamstring injury (29 Sep) and is not expected back until 29 Oct, removing a frontcourt option.
- In four 2026-27 B League games, Shinshu's Daum Mike averages 22.5 points and Harris Kevon 18.0, while Nagasaki's top scorers are Brantley (18.0) and Randolph (17.8).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 42.5Estimated chance57.7%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Nagasaki 76.8, Shinshu 87.0. Shinshu score more than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Nagasaki and 15 for Shinshu, across seasons and competitions.
- Nagasaki are 0-4 in B League 2026-27, scoring 70.8 and allowing 87.0 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu are 2-2 in B League 2026-27, scoring 87.8 and allowing 87.3 per game through 4 Oct.
- Shinshu's two away games at Yokohama this season produced 89 and 78 points (83.5 average), while Nagasaki's two home games against Shimane produced 78 and 64 points (71.0 average).
- Nagasaki average 30.2 rebounds over 15 tracked games, while Shinshu average 37.2 rebounds over 14 tracked games (Apr-Oct 2026, mixed seasons and competitions).
- Akil Mitchell is on Nagasaki's injury list with a right hamstring injury (29 Sep) and is not expected back until 29 Oct, removing a frontcourt option.
- In four 2026-27 B League games, Shinshu's Daum Mike averages 22.5 points and Harris Kevon 18.0, while Nagasaki's top scorers are Brantley (18.0) and Randolph (17.8).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostShinshu over 20.5Estimated chance56.6%

W92–64

Nagasakiv

Shinshu

Jan 7, 2024·B L

L73–79

Nagasakiv

Shinshu

Jan 6, 2024·B L

154Avg total points

17Avg margin

2meetings

League table

B League · B.League - Regular Season · Western Conference

#TeamW–LWin %

Nagasaki

0–0—

Shinshu

0–0—

Recent Form

Nagasaki

9W 6L · last 15

at Kyoto65–90 Oct 4B L

at Kyoto76–84 OTOct 3B L

vs Shimane78–85 Sep 25B L

vs Shimane64–89 Sep 23B L

vs Ryukyu72–64 May 26B L

vs Ryukyu66–60 May 24B L

vs Ryukyu69–71 May 23B L

vs Chiba102–93 May 16B L

vs Chiba82–74 May 15B L

vs Alvark96–56 May 8B L

vs Alvark93–78 May 7B L

vs Kyoto63–84 May 3B L

vs Kyoto105–94 May 2B L

at Nagoya Fighting Eagles91–69 Apr 26B L

at Nagoya Fighting Eagles83–73 Apr 25B L

Shinshu

7W 8L · last 15

at Yokohama89–84 Oct 4B L

at Yokohama78–85 Oct 3B L

vs Toyama99–81 Sep 27B L

vs Toyama85–99 Sep 26B L

vs Yokohama Excellence84–100 May 17B2.

vs Yokohama Excellence88–90 May 16B2.

vs Fukushima73–96 May 11B2.

vs Fukushima82–74 May 10B2.

vs Fukushima83–90 May 9B2.

vs Fukui90–89 May 4B2.

vs Fukui82–88 May 3B2.

vs Fukui96–82 May 2B2.

at Fukui81–84 Apr 26B2.

at Fukui82–65 Apr 25B2.

vs Ehime Orange Vikings109–57 Apr 19B2.

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Nagasaki

Stats

3–2

Shinshu

14 games

Nagasaki leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–1

2-point %+0.9pp

55.4%

+0.9pp

54.5%

3-point %+0.4pp

32.3%

+0.4pp

31.9%

Free-throw %+3.7pp

74.9%

+3.7pp

78.6%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s1.8pp apart

35.7%

1.8pp apart

37.5%

Free throws per shot3.1pp apart

30.9%

3.1pp apart

34.0%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+7.0

30.2

+7.0

37.2

Turnovers per game1.8 fewer

13.2

1.8 fewer

15.0

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.