Champions LeagueFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Bonn78FC Porto74

Wed 7 Oct 2026, 18:00 Predictions graded

Predictions17–577%

Points by period: Bonn and FC Porto.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Bonn	25	18	19	16
FC Porto	16	16	16	26

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Bonn and FC Porto open Champions League Group H with little separating them.

The expected score after 40 minutes is Bonn 82.8, FC Porto 80.0, a home win in roughly six of ten such games. Bonn's home scoring this BBL season and Porto's 110-93 league win at Queluz pull in opposite directions, and Bonn remain without Tylan Birts and Kur Jongkuch. No prices are quoted for this fixture, so all forecasts here are unpriced.

Context

Both sides played on 2 October, so rest is near-identical (Bonn five days, Porto 4.9). Bonn are without Tylan Birts (Achilles surgery) and Kur Jongkuch (left-knee surgery) on 2 October evidence, and no head-to-head meeting exists to lean on, which leaves the matchup shaped mainly by each team's recent scoring and shooting record.

Birts is a forward, and Bonn retained Marcus Foster for the season after Birts' operation. Birts' recovery may keep a defensive wing option out against Porto. Final team selection remains to be announced.
- Tylan Birts underwent Achilles surgery in August and began rehabilitation on 31 August.
- Bonn went into its 2 October game at Würzburg without Tylan Birts through injury.
Jongkuch is a center, and Kratzer was recruited specifically after his operation. A continued absence would reduce Bonn's center depth against Porto. Final team selection remains to be announced.
- Kur Jongkuch underwent surgery on his left knee in August.
- Bonn recruited Leon Kratzer after confirming Jongkuch would be out for an extended period.
- Bonn went into its 2 October game at Würzburg without Kur Jongkuch through injury.
Bonn begin their Champions League campaign after a domestic game in which turnovers disrupted a winnable final stretch. Marko Stankovic called the Porto fixture one of two important games in the following week.
- Würzburg beat Bonn 83-76 on 2 October.
- Bonn led 70-65 before Würzburg's 10-0 run in the closing stages.
- Bonn committed 16 turnovers in the game.
Fernando Sá's team enter Group H after a complete domestic victory in their first league game of the season. The Bonn trip is Porto's first Champions League group-stage test.
- FC Porto beat CA Queluz 110-93 in the opening Portuguese league round on 2 October.
- Porto led 54-43 at half-time and won every quarter.
- Thomas Bropleh scored 25 points, while Vlad Voytso added 16 and Childe Dundão 15.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result7 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bonn 82.8, FC Porto 80.0. Bonn cover +6.5 (overtime included) in about 76 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Bonn and 15 for FC Porto, across seasons and competitions.
- Bonn's current BBL season (4 games through 2 Oct) averages 82.3 points scored and 83.3 allowed, but at home they scored 86.5 and allowed 72.0 in two games.
- FC Porto's last 15 games (through 2 Oct) average 86.9 points scored and 79.9 allowed, including 110-93 at Queluz on 2 Oct.
- Bonn's overall 15-game shooting: 51.0% on two-pointers, 28.1% on three-pointers, 69.7% free throws, 34.4 rebounds, 11.9 turnovers.
- FC Porto's overall 14-game shooting: 54.9% on two-pointers, 32.4% on three-pointers, 64.6% free throws, 36.3 rebounds, 12.9 turnovers.
- Bonn are without Tylan Birts (Achilles) and Kur Jongkuch (knee) as of 2 Oct, but both were already absent during their current 4-game BBL sample.
- No completed head-to-head meetings are on record between Bonn and FC Porto.
BetBugs · HandicapwonBonn +6.5Estimated chance76%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bonn 82.8, FC Porto 80.0. Bonn cover +3.5 in the 1st half in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Bonn and 15 for FC Porto, across seasons and competitions.
- Bonn's current BBL season (4 games through 2 Oct) averages 82.3 points scored and 83.3 allowed, but at home they scored 86.5 and allowed 72.0 in two games.
- FC Porto's last 15 games (through 2 Oct) average 86.9 points scored and 79.9 allowed, including 110-93 at Queluz on 2 Oct.
- Bonn's overall 15-game shooting: 51.0% on two-pointers, 28.1% on three-pointers, 69.7% free throws, 34.4 rebounds, 11.9 turnovers.
- FC Porto's overall 14-game shooting: 54.9% on two-pointers, 32.4% on three-pointers, 64.6% free throws, 36.3 rebounds, 12.9 turnovers.
- Bonn are without Tylan Birts (Achilles) and Kur Jongkuch (knee) as of 2 Oct, but both were already absent during their current 4-game BBL sample.
- No completed head-to-head meetings are on record between Bonn and FC Porto.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonBonn +3.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bonn 82.8, FC Porto 80.0. Bonn cover +2.5 in the 1st quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Bonn and 15 for FC Porto, across seasons and competitions.
- Bonn's current BBL season (4 games through 2 Oct) averages 82.3 points scored and 83.3 allowed, but at home they scored 86.5 and allowed 72.0 in two games.
- FC Porto's last 15 games (through 2 Oct) average 86.9 points scored and 79.9 allowed, including 110-93 at Queluz on 2 Oct.
- Bonn's overall 15-game shooting: 51.0% on two-pointers, 28.1% on three-pointers, 69.7% free throws, 34.4 rebounds, 11.9 turnovers.
- FC Porto's overall 14-game shooting: 54.9% on two-pointers, 32.4% on three-pointers, 64.6% free throws, 36.3 rebounds, 12.9 turnovers.
- Bonn are without Tylan Birts (Achilles) and Kur Jongkuch (knee) as of 2 Oct, but both were already absent during their current 4-game BBL sample.
- No completed head-to-head meetings are on record between Bonn and FC Porto.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapwonBonn +2.5Estimated chance67.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bonn 82.8, FC Porto 80.0. Bonn cover +2.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Bonn and 15 for FC Porto, across seasons and competitions.
- Bonn's current BBL season (4 games through 2 Oct) averages 82.3 points scored and 83.3 allowed, but at home they scored 86.5 and allowed 72.0 in two games.
- FC Porto's last 15 games (through 2 Oct) average 86.9 points scored and 79.9 allowed, including 110-93 at Queluz on 2 Oct.
- Bonn's overall 15-game shooting: 51.0% on two-pointers, 28.1% on three-pointers, 69.7% free throws, 34.4 rebounds, 11.9 turnovers.
- FC Porto's overall 14-game shooting: 54.9% on two-pointers, 32.4% on three-pointers, 64.6% free throws, 36.3 rebounds, 12.9 turnovers.
- Bonn are without Tylan Birts (Achilles) and Kur Jongkuch (knee) as of 2 Oct, but both were already absent during their current 4-game BBL sample.
- No completed head-to-head meetings are on record between Bonn and FC Porto.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonBonn +2.5Estimated chance66.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bonn 82.8, FC Porto 80.0. Bonn cover +1.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Bonn and 15 for FC Porto, across seasons and competitions.
- Bonn's current BBL season (4 games through 2 Oct) averages 82.3 points scored and 83.3 allowed, but at home they scored 86.5 and allowed 72.0 in two games.
- FC Porto's last 15 games (through 2 Oct) average 86.9 points scored and 79.9 allowed, including 110-93 at Queluz on 2 Oct.
- Bonn's overall 15-game shooting: 51.0% on two-pointers, 28.1% on three-pointers, 69.7% free throws, 34.4 rebounds, 11.9 turnovers.
- FC Porto's overall 14-game shooting: 54.9% on two-pointers, 32.4% on three-pointers, 64.6% free throws, 36.3 rebounds, 12.9 turnovers.
- Bonn are without Tylan Birts (Achilles) and Kur Jongkuch (knee) as of 2 Oct, but both were already absent during their current 4-game BBL sample.
- No completed head-to-head meetings are on record between Bonn and FC Porto.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonBonn +1.5Estimated chance62.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bonn 82.8, FC Porto 80.0. Bonn win in about 59 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Bonn's current BBL season (4 games through 2 Oct) averages 82.3 points scored and 83.3 allowed, but at home they scored 86.5 and allowed 72.0 in two games.
- FC Porto's last 15 games (through 2 Oct) average 86.9 points scored and 79.9 allowed, including 110-93 at Queluz on 2 Oct.
- Bonn's overall 15-game shooting: 51.0% on two-pointers, 28.1% on three-pointers, 69.7% free throws, 34.4 rebounds, 11.9 turnovers.
- FC Porto's overall 14-game shooting: 54.9% on two-pointers, 32.4% on three-pointers, 64.6% free throws, 36.3 rebounds, 12.9 turnovers.
- Bonn are without Tylan Birts (Achilles) and Kur Jongkuch (knee) as of 2 Oct, but both were already absent during their current 4-game BBL sample.
- No completed head-to-head meetings are on record between Bonn and FC Porto.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonBonnEstimated chance58.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bonn 82.8, FC Porto 80.0. Bonn are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Bonn's current BBL season (4 games through 2 Oct) averages 82.3 points scored and 83.3 allowed, but at home they scored 86.5 and allowed 72.0 in two games.
- FC Porto's last 15 games (through 2 Oct) average 86.9 points scored and 79.9 allowed, including 110-93 at Queluz on 2 Oct.
- Bonn's overall 15-game shooting: 51.0% on two-pointers, 28.1% on three-pointers, 69.7% free throws, 34.4 rebounds, 11.9 turnovers.
- FC Porto's overall 14-game shooting: 54.9% on two-pointers, 32.4% on three-pointers, 64.6% free throws, 36.3 rebounds, 12.9 turnovers.
- Bonn are without Tylan Birts (Achilles) and Kur Jongkuch (knee) as of 2 Oct, but both were already absent during their current 4-game BBL sample.
- No completed head-to-head meetings are on record between Bonn and FC Porto.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonBonnEstimated chance56.4%

Points10 of 15 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bonn 82.8, FC Porto 80.0. The 1st half has more than 72.5 points in about 80 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Bonn and 15 for FC Porto, across seasons and competitions.
- Bonn's current BBL season (4 games through 2 Oct) averages 82.3 points scored and 83.3 allowed, but at home they scored 86.5 and allowed 72.0 in two games.
- FC Porto's last 15 games (through 2 Oct) average 86.9 points scored and 79.9 allowed, including 110-93 at Queluz on 2 Oct.
- Bonn's overall 15-game shooting: 51.0% on two-pointers, 28.1% on three-pointers, 69.7% free throws, 34.4 rebounds, 11.9 turnovers.
- FC Porto's overall 14-game shooting: 54.9% on two-pointers, 32.4% on three-pointers, 64.6% free throws, 36.3 rebounds, 12.9 turnovers.
- Bonn are without Tylan Birts (Achilles) and Kur Jongkuch (knee) as of 2 Oct, but both were already absent during their current 4-game BBL sample.
- No completed head-to-head meetings are on record between Bonn and FC Porto.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonOver 72.5Estimated chance80.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bonn 82.8, FC Porto 80.0. Bonn score more than 35.5 points in the 1st half in about 80 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Bonn and 15 for FC Porto, across seasons and competitions.
- Bonn's current BBL season (4 games through 2 Oct) averages 82.3 points scored and 83.3 allowed, but at home they scored 86.5 and allowed 72.0 in two games.
- FC Porto's last 15 games (through 2 Oct) average 86.9 points scored and 79.9 allowed, including 110-93 at Queluz on 2 Oct.
- Bonn's overall 15-game shooting: 51.0% on two-pointers, 28.1% on three-pointers, 69.7% free throws, 34.4 rebounds, 11.9 turnovers.
- FC Porto's overall 14-game shooting: 54.9% on two-pointers, 32.4% on three-pointers, 64.6% free throws, 36.3 rebounds, 12.9 turnovers.
- Bonn are without Tylan Birts (Achilles) and Kur Jongkuch (knee) as of 2 Oct, but both were already absent during their current 4-game BBL sample.
- No completed head-to-head meetings are on record between Bonn and FC Porto.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonBonn over 35.5Estimated chance80.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bonn 82.8, FC Porto 80.0. The game has more than 151.5 points (overtime included) in about 77 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Bonn and 15 for FC Porto, across seasons and competitions.
- Bonn's current BBL season (4 games through 2 Oct) averages 82.3 points scored and 83.3 allowed, but at home they scored 86.5 and allowed 72.0 in two games.
- FC Porto's last 15 games (through 2 Oct) average 86.9 points scored and 79.9 allowed, including 110-93 at Queluz on 2 Oct.
- Bonn's overall 15-game shooting: 51.0% on two-pointers, 28.1% on three-pointers, 69.7% free throws, 34.4 rebounds, 11.9 turnovers.
- FC Porto's overall 14-game shooting: 54.9% on two-pointers, 32.4% on three-pointers, 64.6% free throws, 36.3 rebounds, 12.9 turnovers.
- Bonn are without Tylan Birts (Achilles) and Kur Jongkuch (knee) as of 2 Oct, but both were already absent during their current 4-game BBL sample.
- No completed head-to-head meetings are on record between Bonn and FC Porto.
BetBugs · Total PointswonOver 151.5Estimated chance76.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bonn 82.8, FC Porto 80.0. FC Porto score more than 16.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Bonn and 15 for FC Porto, across seasons and competitions.
- Bonn's current BBL season (4 games through 2 Oct) averages 82.3 points scored and 83.3 allowed, but at home they scored 86.5 and allowed 72.0 in two games.
- FC Porto's last 15 games (through 2 Oct) average 86.9 points scored and 79.9 allowed, including 110-93 at Queluz on 2 Oct.
- Bonn's overall 15-game shooting: 51.0% on two-pointers, 28.1% on three-pointers, 69.7% free throws, 34.4 rebounds, 11.9 turnovers.
- FC Porto's overall 14-game shooting: 54.9% on two-pointers, 32.4% on three-pointers, 64.6% free throws, 36.3 rebounds, 12.9 turnovers.
- Bonn are without Tylan Birts (Achilles) and Kur Jongkuch (knee) as of 2 Oct, but both were already absent during their current 4-game BBL sample.
- No completed head-to-head meetings are on record between Bonn and FC Porto.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostFC Porto over 16.5Estimated chance75.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bonn 82.8, FC Porto 80.0. Bonn score more than 17.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 74 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Bonn and 15 for FC Porto, across seasons and competitions.
- Bonn's current BBL season (4 games through 2 Oct) averages 82.3 points scored and 83.3 allowed, but at home they scored 86.5 and allowed 72.0 in two games.
- FC Porto's last 15 games (through 2 Oct) average 86.9 points scored and 79.9 allowed, including 110-93 at Queluz on 2 Oct.
- Bonn's overall 15-game shooting: 51.0% on two-pointers, 28.1% on three-pointers, 69.7% free throws, 34.4 rebounds, 11.9 turnovers.
- FC Porto's overall 14-game shooting: 54.9% on two-pointers, 32.4% on three-pointers, 64.6% free throws, 36.3 rebounds, 12.9 turnovers.
- Bonn are without Tylan Birts (Achilles) and Kur Jongkuch (knee) as of 2 Oct, but both were already absent during their current 4-game BBL sample.
- No completed head-to-head meetings are on record between Bonn and FC Porto.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonBonn over 17.5Estimated chance73.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bonn 82.8, FC Porto 80.0. FC Porto score more than 17.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Bonn and 15 for FC Porto, across seasons and competitions.
- Bonn's current BBL season (4 games through 2 Oct) averages 82.3 points scored and 83.3 allowed, but at home they scored 86.5 and allowed 72.0 in two games.
- FC Porto's last 15 games (through 2 Oct) average 86.9 points scored and 79.9 allowed, including 110-93 at Queluz on 2 Oct.
- Bonn's overall 15-game shooting: 51.0% on two-pointers, 28.1% on three-pointers, 69.7% free throws, 34.4 rebounds, 11.9 turnovers.
- FC Porto's overall 14-game shooting: 54.9% on two-pointers, 32.4% on three-pointers, 64.6% free throws, 36.3 rebounds, 12.9 turnovers.
- Bonn are without Tylan Birts (Achilles) and Kur Jongkuch (knee) as of 2 Oct, but both were already absent during their current 4-game BBL sample.
- No completed head-to-head meetings are on record between Bonn and FC Porto.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostFC Porto over 17.5Estimated chance69.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bonn 82.8, FC Porto 80.0. The 2nd quarter has more than 37.5 points in about 68 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Bonn and 15 for FC Porto, across seasons and competitions.
- Bonn's current BBL season (4 games through 2 Oct) averages 82.3 points scored and 83.3 allowed, but at home they scored 86.5 and allowed 72.0 in two games.
- FC Porto's last 15 games (through 2 Oct) average 86.9 points scored and 79.9 allowed, including 110-93 at Queluz on 2 Oct.
- Bonn's overall 15-game shooting: 51.0% on two-pointers, 28.1% on three-pointers, 69.7% free throws, 34.4 rebounds, 11.9 turnovers.
- FC Porto's overall 14-game shooting: 54.9% on two-pointers, 32.4% on three-pointers, 64.6% free throws, 36.3 rebounds, 12.9 turnovers.
- Bonn are without Tylan Birts (Achilles) and Kur Jongkuch (knee) as of 2 Oct, but both were already absent during their current 4-game BBL sample.
- No completed head-to-head meetings are on record between Bonn and FC Porto.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointslostOver 37.5Estimated chance68.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bonn 82.8, FC Porto 80.0. Bonn score more than 78.5 points (overtime included) in about 68 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Bonn and 15 for FC Porto, across seasons and competitions.
- Bonn's current BBL season (4 games through 2 Oct) averages 82.3 points scored and 83.3 allowed, but at home they scored 86.5 and allowed 72.0 in two games.
- FC Porto's last 15 games (through 2 Oct) average 86.9 points scored and 79.9 allowed, including 110-93 at Queluz on 2 Oct.
- Bonn's overall 15-game shooting: 51.0% on two-pointers, 28.1% on three-pointers, 69.7% free throws, 34.4 rebounds, 11.9 turnovers.
- FC Porto's overall 14-game shooting: 54.9% on two-pointers, 32.4% on three-pointers, 64.6% free throws, 36.3 rebounds, 12.9 turnovers.
- Bonn are without Tylan Birts (Achilles) and Kur Jongkuch (knee) as of 2 Oct, but both were already absent during their current 4-game BBL sample.
- No completed head-to-head meetings are on record between Bonn and FC Porto.
BetBugs · Team PointslostBonn over 78.5Estimated chance67.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bonn 82.8, FC Porto 80.0. The 1st quarter has more than 38.5 points in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Bonn and 15 for FC Porto, across seasons and competitions.
- Bonn's current BBL season (4 games through 2 Oct) averages 82.3 points scored and 83.3 allowed, but at home they scored 86.5 and allowed 72.0 in two games.
- FC Porto's last 15 games (through 2 Oct) average 86.9 points scored and 79.9 allowed, including 110-93 at Queluz on 2 Oct.
- Bonn's overall 15-game shooting: 51.0% on two-pointers, 28.1% on three-pointers, 69.7% free throws, 34.4 rebounds, 11.9 turnovers.
- FC Porto's overall 14-game shooting: 54.9% on two-pointers, 32.4% on three-pointers, 64.6% free throws, 36.3 rebounds, 12.9 turnovers.
- Bonn are without Tylan Birts (Achilles) and Kur Jongkuch (knee) as of 2 Oct, but both were already absent during their current 4-game BBL sample.
- No completed head-to-head meetings are on record between Bonn and FC Porto.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonOver 38.5Estimated chance62.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bonn 82.8, FC Porto 80.0. Bonn score more than 19.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Bonn and 15 for FC Porto, across seasons and competitions.
- Bonn's current BBL season (4 games through 2 Oct) averages 82.3 points scored and 83.3 allowed, but at home they scored 86.5 and allowed 72.0 in two games.
- FC Porto's last 15 games (through 2 Oct) average 86.9 points scored and 79.9 allowed, including 110-93 at Queluz on 2 Oct.
- Bonn's overall 15-game shooting: 51.0% on two-pointers, 28.1% on three-pointers, 69.7% free throws, 34.4 rebounds, 11.9 turnovers.
- FC Porto's overall 14-game shooting: 54.9% on two-pointers, 32.4% on three-pointers, 64.6% free throws, 36.3 rebounds, 12.9 turnovers.
- Bonn are without Tylan Birts (Achilles) and Kur Jongkuch (knee) as of 2 Oct, but both were already absent during their current 4-game BBL sample.
- No completed head-to-head meetings are on record between Bonn and FC Porto.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostBonn over 19.5Estimated chance60.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bonn 82.8, FC Porto 80.0. FC Porto score fewer than 41.5 points in the 1st half in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Bonn and 15 for FC Porto, across seasons and competitions.
- Bonn's current BBL season (4 games through 2 Oct) averages 82.3 points scored and 83.3 allowed, but at home they scored 86.5 and allowed 72.0 in two games.
- FC Porto's last 15 games (through 2 Oct) average 86.9 points scored and 79.9 allowed, including 110-93 at Queluz on 2 Oct.
- Bonn's overall 15-game shooting: 51.0% on two-pointers, 28.1% on three-pointers, 69.7% free throws, 34.4 rebounds, 11.9 turnovers.
- FC Porto's overall 14-game shooting: 54.9% on two-pointers, 32.4% on three-pointers, 64.6% free throws, 36.3 rebounds, 12.9 turnovers.
- Bonn are without Tylan Birts (Achilles) and Kur Jongkuch (knee) as of 2 Oct, but both were already absent during their current 4-game BBL sample.
- No completed head-to-head meetings are on record between Bonn and FC Porto.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonFC Porto under 41.5Estimated chance58.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bonn 82.8, FC Porto 80.0. Bonn score fewer than 21.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Bonn and 15 for FC Porto, across seasons and competitions.
- Bonn's current BBL season (4 games through 2 Oct) averages 82.3 points scored and 83.3 allowed, but at home they scored 86.5 and allowed 72.0 in two games.
- FC Porto's last 15 games (through 2 Oct) average 86.9 points scored and 79.9 allowed, including 110-93 at Queluz on 2 Oct.
- Bonn's overall 15-game shooting: 51.0% on two-pointers, 28.1% on three-pointers, 69.7% free throws, 34.4 rebounds, 11.9 turnovers.
- FC Porto's overall 14-game shooting: 54.9% on two-pointers, 32.4% on three-pointers, 64.6% free throws, 36.3 rebounds, 12.9 turnovers.
- Bonn are without Tylan Birts (Achilles) and Kur Jongkuch (knee) as of 2 Oct, but both were already absent during their current 4-game BBL sample.
- No completed head-to-head meetings are on record between Bonn and FC Porto.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonBonn under 21.5Estimated chance58.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bonn 82.8, FC Porto 80.0. FC Porto score fewer than 82.5 points (overtime included) in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Bonn and 15 for FC Porto, across seasons and competitions.
- Bonn's current BBL season (4 games through 2 Oct) averages 82.3 points scored and 83.3 allowed, but at home they scored 86.5 and allowed 72.0 in two games.
- FC Porto's last 15 games (through 2 Oct) average 86.9 points scored and 79.9 allowed, including 110-93 at Queluz on 2 Oct.
- Bonn's overall 15-game shooting: 51.0% on two-pointers, 28.1% on three-pointers, 69.7% free throws, 34.4 rebounds, 11.9 turnovers.
- FC Porto's overall 14-game shooting: 54.9% on two-pointers, 32.4% on three-pointers, 64.6% free throws, 36.3 rebounds, 12.9 turnovers.
- Bonn are without Tylan Birts (Achilles) and Kur Jongkuch (knee) as of 2 Oct, but both were already absent during their current 4-game BBL sample.
- No completed head-to-head meetings are on record between Bonn and FC Porto.
BetBugs · Team PointswonFC Porto under 82.5Estimated chance57.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bonn 82.8, FC Porto 80.0. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 41.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Bonn and 15 for FC Porto, across seasons and competitions.
- Bonn's current BBL season (4 games through 2 Oct) averages 82.3 points scored and 83.3 allowed, but at home they scored 86.5 and allowed 72.0 in two games.
- FC Porto's last 15 games (through 2 Oct) average 86.9 points scored and 79.9 allowed, including 110-93 at Queluz on 2 Oct.
- Bonn's overall 15-game shooting: 51.0% on two-pointers, 28.1% on three-pointers, 69.7% free throws, 34.4 rebounds, 11.9 turnovers.
- FC Porto's overall 14-game shooting: 54.9% on two-pointers, 32.4% on three-pointers, 64.6% free throws, 36.3 rebounds, 12.9 turnovers.
- Bonn are without Tylan Birts (Achilles) and Kur Jongkuch (knee) as of 2 Oct, but both were already absent during their current 4-game BBL sample.
- No completed head-to-head meetings are on record between Bonn and FC Porto.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 41.5Estimated chance56.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bonn 82.8, FC Porto 80.0. FC Porto score fewer than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Bonn and 15 for FC Porto, across seasons and competitions.
- Bonn's current BBL season (4 games through 2 Oct) averages 82.3 points scored and 83.3 allowed, but at home they scored 86.5 and allowed 72.0 in two games.
- FC Porto's last 15 games (through 2 Oct) average 86.9 points scored and 79.9 allowed, including 110-93 at Queluz on 2 Oct.
- Bonn's overall 15-game shooting: 51.0% on two-pointers, 28.1% on three-pointers, 69.7% free throws, 34.4 rebounds, 11.9 turnovers.
- FC Porto's overall 14-game shooting: 54.9% on two-pointers, 32.4% on three-pointers, 64.6% free throws, 36.3 rebounds, 12.9 turnovers.
- Bonn are without Tylan Birts (Achilles) and Kur Jongkuch (knee) as of 2 Oct, but both were already absent during their current 4-game BBL sample.
- No completed head-to-head meetings are on record between Bonn and FC Porto.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonFC Porto under 20.5Estimated chance55.1%

League table

Champions League · Champions League - Regular Season · Group A

#TeamW–LWin %

Bonn

0–0—

FC Porto

0–0—

Recent Form

Bonn

7W 8L · last 15

at Wurzburg76–83 Oct 2BBL

vs Syntainics MBC77–72 Sep 27BBL

at Trier80–106 Sep 25BBL

vs Hamburg96–72 Sep 19BBL

vs Bayern57–77 Jun 4BBL

at Bayern69–91 Jun 1BBL

at Bayern78–83 May 30BBL

vs Wurzburg66–63 May 27BBL

at Wurzburg70–82 May 24BBL

at Wurzburg80–76 May 22BBL

vs Wurzburg88–81 May 18BBL

vs Wurzburg54–69 May 16BBL

at Bamberg83–102 May 10BBL

vs Trier102–77 May 8BBL

at Frankfurt104–72 May 1BBL

FC Porto

11W 4L · last 15

at CA Queluz110–93 Oct 2LPB

vs Sporting CP80–76 Sep 26SUP

vs Benfica75–71 Jun 14LPB

vs Benfica87–63 Jun 12LPB

at Benfica102–98 OTJun 9LPB

at Benfica73–89 Jun 7LPB

vs Sporting CP94–86 May 31LPB

vs Sporting CP86–76 May 29LPB

at Sporting CP73–88 May 25LPB

at Sporting CP81–70 May 23LPB

at Imortal102–79 May 14LPB

vs Imortal88–66 May 10LPB

vs Oliveirense86–89 Apr 30TAC

vs Esgueira85–86 Apr 25LPB

at Braga82–68 Apr 18LPB

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Bonn

Stats

2–3

FC Porto

FC Porto leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %15/14 games+3.9pp

51.0%

+3.9pp

54.9%

3-point %15/14 games+4.3pp

28.1%

+4.3pp

32.4%

Free-throw %15/14 games+5.1pp

69.7%

+5.1pp

64.6%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s15/14 games5.4pp apart

28.1%

5.4pp apart

33.5%

Free throws per shot15/14 games1.3pp apart

32.8%

1.3pp apart

34.1%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game15/14 games+1.9

34.4

+1.9

36.3

Turnovers per game1.0 fewer

11.9

1.0 fewer

12.9

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.