Keravnos88Parnu70

Wed 7 Oct 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions20–677%

Points by period: Keravnos and Parnu.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Keravnos	26	19	25	18
Parnu	11	19	18	22

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Keravnos' rebuilt squad, without a completed game since 25 May, meets a Pärnu side already four games into 2026-27.

An expected 40-minute score of Keravnos 81.3, Pärnu 73.9 puts the home side ahead in roughly 72 of 100 games including overtime, so Keravnos are the lean on the evidence — but it is thin, and no prices are quoted for this Group D opener.

Context

Keravnos have not played a completed game since 25 May 2026 and are integrating four new overseas players plus a coach appointed in April, while Pärnu have played four games since 23 September 2026 and both sides are 0-0 in Group D. Starting line-ups and rotations for this opener remain open.

Keravnos brought in two guards, a forward and a centre while retaining Crockett from last season. The meeting with Pärnu is the new group’s first FIBA Europe Cup game together, so how quickly those pieces combine in European competition remains uncertain.
- Keravnos added guards Shamar Givance and Trevon Allen, forward Tyrn Flowers and centre Nate Grimes for 2026-27.
- Jaye Crockett remained with Keravnos as the fifth overseas player.
Kounas succeeded Damalis in April and remains in charge for the start of the FIBA Europe Cup regular season. The Pärnu game is the first European test of the campaign under his leadership, with the effect of the coaching change on this renewed group still to be seen.
- Giannis Damalis resigned as Keravnos head coach on 19 April 2026.
- Vasilis Kounas was appointed immediately on a 1.5-year term.
- Keravnos named Kounas as coach for the Pärnu game on 5 October.
Pärnu’s route to this group game included a two-leg qualifier against Neftchi, completed one week before the trip to Keravnos. It provides recent continental competition context, but does not by itself show which players will be selected for this game.
- Pärnu won the home second leg against Neftchi 73-61 on 30 September.
- Pärnu entered the FIBA Europe Cup regular season despite losing the two-leg tie by one point overall.
Pärnu’s summer moves added a new guard, centre and wing option around continuing players such as Hendrik Eelmäe and Kaspar Lootus. Those additions give the visitors changed personnel for their regular-season opener, while their specific responsibilities against Keravnos may still vary.
- Illia Sydorov joined Pärnu from the Ukraine national-team setup.
- Centre Klavs Dubults and Kaur Erik Suurorg also joined Pärnu during the summer.
- Sydorov and Dubults were listed in Pärnu's current group ahead of the Keravnos game.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result9 of 11 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keravnos 81.3, Parnu 73.9. Keravnos cover +3.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 79 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Keravnos and 15 for Parnu, across seasons and competitions.
- Keravnos averaged 90.0 points in its eight home Division A games in 2025-26 (Mar-May 2026) but has not played a completed game since 25 May 2026.
- Pärnu has averaged 73.5 points in its four 2026-27 games (23 Sep-3 Oct 2026), including 67 points in its FIBA Europe Cup road loss at Neftchi on 23 Sep 2026.
- Across the tracked 15 games, Keravnos shot 56.1% on two-pointers, 34.7% on three-pointers and 81.7% on free throws in 2025-26 Division A.
- Across Pärnu's tracked 15 games, it shot 52.5% on two-pointers, 30.2% on three-pointers and 70.6% on free throws, and averaged 32.1 rebounds to Keravnos' 35.9.
- There are no completed head-to-head meetings on record, and both teams are 0-0 in FIBA Europe Cup Group D.
- Pärnu beat Neftchi 73-61 at home on 30 Sep 2026 to reach the regular season, giving it recent continental match practice.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonKeravnos +3.5Estimated chance78.7%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keravnos 81.3, Parnu 73.9. Keravnos win in about 72 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Keravnos averaged 90.0 points in its eight home Division A games in 2025-26 (Mar-May 2026) but has not played a completed game since 25 May 2026.
- Pärnu has averaged 73.5 points in its four 2026-27 games (23 Sep-3 Oct 2026), including 67 points in its FIBA Europe Cup road loss at Neftchi on 23 Sep 2026.
- Across the tracked 15 games, Keravnos shot 56.1% on two-pointers, 34.7% on three-pointers and 81.7% on free throws in 2025-26 Division A.
- Across Pärnu's tracked 15 games, it shot 52.5% on two-pointers, 30.2% on three-pointers and 70.6% on free throws, and averaged 32.1 rebounds to Keravnos' 35.9.
- There are no completed head-to-head meetings on record, and both teams are 0-0 in FIBA Europe Cup Group D.
- Pärnu beat Neftchi 73-61 at home on 30 Sep 2026 to reach the regular season, giving it recent continental match practice.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonKeravnosEstimated chance72.1%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keravnos 81.3, Parnu 73.9. Keravnos are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 70 of 100 games like this.
- Keravnos averaged 90.0 points in its eight home Division A games in 2025-26 (Mar-May 2026) but has not played a completed game since 25 May 2026.
- Pärnu has averaged 73.5 points in its four 2026-27 games (23 Sep-3 Oct 2026), including 67 points in its FIBA Europe Cup road loss at Neftchi on 23 Sep 2026.
- Across the tracked 15 games, Keravnos shot 56.1% on two-pointers, 34.7% on three-pointers and 81.7% on free throws in 2025-26 Division A.
- Across Pärnu's tracked 15 games, it shot 52.5% on two-pointers, 30.2% on three-pointers and 70.6% on free throws, and averaged 32.1 rebounds to Keravnos' 35.9.
- There are no completed head-to-head meetings on record, and both teams are 0-0 in FIBA Europe Cup Group D.
- Pärnu beat Neftchi 73-61 at home on 30 Sep 2026 to reach the regular season, giving it recent continental match practice.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonKeravnosEstimated chance70.1%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keravnos 81.3, Parnu 73.9. Keravnos are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Keravnos averaged 90.0 points in its eight home Division A games in 2025-26 (Mar-May 2026) but has not played a completed game since 25 May 2026.
- Pärnu has averaged 73.5 points in its four 2026-27 games (23 Sep-3 Oct 2026), including 67 points in its FIBA Europe Cup road loss at Neftchi on 23 Sep 2026.
- Across the tracked 15 games, Keravnos shot 56.1% on two-pointers, 34.7% on three-pointers and 81.7% on free throws in 2025-26 Division A.
- Across Pärnu's tracked 15 games, it shot 52.5% on two-pointers, 30.2% on three-pointers and 70.6% on free throws, and averaged 32.1 rebounds to Keravnos' 35.9.
- There are no completed head-to-head meetings on record, and both teams are 0-0 in FIBA Europe Cup Group D.
- Pärnu beat Neftchi 73-61 at home on 30 Sep 2026 to reach the regular season, giving it recent continental match practice.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonKeravnosEstimated chance64.6%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keravnos 81.3, Parnu 73.9. Keravnos cover -3.5 (overtime included) in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Keravnos and 15 for Parnu, across seasons and competitions.
- Keravnos averaged 90.0 points in its eight home Division A games in 2025-26 (Mar-May 2026) but has not played a completed game since 25 May 2026.
- Pärnu has averaged 73.5 points in its four 2026-27 games (23 Sep-3 Oct 2026), including 67 points in its FIBA Europe Cup road loss at Neftchi on 23 Sep 2026.
- Across the tracked 15 games, Keravnos shot 56.1% on two-pointers, 34.7% on three-pointers and 81.7% on free throws in 2025-26 Division A.
- Across Pärnu's tracked 15 games, it shot 52.5% on two-pointers, 30.2% on three-pointers and 70.6% on free throws, and averaged 32.1 rebounds to Keravnos' 35.9.
- There are no completed head-to-head meetings on record, and both teams are 0-0 in FIBA Europe Cup Group D.
- Pärnu beat Neftchi 73-61 at home on 30 Sep 2026 to reach the regular season, giving it recent continental match practice.
BetBugs · HandicapwonKeravnos -3.5Estimated chance63.7%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keravnos 81.3, Parnu 73.9. Keravnos cover +0.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Keravnos and 15 for Parnu, across seasons and competitions.
- Keravnos averaged 90.0 points in its eight home Division A games in 2025-26 (Mar-May 2026) but has not played a completed game since 25 May 2026.
- Pärnu has averaged 73.5 points in its four 2026-27 games (23 Sep-3 Oct 2026), including 67 points in its FIBA Europe Cup road loss at Neftchi on 23 Sep 2026.
- Across the tracked 15 games, Keravnos shot 56.1% on two-pointers, 34.7% on three-pointers and 81.7% on free throws in 2025-26 Division A.
- Across Pärnu's tracked 15 games, it shot 52.5% on two-pointers, 30.2% on three-pointers and 70.6% on free throws, and averaged 32.1 rebounds to Keravnos' 35.9.
- There are no completed head-to-head meetings on record, and both teams are 0-0 in FIBA Europe Cup Group D.
- Pärnu beat Neftchi 73-61 at home on 30 Sep 2026 to reach the regular season, giving it recent continental match practice.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonKeravnos +0.5Estimated chance61.3%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keravnos 81.3, Parnu 73.9. Keravnos cover -1.5 in the 1st half in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Keravnos and 15 for Parnu, across seasons and competitions.
- Keravnos averaged 90.0 points in its eight home Division A games in 2025-26 (Mar-May 2026) but has not played a completed game since 25 May 2026.
- Pärnu has averaged 73.5 points in its four 2026-27 games (23 Sep-3 Oct 2026), including 67 points in its FIBA Europe Cup road loss at Neftchi on 23 Sep 2026.
- Across the tracked 15 games, Keravnos shot 56.1% on two-pointers, 34.7% on three-pointers and 81.7% on free throws in 2025-26 Division A.
- Across Pärnu's tracked 15 games, it shot 52.5% on two-pointers, 30.2% on three-pointers and 70.6% on free throws, and averaged 32.1 rebounds to Keravnos' 35.9.
- There are no completed head-to-head meetings on record, and both teams are 0-0 in FIBA Europe Cup Group D.
- Pärnu beat Neftchi 73-61 at home on 30 Sep 2026 to reach the regular season, giving it recent continental match practice.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonKeravnos -1.5Estimated chance60.6%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keravnos 81.3, Parnu 73.9. Keravnos are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Keravnos averaged 90.0 points in its eight home Division A games in 2025-26 (Mar-May 2026) but has not played a completed game since 25 May 2026.
- Pärnu has averaged 73.5 points in its four 2026-27 games (23 Sep-3 Oct 2026), including 67 points in its FIBA Europe Cup road loss at Neftchi on 23 Sep 2026.
- Across the tracked 15 games, Keravnos shot 56.1% on two-pointers, 34.7% on three-pointers and 81.7% on free throws in 2025-26 Division A.
- Across Pärnu's tracked 15 games, it shot 52.5% on two-pointers, 30.2% on three-pointers and 70.6% on free throws, and averaged 32.1 rebounds to Keravnos' 35.9.
- There are no completed head-to-head meetings on record, and both teams are 0-0 in FIBA Europe Cup Group D.
- Pärnu beat Neftchi 73-61 at home on 30 Sep 2026 to reach the regular season, giving it recent continental match practice.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultlostKeravnosEstimated chance59.9%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keravnos 81.3, Parnu 73.9. Parnu cover +3.5 in the 1st quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Keravnos and 15 for Parnu, across seasons and competitions.
- Keravnos averaged 90.0 points in its eight home Division A games in 2025-26 (Mar-May 2026) but has not played a completed game since 25 May 2026.
- Pärnu has averaged 73.5 points in its four 2026-27 games (23 Sep-3 Oct 2026), including 67 points in its FIBA Europe Cup road loss at Neftchi on 23 Sep 2026.
- Across the tracked 15 games, Keravnos shot 56.1% on two-pointers, 34.7% on three-pointers and 81.7% on free throws in 2025-26 Division A.
- Across Pärnu's tracked 15 games, it shot 52.5% on two-pointers, 30.2% on three-pointers and 70.6% on free throws, and averaged 32.1 rebounds to Keravnos' 35.9.
- There are no completed head-to-head meetings on record, and both teams are 0-0 in FIBA Europe Cup Group D.
- Pärnu beat Neftchi 73-61 at home on 30 Sep 2026 to reach the regular season, giving it recent continental match practice.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicaplostParnu +3.5Estimated chance59.6%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keravnos 81.3, Parnu 73.9. Keravnos are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Keravnos averaged 90.0 points in its eight home Division A games in 2025-26 (Mar-May 2026) but has not played a completed game since 25 May 2026.
- Pärnu has averaged 73.5 points in its four 2026-27 games (23 Sep-3 Oct 2026), including 67 points in its FIBA Europe Cup road loss at Neftchi on 23 Sep 2026.
- Across the tracked 15 games, Keravnos shot 56.1% on two-pointers, 34.7% on three-pointers and 81.7% on free throws in 2025-26 Division A.
- Across Pärnu's tracked 15 games, it shot 52.5% on two-pointers, 30.2% on three-pointers and 70.6% on free throws, and averaged 32.1 rebounds to Keravnos' 35.9.
- There are no completed head-to-head meetings on record, and both teams are 0-0 in FIBA Europe Cup Group D.
- Pärnu beat Neftchi 73-61 at home on 30 Sep 2026 to reach the regular season, giving it recent continental match practice.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonKeravnosEstimated chance57.1%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keravnos 81.3, Parnu 73.9. Keravnos are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Keravnos averaged 90.0 points in its eight home Division A games in 2025-26 (Mar-May 2026) but has not played a completed game since 25 May 2026.
- Pärnu has averaged 73.5 points in its four 2026-27 games (23 Sep-3 Oct 2026), including 67 points in its FIBA Europe Cup road loss at Neftchi on 23 Sep 2026.
- Across the tracked 15 games, Keravnos shot 56.1% on two-pointers, 34.7% on three-pointers and 81.7% on free throws in 2025-26 Division A.
- Across Pärnu's tracked 15 games, it shot 52.5% on two-pointers, 30.2% on three-pointers and 70.6% on free throws, and averaged 32.1 rebounds to Keravnos' 35.9.
- There are no completed head-to-head meetings on record, and both teams are 0-0 in FIBA Europe Cup Group D.
- Pärnu beat Neftchi 73-61 at home on 30 Sep 2026 to reach the regular season, giving it recent continental match practice.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonKeravnosEstimated chance55.9%

Points11 of 15 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keravnos 81.3, Parnu 73.9. Keravnos score more than 16.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Keravnos and 15 for Parnu, across seasons and competitions.
- Keravnos averaged 90.0 points in its eight home Division A games in 2025-26 (Mar-May 2026) but has not played a completed game since 25 May 2026.
- Pärnu has averaged 73.5 points in its four 2026-27 games (23 Sep-3 Oct 2026), including 67 points in its FIBA Europe Cup road loss at Neftchi on 23 Sep 2026.
- Across the tracked 15 games, Keravnos shot 56.1% on two-pointers, 34.7% on three-pointers and 81.7% on free throws in 2025-26 Division A.
- Across Pärnu's tracked 15 games, it shot 52.5% on two-pointers, 30.2% on three-pointers and 70.6% on free throws, and averaged 32.1 rebounds to Keravnos' 35.9.
- There are no completed head-to-head meetings on record, and both teams are 0-0 in FIBA Europe Cup Group D.
- Pärnu beat Neftchi 73-61 at home on 30 Sep 2026 to reach the regular season, giving it recent continental match practice.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonKeravnos over 16.5Estimated chance75.1%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keravnos 81.3, Parnu 73.9. Keravnos score fewer than 23.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 74 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Keravnos and 15 for Parnu, across seasons and competitions.
- Keravnos averaged 90.0 points in its eight home Division A games in 2025-26 (Mar-May 2026) but has not played a completed game since 25 May 2026.
- Pärnu has averaged 73.5 points in its four 2026-27 games (23 Sep-3 Oct 2026), including 67 points in its FIBA Europe Cup road loss at Neftchi on 23 Sep 2026.
- Across the tracked 15 games, Keravnos shot 56.1% on two-pointers, 34.7% on three-pointers and 81.7% on free throws in 2025-26 Division A.
- Across Pärnu's tracked 15 games, it shot 52.5% on two-pointers, 30.2% on three-pointers and 70.6% on free throws, and averaged 32.1 rebounds to Keravnos' 35.9.
- There are no completed head-to-head meetings on record, and both teams are 0-0 in FIBA Europe Cup Group D.
- Pärnu beat Neftchi 73-61 at home on 30 Sep 2026 to reach the regular season, giving it recent continental match practice.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostKeravnos under 23.5Estimated chance73.9%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keravnos 81.3, Parnu 73.9. Parnu score fewer than 21.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 73 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Keravnos and 15 for Parnu, across seasons and competitions.
- Keravnos averaged 90.0 points in its eight home Division A games in 2025-26 (Mar-May 2026) but has not played a completed game since 25 May 2026.
- Pärnu has averaged 73.5 points in its four 2026-27 games (23 Sep-3 Oct 2026), including 67 points in its FIBA Europe Cup road loss at Neftchi on 23 Sep 2026.
- Across the tracked 15 games, Keravnos shot 56.1% on two-pointers, 34.7% on three-pointers and 81.7% on free throws in 2025-26 Division A.
- Across Pärnu's tracked 15 games, it shot 52.5% on two-pointers, 30.2% on three-pointers and 70.6% on free throws, and averaged 32.1 rebounds to Keravnos' 35.9.
- There are no completed head-to-head meetings on record, and both teams are 0-0 in FIBA Europe Cup Group D.
- Pärnu beat Neftchi 73-61 at home on 30 Sep 2026 to reach the regular season, giving it recent continental match practice.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonParnu under 21.5Estimated chance73.4%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keravnos 81.3, Parnu 73.9. Keravnos score more than 75.5 points (overtime included) in about 73 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Keravnos and 15 for Parnu, across seasons and competitions.
- Keravnos averaged 90.0 points in its eight home Division A games in 2025-26 (Mar-May 2026) but has not played a completed game since 25 May 2026.
- Pärnu has averaged 73.5 points in its four 2026-27 games (23 Sep-3 Oct 2026), including 67 points in its FIBA Europe Cup road loss at Neftchi on 23 Sep 2026.
- Across the tracked 15 games, Keravnos shot 56.1% on two-pointers, 34.7% on three-pointers and 81.7% on free throws in 2025-26 Division A.
- Across Pärnu's tracked 15 games, it shot 52.5% on two-pointers, 30.2% on three-pointers and 70.6% on free throws, and averaged 32.1 rebounds to Keravnos' 35.9.
- There are no completed head-to-head meetings on record, and both teams are 0-0 in FIBA Europe Cup Group D.
- Pärnu beat Neftchi 73-61 at home on 30 Sep 2026 to reach the regular season, giving it recent continental match practice.
BetBugs · Team PointswonKeravnos over 75.5Estimated chance72.8%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keravnos 81.3, Parnu 73.9. The 1st quarter has fewer than 42.5 points in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Keravnos and 15 for Parnu, across seasons and competitions.
- Keravnos averaged 90.0 points in its eight home Division A games in 2025-26 (Mar-May 2026) but has not played a completed game since 25 May 2026.
- Pärnu has averaged 73.5 points in its four 2026-27 games (23 Sep-3 Oct 2026), including 67 points in its FIBA Europe Cup road loss at Neftchi on 23 Sep 2026.
- Across the tracked 15 games, Keravnos shot 56.1% on two-pointers, 34.7% on three-pointers and 81.7% on free throws in 2025-26 Division A.
- Across Pärnu's tracked 15 games, it shot 52.5% on two-pointers, 30.2% on three-pointers and 70.6% on free throws, and averaged 32.1 rebounds to Keravnos' 35.9.
- There are no completed head-to-head meetings on record, and both teams are 0-0 in FIBA Europe Cup Group D.
- Pärnu beat Neftchi 73-61 at home on 30 Sep 2026 to reach the regular season, giving it recent continental match practice.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonUnder 42.5Estimated chance69.8%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keravnos 81.3, Parnu 73.9. Parnu score fewer than 40.5 points in the 1st half in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Keravnos and 15 for Parnu, across seasons and competitions.
- Keravnos averaged 90.0 points in its eight home Division A games in 2025-26 (Mar-May 2026) but has not played a completed game since 25 May 2026.
- Pärnu has averaged 73.5 points in its four 2026-27 games (23 Sep-3 Oct 2026), including 67 points in its FIBA Europe Cup road loss at Neftchi on 23 Sep 2026.
- Across the tracked 15 games, Keravnos shot 56.1% on two-pointers, 34.7% on three-pointers and 81.7% on free throws in 2025-26 Division A.
- Across Pärnu's tracked 15 games, it shot 52.5% on two-pointers, 30.2% on three-pointers and 70.6% on free throws, and averaged 32.1 rebounds to Keravnos' 35.9.
- There are no completed head-to-head meetings on record, and both teams are 0-0 in FIBA Europe Cup Group D.
- Pärnu beat Neftchi 73-61 at home on 30 Sep 2026 to reach the regular season, giving it recent continental match practice.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonParnu under 40.5Estimated chance69.6%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keravnos 81.3, Parnu 73.9. The 1st half has fewer than 82.5 points in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Keravnos and 15 for Parnu, across seasons and competitions.
- Keravnos averaged 90.0 points in its eight home Division A games in 2025-26 (Mar-May 2026) but has not played a completed game since 25 May 2026.
- Pärnu has averaged 73.5 points in its four 2026-27 games (23 Sep-3 Oct 2026), including 67 points in its FIBA Europe Cup road loss at Neftchi on 23 Sep 2026.
- Across the tracked 15 games, Keravnos shot 56.1% on two-pointers, 34.7% on three-pointers and 81.7% on free throws in 2025-26 Division A.
- Across Pärnu's tracked 15 games, it shot 52.5% on two-pointers, 30.2% on three-pointers and 70.6% on free throws, and averaged 32.1 rebounds to Keravnos' 35.9.
- There are no completed head-to-head meetings on record, and both teams are 0-0 in FIBA Europe Cup Group D.
- Pärnu beat Neftchi 73-61 at home on 30 Sep 2026 to reach the regular season, giving it recent continental match practice.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonUnder 82.5Estimated chance67.3%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keravnos 81.3, Parnu 73.9. Keravnos score fewer than 43.5 points in the 1st half in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Keravnos and 15 for Parnu, across seasons and competitions.
- Keravnos averaged 90.0 points in its eight home Division A games in 2025-26 (Mar-May 2026) but has not played a completed game since 25 May 2026.
- Pärnu has averaged 73.5 points in its four 2026-27 games (23 Sep-3 Oct 2026), including 67 points in its FIBA Europe Cup road loss at Neftchi on 23 Sep 2026.
- Across the tracked 15 games, Keravnos shot 56.1% on two-pointers, 34.7% on three-pointers and 81.7% on free throws in 2025-26 Division A.
- Across Pärnu's tracked 15 games, it shot 52.5% on two-pointers, 30.2% on three-pointers and 70.6% on free throws, and averaged 32.1 rebounds to Keravnos' 35.9.
- There are no completed head-to-head meetings on record, and both teams are 0-0 in FIBA Europe Cup Group D.
- Pärnu beat Neftchi 73-61 at home on 30 Sep 2026 to reach the regular season, giving it recent continental match practice.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostKeravnos under 43.5Estimated chance64.1%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keravnos 81.3, Parnu 73.9. The 2nd quarter has fewer than 41.5 points in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Keravnos and 15 for Parnu, across seasons and competitions.
- Keravnos averaged 90.0 points in its eight home Division A games in 2025-26 (Mar-May 2026) but has not played a completed game since 25 May 2026.
- Pärnu has averaged 73.5 points in its four 2026-27 games (23 Sep-3 Oct 2026), including 67 points in its FIBA Europe Cup road loss at Neftchi on 23 Sep 2026.
- Across the tracked 15 games, Keravnos shot 56.1% on two-pointers, 34.7% on three-pointers and 81.7% on free throws in 2025-26 Division A.
- Across Pärnu's tracked 15 games, it shot 52.5% on two-pointers, 30.2% on three-pointers and 70.6% on free throws, and averaged 32.1 rebounds to Keravnos' 35.9.
- There are no completed head-to-head meetings on record, and both teams are 0-0 in FIBA Europe Cup Group D.
- Pärnu beat Neftchi 73-61 at home on 30 Sep 2026 to reach the regular season, giving it recent continental match practice.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 41.5Estimated chance64%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keravnos 81.3, Parnu 73.9. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 40.5 points in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Keravnos and 15 for Parnu, across seasons and competitions.
- Keravnos averaged 90.0 points in its eight home Division A games in 2025-26 (Mar-May 2026) but has not played a completed game since 25 May 2026.
- Pärnu has averaged 73.5 points in its four 2026-27 games (23 Sep-3 Oct 2026), including 67 points in its FIBA Europe Cup road loss at Neftchi on 23 Sep 2026.
- Across the tracked 15 games, Keravnos shot 56.1% on two-pointers, 34.7% on three-pointers and 81.7% on free throws in 2025-26 Division A.
- Across Pärnu's tracked 15 games, it shot 52.5% on two-pointers, 30.2% on three-pointers and 70.6% on free throws, and averaged 32.1 rebounds to Keravnos' 35.9.
- There are no completed head-to-head meetings on record, and both teams are 0-0 in FIBA Europe Cup Group D.
- Pärnu beat Neftchi 73-61 at home on 30 Sep 2026 to reach the regular season, giving it recent continental match practice.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostUnder 40.5Estimated chance61.3%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keravnos 81.3, Parnu 73.9. The game has fewer than 160.5 points (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Keravnos and 15 for Parnu, across seasons and competitions.
- Keravnos averaged 90.0 points in its eight home Division A games in 2025-26 (Mar-May 2026) but has not played a completed game since 25 May 2026.
- Pärnu has averaged 73.5 points in its four 2026-27 games (23 Sep-3 Oct 2026), including 67 points in its FIBA Europe Cup road loss at Neftchi on 23 Sep 2026.
- Across the tracked 15 games, Keravnos shot 56.1% on two-pointers, 34.7% on three-pointers and 81.7% on free throws in 2025-26 Division A.
- Across Pärnu's tracked 15 games, it shot 52.5% on two-pointers, 30.2% on three-pointers and 70.6% on free throws, and averaged 32.1 rebounds to Keravnos' 35.9.
- There are no completed head-to-head meetings on record, and both teams are 0-0 in FIBA Europe Cup Group D.
- Pärnu beat Neftchi 73-61 at home on 30 Sep 2026 to reach the regular season, giving it recent continental match practice.
BetBugs · Total PointswonUnder 160.5Estimated chance60.8%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keravnos 81.3, Parnu 73.9. Keravnos score more than 19.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Keravnos and 15 for Parnu, across seasons and competitions.
- Keravnos averaged 90.0 points in its eight home Division A games in 2025-26 (Mar-May 2026) but has not played a completed game since 25 May 2026.
- Pärnu has averaged 73.5 points in its four 2026-27 games (23 Sep-3 Oct 2026), including 67 points in its FIBA Europe Cup road loss at Neftchi on 23 Sep 2026.
- Across the tracked 15 games, Keravnos shot 56.1% on two-pointers, 34.7% on three-pointers and 81.7% on free throws in 2025-26 Division A.
- Across Pärnu's tracked 15 games, it shot 52.5% on two-pointers, 30.2% on three-pointers and 70.6% on free throws, and averaged 32.1 rebounds to Keravnos' 35.9.
- There are no completed head-to-head meetings on record, and both teams are 0-0 in FIBA Europe Cup Group D.
- Pärnu beat Neftchi 73-61 at home on 30 Sep 2026 to reach the regular season, giving it recent continental match practice.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostKeravnos over 19.5Estimated chance58.9%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keravnos 81.3, Parnu 73.9. Parnu score fewer than 76.5 points (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Keravnos and 15 for Parnu, across seasons and competitions.
- Keravnos averaged 90.0 points in its eight home Division A games in 2025-26 (Mar-May 2026) but has not played a completed game since 25 May 2026.
- Pärnu has averaged 73.5 points in its four 2026-27 games (23 Sep-3 Oct 2026), including 67 points in its FIBA Europe Cup road loss at Neftchi on 23 Sep 2026.
- Across the tracked 15 games, Keravnos shot 56.1% on two-pointers, 34.7% on three-pointers and 81.7% on free throws in 2025-26 Division A.
- Across Pärnu's tracked 15 games, it shot 52.5% on two-pointers, 30.2% on three-pointers and 70.6% on free throws, and averaged 32.1 rebounds to Keravnos' 35.9.
- There are no completed head-to-head meetings on record, and both teams are 0-0 in FIBA Europe Cup Group D.
- Pärnu beat Neftchi 73-61 at home on 30 Sep 2026 to reach the regular season, giving it recent continental match practice.
BetBugs · Team PointswonParnu under 76.5Estimated chance58.5%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keravnos 81.3, Parnu 73.9. Parnu score fewer than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Keravnos and 15 for Parnu, across seasons and competitions.
- Keravnos averaged 90.0 points in its eight home Division A games in 2025-26 (Mar-May 2026) but has not played a completed game since 25 May 2026.
- Pärnu has averaged 73.5 points in its four 2026-27 games (23 Sep-3 Oct 2026), including 67 points in its FIBA Europe Cup road loss at Neftchi on 23 Sep 2026.
- Across the tracked 15 games, Keravnos shot 56.1% on two-pointers, 34.7% on three-pointers and 81.7% on free throws in 2025-26 Division A.
- Across Pärnu's tracked 15 games, it shot 52.5% on two-pointers, 30.2% on three-pointers and 70.6% on free throws, and averaged 32.1 rebounds to Keravnos' 35.9.
- There are no completed head-to-head meetings on record, and both teams are 0-0 in FIBA Europe Cup Group D.
- Pärnu beat Neftchi 73-61 at home on 30 Sep 2026 to reach the regular season, giving it recent continental match practice.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonParnu under 19.5Estimated chance58.4%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Keravnos 81.3, Parnu 73.9. Parnu score fewer than 19.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Keravnos and 15 for Parnu, across seasons and competitions.
- Keravnos averaged 90.0 points in its eight home Division A games in 2025-26 (Mar-May 2026) but has not played a completed game since 25 May 2026.
- Pärnu has averaged 73.5 points in its four 2026-27 games (23 Sep-3 Oct 2026), including 67 points in its FIBA Europe Cup road loss at Neftchi on 23 Sep 2026.
- Across the tracked 15 games, Keravnos shot 56.1% on two-pointers, 34.7% on three-pointers and 81.7% on free throws in 2025-26 Division A.
- Across Pärnu's tracked 15 games, it shot 52.5% on two-pointers, 30.2% on three-pointers and 70.6% on free throws, and averaged 32.1 rebounds to Keravnos' 35.9.
- There are no completed head-to-head meetings on record, and both teams are 0-0 in FIBA Europe Cup Group D.
- Pärnu beat Neftchi 73-61 at home on 30 Sep 2026 to reach the regular season, giving it recent continental match practice.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonParnu under 19.5Estimated chance57.7%