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Predictions graded

Correcaminos76Abejas98

Wed 7 Oct 2026, 01:15 Predictions graded

Predictions19–676%

Edges1–0100%

Points by period: Correcaminos and Abejas.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Correcaminos	16	18	20	22
Abejas	24	24	28	22

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Abejas need wins to hold their Play-In place; Correcaminos are already out at 4-22.

Abejas look the likely winner, projected 88.3 to 81.9 after 40 minutes. The only price that carries value is Abejas -3.5 at 1.82; Correcaminos +3.5 at 1.76 is one to leave. The game and first-half unders are leans from the same score, not separate stories.

Context

Abejas need results in their final regular-season series to protect a Play-In place, Correcaminos are eliminated at 4-22, and Abejas' latest box score is missing three rotation players.

Abejas have two games against Correcaminos to protect their place in the Play-In race. They enter this fixture inside the qualifying places, but their final standing depends on results from the closing series.
- Abejas were tenth at 10-16 before the final two regular-season games.
- Teams placed fifth through eleventh enter the Play-In, while the top four go directly to the Playoffs.
- The games against Correcaminos close Abejas' regular season.
Correcaminos cannot extend their campaign beyond the regular season. This fixture is part of their final home series, while Abejas still have a Play-In place to secure.
- Correcaminos were last in the table with four wins and 22 losses.
- They had gone four consecutive series without a win.
- Their last victory was an 85-83 home win over Dorados on 11 September.
Abejas closed their last away series with a win after losing the opener. The result kept the team in the postseason race before the two games against Correcaminos.
- Abejas beat Mineros 81-74 in the second game on 2 October.
- Mineros won the opening game of the series 90-78.
- Alahjan Banks scored 20 points, while Davonta Gaines and Deion McClenton added 15 each in the win.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

HandicapwonUncertainty band: Lean

Abejas -3.5

1.82fair 1.65

Market 54.9% · BetBugs 60.7%

+5.8ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Correcaminos 81.9, Abejas 88.3. Abejas cover -3.5 (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this. Abejas have better shooting, rebounding and current form, and they need wins for the Play-In race, while Correcaminos have struggled to score at home and concede heavily. I expect Abejas to build a small lead and win by around six points, with Correcaminos staying competitive at home.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result9 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Correcaminos 81.9, Abejas 88.3. Correcaminos cover +7.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 77 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Correcaminos and 15 for Abejas, across seasons and competitions.
- Abejas average 83.2 points scored and 83.1 allowed over their last 15 LNBP games (2026-2027), while Correcaminos average 81.3 scored and 96.3 allowed over their last 15.
- Correcaminos are 4-22 and last in the LNBP table as of 6 October, while Abejas are 10-16 and still in the Play-In race.
- At home this season Correcaminos score 78.9 and allow 91.7 per game in 9 games; Abejas away score 82.7 and allow 84.6 in 7 games.
- Abejas shoot 36.8% from three and 74.6% from the free-throw line over 15 games, compared with Correcaminos' 33.2% and 66.4%; Abejas also out-rebound Correcaminos 35.5 to 28.2 per game.
- In this season's two meetings, Abejas beat Correcaminos 101-89 and 95-88 on 24-25 July, though both were at Abejas.
- Abejas won 81-74 at Mineros on 2 October, while Correcaminos lost 85-90 in overtime to Lobos Plateados on 3 October.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonCorrecaminos +7.5Estimated chance77.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Correcaminos 81.9, Abejas 88.3. Correcaminos cover +6.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 76 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Correcaminos and 15 for Abejas, across seasons and competitions.
- Abejas average 83.2 points scored and 83.1 allowed over their last 15 LNBP games (2026-2027), while Correcaminos average 81.3 scored and 96.3 allowed over their last 15.
- Correcaminos are 4-22 and last in the LNBP table as of 6 October, while Abejas are 10-16 and still in the Play-In race.
- At home this season Correcaminos score 78.9 and allow 91.7 per game in 9 games; Abejas away score 82.7 and allow 84.6 in 7 games.
- Abejas shoot 36.8% from three and 74.6% from the free-throw line over 15 games, compared with Correcaminos' 33.2% and 66.4%; Abejas also out-rebound Correcaminos 35.5 to 28.2 per game.
- In this season's two meetings, Abejas beat Correcaminos 101-89 and 95-88 on 24-25 July, though both were at Abejas.
- Abejas won 81-74 at Mineros on 2 October, while Correcaminos lost 85-90 in overtime to Lobos Plateados on 3 October.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostCorrecaminos +6.5Estimated chance76%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Correcaminos 81.9, Abejas 88.3. Abejas win in about 69 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Abejas average 83.2 points scored and 83.1 allowed over their last 15 LNBP games (2026-2027), while Correcaminos average 81.3 scored and 96.3 allowed over their last 15.
- Correcaminos are 4-22 and last in the LNBP table as of 6 October, while Abejas are 10-16 and still in the Play-In race.
- At home this season Correcaminos score 78.9 and allow 91.7 per game in 9 games; Abejas away score 82.7 and allow 84.6 in 7 games.
- Abejas shoot 36.8% from three and 74.6% from the free-throw line over 15 games, compared with Correcaminos' 33.2% and 66.4%; Abejas also out-rebound Correcaminos 35.5 to 28.2 per game.
- In this season's two meetings, Abejas beat Correcaminos 101-89 and 95-88 on 24-25 July, though both were at Abejas.
- Abejas won 81-74 at Mineros on 2 October, while Correcaminos lost 85-90 in overtime to Lobos Plateados on 3 October.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonAbejasEstimated chance69.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Correcaminos 81.9, Abejas 88.3. Abejas are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Abejas average 83.2 points scored and 83.1 allowed over their last 15 LNBP games (2026-2027), while Correcaminos average 81.3 scored and 96.3 allowed over their last 15.
- Correcaminos are 4-22 and last in the LNBP table as of 6 October, while Abejas are 10-16 and still in the Play-In race.
- At home this season Correcaminos score 78.9 and allow 91.7 per game in 9 games; Abejas away score 82.7 and allow 84.6 in 7 games.
- Abejas shoot 36.8% from three and 74.6% from the free-throw line over 15 games, compared with Correcaminos' 33.2% and 66.4%; Abejas also out-rebound Correcaminos 35.5 to 28.2 per game.
- In this season's two meetings, Abejas beat Correcaminos 101-89 and 95-88 on 24-25 July, though both were at Abejas.
- Abejas won 81-74 at Mineros on 2 October, while Correcaminos lost 85-90 in overtime to Lobos Plateados on 3 October.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonAbejasEstimated chance67.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Correcaminos 81.9, Abejas 88.3. Abejas are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Abejas average 83.2 points scored and 83.1 allowed over their last 15 LNBP games (2026-2027), while Correcaminos average 81.3 scored and 96.3 allowed over their last 15.
- Correcaminos are 4-22 and last in the LNBP table as of 6 October, while Abejas are 10-16 and still in the Play-In race.
- At home this season Correcaminos score 78.9 and allow 91.7 per game in 9 games; Abejas away score 82.7 and allow 84.6 in 7 games.
- Abejas shoot 36.8% from three and 74.6% from the free-throw line over 15 games, compared with Correcaminos' 33.2% and 66.4%; Abejas also out-rebound Correcaminos 35.5 to 28.2 per game.
- In this season's two meetings, Abejas beat Correcaminos 101-89 and 95-88 on 24-25 July, though both were at Abejas.
- Abejas won 81-74 at Mineros on 2 October, while Correcaminos lost 85-90 in overtime to Lobos Plateados on 3 October.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonAbejasEstimated chance62.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.82
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Correcaminos 81.9, Abejas 88.3. Abejas cover -3.5 (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Abejas average 83.2 points scored and 83.1 allowed over their last 15 LNBP games (2026-2027), while Correcaminos average 81.3 scored and 96.3 allowed over their last 15.
- Correcaminos are 4-22 and last in the LNBP table as of 6 October, while Abejas are 10-16 and still in the Play-In race.
- At home this season Correcaminos score 78.9 and allow 91.7 per game in 9 games; Abejas away score 82.7 and allow 84.6 in 7 games.
- Abejas shoot 36.8% from three and 74.6% from the free-throw line over 15 games, compared with Correcaminos' 33.2% and 66.4%; Abejas also out-rebound Correcaminos 35.5 to 28.2 per game.
- In this season's two meetings, Abejas beat Correcaminos 101-89 and 95-88 on 24-25 July, though both were at Abejas.
- Abejas won 81-74 at Mineros on 2 October, while Correcaminos lost 85-90 in overtime to Lobos Plateados on 3 October.
BetBugs · HandicapwonAbejas -3.5Estimated chance60.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Correcaminos 81.9, Abejas 88.3. Abejas cover -1.5 in the 1st half in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Abejas average 83.2 points scored and 83.1 allowed over their last 15 LNBP games (2026-2027), while Correcaminos average 81.3 scored and 96.3 allowed over their last 15.
- Correcaminos are 4-22 and last in the LNBP table as of 6 October, while Abejas are 10-16 and still in the Play-In race.
- At home this season Correcaminos score 78.9 and allow 91.7 per game in 9 games; Abejas away score 82.7 and allow 84.6 in 7 games.
- Abejas shoot 36.8% from three and 74.6% from the free-throw line over 15 games, compared with Correcaminos' 33.2% and 66.4%; Abejas also out-rebound Correcaminos 35.5 to 28.2 per game.
- In this season's two meetings, Abejas beat Correcaminos 101-89 and 95-88 on 24-25 July, though both were at Abejas.
- Abejas won 81-74 at Mineros on 2 October, while Correcaminos lost 85-90 in overtime to Lobos Plateados on 3 October.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonAbejas -1.5Estimated chance58.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Correcaminos 81.9, Abejas 88.3. Abejas are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Abejas average 83.2 points scored and 83.1 allowed over their last 15 LNBP games (2026-2027), while Correcaminos average 81.3 scored and 96.3 allowed over their last 15.
- Correcaminos are 4-22 and last in the LNBP table as of 6 October, while Abejas are 10-16 and still in the Play-In race.
- At home this season Correcaminos score 78.9 and allow 91.7 per game in 9 games; Abejas away score 82.7 and allow 84.6 in 7 games.
- Abejas shoot 36.8% from three and 74.6% from the free-throw line over 15 games, compared with Correcaminos' 33.2% and 66.4%; Abejas also out-rebound Correcaminos 35.5 to 28.2 per game.
- In this season's two meetings, Abejas beat Correcaminos 101-89 and 95-88 on 24-25 July, though both were at Abejas.
- Abejas won 81-74 at Mineros on 2 October, while Correcaminos lost 85-90 in overtime to Lobos Plateados on 3 October.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonAbejasEstimated chance58.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Correcaminos 81.9, Abejas 88.3. Abejas are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Abejas average 83.2 points scored and 83.1 allowed over their last 15 LNBP games (2026-2027), while Correcaminos average 81.3 scored and 96.3 allowed over their last 15.
- Correcaminos are 4-22 and last in the LNBP table as of 6 October, while Abejas are 10-16 and still in the Play-In race.
- At home this season Correcaminos score 78.9 and allow 91.7 per game in 9 games; Abejas away score 82.7 and allow 84.6 in 7 games.
- Abejas shoot 36.8% from three and 74.6% from the free-throw line over 15 games, compared with Correcaminos' 33.2% and 66.4%; Abejas also out-rebound Correcaminos 35.5 to 28.2 per game.
- In this season's two meetings, Abejas beat Correcaminos 101-89 and 95-88 on 24-25 July, though both were at Abejas.
- Abejas won 81-74 at Mineros on 2 October, while Correcaminos lost 85-90 in overtime to Lobos Plateados on 3 October.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonAbejasEstimated chance55.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Correcaminos 81.9, Abejas 88.3. Abejas cover -0.5 in the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Abejas average 83.2 points scored and 83.1 allowed over their last 15 LNBP games (2026-2027), while Correcaminos average 81.3 scored and 96.3 allowed over their last 15.
- Correcaminos are 4-22 and last in the LNBP table as of 6 October, while Abejas are 10-16 and still in the Play-In race.
- At home this season Correcaminos score 78.9 and allow 91.7 per game in 9 games; Abejas away score 82.7 and allow 84.6 in 7 games.
- Abejas shoot 36.8% from three and 74.6% from the free-throw line over 15 games, compared with Correcaminos' 33.2% and 66.4%; Abejas also out-rebound Correcaminos 35.5 to 28.2 per game.
- In this season's two meetings, Abejas beat Correcaminos 101-89 and 95-88 on 24-25 July, though both were at Abejas.
- Abejas won 81-74 at Mineros on 2 October, while Correcaminos lost 85-90 in overtime to Lobos Plateados on 3 October.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapwonAbejas -0.5Estimated chance55.8%

Points10 of 15 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Correcaminos 81.9, Abejas 88.3. The game has fewer than 182.5 points (overtime included) in about 75 of 100 games like this.
- Abejas average 83.2 points scored and 83.1 allowed over their last 15 LNBP games (2026-2027), while Correcaminos average 81.3 scored and 96.3 allowed over their last 15.
- Correcaminos are 4-22 and last in the LNBP table as of 6 October, while Abejas are 10-16 and still in the Play-In race.
- At home this season Correcaminos score 78.9 and allow 91.7 per game in 9 games; Abejas away score 82.7 and allow 84.6 in 7 games.
- Abejas shoot 36.8% from three and 74.6% from the free-throw line over 15 games, compared with Correcaminos' 33.2% and 66.4%; Abejas also out-rebound Correcaminos 35.5 to 28.2 per game.
- In this season's two meetings, Abejas beat Correcaminos 101-89 and 95-88 on 24-25 July, though both were at Abejas.
- Abejas won 81-74 at Mineros on 2 October, while Correcaminos lost 85-90 in overtime to Lobos Plateados on 3 October.
BetBugs · Total PointswonUnder 182.5Estimated chance75.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Correcaminos 81.9, Abejas 88.3. The 2nd quarter has fewer than 47.5 points in about 75 of 100 games like this.
- Abejas average 83.2 points scored and 83.1 allowed over their last 15 LNBP games (2026-2027), while Correcaminos average 81.3 scored and 96.3 allowed over their last 15.
- Correcaminos are 4-22 and last in the LNBP table as of 6 October, while Abejas are 10-16 and still in the Play-In race.
- At home this season Correcaminos score 78.9 and allow 91.7 per game in 9 games; Abejas away score 82.7 and allow 84.6 in 7 games.
- Abejas shoot 36.8% from three and 74.6% from the free-throw line over 15 games, compared with Correcaminos' 33.2% and 66.4%; Abejas also out-rebound Correcaminos 35.5 to 28.2 per game.
- In this season's two meetings, Abejas beat Correcaminos 101-89 and 95-88 on 24-25 July, though both were at Abejas.
- Abejas won 81-74 at Mineros on 2 October, while Correcaminos lost 85-90 in overtime to Lobos Plateados on 3 October.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 47.5Estimated chance74.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Correcaminos 81.9, Abejas 88.3. Correcaminos score fewer than 89.5 points (overtime included) in about 75 of 100 games like this.
- Abejas average 83.2 points scored and 83.1 allowed over their last 15 LNBP games (2026-2027), while Correcaminos average 81.3 scored and 96.3 allowed over their last 15.
- Correcaminos are 4-22 and last in the LNBP table as of 6 October, while Abejas are 10-16 and still in the Play-In race.
- At home this season Correcaminos score 78.9 and allow 91.7 per game in 9 games; Abejas away score 82.7 and allow 84.6 in 7 games.
- Abejas shoot 36.8% from three and 74.6% from the free-throw line over 15 games, compared with Correcaminos' 33.2% and 66.4%; Abejas also out-rebound Correcaminos 35.5 to 28.2 per game.
- In this season's two meetings, Abejas beat Correcaminos 101-89 and 95-88 on 24-25 July, though both were at Abejas.
- Abejas won 81-74 at Mineros on 2 October, while Correcaminos lost 85-90 in overtime to Lobos Plateados on 3 October.
BetBugs · Team PointswonCorrecaminos under 89.5Estimated chance74.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Correcaminos 81.9, Abejas 88.3. Correcaminos score more than 17.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Correcaminos and 15 for Abejas, across seasons and competitions.
- Abejas average 83.2 points scored and 83.1 allowed over their last 15 LNBP games (2026-2027), while Correcaminos average 81.3 scored and 96.3 allowed over their last 15.
- Correcaminos are 4-22 and last in the LNBP table as of 6 October, while Abejas are 10-16 and still in the Play-In race.
- At home this season Correcaminos score 78.9 and allow 91.7 per game in 9 games; Abejas away score 82.7 and allow 84.6 in 7 games.
- Abejas shoot 36.8% from three and 74.6% from the free-throw line over 15 games, compared with Correcaminos' 33.2% and 66.4%; Abejas also out-rebound Correcaminos 35.5 to 28.2 per game.
- In this season's two meetings, Abejas beat Correcaminos 101-89 and 95-88 on 24-25 July, though both were at Abejas.
- Abejas won 81-74 at Mineros on 2 October, while Correcaminos lost 85-90 in overtime to Lobos Plateados on 3 October.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonCorrecaminos over 17.5Estimated chance71.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Correcaminos 81.9, Abejas 88.3. The 1st half has fewer than 90.5 points in about 69 of 100 games like this.
- Abejas average 83.2 points scored and 83.1 allowed over their last 15 LNBP games (2026-2027), while Correcaminos average 81.3 scored and 96.3 allowed over their last 15.
- Correcaminos are 4-22 and last in the LNBP table as of 6 October, while Abejas are 10-16 and still in the Play-In race.
- At home this season Correcaminos score 78.9 and allow 91.7 per game in 9 games; Abejas away score 82.7 and allow 84.6 in 7 games.
- Abejas shoot 36.8% from three and 74.6% from the free-throw line over 15 games, compared with Correcaminos' 33.2% and 66.4%; Abejas also out-rebound Correcaminos 35.5 to 28.2 per game.
- In this season's two meetings, Abejas beat Correcaminos 101-89 and 95-88 on 24-25 July, though both were at Abejas.
- Abejas won 81-74 at Mineros on 2 October, while Correcaminos lost 85-90 in overtime to Lobos Plateados on 3 October.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonUnder 90.5Estimated chance69%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Correcaminos 81.9, Abejas 88.3. Correcaminos score fewer than 22.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Abejas average 83.2 points scored and 83.1 allowed over their last 15 LNBP games (2026-2027), while Correcaminos average 81.3 scored and 96.3 allowed over their last 15.
- Correcaminos are 4-22 and last in the LNBP table as of 6 October, while Abejas are 10-16 and still in the Play-In race.
- At home this season Correcaminos score 78.9 and allow 91.7 per game in 9 games; Abejas away score 82.7 and allow 84.6 in 7 games.
- Abejas shoot 36.8% from three and 74.6% from the free-throw line over 15 games, compared with Correcaminos' 33.2% and 66.4%; Abejas also out-rebound Correcaminos 35.5 to 28.2 per game.
- In this season's two meetings, Abejas beat Correcaminos 101-89 and 95-88 on 24-25 July, though both were at Abejas.
- Abejas won 81-74 at Mineros on 2 October, while Correcaminos lost 85-90 in overtime to Lobos Plateados on 3 October.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonCorrecaminos under 22.5Estimated chance66.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Correcaminos 81.9, Abejas 88.3. The 1st quarter has fewer than 45.5 points in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Abejas average 83.2 points scored and 83.1 allowed over their last 15 LNBP games (2026-2027), while Correcaminos average 81.3 scored and 96.3 allowed over their last 15.
- Correcaminos are 4-22 and last in the LNBP table as of 6 October, while Abejas are 10-16 and still in the Play-In race.
- At home this season Correcaminos score 78.9 and allow 91.7 per game in 9 games; Abejas away score 82.7 and allow 84.6 in 7 games.
- Abejas shoot 36.8% from three and 74.6% from the free-throw line over 15 games, compared with Correcaminos' 33.2% and 66.4%; Abejas also out-rebound Correcaminos 35.5 to 28.2 per game.
- In this season's two meetings, Abejas beat Correcaminos 101-89 and 95-88 on 24-25 July, though both were at Abejas.
- Abejas won 81-74 at Mineros on 2 October, while Correcaminos lost 85-90 in overtime to Lobos Plateados on 3 October.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonUnder 45.5Estimated chance66%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Correcaminos 81.9, Abejas 88.3. Correcaminos score fewer than 22.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Abejas average 83.2 points scored and 83.1 allowed over their last 15 LNBP games (2026-2027), while Correcaminos average 81.3 scored and 96.3 allowed over their last 15.
- Correcaminos are 4-22 and last in the LNBP table as of 6 October, while Abejas are 10-16 and still in the Play-In race.
- At home this season Correcaminos score 78.9 and allow 91.7 per game in 9 games; Abejas away score 82.7 and allow 84.6 in 7 games.
- Abejas shoot 36.8% from three and 74.6% from the free-throw line over 15 games, compared with Correcaminos' 33.2% and 66.4%; Abejas also out-rebound Correcaminos 35.5 to 28.2 per game.
- In this season's two meetings, Abejas beat Correcaminos 101-89 and 95-88 on 24-25 July, though both were at Abejas.
- Abejas won 81-74 at Mineros on 2 October, while Correcaminos lost 85-90 in overtime to Lobos Plateados on 3 October.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonCorrecaminos under 22.5Estimated chance65.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Correcaminos 81.9, Abejas 88.3. Correcaminos score fewer than 43.5 points in the 1st half in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Abejas average 83.2 points scored and 83.1 allowed over their last 15 LNBP games (2026-2027), while Correcaminos average 81.3 scored and 96.3 allowed over their last 15.
- Correcaminos are 4-22 and last in the LNBP table as of 6 October, while Abejas are 10-16 and still in the Play-In race.
- At home this season Correcaminos score 78.9 and allow 91.7 per game in 9 games; Abejas away score 82.7 and allow 84.6 in 7 games.
- Abejas shoot 36.8% from three and 74.6% from the free-throw line over 15 games, compared with Correcaminos' 33.2% and 66.4%; Abejas also out-rebound Correcaminos 35.5 to 28.2 per game.
- In this season's two meetings, Abejas beat Correcaminos 101-89 and 95-88 on 24-25 July, though both were at Abejas.
- Abejas won 81-74 at Mineros on 2 October, while Correcaminos lost 85-90 in overtime to Lobos Plateados on 3 October.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonCorrecaminos under 43.5Estimated chance64.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Correcaminos 81.9, Abejas 88.3. The 3rd quarter has more than 39.5 points in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Correcaminos and 15 for Abejas, across seasons and competitions.
- Abejas average 83.2 points scored and 83.1 allowed over their last 15 LNBP games (2026-2027), while Correcaminos average 81.3 scored and 96.3 allowed over their last 15.
- Correcaminos are 4-22 and last in the LNBP table as of 6 October, while Abejas are 10-16 and still in the Play-In race.
- At home this season Correcaminos score 78.9 and allow 91.7 per game in 9 games; Abejas away score 82.7 and allow 84.6 in 7 games.
- Abejas shoot 36.8% from three and 74.6% from the free-throw line over 15 games, compared with Correcaminos' 33.2% and 66.4%; Abejas also out-rebound Correcaminos 35.5 to 28.2 per game.
- In this season's two meetings, Abejas beat Correcaminos 101-89 and 95-88 on 24-25 July, though both were at Abejas.
- Abejas won 81-74 at Mineros on 2 October, while Correcaminos lost 85-90 in overtime to Lobos Plateados on 3 October.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonOver 39.5Estimated chance63.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Correcaminos 81.9, Abejas 88.3. Abejas score fewer than 92.5 points (overtime included) in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Abejas average 83.2 points scored and 83.1 allowed over their last 15 LNBP games (2026-2027), while Correcaminos average 81.3 scored and 96.3 allowed over their last 15.
- Correcaminos are 4-22 and last in the LNBP table as of 6 October, while Abejas are 10-16 and still in the Play-In race.
- At home this season Correcaminos score 78.9 and allow 91.7 per game in 9 games; Abejas away score 82.7 and allow 84.6 in 7 games.
- Abejas shoot 36.8% from three and 74.6% from the free-throw line over 15 games, compared with Correcaminos' 33.2% and 66.4%; Abejas also out-rebound Correcaminos 35.5 to 28.2 per game.
- In this season's two meetings, Abejas beat Correcaminos 101-89 and 95-88 on 24-25 July, though both were at Abejas.
- Abejas won 81-74 at Mineros on 2 October, while Correcaminos lost 85-90 in overtime to Lobos Plateados on 3 October.
BetBugs · Team PointslostAbejas under 92.5Estimated chance63.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Correcaminos 81.9, Abejas 88.3. Abejas score fewer than 23.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Abejas average 83.2 points scored and 83.1 allowed over their last 15 LNBP games (2026-2027), while Correcaminos average 81.3 scored and 96.3 allowed over their last 15.
- Correcaminos are 4-22 and last in the LNBP table as of 6 October, while Abejas are 10-16 and still in the Play-In race.
- At home this season Correcaminos score 78.9 and allow 91.7 per game in 9 games; Abejas away score 82.7 and allow 84.6 in 7 games.
- Abejas shoot 36.8% from three and 74.6% from the free-throw line over 15 games, compared with Correcaminos' 33.2% and 66.4%; Abejas also out-rebound Correcaminos 35.5 to 28.2 per game.
- In this season's two meetings, Abejas beat Correcaminos 101-89 and 95-88 on 24-25 July, though both were at Abejas.
- Abejas won 81-74 at Mineros on 2 October, while Correcaminos lost 85-90 in overtime to Lobos Plateados on 3 October.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostAbejas under 23.5Estimated chance61.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Correcaminos 81.9, Abejas 88.3. Abejas score fewer than 23.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Abejas average 83.2 points scored and 83.1 allowed over their last 15 LNBP games (2026-2027), while Correcaminos average 81.3 scored and 96.3 allowed over their last 15.
- Correcaminos are 4-22 and last in the LNBP table as of 6 October, while Abejas are 10-16 and still in the Play-In race.
- At home this season Correcaminos score 78.9 and allow 91.7 per game in 9 games; Abejas away score 82.7 and allow 84.6 in 7 games.
- Abejas shoot 36.8% from three and 74.6% from the free-throw line over 15 games, compared with Correcaminos' 33.2% and 66.4%; Abejas also out-rebound Correcaminos 35.5 to 28.2 per game.
- In this season's two meetings, Abejas beat Correcaminos 101-89 and 95-88 on 24-25 July, though both were at Abejas.
- Abejas won 81-74 at Mineros on 2 October, while Correcaminos lost 85-90 in overtime to Lobos Plateados on 3 October.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostAbejas under 23.5Estimated chance58.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Correcaminos 81.9, Abejas 88.3. Abejas score fewer than 45.5 points in the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Abejas average 83.2 points scored and 83.1 allowed over their last 15 LNBP games (2026-2027), while Correcaminos average 81.3 scored and 96.3 allowed over their last 15.
- Correcaminos are 4-22 and last in the LNBP table as of 6 October, while Abejas are 10-16 and still in the Play-In race.
- At home this season Correcaminos score 78.9 and allow 91.7 per game in 9 games; Abejas away score 82.7 and allow 84.6 in 7 games.
- Abejas shoot 36.8% from three and 74.6% from the free-throw line over 15 games, compared with Correcaminos' 33.2% and 66.4%; Abejas also out-rebound Correcaminos 35.5 to 28.2 per game.
- In this season's two meetings, Abejas beat Correcaminos 101-89 and 95-88 on 24-25 July, though both were at Abejas.
- Abejas won 81-74 at Mineros on 2 October, while Correcaminos lost 85-90 in overtime to Lobos Plateados on 3 October.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostAbejas under 45.5Estimated chance56.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Correcaminos 81.9, Abejas 88.3. Abejas score fewer than 22.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Correcaminos and 15 for Abejas, across seasons and competitions.
- Abejas average 83.2 points scored and 83.1 allowed over their last 15 LNBP games (2026-2027), while Correcaminos average 81.3 scored and 96.3 allowed over their last 15.
- Correcaminos are 4-22 and last in the LNBP table as of 6 October, while Abejas are 10-16 and still in the Play-In race.
- At home this season Correcaminos score 78.9 and allow 91.7 per game in 9 games; Abejas away score 82.7 and allow 84.6 in 7 games.
- Abejas shoot 36.8% from three and 74.6% from the free-throw line over 15 games, compared with Correcaminos' 33.2% and 66.4%; Abejas also out-rebound Correcaminos 35.5 to 28.2 per game.
- In this season's two meetings, Abejas beat Correcaminos 101-89 and 95-88 on 24-25 July, though both were at Abejas.
- Abejas won 81-74 at Mineros on 2 October, while Correcaminos lost 85-90 in overtime to Lobos Plateados on 3 October.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostAbejas under 22.5Estimated chance55.9%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 6, 19:40

Selected line

182.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

25%

Chance of 183+ points

30 pp below break-even

Over 1.81 needs 55% to break even. BetBugs sees 25%.

Move the line main 182.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 25%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 75%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L101–89

Abejasv

Correcaminos

Jul 25, 2026·LNB

L95–88

Abejasv

Correcaminos

Jul 24, 2026·LNB

W86–83

Correcaminosv Abejas

Abejas

Jul 19, 2025·LNB

W90–69

Correcaminosv Abejas

Abejas

Jul 18, 2025·LNB

W78–75

Correcaminosv Abejas

Abejas

Aug 25, 2024·LNB

L80–87

Correcaminosv Abejas

Abejas

Aug 24, 2024·LNB

L93–71

Abejasv

Correcaminos

Sep 1, 2023·LNB

L108–104

Abejasv

Correcaminos

Sep 1, 2023·LNB

L87–109

Correcaminosv Abejas

Abejas

Aug 19, 2022·LNB

W84–73

Correcaminosv Abejas

Abejas

Aug 18, 2022·LNB

175Avg total points

11.2Avg margin

10meetings

League table

LNBP · LNBP - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Correcaminos

4–2215%

Abejas

10–1638%

Recent Form

Correcaminos

2W 13L · last 15

vs Lobos Plateados85–90 OTOct 3LNB

vs Lobos Plateados75–97 Oct 2LNB

at Gambusinos83–102 Sep 27LNB

at Gambusinos90–103 Sep 26LNB

vs Fuerza Regia52–93 Sep 22LNB

vs Fuerza Regia83–94 Sep 20LNB

at Diablos Rojos91–96 Sep 16LNB

at Diablos Rojos79–107 Sep 15LNB

vs Dorados85–83 Sep 12LNB

vs Dorados79–86 Sep 11LNB

at Panteras88–100 Aug 30LNB

at Panteras78–111 Aug 29LNB

vs Soles78–74 Aug 26LNB

vs Soles74–100 Aug 25LNB

vs El Calor de Cancun99–108 Aug 17LNB

Abejas

6W 9L · last 15

at Mineros81–74 Oct 3LNB

at Mineros78–90 Oct 2LNB

vs Santos92–78 Sep 27LNB

vs Santos86–87 Sep 26LNB

vs Freseros83–89 Sep 22LNB

vs Freseros97–80 Sep 21LNB

at Lobos Plateados67–80 Sep 17LNB

at Lobos Plateados87–91 Sep 16LNB

vs Gambusinos74–86 Sep 12LNB

vs Gambusinos83–87 Sep 11LNB

at Fuerza Regia76–75 Aug 30LNB

at Fuerza Regia84–95 Aug 29LNB

vs Diablos Rojos73–75 Aug 26LNB

vs Diablos Rojos81–73 Aug 25LNB

at Dorados106–87 Aug 21LNB

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Correcaminos

Stats

2–3

Abejas

Abejas leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+2.3pp

55.5%

+2.3pp

53.2%

3-point %+3.6pp

33.2%

+3.6pp

36.8%

Free-throw %+8.2pp

66.4%

+8.2pp

74.6%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s5.8pp apart

29.3%

5.8pp apart

35.1%

Free throws per shot4.2pp apart

31.8%

4.2pp apart

27.6%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+7.3

28.2

+7.3

35.5

Turnovers per game2.8 fewer

11.7

2.8 fewer

14.5

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.