B LeagueFinished

Predictions graded

Akita81Brave Thunders87

Thu 8 Oct 2026, 10:30 Predictions graded

Predictions16–576%

Points by period: Akita and Brave Thunders.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Akita	16	27	22	16
Brave Thunders	26	14	27	20

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Akita host the Brave Thunders with each team having won one of four games this season, and Akita's rotation still missing two players from the 3-4 October games.

The Brave Thunders' shooting and recent head-to-head record make them the likelier winners, with an expected 81.8-79.7 after 40 minutes. No prices are available for this game, so that lean and the over 157.5 combined points forecast are unpriced.

Context

Akita were without Tsubasa Kurihara (hamstring tear) and Takuya Nakayama (left knee bone bruise) for the 3-4 October games and have set no return date, while both teams come in on four days between games. The Brave Thunders' 53.2% two-point shooting and 72.8% free-throw shooting over their last 15 games shape the matchup, though Akita won the most recent home meeting 97-77 on 25 January 2026.

Kurihara was absent for Akita's most recent two league games against Tokyo Sunrockers. The club has not set a return date and will decide his next training and game involvement with its medical staff. His availability for the 8 October home game against Kawasaki remains unresolved.
- Tsubasa Kurihara did not travel for Akita's 3 and 4 October games against Tokyo Sunrockers.
- The stated reason was a hamstring tear.
- His future training and playing status will be decided with medical staff.
Nakayama has been in rehabilitation since the left knee bone-bruise diagnosis and was still absent for the Tokyo Sunrockers series on 3 and 4 October. Akita has not announced a return date, so his status for Kawasaki's visit on 8 October is unresolved.
- Takuya Nakayama's August diagnosis was a left knee bone bruise.
- No recovery timetable was published.
- He missed Akita's 3 and 4 October games because of the previously announced injury.
Travis is a 203cm power forward and centre with previous Japanese league experience at Shimane, Hokkaido and Sunrockers Shibuya. His September contract and 6 October introduction add a new front-court option for Akita ahead of Kawasaki's visit, though the signing announcement does not establish his selection for this game.
- Akita announced Reid Travis's 2026-27 contract on 25 September.
- The club lists Travis as a power forward and centre.
- His introductory press conference took place on 6 October.
Akita's second game at Tokyo Sunrockers was level in the balance through three quarters before the final-period swing decided it. The result is their most recent completed game before the 8 October home meeting with Kawasaki and provides immediate team-form context.
- Tokyo Sunrockers defeated Akita 86-76 on 4 October.
- Akita led 59-54 after three quarters.
- Tokyo Sunrockers won the fourth quarter 32-17.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.7, Brave Thunders 81.8. Akita cover +5.5 in the 1st quarter in about 76 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Brave Thunders, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita scored 67.3 points per game and allowed 82.5 in their four 2026-27 B League games, including an 86-76 loss at Tokyo Sunrockers on 4 October.
- Brave Thunders scored 78.3 points per game in their four 2026-27 B League games, with an 82-74 win at Altiri Chiba on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Brave Thunders shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 72.8% on free throws, while Akita shoot 50.9% on two-pointers and 69.3% on free throws.
- Brave Thunders have won 7 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, though Akita won the most recent home meeting 97-77 on 25 January 2026 before Brave Thunders took the previous night 98-89 in overtime.
- Akita's Tsubasa Kurihara (hamstring) and Takuya Nakayama (knee) were absent for the 3-4 October games with no confirmed return date.
- Both teams last played on 4 October and have had four days between games.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicaplostAkita +5.5Estimated chance75.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.7, Brave Thunders 81.8. Akita cover +3.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Brave Thunders, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita scored 67.3 points per game and allowed 82.5 in their four 2026-27 B League games, including an 86-76 loss at Tokyo Sunrockers on 4 October.
- Brave Thunders scored 78.3 points per game in their four 2026-27 B League games, with an 82-74 win at Altiri Chiba on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Brave Thunders shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 72.8% on free throws, while Akita shoot 50.9% on two-pointers and 69.3% on free throws.
- Brave Thunders have won 7 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, though Akita won the most recent home meeting 97-77 on 25 January 2026 before Brave Thunders took the previous night 98-89 in overtime.
- Akita's Tsubasa Kurihara (hamstring) and Takuya Nakayama (knee) were absent for the 3-4 October games with no confirmed return date.
- Both teams last played on 4 October and have had four days between games.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonAkita +3.5Estimated chance65.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.7, Brave Thunders 81.8. Brave Thunders cover +1.5 in the 1st half in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Brave Thunders, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita scored 67.3 points per game and allowed 82.5 in their four 2026-27 B League games, including an 86-76 loss at Tokyo Sunrockers on 4 October.
- Brave Thunders scored 78.3 points per game in their four 2026-27 B League games, with an 82-74 win at Altiri Chiba on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Brave Thunders shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 72.8% on free throws, while Akita shoot 50.9% on two-pointers and 69.3% on free throws.
- Brave Thunders have won 7 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, though Akita won the most recent home meeting 97-77 on 25 January 2026 before Brave Thunders took the previous night 98-89 in overtime.
- Akita's Tsubasa Kurihara (hamstring) and Takuya Nakayama (knee) were absent for the 3-4 October games with no confirmed return date.
- Both teams last played on 4 October and have had four days between games.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicaplostBrave Thunders +1.5Estimated chance60.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.7, Brave Thunders 81.8. Brave Thunders win in about 57 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Akita scored 67.3 points per game and allowed 82.5 in their four 2026-27 B League games, including an 86-76 loss at Tokyo Sunrockers on 4 October.
- Brave Thunders scored 78.3 points per game in their four 2026-27 B League games, with an 82-74 win at Altiri Chiba on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Brave Thunders shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 72.8% on free throws, while Akita shoot 50.9% on two-pointers and 69.3% on free throws.
- Brave Thunders have won 7 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, though Akita won the most recent home meeting 97-77 on 25 January 2026 before Brave Thunders took the previous night 98-89 in overtime.
- Akita's Tsubasa Kurihara (hamstring) and Takuya Nakayama (knee) were absent for the 3-4 October games with no confirmed return date.
- Both teams last played on 4 October and have had four days between games.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonBrave ThundersEstimated chance56.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.7, Brave Thunders 81.8. Brave Thunders cover -0.5 (overtime included) in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Brave Thunders, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita scored 67.3 points per game and allowed 82.5 in their four 2026-27 B League games, including an 86-76 loss at Tokyo Sunrockers on 4 October.
- Brave Thunders scored 78.3 points per game in their four 2026-27 B League games, with an 82-74 win at Altiri Chiba on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Brave Thunders shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 72.8% on free throws, while Akita shoot 50.9% on two-pointers and 69.3% on free throws.
- Brave Thunders have won 7 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, though Akita won the most recent home meeting 97-77 on 25 January 2026 before Brave Thunders took the previous night 98-89 in overtime.
- Akita's Tsubasa Kurihara (hamstring) and Takuya Nakayama (knee) were absent for the 3-4 October games with no confirmed return date.
- Both teams last played on 4 October and have had four days between games.
BetBugs · HandicapwonBrave Thunders -0.5Estimated chance56.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.7, Brave Thunders 81.8. Brave Thunders cover +0.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Brave Thunders, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita scored 67.3 points per game and allowed 82.5 in their four 2026-27 B League games, including an 86-76 loss at Tokyo Sunrockers on 4 October.
- Brave Thunders scored 78.3 points per game in their four 2026-27 B League games, with an 82-74 win at Altiri Chiba on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Brave Thunders shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 72.8% on free throws, while Akita shoot 50.9% on two-pointers and 69.3% on free throws.
- Brave Thunders have won 7 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, though Akita won the most recent home meeting 97-77 on 25 January 2026 before Brave Thunders took the previous night 98-89 in overtime.
- Akita's Tsubasa Kurihara (hamstring) and Takuya Nakayama (knee) were absent for the 3-4 October games with no confirmed return date.
- Both teams last played on 4 October and have had four days between games.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonBrave Thunders +0.5Estimated chance55.2%

Points12 of 15 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.7, Brave Thunders 81.8. Akita score more than 32.5 points in the 1st half in about 85 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Brave Thunders, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita scored 67.3 points per game and allowed 82.5 in their four 2026-27 B League games, including an 86-76 loss at Tokyo Sunrockers on 4 October.
- Brave Thunders scored 78.3 points per game in their four 2026-27 B League games, with an 82-74 win at Altiri Chiba on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Brave Thunders shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 72.8% on free throws, while Akita shoot 50.9% on two-pointers and 69.3% on free throws.
- Brave Thunders have won 7 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, though Akita won the most recent home meeting 97-77 on 25 January 2026 before Brave Thunders took the previous night 98-89 in overtime.
- Akita's Tsubasa Kurihara (hamstring) and Takuya Nakayama (knee) were absent for the 3-4 October games with no confirmed return date.
- Both teams last played on 4 October and have had four days between games.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonAkita over 32.5Estimated chance84.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.7, Brave Thunders 81.8. The 2nd quarter has more than 33.5 points in about 84 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Brave Thunders, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita scored 67.3 points per game and allowed 82.5 in their four 2026-27 B League games, including an 86-76 loss at Tokyo Sunrockers on 4 October.
- Brave Thunders scored 78.3 points per game in their four 2026-27 B League games, with an 82-74 win at Altiri Chiba on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Brave Thunders shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 72.8% on free throws, while Akita shoot 50.9% on two-pointers and 69.3% on free throws.
- Brave Thunders have won 7 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, though Akita won the most recent home meeting 97-77 on 25 January 2026 before Brave Thunders took the previous night 98-89 in overtime.
- Akita's Tsubasa Kurihara (hamstring) and Takuya Nakayama (knee) were absent for the 3-4 October games with no confirmed return date.
- Both teams last played on 4 October and have had four days between games.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonOver 33.5Estimated chance83.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.7, Brave Thunders 81.8. Akita score more than 15.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 80 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Brave Thunders, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita scored 67.3 points per game and allowed 82.5 in their four 2026-27 B League games, including an 86-76 loss at Tokyo Sunrockers on 4 October.
- Brave Thunders scored 78.3 points per game in their four 2026-27 B League games, with an 82-74 win at Altiri Chiba on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Brave Thunders shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 72.8% on free throws, while Akita shoot 50.9% on two-pointers and 69.3% on free throws.
- Brave Thunders have won 7 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, though Akita won the most recent home meeting 97-77 on 25 January 2026 before Brave Thunders took the previous night 98-89 in overtime.
- Akita's Tsubasa Kurihara (hamstring) and Takuya Nakayama (knee) were absent for the 3-4 October games with no confirmed return date.
- Both teams last played on 4 October and have had four days between games.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonAkita over 15.5Estimated chance79.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.7, Brave Thunders 81.8. Brave Thunders score more than 35.5 points in the 1st half in about 78 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Brave Thunders, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita scored 67.3 points per game and allowed 82.5 in their four 2026-27 B League games, including an 86-76 loss at Tokyo Sunrockers on 4 October.
- Brave Thunders scored 78.3 points per game in their four 2026-27 B League games, with an 82-74 win at Altiri Chiba on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Brave Thunders shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 72.8% on free throws, while Akita shoot 50.9% on two-pointers and 69.3% on free throws.
- Brave Thunders have won 7 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, though Akita won the most recent home meeting 97-77 on 25 January 2026 before Brave Thunders took the previous night 98-89 in overtime.
- Akita's Tsubasa Kurihara (hamstring) and Takuya Nakayama (knee) were absent for the 3-4 October games with no confirmed return date.
- Both teams last played on 4 October and have had four days between games.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonBrave Thunders over 35.5Estimated chance78.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.7, Brave Thunders 81.8. Akita score more than 16.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Brave Thunders, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita scored 67.3 points per game and allowed 82.5 in their four 2026-27 B League games, including an 86-76 loss at Tokyo Sunrockers on 4 October.
- Brave Thunders scored 78.3 points per game in their four 2026-27 B League games, with an 82-74 win at Altiri Chiba on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Brave Thunders shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 72.8% on free throws, while Akita shoot 50.9% on two-pointers and 69.3% on free throws.
- Brave Thunders have won 7 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, though Akita won the most recent home meeting 97-77 on 25 January 2026 before Brave Thunders took the previous night 98-89 in overtime.
- Akita's Tsubasa Kurihara (hamstring) and Takuya Nakayama (knee) were absent for the 3-4 October games with no confirmed return date.
- Both teams last played on 4 October and have had four days between games.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostAkita over 16.5Estimated chance75.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.7, Brave Thunders 81.8. Brave Thunders score more than 75.5 points (overtime included) in about 74 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Brave Thunders, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita scored 67.3 points per game and allowed 82.5 in their four 2026-27 B League games, including an 86-76 loss at Tokyo Sunrockers on 4 October.
- Brave Thunders scored 78.3 points per game in their four 2026-27 B League games, with an 82-74 win at Altiri Chiba on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Brave Thunders shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 72.8% on free throws, while Akita shoot 50.9% on two-pointers and 69.3% on free throws.
- Brave Thunders have won 7 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, though Akita won the most recent home meeting 97-77 on 25 January 2026 before Brave Thunders took the previous night 98-89 in overtime.
- Akita's Tsubasa Kurihara (hamstring) and Takuya Nakayama (knee) were absent for the 3-4 October games with no confirmed return date.
- Both teams last played on 4 October and have had four days between games.
BetBugs · Team PointswonBrave Thunders over 75.5Estimated chance74%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.7, Brave Thunders 81.8. Brave Thunders score fewer than 22.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Brave Thunders, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita scored 67.3 points per game and allowed 82.5 in their four 2026-27 B League games, including an 86-76 loss at Tokyo Sunrockers on 4 October.
- Brave Thunders scored 78.3 points per game in their four 2026-27 B League games, with an 82-74 win at Altiri Chiba on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Brave Thunders shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 72.8% on free throws, while Akita shoot 50.9% on two-pointers and 69.3% on free throws.
- Brave Thunders have won 7 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, though Akita won the most recent home meeting 97-77 on 25 January 2026 before Brave Thunders took the previous night 98-89 in overtime.
- Akita's Tsubasa Kurihara (hamstring) and Takuya Nakayama (knee) were absent for the 3-4 October games with no confirmed return date.
- Both teams last played on 4 October and have had four days between games.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonBrave Thunders under 22.5Estimated chance64.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.7, Brave Thunders 81.8. Akita score fewer than 21.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Brave Thunders, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita scored 67.3 points per game and allowed 82.5 in their four 2026-27 B League games, including an 86-76 loss at Tokyo Sunrockers on 4 October.
- Brave Thunders scored 78.3 points per game in their four 2026-27 B League games, with an 82-74 win at Altiri Chiba on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Brave Thunders shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 72.8% on free throws, while Akita shoot 50.9% on two-pointers and 69.3% on free throws.
- Brave Thunders have won 7 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, though Akita won the most recent home meeting 97-77 on 25 January 2026 before Brave Thunders took the previous night 98-89 in overtime.
- Akita's Tsubasa Kurihara (hamstring) and Takuya Nakayama (knee) were absent for the 3-4 October games with no confirmed return date.
- Both teams last played on 4 October and have had four days between games.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostAkita under 21.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.7, Brave Thunders 81.8. The game has more than 157.5 points (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Brave Thunders, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita scored 67.3 points per game and allowed 82.5 in their four 2026-27 B League games, including an 86-76 loss at Tokyo Sunrockers on 4 October.
- Brave Thunders scored 78.3 points per game in their four 2026-27 B League games, with an 82-74 win at Altiri Chiba on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Brave Thunders shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 72.8% on free throws, while Akita shoot 50.9% on two-pointers and 69.3% on free throws.
- Brave Thunders have won 7 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, though Akita won the most recent home meeting 97-77 on 25 January 2026 before Brave Thunders took the previous night 98-89 in overtime.
- Akita's Tsubasa Kurihara (hamstring) and Takuya Nakayama (knee) were absent for the 3-4 October games with no confirmed return date.
- Both teams last played on 4 October and have had four days between games.
BetBugs · Total PointswonOver 157.5Estimated chance61.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.7, Brave Thunders 81.8. Akita score more than 77.5 points (overtime included) in about 60 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Brave Thunders, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita scored 67.3 points per game and allowed 82.5 in their four 2026-27 B League games, including an 86-76 loss at Tokyo Sunrockers on 4 October.
- Brave Thunders scored 78.3 points per game in their four 2026-27 B League games, with an 82-74 win at Altiri Chiba on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Brave Thunders shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 72.8% on free throws, while Akita shoot 50.9% on two-pointers and 69.3% on free throws.
- Brave Thunders have won 7 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, though Akita won the most recent home meeting 97-77 on 25 January 2026 before Brave Thunders took the previous night 98-89 in overtime.
- Akita's Tsubasa Kurihara (hamstring) and Takuya Nakayama (knee) were absent for the 3-4 October games with no confirmed return date.
- Both teams last played on 4 October and have had four days between games.
BetBugs · Team PointswonAkita over 77.5Estimated chance59.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.7, Brave Thunders 81.8. The 3rd quarter has more than 38.5 points in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Brave Thunders, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita scored 67.3 points per game and allowed 82.5 in their four 2026-27 B League games, including an 86-76 loss at Tokyo Sunrockers on 4 October.
- Brave Thunders scored 78.3 points per game in their four 2026-27 B League games, with an 82-74 win at Altiri Chiba on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Brave Thunders shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 72.8% on free throws, while Akita shoot 50.9% on two-pointers and 69.3% on free throws.
- Brave Thunders have won 7 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, though Akita won the most recent home meeting 97-77 on 25 January 2026 before Brave Thunders took the previous night 98-89 in overtime.
- Akita's Tsubasa Kurihara (hamstring) and Takuya Nakayama (knee) were absent for the 3-4 October games with no confirmed return date.
- Both teams last played on 4 October and have had four days between games.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonOver 38.5Estimated chance57.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.7, Brave Thunders 81.8. Brave Thunders score more than 19.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Brave Thunders, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita scored 67.3 points per game and allowed 82.5 in their four 2026-27 B League games, including an 86-76 loss at Tokyo Sunrockers on 4 October.
- Brave Thunders scored 78.3 points per game in their four 2026-27 B League games, with an 82-74 win at Altiri Chiba on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Brave Thunders shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 72.8% on free throws, while Akita shoot 50.9% on two-pointers and 69.3% on free throws.
- Brave Thunders have won 7 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, though Akita won the most recent home meeting 97-77 on 25 January 2026 before Brave Thunders took the previous night 98-89 in overtime.
- Akita's Tsubasa Kurihara (hamstring) and Takuya Nakayama (knee) were absent for the 3-4 October games with no confirmed return date.
- Both teams last played on 4 October and have had four days between games.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonBrave Thunders over 19.5Estimated chance57.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.7, Brave Thunders 81.8. The 1st quarter has fewer than 41.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Brave Thunders, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita scored 67.3 points per game and allowed 82.5 in their four 2026-27 B League games, including an 86-76 loss at Tokyo Sunrockers on 4 October.
- Brave Thunders scored 78.3 points per game in their four 2026-27 B League games, with an 82-74 win at Altiri Chiba on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Brave Thunders shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 72.8% on free throws, while Akita shoot 50.9% on two-pointers and 69.3% on free throws.
- Brave Thunders have won 7 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, though Akita won the most recent home meeting 97-77 on 25 January 2026 before Brave Thunders took the previous night 98-89 in overtime.
- Akita's Tsubasa Kurihara (hamstring) and Takuya Nakayama (knee) were absent for the 3-4 October games with no confirmed return date.
- Both teams last played on 4 October and have had four days between games.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointslostUnder 41.5Estimated chance56.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.7, Brave Thunders 81.8. Brave Thunders score more than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Brave Thunders, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita scored 67.3 points per game and allowed 82.5 in their four 2026-27 B League games, including an 86-76 loss at Tokyo Sunrockers on 4 October.
- Brave Thunders scored 78.3 points per game in their four 2026-27 B League games, with an 82-74 win at Altiri Chiba on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Brave Thunders shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 72.8% on free throws, while Akita shoot 50.9% on two-pointers and 69.3% on free throws.
- Brave Thunders have won 7 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, though Akita won the most recent home meeting 97-77 on 25 January 2026 before Brave Thunders took the previous night 98-89 in overtime.
- Akita's Tsubasa Kurihara (hamstring) and Takuya Nakayama (knee) were absent for the 3-4 October games with no confirmed return date.
- Both teams last played on 4 October and have had four days between games.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonBrave Thunders over 19.5Estimated chance55.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 79.7, Brave Thunders 81.8. The 1st half has more than 79.5 points in about 55 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Brave Thunders, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita scored 67.3 points per game and allowed 82.5 in their four 2026-27 B League games, including an 86-76 loss at Tokyo Sunrockers on 4 October.
- Brave Thunders scored 78.3 points per game in their four 2026-27 B League games, with an 82-74 win at Altiri Chiba on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Brave Thunders shoot 53.2% on two-pointers and 72.8% on free throws, while Akita shoot 50.9% on two-pointers and 69.3% on free throws.
- Brave Thunders have won 7 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, though Akita won the most recent home meeting 97-77 on 25 January 2026 before Brave Thunders took the previous night 98-89 in overtime.
- Akita's Tsubasa Kurihara (hamstring) and Takuya Nakayama (knee) were absent for the 3-4 October games with no confirmed return date.
- Both teams last played on 4 October and have had four days between games.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonOver 79.5Estimated chance55.3%

W97–77

Akitav

Brave Thunders

Jan 25, 2026·B L

L89–98

Akitav

Brave Thunders

Jan 24, 2026·B LOT

W68–89

Brave Thundersv Akita

Akita

Oct 6, 2024·B L

L81–73

Brave Thundersv Akita

Akita

Oct 5, 2024·B L

L80–67

Brave Thundersv Akita

Akita

Jan 27, 2024·B L

L87–69

Brave Thundersv Akita

Akita

Jan 26, 2024·B L

L80–89

Akitav

Brave Thunders

Dec 11, 2022·B L

L85–92

Akitav

Brave Thunders

Dec 10, 2022·B LOT

W86–87

Brave Thundersv Akita

Akita

Apr 10, 2022·B L

L82–68

Brave Thundersv Akita

Akita

Apr 9, 2022·B L

164.4Avg total points

12Avg margin

10meetings

League table

B League · B.League - Regular Season · Western Conference

#TeamW–LWin %

Akita

0–0—

Brave Thunders

0–0—

Recent Form

Akita

3W 12L · last 15

at Tokyo Sunrockers76–86 Oct 4B L

at Tokyo Sunrockers63–90 Oct 3B L

at Sendai75–73 Sep 27B L

at Sendai55–81 Sep 26B L

vs Saga70–87 May 3B L

vs Saga72–85 May 2B L

at Toyama77–94 Apr 26B L

at Toyama72–82 Apr 25B L

vs Hokkaido76–108 Apr 22B L

at Altiri Chiba74–75 Apr 19B L

at Altiri Chiba65–83 Apr 18B L

at Sendai46–79 Apr 15B L

vs Koshigaya Alphas87–85 OTApr 12B L

vs Koshigaya Alphas94–85 Apr 11B L

at Yokohama74–92 Apr 8B L

Brave Thunders

3W 12L · last 15

at Altiri Chiba82–74 Oct 4B L

at Altiri Chiba90–99 Oct 3B L

vs Diamond Dolphins78–90 Sep 27B L

vs Diamond Dolphins63–93 Sep 26B L

at Yokohama88–84 May 3B L

at Yokohama74–71 May 2B L

at Koshigaya Alphas79–89 Apr 26B L

at Koshigaya Alphas84–90 Apr 25B L

vs Ryukyu71–80 Apr 22B L

at Osaka93–103 Apr 19B L

at Osaka76–98 Apr 18B L

vs Chiba63–84 Apr 15B L

at Gunma64–87 Apr 12B L

at Gunma77–97 Apr 11B L

at Sun Rockers Shibuya73–87 Apr 8B L

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Akita

Stats

1–4

Brave Thunders

Brave Thunders leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+2.3pp

50.9%

+2.3pp

53.2%

3-point %+2.0pp

31.1%

+2.0pp

29.1%

Free-throw %+3.5pp

69.3%

+3.5pp

72.8%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s5.5pp apart

35.3%

5.5pp apart

29.8%

Free throws per shot4.7pp apart

21.1%

4.7pp apart

25.8%

Possession· 0–2

Rebounds per game+0.7

31.4

+0.7

32.1

Turnovers per game0.7 fewer

13.6

0.7 fewer

12.9

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.