FIBA Europe CupAOT

Predictions graded

Sporting CP79Rilski Sportist75

Regulation 68-68Wed 7 Oct 2026, 18:30 Predictions graded

Predictions14–961%

Points by period: Sporting CP and Rilski Sportist.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT
Sporting CP	20	23	15	10	11
Rilski Sportist	16	18	13	21	7

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Sporting CP open Group C against a Rilski Sportist team whose only competitive game this season was an 80-126 loss at Breogan.

The expected score after 40 minutes is 86.5-82.5 to Sporting, who come out ahead in about 62 of 100 games like this including overtime, though Rilski's shooting in last season's Bulgarian league keeps the counterargument alive. No prices are available for this game, so these forecasts are unpriced, and all of them carry low confidence.

Context

Rilski have a 23-day gap since their last completed competitive game and only an 80-126 defeat at Breogan this season, while Sporting have already played and lost twice. Rui Palhares has not appeared in either Sporting game and his availability here is unconfirmed.

Sporting’s first two official games ended in losses after close stretches. Bernardo Pires described a new squad and new staff working through a rebuild after the Benfica game. The Rilski meeting is therefore the side’s first Europe Cup test during an early period of adjustment.
- Sporting lost 80-76 to FC Porto in the Supercup on 26 September.
- Sporting lost 84-71 at Benfica in the league on 3 October.
- Both defeats were decided by late swings in the game.
O’Reilly moved from missing the Supercup to starting against Benfica seven days later. His return gives Sporting a recently restored option before the Europe Cup opener, although the match-day squad against Rilski remains to be confirmed.
- Liam O’Reilly started against Benfica on 3 October.
- He had not been available for Sporting’s Supercup game against FC Porto on 26 September.
Palhares missed Sporting’s first two official games of the season. His selection for the Rilski match has not been confirmed.
- Rui Palhares was absent from Sporting’s squad against Benfica on 3 October.
- He was also unavailable for the Supercup game against FC Porto on 26 September.
The Beroe win closed Rilski’s preparation games. Sporting coach Bernardo Pires noted that Bulgaria’s league had not yet started, limiting recent competitive material on the visitors. The result is preparation form rather than an official competitive outcome.
- Rilski Sportist beat Beroe 98-90 on 2 October.
- Rilski’s domestic league campaign was scheduled to begin on 11 October.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result7 of 8 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sporting CP 86.5, Rilski Sportist 82.5. Sporting CP cover +6.5 (overtime included) in about 79 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Sporting CP and 15 for Rilski Sportist, across seasons and competitions.
- Sporting scored 71 and 76 in their two 2026-27 official games, losing at Benfica (3 Oct) and to FC Porto in the Super Cup (26 Sep).
- Rilski's only 2026-27 competitive game was an 80-126 loss at Breogan in the Champions League on 14 Sep.
- Across 14 Bulgarian NBL games from March-May 2026, Rilski averaged 94.6 points and allowed 86.4, but their 31.0 rebounds per game were 7.1 fewer than Sporting's 15-game average.
- Sporting's 15-game sample (Mar-May 2026) shows 83.0 points scored, 77.4 allowed, 38.1 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers per game.
- Rilski shot 61.2% on two-pointers and 36.0% on threes in those 14 NBL games, while Sporting shot 54.7% and 28.9% respectively over 15 games.
BetBugs · HandicapwonSporting CP +6.5Estimated chance78.8%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sporting CP 86.5, Rilski Sportist 82.5. Sporting CP cover +3.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 74 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Sporting CP and 15 for Rilski Sportist, across seasons and competitions.
- Sporting scored 71 and 76 in their two 2026-27 official games, losing at Benfica (3 Oct) and to FC Porto in the Super Cup (26 Sep).
- Rilski's only 2026-27 competitive game was an 80-126 loss at Breogan in the Champions League on 14 Sep.
- Across 14 Bulgarian NBL games from March-May 2026, Rilski averaged 94.6 points and allowed 86.4, but their 31.0 rebounds per game were 7.1 fewer than Sporting's 15-game average.
- Sporting's 15-game sample (Mar-May 2026) shows 83.0 points scored, 77.4 allowed, 38.1 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers per game.
- Rilski shot 61.2% on two-pointers and 36.0% on threes in those 14 NBL games, while Sporting shot 54.7% and 28.9% respectively over 15 games.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonSporting CP +3.5Estimated chance74.3%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sporting CP 86.5, Rilski Sportist 82.5. Sporting CP cover +2.5 in the 1st quarter in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Sporting CP and 15 for Rilski Sportist, across seasons and competitions.
- Sporting scored 71 and 76 in their two 2026-27 official games, losing at Benfica (3 Oct) and to FC Porto in the Super Cup (26 Sep).
- Rilski's only 2026-27 competitive game was an 80-126 loss at Breogan in the Champions League on 14 Sep.
- Across 14 Bulgarian NBL games from March-May 2026, Rilski averaged 94.6 points and allowed 86.4, but their 31.0 rebounds per game were 7.1 fewer than Sporting's 15-game average.
- Sporting's 15-game sample (Mar-May 2026) shows 83.0 points scored, 77.4 allowed, 38.1 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers per game.
- Rilski shot 61.2% on two-pointers and 36.0% on threes in those 14 NBL games, while Sporting shot 54.7% and 28.9% respectively over 15 games.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapwonSporting CP +2.5Estimated chance68.7%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sporting CP 86.5, Rilski Sportist 82.5. Sporting CP win in about 62 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Sporting scored 71 and 76 in their two 2026-27 official games, losing at Benfica (3 Oct) and to FC Porto in the Super Cup (26 Sep).
- Rilski's only 2026-27 competitive game was an 80-126 loss at Breogan in the Champions League on 14 Sep.
- Across 14 Bulgarian NBL games from March-May 2026, Rilski averaged 94.6 points and allowed 86.4, but their 31.0 rebounds per game were 7.1 fewer than Sporting's 15-game average.
- Sporting's 15-game sample (Mar-May 2026) shows 83.0 points scored, 77.4 allowed, 38.1 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers per game.
- Rilski shot 61.2% on two-pointers and 36.0% on threes in those 14 NBL games, while Sporting shot 54.7% and 28.9% respectively over 15 games.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonSporting CPEstimated chance62.4%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sporting CP 86.5, Rilski Sportist 82.5. Sporting CP are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Sporting scored 71 and 76 in their two 2026-27 official games, losing at Benfica (3 Oct) and to FC Porto in the Super Cup (26 Sep).
- Rilski's only 2026-27 competitive game was an 80-126 loss at Breogan in the Champions League on 14 Sep.
- Across 14 Bulgarian NBL games from March-May 2026, Rilski averaged 94.6 points and allowed 86.4, but their 31.0 rebounds per game were 7.1 fewer than Sporting's 15-game average.
- Sporting's 15-game sample (Mar-May 2026) shows 83.0 points scored, 77.4 allowed, 38.1 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers per game.
- Rilski shot 61.2% on two-pointers and 36.0% on threes in those 14 NBL games, while Sporting shot 54.7% and 28.9% respectively over 15 games.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minlostSporting CPEstimated chance60.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sporting CP 86.5, Rilski Sportist 82.5. Sporting CP cover +0.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Sporting CP and 15 for Rilski Sportist, across seasons and competitions.
- Sporting scored 71 and 76 in their two 2026-27 official games, losing at Benfica (3 Oct) and to FC Porto in the Super Cup (26 Sep).
- Rilski's only 2026-27 competitive game was an 80-126 loss at Breogan in the Champions League on 14 Sep.
- Across 14 Bulgarian NBL games from March-May 2026, Rilski averaged 94.6 points and allowed 86.4, but their 31.0 rebounds per game were 7.1 fewer than Sporting's 15-game average.
- Sporting's 15-game sample (Mar-May 2026) shows 83.0 points scored, 77.4 allowed, 38.1 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers per game.
- Rilski shot 61.2% on two-pointers and 36.0% on threes in those 14 NBL games, while Sporting shot 54.7% and 28.9% respectively over 15 games.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonSporting CP +0.5Estimated chance57.4%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sporting CP 86.5, Rilski Sportist 82.5. Sporting CP are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Sporting scored 71 and 76 in their two 2026-27 official games, losing at Benfica (3 Oct) and to FC Porto in the Super Cup (26 Sep).
- Rilski's only 2026-27 competitive game was an 80-126 loss at Breogan in the Champions League on 14 Sep.
- Across 14 Bulgarian NBL games from March-May 2026, Rilski averaged 94.6 points and allowed 86.4, but their 31.0 rebounds per game were 7.1 fewer than Sporting's 15-game average.
- Sporting's 15-game sample (Mar-May 2026) shows 83.0 points scored, 77.4 allowed, 38.1 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers per game.
- Rilski shot 61.2% on two-pointers and 36.0% on threes in those 14 NBL games, while Sporting shot 54.7% and 28.9% respectively over 15 games.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonSporting CPEstimated chance57.1%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sporting CP 86.5, Rilski Sportist 82.5. Sporting CP cover -0.5 in the 1st half in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Sporting CP and 15 for Rilski Sportist, across seasons and competitions.
- Sporting scored 71 and 76 in their two 2026-27 official games, losing at Benfica (3 Oct) and to FC Porto in the Super Cup (26 Sep).
- Rilski's only 2026-27 competitive game was an 80-126 loss at Breogan in the Champions League on 14 Sep.
- Across 14 Bulgarian NBL games from March-May 2026, Rilski averaged 94.6 points and allowed 86.4, but their 31.0 rebounds per game were 7.1 fewer than Sporting's 15-game average.
- Sporting's 15-game sample (Mar-May 2026) shows 83.0 points scored, 77.4 allowed, 38.1 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers per game.
- Rilski shot 61.2% on two-pointers and 36.0% on threes in those 14 NBL games, while Sporting shot 54.7% and 28.9% respectively over 15 games.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonSporting CP -0.5Estimated chance57.1%

Points7 of 15 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sporting CP 86.5, Rilski Sportist 82.5. The game has more than 156.5 points (overtime included) in about 79 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Sporting CP and 15 for Rilski Sportist, across seasons and competitions.
- Sporting scored 71 and 76 in their two 2026-27 official games, losing at Benfica (3 Oct) and to FC Porto in the Super Cup (26 Sep).
- Rilski's only 2026-27 competitive game was an 80-126 loss at Breogan in the Champions League on 14 Sep.
- Across 14 Bulgarian NBL games from March-May 2026, Rilski averaged 94.6 points and allowed 86.4, but their 31.0 rebounds per game were 7.1 fewer than Sporting's 15-game average.
- Sporting's 15-game sample (Mar-May 2026) shows 83.0 points scored, 77.4 allowed, 38.1 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers per game.
- Rilski shot 61.2% on two-pointers and 36.0% on threes in those 14 NBL games, while Sporting shot 54.7% and 28.9% respectively over 15 games.
BetBugs · Total PointslostOver 156.5Estimated chance78.9%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sporting CP 86.5, Rilski Sportist 82.5. The 1st quarter has more than 37.5 points in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Sporting CP and 15 for Rilski Sportist, across seasons and competitions.
- Sporting scored 71 and 76 in their two 2026-27 official games, losing at Benfica (3 Oct) and to FC Porto in the Super Cup (26 Sep).
- Rilski's only 2026-27 competitive game was an 80-126 loss at Breogan in the Champions League on 14 Sep.
- Across 14 Bulgarian NBL games from March-May 2026, Rilski averaged 94.6 points and allowed 86.4, but their 31.0 rebounds per game were 7.1 fewer than Sporting's 15-game average.
- Sporting's 15-game sample (Mar-May 2026) shows 83.0 points scored, 77.4 allowed, 38.1 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers per game.
- Rilski shot 61.2% on two-pointers and 36.0% on threes in those 14 NBL games, while Sporting shot 54.7% and 28.9% respectively over 15 games.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointslostOver 37.5Estimated chance74.7%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sporting CP 86.5, Rilski Sportist 82.5. The 2nd quarter has fewer than 46.5 points in about 72 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Sporting CP and 15 for Rilski Sportist, across seasons and competitions.
- Sporting scored 71 and 76 in their two 2026-27 official games, losing at Benfica (3 Oct) and to FC Porto in the Super Cup (26 Sep).
- Rilski's only 2026-27 competitive game was an 80-126 loss at Breogan in the Champions League on 14 Sep.
- Across 14 Bulgarian NBL games from March-May 2026, Rilski averaged 94.6 points and allowed 86.4, but their 31.0 rebounds per game were 7.1 fewer than Sporting's 15-game average.
- Sporting's 15-game sample (Mar-May 2026) shows 83.0 points scored, 77.4 allowed, 38.1 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers per game.
- Rilski shot 61.2% on two-pointers and 36.0% on threes in those 14 NBL games, while Sporting shot 54.7% and 28.9% respectively over 15 games.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 46.5Estimated chance71.7%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sporting CP 86.5, Rilski Sportist 82.5. Rilski Sportist score more than 38.5 points in the 1st half in about 65 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Sporting CP and 15 for Rilski Sportist, across seasons and competitions.
- Sporting scored 71 and 76 in their two 2026-27 official games, losing at Benfica (3 Oct) and to FC Porto in the Super Cup (26 Sep).
- Rilski's only 2026-27 competitive game was an 80-126 loss at Breogan in the Champions League on 14 Sep.
- Across 14 Bulgarian NBL games from March-May 2026, Rilski averaged 94.6 points and allowed 86.4, but their 31.0 rebounds per game were 7.1 fewer than Sporting's 15-game average.
- Sporting's 15-game sample (Mar-May 2026) shows 83.0 points scored, 77.4 allowed, 38.1 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers per game.
- Rilski shot 61.2% on two-pointers and 36.0% on threes in those 14 NBL games, while Sporting shot 54.7% and 28.9% respectively over 15 games.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostRilski Sportist over 38.5Estimated chance64.9%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sporting CP 86.5, Rilski Sportist 82.5. Rilski Sportist score fewer than 22.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Sporting CP and 15 for Rilski Sportist, across seasons and competitions.
- Sporting scored 71 and 76 in their two 2026-27 official games, losing at Benfica (3 Oct) and to FC Porto in the Super Cup (26 Sep).
- Rilski's only 2026-27 competitive game was an 80-126 loss at Breogan in the Champions League on 14 Sep.
- Across 14 Bulgarian NBL games from March-May 2026, Rilski averaged 94.6 points and allowed 86.4, but their 31.0 rebounds per game were 7.1 fewer than Sporting's 15-game average.
- Sporting's 15-game sample (Mar-May 2026) shows 83.0 points scored, 77.4 allowed, 38.1 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers per game.
- Rilski shot 61.2% on two-pointers and 36.0% on threes in those 14 NBL games, while Sporting shot 54.7% and 28.9% respectively over 15 games.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonRilski Sportist under 22.5Estimated chance64.7%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sporting CP 86.5, Rilski Sportist 82.5. Sporting CP score more than 83.5 points (overtime included) in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Sporting CP and 15 for Rilski Sportist, across seasons and competitions.
- Sporting scored 71 and 76 in their two 2026-27 official games, losing at Benfica (3 Oct) and to FC Porto in the Super Cup (26 Sep).
- Rilski's only 2026-27 competitive game was an 80-126 loss at Breogan in the Champions League on 14 Sep.
- Across 14 Bulgarian NBL games from March-May 2026, Rilski averaged 94.6 points and allowed 86.4, but their 31.0 rebounds per game were 7.1 fewer than Sporting's 15-game average.
- Sporting's 15-game sample (Mar-May 2026) shows 83.0 points scored, 77.4 allowed, 38.1 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers per game.
- Rilski shot 61.2% on two-pointers and 36.0% on threes in those 14 NBL games, while Sporting shot 54.7% and 28.9% respectively over 15 games.
BetBugs · Team PointslostSporting CP over 83.5Estimated chance63.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sporting CP 86.5, Rilski Sportist 82.5. Rilski Sportist score fewer than 86.5 points (overtime included) in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Sporting CP and 15 for Rilski Sportist, across seasons and competitions.
- Sporting scored 71 and 76 in their two 2026-27 official games, losing at Benfica (3 Oct) and to FC Porto in the Super Cup (26 Sep).
- Rilski's only 2026-27 competitive game was an 80-126 loss at Breogan in the Champions League on 14 Sep.
- Across 14 Bulgarian NBL games from March-May 2026, Rilski averaged 94.6 points and allowed 86.4, but their 31.0 rebounds per game were 7.1 fewer than Sporting's 15-game average.
- Sporting's 15-game sample (Mar-May 2026) shows 83.0 points scored, 77.4 allowed, 38.1 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers per game.
- Rilski shot 61.2% on two-pointers and 36.0% on threes in those 14 NBL games, while Sporting shot 54.7% and 28.9% respectively over 15 games.
BetBugs · Team PointswonRilski Sportist under 86.5Estimated chance63%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sporting CP 86.5, Rilski Sportist 82.5. The 1st half has more than 81.5 points in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Sporting CP and 15 for Rilski Sportist, across seasons and competitions.
- Sporting scored 71 and 76 in their two 2026-27 official games, losing at Benfica (3 Oct) and to FC Porto in the Super Cup (26 Sep).
- Rilski's only 2026-27 competitive game was an 80-126 loss at Breogan in the Champions League on 14 Sep.
- Across 14 Bulgarian NBL games from March-May 2026, Rilski averaged 94.6 points and allowed 86.4, but their 31.0 rebounds per game were 7.1 fewer than Sporting's 15-game average.
- Sporting's 15-game sample (Mar-May 2026) shows 83.0 points scored, 77.4 allowed, 38.1 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers per game.
- Rilski shot 61.2% on two-pointers and 36.0% on threes in those 14 NBL games, while Sporting shot 54.7% and 28.9% respectively over 15 games.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostOver 81.5Estimated chance61.8%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sporting CP 86.5, Rilski Sportist 82.5. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 43.5 points in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Sporting CP and 15 for Rilski Sportist, across seasons and competitions.
- Sporting scored 71 and 76 in their two 2026-27 official games, losing at Benfica (3 Oct) and to FC Porto in the Super Cup (26 Sep).
- Rilski's only 2026-27 competitive game was an 80-126 loss at Breogan in the Champions League on 14 Sep.
- Across 14 Bulgarian NBL games from March-May 2026, Rilski averaged 94.6 points and allowed 86.4, but their 31.0 rebounds per game were 7.1 fewer than Sporting's 15-game average.
- Sporting's 15-game sample (Mar-May 2026) shows 83.0 points scored, 77.4 allowed, 38.1 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers per game.
- Rilski shot 61.2% on two-pointers and 36.0% on threes in those 14 NBL games, while Sporting shot 54.7% and 28.9% respectively over 15 games.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 43.5Estimated chance59.1%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sporting CP 86.5, Rilski Sportist 82.5. Sporting CP score more than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Sporting CP and 15 for Rilski Sportist, across seasons and competitions.
- Sporting scored 71 and 76 in their two 2026-27 official games, losing at Benfica (3 Oct) and to FC Porto in the Super Cup (26 Sep).
- Rilski's only 2026-27 competitive game was an 80-126 loss at Breogan in the Champions League on 14 Sep.
- Across 14 Bulgarian NBL games from March-May 2026, Rilski averaged 94.6 points and allowed 86.4, but their 31.0 rebounds per game were 7.1 fewer than Sporting's 15-game average.
- Sporting's 15-game sample (Mar-May 2026) shows 83.0 points scored, 77.4 allowed, 38.1 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers per game.
- Rilski shot 61.2% on two-pointers and 36.0% on threes in those 14 NBL games, while Sporting shot 54.7% and 28.9% respectively over 15 games.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostSporting CP over 20.5Estimated chance58.7%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sporting CP 86.5, Rilski Sportist 82.5. Rilski Sportist score fewer than 21.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Sporting CP and 15 for Rilski Sportist, across seasons and competitions.
- Sporting scored 71 and 76 in their two 2026-27 official games, losing at Benfica (3 Oct) and to FC Porto in the Super Cup (26 Sep).
- Rilski's only 2026-27 competitive game was an 80-126 loss at Breogan in the Champions League on 14 Sep.
- Across 14 Bulgarian NBL games from March-May 2026, Rilski averaged 94.6 points and allowed 86.4, but their 31.0 rebounds per game were 7.1 fewer than Sporting's 15-game average.
- Sporting's 15-game sample (Mar-May 2026) shows 83.0 points scored, 77.4 allowed, 38.1 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers per game.
- Rilski shot 61.2% on two-pointers and 36.0% on threes in those 14 NBL games, while Sporting shot 54.7% and 28.9% respectively over 15 games.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonRilski Sportist under 21.5Estimated chance57.9%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sporting CP 86.5, Rilski Sportist 82.5. Rilski Sportist score fewer than 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Sporting CP and 15 for Rilski Sportist, across seasons and competitions.
- Sporting scored 71 and 76 in their two 2026-27 official games, losing at Benfica (3 Oct) and to FC Porto in the Super Cup (26 Sep).
- Rilski's only 2026-27 competitive game was an 80-126 loss at Breogan in the Champions League on 14 Sep.
- Across 14 Bulgarian NBL games from March-May 2026, Rilski averaged 94.6 points and allowed 86.4, but their 31.0 rebounds per game were 7.1 fewer than Sporting's 15-game average.
- Sporting's 15-game sample (Mar-May 2026) shows 83.0 points scored, 77.4 allowed, 38.1 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers per game.
- Rilski shot 61.2% on two-pointers and 36.0% on threes in those 14 NBL games, while Sporting shot 54.7% and 28.9% respectively over 15 games.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonRilski Sportist under 21.5Estimated chance56.7%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sporting CP 86.5, Rilski Sportist 82.5. Sporting CP score more than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Sporting CP and 15 for Rilski Sportist, across seasons and competitions.
- Sporting scored 71 and 76 in their two 2026-27 official games, losing at Benfica (3 Oct) and to FC Porto in the Super Cup (26 Sep).
- Rilski's only 2026-27 competitive game was an 80-126 loss at Breogan in the Champions League on 14 Sep.
- Across 14 Bulgarian NBL games from March-May 2026, Rilski averaged 94.6 points and allowed 86.4, but their 31.0 rebounds per game were 7.1 fewer than Sporting's 15-game average.
- Sporting's 15-game sample (Mar-May 2026) shows 83.0 points scored, 77.4 allowed, 38.1 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers per game.
- Rilski shot 61.2% on two-pointers and 36.0% on threes in those 14 NBL games, while Sporting shot 54.7% and 28.9% respectively over 15 games.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostSporting CP over 20.5Estimated chance56.4%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sporting CP 86.5, Rilski Sportist 82.5. Sporting CP score more than 42.5 points in the 1st half in about 55 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Sporting CP and 15 for Rilski Sportist, across seasons and competitions.
- Sporting scored 71 and 76 in their two 2026-27 official games, losing at Benfica (3 Oct) and to FC Porto in the Super Cup (26 Sep).
- Rilski's only 2026-27 competitive game was an 80-126 loss at Breogan in the Champions League on 14 Sep.
- Across 14 Bulgarian NBL games from March-May 2026, Rilski averaged 94.6 points and allowed 86.4, but their 31.0 rebounds per game were 7.1 fewer than Sporting's 15-game average.
- Sporting's 15-game sample (Mar-May 2026) shows 83.0 points scored, 77.4 allowed, 38.1 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers per game.
- Rilski shot 61.2% on two-pointers and 36.0% on threes in those 14 NBL games, while Sporting shot 54.7% and 28.9% respectively over 15 games.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonSporting CP over 42.5Estimated chance55.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sporting CP 86.5, Rilski Sportist 82.5. Sporting CP score fewer than 22.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Sporting CP and 15 for Rilski Sportist, across seasons and competitions.
- Sporting scored 71 and 76 in their two 2026-27 official games, losing at Benfica (3 Oct) and to FC Porto in the Super Cup (26 Sep).
- Rilski's only 2026-27 competitive game was an 80-126 loss at Breogan in the Champions League on 14 Sep.
- Across 14 Bulgarian NBL games from March-May 2026, Rilski averaged 94.6 points and allowed 86.4, but their 31.0 rebounds per game were 7.1 fewer than Sporting's 15-game average.
- Sporting's 15-game sample (Mar-May 2026) shows 83.0 points scored, 77.4 allowed, 38.1 rebounds and 13.1 turnovers per game.
- Rilski shot 61.2% on two-pointers and 36.0% on threes in those 14 NBL games, while Sporting shot 54.7% and 28.9% respectively over 15 games.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostSporting CP under 22.5Estimated chance55.2%

League table

FIBA Europe Cup · FIBA Europe Cup - Regular Season · Group A

#TeamW–LWin %

Sporting CP

0–0—

Rilski Sportist

0–0—

Recent Form

Sporting CP

8W 7L · last 15

at Benfica71–84 Oct 3LPB

at FC Porto76–80 Sep 26SUP

at FC Porto86–94 May 31LPB

at FC Porto76–86 May 29LPB

vs FC Porto88–73 May 25LPB

vs FC Porto70–81 May 23LPB

at Esgueira85–73 May 14LPB

vs Esgueira109–67 May 10LPB

at Benfica79–77 May 3TAC

vs Imortal80–71 May 2TAC

at Imortal61–64 Apr 25LPB

vs CA Queluz83–69 Apr 18LPB

vs Oliveirense74–82 Apr 11LPB

at Vasco Da Gama112–81 Apr 4LPB

vs Esgueira95–79 Mar 28LPB

Rilski Sportist

11W 4L · last 15

at Breogan80–126 Sep 14CL

at Cherno More100–94 May 25NBL

vs Cherno More108–99 May 23NBL

vs Lok. Plovdiv87–92 May 20NBL

at Lok. Plovdiv88–99 May 17NBL

at Lok. Plovdiv89–99 May 15NBL

vs Lok. Plovdiv97–75 May 12NBL

vs Lok. Plovdiv87–79 May 10NBL

at Beroe90–80 May 2NBL

vs Beroe89–69 Apr 30NBL

vs Spartak Pleven109–88 Apr 25NBL

at Academic Plovdiv86–73 Apr 19NBL

vs Botev 201296–89 Apr 8NBL

vs Lok. Plovdiv100–92 Apr 5NBL

at Beroe98–81 Mar 29NBL

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Sporting CP

Stats

1–4

Rilski Sportist

Rilski Sportist leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 0–3

2-point %15/14 games+6.5pp

54.7%

+6.5pp

61.2%

3-point %15/14 games+7.1pp

28.9%

+7.1pp

36.0%

Free-throw %15/14 games+2.7pp

71.0%

+2.7pp

73.7%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s15/14 games3.7pp apart

32.0%

3.7pp apart

28.3%

Free throws per shot15/14 games0.6pp apart

36.9%

0.6pp apart

37.5%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game15/14 games+7.1

38.1

+7.1

31.0

Turnovers per game2.7 fewer

13.1

2.7 fewer

10.4

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.