VTB United League Promo-CupFinished

Predictions graded

Zenit Petersburg99Parma Perm85

Wed 7 Oct 2026, 17:00 Predictions graded

Predictions7–558%

Points by period: Zenit Petersburg and Parma Perm.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Zenit Petersburg	23	20	25	31
Parma Perm	19	25	19	22

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Zenit have won all 10 listed meetings with Parma, but they arrive three days after a 60-95 loss at UNICS while Parma have beaten UNICS and CSKA.

Zenit still look the likelier winner, ahead after 40 minutes in about 52 of 100 such games, with Parma +4.5 a low-confidence lean the other way. With every forecast low confidence, no price stands out at our numbers.

Context

The conditions are concrete: Zenit played three days ago and lost 60-95 at UNICS on 4 October, while Parma have had 11 days since their 97-88 win at UNICS on 26 September and then beat CSKA 86-62 on 2 October. The detail behind those results is thin, with no shooting, rebounding or turnover figures and no player statistics for either team this season.

Zenit face Parma only three days after the 35-point defeat at UNICS. Ivanovic has framed the home game as a chance to show a stronger level against a Parma side that has already beaten UNICS and CSKA this season. The result in Kazan does not settle Zenit's current form, but it makes their immediate response a central part of this matchup.
- UNICS beat Zenit by 35 points on 4 October.
- Dusan Ivanovic described the UNICS game as a poor performance and said Zenit must show they can compete for the title.
Parma's win over CSKA followed their road success in Kazan. Against CSKA, the team controlled every quarter, won the rebound battle and created transition chances through pressure defense. Evgeny Pashutin said the group had played with its full squad and could rotate, which supported an aggressive defensive approach throughout the game.
- Parma won 97-88 at UNICS in their VTB League opener.
- Parma beat CSKA 86-62 on 2 October and won all four quarters.
- Parma forced nine steals against CSKA and converted them into transition points.
Ivanovic highlighted Parma's altered international contingent when comparing this game with the teams' September meeting. He described the group as quick and capable, while Pashutin stressed limiting Zenit's transition chances and maintaining the energy shown against CSKA. That refreshed personnel gives Zenit a different opponent profile from the earlier preseason encounter.
- Dusan Ivanovic said Parma have six foreign players in the current squad.
- Ivanovic said Parma's current group differs from the team Zenit faced in the Kondrashin and Belov Cup.
- Evgeny Pashutin said his side will aim to prevent Zenit from scoring easy points.
Newman is a recent addition during Zenit's opening weeks of the season. His prior VTB League experience gives the club another established option as it adjusts after the loss in Kazan. His involvement against Parma has not been announced.
- Malik Newman joined Zenit on 29 September.
- Newman had spent three VTB League seasons with Avtodor before the move.
- He left Dynamo before the start of the current league season.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 7 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zenit Petersburg 82.7, Parma Perm 81.2. Zenit Petersburg cover +6.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 83 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Zenit Petersburg and 15 for Parma Perm, across seasons and competitions.
- Zenit lost 60-95 at UNICS Kazan on 4 October 2026, their lowest score in the 15-game sample, but beat Uralmash 92-68 at home on 25 September 2026.
- Parma won 97-88 at UNICS in their VTB League opener on 26 September 2026 and beat CSKA 86-62 in the Basket Cup on 2 October 2026, per the match preview.
- Zenit have won all 10 listed head-to-head meetings, including 74-64 at home on 10 March 2026, 92-79 at home on 24 April 2025 and 105-90 at home on 9 April 2025.
- Zenit are 1-1 in the current VTB United League table (152 scored, 163 conceded over two games); Parma are 1-0 (97 scored, 88 conceded), observed 7 October 2026.
- Parma have had 11 days since their last completed league game (26 September 2026) while Zenit played three days ago, on 4 October 2026.
- No shooting, rebounding or turnover data exists for either team this season, and no player box scores are available from either side.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonZenit Petersburg +6.5Estimated chance82.6%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zenit Petersburg 82.7, Parma Perm 81.2. Zenit Petersburg cover +2.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Zenit Petersburg and 15 for Parma Perm, across seasons and competitions.
- Zenit lost 60-95 at UNICS Kazan on 4 October 2026, their lowest score in the 15-game sample, but beat Uralmash 92-68 at home on 25 September 2026.
- Parma won 97-88 at UNICS in their VTB League opener on 26 September 2026 and beat CSKA 86-62 in the Basket Cup on 2 October 2026, per the match preview.
- Zenit have won all 10 listed head-to-head meetings, including 74-64 at home on 10 March 2026, 92-79 at home on 24 April 2025 and 105-90 at home on 9 April 2025.
- Zenit are 1-1 in the current VTB United League table (152 scored, 163 conceded over two games); Parma are 1-0 (97 scored, 88 conceded), observed 7 October 2026.
- Parma have had 11 days since their last completed league game (26 September 2026) while Zenit played three days ago, on 4 October 2026.
- No shooting, rebounding or turnover data exists for either team this season, and no player box scores are available from either side.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostZenit Petersburg +2.5Estimated chance65.8%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zenit Petersburg 82.7, Parma Perm 81.2. Parma Perm cover +4.5 (overtime included) in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Zenit lost 60-95 at UNICS Kazan on 4 October 2026, their lowest score in the 15-game sample, but beat Uralmash 92-68 at home on 25 September 2026.
- Parma won 97-88 at UNICS in their VTB League opener on 26 September 2026 and beat CSKA 86-62 in the Basket Cup on 2 October 2026, per the match preview.
- Zenit have won all 10 listed head-to-head meetings, including 74-64 at home on 10 March 2026, 92-79 at home on 24 April 2025 and 105-90 at home on 9 April 2025.
- Zenit are 1-1 in the current VTB United League table (152 scored, 163 conceded over two games); Parma are 1-0 (97 scored, 88 conceded), observed 7 October 2026.
- Parma have had 11 days since their last completed league game (26 September 2026) while Zenit played three days ago, on 4 October 2026.
- No shooting, rebounding or turnover data exists for either team this season, and no player box scores are available from either side.
BetBugs · HandicaplostParma Perm +4.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zenit Petersburg 82.7, Parma Perm 81.2. Parma Perm cover +2.5 in the 1st half in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Zenit lost 60-95 at UNICS Kazan on 4 October 2026, their lowest score in the 15-game sample, but beat Uralmash 92-68 at home on 25 September 2026.
- Parma won 97-88 at UNICS in their VTB League opener on 26 September 2026 and beat CSKA 86-62 in the Basket Cup on 2 October 2026, per the match preview.
- Zenit have won all 10 listed head-to-head meetings, including 74-64 at home on 10 March 2026, 92-79 at home on 24 April 2025 and 105-90 at home on 9 April 2025.
- Zenit are 1-1 in the current VTB United League table (152 scored, 163 conceded over two games); Parma are 1-0 (97 scored, 88 conceded), observed 7 October 2026.
- Parma have had 11 days since their last completed league game (26 September 2026) while Zenit played three days ago, on 4 October 2026.
- No shooting, rebounding or turnover data exists for either team this season, and no player box scores are available from either side.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonParma Perm +2.5Estimated chance56.9%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zenit Petersburg 82.7, Parma Perm 81.2. Parma Perm cover +1.5 in the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Zenit lost 60-95 at UNICS Kazan on 4 October 2026, their lowest score in the 15-game sample, but beat Uralmash 92-68 at home on 25 September 2026.
- Parma won 97-88 at UNICS in their VTB League opener on 26 September 2026 and beat CSKA 86-62 in the Basket Cup on 2 October 2026, per the match preview.
- Zenit have won all 10 listed head-to-head meetings, including 74-64 at home on 10 March 2026, 92-79 at home on 24 April 2025 and 105-90 at home on 9 April 2025.
- Zenit are 1-1 in the current VTB United League table (152 scored, 163 conceded over two games); Parma are 1-0 (97 scored, 88 conceded), observed 7 October 2026.
- Parma have had 11 days since their last completed league game (26 September 2026) while Zenit played three days ago, on 4 October 2026.
- No shooting, rebounding or turnover data exists for either team this season, and no player box scores are available from either side.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicaplostParma Perm +1.5Estimated chance56.4%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zenit Petersburg 82.7, Parma Perm 81.2. Zenit Petersburg win in about 55 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Zenit lost 60-95 at UNICS Kazan on 4 October 2026, their lowest score in the 15-game sample, but beat Uralmash 92-68 at home on 25 September 2026.
- Parma won 97-88 at UNICS in their VTB League opener on 26 September 2026 and beat CSKA 86-62 in the Basket Cup on 2 October 2026, per the match preview.
- Zenit have won all 10 listed head-to-head meetings, including 74-64 at home on 10 March 2026, 92-79 at home on 24 April 2025 and 105-90 at home on 9 April 2025.
- Zenit are 1-1 in the current VTB United League table (152 scored, 163 conceded over two games); Parma are 1-0 (97 scored, 88 conceded), observed 7 October 2026.
- Parma have had 11 days since their last completed league game (26 September 2026) while Zenit played three days ago, on 4 October 2026.
- No shooting, rebounding or turnover data exists for either team this season, and no player box scores are available from either side.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonZenit PetersburgEstimated chance54.7%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zenit Petersburg 82.7, Parma Perm 81.2. Zenit Petersburg are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 52 of 100 games like this.
- Zenit lost 60-95 at UNICS Kazan on 4 October 2026, their lowest score in the 15-game sample, but beat Uralmash 92-68 at home on 25 September 2026.
- Parma won 97-88 at UNICS in their VTB League opener on 26 September 2026 and beat CSKA 86-62 in the Basket Cup on 2 October 2026, per the match preview.
- Zenit have won all 10 listed head-to-head meetings, including 74-64 at home on 10 March 2026, 92-79 at home on 24 April 2025 and 105-90 at home on 9 April 2025.
- Zenit are 1-1 in the current VTB United League table (152 scored, 163 conceded over two games); Parma are 1-0 (97 scored, 88 conceded), observed 7 October 2026.
- Parma have had 11 days since their last completed league game (26 September 2026) while Zenit played three days ago, on 4 October 2026.
- No shooting, rebounding or turnover data exists for either team this season, and no player box scores are available from either side.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonZenit PetersburgEstimated chance52.4%

Points3 of 5 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zenit Petersburg 82.7, Parma Perm 81.2. Parma Perm score more than 79.5 points (overtime included) in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Zenit lost 60-95 at UNICS Kazan on 4 October 2026, their lowest score in the 15-game sample, but beat Uralmash 92-68 at home on 25 September 2026.
- Parma won 97-88 at UNICS in their VTB League opener on 26 September 2026 and beat CSKA 86-62 in the Basket Cup on 2 October 2026, per the match preview.
- Zenit have won all 10 listed head-to-head meetings, including 74-64 at home on 10 March 2026, 92-79 at home on 24 April 2025 and 105-90 at home on 9 April 2025.
- Zenit are 1-1 in the current VTB United League table (152 scored, 163 conceded over two games); Parma are 1-0 (97 scored, 88 conceded), observed 7 October 2026.
- Parma have had 11 days since their last completed league game (26 September 2026) while Zenit played three days ago, on 4 October 2026.
- No shooting, rebounding or turnover data exists for either team this season, and no player box scores are available from either side.
BetBugs · Team PointswonParma Perm over 79.5Estimated chance58.1%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zenit Petersburg 82.7, Parma Perm 81.2. Zenit Petersburg score fewer than 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Zenit lost 60-95 at UNICS Kazan on 4 October 2026, their lowest score in the 15-game sample, but beat Uralmash 92-68 at home on 25 September 2026.
- Parma won 97-88 at UNICS in their VTB League opener on 26 September 2026 and beat CSKA 86-62 in the Basket Cup on 2 October 2026, per the match preview.
- Zenit have won all 10 listed head-to-head meetings, including 74-64 at home on 10 March 2026, 92-79 at home on 24 April 2025 and 105-90 at home on 9 April 2025.
- Zenit are 1-1 in the current VTB United League table (152 scored, 163 conceded over two games); Parma are 1-0 (97 scored, 88 conceded), observed 7 October 2026.
- Parma have had 11 days since their last completed league game (26 September 2026) while Zenit played three days ago, on 4 October 2026.
- No shooting, rebounding or turnover data exists for either team this season, and no player box scores are available from either side.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostZenit Petersburg under 21.5Estimated chance56.6%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zenit Petersburg 82.7, Parma Perm 81.2. Parma Perm score more than 19.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Zenit lost 60-95 at UNICS Kazan on 4 October 2026, their lowest score in the 15-game sample, but beat Uralmash 92-68 at home on 25 September 2026.
- Parma won 97-88 at UNICS in their VTB League opener on 26 September 2026 and beat CSKA 86-62 in the Basket Cup on 2 October 2026, per the match preview.
- Zenit have won all 10 listed head-to-head meetings, including 74-64 at home on 10 March 2026, 92-79 at home on 24 April 2025 and 105-90 at home on 9 April 2025.
- Zenit are 1-1 in the current VTB United League table (152 scored, 163 conceded over two games); Parma are 1-0 (97 scored, 88 conceded), observed 7 October 2026.
- Parma have had 11 days since their last completed league game (26 September 2026) while Zenit played three days ago, on 4 October 2026.
- No shooting, rebounding or turnover data exists for either team this season, and no player box scores are available from either side.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonParma Perm over 19.5Estimated chance56.5%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zenit Petersburg 82.7, Parma Perm 81.2. Parma Perm score more than 19.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Zenit lost 60-95 at UNICS Kazan on 4 October 2026, their lowest score in the 15-game sample, but beat Uralmash 92-68 at home on 25 September 2026.
- Parma won 97-88 at UNICS in their VTB League opener on 26 September 2026 and beat CSKA 86-62 in the Basket Cup on 2 October 2026, per the match preview.
- Zenit have won all 10 listed head-to-head meetings, including 74-64 at home on 10 March 2026, 92-79 at home on 24 April 2025 and 105-90 at home on 9 April 2025.
- Zenit are 1-1 in the current VTB United League table (152 scored, 163 conceded over two games); Parma are 1-0 (97 scored, 88 conceded), observed 7 October 2026.
- Parma have had 11 days since their last completed league game (26 September 2026) while Zenit played three days ago, on 4 October 2026.
- No shooting, rebounding or turnover data exists for either team this season, and no player box scores are available from either side.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostParma Perm over 19.5Estimated chance56.4%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zenit Petersburg 82.7, Parma Perm 81.2. Parma Perm score more than 39.5 points in the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Zenit lost 60-95 at UNICS Kazan on 4 October 2026, their lowest score in the 15-game sample, but beat Uralmash 92-68 at home on 25 September 2026.
- Parma won 97-88 at UNICS in their VTB League opener on 26 September 2026 and beat CSKA 86-62 in the Basket Cup on 2 October 2026, per the match preview.
- Zenit have won all 10 listed head-to-head meetings, including 74-64 at home on 10 March 2026, 92-79 at home on 24 April 2025 and 105-90 at home on 9 April 2025.
- Zenit are 1-1 in the current VTB United League table (152 scored, 163 conceded over two games); Parma are 1-0 (97 scored, 88 conceded), observed 7 October 2026.
- Parma have had 11 days since their last completed league game (26 September 2026) while Zenit played three days ago, on 4 October 2026.
- No shooting, rebounding or turnover data exists for either team this season, and no player box scores are available from either side.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonParma Perm over 39.5Estimated chance56.3%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 6, 19:40

Selected line

163.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

53%

Chance of 164+ points

+1 pp above break-even

Over 1.94 needs 52% to break even. BetBugs sees 53%.

Move the line main 163.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 53%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 47%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W74–64

Zenit Petersburgv

Parma Perm

Mar 10, 2026·VTB

W78–84

Parma Permv

Zenit Petersburg

Feb 22, 2026·VTB

W77–85

Parma Permv

Zenit Petersburg

Jan 4, 2026·VTB

W82–79

Zenit Petersburgv

Parma Perm

Oct 29, 2025·VTB

W74–91

Parma Permv

Zenit Petersburg

Apr 27, 2025·VTB

W92–79

Zenit Petersburgv

Parma Perm

Apr 24, 2025·VTB

W102–68

Zenit Petersburgv

Parma Perm

Apr 22, 2025·VTB

W105–90

Zenit Petersburgv

Parma Perm

Apr 9, 2025·VTB

W58–74

Parma Permv

Zenit Petersburg

Feb 8, 2025·VTB

W74–86

Parma Permv

Zenit Petersburg

Nov 17, 2024·VTB

161.6Avg total points

13.4Avg margin

10meetings

League table

VTB United League Promo-Cup · VTB United League - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Zenit Petersburg

1–150%

Parma Perm

1–0100%

Recent Form

Zenit Petersburg

5W 10L · last 15

at Unics Kazan60–95 Oct 4VTB

vs Uralmash Ekaterinburg92–68 Sep 25VTB

at Igokea79–83 Sep 20VTB

vs Anadolu Efes76–100 Sep 18VTB

at Unics Kazan73–78 Sep 17VTB

vs Lokomotiv Kuban76–84 Jun 12VTB

at Lokomotiv Kuban85–91 Jun 9VTB

at Lokomotiv Kuban81–85 Jun 7VTB

vs Lokomotiv Kuban64–61 Jun 3VTB

vs Lokomotiv Kuban82–80 Jun 1VTB

at Unics Kazan55–64 May 28VTB

vs Unics Kazan73–78 May 25VTB

at Unics Kazan66–83 May 22VTB

vs Unics Kazan81–77 May 19VTB

vs Unics Kazan103–74 May 17VTB

Parma Perm

7W 8L · last 15

at Unics Kazan97–88 Sep 26VTB

vs Lokomotiv Kuban82–87 May 3VTB

at Lokomotiv Kuban76–79 Apr 29VTB

at Lokomotiv Kuban80–93 Apr 27VTB

at Lokomotiv Kuban88–95 Apr 18VTB

at Saratov73–60 Apr 15VTB

vs Samara76–65 Apr 8VTB

at Enisey78–73 Apr 5VTB

at Enisey78–97 Mar 28VTB

at CSKA Moscow83–91 Mar 22VTB

vs Unics Kazan80–77 Mar 19VTB

at Uralmash Ekaterinburg87–79 Mar 13VTB

at Zenit Petersburg64–74 Mar 10VTB

at MBA Moscow66–78 Mar 7VTB

vs Enisey81–70 Mar 4VTB

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Zenit Petersburg

0 games

Stats

0–0

Parma Perm

0 games

Not enough shared stats for a comparison.

Shooting· 0–0

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Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s—

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Free throws per shot—

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Possession· 0–0

Rebounds per game—

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Turnovers per game—

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Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.