KorisliigaFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Lahti Basketball91Kataja85

Wed 7 Oct 2026, 15:30 Predictions graded

Predictions12–763%

Edges1–150%

Points by period: Lahti Basketball and Kataja.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Lahti Basketball	27	21	19	24
Kataja	23	22	23	17

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Kataja arrive 2-0 and scoring heavily, while Lahti's home record in this fixture is the counterweight; the forecast has Kataja ahead 90.3-85.2 after 40 minutes.

Kataja to win is the likely outcome. Two prices carry a lean — Kataja by more than 2.5 points at 1.8 and over 83.5 combined first-half points at 1.8. Lahti +2.5 at 1.78 and under 171.5 combined points at 1.77 are ones to leave.

Context

Lahti signed Aaron Carver at centre after Dericko Williams left on 26 September, and Kataja added guard Teemu Suokas on a short-term deal after early squad absences. Lahti's league evidence is a single game, so their home scoring level and the fit of the new centre are genuine unknowns for this fixture.

Lahti changed its centre position between the sides' September Cup meeting and this league rematch. Carver arrived with previous Korisliiga experience from KTP, while the earlier centre departed after two Cup appearances. His role for this game was not announced.
- Lahti ended Dericko Williams's contract immediately after the September Cup game against Kataja.
- Aaron Carver was announced as Lahti's new centre on 27 September.
- Kataja won the Cup meeting 77-73 on 19 September.
Besselink's knee rehabilitation had delayed his return to full training at the end of September. Kataja later added Teemu Suokas while managing its early-season group. Besselink's role against Lahti remains uncertain.
- Max Besselink's previous season ended after knee surgery.
- On 29 September, Besselink said he could do some contact work but could not yet complete full training.
Suokas returned to Kataja to add a guard option during an injury-affected start to the season. He had already contributed in the league win at Bisons, giving Kataja an extra ball-handler for the trip to Lahti.
- Teemu Suokas joined Kataja on 14 September under a deal running to 22 November.
- Kataja added Suokas after Henri Permanto suffered a minor knock and Max Besselink's recovery was delayed.
- Suokas recorded 14 points and six assists in Kataja's win at Bisons.
This is Kataja's third Korisliiga game of the season. The two completed wins give the visitors an early-season league baseline before their first trip to Lahti.
- Kataja opened the league season with a 102-83 home win over Helsinki Seagulls on 29 September.
- Kataja won 86-71 at Bisons Loimaa on 3 October.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

1st Half Total PointswonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 83.5

1.80fair 1.51

Market 55.6% · BetBugs 66.2%

+10.7ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Lahti Basketball 85.2, Kataja 90.3. The 1st half has more than 83.5 points in about 66 of 100 games like this. Kataja have opened the league with two comfortable wins and score more efficiently than a Lahti side that managed only 70 points in its opener, so the visitors are the stronger side here. Lahti's home games have typically been higher-scoring than their first outing, and they have recent home success in this matchup, so I expect them to land in the mid-80s with Kataja just above 90.

HandicaplostUncertainty band: Lean

Kataja -2.5

1.80fair 1.66

Market 55.6% · BetBugs 60.2%

+4.6ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Lahti Basketball 85.2, Kataja 90.3. Kataja cover -2.5 (overtime included) in about 60 of 100 games like this. Kataja have opened the league with two comfortable wins and score more efficiently than a Lahti side that managed only 70 points in its opener, so the visitors are the stronger side here. Lahti's home games have typically been higher-scoring than their first outing, and they have recent home success in this matchup, so I expect them to land in the mid-80s with Kataja just above 90.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lahti Basketball 85.2, Kataja 90.3. Lahti Basketball cover +6.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Lahti Basketball and 15 for Kataja, across seasons and competitions.
- Kataja are 2-0 in Korisliiga this season, beating Helsinki Seagulls 102-83 at home on 29 September and Bisons 86-71 away on 3 October, averaging 94.0 points.
- Lahti lost their league opener 70-76 at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October, trailing 44-25 at halftime; Riku Korhonen scored 26 of the 70.
- Across 15 tracked games, Kataja shoot 49.2% on two-pointers and 31.1% on threes but 81.1% from the line with only 10.9 turnovers per game, per the provider's box scores.
- Lahti's 14 accepted boxes from 2025-26 show 54.3% two-point and 34.6% three-point shooting, 69.3% free throws and 14.4 turnovers per game.
- Lahti won three of the four Korisliiga meetings in 2025-26 (94-90, 89-82 away, 107-86 at home), but Kataja won the most recent meeting 77-73 in the Suomen Cup on 19 September 2026.
- Lahti replaced centre Dericko Williams with Aaron Carver on 27 September, while Kataja added guard Teemu Suokas, who scored 14 in the Bisons win.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonLahti Basketball +6.5Estimated chance74.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lahti Basketball 85.2, Kataja 90.3. Kataja win in about 66 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Kataja are 2-0 in Korisliiga this season, beating Helsinki Seagulls 102-83 at home on 29 September and Bisons 86-71 away on 3 October, averaging 94.0 points.
- Lahti lost their league opener 70-76 at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October, trailing 44-25 at halftime; Riku Korhonen scored 26 of the 70.
- Across 15 tracked games, Kataja shoot 49.2% on two-pointers and 31.1% on threes but 81.1% from the line with only 10.9 turnovers per game, per the provider's box scores.
- Lahti's 14 accepted boxes from 2025-26 show 54.3% two-point and 34.6% three-point shooting, 69.3% free throws and 14.4 turnovers per game.
- Lahti won three of the four Korisliiga meetings in 2025-26 (94-90, 89-82 away, 107-86 at home), but Kataja won the most recent meeting 77-73 in the Suomen Cup on 19 September 2026.
- Lahti replaced centre Dericko Williams with Aaron Carver on 27 September, while Kataja added guard Teemu Suokas, who scored 14 in the Bisons win.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostKatajaEstimated chance65.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lahti Basketball 85.2, Kataja 90.3. Kataja cover +1.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Lahti Basketball and 15 for Kataja, across seasons and competitions.
- Kataja are 2-0 in Korisliiga this season, beating Helsinki Seagulls 102-83 at home on 29 September and Bisons 86-71 away on 3 October, averaging 94.0 points.
- Lahti lost their league opener 70-76 at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October, trailing 44-25 at halftime; Riku Korhonen scored 26 of the 70.
- Across 15 tracked games, Kataja shoot 49.2% on two-pointers and 31.1% on threes but 81.1% from the line with only 10.9 turnovers per game, per the provider's box scores.
- Lahti's 14 accepted boxes from 2025-26 show 54.3% two-point and 34.6% three-point shooting, 69.3% free throws and 14.4 turnovers per game.
- Lahti won three of the four Korisliiga meetings in 2025-26 (94-90, 89-82 away, 107-86 at home), but Kataja won the most recent meeting 77-73 in the Suomen Cup on 19 September 2026.
- Lahti replaced centre Dericko Williams with Aaron Carver on 27 September, while Kataja added guard Teemu Suokas, who scored 14 in the Bisons win.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonKataja +1.5Estimated chance63.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lahti Basketball 85.2, Kataja 90.3. Kataja are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Kataja are 2-0 in Korisliiga this season, beating Helsinki Seagulls 102-83 at home on 29 September and Bisons 86-71 away on 3 October, averaging 94.0 points.
- Lahti lost their league opener 70-76 at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October, trailing 44-25 at halftime; Riku Korhonen scored 26 of the 70.
- Across 15 tracked games, Kataja shoot 49.2% on two-pointers and 31.1% on threes but 81.1% from the line with only 10.9 turnovers per game, per the provider's box scores.
- Lahti's 14 accepted boxes from 2025-26 show 54.3% two-point and 34.6% three-point shooting, 69.3% free throws and 14.4 turnovers per game.
- Lahti won three of the four Korisliiga meetings in 2025-26 (94-90, 89-82 away, 107-86 at home), but Kataja won the most recent meeting 77-73 in the Suomen Cup on 19 September 2026.
- Lahti replaced centre Dericko Williams with Aaron Carver on 27 September, while Kataja added guard Teemu Suokas, who scored 14 in the Bisons win.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minlostKatajaEstimated chance63.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.80
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lahti Basketball 85.2, Kataja 90.3. Kataja cover -2.5 (overtime included) in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Kataja are 2-0 in Korisliiga this season, beating Helsinki Seagulls 102-83 at home on 29 September and Bisons 86-71 away on 3 October, averaging 94.0 points.
- Lahti lost their league opener 70-76 at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October, trailing 44-25 at halftime; Riku Korhonen scored 26 of the 70.
- Across 15 tracked games, Kataja shoot 49.2% on two-pointers and 31.1% on threes but 81.1% from the line with only 10.9 turnovers per game, per the provider's box scores.
- Lahti's 14 accepted boxes from 2025-26 show 54.3% two-point and 34.6% three-point shooting, 69.3% free throws and 14.4 turnovers per game.
- Lahti won three of the four Korisliiga meetings in 2025-26 (94-90, 89-82 away, 107-86 at home), but Kataja won the most recent meeting 77-73 in the Suomen Cup on 19 September 2026.
- Lahti replaced centre Dericko Williams with Aaron Carver on 27 September, while Kataja added guard Teemu Suokas, who scored 14 in the Bisons win.
BetBugs · HandicaplostKataja -2.5Estimated chance60.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lahti Basketball 85.2, Kataja 90.3. Kataja are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Kataja are 2-0 in Korisliiga this season, beating Helsinki Seagulls 102-83 at home on 29 September and Bisons 86-71 away on 3 October, averaging 94.0 points.
- Lahti lost their league opener 70-76 at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October, trailing 44-25 at halftime; Riku Korhonen scored 26 of the 70.
- Across 15 tracked games, Kataja shoot 49.2% on two-pointers and 31.1% on threes but 81.1% from the line with only 10.9 turnovers per game, per the provider's box scores.
- Lahti's 14 accepted boxes from 2025-26 show 54.3% two-point and 34.6% three-point shooting, 69.3% free throws and 14.4 turnovers per game.
- Lahti won three of the four Korisliiga meetings in 2025-26 (94-90, 89-82 away, 107-86 at home), but Kataja won the most recent meeting 77-73 in the Suomen Cup on 19 September 2026.
- Lahti replaced centre Dericko Williams with Aaron Carver on 27 September, while Kataja added guard Teemu Suokas, who scored 14 in the Bisons win.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultlostKatajaEstimated chance59.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lahti Basketball 85.2, Kataja 90.3. Kataja are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Kataja are 2-0 in Korisliiga this season, beating Helsinki Seagulls 102-83 at home on 29 September and Bisons 86-71 away on 3 October, averaging 94.0 points.
- Lahti lost their league opener 70-76 at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October, trailing 44-25 at halftime; Riku Korhonen scored 26 of the 70.
- Across 15 tracked games, Kataja shoot 49.2% on two-pointers and 31.1% on threes but 81.1% from the line with only 10.9 turnovers per game, per the provider's box scores.
- Lahti's 14 accepted boxes from 2025-26 show 54.3% two-point and 34.6% three-point shooting, 69.3% free throws and 14.4 turnovers per game.
- Lahti won three of the four Korisliiga meetings in 2025-26 (94-90, 89-82 away, 107-86 at home), but Kataja won the most recent meeting 77-73 in the Suomen Cup on 19 September 2026.
- Lahti replaced centre Dericko Williams with Aaron Carver on 27 September, while Kataja added guard Teemu Suokas, who scored 14 in the Bisons win.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonKatajaEstimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lahti Basketball 85.2, Kataja 90.3. Kataja cover -1.5 in the 1st half in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Kataja are 2-0 in Korisliiga this season, beating Helsinki Seagulls 102-83 at home on 29 September and Bisons 86-71 away on 3 October, averaging 94.0 points.
- Lahti lost their league opener 70-76 at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October, trailing 44-25 at halftime; Riku Korhonen scored 26 of the 70.
- Across 15 tracked games, Kataja shoot 49.2% on two-pointers and 31.1% on threes but 81.1% from the line with only 10.9 turnovers per game, per the provider's box scores.
- Lahti's 14 accepted boxes from 2025-26 show 54.3% two-point and 34.6% three-point shooting, 69.3% free throws and 14.4 turnovers per game.
- Lahti won three of the four Korisliiga meetings in 2025-26 (94-90, 89-82 away, 107-86 at home), but Kataja won the most recent meeting 77-73 in the Suomen Cup on 19 September 2026.
- Lahti replaced centre Dericko Williams with Aaron Carver on 27 September, while Kataja added guard Teemu Suokas, who scored 14 in the Bisons win.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicaplostKataja -1.5Estimated chance55.5%

Points9 of 11 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lahti Basketball 85.2, Kataja 90.3. The 3rd quarter has more than 39.5 points in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Lahti Basketball and 15 for Kataja, across seasons and competitions.
- Kataja are 2-0 in Korisliiga this season, beating Helsinki Seagulls 102-83 at home on 29 September and Bisons 86-71 away on 3 October, averaging 94.0 points.
- Lahti lost their league opener 70-76 at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October, trailing 44-25 at halftime; Riku Korhonen scored 26 of the 70.
- Across 15 tracked games, Kataja shoot 49.2% on two-pointers and 31.1% on threes but 81.1% from the line with only 10.9 turnovers per game, per the provider's box scores.
- Lahti's 14 accepted boxes from 2025-26 show 54.3% two-point and 34.6% three-point shooting, 69.3% free throws and 14.4 turnovers per game.
- Lahti won three of the four Korisliiga meetings in 2025-26 (94-90, 89-82 away, 107-86 at home), but Kataja won the most recent meeting 77-73 in the Suomen Cup on 19 September 2026.
- Lahti replaced centre Dericko Williams with Aaron Carver on 27 September, while Kataja added guard Teemu Suokas, who scored 14 in the Bisons win.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonOver 39.5Estimated chance70.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.80
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lahti Basketball 85.2, Kataja 90.3. The 1st half has more than 83.5 points in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Kataja are 2-0 in Korisliiga this season, beating Helsinki Seagulls 102-83 at home on 29 September and Bisons 86-71 away on 3 October, averaging 94.0 points.
- Lahti lost their league opener 70-76 at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October, trailing 44-25 at halftime; Riku Korhonen scored 26 of the 70.
- Across 15 tracked games, Kataja shoot 49.2% on two-pointers and 31.1% on threes but 81.1% from the line with only 10.9 turnovers per game, per the provider's box scores.
- Lahti's 14 accepted boxes from 2025-26 show 54.3% two-point and 34.6% three-point shooting, 69.3% free throws and 14.4 turnovers per game.
- Lahti won three of the four Korisliiga meetings in 2025-26 (94-90, 89-82 away, 107-86 at home), but Kataja won the most recent meeting 77-73 in the Suomen Cup on 19 September 2026.
- Lahti replaced centre Dericko Williams with Aaron Carver on 27 September, while Kataja added guard Teemu Suokas, who scored 14 in the Bisons win.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonOver 83.5Estimated chance66.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lahti Basketball 85.2, Kataja 90.3. Kataja score more than 86.5 points (overtime included) in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Kataja are 2-0 in Korisliiga this season, beating Helsinki Seagulls 102-83 at home on 29 September and Bisons 86-71 away on 3 October, averaging 94.0 points.
- Lahti lost their league opener 70-76 at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October, trailing 44-25 at halftime; Riku Korhonen scored 26 of the 70.
- Across 15 tracked games, Kataja shoot 49.2% on two-pointers and 31.1% on threes but 81.1% from the line with only 10.9 turnovers per game, per the provider's box scores.
- Lahti's 14 accepted boxes from 2025-26 show 54.3% two-point and 34.6% three-point shooting, 69.3% free throws and 14.4 turnovers per game.
- Lahti won three of the four Korisliiga meetings in 2025-26 (94-90, 89-82 away, 107-86 at home), but Kataja won the most recent meeting 77-73 in the Suomen Cup on 19 September 2026.
- Lahti replaced centre Dericko Williams with Aaron Carver on 27 September, while Kataja added guard Teemu Suokas, who scored 14 in the Bisons win.
BetBugs · Team PointslostKataja over 86.5Estimated chance66.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lahti Basketball 85.2, Kataja 90.3. Kataja score more than 42.5 points in the 1st half in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Kataja are 2-0 in Korisliiga this season, beating Helsinki Seagulls 102-83 at home on 29 September and Bisons 86-71 away on 3 October, averaging 94.0 points.
- Lahti lost their league opener 70-76 at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October, trailing 44-25 at halftime; Riku Korhonen scored 26 of the 70.
- Across 15 tracked games, Kataja shoot 49.2% on two-pointers and 31.1% on threes but 81.1% from the line with only 10.9 turnovers per game, per the provider's box scores.
- Lahti's 14 accepted boxes from 2025-26 show 54.3% two-point and 34.6% three-point shooting, 69.3% free throws and 14.4 turnovers per game.
- Lahti won three of the four Korisliiga meetings in 2025-26 (94-90, 89-82 away, 107-86 at home), but Kataja won the most recent meeting 77-73 in the Suomen Cup on 19 September 2026.
- Lahti replaced centre Dericko Williams with Aaron Carver on 27 September, while Kataja added guard Teemu Suokas, who scored 14 in the Bisons win.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonKataja over 42.5Estimated chance65.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lahti Basketball 85.2, Kataja 90.3. Kataja score more than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Lahti Basketball and 15 for Kataja, across seasons and competitions.
- Kataja are 2-0 in Korisliiga this season, beating Helsinki Seagulls 102-83 at home on 29 September and Bisons 86-71 away on 3 October, averaging 94.0 points.
- Lahti lost their league opener 70-76 at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October, trailing 44-25 at halftime; Riku Korhonen scored 26 of the 70.
- Across 15 tracked games, Kataja shoot 49.2% on two-pointers and 31.1% on threes but 81.1% from the line with only 10.9 turnovers per game, per the provider's box scores.
- Lahti's 14 accepted boxes from 2025-26 show 54.3% two-point and 34.6% three-point shooting, 69.3% free throws and 14.4 turnovers per game.
- Lahti won three of the four Korisliiga meetings in 2025-26 (94-90, 89-82 away, 107-86 at home), but Kataja won the most recent meeting 77-73 in the Suomen Cup on 19 September 2026.
- Lahti replaced centre Dericko Williams with Aaron Carver on 27 September, while Kataja added guard Teemu Suokas, who scored 14 in the Bisons win.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonKataja over 20.5Estimated chance63.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lahti Basketball 85.2, Kataja 90.3. The game has more than 171.5 points (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Kataja are 2-0 in Korisliiga this season, beating Helsinki Seagulls 102-83 at home on 29 September and Bisons 86-71 away on 3 October, averaging 94.0 points.
- Lahti lost their league opener 70-76 at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October, trailing 44-25 at halftime; Riku Korhonen scored 26 of the 70.
- Across 15 tracked games, Kataja shoot 49.2% on two-pointers and 31.1% on threes but 81.1% from the line with only 10.9 turnovers per game, per the provider's box scores.
- Lahti's 14 accepted boxes from 2025-26 show 54.3% two-point and 34.6% three-point shooting, 69.3% free throws and 14.4 turnovers per game.
- Lahti won three of the four Korisliiga meetings in 2025-26 (94-90, 89-82 away, 107-86 at home), but Kataja won the most recent meeting 77-73 in the Suomen Cup on 19 September 2026.
- Lahti replaced centre Dericko Williams with Aaron Carver on 27 September, while Kataja added guard Teemu Suokas, who scored 14 in the Bisons win.
BetBugs · Total PointswonOver 171.5Estimated chance61.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lahti Basketball 85.2, Kataja 90.3. Kataja score more than 21.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Kataja are 2-0 in Korisliiga this season, beating Helsinki Seagulls 102-83 at home on 29 September and Bisons 86-71 away on 3 October, averaging 94.0 points.
- Lahti lost their league opener 70-76 at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October, trailing 44-25 at halftime; Riku Korhonen scored 26 of the 70.
- Across 15 tracked games, Kataja shoot 49.2% on two-pointers and 31.1% on threes but 81.1% from the line with only 10.9 turnovers per game, per the provider's box scores.
- Lahti's 14 accepted boxes from 2025-26 show 54.3% two-point and 34.6% three-point shooting, 69.3% free throws and 14.4 turnovers per game.
- Lahti won three of the four Korisliiga meetings in 2025-26 (94-90, 89-82 away, 107-86 at home), but Kataja won the most recent meeting 77-73 in the Suomen Cup on 19 September 2026.
- Lahti replaced centre Dericko Williams with Aaron Carver on 27 September, while Kataja added guard Teemu Suokas, who scored 14 in the Bisons win.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonKataja over 21.5Estimated chance60.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lahti Basketball 85.2, Kataja 90.3. The 2nd quarter has more than 42.5 points in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Kataja are 2-0 in Korisliiga this season, beating Helsinki Seagulls 102-83 at home on 29 September and Bisons 86-71 away on 3 October, averaging 94.0 points.
- Lahti lost their league opener 70-76 at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October, trailing 44-25 at halftime; Riku Korhonen scored 26 of the 70.
- Across 15 tracked games, Kataja shoot 49.2% on two-pointers and 31.1% on threes but 81.1% from the line with only 10.9 turnovers per game, per the provider's box scores.
- Lahti's 14 accepted boxes from 2025-26 show 54.3% two-point and 34.6% three-point shooting, 69.3% free throws and 14.4 turnovers per game.
- Lahti won three of the four Korisliiga meetings in 2025-26 (94-90, 89-82 away, 107-86 at home), but Kataja won the most recent meeting 77-73 in the Suomen Cup on 19 September 2026.
- Lahti replaced centre Dericko Williams with Aaron Carver on 27 September, while Kataja added guard Teemu Suokas, who scored 14 in the Bisons win.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonOver 42.5Estimated chance58.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lahti Basketball 85.2, Kataja 90.3. Kataja score more than 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Kataja are 2-0 in Korisliiga this season, beating Helsinki Seagulls 102-83 at home on 29 September and Bisons 86-71 away on 3 October, averaging 94.0 points.
- Lahti lost their league opener 70-76 at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October, trailing 44-25 at halftime; Riku Korhonen scored 26 of the 70.
- Across 15 tracked games, Kataja shoot 49.2% on two-pointers and 31.1% on threes but 81.1% from the line with only 10.9 turnovers per game, per the provider's box scores.
- Lahti's 14 accepted boxes from 2025-26 show 54.3% two-point and 34.6% three-point shooting, 69.3% free throws and 14.4 turnovers per game.
- Lahti won three of the four Korisliiga meetings in 2025-26 (94-90, 89-82 away, 107-86 at home), but Kataja won the most recent meeting 77-73 in the Suomen Cup on 19 September 2026.
- Lahti replaced centre Dericko Williams with Aaron Carver on 27 September, while Kataja added guard Teemu Suokas, who scored 14 in the Bisons win.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonKataja over 21.5Estimated chance58.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lahti Basketball 85.2, Kataja 90.3. Lahti Basketball score more than 41.5 points in the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Kataja are 2-0 in Korisliiga this season, beating Helsinki Seagulls 102-83 at home on 29 September and Bisons 86-71 away on 3 October, averaging 94.0 points.
- Lahti lost their league opener 70-76 at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October, trailing 44-25 at halftime; Riku Korhonen scored 26 of the 70.
- Across 15 tracked games, Kataja shoot 49.2% on two-pointers and 31.1% on threes but 81.1% from the line with only 10.9 turnovers per game, per the provider's box scores.
- Lahti's 14 accepted boxes from 2025-26 show 54.3% two-point and 34.6% three-point shooting, 69.3% free throws and 14.4 turnovers per game.
- Lahti won three of the four Korisliiga meetings in 2025-26 (94-90, 89-82 away, 107-86 at home), but Kataja won the most recent meeting 77-73 in the Suomen Cup on 19 September 2026.
- Lahti replaced centre Dericko Williams with Aaron Carver on 27 September, while Kataja added guard Teemu Suokas, who scored 14 in the Bisons win.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonLahti Basketball over 41.5Estimated chance55.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lahti Basketball 85.2, Kataja 90.3. Lahti Basketball score more than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Lahti Basketball and 15 for Kataja, across seasons and competitions.
- Kataja are 2-0 in Korisliiga this season, beating Helsinki Seagulls 102-83 at home on 29 September and Bisons 86-71 away on 3 October, averaging 94.0 points.
- Lahti lost their league opener 70-76 at Helsinki Seagulls on 2 October, trailing 44-25 at halftime; Riku Korhonen scored 26 of the 70.
- Across 15 tracked games, Kataja shoot 49.2% on two-pointers and 31.1% on threes but 81.1% from the line with only 10.9 turnovers per game, per the provider's box scores.
- Lahti's 14 accepted boxes from 2025-26 show 54.3% two-point and 34.6% three-point shooting, 69.3% free throws and 14.4 turnovers per game.
- Lahti won three of the four Korisliiga meetings in 2025-26 (94-90, 89-82 away, 107-86 at home), but Kataja won the most recent meeting 77-73 in the Suomen Cup on 19 September 2026.
- Lahti replaced centre Dericko Williams with Aaron Carver on 27 September, while Kataja added guard Teemu Suokas, who scored 14 in the Bisons win.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostLahti Basketball over 20.5Estimated chance55.1%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 6, 19:40

Selected line

171.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

61%

Chance of 172+ points

+6 pp above break-even

Over 1.81 needs 55% to break even. BetBugs sees 61%.

Move the line main 171.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 61%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 39%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L73–77

Lahti Basketballv Kataja

Kataja

Sep 19, 2026·SUO

W94–90

Lahti Basketballv Kataja

Kataja

Feb 11, 2026·KOR

W82–89

Katajav

Lahti Basketball

Feb 4, 2026·KOR

W107–86

Lahti Basketballv Kataja

Kataja

Jan 24, 2026·KOR

L107–93

Katajav

Lahti Basketball

Nov 22, 2025·KOR

L110–68

Katajav

Lahti Basketball

Feb 3, 2024·KOR

L96–103

Lahti Basketballv Kataja

Kataja

Nov 29, 2023·KOR

L95–87

Katajav

Lahti Basketball

Dec 30, 2022·KOR

L78–96

Lahti Basketballv Kataja

Kataja

Oct 15, 2022·KOR

W73–75

Katajav

Lahti Basketball

Mar 23, 2022·KOR

177.9Avg total points

12.7Avg margin

10meetings

League table

Korisliiga · Korisliiga - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Lahti Basketball

0–10%

Kataja

2–0100%

Recent Form

Lahti Basketball

6W 9L · last 15

at Helsinki Seagulls70–76 Oct 2KOR

vs Bisons Loimaa89–92 Mar 18KOR

at Kobrat100–101 Mar 14KOR

at Pyrinto Tampere77–93 Mar 10KOR

vs Kouvot Kouvola80–96 Feb 22KOR

at Bisons Loimaa94–93 Feb 18KOR

vs Kobrat118–112 Feb 15KOR

vs Kataja94–90 Feb 11KOR

vs Pyrinto Tampere83–92 Feb 6KOR

at Kataja89–82 Feb 4KOR

at Kouvot Kouvola74–79 Jan 30KOR

vs Kataja107–86 Jan 24KOR

at UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki94–106 Jan 21KOR

vs Kouvot Kouvola107–96 Jan 14KOR

at KTP Kotka Basket82–101 Jan 9KOR

Kataja

9W 6L · last 15

at Bisons Loimaa86–71 Oct 3KOR

vs Helsinki Seagulls102–83 Sep 29KOR

at Salon Vilpas69–100 May 19KOR

vs Salon Vilpas75–59 May 16KOR

at Salon Vilpas81–90 May 14KOR

vs Salon Vilpas79–86 May 12KOR

at Salon Vilpas45–82 May 9KOR

vs Salon Vilpas75–70 May 5KOR

at Salon Vilpas84–75 May 2KOR

at Helsinki Seagulls65–58 Apr 28KOR

vs Helsinki Seagulls71–74 Apr 26KOR

at Helsinki Seagulls69–64 Apr 24KOR

vs Helsinki Seagulls107–100 Apr 21KOR

at Helsinki Seagulls92–72 Apr 18KOR

vs Helsinki Seagulls80–85 Apr 15KOR

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Lahti Basketball

14 games

Stats

2–3

Kataja

Kataja leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–1

2-point %+5.1pp

54.3%

+5.1pp

49.2%

3-point %+3.5pp

34.6%

+3.5pp

31.1%

Free-throw %+11.8pp

69.3%

+11.8pp

81.1%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s0.4pp apart

33.9%

0.4pp apart

34.3%

Free throws per shot6.3pp apart

24.1%

6.3pp apart

30.4%

Possession· 0–2

Rebounds per game+2.1

33.8

+2.1

35.9

Turnovers per game3.5 fewer

14.4

3.5 fewer

10.9

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.