EuroLeagueFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Paris96Lyon-Villeurbanne98

Wed 7 Oct 2026, 18:45 Predictions graded

Predictions4–1127%

Edges1–150%

Points by period: Paris and Lyon-Villeurbanne.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Paris	21	22	34	19
Lyon-Villeurbanne	14	32	28	24

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Two 1-2 EuroLeague sides meet in Paris, and the expected score after 40 minutes — Paris 87.5, Lyon-Villeurbanne 83.5 — points to a home win of a few points, with ASVEL's blown 18-point lead against Valencia and Paris's modest EuroLeague scoring keeping it close.

Under 177.5 combined points at 1.93 and Lyon-Villeurbanne to be ahead after 40 minutes at 3.17 are the two prices that rate as potential value; Paris to win the game at 1.45 is not.

Context

Both teams are 1-2 in the EuroLeague and neither side's availability is settled: TyTy Washington had not made his EuroLeague debut by 2 October with an ankle problem, while Patty Mills and Jae Crowder played the 2 October EuroLeague loss to Valencia but missed the 4 October domestic game. Paris won 103-101 at Le Mans on 4 October, and Lyon-Villeurbanne lost 92-105 at home to Valencia on 2 October after leading by 18 in the first half.

TyTy Washington had not appeared in ASVEL's first three EuroLeague games by 2 October. His participation against Paris is uncertain; a return would add another point guard option.
- TyTy Washington had not made his ASVEL debut by 2 October because of an ankle injury.
- Washington was absent from ASVEL's EuroLeague opener against Maccabi Tel Aviv.
Paris trailed by more than ten points during the fourth quarter before recovering in a fast-paced finish. The domestic win puts Paris into its EuroLeague home derby after a late comeback.
- Paris beat Le Mans 103-101 in Betclic ÉLITE on 4 October.
- Nadir Hifi scored 33 points and made the final basket at the buzzer.
ASVEL built a 60-42 lead before Valencia reversed the game after the break. The sharp split between halves is the immediate European form backdrop to the trip to Paris.
- ASVEL lost 92-105 to Valencia in EuroLeague Round 3 on 2 October.
- ASVEL led by 18 points in the first half before Valencia won the final 22 minutes 63-32.
Lefèvre is leading Paris in his first head-coaching role. The ASVEL game is part of his first EuroLeague campaign in charge of the club.
- Maxime Lefèvre was appointed Paris head coach on 22 July.
- He joined Paris after seven seasons with the Minnesota Timberwolves.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Total PointslostUncertainty band: Lean

Under 177.5

1.93fair 1.58

Market 51.8% · BetBugs 63.2%

+11.4ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Paris 87.5, Lyon-Villeurbanne 83.5. The game has fewer than 177.5 points (overtime included) in about 63 of 100 games like this. Paris have the better shooting and rebounding numbers and have repeatedly beaten Lyon-Villeurbanne at home, while Lyon-Villeurbanne's EuroLeague defence has conceded 105 and 102 points in two of three games. That points to a moderate Paris home win in the mid-80s to high-80s, with Lyon-Villeurbanne a few points behind.

Result after 40 minwonUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Lyon-Villeurbanne

3.17fair 2.83

Market 31.5% · BetBugs 35.3%

+3.8ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Paris 87.5, Lyon-Villeurbanne 83.5. Lyon-Villeurbanne are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 35 of 100 games like this. Paris have the better shooting and rebounding numbers and have repeatedly beaten Lyon-Villeurbanne at home, while Lyon-Villeurbanne's EuroLeague defence has conceded 105 and 102 points in two of three games. That points to a moderate Paris home win in the mid-80s to high-80s, with Lyon-Villeurbanne a few points behind.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Paris 87.5, Lyon-Villeurbanne 83.5. Lyon-Villeurbanne cover +4.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; no bookmaker quote. Based on 15 completed games for Paris and 15 for Lyon-Villeurbanne, across seasons and competitions.
- Paris are 1-2 in the EuroLeague this season, scoring 233 and conceding 261 points in three games (77.7 for, 87.0 against), per the current table observed 5 October 2026.
- Lyon-Villeurbanne are also 1-2 in the EuroLeague, scoring 255 and conceding 281 (85.0 for, 93.7 against), including a 92-105 home loss to Valencia on 2 October 2026.
- At home in the EuroLeague this season Paris beat Zalgiris 82-78 on 1 October and lost 79-92 to Partizan on 29 September.
- Paris have won the last five home meetings with Lyon-Villeurbanne, scoring 87, 90, 111, 91 and 98 points in those games (January 2025 to May 2026, LNB and EuroLeague).
- Across 15 games Paris shoot 56.2% on two-pointers, 33.7% on three-pointers and grab 35.7 rebounds with 15.1 turnovers; Lyon-Villeurbanne shoot 55.1%, 30.0% and grab 30.6 rebounds with 13.8 turnovers.
- Nadir Hifi leads Paris at 20 points per game and scored 33 in the 103-101 win at Le Mans on 4 October; Lyon-Villeurbanne's Patty Mills (13.6 ppg) and Jae Crowder (11.6 ppg) missed the 4 October domestic game but played the 2 October EuroLeague game.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonLyon-Villeurbanne +4.5Estimated chance67.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Paris 87.5, Lyon-Villeurbanne 83.5. Paris win in about 62 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Paris are 1-2 in the EuroLeague this season, scoring 233 and conceding 261 points in three games (77.7 for, 87.0 against), per the current table observed 5 October 2026.
- Lyon-Villeurbanne are also 1-2 in the EuroLeague, scoring 255 and conceding 281 (85.0 for, 93.7 against), including a 92-105 home loss to Valencia on 2 October 2026.
- At home in the EuroLeague this season Paris beat Zalgiris 82-78 on 1 October and lost 79-92 to Partizan on 29 September.
- Paris have won the last five home meetings with Lyon-Villeurbanne, scoring 87, 90, 111, 91 and 98 points in those games (January 2025 to May 2026, LNB and EuroLeague).
- Across 15 games Paris shoot 56.2% on two-pointers, 33.7% on three-pointers and grab 35.7 rebounds with 15.1 turnovers; Lyon-Villeurbanne shoot 55.1%, 30.0% and grab 30.6 rebounds with 13.8 turnovers.
- Nadir Hifi leads Paris at 20 points per game and scored 33 in the 103-101 win at Le Mans on 4 October; Lyon-Villeurbanne's Patty Mills (13.6 ppg) and Jae Crowder (11.6 ppg) missed the 4 October domestic game but played the 2 October EuroLeague game.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostParisEstimated chance62.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Paris 87.5, Lyon-Villeurbanne 83.5. Paris are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Paris are 1-2 in the EuroLeague this season, scoring 233 and conceding 261 points in three games (77.7 for, 87.0 against), per the current table observed 5 October 2026.
- Lyon-Villeurbanne are also 1-2 in the EuroLeague, scoring 255 and conceding 281 (85.0 for, 93.7 against), including a 92-105 home loss to Valencia on 2 October 2026.
- At home in the EuroLeague this season Paris beat Zalgiris 82-78 on 1 October and lost 79-92 to Partizan on 29 September.
- Paris have won the last five home meetings with Lyon-Villeurbanne, scoring 87, 90, 111, 91 and 98 points in those games (January 2025 to May 2026, LNB and EuroLeague).
- Across 15 games Paris shoot 56.2% on two-pointers, 33.7% on three-pointers and grab 35.7 rebounds with 15.1 turnovers; Lyon-Villeurbanne shoot 55.1%, 30.0% and grab 30.6 rebounds with 13.8 turnovers.
- Nadir Hifi leads Paris at 20 points per game and scored 33 in the 103-101 win at Le Mans on 4 October; Lyon-Villeurbanne's Patty Mills (13.6 ppg) and Jae Crowder (11.6 ppg) missed the 4 October domestic game but played the 2 October EuroLeague game.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minlostParisEstimated chance60.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Paris 87.5, Lyon-Villeurbanne 83.5. Lyon-Villeurbanne cover +2.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; no bookmaker quote. Based on 15 completed games for Paris and 15 for Lyon-Villeurbanne, across seasons and competitions.
- Paris are 1-2 in the EuroLeague this season, scoring 233 and conceding 261 points in three games (77.7 for, 87.0 against), per the current table observed 5 October 2026.
- Lyon-Villeurbanne are also 1-2 in the EuroLeague, scoring 255 and conceding 281 (85.0 for, 93.7 against), including a 92-105 home loss to Valencia on 2 October 2026.
- At home in the EuroLeague this season Paris beat Zalgiris 82-78 on 1 October and lost 79-92 to Partizan on 29 September.
- Paris have won the last five home meetings with Lyon-Villeurbanne, scoring 87, 90, 111, 91 and 98 points in those games (January 2025 to May 2026, LNB and EuroLeague).
- Across 15 games Paris shoot 56.2% on two-pointers, 33.7% on three-pointers and grab 35.7 rebounds with 15.1 turnovers; Lyon-Villeurbanne shoot 55.1%, 30.0% and grab 30.6 rebounds with 13.8 turnovers.
- Nadir Hifi leads Paris at 20 points per game and scored 33 in the 103-101 win at Le Mans on 4 October; Lyon-Villeurbanne's Patty Mills (13.6 ppg) and Jae Crowder (11.6 ppg) missed the 4 October domestic game but played the 2 October EuroLeague game.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostLyon-Villeurbanne +2.5Estimated chance59%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Paris 87.5, Lyon-Villeurbanne 83.5. Paris are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Paris are 1-2 in the EuroLeague this season, scoring 233 and conceding 261 points in three games (77.7 for, 87.0 against), per the current table observed 5 October 2026.
- Lyon-Villeurbanne are also 1-2 in the EuroLeague, scoring 255 and conceding 281 (85.0 for, 93.7 against), including a 92-105 home loss to Valencia on 2 October 2026.
- At home in the EuroLeague this season Paris beat Zalgiris 82-78 on 1 October and lost 79-92 to Partizan on 29 September.
- Paris have won the last five home meetings with Lyon-Villeurbanne, scoring 87, 90, 111, 91 and 98 points in those games (January 2025 to May 2026, LNB and EuroLeague).
- Across 15 games Paris shoot 56.2% on two-pointers, 33.7% on three-pointers and grab 35.7 rebounds with 15.1 turnovers; Lyon-Villeurbanne shoot 55.1%, 30.0% and grab 30.6 rebounds with 13.8 turnovers.
- Nadir Hifi leads Paris at 20 points per game and scored 33 in the 103-101 win at Le Mans on 4 October; Lyon-Villeurbanne's Patty Mills (13.6 ppg) and Jae Crowder (11.6 ppg) missed the 4 October domestic game but played the 2 October EuroLeague game.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultlostParisEstimated chance57.1%

Points3 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Paris 87.5, Lyon-Villeurbanne 83.5. Paris score fewer than 46.5 points in the 1st half in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Paris are 1-2 in the EuroLeague this season, scoring 233 and conceding 261 points in three games (77.7 for, 87.0 against), per the current table observed 5 October 2026.
- Lyon-Villeurbanne are also 1-2 in the EuroLeague, scoring 255 and conceding 281 (85.0 for, 93.7 against), including a 92-105 home loss to Valencia on 2 October 2026.
- At home in the EuroLeague this season Paris beat Zalgiris 82-78 on 1 October and lost 79-92 to Partizan on 29 September.
- Paris have won the last five home meetings with Lyon-Villeurbanne, scoring 87, 90, 111, 91 and 98 points in those games (January 2025 to May 2026, LNB and EuroLeague).
- Across 15 games Paris shoot 56.2% on two-pointers, 33.7% on three-pointers and grab 35.7 rebounds with 15.1 turnovers; Lyon-Villeurbanne shoot 55.1%, 30.0% and grab 30.6 rebounds with 13.8 turnovers.
- Nadir Hifi leads Paris at 20 points per game and scored 33 in the 103-101 win at Le Mans on 4 October; Lyon-Villeurbanne's Patty Mills (13.6 ppg) and Jae Crowder (11.6 ppg) missed the 4 October domestic game but played the 2 October EuroLeague game.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonParis under 46.5Estimated chance64%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.93
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Paris 87.5, Lyon-Villeurbanne 83.5. The game has fewer than 177.5 points (overtime included) in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Paris are 1-2 in the EuroLeague this season, scoring 233 and conceding 261 points in three games (77.7 for, 87.0 against), per the current table observed 5 October 2026.
- Lyon-Villeurbanne are also 1-2 in the EuroLeague, scoring 255 and conceding 281 (85.0 for, 93.7 against), including a 92-105 home loss to Valencia on 2 October 2026.
- At home in the EuroLeague this season Paris beat Zalgiris 82-78 on 1 October and lost 79-92 to Partizan on 29 September.
- Paris have won the last five home meetings with Lyon-Villeurbanne, scoring 87, 90, 111, 91 and 98 points in those games (January 2025 to May 2026, LNB and EuroLeague).
- Across 15 games Paris shoot 56.2% on two-pointers, 33.7% on three-pointers and grab 35.7 rebounds with 15.1 turnovers; Lyon-Villeurbanne shoot 55.1%, 30.0% and grab 30.6 rebounds with 13.8 turnovers.
- Nadir Hifi leads Paris at 20 points per game and scored 33 in the 103-101 win at Le Mans on 4 October; Lyon-Villeurbanne's Patty Mills (13.6 ppg) and Jae Crowder (11.6 ppg) missed the 4 October domestic game but played the 2 October EuroLeague game.
BetBugs · Total PointslostUnder 177.5Estimated chance63.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Paris 87.5, Lyon-Villeurbanne 83.5. Paris score fewer than 23.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Paris are 1-2 in the EuroLeague this season, scoring 233 and conceding 261 points in three games (77.7 for, 87.0 against), per the current table observed 5 October 2026.
- Lyon-Villeurbanne are also 1-2 in the EuroLeague, scoring 255 and conceding 281 (85.0 for, 93.7 against), including a 92-105 home loss to Valencia on 2 October 2026.
- At home in the EuroLeague this season Paris beat Zalgiris 82-78 on 1 October and lost 79-92 to Partizan on 29 September.
- Paris have won the last five home meetings with Lyon-Villeurbanne, scoring 87, 90, 111, 91 and 98 points in those games (January 2025 to May 2026, LNB and EuroLeague).
- Across 15 games Paris shoot 56.2% on two-pointers, 33.7% on three-pointers and grab 35.7 rebounds with 15.1 turnovers; Lyon-Villeurbanne shoot 55.1%, 30.0% and grab 30.6 rebounds with 13.8 turnovers.
- Nadir Hifi leads Paris at 20 points per game and scored 33 in the 103-101 win at Le Mans on 4 October; Lyon-Villeurbanne's Patty Mills (13.6 ppg) and Jae Crowder (11.6 ppg) missed the 4 October domestic game but played the 2 October EuroLeague game.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonParis under 23.5Estimated chance62.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Paris 87.5, Lyon-Villeurbanne 83.5. Paris score fewer than 91.5 points (overtime included) in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Paris are 1-2 in the EuroLeague this season, scoring 233 and conceding 261 points in three games (77.7 for, 87.0 against), per the current table observed 5 October 2026.
- Lyon-Villeurbanne are also 1-2 in the EuroLeague, scoring 255 and conceding 281 (85.0 for, 93.7 against), including a 92-105 home loss to Valencia on 2 October 2026.
- At home in the EuroLeague this season Paris beat Zalgiris 82-78 on 1 October and lost 79-92 to Partizan on 29 September.
- Paris have won the last five home meetings with Lyon-Villeurbanne, scoring 87, 90, 111, 91 and 98 points in those games (January 2025 to May 2026, LNB and EuroLeague).
- Across 15 games Paris shoot 56.2% on two-pointers, 33.7% on three-pointers and grab 35.7 rebounds with 15.1 turnovers; Lyon-Villeurbanne shoot 55.1%, 30.0% and grab 30.6 rebounds with 13.8 turnovers.
- Nadir Hifi leads Paris at 20 points per game and scored 33 in the 103-101 win at Le Mans on 4 October; Lyon-Villeurbanne's Patty Mills (13.6 ppg) and Jae Crowder (11.6 ppg) missed the 4 October domestic game but played the 2 October EuroLeague game.
BetBugs · Team PointslostParis under 91.5Estimated chance62.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Paris 87.5, Lyon-Villeurbanne 83.5. The 1st half has fewer than 88.5 points in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Paris are 1-2 in the EuroLeague this season, scoring 233 and conceding 261 points in three games (77.7 for, 87.0 against), per the current table observed 5 October 2026.
- Lyon-Villeurbanne are also 1-2 in the EuroLeague, scoring 255 and conceding 281 (85.0 for, 93.7 against), including a 92-105 home loss to Valencia on 2 October 2026.
- At home in the EuroLeague this season Paris beat Zalgiris 82-78 on 1 October and lost 79-92 to Partizan on 29 September.
- Paris have won the last five home meetings with Lyon-Villeurbanne, scoring 87, 90, 111, 91 and 98 points in those games (January 2025 to May 2026, LNB and EuroLeague).
- Across 15 games Paris shoot 56.2% on two-pointers, 33.7% on three-pointers and grab 35.7 rebounds with 15.1 turnovers; Lyon-Villeurbanne shoot 55.1%, 30.0% and grab 30.6 rebounds with 13.8 turnovers.
- Nadir Hifi leads Paris at 20 points per game and scored 33 in the 103-101 win at Le Mans on 4 October; Lyon-Villeurbanne's Patty Mills (13.6 ppg) and Jae Crowder (11.6 ppg) missed the 4 October domestic game but played the 2 October EuroLeague game.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostUnder 88.5Estimated chance60.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Paris 87.5, Lyon-Villeurbanne 83.5. Lyon-Villeurbanne score fewer than 43.5 points in the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Paris are 1-2 in the EuroLeague this season, scoring 233 and conceding 261 points in three games (77.7 for, 87.0 against), per the current table observed 5 October 2026.
- Lyon-Villeurbanne are also 1-2 in the EuroLeague, scoring 255 and conceding 281 (85.0 for, 93.7 against), including a 92-105 home loss to Valencia on 2 October 2026.
- At home in the EuroLeague this season Paris beat Zalgiris 82-78 on 1 October and lost 79-92 to Partizan on 29 September.
- Paris have won the last five home meetings with Lyon-Villeurbanne, scoring 87, 90, 111, 91 and 98 points in those games (January 2025 to May 2026, LNB and EuroLeague).
- Across 15 games Paris shoot 56.2% on two-pointers, 33.7% on three-pointers and grab 35.7 rebounds with 15.1 turnovers; Lyon-Villeurbanne shoot 55.1%, 30.0% and grab 30.6 rebounds with 13.8 turnovers.
- Nadir Hifi leads Paris at 20 points per game and scored 33 in the 103-101 win at Le Mans on 4 October; Lyon-Villeurbanne's Patty Mills (13.6 ppg) and Jae Crowder (11.6 ppg) missed the 4 October domestic game but played the 2 October EuroLeague game.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostLyon-Villeurbanne under 43.5Estimated chance59.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Paris 87.5, Lyon-Villeurbanne 83.5. The 1st quarter has fewer than 44.5 points in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Paris are 1-2 in the EuroLeague this season, scoring 233 and conceding 261 points in three games (77.7 for, 87.0 against), per the current table observed 5 October 2026.
- Lyon-Villeurbanne are also 1-2 in the EuroLeague, scoring 255 and conceding 281 (85.0 for, 93.7 against), including a 92-105 home loss to Valencia on 2 October 2026.
- At home in the EuroLeague this season Paris beat Zalgiris 82-78 on 1 October and lost 79-92 to Partizan on 29 September.
- Paris have won the last five home meetings with Lyon-Villeurbanne, scoring 87, 90, 111, 91 and 98 points in those games (January 2025 to May 2026, LNB and EuroLeague).
- Across 15 games Paris shoot 56.2% on two-pointers, 33.7% on three-pointers and grab 35.7 rebounds with 15.1 turnovers; Lyon-Villeurbanne shoot 55.1%, 30.0% and grab 30.6 rebounds with 13.8 turnovers.
- Nadir Hifi leads Paris at 20 points per game and scored 33 in the 103-101 win at Le Mans on 4 October; Lyon-Villeurbanne's Patty Mills (13.6 ppg) and Jae Crowder (11.6 ppg) missed the 4 October domestic game but played the 2 October EuroLeague game.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonUnder 44.5Estimated chance59.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Paris 87.5, Lyon-Villeurbanne 83.5. Lyon-Villeurbanne score fewer than 86.5 points (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Paris are 1-2 in the EuroLeague this season, scoring 233 and conceding 261 points in three games (77.7 for, 87.0 against), per the current table observed 5 October 2026.
- Lyon-Villeurbanne are also 1-2 in the EuroLeague, scoring 255 and conceding 281 (85.0 for, 93.7 against), including a 92-105 home loss to Valencia on 2 October 2026.
- At home in the EuroLeague this season Paris beat Zalgiris 82-78 on 1 October and lost 79-92 to Partizan on 29 September.
- Paris have won the last five home meetings with Lyon-Villeurbanne, scoring 87, 90, 111, 91 and 98 points in those games (January 2025 to May 2026, LNB and EuroLeague).
- Across 15 games Paris shoot 56.2% on two-pointers, 33.7% on three-pointers and grab 35.7 rebounds with 15.1 turnovers; Lyon-Villeurbanne shoot 55.1%, 30.0% and grab 30.6 rebounds with 13.8 turnovers.
- Nadir Hifi leads Paris at 20 points per game and scored 33 in the 103-101 win at Le Mans on 4 October; Lyon-Villeurbanne's Patty Mills (13.6 ppg) and Jae Crowder (11.6 ppg) missed the 4 October domestic game but played the 2 October EuroLeague game.
BetBugs · Team PointslostLyon-Villeurbanne under 86.5Estimated chance59.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Paris 87.5, Lyon-Villeurbanne 83.5. Paris score fewer than 22.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Paris are 1-2 in the EuroLeague this season, scoring 233 and conceding 261 points in three games (77.7 for, 87.0 against), per the current table observed 5 October 2026.
- Lyon-Villeurbanne are also 1-2 in the EuroLeague, scoring 255 and conceding 281 (85.0 for, 93.7 against), including a 92-105 home loss to Valencia on 2 October 2026.
- At home in the EuroLeague this season Paris beat Zalgiris 82-78 on 1 October and lost 79-92 to Partizan on 29 September.
- Paris have won the last five home meetings with Lyon-Villeurbanne, scoring 87, 90, 111, 91 and 98 points in those games (January 2025 to May 2026, LNB and EuroLeague).
- Across 15 games Paris shoot 56.2% on two-pointers, 33.7% on three-pointers and grab 35.7 rebounds with 15.1 turnovers; Lyon-Villeurbanne shoot 55.1%, 30.0% and grab 30.6 rebounds with 13.8 turnovers.
- Nadir Hifi leads Paris at 20 points per game and scored 33 in the 103-101 win at Le Mans on 4 October; Lyon-Villeurbanne's Patty Mills (13.6 ppg) and Jae Crowder (11.6 ppg) missed the 4 October domestic game but played the 2 October EuroLeague game.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostParis under 22.5Estimated chance57.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Paris 87.5, Lyon-Villeurbanne 83.5. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 43.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Paris are 1-2 in the EuroLeague this season, scoring 233 and conceding 261 points in three games (77.7 for, 87.0 against), per the current table observed 5 October 2026.
- Lyon-Villeurbanne are also 1-2 in the EuroLeague, scoring 255 and conceding 281 (85.0 for, 93.7 against), including a 92-105 home loss to Valencia on 2 October 2026.
- At home in the EuroLeague this season Paris beat Zalgiris 82-78 on 1 October and lost 79-92 to Partizan on 29 September.
- Paris have won the last five home meetings with Lyon-Villeurbanne, scoring 87, 90, 111, 91 and 98 points in those games (January 2025 to May 2026, LNB and EuroLeague).
- Across 15 games Paris shoot 56.2% on two-pointers, 33.7% on three-pointers and grab 35.7 rebounds with 15.1 turnovers; Lyon-Villeurbanne shoot 55.1%, 30.0% and grab 30.6 rebounds with 13.8 turnovers.
- Nadir Hifi leads Paris at 20 points per game and scored 33 in the 103-101 win at Le Mans on 4 October; Lyon-Villeurbanne's Patty Mills (13.6 ppg) and Jae Crowder (11.6 ppg) missed the 4 October domestic game but played the 2 October EuroLeague game.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostUnder 43.5Estimated chance56.5%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 5, 23:52

Selected line

177.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

37%

Chance of 178+ points

15 pp below break-even

Over 1.93 needs 52% to break even. BetBugs sees 37%.

Move the line main 177.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 37%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 63%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W87–76

Parisv

Lyon-Villeurbanne

May 16, 2026·LNB

W90–81

Parisv

Lyon-Villeurbanne

Mar 12, 2026·EUR

W93–98

Lyon-Villeurbannev Paris

Paris

Jan 11, 2026·LNBOT

L94–89

Lyon-Villeurbannev Paris

Paris

Dec 30, 2025·EUR

W111–96

Parisv

Lyon-Villeurbanne

Feb 9, 2025·LNB

W91–82

Parisv

Lyon-Villeurbanne

Jan 30, 2025·EUR

L98–92

Lyon-Villeurbannev Paris

Paris

Dec 22, 2024·LNB

L98–93

Lyon-Villeurbannev Paris

Paris

Dec 13, 2024·EUR

W98–92

Parisv

Lyon-Villeurbanne

Jun 2, 2024·LNB

W98–103

Lyon-Villeurbannev Paris

Paris

May 30, 2024·LNBOT

186Avg total points

7.6Avg margin

10meetings

League table

EuroLeague · Euroleague - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Paris

1–233%

Lyon-Villeurbanne

1–233%

Recent Form

Paris

10W 5L · last 15

at Le Mans103–101 Oct 4LNB

vs Zalgiris Kaunas82–78 Oct 1EUR

vs Partizan Mozzart Bet79–92 Sep 29EUR

at Nancy78–73 Sep 27LNB

at Panathinaikos72–91 Sep 24EUR

at Roanne81–59 Sep 20LNB

vs Nanterre95–88 Sep 19LNB

vs Monaco92–101 Jun 23LNB

at Monaco84–96 Jun 21LNB

at Monaco88–77 Jun 19LNB

vs Monaco90–102 Jun 17LNB

vs Monaco95–91 Jun 14LNB

at Cholet94–91 Jun 9LNB

at Cholet95–86 Jun 7LNB

vs Cholet100–77 Jun 4LNB

Lyon-Villeurbanne

8W 7L · last 15

at Gravelines-Dunkerque70–65 Oct 4LNB

vs Valencia92–105 Oct 2EUR

at Panathinaikos79–102 Sep 30EUR

at Cholet97–85 Sep 27LNB

vs Maccabi Tel Aviv84–74 Sep 24EUR

at Roanne71–73 Sep 19LNB

vs Cholet75–80 OTMay 30LNB

at Cholet65–77 May 28LNB

vs Cholet75–67 May 26LNB

at Paris76–87 May 16LNB

vs Strasbourg89–81 May 9LNB

vs JL Bourg91–77 May 5LNB

vs Gravelines-Dunkerque88–79 May 1LNB

at Monaco87–83 Apr 19LNB

vs Fenerbahce76–81 Apr 16EUR

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Paris

Stats

4–1

Lyon-Villeurbanne

Paris leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 3–0

2-point %+1.1pp

56.2%

+1.1pp

55.1%

3-point %+3.7pp

33.7%

+3.7pp

30.0%

Free-throw %14/12 games+4.8pp

76.4%

+4.8pp

71.6%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s15/14 games3.3pp apart

37.3%

3.3pp apart

34.0%

Free throws per shot14/12 games2.1pp apart

35.4%

2.1pp apart

37.5%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+5.1

35.7

+5.1

30.6

Turnovers per game1.3 fewer

15.1

1.3 fewer

13.8

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.