Liga UPCFinished

Predictions graded

Perspektiva Ilirija82KK Krka Novo mesto83

Wed 7 Oct 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions16–770%

Points by period: Perspektiva Ilirija and KK Krka Novo mesto.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Perspektiva Ilirija	13	21	27	21
KK Krka Novo mesto	26	13	21	23

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Both teams are 2-0 in the Liga OTP banka, and this early meeting in Ljubljana gives one of them a third straight domestic win.

Krka carry the stronger case: 85.3 points scored and 74.8 conceded across their last 15 completed games, plus nine wins in the last ten head-to-heads. A 79.0-83.0 read after 40 minutes points to a narrow away win. No prices are available, so the forecasts are unpriced.

Context

Both teams played an ABA League game within five days of tip-off, Ilirija on 4 October and Krka on 2 October, so recovery is short for each. No injury, rotation or availability information is established, and both domestic records stand at 2-0.

The game brings together two of the four unbeaten sides after two Liga OTP banka rounds. Ilirija and Krka have each already completed one home and one away league result, so this is an early direct test between teams level on the domestic record.
- Perspektiva Ilirija opened league play with an 86-59 win over Gorica and an 89-79 win at ECE Triglav Kranj.
- Krka started with an 87-55 win over Šentjur and a 77-61 win over Thermana Laško.
- Both teams entered the third round without a domestic league defeat.
Okorn is guiding a group with substantial summer turnover. Edo Murić, Bine Gabrijel, Lovro Faganel, Radoslav Stanislav Raykov and Lian Boisa remained, while the club added nine players including Dean, Shelton and Hargrove. The Krka fixture is therefore part of the early competitive period for a largely rebuilt Ilirija side.
- Gašper Okorn replaced Stipe Modrić as Ilirija head coach.
- Five players from last season remained with Ilirija.
- Hunter Dean, Cameron Shelton and Cole Hargrove were among nine incoming players.
Zevnik's first Krka roster combines returning players Rebec, Mahkovic, Oman and Klobučar with several summer additions. The match against Ilirija is Krka's third domestic league outing under the new coach, following a summer of significant personnel change.
- Domen Zevnik became Krka's head coach before the 2026-27 season.
- Jan Rebec, Blaž Mahkovic, Urban Oman and Jaka Klobučar stayed with Krka.
- Jon Dolničar, Lenart Sirc, Đorđe Božić and Uroš Šikanić joined the senior team.
The fixture falls in the opening domestic-regional sequence for both clubs. Ilirija's most recent completed game was against Dubai, while Krka's was against Budućnost VOLI; the match reports do not detail any selection changes for this derby.
- Dubai beat Perspektiva Ilirija 85-70 in Ljubljana on 4 October.
- Budućnost VOLI beat Krka 77-72 in Novo mesto on 2 October.
- Both results were completed ABA League games.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result6 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.0. Perspektiva Ilirija cover +7.5 in the 1st quarter in about 82 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for KK Krka Novo mesto, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija opened the 2026-27 Liga Nova KBM with an 86-59 home win over Gorica (23 Sep) and an 89-79 away win at Triglav Kranj (30 Sep), averaging 87.5 points in the competition.
- Krka opened the same league with an 87-55 home win over Tajfun Sentjur (22 Sep) and a 77-61 home win over Zlatorog Lasko (29 Sep), allowing just 58.0 points per game.
- Over their last 15 completed games, Krka averaged 85.3 points scored and 74.8 allowed while shooting 56.4% on two-pointers and 36.3% on three-pointers (provider box scores).
- Ilirija's 15-game sample shows 84.5 points scored and 80.9 allowed with 55.0% two-point and 34.1% three-point shooting.
- Krka have won 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, including 97-74 on 23 May 2026, though Ilirija won 105-89 at home on 21 May 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicaplostPerspektiva Ilirija +7.5Estimated chance82.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.0. Perspektiva Ilirija cover +3.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for KK Krka Novo mesto, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija opened the 2026-27 Liga Nova KBM with an 86-59 home win over Gorica (23 Sep) and an 89-79 away win at Triglav Kranj (30 Sep), averaging 87.5 points in the competition.
- Krka opened the same league with an 87-55 home win over Tajfun Sentjur (22 Sep) and a 77-61 home win over Zlatorog Lasko (29 Sep), allowing just 58.0 points per game.
- Over their last 15 completed games, Krka averaged 85.3 points scored and 74.8 allowed while shooting 56.4% on two-pointers and 36.3% on three-pointers (provider box scores).
- Ilirija's 15-game sample shows 84.5 points scored and 80.9 allowed with 55.0% two-point and 34.1% three-point shooting.
- Krka have won 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, including 97-74 on 23 May 2026, though Ilirija won 105-89 at home on 21 May 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonPerspektiva Ilirija +3.5Estimated chance64.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.0. KK Krka Novo mesto win in about 62 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Ilirija opened the 2026-27 Liga Nova KBM with an 86-59 home win over Gorica (23 Sep) and an 89-79 away win at Triglav Kranj (30 Sep), averaging 87.5 points in the competition.
- Krka opened the same league with an 87-55 home win over Tajfun Sentjur (22 Sep) and a 77-61 home win over Zlatorog Lasko (29 Sep), allowing just 58.0 points per game.
- Over their last 15 completed games, Krka averaged 85.3 points scored and 74.8 allowed while shooting 56.4% on two-pointers and 36.3% on three-pointers (provider box scores).
- Ilirija's 15-game sample shows 84.5 points scored and 80.9 allowed with 55.0% two-point and 34.1% three-point shooting.
- Krka have won 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, including 97-74 on 23 May 2026, though Ilirija won 105-89 at home on 21 May 2026.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonKK Krka Novo mestoEstimated chance62.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.0. KK Krka Novo mesto cover -0.5 (overtime included) in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for KK Krka Novo mesto, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija opened the 2026-27 Liga Nova KBM with an 86-59 home win over Gorica (23 Sep) and an 89-79 away win at Triglav Kranj (30 Sep), averaging 87.5 points in the competition.
- Krka opened the same league with an 87-55 home win over Tajfun Sentjur (22 Sep) and a 77-61 home win over Zlatorog Lasko (29 Sep), allowing just 58.0 points per game.
- Over their last 15 completed games, Krka averaged 85.3 points scored and 74.8 allowed while shooting 56.4% on two-pointers and 36.3% on three-pointers (provider box scores).
- Ilirija's 15-game sample shows 84.5 points scored and 80.9 allowed with 55.0% two-point and 34.1% three-point shooting.
- Krka have won 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, including 97-74 on 23 May 2026, though Ilirija won 105-89 at home on 21 May 2026.
BetBugs · HandicapwonKK Krka Novo mesto -0.5Estimated chance62.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.0. KK Krka Novo mesto are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Ilirija opened the 2026-27 Liga Nova KBM with an 86-59 home win over Gorica (23 Sep) and an 89-79 away win at Triglav Kranj (30 Sep), averaging 87.5 points in the competition.
- Krka opened the same league with an 87-55 home win over Tajfun Sentjur (22 Sep) and a 77-61 home win over Zlatorog Lasko (29 Sep), allowing just 58.0 points per game.
- Over their last 15 completed games, Krka averaged 85.3 points scored and 74.8 allowed while shooting 56.4% on two-pointers and 36.3% on three-pointers (provider box scores).
- Ilirija's 15-game sample shows 84.5 points scored and 80.9 allowed with 55.0% two-point and 34.1% three-point shooting.
- Krka have won 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, including 97-74 on 23 May 2026, though Ilirija won 105-89 at home on 21 May 2026.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonKK Krka Novo mestoEstimated chance60.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.0. KK Krka Novo mesto cover +0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for KK Krka Novo mesto, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija opened the 2026-27 Liga Nova KBM with an 86-59 home win over Gorica (23 Sep) and an 89-79 away win at Triglav Kranj (30 Sep), averaging 87.5 points in the competition.
- Krka opened the same league with an 87-55 home win over Tajfun Sentjur (22 Sep) and a 77-61 home win over Zlatorog Lasko (29 Sep), allowing just 58.0 points per game.
- Over their last 15 completed games, Krka averaged 85.3 points scored and 74.8 allowed while shooting 56.4% on two-pointers and 36.3% on three-pointers (provider box scores).
- Ilirija's 15-game sample shows 84.5 points scored and 80.9 allowed with 55.0% two-point and 34.1% three-point shooting.
- Krka have won 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, including 97-74 on 23 May 2026, though Ilirija won 105-89 at home on 21 May 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostKK Krka Novo mesto +0.5Estimated chance59.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.0. KK Krka Novo mesto are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Ilirija opened the 2026-27 Liga Nova KBM with an 86-59 home win over Gorica (23 Sep) and an 89-79 away win at Triglav Kranj (30 Sep), averaging 87.5 points in the competition.
- Krka opened the same league with an 87-55 home win over Tajfun Sentjur (22 Sep) and a 77-61 home win over Zlatorog Lasko (29 Sep), allowing just 58.0 points per game.
- Over their last 15 completed games, Krka averaged 85.3 points scored and 74.8 allowed while shooting 56.4% on two-pointers and 36.3% on three-pointers (provider box scores).
- Ilirija's 15-game sample shows 84.5 points scored and 80.9 allowed with 55.0% two-point and 34.1% three-point shooting.
- Krka have won 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, including 97-74 on 23 May 2026, though Ilirija won 105-89 at home on 21 May 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonKK Krka Novo mestoEstimated chance57.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.0. KK Krka Novo mesto cover -0.5 in the 1st half in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for KK Krka Novo mesto, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija opened the 2026-27 Liga Nova KBM with an 86-59 home win over Gorica (23 Sep) and an 89-79 away win at Triglav Kranj (30 Sep), averaging 87.5 points in the competition.
- Krka opened the same league with an 87-55 home win over Tajfun Sentjur (22 Sep) and a 77-61 home win over Zlatorog Lasko (29 Sep), allowing just 58.0 points per game.
- Over their last 15 completed games, Krka averaged 85.3 points scored and 74.8 allowed while shooting 56.4% on two-pointers and 36.3% on three-pointers (provider box scores).
- Ilirija's 15-game sample shows 84.5 points scored and 80.9 allowed with 55.0% two-point and 34.1% three-point shooting.
- Krka have won 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, including 97-74 on 23 May 2026, though Ilirija won 105-89 at home on 21 May 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonKK Krka Novo mesto -0.5Estimated chance57.1%

Points10 of 15 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.0. Perspektiva Ilirija score more than 14.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 84 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for KK Krka Novo mesto, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija opened the 2026-27 Liga Nova KBM with an 86-59 home win over Gorica (23 Sep) and an 89-79 away win at Triglav Kranj (30 Sep), averaging 87.5 points in the competition.
- Krka opened the same league with an 87-55 home win over Tajfun Sentjur (22 Sep) and a 77-61 home win over Zlatorog Lasko (29 Sep), allowing just 58.0 points per game.
- Over their last 15 completed games, Krka averaged 85.3 points scored and 74.8 allowed while shooting 56.4% on two-pointers and 36.3% on three-pointers (provider box scores).
- Ilirija's 15-game sample shows 84.5 points scored and 80.9 allowed with 55.0% two-point and 34.1% three-point shooting.
- Krka have won 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, including 97-74 on 23 May 2026, though Ilirija won 105-89 at home on 21 May 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonPerspektiva Ilirija over 14.5Estimated chance83.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.0. The 2nd quarter has more than 34.5 points in about 81 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for KK Krka Novo mesto, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija opened the 2026-27 Liga Nova KBM with an 86-59 home win over Gorica (23 Sep) and an 89-79 away win at Triglav Kranj (30 Sep), averaging 87.5 points in the competition.
- Krka opened the same league with an 87-55 home win over Tajfun Sentjur (22 Sep) and a 77-61 home win over Zlatorog Lasko (29 Sep), allowing just 58.0 points per game.
- Over their last 15 completed games, Krka averaged 85.3 points scored and 74.8 allowed while shooting 56.4% on two-pointers and 36.3% on three-pointers (provider box scores).
- Ilirija's 15-game sample shows 84.5 points scored and 80.9 allowed with 55.0% two-point and 34.1% three-point shooting.
- Krka have won 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, including 97-74 on 23 May 2026, though Ilirija won 105-89 at home on 21 May 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointslostOver 34.5Estimated chance80.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.0. KK Krka Novo mesto score more than 16.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 80 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for KK Krka Novo mesto, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija opened the 2026-27 Liga Nova KBM with an 86-59 home win over Gorica (23 Sep) and an 89-79 away win at Triglav Kranj (30 Sep), averaging 87.5 points in the competition.
- Krka opened the same league with an 87-55 home win over Tajfun Sentjur (22 Sep) and a 77-61 home win over Zlatorog Lasko (29 Sep), allowing just 58.0 points per game.
- Over their last 15 completed games, Krka averaged 85.3 points scored and 74.8 allowed while shooting 56.4% on two-pointers and 36.3% on three-pointers (provider box scores).
- Ilirija's 15-game sample shows 84.5 points scored and 80.9 allowed with 55.0% two-point and 34.1% three-point shooting.
- Krka have won 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, including 97-74 on 23 May 2026, though Ilirija won 105-89 at home on 21 May 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonKK Krka Novo mesto over 16.5Estimated chance80%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.0. Perspektiva Ilirija score more than 70.5 points (overtime included) in about 80 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for KK Krka Novo mesto, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija opened the 2026-27 Liga Nova KBM with an 86-59 home win over Gorica (23 Sep) and an 89-79 away win at Triglav Kranj (30 Sep), averaging 87.5 points in the competition.
- Krka opened the same league with an 87-55 home win over Tajfun Sentjur (22 Sep) and a 77-61 home win over Zlatorog Lasko (29 Sep), allowing just 58.0 points per game.
- Over their last 15 completed games, Krka averaged 85.3 points scored and 74.8 allowed while shooting 56.4% on two-pointers and 36.3% on three-pointers (provider box scores).
- Ilirija's 15-game sample shows 84.5 points scored and 80.9 allowed with 55.0% two-point and 34.1% three-point shooting.
- Krka have won 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, including 97-74 on 23 May 2026, though Ilirija won 105-89 at home on 21 May 2026.
BetBugs · Team PointswonPerspektiva Ilirija over 70.5Estimated chance79.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.0. KK Krka Novo mesto score more than 17.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for KK Krka Novo mesto, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija opened the 2026-27 Liga Nova KBM with an 86-59 home win over Gorica (23 Sep) and an 89-79 away win at Triglav Kranj (30 Sep), averaging 87.5 points in the competition.
- Krka opened the same league with an 87-55 home win over Tajfun Sentjur (22 Sep) and a 77-61 home win over Zlatorog Lasko (29 Sep), allowing just 58.0 points per game.
- Over their last 15 completed games, Krka averaged 85.3 points scored and 74.8 allowed while shooting 56.4% on two-pointers and 36.3% on three-pointers (provider box scores).
- Ilirija's 15-game sample shows 84.5 points scored and 80.9 allowed with 55.0% two-point and 34.1% three-point shooting.
- Krka have won 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, including 97-74 on 23 May 2026, though Ilirija won 105-89 at home on 21 May 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostKK Krka Novo mesto over 17.5Estimated chance75.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.0. The 3rd quarter has more than 35.5 points in about 73 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for KK Krka Novo mesto, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija opened the 2026-27 Liga Nova KBM with an 86-59 home win over Gorica (23 Sep) and an 89-79 away win at Triglav Kranj (30 Sep), averaging 87.5 points in the competition.
- Krka opened the same league with an 87-55 home win over Tajfun Sentjur (22 Sep) and a 77-61 home win over Zlatorog Lasko (29 Sep), allowing just 58.0 points per game.
- Over their last 15 completed games, Krka averaged 85.3 points scored and 74.8 allowed while shooting 56.4% on two-pointers and 36.3% on three-pointers (provider box scores).
- Ilirija's 15-game sample shows 84.5 points scored and 80.9 allowed with 55.0% two-point and 34.1% three-point shooting.
- Krka have won 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, including 97-74 on 23 May 2026, though Ilirija won 105-89 at home on 21 May 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonOver 35.5Estimated chance73.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.0. KK Krka Novo mesto score fewer than 23.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 72 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for KK Krka Novo mesto, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija opened the 2026-27 Liga Nova KBM with an 86-59 home win over Gorica (23 Sep) and an 89-79 away win at Triglav Kranj (30 Sep), averaging 87.5 points in the competition.
- Krka opened the same league with an 87-55 home win over Tajfun Sentjur (22 Sep) and a 77-61 home win over Zlatorog Lasko (29 Sep), allowing just 58.0 points per game.
- Over their last 15 completed games, Krka averaged 85.3 points scored and 74.8 allowed while shooting 56.4% on two-pointers and 36.3% on three-pointers (provider box scores).
- Ilirija's 15-game sample shows 84.5 points scored and 80.9 allowed with 55.0% two-point and 34.1% three-point shooting.
- Krka have won 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, including 97-74 on 23 May 2026, though Ilirija won 105-89 at home on 21 May 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonKK Krka Novo mesto under 23.5Estimated chance72.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.0. Perspektiva Ilirija score fewer than 21.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for KK Krka Novo mesto, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija opened the 2026-27 Liga Nova KBM with an 86-59 home win over Gorica (23 Sep) and an 89-79 away win at Triglav Kranj (30 Sep), averaging 87.5 points in the competition.
- Krka opened the same league with an 87-55 home win over Tajfun Sentjur (22 Sep) and a 77-61 home win over Zlatorog Lasko (29 Sep), allowing just 58.0 points per game.
- Over their last 15 completed games, Krka averaged 85.3 points scored and 74.8 allowed while shooting 56.4% on two-pointers and 36.3% on three-pointers (provider box scores).
- Ilirija's 15-game sample shows 84.5 points scored and 80.9 allowed with 55.0% two-point and 34.1% three-point shooting.
- Krka have won 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, including 97-74 on 23 May 2026, though Ilirija won 105-89 at home on 21 May 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonPerspektiva Ilirija under 21.5Estimated chance63.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.0. The 1st half has more than 77.5 points in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for KK Krka Novo mesto, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija opened the 2026-27 Liga Nova KBM with an 86-59 home win over Gorica (23 Sep) and an 89-79 away win at Triglav Kranj (30 Sep), averaging 87.5 points in the competition.
- Krka opened the same league with an 87-55 home win over Tajfun Sentjur (22 Sep) and a 77-61 home win over Zlatorog Lasko (29 Sep), allowing just 58.0 points per game.
- Over their last 15 completed games, Krka averaged 85.3 points scored and 74.8 allowed while shooting 56.4% on two-pointers and 36.3% on three-pointers (provider box scores).
- Ilirija's 15-game sample shows 84.5 points scored and 80.9 allowed with 55.0% two-point and 34.1% three-point shooting.
- Krka have won 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, including 97-74 on 23 May 2026, though Ilirija won 105-89 at home on 21 May 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostOver 77.5Estimated chance63.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.0. KK Krka Novo mesto score more than 39.5 points in the 1st half in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for KK Krka Novo mesto, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija opened the 2026-27 Liga Nova KBM with an 86-59 home win over Gorica (23 Sep) and an 89-79 away win at Triglav Kranj (30 Sep), averaging 87.5 points in the competition.
- Krka opened the same league with an 87-55 home win over Tajfun Sentjur (22 Sep) and a 77-61 home win over Zlatorog Lasko (29 Sep), allowing just 58.0 points per game.
- Over their last 15 completed games, Krka averaged 85.3 points scored and 74.8 allowed while shooting 56.4% on two-pointers and 36.3% on three-pointers (provider box scores).
- Ilirija's 15-game sample shows 84.5 points scored and 80.9 allowed with 55.0% two-point and 34.1% three-point shooting.
- Krka have won 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, including 97-74 on 23 May 2026, though Ilirija won 105-89 at home on 21 May 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostKK Krka Novo mesto over 39.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.0. The game has more than 158.5 points (overtime included) in about 60 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for KK Krka Novo mesto, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija opened the 2026-27 Liga Nova KBM with an 86-59 home win over Gorica (23 Sep) and an 89-79 away win at Triglav Kranj (30 Sep), averaging 87.5 points in the competition.
- Krka opened the same league with an 87-55 home win over Tajfun Sentjur (22 Sep) and a 77-61 home win over Zlatorog Lasko (29 Sep), allowing just 58.0 points per game.
- Over their last 15 completed games, Krka averaged 85.3 points scored and 74.8 allowed while shooting 56.4% on two-pointers and 36.3% on three-pointers (provider box scores).
- Ilirija's 15-game sample shows 84.5 points scored and 80.9 allowed with 55.0% two-point and 34.1% three-point shooting.
- Krka have won 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, including 97-74 on 23 May 2026, though Ilirija won 105-89 at home on 21 May 2026.
BetBugs · Total PointswonOver 158.5Estimated chance60.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.0. KK Krka Novo mesto score fewer than 85.5 points (overtime included) in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for KK Krka Novo mesto, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija opened the 2026-27 Liga Nova KBM with an 86-59 home win over Gorica (23 Sep) and an 89-79 away win at Triglav Kranj (30 Sep), averaging 87.5 points in the competition.
- Krka opened the same league with an 87-55 home win over Tajfun Sentjur (22 Sep) and a 77-61 home win over Zlatorog Lasko (29 Sep), allowing just 58.0 points per game.
- Over their last 15 completed games, Krka averaged 85.3 points scored and 74.8 allowed while shooting 56.4% on two-pointers and 36.3% on three-pointers (provider box scores).
- Ilirija's 15-game sample shows 84.5 points scored and 80.9 allowed with 55.0% two-point and 34.1% three-point shooting.
- Krka have won 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, including 97-74 on 23 May 2026, though Ilirija won 105-89 at home on 21 May 2026.
BetBugs · Team PointswonKK Krka Novo mesto under 85.5Estimated chance57.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.0. Perspektiva Ilirija score fewer than 40.5 points in the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for KK Krka Novo mesto, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija opened the 2026-27 Liga Nova KBM with an 86-59 home win over Gorica (23 Sep) and an 89-79 away win at Triglav Kranj (30 Sep), averaging 87.5 points in the competition.
- Krka opened the same league with an 87-55 home win over Tajfun Sentjur (22 Sep) and a 77-61 home win over Zlatorog Lasko (29 Sep), allowing just 58.0 points per game.
- Over their last 15 completed games, Krka averaged 85.3 points scored and 74.8 allowed while shooting 56.4% on two-pointers and 36.3% on three-pointers (provider box scores).
- Ilirija's 15-game sample shows 84.5 points scored and 80.9 allowed with 55.0% two-point and 34.1% three-point shooting.
- Krka have won 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, including 97-74 on 23 May 2026, though Ilirija won 105-89 at home on 21 May 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonPerspektiva Ilirija under 40.5Estimated chance55.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.0. Perspektiva Ilirija score fewer than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for KK Krka Novo mesto, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija opened the 2026-27 Liga Nova KBM with an 86-59 home win over Gorica (23 Sep) and an 89-79 away win at Triglav Kranj (30 Sep), averaging 87.5 points in the competition.
- Krka opened the same league with an 87-55 home win over Tajfun Sentjur (22 Sep) and a 77-61 home win over Zlatorog Lasko (29 Sep), allowing just 58.0 points per game.
- Over their last 15 completed games, Krka averaged 85.3 points scored and 74.8 allowed while shooting 56.4% on two-pointers and 36.3% on three-pointers (provider box scores).
- Ilirija's 15-game sample shows 84.5 points scored and 80.9 allowed with 55.0% two-point and 34.1% three-point shooting.
- Krka have won 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, including 97-74 on 23 May 2026, though Ilirija won 105-89 at home on 21 May 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonPerspektiva Ilirija under 20.5Estimated chance55.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Perspektiva Ilirija 79.0, KK Krka Novo mesto 83.0. The 1st quarter has more than 39.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Perspektiva Ilirija and 15 for KK Krka Novo mesto, across seasons and competitions.
- Ilirija opened the 2026-27 Liga Nova KBM with an 86-59 home win over Gorica (23 Sep) and an 89-79 away win at Triglav Kranj (30 Sep), averaging 87.5 points in the competition.
- Krka opened the same league with an 87-55 home win over Tajfun Sentjur (22 Sep) and a 77-61 home win over Zlatorog Lasko (29 Sep), allowing just 58.0 points per game.
- Over their last 15 completed games, Krka averaged 85.3 points scored and 74.8 allowed while shooting 56.4% on two-pointers and 36.3% on three-pointers (provider box scores).
- Ilirija's 15-game sample shows 84.5 points scored and 80.9 allowed with 55.0% two-point and 34.1% three-point shooting.
- Krka have won 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, including 97-74 on 23 May 2026, though Ilirija won 105-89 at home on 21 May 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointslostOver 39.5Estimated chance55.6%

L97–74

KK Krka Novo mestov

Perspektiva Ilirija

May 23, 2026·LIG

W105–89

Perspektiva Ilirijav

KK Krka Novo mesto

May 21, 2026·LIG

L94–80

KK Krka Novo mestov

Perspektiva Ilirija

May 18, 2026·LIG

L83–68

KK Krka Novo mestov

Perspektiva Ilirija

May 3, 2026·LIG

L77–83

Perspektiva Ilirijav

KK Krka Novo mesto

Mar 29, 2026·ABA

L72–71

KK Krka Novo mestov

Perspektiva Ilirija

Mar 7, 2026·ABA

L85–65

KK Krka Novo mestov

Perspektiva Ilirija

Dec 10, 2025·LIG

L81–89

Perspektiva Ilirijav

KK Krka Novo mesto

Oct 9, 2025·LIG

L81–79

KK Krka Novo mestov Ilirija

Ilirija

Jan 8, 2025·LIG

L75–81

Ilirijav

KK Krka Novo mesto

Oct 22, 2024·LIG

162.9Avg total points

11.1Avg margin

10meetings

League table

Liga UPC · Liga OTP banka - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Perspektiva Ilirija

2–0100%

KK Krka Novo mesto

2–0100%

Recent Form

Perspektiva Ilirija

9W 6L · last 15

vs Dubai70–85 Oct 4ABA

at KK Triglav Kranj89–79 Sep 30LIG

vs Gorica86–59 Sep 23LIG

at KK Krka Novo mesto74–97 May 23LIG

vs KK Krka Novo mesto105–89 May 21LIG

at KK Krka Novo mesto80–94 May 18LIG

vs KK Triglav Kranj72–65 May 13LIG

at KK Triglav Kranj86–70 May 11LIG

vs KK Triglav Kranj84–85 May 8LIG

at KK Krka Novo mesto68–83 May 3LIG

at Sencur102–99 OTApr 30LIG

vs Polzela103–87 Apr 28LIG

at FMP Beograd88–82 Apr 25ABA

vs Studentski Centar74–75 Apr 19ABA

vs Helios Domzale87–64 Apr 16LIG

KK Krka Novo mesto

10W 5L · last 15

vs Buducnost72–77 Oct 2ABA

vs Zlatorog Lasko77–61 Sep 29LIG

vs Tajfun Sentjur87–55 Sep 22LIG

at Cedevita Olimpija71–67 Sep 17SUP

vs Cedevita Olimpija71–87 Jun 1LIG

at Cedevita Olimpija74–91 May 30LIG

vs Cedevita Olimpija89–90 OTMay 27LIG

vs Perspektiva Ilirija97–74 May 23LIG

at Perspektiva Ilirija89–105 May 21LIG

vs Perspektiva Ilirija94–80 May 18LIG

at Polzela86–80 May 10LIG

vs Polzela94–58 May 7LIG

vs Perspektiva Ilirija83–68 May 3LIG

at Terme Olimia Podčetrtek98–56 Apr 30LIG

vs Vienna Basket97–73 Apr 27ABA

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Perspektiva Ilirija

Stats

1–4

KK Krka Novo mesto

KK Krka Novo mesto leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 0–3

2-point %+1.4pp

55.0%

+1.4pp

56.4%

3-point %+2.2pp

34.1%

+2.2pp

36.3%

Free-throw %+1.1pp

76.8%

+1.1pp

77.9%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s8.7pp apart

26.8%

8.7pp apart

35.5%

Free throws per shot8.0pp apart

32.4%

8.0pp apart

40.4%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+1.3

32.5

+1.3

31.2

Turnovers per game0.9 fewer

12.4

0.9 fewer

11.5

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.